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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                      15th December 2011

                                                                    MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 28810. Incidentally,
                       Gold          Silver           Crude
                      (4 Feb-11)    (5 Mar-11)      (19 Dec-11)
                                                                    this was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower during the
                                                                    day to touch an intra-day low of 28858 on back of sustained selling
 Open                    28,810         56,400           5,353      pressure. It ended the day with heavy losses to close at 28183.
 High                    28,810         56,480           5,368      The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages,
 Low                     27,858         53,455           5,186      which would lead to further selling pressure. However, the
                                                                    Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to
 Close                   28,183         54,332           5,209
                                                                    intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI are moving
 Prev. Close             28,871         56,578           5,342      sideways, while -DI line has witnessed a breakout and is placed at
                                                                    34.35, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces
 % Change                -2.38%        -3.97%           -2.49%
                                                                    resistance at 28960, 29212, 29500, 29800 and 30000, while the
Source – MCX                                                        supports are placed at 28152, 27954 and 25500 levels.

                       Volume (In 000's)                            MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56400. It moved
                                                                    higher to touch an intra-day high of 56480. However, it failed to
                      14/12/2011    13/12/2011          % Chg.      sustain higher on back of sustained selling pressure. It touched an
                                                                    intra-day low of 53455. It ended the day with heavy losses to close
 Gold (gms)             79,527.0      44,968.0          76.85%
                                                                    at 54332.
 Silver (kgs)            3,558.1       1,810.8          96.49%
                                                                    The RSI has again slipped below its average, which would lead to
 Crude (bbl)            24,395.9      21,452.1          13.72%      further selling pressure. Moreover, the Stochastic is placed below its
Source – MCX                                                        average, which would also lead to selling pressure. But it is placed
                                                                    the over sold zone and intermediate bouts of short covering would
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                            be witnessed. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line
                                                                    has witnessed a breakout and is placed at 34.02, indicating sellers
                      14/12/2011    13/12/2011          % Chg.      have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708,
                                                                    61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725,
Gold                 2,262,746.9   1,299,577.7          74.11%
                                                                    52365, 51226 and 50223 levels.
Silver               1,956,399.5   1,026,089.4          90.67%
                                                                    MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 5353 level. It
Crude                1,288,277.0   1,133,458.2          13.66%      moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5368. However, it failed
Source – MCX
                                                                    to sustain higher and touched intra-day low of 5186 on sustained
                                                                    selling pressure. It ended the day with large losses to close at 5209.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)                        The RSI has slipped below its average, which would lead to selling
                                                                    pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and
                      15/12/2011    14/12/2011          % Chg.
                                                                    would also lead to buying support at lower levels. But Stochastic is
Gold (oz)               1,571.80      1,584.30          -0.79%      placed near the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate
Silver (oz)                29.13           28.89         0.83%
                                                                    bouts of profit booking. The ADX and -DI line are moving sideways,
                                                                    but +DI line is placed at 33.54 but has come off from its peak levels,
Crude (bbl)                95.23           94.95         0.29%      indicating buyers are unwinding their positions. It faces resistance
Dollar Index               80.50           80.53        -0.04%      at 5250, 5274 and 5350levels, while the supports are placed at
                                                                    5200, 5174 and 5115 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                  Intra-day Resistance                            Intra-day Support
  Commodities                      Close         Pivot Point            R1                 R2       R3             S1              S2         S3

 CRUDE DEC 11                       5209                5254           5323           5436        5618           5141            5072        4890

   GOLD FEB 11                     28183              28284          28709           29236       30188          27757          27332        26380

 SILVER MAR 11                     54332              54756          56056           57781       60806          53031          51731        48706


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                      Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday
       Dec. 15                      Dec. 16                      Dec. 19                      Dec. 20                      Dec. 21

Jobless Claims Data        Consumer Price Index          Housing Market Index         Housing Starts                Existing Home Sales

                                                         4-Week Bill                  ICSC-Goldman Store            EIA Petroleum Status
Producer Price Index
                                                         Announcement                 Sales                         Report
                                                                                                                    MBA Purchase
Industrial Production                                    2-Yr Note Auction            5-Yr Note Auction
                                                                                                                    Applications




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 151211

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 15th December 2011 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened lower at 28810. Incidentally, Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-11) (5 Mar-11) (19 Dec-11) this was also the highest price for the day. It moved lower during the day to touch an intra-day low of 28858 on back of sustained selling Open 28,810 56,400 5,353 pressure. It ended the day with heavy losses to close at 28183. High 28,810 56,480 5,368 The RSI and Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, Low 27,858 53,455 5,186 which would lead to further selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed in the over sold zone and would lead to Close 28,183 54,332 5,209 intermediate bouts of short covering. The ADX and +DI are moving Prev. Close 28,871 56,578 5,342 sideways, while -DI line has witnessed a breakout and is placed at 34.35, indicating sellers have an upper hand. MCX GOLD faces % Change -2.38% -3.97% -2.49% resistance at 28960, 29212, 29500, 29800 and 30000, while the Source – MCX supports are placed at 28152, 27954 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56400. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 56480. However, it failed to 14/12/2011 13/12/2011 % Chg. sustain higher on back of sustained selling pressure. It touched an intra-day low of 53455. It ended the day with heavy losses to close Gold (gms) 79,527.0 44,968.0 76.85% at 54332. Silver (kgs) 3,558.1 1,810.8 96.49% The RSI has again slipped below its average, which would lead to Crude (bbl) 24,395.9 21,452.1 13.72% further selling pressure. Moreover, the Stochastic is placed below its Source – MCX average, which would also lead to selling pressure. But it is placed the over sold zone and intermediate bouts of short covering would Turnover (In Lacs) be witnessed. The ADX and +DI are moving sideways, while -DI line has witnessed a breakout and is placed at 34.02, indicating sellers 14/12/2011 13/12/2011 % Chg. have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 54754, 61708, 61884 and 64605 levels, while the supports are placed at 52725, Gold 2,262,746.9 1,299,577.7 74.11% 52365, 51226 and 50223 levels. Silver 1,956,399.5 1,026,089.4 90.67% MCX CRUDE (DEC 11) - Crude opened higher at 5353 level. It Crude 1,288,277.0 1,133,458.2 13.66% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5368. However, it failed Source – MCX to sustain higher and touched intra-day low of 5186 on sustained selling pressure. It ended the day with large losses to close at 5209. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI has slipped below its average, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average and 15/12/2011 14/12/2011 % Chg. would also lead to buying support at lower levels. But Stochastic is Gold (oz) 1,571.80 1,584.30 -0.79% placed near the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate Silver (oz) 29.13 28.89 0.83% bouts of profit booking. The ADX and -DI line are moving sideways, but +DI line is placed at 33.54 but has come off from its peak levels, Crude (bbl) 95.23 94.95 0.29% indicating buyers are unwinding their positions. It faces resistance Dollar Index 80.50 80.53 -0.04% at 5250, 5274 and 5350levels, while the supports are placed at 5200, 5174 and 5115 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE DEC 11 5209 5254 5323 5436 5618 5141 5072 4890 GOLD FEB 11 28183 28284 28709 29236 30188 27757 27332 26380 SILVER MAR 11 54332 54756 56056 57781 60806 53031 51731 48706 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Dec. 15 Dec. 16 Dec. 19 Dec. 20 Dec. 21 Jobless Claims Data Consumer Price Index Housing Market Index Housing Starts Existing Home Sales 4-Week Bill ICSC-Goldman Store EIA Petroleum Status Producer Price Index Announcement Sales Report MBA Purchase Industrial Production 2-Yr Note Auction 5-Yr Note Auction Applications Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com