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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              2nd May 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29165. It
                    Gold          Silver          Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)   (5 May-12)      (21 May-12)     moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 29293 level. However,
                                                                it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low
 Open                 29,165         54,805          5,510      of 29087. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 29129.
 High                 29,293         55,837          5,608
                                                                The RSI remain placed above its averages, which would lead to
 Low                  29,087         54,805          5,510
                                                                buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its
 Close                29,129         55,302          5,600      average and remains placed in the over bought zone. More so the
                                                                RSI is also placed in the over bought zone. These conditions
 Prev. Close          29,183         55,318          5,514
                                                                would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure
 % Change             -0.19%        -0.03%           1.56%      especially at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line are
Source – MCX                                                    moving sideways, but the +DI line is placed at 33.02 level
                                                                indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces
                                                                resistance at 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at
                    Volume (In 000's)
                                                                28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels.
                     1/5/2012     30/4/2012         % Chg.
                                                                MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54805. It
 Gold (gms)          18,031.0      28,191.0        -36.04%
                                                                moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55837 level. However,
 Silver (kgs)           180.1       1,389.3        -87.04%      it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low
                                                                of 54805. It ended the day flat to close at 55302.
 Crude (bbl)          8,054.8       9,332.7        -13.69%

Source – MCX                                                    The RSI and the Stochastic have moved below their respective
                                                                averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, but –DI line is placed
                                                                above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX
                     1/5/2012     30/4/2012         % Chg.      Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159
Gold                526,349.2     820,633.8        -35.86%      while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels.

Silver               99,938.8     770,823.6        -87.03%      MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5510 level.
Crude               448,382.6     514,255.8        -12.81%      Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher
                                                                to touch an intra-day high of 5608 level. It ended the day with
Source – MCX                                                    handsome gains to close at 5600.

                Global Market (Nymex - $)                       The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                     2/5/2012      1/5/2012         % Chg.
                                                                averages. These conditions would lead to buying support.
                                                                However, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which
Gold (oz)            1,659.20      1,661.70         -0.15%      would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX
Silver (oz)             30.90           30.88        0.06%      line and –DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is placed
                                                                above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. It faces
Crude (bbl)           105.93         106.16         -0.22%      resistance at 5608, 5635 and 5650 while the supports are placed
Dollar Index            78.86           78.82        0.05%      at 5550, 5512, 5498 and 5403 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities            Close           Pivot Point           R1           R2           R3            S1              S2       S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5600                 5573          5635         5671         5769         5537          5475        5377

GOLD JUN 12                     29129                29170         29252       29376         29582        29046         28964       28758

SILVER MAY 12                   55302                55315         55824       56347         57379        54792         54283       53251


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                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
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US Economic Calendar:

    Wednesday                   Thursday                      Friday                      Monday                      Tuesday
     May 02                      May 03                       May 04                       May 7                       May 08
Factory Orders           Jobless Claims               Employment Situation        Consumer Credit              NFIB Small Business
                                                                                                               Optimism Index
ADP Employment           Productivity and Costs       Monster Employment          3-Month Bill Auction         ICSC-Goldman Store
Report                                                Index                                                    Sales
EIA Petroleum Status     ISM Non-Mfg Index                                        6-Month Bill Auction         3-Yr Note Auction
Report




                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                 The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                       www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 020512

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 2nd May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29165. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 May-12) (21 May-12) moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 29293 level. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low Open 29,165 54,805 5,510 of 29087. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 29129. High 29,293 55,837 5,608 The RSI remain placed above its averages, which would lead to Low 29,087 54,805 5,510 buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its Close 29,129 55,302 5,600 average and remains placed in the over bought zone. More so the RSI is also placed in the over bought zone. These conditions Prev. Close 29,183 55,318 5,514 would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure % Change -0.19% -0.03% 1.56% especially at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line are Source – MCX moving sideways, but the +DI line is placed at 33.02 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at Volume (In 000's) 28960, 28084, 27557, 26517 and 26347 levels. 1/5/2012 30/4/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (5 MAY 12) - Silver opened lower at 54805. It Gold (gms) 18,031.0 28,191.0 -36.04% moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 55837 level. However, Silver (kgs) 180.1 1,389.3 -87.04% it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 54805. It ended the day flat to close at 55302. Crude (bbl) 8,054.8 9,332.7 -13.69% Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic have moved below their respective averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The Turnover (In Lacs) ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, but –DI line is placed above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX 1/5/2012 30/4/2012 % Chg. Silver faces resistance at 55551, 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 Gold 526,349.2 820,633.8 -35.86% while the supports are placed at 51029, 50252 and 48562 levels. Silver 99,938.8 770,823.6 -87.03% MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5510 level. Crude 448,382.6 514,255.8 -12.81% Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5608 level. It ended the day with Source – MCX handsome gains to close at 5600. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective 2/5/2012 1/5/2012 % Chg. averages. These conditions would lead to buying support. However, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which Gold (oz) 1,659.20 1,661.70 -0.15% would lead to profit taking, especially at higher levels. The ADX Silver (oz) 30.90 30.88 0.06% line and –DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is placed above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. It faces Crude (bbl) 105.93 106.16 -0.22% resistance at 5608, 5635 and 5650 while the supports are placed Dollar Index 78.86 78.82 0.05% at 5550, 5512, 5498 and 5403 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5600 5573 5635 5671 5769 5537 5475 5377 GOLD JUN 12 29129 29170 29252 29376 29582 29046 28964 28758 SILVER MAY 12 55302 55315 55824 56347 57379 54792 54283 53251 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday May 02 May 03 May 04 May 7 May 08 Factory Orders Jobless Claims Employment Situation Consumer Credit NFIB Small Business Optimism Index ADP Employment Productivity and Costs Monster Employment 3-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Report Index Sales EIA Petroleum Status ISM Non-Mfg Index 6-Month Bill Auction 3-Yr Note Auction Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com