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Measuring Value in
Lean Product Development
6:00 PM - Welcome/Networking
6:15 PM - Presentation
6:45 PM - Group Discussion
7:00 PM - Networking
Thursday, September 7, 2017
Acknowledgments
NICK THEISEN PHOTOGRAPHY
3
David Hussman
Kevin Burns
Lean Product Development Coach
Org Change Agent
History and Experience
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 4
5
Themes to achieving
Value, Quality and
Beneficial Impact
• Transparency
• Caring
• Continuous Learning
• Measures
6
Transparency
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 7
8
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 9
Robert M. Pirsig September 6, 1928 – April 24, 2017
10
And what is good,
Phaedrus,
And what is not good –
Need we ask anyone to
tell us these things?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 11
The place to improve the world is first in one's own heart and
head and hands, and then work outward from there. - Robert M. Pirsig
Is value determined by delivery on time, on budget, and on scope?
Are they using everything we delivered?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 12
Is the scope delighting the customer?
In a survey of 4 products, 65% of the features were rarely or never used.
How much money could have been
saved if we never built them?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 13
Assumptions
Challenged?
3 things we wish were true
• Customer knows what they want
• Developers know how to build it
• Nothing will change along the way
14
3 things we have to live with
• Impact isn’t known until software is
used in production
• Developers discover how to build it
• Many things change along the way
How transparent is
your org today?
Transparency leads to…
• Accountability
• Psychological safety
• Creativity
• Innovation
• Opportunity
• Ideas
15
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 16
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 17
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 18
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 19
Caring
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 20
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 21
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 22
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 23
Are you proud of what you’ve built?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 24
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 25
Business resilience isn’t only about innovation and money, it’s also
about social and environmental responsibility.
Does society see us as having a socially redeemable pursuit or goal?
Are we behaving ethically?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 26
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 27
Continuous Learning
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 28
Didactic and binary
challenge
29
• Esthetic vs Classical
• Artistic vs Technological
• Subjective vs Objective
• Metaphysic vs Scientific
• Methos vs Logos (myth vs logic)
• Mind vs Matter
• Dialogue vs Rhetoric
• Plutonic vs Socratic
• 0 vs 1
What do you see?
Seven Habits of Highly Effective People - Stephen Covey
30
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 31
Were these cake instructions implemented correctly?
Was the customer delighted?
Pirsig changed view of Reality to be Quality First
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 32
Reality
Quality Pheadrus was
teaching
Quality Pheadrus
should be teaching
Romantic (Emotional)Classic (Intellectual)
Objective (Physical)Subjective (Mental)
Quality (Reality)
Objective Reality
(Matter)
Subjective Reality
(Mind)
Classic Quality
(Intellectual Reality)
Romantic Quality
(Preintellectual Reality)
Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 223.
Pirsig in pursuit of Truth
What is the truth and how do you know it when you have it?
. . .
How do we really ‘know’ anything? Is there an “I,” a “soul,”
which knows, or is this soul merely cells coordinating senses?
. . .
Is reality basically changing, or is it fixed and permanent?
. . .
When it’s said that something means something, what’s
meant by that?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 33Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 112.
Quality is no longer The Problem
Pirsig became comfortable with the fact that quality isn’t definable. It’s
something intuitive. Not of the scientific world nor the esthetic world.
Neither classic nor artistic. Neither mind nor matter.
The new problem became analysis itself. He found a problem with logic
and rational thought. In order for us to be able to reason, we need to
be able to define things. Without definition, there can’t be reason. If
we can’t define Quality, we have a problem with Analysis.
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 34Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 196.
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 35
Social economics and unconventional wisdom change the game.
Is Quality subjective? Is Truth Relative? Are Facts
Alternative? Is News Fake?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 36Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page205-223.
“Does this undefined ‘quality’ of yours exist in the things we observe?” they asked,
“Or is it subjective, existing only in the observer?”
Therefore, quality is just a fancy name for what every you like.
Is what we like truly subjective or has it been programed by society?
Quality is neither subjective nor objective. If it’s defined by the Observer, where did
the observer get his/her thoughts…from society?
It’s monism. It’s above mind and matter.
Are you purposely
injecting chaos into
your environment
to see how resilient
it is?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 37
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 38
Measures
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 39
If I had an hour to solve a problem
and my life depended on the
solution, I would spend the first
55 minutes determining the
proper question to ask, for once I
know the proper question, I could
solve the problem in less than five
minutes.
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns
Albert Einstein
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 41
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 42
Which measures are
meaningful & why?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 43
Strategizing what to measure
KPI’s – Key Performance Indicators
OKR – Objective and Key Results
Market Differentiation Strategy – Value/Quality,
Convenience, Price
Direct
Customer/Prospect
Feedback Methods
• Interview (in-person/phone)
• Survey/Poll
• Email/Chat
• Focus Groups
• Observation
• Usability Testing
45
Indirect Feedback
Methods
• A/B Testing
• Progressive Testing
• Click-through rates
• Abandonment rates
• Conversation rates
• Net Promoter
• Social media
• 3rd party data (Nielsen, Gallup, LexisNexis, etc)
46
Be careful about
what you think
you’ve learned
• What people say they would pay, isn’t
typically what they would actually pay.
• What a user says they want and what
they actually need (or want) are two
different things.
• Users and buyers aren’t always the
same person.
• Users are very different (as are buyers)
• 70% of IoT innovation is stuck in POC
47
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 48
It’s the unknown unknowns and
epistemic arrogance that kills
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 49
Can we learn from our experience
and
focus on the signal in the noise?
Pirsig’s Scientific Method
1. Statement of the problem,
2. Hypothesis as to the cause of the problem,
3. Experiments designed to test each hypothesis,
4. Predict results of the experiments,
5. Observed results of the experiments, and
6. Conclusions from the results of the experiments,
The real purpose of scientific method is to make sure Nature hasn’t
misled you into thinking you know something you don’t actually know.
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 50Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 93.
Mind your hubris
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 51
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 52
It is a puzzling thing. The truth knocks on the door and you say,
"Go away, I'm looking for the truth," and so it goes away. Puzzling.
- Robert M. Pirsig
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 53
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 54
Marty Cagan
• Customers don’t know what they want. It’s very hard to envision
the solution you want without actually seeing it.
• At least 2/3 of our ideas are never going to work. The other 1/3
will take 3-4 iterations to get right.
• The role of the product manager is to discover a product that is
valuable, usable, and feasible. Product, design, and engineering
work together to arrive at optimal solution.
User, Customer, Client
Business
Valuable
Design Usable
Software EngineeringBusiness Sponsor
Technically
Feasible
Do you have the right balance to deliver Quality, Value, & Innovation?
Quality
Innovation
Value
Do you have the right balance?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 58
Quality
Value
Lean Startup
• Are we asking what are Minimum
Viable (Valuable) Product and how do
we know when we’ve delivered it?
• Use a scientific method to measure,
learn and pivot or preserver.
• Use meaningful quantitative
objective measure to evaluate impact.
• Can you use A/B testing?
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 59
Impact-Drive Development
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 60
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 61
Merging Product Discovery and Product Delivery
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 62
http://productagility.org/
Iterative Discovery and Delivery Model
Hypothesis
Ideas
Build and Validate
Iterative Stable Team Delivery
Project/Release Planning
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns
Value and/or Impact driven culture
• Are we measuring the Cost vs Benefit at all levels of our work items?
• Portfolio
• Program
• Project
• Feature/Capability
• Story/Requirement
• Tasks/Test
• Are we measuring the Impact our features have on our customers?
• The act of sizing helps us define done
and what the really valuable work is
• Using story telling and test statements
create understanding of value and DoD
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 64
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 65
How to measure anything – Douglas Hubbard
http://www.howtomeasureanything.com/
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 66
Measurement Basics
• A measurement is an observation that quantitatively reduces uncertainty.
• A good object of measurement is something that is clearly defined and it’s observable.
• Uncertainty is the lack of certainty: the true outcome/state/value is not known.
• Risk is a state of uncertainty in which some of the possibilities involve a loss.
• Much pessimism about measurement comes from a lack of experience
• Your problem is not as unique as you think.
• You have more data than you think.
• You need less data than you think.
• An adequate amount of new data is more accessible than you think.
Douglas Hubbard
Select a measurement
method
68
To figure out which category of measurement
methods are appropriate for a particular case, we
must ask several questions:
1. Decomposition: Which parts of the thing
are we uncertain about?
2. Secondary research: How has the thing
(or its parts) been measured by others?
3. Observation: How do the identified
observables lend themselves to
measurement?
4. Measure just enough: How much do we
need to measure it?
5. Consider the error: How might our
observations be misleading?
Conclusion
• Customers don’t always know what they want
• People don’t buy features they buy benefits
• The value you’re offering isn’t unique…it is evaluated in terms of it’s relationship
to what they already have, know or use (substitution cost)
• People will buy your product at a price commensurate with perceived benefits
received at a cost lower than your competitor or some other substitution cost
• Given this, how fast can you find-out whether you’re on the right track
Questions
&
Next Steps
• How many of us know what
business/user outcomes and impacts
we’re trying to achieve?
• Do we have the right people and
metrics in place to evaluation our
progress as well as how successfully
we’re achieving the outcomes and
impacts we’re intending?
• Who want’s help creating some
objective measures?
70
42
kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 71
Thank You
Keep in Touch
@LSUpMn
www.meetup.com/LSUpMn
Next Event
Thursday, October 5, 2017

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How do you know you are delivering value lean meetup with polling results

  • 1. Measuring Value in Lean Product Development 6:00 PM - Welcome/Networking 6:15 PM - Presentation 6:45 PM - Group Discussion 7:00 PM - Networking Thursday, September 7, 2017
  • 3. 3 David Hussman Kevin Burns Lean Product Development Coach Org Change Agent
  • 5. 5
  • 6. Themes to achieving Value, Quality and Beneficial Impact • Transparency • Caring • Continuous Learning • Measures 6
  • 8. 8
  • 9. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 9 Robert M. Pirsig September 6, 1928 – April 24, 2017
  • 10. 10 And what is good, Phaedrus, And what is not good – Need we ask anyone to tell us these things?
  • 11. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 11 The place to improve the world is first in one's own heart and head and hands, and then work outward from there. - Robert M. Pirsig
  • 12. Is value determined by delivery on time, on budget, and on scope? Are they using everything we delivered? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 12 Is the scope delighting the customer?
  • 13. In a survey of 4 products, 65% of the features were rarely or never used. How much money could have been saved if we never built them? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 13
  • 14. Assumptions Challenged? 3 things we wish were true • Customer knows what they want • Developers know how to build it • Nothing will change along the way 14 3 things we have to live with • Impact isn’t known until software is used in production • Developers discover how to build it • Many things change along the way
  • 15. How transparent is your org today? Transparency leads to… • Accountability • Psychological safety • Creativity • Innovation • Opportunity • Ideas 15
  • 23. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 23 Are you proud of what you’ve built?
  • 26. Business resilience isn’t only about innovation and money, it’s also about social and environmental responsibility. Does society see us as having a socially redeemable pursuit or goal? Are we behaving ethically? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 26
  • 29. Didactic and binary challenge 29 • Esthetic vs Classical • Artistic vs Technological • Subjective vs Objective • Metaphysic vs Scientific • Methos vs Logos (myth vs logic) • Mind vs Matter • Dialogue vs Rhetoric • Plutonic vs Socratic • 0 vs 1
  • 30. What do you see? Seven Habits of Highly Effective People - Stephen Covey 30
  • 31. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 31 Were these cake instructions implemented correctly? Was the customer delighted?
  • 32. Pirsig changed view of Reality to be Quality First kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 32 Reality Quality Pheadrus was teaching Quality Pheadrus should be teaching Romantic (Emotional)Classic (Intellectual) Objective (Physical)Subjective (Mental) Quality (Reality) Objective Reality (Matter) Subjective Reality (Mind) Classic Quality (Intellectual Reality) Romantic Quality (Preintellectual Reality) Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 223.
  • 33. Pirsig in pursuit of Truth What is the truth and how do you know it when you have it? . . . How do we really ‘know’ anything? Is there an “I,” a “soul,” which knows, or is this soul merely cells coordinating senses? . . . Is reality basically changing, or is it fixed and permanent? . . . When it’s said that something means something, what’s meant by that? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 33Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 112.
  • 34. Quality is no longer The Problem Pirsig became comfortable with the fact that quality isn’t definable. It’s something intuitive. Not of the scientific world nor the esthetic world. Neither classic nor artistic. Neither mind nor matter. The new problem became analysis itself. He found a problem with logic and rational thought. In order for us to be able to reason, we need to be able to define things. Without definition, there can’t be reason. If we can’t define Quality, we have a problem with Analysis. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 34Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 196.
  • 35. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 35 Social economics and unconventional wisdom change the game.
  • 36. Is Quality subjective? Is Truth Relative? Are Facts Alternative? Is News Fake? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 36Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page205-223. “Does this undefined ‘quality’ of yours exist in the things we observe?” they asked, “Or is it subjective, existing only in the observer?” Therefore, quality is just a fancy name for what every you like. Is what we like truly subjective or has it been programed by society? Quality is neither subjective nor objective. If it’s defined by the Observer, where did the observer get his/her thoughts…from society? It’s monism. It’s above mind and matter.
  • 37. Are you purposely injecting chaos into your environment to see how resilient it is? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 37
  • 40. If I had an hour to solve a problem and my life depended on the solution, I would spend the first 55 minutes determining the proper question to ask, for once I know the proper question, I could solve the problem in less than five minutes. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns Albert Einstein
  • 43. Which measures are meaningful & why? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 43
  • 44. Strategizing what to measure KPI’s – Key Performance Indicators OKR – Objective and Key Results Market Differentiation Strategy – Value/Quality, Convenience, Price
  • 45. Direct Customer/Prospect Feedback Methods • Interview (in-person/phone) • Survey/Poll • Email/Chat • Focus Groups • Observation • Usability Testing 45
  • 46. Indirect Feedback Methods • A/B Testing • Progressive Testing • Click-through rates • Abandonment rates • Conversation rates • Net Promoter • Social media • 3rd party data (Nielsen, Gallup, LexisNexis, etc) 46
  • 47. Be careful about what you think you’ve learned • What people say they would pay, isn’t typically what they would actually pay. • What a user says they want and what they actually need (or want) are two different things. • Users and buyers aren’t always the same person. • Users are very different (as are buyers) • 70% of IoT innovation is stuck in POC 47
  • 48. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 48 It’s the unknown unknowns and epistemic arrogance that kills
  • 49. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 49 Can we learn from our experience and focus on the signal in the noise?
  • 50. Pirsig’s Scientific Method 1. Statement of the problem, 2. Hypothesis as to the cause of the problem, 3. Experiments designed to test each hypothesis, 4. Predict results of the experiments, 5. Observed results of the experiments, and 6. Conclusions from the results of the experiments, The real purpose of scientific method is to make sure Nature hasn’t misled you into thinking you know something you don’t actually know. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 50Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance page 93.
  • 52. kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 52 It is a puzzling thing. The truth knocks on the door and you say, "Go away, I'm looking for the truth," and so it goes away. Puzzling. - Robert M. Pirsig
  • 55. Marty Cagan • Customers don’t know what they want. It’s very hard to envision the solution you want without actually seeing it. • At least 2/3 of our ideas are never going to work. The other 1/3 will take 3-4 iterations to get right. • The role of the product manager is to discover a product that is valuable, usable, and feasible. Product, design, and engineering work together to arrive at optimal solution.
  • 56. User, Customer, Client Business Valuable Design Usable Software EngineeringBusiness Sponsor Technically Feasible Do you have the right balance to deliver Quality, Value, & Innovation? Quality Innovation Value
  • 57. Do you have the right balance?
  • 59. Lean Startup • Are we asking what are Minimum Viable (Valuable) Product and how do we know when we’ve delivered it? • Use a scientific method to measure, learn and pivot or preserver. • Use meaningful quantitative objective measure to evaluate impact. • Can you use A/B testing? kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 59
  • 62. Merging Product Discovery and Product Delivery kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 62 http://productagility.org/
  • 63. Iterative Discovery and Delivery Model Hypothesis Ideas Build and Validate Iterative Stable Team Delivery Project/Release Planning kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns
  • 64. Value and/or Impact driven culture • Are we measuring the Cost vs Benefit at all levels of our work items? • Portfolio • Program • Project • Feature/Capability • Story/Requirement • Tasks/Test • Are we measuring the Impact our features have on our customers? • The act of sizing helps us define done and what the really valuable work is • Using story telling and test statements create understanding of value and DoD kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 64
  • 66. How to measure anything – Douglas Hubbard http://www.howtomeasureanything.com/ kburns@sagesw.com, @kevinbburns 66
  • 67. Measurement Basics • A measurement is an observation that quantitatively reduces uncertainty. • A good object of measurement is something that is clearly defined and it’s observable. • Uncertainty is the lack of certainty: the true outcome/state/value is not known. • Risk is a state of uncertainty in which some of the possibilities involve a loss. • Much pessimism about measurement comes from a lack of experience • Your problem is not as unique as you think. • You have more data than you think. • You need less data than you think. • An adequate amount of new data is more accessible than you think. Douglas Hubbard
  • 68. Select a measurement method 68 To figure out which category of measurement methods are appropriate for a particular case, we must ask several questions: 1. Decomposition: Which parts of the thing are we uncertain about? 2. Secondary research: How has the thing (or its parts) been measured by others? 3. Observation: How do the identified observables lend themselves to measurement? 4. Measure just enough: How much do we need to measure it? 5. Consider the error: How might our observations be misleading?
  • 69. Conclusion • Customers don’t always know what they want • People don’t buy features they buy benefits • The value you’re offering isn’t unique…it is evaluated in terms of it’s relationship to what they already have, know or use (substitution cost) • People will buy your product at a price commensurate with perceived benefits received at a cost lower than your competitor or some other substitution cost • Given this, how fast can you find-out whether you’re on the right track
  • 70. Questions & Next Steps • How many of us know what business/user outcomes and impacts we’re trying to achieve? • Do we have the right people and metrics in place to evaluation our progress as well as how successfully we’re achieving the outcomes and impacts we’re intending? • Who want’s help creating some objective measures? 70
  • 72. Thank You Keep in Touch @LSUpMn www.meetup.com/LSUpMn Next Event Thursday, October 5, 2017