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A BRIEF JOURNEY
        ON



RENEWABLE ENERGY
       IN
    GERMANY


            JS Arora
MAP OF GERMANY




                 JS Arora
GERMANY AT A GLANCE


Location:
Central Europe
Area:
357,104 km² (about 1/9 of India) 3,287,263 km²

Neighboring countries:
Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, France,
Luxemburg, Netherlands, Poland, Switzerland
Climate:
Average annual temperature: 9 °C
Rivers are navigable:
Rhine 865 km, Elbe 700 km, Danube 647 km

                                                 JS Arora
GERMANY AT A GLANCE

Population

2008: 82.2 million (India 1150 million)
Population density:    230 per km² ( India 336 per km² )

Political System
State system: Democratic-parliamentary federal state
Capital city:   Berlin

Head of state:     Prof. Dr. Horst Köhler




                                                      JS Arora
GERMANY AT A GLANCE

Currency:      1 euro = 100 cents (~ Rs. 80)
Gross domestic product (GDP) 2008: EUR
2,489.40 billion (India 762.5 billion euro)
GDP growth 2008: +1.3 %
GDP per person (2008):EUR 30,310
Shares in the GDP: Services 50.9 %, industry
and construction 30.4 %, trade 17.9 %,
agriculture 0.9 %

                                   JS Arora
World Electricity

Growth Projections



               JS Arora
World Electric Power Generation Growth




                                 JS Arora
World Electricity Data




                         JS Arora
JS Arora
Power Generation
       in
   Germany



             JS Arora
Germany 2009 : Total Generation=616 BKwH




                               JS Arora
Germany Electricity Data

               2005    2006    2007    2008        2009

Install        120400 120800 120800 126700 130000
capacity MW

Generation     579.7   594.8   594.8   594.6       616
(Billon Kwh)


Consumption    545.8   549.1   549.1   551         551
(Billon Kwh)




                                             JS Arora
Germany Electricity Policy



The 1935 Energy Industry Act
amended in 1996, provided
for an immediate and full
market      opening    without
transitional arrangements.

                             JS Arora
Germany Electricity Policy

The 1991 Act on Feeding Electricity from
Renewable Energies into the Public Grid which
sought to promote the production of electricity
from renewable energy sources had to be
adapted to the liberalized electricity market.
Adequate measures had not been taken to
achieve the government's climate protection
goals: namely, a 25% reduction of CO2 in the
period 1990 to 2005.
                                   JS Arora
Germany Electricity Policy

The focus of energy policy 1998 to 2002
Ending the use of nuclear energy
–   On June 11, 2001, the federal government and the
    operators of nuclear power plants signed the
    agreement that serves as a basis for the orderly
    termination of the use of nuclear power in Germany.




                                           JS Arora
Germany Electricity Policy

The focus of energy policy 1998 to 2002
  Renewable energies
   –   EU directive on the promotion of electricity from renewable
       energies in the internal market for electricity. For Germany,
       a doubling to 12.5% by the year 2010 is aimed, and for the
       EU as a whole to 22%.
   –   The law on renewable sources on energy (Erneuerbare
       Energien Gesetz, EEG) requires grid operators to purchase
       electricity from renewable sources at fixed prices. Covering,
       wind, geothermal, photovoltaics, small hydro (below 5 MW),
       biomass and certain forms of waste
   –   Purchase from Co-generation plants at pre-determined
       prices.

                                                      JS Arora
Germany Electricity Policy

The focus of energy policy 1998 to 2002
  Climate protection
   –   In October 2000 the German government adopted a
       climate protection program to achieve the national target
       of a 25% lowering of CO2 emissions by 2005 from 1990
       levels.
   –   On November 9, 2000 German industry and the federal
       government concluded a voluntary commitment
       agreement for climate protection. By 2005, CO2 emissions
       are to be lowered by 28% and by 2012 the greenhouse
       gases named in the Kyoto Protocol are to be lowered by
       35% (each relative to 1990 levels).



                                                  JS Arora
Germany Electricity Policy
Summary

 Pre-liberalisation (over 1000 mixed private and state-owned
 companies, 9 large vertically integrated firms, regional/local
 monopolies)
 1996 Directive 96/92/EC (market opening, accounting unbundling,
 different options for network access)
 1998 Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz, EEG(100% market opening),
 2003 Directive 2003/54/EC (legal unbundling, regulator required)
 2005 Bundesnetzagentur (regulator for electricity and gas)




                                                        JS Arora
Renewable Electricity
    Generation
        in
    Germany




                  JS Arora
Renewable Energy Sources Act

1991: Energy Feed-In Law (StrEG)
2000: Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG)
2004: Optimised new EEG (Amended)
2009: Optimised new EEG (Amended)




                                 JS Arora
What is a Feed-In Tariff?
Feed-in Tariff s (FITs) aim to support the market development of renewable
energy technologies, specifically for electricity generation. Fits put a legal
obligation on utilities and energy companies to purchase electricity from
renewable energy producers at a favourable price per unit, and this price is
usually guaranteed over a certain time period.

Tariff rates are usually determined for each renewable technology in order to
take account of their differing generation costs, and to ensure profitability.
Therefore, the FIT rate set by a particular government for solar, wind or
geothermal generated electricity may vary depending on the costs associated
with each of these
technologies.

The guaranteed access to the grid, favorable rate per unit and the tariff term.



                                                             JS Arora
The Feed-in- Tariff :
  German Success story

The German FIT has been a huge success – and is
generally regarded as the best example of an effective
FIT law.
The first real Feed-In Law in Germany was the
Stromeinspeisungsgesetz (StrEG) introduced in 1991,
otherwise known as the Electricity Feed-In-Law.
This took the form of a simple one-page bill for assisting
producers of electricity from small hydro stations and wind
energy installations.



                                             JS Arora
Renewable Energy Sources Act, main
features

Term of the contracts: maximum 20 years
Planning and investment reliability by guaranteed fixed
prices for RE-power
Returns of 7% taken as the basis for the calculations
Annual decrease of the tariffs
RE-priority for grid access, transmission and distribution
Equalization of additional costs for electricity from RES
between all grid operators and electricity suppliers; Costs paid by
all consumers
All different types of RES are considered


                                                     JS Arora
The German Success story

The StrEG was modified in several ways in April
1998 with the adoption of the Energy Supply
Industry Act, and in 2000, the Erneuerbare-
Energien-Gesetz (EEG), otherwise known as the
2000 Renewable Energy Sources Act, was
introduced in response to deregulation of the German
electricity market in 1998, and a number of other
problems with the StrEG. The EEG represented an
update, refinement and replacement of German
renewable energy policy.
                                           JS Arora
The German Success story

The EEG Amendment in 2004 committed Germany to
increase the share of renewable energy in the country’s
total electricity supply to 12.5% by 2010, and to at least
20% by 2020. The tariff rates in the 2004 Amendment
ranged from €0.0539 per kWh for electricity generated
from wind, to €0.5953 for solar electricity from small
facade systems.
The rates at which the guaranteed tariff would reduce
each year (annual digression rates) were also set fairly
high in the amendment, ranging from 1%-6.5% annually
depending on the technology.
                                             JS Arora
Success of the German Renewable
Energy Sources Act

Creation of a large internal market
Creation of more than 250,000 new jobs in Germany
Series of innovative developments in RE technologies
Costs for market introduction of RE considerably lower
than in other countries
Renewable Energy Sources Act is a cost effective
stimulus package




                                          JS Arora
The German Success story

As of 2009, feed-in tariff policies have been
enacted in 63 countries around the world,
including in Australia, Austria, Brazil, Canada,
China, the Czech Republic, Denmark, France,
Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iran, Israel, Italy,
the Republic of Korea, the Netherlands,
Portugal, Singapore, South Africa, Spain,
Sweden, Switzerland, and in some states in the
United States.

                                      JS Arora
History of the Renewable Energy
Sources Act




                             JS Arora
Germany Renewable Energy




                       JS Arora
R.E. sources as a share of gross
electricity consumption in Germany




                             JS Arora
JS Arora
Wind Energy


    in
 Germany



              JS Arora
JS Arora
JS Arora
The EEG – basis of success for German wind energy



For wind energy an ‘initial tariff’ is fixed for at least
5 and up to 20 years.
It is reduced to a ‘basic tariff’ depending on how
local wind conditions compare to a so called
‘reference yield’.
Wind installations on very good sites (reference
yield of 150 %) receive the initial tariff for example
for five years, while for turbines on lesser sites this
period can be extended.
The tariffs are altogether paid for 20 years.

                                              JS Arora
The EEG – basis of success for German wind energy


As of 1 January 2009 the initial tariff for onshore wind
energy was increased to 9.2 cent/kWh.
The basic tariff is set at 5.02 cent/kWh. There will be
an annual degression of 1 % for new installations
every year.
The tariff for offshore wind energy got increased to 13
cent/kWh plus an additional ‘sprinter bonus’ of 2
cents/kWh for projects which will come into operation
before the end of 2015.
The initial 15 cents/kWh will be paid for a period of 12
years. After that, the tariff will decrease to 3.5
cents/kWh.
Offshore tariffs will annually decrease at 5 % for new
installations starting from 2015.             JS Arora
The EEG – basis of success for German wind energy



Grid operators are obliged to feed in electricity
produced from renewable energy and buy it at a
minimum price within their supply area.
Furthermore, the new EEG requires of grid
operators not only that they extend the grid, but
also that they optimise and enhance the existing
grid.
Failure to comply with this can lead to claims for
damages by anyone willing (but unable) to feed in.



                                         JS Arora
JS Arora
JS Arora
JS Arora
Wind Energy Technology

What works & what doesn’t




                            JS Arora
FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS
Wind Energy in Germany by 2020


The domestic market has been very stable in recent years and will even
rise again once the administrative hurdles such as general distance
regulations and height limits have been overcome and construction can
continue. This is mainly a political issue. National and Federal State
targets for renewable electricity require a growing contribution of wind
energy in Germany.

According to calculations from BWE the overall German onshore
capacity could be at 45,000 MW, with an additional 10,000 MW offshore
wind. With a generation of approximately 150 TWh/year wind energy
could deliver 25 % of the German electricity consumption by this time.

Future challenges include a speedy grid expansion with also using
underground cable in critical areas.

                                                        JS Arora
JS Arora
Wind industry gears up for high level participation in Copenhagen
climate talks




“Wind power will play a key role in combating climate
change, but we need a clear framework and a price on
carbon for the sector to reach its full potential,”
“All analyses show that the largest contribution to solving
the climate issue must come from the private sector, and we
stand ready to contribute, but we need a clear, robust and
legally binding international framework to do so.”
Industry scenarios demonstrate that wind energy can save
as much as 10 bn tons of CO2 by 2020.

                             Steve Sawyer, GWEC Secretary General.


                                                     JS Arora
Solar Energy




               JS Arora
Source: Aleo
  Why do we need Photovoltaics?


                                                                                                Source: Solarwatt

PV is the most fascinating way
to produce electricity
Advantages
PV can be used everywhere worldwide
PV can be used grid connected and off-
grid
PV can be used in every size                                                                    Source: Phönix

PV needs only one initial investment
PV does not harm the environment
PV has the biggest potential among all
RES
                                                                                  Source: SMA
               Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens
                                                                                  JS Arora                       46
Why do we need Photovoltaics?


Challenge: Today, PV is often the most expensive way
  to produce electricity using RES

However: PV has the highest cost reduction potential

  PV has to be developed today in order to have
  (1) enough solar capacity available in one decade
  (2) at a competitive price



                                        JS Arora
Solar Photo Voltaic

Solar photovoltaics (PVs) are arrays of cells containing a
material that converts solar radiation into direct current
electricity. Materials presently used for photovoltaics include
amorphous silicon, polycrystalline silicon, microcrystalline
silicon, cadmium telluride,

Photovoltaic production has been doubling every 2 years,
increasing by an average of 48 percent each year since 2002,
making it the world’s fastest-growing energy technology. Solar
PV power stations today have capacities ranging from 10-60
MW although proposed solar PV power stations will have a
capacity of 150 MW or more

                                                    JS Arora
Solar PV
Advantages



  The 89 petawatts of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface is plentiful -
  almost 6,000 times more than the 15 terawatts of average electrical
  power consumed by humans. This natural resource can be utilised
  by by using Solar PV
  Solar power is pollution-free during use. Production end-wastes and
  emissions are manageable using existing pollution controls. End-of-
  use recycling technologies are under development.
  PV installations can operate for many years with little maintenance or
  intervention after their initial set-up, so after the initial capital cost of
  building any solar power plant, operating costs are extremely low
  compared to existing power technologies.
  Solar electric generation is economically superior where grid
  connection or fuel transport is difficult, costly or impossible. Long-
  standing examples include satellites, island communities, remote
                                                               JS Arora
  locations and ocean vessels.
Solar PV
Advantages


  When grid-connected, solar electric generation replaces some or all
  of the highest-cost electricity used during times of peak demand (in
  most climatic regions). This can reduce grid loading, and can
  eliminate the need for local battery power to provide for use in times
  of darkness. These features are enabled by net metering. Time-of-
  use net metering can be highly favorable, but requires newer
  electronic metering, which may still be impractical for some users.
  Grid-connected solar electricity can be used locally thus reducing
  transmission/distribution losses (transmission losses in the US were
  approximately 7.2% in 1995).
  Compared to fossil and nuclear energy sources, very little research
  money has been invested in the development of solar cells, so there
  is considerable room for improvement. Nevertheless, experimental
  high efficiency solar cells already have efficiencies of over 40% and
  efficiencies are rapidly rising while mass-production costs are
  rapidly falling.
                                                        JS Arora
Solar PV
Disadvantages



  Photovoltaics are costly to install. While the modules are often
  warranted for upwards of 20 years, much of the investment in a
  home-mounted system may be lost if the home-owner moves and
  the buyer puts less value on the system than the seller.
  Solar electricity is not available at night and is less available in
  cloudy weather conditions from conventional silicon based-
  technologies. Therefore, a storage or complementary power system
  is required.
  Apart from their own efficiency figures, PV systems work within the
  limited power density of their location's insolation.
  Solar cells produce DC which must be converted to AC (using a grid
  tie inverter) when used in current existing distribution grids. This
  incurs an energy loss of 4-12%
                                                      JS Arora
Solar power in Germany


Germany is the world's top photovoltaics (PV) installer,
accounting for almost half of the global solar power
market in 2007.
Out of the 20 biggest photovoltaic plants, 15 are in
Germany,
Germans installed about 1,300 megawatts of new PV
capacity in 2007, up from 850 megawatts in 2006, for a
cumulative total exceeding 3,830 megawatts.


                                           JS Arora
Solar power in Germany

Germany added a further 2 GW in 2008 and 2.5 GW in
2009 taking the total to 8.3 GW by end of 2009.
As capacity has risen, installed PV system costs have
been cut in half between 1997 and 2007.
Solar power now meets about 1 percent of Germany's
electricity demand, a share that some market analysts
expect could reach 25 percent by 2050.
The country has a feed-in tariff for renewable electricity,
which requires utilities to pay customers a guaranteed
rate for any solar power they feed into the grid.
                                               JS Arora
Germany's largest photovoltaic (PV) power plants


DC Peak   Location         Description                 MW Hr per
Power                                                  year
40 MW     Muldentalkreis   550,000 thin-film           40,000
                           modules
12 MW     Arnstein         1408 SOLON mover            14,000

10 MW     Pocking          57,912 Solar madules        11,500

6.3 MW    Muenhausen       57,600 solar modules        6,750

5 MW      Buerstadt        30,000 BP Solar             4,200
                           modules
5 MW      Espenhain        33,500 Shell Solar          5,000
                           Modules                JS Arora
Germany's largest photovoltaic (PV) power plants


DC Peak   Location     Description                MW Hr per year
Power

4 MW      Merseburg    25,000 BP Solar modules    3,400


4 MW      Gottleborn   50,000 solar modules       8,200
4 MW      Hemaau       32,740 solar modules       3,900
3.3 MW    Dingolfing   Solara Sharp solar modules 3,050


1.9 MW    Guenching    Sharp solar modules         -
1.9 MW    Minihof      Sharp solar modules         -
                                                 JS Arora
Why Germany is adding large Solar
Power capacities

 The reason is not a breakthrough in the economics or technology
 of solar power but a law adopted in 2000. It requires the country's
 huge old-line utility companies to subsidize the solar upstarts by
 buying their electricity at marked-up rates that make it easy for
 the newcomers to turn a profit. Their cleanly created power
 enters the utilities' grids for sale to consumers.
 The law was part of a broader measure adopted by the German
 government to boost production of renewable energy sources,
 including wind power and biofuels. As the world's sixth-biggest
 producer of carbon-dioxide emissions, Germany is trying to slash
 its output of greenhouse gases and wants renewable sources to
 supply a quarter of its energy needs by 2020.



                                                     JS Arora
Solar Energy : Installed capacity

  In the Year 2000 Install Capacity was 44 MW
 In 2003 Some 20,000 solar electricity
 systems yielding an output of about 145
 Megawatts (MW) were installed. Germany
 saw slow growth in 2006, but still remains by
 far the largest PV market in the world. 968
 MW of PV were installed in Germany in
 2006. In 2008 total Capacity is 5351 MW.

                                    JS Arora
German Solar Energy

Germans installed about 1,300 megawatts of new PV capacity in
2007, up from 968 megawatts in 2006, for a cumulative total
exceeding 3,830 megawatts.
Germany added a further 1.5 GW in 2008 and 2.5 GW in 2009
taking the total to 8.0 GW by end of 2009.
As capacity has risen, installed PV system costs have been cut in
half between 1997 and 2007.
Solar power now meets about 1 percent of Germany's electricity
demand, a share that some market analysts expect could reach 25
percent by 2050.


                                                   JS Arora
Photovoltaic World Market addition during 2008
                                                     Italy        France
                                                 220 MWp; 4%      150 MWp; 3%
                                                                  Portugal
                                                                  42 MWp; 0.7%           New installed
                                                                  Belgium
                                                                                          PV Power
                                                                  20 MWp; 0.3%       2006: 1600 MWp
                                                                  Czech Republic
                                                                  20 MWp; 0.3%
                       Spain                                      RO Europe          2007: 2650 MWp
                   2600 MWp; 43%                                  53 MWp; 0.9%                (+66%)
                                               USA                                   2008: 6000 MWp
                                             USA                  Canada
                                           500 MWp; 8%
                                           342 MW                 20 MWp; 0.3%                        (+126%)
                                                                  Japan
                                                                  230 MWp; 4%
                                                                  China                 Red Letters:
                                                                  50 MWp; 0.8%         Countries with
                        Germany
                     1500 MWp; 25%                                South Korea           Feed-in tariff
                                                                  290 MWp; 5%             schemes
                                                                  India
                                                                  70 MWp; 1.2%
                                                  RO World         Australia          Source: Preliminary figures of
                                                 195 MWp; 3%       40 MWp; 0.7%       National PV Associations,
                                                                                      Stryi-Hipp, Feb 26th 2009


                              Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens
                                                                                   JS Arora                            59
© BSW-Solar 2009
World Largest Thin-Film PV
 Waldpolenz Solar Park, which is the world’s largest thin-film
 photovoltaic (PV) power system, was built by German
 developer and operator at a former military air base to the east
 of Leipzig in Germany. The power plant is a 40 MW solar power
 system using state-of-the-art thin film technology, and was fully
 operational by the end of 2008. 550,000 First Solar thin-film
 modules are being used, which supply about 40,000 MWh of
 electricity per year.

 The installation is located in the Muldentalkreis district in the
 state of Saxony in eastern Germany, built on half of the
 location’s 220 hectares in the townships of Brandis and
 Bennewitz. The investment costs for the Waldpolenz solar park
 amount to some Euro 130 million.

                                                   JS Arora
World Largest Thin-Film PV




                         JS Arora
Development of the German PV market
                                                                                                         1500
                                                                                                                       5500




                                                                                                                              Total installed PV power in MWp
         PV Market Data 2008
                                                                                                                       5000
         Newly installed power                       1 500 MWp
         Total installed power                       5 334 MWp                                    1100
                                                                                                                       4500

         No. of total systems installed                   500 000                                                      4000
         Turnover 2008                        6 Bln € / 8.1 Bln $
                                                                                        850 850                        3500
         Employees                                         45 000
                                                                                                                       3000

        Milestones                                                               600                                   2500

        1991: First Feed-in Law (FIT with low tariffs)                                                                 2000
        1991-1995: 1 000 roofs program (grants)




                                                                                                          estimation
                                                                                                                       1500
        1999-2003: 100 000 roofs program (loans)
        2000: Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) (FIT)                                                                 1000
                                                                           150
        2004: Amendment of EEG (FIT)
                                                                78    80                                               500
                                                10   12    40
         3    3      3    3    4    7    12
                                                                                                                       0
       1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
                   annually installed PV power in MWp                total installed PV power in MWp

                                    Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens
                                                                                             JS Arora                                                           62
© BSW-Solar 2009
The differentiation of tariffs create different market segments
                  in Germany.



                                             2. Size of                               3 main PV market segments
                                           PV installation


                                                                           1. Retail market
                                                     >         >
                    Feed-in     < 30      > 30
                                                    100       1000
                     tariff     kWp       kWp                                                   2. Project
                                                    kWp       kWp
                                                                                                market
                                  €         €                                                                3. BIPV
                                46.75     44.48        € 43.99 ct                                            market

                  On              ct        ct
PV installation
1. Location of




                  buildings         -8%             -10%      -25%
                                  €         €         €         €
                                43.01     40.91     39.58     33.00
                                 ct        ct        ct        ct
                  Free land /
                  ground        € 35.49ct      -10%      € 31.94ct
                  mounted                                                                     JS Arora
                                       Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens                           63
Germany: Market Segments of on-grid PV Systems
                                                                                                                        Image: Sharp
                                                                                                                  Image: Sharp
             Effort of mounting
  BIPV




                                                                      <1%

                                                              Image: Schüco
                                                                                                Image: Grammer
                                  residential homes 1-10 kWp
                                                                       multi family houses, public +                Large and very large
                                                                       social buildings, farms,                     commercial > 100 kWp
  Roof top




                                                                       commercial plants
                                                                                              10-100
                                                                       kWp
                                                                                                                 37%
                                     55%
                                  Image: Solarwatt
                                                                       Image: Solarwatt                            Image: BP
  mounted
  Ground




                                    Est. market shares                                                           8%
                                          in 2010

                                         Size of the system                     Image: Geosol                                                     Image: Geosol

                                                                Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens
                                                                                                                                       JS Arora                   64
© BSW-Solar 2009
Amendment of the EEG from June 2008:
                                               Feed-in Tariffs for PV will be reduced faster as of 2009
                                               2500
                                                       Degression rate of feed-in tariffs                                        +1%
                                               2250
          annually installed PV power in MWp




                                                       Up to 2008: 5% / 6.5% (roof top/ground)                           +1%
                                                       2009/2010: 8% / 10% (< / >100 kWp)                                        1900
                                               2000
                                                       2011/2012: 9%                                            +1%
                                                       Below/above corridor: -1%/+1%                                     1700
                                               1750
                                                                                                                1500
                                                                                                                                           9%
                                                                                                                                 9%
                                               1500                                                      1350       8%/
                                                                                                          est
                                                                                                                8%/ 10%
                                               1250
                                                                                              1100              10%
                                                                                                                                 1200
                                               1000                                                                      1100
                                                                              850      850
                                                                                                                1000
                                                                                                                                 -1%
                                                750
                                                                      600                                                -1%
                                                                                                                -1%
                                                500
                                                                        Degression rate 5%/6.5%
                                                250          150
                                                       80

                                                  0
                                                      2002   2003    2004     2005    2006        2007   2008   2009     2010    2011     2012
                                                             annually installed PV power in MWp            upper limit          lower limit

                                                                    Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens
                                                                                                                                JS Arora         65
© BSW-Solar 2009
PV Solar in Some EU

Country   Consumption   2005     2006     2007              2008
          W/capita      PV(MW)   PV(MW)   PV(MW)            PV(MW)
          (2008)

Germany   65            1910     3063     3846              5351

Spain     75            58       118      733               3405

Luxexbour 50            24       24       24                24
g
Belgium   6.7           2        4        22                71

France    1.4           26       33       47                91

UK        0.4           11       14       19                22
                                                 JS Arora
Solar PV

Photovoltaics has a great potential worldwide
– but it is necessary to build up market and industry today

The German PV market is growing continously

Driver of the market is the feed-in tariff system (EEG)

There are already more than 40.000 jobs created
in the PV sector in Germany

Prices for PV modules were reduced significantly in the last 6
months, therefore investments in PV systems are much more
attractive today
         Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens
                                                             JS Arora   67
Solar Thermal

Solar heating is the usage of solar energy to provide
space or water heating.
Worldwide the use was 88 GW thermal (2005). Growth
potential is enormous.
At present the EU is second after China in the
installations. If all EU countries used solar thermal as
enthusiastically as the Austrians, the EU’s installed
capacity would already be 91 GWth

In 2005 solar heating in the EU was equivalent to more
than 686,000 tons of oil.
                                            JS Arora
Solar Thermal

 Solar thermal applications cover 0.6 % of the
 total heating demand in Germany in 2010
 and 2.6 % in 2020.

 In 2008, the solar thermal share was 0.4 %.

 The forecast predicts an increase in the
 installed collector area per year to more than
 6 million m2 by 2020 - three times the
 amount of 2008.
                                     JS Arora
Functions of Solar Thermal
In the simplest solar thermal application, a discrete solar collector gathers
solar radiation to heat air or water for domestic, commercial or industrial
use. The solar panel is usually a flat plate collector that consists of a metal
box with a glass or plastic cover and a black absorber plate at the bottom.
Absorber plates are usually painted with selective coatings that absorb
and retain heat better than ordinary black paint. They are normally made
of metal, typically copper or aluminium, because it is a good conductor of
heat. Copper is more expensive, but it is a better conductor and is less
prone to corrosion than aluminium. The sides and bottom of the collector
are usually insulated to minimize heat loss.
In locations with average available solar energy, flat plate collectors are
sized at approximately 0.5 to 1 square foot per gallon of daily hot water
use. Evacuated tube collectors have absorber plates that are metal strips
running down the center of each tube.
Convective heat losses are reduced by virtue of the vacuum in the tube.
For swimming pool heating, plastic or rubber are used to make low-
temperature absorber plates.
                                                              JS Arora
When will solar power become competitive?



From 2018, solar power will be cheaper than conventional power
The German renewable energy sources act envisages a reduction of 5-6.5% per annum in
refunds for solar power fed into the grid. The average price of one kilowatt-hour (kWh) of
solar
power will decrease nominally at 5% per annum from 49 cents today to 23 cents in 2020.
Conventional power on the other hand will become dearer. At a minor increase of 2.5% per
annum, the price of power will rise for the private consumer from 19.6 cents/kWh today to
28
cents/kWh in 2020. This way, solar power for the private customer will be cheaper from
2018
than obtaining conventional power.
Solar power systems today are more than 60% cheaper than 1990
The theory of the learning curve shows that every doubling of photovoltaic output leads to a
20% fall in price. This has also been confirmed in Germany: since 1990 the price of
photovoltaic systems has fallen over 60% from EUR 13,500 to about EUR 5,000 today.
Between 1999 and 2003, the fall in price was 25% in the 100,000-roofs scheme.
By way of international comparison, prices of solar power modules show a continual
downward
                                                                      JS Arora
Solid Biomass

Solid biomass as energy source:
 – long tradition in Germany
 – German companies are the
    world leaders
 a) Heating systems
 b) Combined Heat & Power plants       Market facts Germany:
    (CHP): Heat and Electricity         – 160 electricity plants (960 MW)

Solid biomass:                          – 1.000 biomass heating plants
                                        – 70.000 pallet boilers and ovens in
 – agricultural and forestry produce
                                           homes
 – in Germany: wood pellet
 – Potential in EAGA: residues
    from agriculture / forestry !

                                                         JS Arora
Biogas

Biogas industry in Germany
–   Power generation from
    gaseous biomass is            Facts:
    greatly expanding in          650 new systems
    Germany
–   clear trend towards larger,
                                  installed Electrical
    high-capacity systems         capacity: 1.100 MW
–   German companies offer a      agricultural residues
    wide range of building,       and energy plants
    operating and maintaining
    services/products             applicable


                                               JS Arora
Geothermic Power


“Geothermal sources could
    supply
 Germany's electricity needs
    600
times over”                     –   2007: 130.000 heat
   Construction boom of GP          pumps and 4 geothermal
   plants due to a new energy       electricity plants installed
   law in Germany               –   investments of 4 BN Euro
    – geothermic electricity        in 150 geothermal power
       is supported by the          projects
       government
    – heat and electricity
       generation

                                                JS Arora
Emissions for Electricity Generation in
Germany (Grams per MWh)

 Generation type      SO2   NOx   Particulates    CO2


 Nuclear              32    70         7          19,700


 Coal                326    560      182         815,000


 Gas                   3    277       18         362,000


 Oil                1,611   985       67         935,000


 Wind                 15    20       4.6           6,460

 PV (Home
     Application)    104    99       6.1          53,300
                                                    JS Arora
No. of Players in the Market


    Contribution to Total Electricity Generation (%)
                    10%                10%




                               80%

     850 Municipal Utilities         6 Supra regional companies
     80 Regional companies
                                                           JS Arora
No. of Players in the Market (cont)

             6 Largest co. % of 80% of market
                                                E.on (VIAG &VEBA)

              4%3%                              REW AG (RWE &
         9%                                     VEW)
                         37%                    EnBW/EdF
       13%
                                                VEAG

                                                HEW
              34%
                                                BEWAG
                                                JS Arora
Orientation
Turbines can be categorized into two overarching classes based on
the orientation of the rotor
        Vertical Axis           Horizontal Axis




                                                   JS Arora
Vertical Axis Turbines


                              Disadvantages
Advantages                      Rotors generally near ground
 Omnidirectional                where wind poorer
  –   Accepts wind from any     Centrifugal force stresses
      angle                     blades
 Components can be              Poor self-starting capabilities
 mounted at ground level        Requires support at top of
  –   Ease of service           turbine rotor
  –   Lighter weight towers     Requires entire rotor to be
                                removed to replace bearings
 Can theoretically use less     Overall poor performance and
 materials to capture the       reliability
 same amount of wind
                                Have never been commercially
                                successful


                                                 JS Arora
Horizontal Axis
Wind Turbines


    Rotors are usually
    Up-wind of tower
    Some machines
    have down-wind
    rotors, but only
    commercially
    available ones are
    small turbines



                         JS Arora
JS Arora
Active vs. Passive Yaw


Active Yaw (all medium &
large turbines produced today,
& some small turbines from
Europe)
 –   Anemometer on nacelle tells
     controller which way to point
     rotor into the wind
 –   Yaw drive turns gears to point
     rotor into wind
Passive Yaw (Most small
turbines)
 –   Wind forces alone direct rotor
         Tail vanes
         Downwind turbines

                                      JS Arora
Number of Blades – One


Rotor must move more rapidly to
capture same amount of wind
 –   Gearbox ratio reduced
 –   Added weight of counterbalance
     negates some benefits of lighter
     design
 –   Higher speed means more noise,
     visual, and wildlife impacts
Blades easier to install because
entire rotor can be assembled on
ground
Captures 10% less energy than
two blade design
Ultimately provide no cost savings
                                        JS Arora
Number of Blades - Two


 Advantages &
 disadvantages similar to
 one blade
 Need teetering hub and
 or shock absorbers
 because of gyroscopic
 imbalances
 Capture 5% less energy
 than three blade
 designs


                            JS Arora
Number of Blades - Three


 Balance of gyroscopic
 forces
 Slower rotation
  –   increases gearbox &
      transmission costs
  –   More aesthetic, less
      noise, fewer bird strikes




                                  JS Arora
Blade Composition
Wood

Wood
  –   Strong, light weight,
      cheap, abundant,
      flexible
  –   Popular on do-it
      yourself turbines
 Solid plank
 Laminates
 Veneers
 Composites


                              JS Arora
Blade Composition
Metal

 Steel
  –   Heavy & expensive
 Aluminum
  –   Lighter-weight and easy to
      work with
  –   Expensive
  –   Subject to metal fatigue



                                   JS Arora
Blade Construction
Fiberglass

 Lightweight, strong,
 inexpensive, good fatigue
 characteristics
 Variety of manufacturing
 processes
  –   Cloth over frame
  –   Pultrusion
  –   Filament winding to produce
      spars
 Most modern large turbines
 use fiberglass



                                    JS Arora
Hubs


The hub holds the rotor
together and transmits
motion to nacelle
Three important aspects
How blades are attached
 –   Nearly all have cantilevered
     hubs (supported only at
     hub)
 –   Struts & Stays haven’t
     proved worthwhile
Fixed or Variable Pitch?
Flexible or Rigid Attachment
 –   Most are rigid
 –   Some two bladed designs
     use teetering hubs
                                    JS Arora
Towers

Monopole (Nearly all
large turbines)
–   Tubular Steel or Concrete
Lattice (many Medium
turbines)
–   20 ft. sections
Guyed
–   Lattice or monopole
       3 guys minimum
–   Tilt-up
       4 guys
Tilt-up monopole
                                JS Arora
THANK YOU
    Ex Director HRD
Damodar Valley Coporation
         (DVC)


                  JS Arora

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Presentation on german renewable energy on 23

  • 1. A BRIEF JOURNEY ON RENEWABLE ENERGY IN GERMANY JS Arora
  • 2. MAP OF GERMANY JS Arora
  • 3. GERMANY AT A GLANCE Location: Central Europe Area: 357,104 km² (about 1/9 of India) 3,287,263 km² Neighboring countries: Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Luxemburg, Netherlands, Poland, Switzerland Climate: Average annual temperature: 9 °C Rivers are navigable: Rhine 865 km, Elbe 700 km, Danube 647 km JS Arora
  • 4. GERMANY AT A GLANCE Population 2008: 82.2 million (India 1150 million) Population density: 230 per km² ( India 336 per km² ) Political System State system: Democratic-parliamentary federal state Capital city: Berlin Head of state: Prof. Dr. Horst Köhler JS Arora
  • 5. GERMANY AT A GLANCE Currency: 1 euro = 100 cents (~ Rs. 80) Gross domestic product (GDP) 2008: EUR 2,489.40 billion (India 762.5 billion euro) GDP growth 2008: +1.3 % GDP per person (2008):EUR 30,310 Shares in the GDP: Services 50.9 %, industry and construction 30.4 %, trade 17.9 %, agriculture 0.9 % JS Arora
  • 7. World Electric Power Generation Growth JS Arora
  • 10. Power Generation in Germany JS Arora
  • 11. Germany 2009 : Total Generation=616 BKwH JS Arora
  • 12. Germany Electricity Data 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Install 120400 120800 120800 126700 130000 capacity MW Generation 579.7 594.8 594.8 594.6 616 (Billon Kwh) Consumption 545.8 549.1 549.1 551 551 (Billon Kwh) JS Arora
  • 13. Germany Electricity Policy The 1935 Energy Industry Act amended in 1996, provided for an immediate and full market opening without transitional arrangements. JS Arora
  • 14. Germany Electricity Policy The 1991 Act on Feeding Electricity from Renewable Energies into the Public Grid which sought to promote the production of electricity from renewable energy sources had to be adapted to the liberalized electricity market. Adequate measures had not been taken to achieve the government's climate protection goals: namely, a 25% reduction of CO2 in the period 1990 to 2005. JS Arora
  • 15. Germany Electricity Policy The focus of energy policy 1998 to 2002 Ending the use of nuclear energy – On June 11, 2001, the federal government and the operators of nuclear power plants signed the agreement that serves as a basis for the orderly termination of the use of nuclear power in Germany. JS Arora
  • 16. Germany Electricity Policy The focus of energy policy 1998 to 2002 Renewable energies – EU directive on the promotion of electricity from renewable energies in the internal market for electricity. For Germany, a doubling to 12.5% by the year 2010 is aimed, and for the EU as a whole to 22%. – The law on renewable sources on energy (Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz, EEG) requires grid operators to purchase electricity from renewable sources at fixed prices. Covering, wind, geothermal, photovoltaics, small hydro (below 5 MW), biomass and certain forms of waste – Purchase from Co-generation plants at pre-determined prices. JS Arora
  • 17. Germany Electricity Policy The focus of energy policy 1998 to 2002 Climate protection – In October 2000 the German government adopted a climate protection program to achieve the national target of a 25% lowering of CO2 emissions by 2005 from 1990 levels. – On November 9, 2000 German industry and the federal government concluded a voluntary commitment agreement for climate protection. By 2005, CO2 emissions are to be lowered by 28% and by 2012 the greenhouse gases named in the Kyoto Protocol are to be lowered by 35% (each relative to 1990 levels). JS Arora
  • 18. Germany Electricity Policy Summary Pre-liberalisation (over 1000 mixed private and state-owned companies, 9 large vertically integrated firms, regional/local monopolies) 1996 Directive 96/92/EC (market opening, accounting unbundling, different options for network access) 1998 Erneuerbare Energien Gesetz, EEG(100% market opening), 2003 Directive 2003/54/EC (legal unbundling, regulator required) 2005 Bundesnetzagentur (regulator for electricity and gas) JS Arora
  • 19. Renewable Electricity Generation in Germany JS Arora
  • 20. Renewable Energy Sources Act 1991: Energy Feed-In Law (StrEG) 2000: Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) 2004: Optimised new EEG (Amended) 2009: Optimised new EEG (Amended) JS Arora
  • 21. What is a Feed-In Tariff? Feed-in Tariff s (FITs) aim to support the market development of renewable energy technologies, specifically for electricity generation. Fits put a legal obligation on utilities and energy companies to purchase electricity from renewable energy producers at a favourable price per unit, and this price is usually guaranteed over a certain time period. Tariff rates are usually determined for each renewable technology in order to take account of their differing generation costs, and to ensure profitability. Therefore, the FIT rate set by a particular government for solar, wind or geothermal generated electricity may vary depending on the costs associated with each of these technologies. The guaranteed access to the grid, favorable rate per unit and the tariff term. JS Arora
  • 22. The Feed-in- Tariff : German Success story The German FIT has been a huge success – and is generally regarded as the best example of an effective FIT law. The first real Feed-In Law in Germany was the Stromeinspeisungsgesetz (StrEG) introduced in 1991, otherwise known as the Electricity Feed-In-Law. This took the form of a simple one-page bill for assisting producers of electricity from small hydro stations and wind energy installations. JS Arora
  • 23. Renewable Energy Sources Act, main features Term of the contracts: maximum 20 years Planning and investment reliability by guaranteed fixed prices for RE-power Returns of 7% taken as the basis for the calculations Annual decrease of the tariffs RE-priority for grid access, transmission and distribution Equalization of additional costs for electricity from RES between all grid operators and electricity suppliers; Costs paid by all consumers All different types of RES are considered JS Arora
  • 24. The German Success story The StrEG was modified in several ways in April 1998 with the adoption of the Energy Supply Industry Act, and in 2000, the Erneuerbare- Energien-Gesetz (EEG), otherwise known as the 2000 Renewable Energy Sources Act, was introduced in response to deregulation of the German electricity market in 1998, and a number of other problems with the StrEG. The EEG represented an update, refinement and replacement of German renewable energy policy. JS Arora
  • 25. The German Success story The EEG Amendment in 2004 committed Germany to increase the share of renewable energy in the country’s total electricity supply to 12.5% by 2010, and to at least 20% by 2020. The tariff rates in the 2004 Amendment ranged from €0.0539 per kWh for electricity generated from wind, to €0.5953 for solar electricity from small facade systems. The rates at which the guaranteed tariff would reduce each year (annual digression rates) were also set fairly high in the amendment, ranging from 1%-6.5% annually depending on the technology. JS Arora
  • 26. Success of the German Renewable Energy Sources Act Creation of a large internal market Creation of more than 250,000 new jobs in Germany Series of innovative developments in RE technologies Costs for market introduction of RE considerably lower than in other countries Renewable Energy Sources Act is a cost effective stimulus package JS Arora
  • 27. The German Success story As of 2009, feed-in tariff policies have been enacted in 63 countries around the world, including in Australia, Austria, Brazil, Canada, China, the Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iran, Israel, Italy, the Republic of Korea, the Netherlands, Portugal, Singapore, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, and in some states in the United States. JS Arora
  • 28. History of the Renewable Energy Sources Act JS Arora
  • 30. R.E. sources as a share of gross electricity consumption in Germany JS Arora
  • 32. Wind Energy in Germany JS Arora
  • 35. The EEG – basis of success for German wind energy For wind energy an ‘initial tariff’ is fixed for at least 5 and up to 20 years. It is reduced to a ‘basic tariff’ depending on how local wind conditions compare to a so called ‘reference yield’. Wind installations on very good sites (reference yield of 150 %) receive the initial tariff for example for five years, while for turbines on lesser sites this period can be extended. The tariffs are altogether paid for 20 years. JS Arora
  • 36. The EEG – basis of success for German wind energy As of 1 January 2009 the initial tariff for onshore wind energy was increased to 9.2 cent/kWh. The basic tariff is set at 5.02 cent/kWh. There will be an annual degression of 1 % for new installations every year. The tariff for offshore wind energy got increased to 13 cent/kWh plus an additional ‘sprinter bonus’ of 2 cents/kWh for projects which will come into operation before the end of 2015. The initial 15 cents/kWh will be paid for a period of 12 years. After that, the tariff will decrease to 3.5 cents/kWh. Offshore tariffs will annually decrease at 5 % for new installations starting from 2015. JS Arora
  • 37. The EEG – basis of success for German wind energy Grid operators are obliged to feed in electricity produced from renewable energy and buy it at a minimum price within their supply area. Furthermore, the new EEG requires of grid operators not only that they extend the grid, but also that they optimise and enhance the existing grid. Failure to comply with this can lead to claims for damages by anyone willing (but unable) to feed in. JS Arora
  • 41. Wind Energy Technology What works & what doesn’t JS Arora
  • 42. FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS Wind Energy in Germany by 2020 The domestic market has been very stable in recent years and will even rise again once the administrative hurdles such as general distance regulations and height limits have been overcome and construction can continue. This is mainly a political issue. National and Federal State targets for renewable electricity require a growing contribution of wind energy in Germany. According to calculations from BWE the overall German onshore capacity could be at 45,000 MW, with an additional 10,000 MW offshore wind. With a generation of approximately 150 TWh/year wind energy could deliver 25 % of the German electricity consumption by this time. Future challenges include a speedy grid expansion with also using underground cable in critical areas. JS Arora
  • 44. Wind industry gears up for high level participation in Copenhagen climate talks “Wind power will play a key role in combating climate change, but we need a clear framework and a price on carbon for the sector to reach its full potential,” “All analyses show that the largest contribution to solving the climate issue must come from the private sector, and we stand ready to contribute, but we need a clear, robust and legally binding international framework to do so.” Industry scenarios demonstrate that wind energy can save as much as 10 bn tons of CO2 by 2020. Steve Sawyer, GWEC Secretary General. JS Arora
  • 45. Solar Energy JS Arora
  • 46. Source: Aleo Why do we need Photovoltaics? Source: Solarwatt PV is the most fascinating way to produce electricity Advantages PV can be used everywhere worldwide PV can be used grid connected and off- grid PV can be used in every size Source: Phönix PV needs only one initial investment PV does not harm the environment PV has the biggest potential among all RES Source: SMA Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens JS Arora 46
  • 47. Why do we need Photovoltaics? Challenge: Today, PV is often the most expensive way to produce electricity using RES However: PV has the highest cost reduction potential PV has to be developed today in order to have (1) enough solar capacity available in one decade (2) at a competitive price JS Arora
  • 48. Solar Photo Voltaic Solar photovoltaics (PVs) are arrays of cells containing a material that converts solar radiation into direct current electricity. Materials presently used for photovoltaics include amorphous silicon, polycrystalline silicon, microcrystalline silicon, cadmium telluride, Photovoltaic production has been doubling every 2 years, increasing by an average of 48 percent each year since 2002, making it the world’s fastest-growing energy technology. Solar PV power stations today have capacities ranging from 10-60 MW although proposed solar PV power stations will have a capacity of 150 MW or more JS Arora
  • 49. Solar PV Advantages The 89 petawatts of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface is plentiful - almost 6,000 times more than the 15 terawatts of average electrical power consumed by humans. This natural resource can be utilised by by using Solar PV Solar power is pollution-free during use. Production end-wastes and emissions are manageable using existing pollution controls. End-of- use recycling technologies are under development. PV installations can operate for many years with little maintenance or intervention after their initial set-up, so after the initial capital cost of building any solar power plant, operating costs are extremely low compared to existing power technologies. Solar electric generation is economically superior where grid connection or fuel transport is difficult, costly or impossible. Long- standing examples include satellites, island communities, remote JS Arora locations and ocean vessels.
  • 50. Solar PV Advantages When grid-connected, solar electric generation replaces some or all of the highest-cost electricity used during times of peak demand (in most climatic regions). This can reduce grid loading, and can eliminate the need for local battery power to provide for use in times of darkness. These features are enabled by net metering. Time-of- use net metering can be highly favorable, but requires newer electronic metering, which may still be impractical for some users. Grid-connected solar electricity can be used locally thus reducing transmission/distribution losses (transmission losses in the US were approximately 7.2% in 1995). Compared to fossil and nuclear energy sources, very little research money has been invested in the development of solar cells, so there is considerable room for improvement. Nevertheless, experimental high efficiency solar cells already have efficiencies of over 40% and efficiencies are rapidly rising while mass-production costs are rapidly falling. JS Arora
  • 51. Solar PV Disadvantages Photovoltaics are costly to install. While the modules are often warranted for upwards of 20 years, much of the investment in a home-mounted system may be lost if the home-owner moves and the buyer puts less value on the system than the seller. Solar electricity is not available at night and is less available in cloudy weather conditions from conventional silicon based- technologies. Therefore, a storage or complementary power system is required. Apart from their own efficiency figures, PV systems work within the limited power density of their location's insolation. Solar cells produce DC which must be converted to AC (using a grid tie inverter) when used in current existing distribution grids. This incurs an energy loss of 4-12% JS Arora
  • 52. Solar power in Germany Germany is the world's top photovoltaics (PV) installer, accounting for almost half of the global solar power market in 2007. Out of the 20 biggest photovoltaic plants, 15 are in Germany, Germans installed about 1,300 megawatts of new PV capacity in 2007, up from 850 megawatts in 2006, for a cumulative total exceeding 3,830 megawatts. JS Arora
  • 53. Solar power in Germany Germany added a further 2 GW in 2008 and 2.5 GW in 2009 taking the total to 8.3 GW by end of 2009. As capacity has risen, installed PV system costs have been cut in half between 1997 and 2007. Solar power now meets about 1 percent of Germany's electricity demand, a share that some market analysts expect could reach 25 percent by 2050. The country has a feed-in tariff for renewable electricity, which requires utilities to pay customers a guaranteed rate for any solar power they feed into the grid. JS Arora
  • 54. Germany's largest photovoltaic (PV) power plants DC Peak Location Description MW Hr per Power year 40 MW Muldentalkreis 550,000 thin-film 40,000 modules 12 MW Arnstein 1408 SOLON mover 14,000 10 MW Pocking 57,912 Solar madules 11,500 6.3 MW Muenhausen 57,600 solar modules 6,750 5 MW Buerstadt 30,000 BP Solar 4,200 modules 5 MW Espenhain 33,500 Shell Solar 5,000 Modules JS Arora
  • 55. Germany's largest photovoltaic (PV) power plants DC Peak Location Description MW Hr per year Power 4 MW Merseburg 25,000 BP Solar modules 3,400 4 MW Gottleborn 50,000 solar modules 8,200 4 MW Hemaau 32,740 solar modules 3,900 3.3 MW Dingolfing Solara Sharp solar modules 3,050 1.9 MW Guenching Sharp solar modules - 1.9 MW Minihof Sharp solar modules - JS Arora
  • 56. Why Germany is adding large Solar Power capacities The reason is not a breakthrough in the economics or technology of solar power but a law adopted in 2000. It requires the country's huge old-line utility companies to subsidize the solar upstarts by buying their electricity at marked-up rates that make it easy for the newcomers to turn a profit. Their cleanly created power enters the utilities' grids for sale to consumers. The law was part of a broader measure adopted by the German government to boost production of renewable energy sources, including wind power and biofuels. As the world's sixth-biggest producer of carbon-dioxide emissions, Germany is trying to slash its output of greenhouse gases and wants renewable sources to supply a quarter of its energy needs by 2020. JS Arora
  • 57. Solar Energy : Installed capacity In the Year 2000 Install Capacity was 44 MW In 2003 Some 20,000 solar electricity systems yielding an output of about 145 Megawatts (MW) were installed. Germany saw slow growth in 2006, but still remains by far the largest PV market in the world. 968 MW of PV were installed in Germany in 2006. In 2008 total Capacity is 5351 MW. JS Arora
  • 58. German Solar Energy Germans installed about 1,300 megawatts of new PV capacity in 2007, up from 968 megawatts in 2006, for a cumulative total exceeding 3,830 megawatts. Germany added a further 1.5 GW in 2008 and 2.5 GW in 2009 taking the total to 8.0 GW by end of 2009. As capacity has risen, installed PV system costs have been cut in half between 1997 and 2007. Solar power now meets about 1 percent of Germany's electricity demand, a share that some market analysts expect could reach 25 percent by 2050. JS Arora
  • 59. Photovoltaic World Market addition during 2008 Italy France 220 MWp; 4% 150 MWp; 3% Portugal 42 MWp; 0.7% New installed Belgium PV Power 20 MWp; 0.3% 2006: 1600 MWp Czech Republic 20 MWp; 0.3% Spain RO Europe 2007: 2650 MWp 2600 MWp; 43% 53 MWp; 0.9% (+66%) USA 2008: 6000 MWp USA Canada 500 MWp; 8% 342 MW 20 MWp; 0.3% (+126%) Japan 230 MWp; 4% China Red Letters: 50 MWp; 0.8% Countries with Germany 1500 MWp; 25% South Korea Feed-in tariff 290 MWp; 5% schemes India 70 MWp; 1.2% RO World Australia Source: Preliminary figures of 195 MWp; 3% 40 MWp; 0.7% National PV Associations, Stryi-Hipp, Feb 26th 2009 Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens JS Arora 59 © BSW-Solar 2009
  • 60. World Largest Thin-Film PV Waldpolenz Solar Park, which is the world’s largest thin-film photovoltaic (PV) power system, was built by German developer and operator at a former military air base to the east of Leipzig in Germany. The power plant is a 40 MW solar power system using state-of-the-art thin film technology, and was fully operational by the end of 2008. 550,000 First Solar thin-film modules are being used, which supply about 40,000 MWh of electricity per year. The installation is located in the Muldentalkreis district in the state of Saxony in eastern Germany, built on half of the location’s 220 hectares in the townships of Brandis and Bennewitz. The investment costs for the Waldpolenz solar park amount to some Euro 130 million. JS Arora
  • 61. World Largest Thin-Film PV JS Arora
  • 62. Development of the German PV market 1500 5500 Total installed PV power in MWp PV Market Data 2008 5000 Newly installed power 1 500 MWp Total installed power 5 334 MWp 1100 4500 No. of total systems installed 500 000 4000 Turnover 2008 6 Bln € / 8.1 Bln $ 850 850 3500 Employees 45 000 3000 Milestones 600 2500 1991: First Feed-in Law (FIT with low tariffs) 2000 1991-1995: 1 000 roofs program (grants) estimation 1500 1999-2003: 100 000 roofs program (loans) 2000: Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) (FIT) 1000 150 2004: Amendment of EEG (FIT) 78 80 500 10 12 40 3 3 3 3 4 7 12 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 annually installed PV power in MWp total installed PV power in MWp Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens JS Arora 62 © BSW-Solar 2009
  • 63. The differentiation of tariffs create different market segments in Germany. 2. Size of 3 main PV market segments PV installation 1. Retail market > > Feed-in < 30 > 30 100 1000 tariff kWp kWp 2. Project kWp kWp market € € 3. BIPV 46.75 44.48 € 43.99 ct market On ct ct PV installation 1. Location of buildings -8% -10% -25% € € € € 43.01 40.91 39.58 33.00 ct ct ct ct Free land / ground € 35.49ct -10% € 31.94ct mounted JS Arora Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens 63
  • 64. Germany: Market Segments of on-grid PV Systems Image: Sharp Image: Sharp Effort of mounting BIPV <1% Image: Schüco Image: Grammer residential homes 1-10 kWp multi family houses, public + Large and very large social buildings, farms, commercial > 100 kWp Roof top commercial plants 10-100 kWp 37% 55% Image: Solarwatt Image: Solarwatt Image: BP mounted Ground Est. market shares 8% in 2010 Size of the system Image: Geosol Image: Geosol Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens JS Arora 64 © BSW-Solar 2009
  • 65. Amendment of the EEG from June 2008: Feed-in Tariffs for PV will be reduced faster as of 2009 2500 Degression rate of feed-in tariffs +1% 2250 annually installed PV power in MWp Up to 2008: 5% / 6.5% (roof top/ground) +1% 2009/2010: 8% / 10% (< / >100 kWp) 1900 2000 2011/2012: 9% +1% Below/above corridor: -1%/+1% 1700 1750 1500 9% 9% 1500 1350 8%/ est 8%/ 10% 1250 1100 10% 1200 1000 1100 850 850 1000 -1% 750 600 -1% -1% 500 Degression rate 5%/6.5% 250 150 80 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 annually installed PV power in MWp upper limit lower limit Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens JS Arora 65 © BSW-Solar 2009
  • 66. PV Solar in Some EU Country Consumption 2005 2006 2007 2008 W/capita PV(MW) PV(MW) PV(MW) PV(MW) (2008) Germany 65 1910 3063 3846 5351 Spain 75 58 118 733 3405 Luxexbour 50 24 24 24 24 g Belgium 6.7 2 4 22 71 France 1.4 26 33 47 91 UK 0.4 11 14 19 22 JS Arora
  • 67. Solar PV Photovoltaics has a great potential worldwide – but it is necessary to build up market and industry today The German PV market is growing continously Driver of the market is the feed-in tariff system (EEG) There are already more than 40.000 jobs created in the PV sector in Germany Prices for PV modules were reduced significantly in the last 6 months, therefore investments in PV systems are much more attractive today Solar Markets Germany, September 15, 2009, Athens JS Arora 67
  • 68. Solar Thermal Solar heating is the usage of solar energy to provide space or water heating. Worldwide the use was 88 GW thermal (2005). Growth potential is enormous. At present the EU is second after China in the installations. If all EU countries used solar thermal as enthusiastically as the Austrians, the EU’s installed capacity would already be 91 GWth In 2005 solar heating in the EU was equivalent to more than 686,000 tons of oil. JS Arora
  • 69. Solar Thermal Solar thermal applications cover 0.6 % of the total heating demand in Germany in 2010 and 2.6 % in 2020. In 2008, the solar thermal share was 0.4 %. The forecast predicts an increase in the installed collector area per year to more than 6 million m2 by 2020 - three times the amount of 2008. JS Arora
  • 70. Functions of Solar Thermal In the simplest solar thermal application, a discrete solar collector gathers solar radiation to heat air or water for domestic, commercial or industrial use. The solar panel is usually a flat plate collector that consists of a metal box with a glass or plastic cover and a black absorber plate at the bottom. Absorber plates are usually painted with selective coatings that absorb and retain heat better than ordinary black paint. They are normally made of metal, typically copper or aluminium, because it is a good conductor of heat. Copper is more expensive, but it is a better conductor and is less prone to corrosion than aluminium. The sides and bottom of the collector are usually insulated to minimize heat loss. In locations with average available solar energy, flat plate collectors are sized at approximately 0.5 to 1 square foot per gallon of daily hot water use. Evacuated tube collectors have absorber plates that are metal strips running down the center of each tube. Convective heat losses are reduced by virtue of the vacuum in the tube. For swimming pool heating, plastic or rubber are used to make low- temperature absorber plates. JS Arora
  • 71. When will solar power become competitive? From 2018, solar power will be cheaper than conventional power The German renewable energy sources act envisages a reduction of 5-6.5% per annum in refunds for solar power fed into the grid. The average price of one kilowatt-hour (kWh) of solar power will decrease nominally at 5% per annum from 49 cents today to 23 cents in 2020. Conventional power on the other hand will become dearer. At a minor increase of 2.5% per annum, the price of power will rise for the private consumer from 19.6 cents/kWh today to 28 cents/kWh in 2020. This way, solar power for the private customer will be cheaper from 2018 than obtaining conventional power. Solar power systems today are more than 60% cheaper than 1990 The theory of the learning curve shows that every doubling of photovoltaic output leads to a 20% fall in price. This has also been confirmed in Germany: since 1990 the price of photovoltaic systems has fallen over 60% from EUR 13,500 to about EUR 5,000 today. Between 1999 and 2003, the fall in price was 25% in the 100,000-roofs scheme. By way of international comparison, prices of solar power modules show a continual downward JS Arora
  • 72. Solid Biomass Solid biomass as energy source: – long tradition in Germany – German companies are the world leaders a) Heating systems b) Combined Heat & Power plants Market facts Germany: (CHP): Heat and Electricity – 160 electricity plants (960 MW) Solid biomass: – 1.000 biomass heating plants – 70.000 pallet boilers and ovens in – agricultural and forestry produce homes – in Germany: wood pellet – Potential in EAGA: residues from agriculture / forestry ! JS Arora
  • 73. Biogas Biogas industry in Germany – Power generation from gaseous biomass is Facts: greatly expanding in 650 new systems Germany – clear trend towards larger, installed Electrical high-capacity systems capacity: 1.100 MW – German companies offer a agricultural residues wide range of building, and energy plants operating and maintaining services/products applicable JS Arora
  • 74. Geothermic Power “Geothermal sources could supply Germany's electricity needs 600 times over” – 2007: 130.000 heat Construction boom of GP pumps and 4 geothermal plants due to a new energy electricity plants installed law in Germany – investments of 4 BN Euro – geothermic electricity in 150 geothermal power is supported by the projects government – heat and electricity generation JS Arora
  • 75. Emissions for Electricity Generation in Germany (Grams per MWh) Generation type SO2 NOx Particulates CO2 Nuclear 32 70 7 19,700 Coal 326 560 182 815,000 Gas 3 277 18 362,000 Oil 1,611 985 67 935,000 Wind 15 20 4.6 6,460 PV (Home Application) 104 99 6.1 53,300 JS Arora
  • 76. No. of Players in the Market Contribution to Total Electricity Generation (%) 10% 10% 80% 850 Municipal Utilities 6 Supra regional companies 80 Regional companies JS Arora
  • 77. No. of Players in the Market (cont) 6 Largest co. % of 80% of market E.on (VIAG &VEBA) 4%3% REW AG (RWE & 9% VEW) 37% EnBW/EdF 13% VEAG HEW 34% BEWAG JS Arora
  • 78. Orientation Turbines can be categorized into two overarching classes based on the orientation of the rotor Vertical Axis Horizontal Axis JS Arora
  • 79. Vertical Axis Turbines Disadvantages Advantages Rotors generally near ground Omnidirectional where wind poorer – Accepts wind from any Centrifugal force stresses angle blades Components can be Poor self-starting capabilities mounted at ground level Requires support at top of – Ease of service turbine rotor – Lighter weight towers Requires entire rotor to be removed to replace bearings Can theoretically use less Overall poor performance and materials to capture the reliability same amount of wind Have never been commercially successful JS Arora
  • 80. Horizontal Axis Wind Turbines Rotors are usually Up-wind of tower Some machines have down-wind rotors, but only commercially available ones are small turbines JS Arora
  • 82. Active vs. Passive Yaw Active Yaw (all medium & large turbines produced today, & some small turbines from Europe) – Anemometer on nacelle tells controller which way to point rotor into the wind – Yaw drive turns gears to point rotor into wind Passive Yaw (Most small turbines) – Wind forces alone direct rotor Tail vanes Downwind turbines JS Arora
  • 83. Number of Blades – One Rotor must move more rapidly to capture same amount of wind – Gearbox ratio reduced – Added weight of counterbalance negates some benefits of lighter design – Higher speed means more noise, visual, and wildlife impacts Blades easier to install because entire rotor can be assembled on ground Captures 10% less energy than two blade design Ultimately provide no cost savings JS Arora
  • 84. Number of Blades - Two Advantages & disadvantages similar to one blade Need teetering hub and or shock absorbers because of gyroscopic imbalances Capture 5% less energy than three blade designs JS Arora
  • 85. Number of Blades - Three Balance of gyroscopic forces Slower rotation – increases gearbox & transmission costs – More aesthetic, less noise, fewer bird strikes JS Arora
  • 86. Blade Composition Wood Wood – Strong, light weight, cheap, abundant, flexible – Popular on do-it yourself turbines Solid plank Laminates Veneers Composites JS Arora
  • 87. Blade Composition Metal Steel – Heavy & expensive Aluminum – Lighter-weight and easy to work with – Expensive – Subject to metal fatigue JS Arora
  • 88. Blade Construction Fiberglass Lightweight, strong, inexpensive, good fatigue characteristics Variety of manufacturing processes – Cloth over frame – Pultrusion – Filament winding to produce spars Most modern large turbines use fiberglass JS Arora
  • 89. Hubs The hub holds the rotor together and transmits motion to nacelle Three important aspects How blades are attached – Nearly all have cantilevered hubs (supported only at hub) – Struts & Stays haven’t proved worthwhile Fixed or Variable Pitch? Flexible or Rigid Attachment – Most are rigid – Some two bladed designs use teetering hubs JS Arora
  • 90. Towers Monopole (Nearly all large turbines) – Tubular Steel or Concrete Lattice (many Medium turbines) – 20 ft. sections Guyed – Lattice or monopole 3 guys minimum – Tilt-up 4 guys Tilt-up monopole JS Arora
  • 91. THANK YOU Ex Director HRD Damodar Valley Coporation (DVC) JS Arora