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                    dåligt.
Den akademiska företagsekonomins roll inför och under den
             pågående ekonomiska krisen.




                 Docent Jan Lindvall
       Företagsekonomiska institutionen Uppsala universitet
          Nationella forskarskolan Management och IT.
                    Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se       1
Situationen

  ”2008 var i alla avseenden ett extremt år. Från omsättnings-
   och resultatrekord under det första halvåret till en svag
   avslutning med förlust det fjärde kvartalet. Från två
   månaders leveranstid på lastbilar och problem med
   flaskhalsar i produktionen till svag orderingång, ett stort
   antal avbokningar och stoppdagar i våra fabriker under
   senare delen av året.”


Koncernchef Leif Johansson, Volvo, årsredovisning 2008.



                       Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se   2
Behovet att lära för att undvika.




          This time is different!


Reinhart & Rogoff, 2009, This time is different. Eight centuries of financial folly.


                            Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se                        3
Många orsaker
“While some may insist that there is a single cause,
 and thus a simple remedy, the sheer number of
 causal factors that have been identified tends to
 suggest that the current financial situation is not
 yet fully understood in its full complexity.


     Jeckling, (2009), January 29, “Causes of the Financial Crisis”. Congressional
        Research Service.




                        Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se                          4
Svaret på drottningens fråga.

  “So in summary, Your majesty, the failure to
  forsee the timing, extent and severity of the crisis
  and to head it off, while it had many causes, was
  principally a failure of the collective
  imagination of many bright people, both in this
  country and internationally, to understand the risks
  to the system as a whole.”
Besley & Hennessy, 17 juni 2009, “The Global Financial Crisis - Why Did’nt
   Anybody Notice?”

                          Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se                5
Hur vi tänker…
 “Practical men, who believe themselves to
  be quite exempt from any intellectual
  influences are usually the slave of some
  defunct economist.”

Keynes, (1936), “The General Theory…”




                      Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se   6
Hur det tänktes: ”utility- theory”,
             rationalitet = EMH
  “In other words, he said. You found that your view of the
   world, your ideology, was not right. It was not working.”
   (Henry Waxman, Democrat).

   “Precisely, replied Greenspan. That’s precisely the reason I
   was shocked, because I had been going for forty years or
   more with a very considerable evidence that it was
   working exceptionally well.”

Fox, 2009, The Myth of Rational Market: A History of Risk, Rewards and
   Delusion on Wall Street.


                          Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se            7
Tanke - handling.
  ”When the music stop, in terms of liquidity, things
  will be complicated. But as long as the music is
  playing, you’ve got to get up and dance. We’re
  still dancing.”


Citigroups VD Cuck Prince, Financial Times, July 10, 2007.




                          Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se   8
ICT betydelse.
  ”Our observation is that since technology and
  contemporary work practice saturate each other,
  further efforts to theorize pratice must encompass
  technology in organizations.”


Law & Urry (2004) ”Enacting the Social”. Economy & Society,33, 3.




                         Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se        9
Affärssystemets stora betydelse.
”If overnight R/3 were to cease to exist (say, if its
licenses were made intolerably expensive), the
industrial economy of the Western world would come
to a halt, and it would take years for substitutes to
close the breach in the networked economy”.


Campbell-Kelly, 2003, From Airline reservations to Sonic the Hedgehog. A
History of the Software Industry, p. 197.



                          Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se              10
IT & Arbete
  ”Information technology (IT) has a huge impact on
  financial reporting. On one hand, accounting rules
  must adapt to the accelerated pace of development
  of new technology-related activities in companies.
  On the other hand, accounting practioners are
  themselves heavy users of IT, which has
  transformed their profession in a variety of ways.”

Véron, et al., 2006, Smoke & Mirrors, Inc. Accounting for capitalism.



                           Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se          11
Vårt ointresse för arbete -
                redovisning
 ”Trying to understand the crisis and reflect on its
  implications also illustrates the dangers of the
  drift away from the world of accounting
  practice that has been a characteristic of so much
  accounting research for the last decades.”


Hopwood, A.G., 2009, ”The economic crisis and accounting: implications for the
   research community”. Accounting, Organizations and Society, 34, p.797-802.



                          Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se                12
Vårt ointresse för arbete -
              redovisning 2.
  ”A common prejudice about accounting sees acts
  of classification of this kind as boring; certaintly,
  few social scientists outside of academic
  accountancy have ever studied them in detail.”

MacKenzie (2009, s. 109) Material Markets. How Economic Agents are
  Constructed.




                         Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se         13
Vårt problem
  ”Ironically, the scolarly ’publish or persih’ system
  may well have worked against wider public
  knowledge of social science. It has resulted in an
  even larger number of publications read by ever
  fewer people.”


Calhoun, 2009, (President The Social Science Research Council): What do we
   mean by social science for public knowledge.



                          Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se                14
Vårt behov
   ”…pragmatism emphasizes the social and
   temporal character of knowledge. This can be no
   more than approximation to an ideal on what best-
   informed researchers would know with infinite
   time, capacity to ascertain the relevant facts, and
   opportunities to inform each other through critical
   debate”.

Calhoun, 2009, (President The Social Science Research Council): What do we
   mean by social science for public knowledge.


                          Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se                15

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Krisen Och Fek

  • 1. Bättre att sitta på läktaren än att spela dåligt. Den akademiska företagsekonomins roll inför och under den pågående ekonomiska krisen. Docent Jan Lindvall Företagsekonomiska institutionen Uppsala universitet Nationella forskarskolan Management och IT. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 1
  • 2. Situationen ”2008 var i alla avseenden ett extremt år. Från omsättnings- och resultatrekord under det första halvåret till en svag avslutning med förlust det fjärde kvartalet. Från två månaders leveranstid på lastbilar och problem med flaskhalsar i produktionen till svag orderingång, ett stort antal avbokningar och stoppdagar i våra fabriker under senare delen av året.” Koncernchef Leif Johansson, Volvo, årsredovisning 2008. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 2
  • 3. Behovet att lära för att undvika. This time is different! Reinhart & Rogoff, 2009, This time is different. Eight centuries of financial folly. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 3
  • 4. Många orsaker “While some may insist that there is a single cause, and thus a simple remedy, the sheer number of causal factors that have been identified tends to suggest that the current financial situation is not yet fully understood in its full complexity. Jeckling, (2009), January 29, “Causes of the Financial Crisis”. Congressional Research Service. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 4
  • 5. Svaret på drottningens fråga. “So in summary, Your majesty, the failure to forsee the timing, extent and severity of the crisis and to head it off, while it had many causes, was principally a failure of the collective imagination of many bright people, both in this country and internationally, to understand the risks to the system as a whole.” Besley & Hennessy, 17 juni 2009, “The Global Financial Crisis - Why Did’nt Anybody Notice?” Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 5
  • 6. Hur vi tänker… “Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influences are usually the slave of some defunct economist.” Keynes, (1936), “The General Theory…” Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 6
  • 7. Hur det tänktes: ”utility- theory”, rationalitet = EMH “In other words, he said. You found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right. It was not working.” (Henry Waxman, Democrat). “Precisely, replied Greenspan. That’s precisely the reason I was shocked, because I had been going for forty years or more with a very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.” Fox, 2009, The Myth of Rational Market: A History of Risk, Rewards and Delusion on Wall Street. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 7
  • 8. Tanke - handling. ”When the music stop, in terms of liquidity, things will be complicated. But as long as the music is playing, you’ve got to get up and dance. We’re still dancing.” Citigroups VD Cuck Prince, Financial Times, July 10, 2007. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 8
  • 9. ICT betydelse. ”Our observation is that since technology and contemporary work practice saturate each other, further efforts to theorize pratice must encompass technology in organizations.” Law & Urry (2004) ”Enacting the Social”. Economy & Society,33, 3. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 9
  • 10. Affärssystemets stora betydelse. ”If overnight R/3 were to cease to exist (say, if its licenses were made intolerably expensive), the industrial economy of the Western world would come to a halt, and it would take years for substitutes to close the breach in the networked economy”. Campbell-Kelly, 2003, From Airline reservations to Sonic the Hedgehog. A History of the Software Industry, p. 197. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 10
  • 11. IT & Arbete ”Information technology (IT) has a huge impact on financial reporting. On one hand, accounting rules must adapt to the accelerated pace of development of new technology-related activities in companies. On the other hand, accounting practioners are themselves heavy users of IT, which has transformed their profession in a variety of ways.” Véron, et al., 2006, Smoke & Mirrors, Inc. Accounting for capitalism. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 11
  • 12. Vårt ointresse för arbete - redovisning ”Trying to understand the crisis and reflect on its implications also illustrates the dangers of the drift away from the world of accounting practice that has been a characteristic of so much accounting research for the last decades.” Hopwood, A.G., 2009, ”The economic crisis and accounting: implications for the research community”. Accounting, Organizations and Society, 34, p.797-802. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 12
  • 13. Vårt ointresse för arbete - redovisning 2. ”A common prejudice about accounting sees acts of classification of this kind as boring; certaintly, few social scientists outside of academic accountancy have ever studied them in detail.” MacKenzie (2009, s. 109) Material Markets. How Economic Agents are Constructed. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 13
  • 14. Vårt problem ”Ironically, the scolarly ’publish or persih’ system may well have worked against wider public knowledge of social science. It has resulted in an even larger number of publications read by ever fewer people.” Calhoun, 2009, (President The Social Science Research Council): What do we mean by social science for public knowledge. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 14
  • 15. Vårt behov ”…pragmatism emphasizes the social and temporal character of knowledge. This can be no more than approximation to an ideal on what best- informed researchers would know with infinite time, capacity to ascertain the relevant facts, and opportunities to inform each other through critical debate”. Calhoun, 2009, (President The Social Science Research Council): What do we mean by social science for public knowledge. Jan Lindvall jan.lindvall@fek.uu.se 15