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Financial Forecasting

27 de Jan de 2022
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
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Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
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Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
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Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
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Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
Financial Forecasting
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Financial Forecasting

  1. Net Income indicator Cash Flow indicator Q1 Q2 Q3 Unit Volume 5040 6192 6624 Unit Price $20 $20 $20 Cost per Unit Sold $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 Gross Sales $100,800 $123,840 $132,480 (Cost of Goods Sold) $151.20 $185.76 $198.72 (Commission Percentage) 15% 15% 15% Net Sales $85,551 $105,106 $112,439 Unit Volume 3931.2 4829.76 5166.72 Unit Price $12 $12 $12 Cost per Unit Sold $1 $1 $1 Gross Sales $47,174 $57,957 $62,001 (Cost of Goods Sold) $3,931 $4,830 $5,167 (Commission Percentage) 0% 0% 0% Net Sales $43,243 $53,127 $56,834 Unit Volume 1512 1857.6 1987.2 Unit Price $20 $20 $20 Cost per Unit Sold $3.25 $3.25 $3.25 Gross Sales $30,240 $37,152 $39,744 (Cost of Goods Sold) $4,914 $6,037 $6,458 (Commission Percentage) 50% 50% 50% Net Sales $12,663 $15,557 $16,643 Sales Projections Year One Ticket Sales Beverages Merchandise
  2. Total Unit Volume 10,483 12,879 13,778 Total Gross Sales $178,214 $218,949 $234,225 (Total Cost of Goods Sold) $8,996 $11,053 $11,824 (Total Commissions Paid) $27,760 $34,106 $36,485 Total Net Sales $141,458 $173,791 $185,916 Assumptions: Merchanside (locked) 30% of ticket buyers buy merchandise Beverages (changeable) 78% of ticket buyers buy an average of 1 bevera Beverage Industry Average for U.S. Bar & Nightclub (estimate) 65% order drinks most to all the time with males ordering more frequently than f http://www.nciaa.com/content.aspx?page_id=22&club_id=160641&module_id=29898 The average consumer order 2.3 drinks per occasion with males ordering more than fem Total: All Products/Services
  3. Year One Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total 7920 9216 11376 12240 13248 25,776 $20 $20 $20 $20 $20 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $0.03 $158,400 $184,320 $227,520 $244,800 $264,960 $515,520 $237.60 $276.48 $341.28 $367.20 $397.44 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% $134,438 $156,437 $193,102 $207,768 $224,878 $437,535 6177.6 7188.48 8873.28 9547.2 10333.44 20,105 $12 $12 $12 $12 $12 $1 $1 $1 $1 $1 $74,131 $86,262 $106,479 $114,566 $124,001 $241,263 $6,178 $7,188 $8,873 $9,547 $10,333 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% - $67,954 $79,073 $97,606 $105,019 $113,668 $221,158 2376 2764.8 3412.8 3672 3974.4 7,733 $20 $20 $20 $20 $20 - $3.25 $3.25 $3.25 $3.25 $3.25 - $47,520 $55,296 $68,256 $73,440 $79,488 $154,656 $7,722 $8,986 $11,092 $11,934 $12,917 50% 50% 50% 50% 50% - $19,899 $23,155 $28,582 $30,753 $33,286 $64,762 Year Two ne FORECAST SUMM
  4. 16,474 19,169 23,662 25,459 27,556 53,614 $280,051 $325,878 $402,255 $432,806 $468,449 $911,439 $14,137 $16,451 $20,306 $21,848 $23,648 $46,010 $43,623 $50,762 $62,659 $67,418 $72,970 $141,974 $222,291 $258,665 $319,290 $343,540 $371,832 $723,455 s buy merchandise s buy an average of 1 beverages ng more frequently than females. Surprisingly, Millennials order less frequently than older consumers module_id=29898 ales ordering more than females and Millennials ordering more than the older consumers.
  5. (65,954) Year Two 2-Year Total Total 1 2 3 46,080 71,856 $668 $6,192 $6,624 - - Q2 vs. Q1 Q3 vs. Q2 - - 23% 7% $921,600 $1,437,120 Sales growing over time? - - 163% overall rate $782,185 $1,219,720 points for this dynamic (allocation) your growth points 35,942 56,048 Perfectly Exponential - Perfectly Linear - This Forecast $431,309 $672,572 As a proportion out of 100% points for this dynamic (allocation) - - your growth points $395,366 $616,524 YOUR TOTAL POINTS % Total Points Possible 13,824 21,557 Your Total Points - - - - $276,480 $431,136 - - $115,776 $180,538 Year One FORECAST SUMMARY
  6. 95,846 149,460 $1,629,389 $2,540,828 $82,253 $128,263 $253,809 $395,783 $1,293,327 $2,016,782 ently than older consumers
  7. 4 5 6 7 8 $7,920 $9,216 $11,376 $12,240 $13,248 12580 Q4 vs. Q3 Q1 vs. Q4 Q2 vs. Q1 Q3 vs. Q2 Q4 vs. Q3 20% 16% 23% 8% 8% LINEST g over time? 1 1593.476 s dynamic (allocation) 25% 25% L/S = 2 L/S = 1 L/S = 0.89 on out of 100% 44% s dynamic (allocation) 75% 33% L POINTS % 58% 10 al Points 6 One Year Two
  8. slope 7 1,797.14 SLOPE L/S 1,797 1
  9. Brochures, flyers, Mobile signs, bus/metro signs, billboards $0 Samples, premiums, logo merchandise, "swag" Print: newspaper, magazines Television, radio Television, radio Banner Ads, Paid Search Engine Marketing Paid Facebook promotions, Twitter ads, Linkedin ads Social media contests, Deal-of-the-day: Groupon, Google Offers, LivingSocial Tweetups, Meetups Sticker bombing, flyposting, Flashmobs, streetart Street teams, campus promotions, Crowd-sourced ads Launch party, Memberships, meetings, Entertaining Clients Wrapped vehicles, food trucks, booths, exhibits, signs Design, development, programming Maintenance, hosting, domains Marketing, Public Relations Branding, Advertising $0 Trade Shows, Events, Street Promotions Website Professional Assistance & Consultants TOTAL Marketing Budget Purpose (optonal) Tangible Marketing Media Advertising Social Media Marketing Guerilla & Viral Marketing Networking & Client Development Activities Purpose/Strategy Key: (Optional) PB: Personal Branding BA: Brand Awareness/Brand Building SP: Product/Service Sampling, Trial L&R: Brand Loyalty/Customer Rewards Pre-Launch
  10. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 $2,575 $2,500 $1,000 $1,145 $1,300 $2,000 $1,455 $5,250 $2,000 $1,950 $1,400 $1,000 $1,000 $1,200 $2,500 $1,800 $2,500 $1,790 $1,000 $1,000 $1,560 $9,615 $5,800 $5,450 $5,200 $3,000 $4,955 $3,905 Year Two Year One
  11. Q4 $7,220 $0 $1,275 $6,030 $0 $0 $1,000 $14,800 $0 $3,000 $9,800 $0 $0 $5,350 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $5,275 $43,200 Two Total
  12. Pre-Launch $14,984 $65,000 $220,000 $12,500 $24,500 $16,500 $353,484 Company Vehicles Research and Development Costs TOTAL Capital Expenses Capital Expenses Office Equipment, Furniture, and Supplies Remodeling Needs Industry Specific Supplies and Technical Equipment Licensing Needs (liquor license etc)
  13. Year 1 Year 2 $1,500 $1,500 $2,000 $5,500 $15,000 $24,500 $975 $1,075 $1,225 $1,225 $8,800 $8,800 $29,500 $42,600
  14. 2Live Venue Pre-Launch Q1 Q2 $0 $141,458 $173,791 Capital expenses $353,484 $29,500 $0 Salaries and wages $84,067 $126,100 $126,100 Employee benefits $0 $0 Payroll taxes $12,610 $18,915 $18,915 Accounting Services $1,025 $1,025 Rent $8,000 $8,000 Maintenance $1,000 $1,000 Legal $9,000 $375 $375 Insurance $1,217 $1,825 $1,825 Utilities $1,000 $1,500 $1,700 Internet & public wifi $1,995 $175 $175 Telephone service $75 $75 $75 Filing fees $450 Postage and shipping $250 Marketing $0 $9,615 $5,800 Travel $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 Entertainment $3,500 $1,500 $1,500 Bank Fees $0 $470,147 $202,105 $168,990 Operating Profit (470,147) (60,647) 4,801 Provision for taxes 0 0 264 (470,147) (60,647) 4,537 EXPENSES TOTAL EXPENSES NET PROFIT Income Statement Year 1 INCOME (NET SALES)
  15. Q3 Q4 Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 $185,916 $222,291 $258,665 $319,290 $343,540 $371,832 $0 $0 $42,600 $0 $0 $0 $126,100 $126,100 $157,625 $157,625 $157,625 $157,625 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $18,915 $18,915 $23,644 $23,644 $23,644 $23,644 $1,025 $1,025 $1,025 $1,025 $1,025 $1,025 $8,000 $8,000 $8,000 $8,000 $8,000 $8,000 $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $1,000 $375 $375 $375 $375 $375 $375 $1,825 $1,825 $1,825 $1,825 $1,825 $1,825 $1,800 $1,500 $1,500 $1,700 $1,800 $1,500 $175 $175 $175 $175 $175 $175 $75 $75 $75 $75 $75 $75 $5,450 $5,200 $3,000 $4,955 $3,905 $5,275 $2,500 $2,500 $10,000 $10,000 $10,000 $300 $1,500 $1,500 $1,500 $1,500 $1,500 $1,500 $168,740 $168,190 $252,344 $211,899 $210,949 $202,319 17,176 54,101 6,322 107,391 132,591 169,513 945 2,976 348 5,907 7,293 9,323 16,231 51,125 5,974 101,485 125,299 160,190 Year 1 Year Two
  16. Year One Year Two Y1 Total Y2 Total 2-Year Total $723,455 $1,293,327 $2,016,782 $0 $42,600 $42,600 $504,400 $630,500 $1,134,900 $0 $0 $0 $75,660 $94,575 $170,235 $4,100 $4,100 $8,200 $32,000 $32,000 $64,000 $4,000 $4,000 $8,000 $1,500 $1,500 $3,000 $7,300 $7,300 $14,600 $6,500 $6,500 $13,000 $700 $700 $1,400 $300 $300 $600 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $26,065 $17,135 $43,200 $10,000 $30,300 $40,300 $6,000 $6,000 $12,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $678,525 $834,910 $1,513,435 15,430 415,817 $431,247 849 22,870 $23,719 (458,902) 392,947 (65,954) Is this number positive? FORECAST SUMMARY
  17. Pre-Launch Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Starting Balance $0 $127,853 $67,418 $70,280 $84,021 Cash Ins Net sales $141,458 $173,791 $185,916 $222,291 Investments $672,000 Loans Interest income $213 $112 $117 $140 Owner contributions $66,000 TOTAL CASH INS $738,000 $141,671 $173,903 $186,033 $222,431 Cash Outs Operating expenses $470,147 $202,105 $168,990 $168,740 $168,190 Loan payments Tax payments $0 $0 $2,052 $3,551 $3,315 Contingency fund $140,000 Owner's draw (Entrepreneur) Investor's draw Other: Other: Other: Other: Other: Other: TOTAL CASH OUTS $610,147 $202,105 $171,042 $172,291 $171,505 Year 1 Cash Flow
  18. CASH AT END OF MONTH 127,853 67,418 70,280 84,021 134,947
  19. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 $134,947 $139,383 $191,596 $318,213 $258,665 $319,290 $343,540 $371,832 $225 $232 $319 $530 $258,890 $319,522 $343,859 $372,362 $252,344 $211,899 $210,949 $202,319 $2,110 $5,411 $6,293 $7,457 $50,000 $50,000 $254,454 $267,310 $217,242 $259,776 Year 2
  20. 139,383 191,596 318,213 430,799
  21. Investment Amount ($) Equity Offered (%) Private Investor $672,000 25% Contribution Amount ($) Equity Retained (%) Owner $66,000 75% Total Capital Raised EQUITY OWNERSHIP % $672,000 25% $66,000 75% $738,000 100% Outside Investors Owners TOTAL Capital Investment aka "Shark Tank" Page Investor Name Owner Name TOTAL INVESTMENTS The Total Investment Amount (Capital) should be theamount of thelargest negative number on your Cash Flow Statement (theamount of cash you need to eliminateany and all negative cash balances throughout thetwo years whileyour business is breaking even.
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