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Israel Economy
The Israel Export & International
Cooperation Institute
Macro Economic
Indicators
Source: IMF,EIU, CBS, Bank of Israel, IEICI
201320122011201020092008Criteria
273257258232206213GDP (B$ -at current market prices)
3.6%3.4%4.6%5.7%1.2%4.0%GDP Real Growth rate (%)
34,87633,87832,92531,55830,15830,209GDP per Capita (PPP, $)
959391806881Exports of Goods & Services (B$)
949392766384Imports of Goods & Services (B$)
6.3%6.9%6.7%6.6%7.5%6.1%Unemployment Rate (%)
1.8%1.6%2.2%2.7%3.9%3.8%Inflation Rate (Year End)
1985 2008 2013
GDP per capita (US=100) 6,171 $ 30,209$ 34,876$
Inflation Rate (Year End) 470% 3.8% 1.8%
Current Account Balance
(% of GDP)
-5.8% 1.4% 1.6%
Budget Balance
(% of GDP)
-14.4% -2.1% -3.2%
Public Debt (% of GDP) 159.5% 71.5% 66.2%
Israel Economy –
Past & Present
Source: EIU, CBS, Bank of Israel
3.9
2.6
2.2
2
2.7
2.5
1.8
2.8
1.7
2.6
1.9
1.6
-0.6 -0.5
0.9
3
1.9
1.5
1.2
2.2
5.7
4.6
3.4 3.6
3.1
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014*
world
US
Euro area
OECD
Israel
World GDP Growth
Forecast
Israel’s growth rate has exceeded the average growth rate of
advanced economies.
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit ,MoF forecast
3.6
4.7
1.4
2.6
2.2
4.5
3.6
7.5
3.6
1.4
6.6
4.6
7.2
3.8
7
9.9
5.5
3.4
4.1
3.4
9.3
-0.2
-0.6
1.5
4.8 4.7
5.8 5.9
4.1
1.1
5.7
4.6
3.4
3.6 3.1
* IMF
Israel GDP Growth
Dot- com
bubble burst &
the second
intifada
The
subprime
crisis
Debt
crisis/
world
economic
slowdown
The first
intifada
Source: EIU
Since 2003, government debt has been on a consistent downward trend,
only interrupted by the extraordinary circumstances surrounding the
2009 global economic crisis
Gross Public Debt
(as % of GDP)
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018*
ISRAEL
U.K
U.S
Forecast
Source: Ministry of Finance
Israel’s
Credit Ratings
ForecastCredit RatingRating Firm
StableA1
StableA+
StableA
Nov 2007
S&P upgrade
Israel To A
April 2008
Moody’s upgrade
Israel To A1
Sep 2011
S&P upgrade
Israel To A+
Feb 2008
Fitch upgrade
Israel To A
Israel is the only Western
country that has managed to
have its credit rating raised since
the outbreak of the global crisis
Source: EIU
GDP Per Capita
1980-2012
(as % of U.S GDP, PPP)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Growing fast, but not fast enough…
Gini coefficient
2010
Israel still needs to deal with
rising income-inequality
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
B$
Exports of Goods&Services
Imports of Goods&Services
Trade of
Goods&Services
1980-2013
(in Billions of $)
Trade Share of GDP
1995-2013
(in %)
63.4%
61.9% 61.9%
60.9%
69.8%
74.1%
67.4%
71.6%
73.0%
82.1%
85.4%
81.9%
82.5%
77.1%
63.0%
66.9%
70.3% 71.1%
62.7%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
* Exc. Taxes on net import
* IEICI Forecast , including total exports of goods exports to the PA and ongoing projects
Exports of goods and services (1980-2013*, in billions of
$)
For the last 30 years - Exports of goods and services has been a
major growth engine in the Israeli economy
6
13
20
31 28 28 30
37 40 44
51
58
46
56
64 62 62
3
5
8
16
13 12
13
15
17
18
20
24
21
24
27 31 33
1980 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Services Goods
North America
23%
Africa
3%
Latin America
6%
Asia and the Far East
21%
Europe
41%
B10$
B11$
B2.7$
B20$
B1.3$
Rest of World
6%
B2.5$
Despite the increased share of Asia and Latin America in recent
years export are still mainly directed to the U.S. and the EU
Distribution of export by regional trade (2013)
* Exports of goods exc. services
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
Exchange rate
2002-2013
rate:effective exchangeReal
Israel Export
Growth
Dot- com
bubble burst &
the second
intifada
Subprime
crisis
15%
8% 7%
3%
15%
23%
-13%
-3%
11%
20%
9% 9%
14%
15%
-17%
18%
13%
0% 0%
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013*
*2013–IEICI Forecast
Debt
crisis/
world
economic
slowdown
Low Tech Industries
6%
Hi-Tech Industries
44%
Med-Hi Tech Industries
37%
Med-Low Tech Industries
13%
20.2B$
2.9 B$
5.8 B$
17 B$
The Industrial Export
by Sector
Export in 2013
Export of Hi-Tech products comprise 44% of
total industrial export
In the past decade the industrial export was mainly affected by
the rapid growth of the Hi-Tech industry
Industrial Exports
Growth by sector
1995-2013
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
High - technology industries Medium - high technology industries
Medium - low technology industries Low - technology industries
B$
Main Hi-tech
Services Sectors
2002-2013
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics
Billionsof$
Hi-tech services export grew dramatically over the past years and
consider to be the main growth engine for the Israeli economy
2.4 2.9 3.2 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.9 4.6
5.5
6.9
8.0 8.4
0.8
1.3
1.6 1.6
2.2
2.5
3.4 3.8 2.6
2.8
4.7
5.8
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Computer & Software services Research and development
18%
13%
22%6%
24%
11%
6%
Pharmaceutical products
Electronical components
Medical & computing equipment
Aircraft
Computer and related services
Research and development - exc.start-up companies
Exports of services from start-up companies
Source: IEICI Calculations’
Main Hi-tech
Sectors
2013
Total High-tech Export of 2013: 35.7 B$
4.25%
2.33%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Israel is 1st in the OECD in expenditure on R&D (research & development) as %
of GDP, demonstrating innovation, development and creativity.
Expenditure on
R&D
as % of GDP ,2010
3.3
2.7 2.6 2.3
5.2
9.7
8.3
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
M&A's of Israeli High-Tech Companies (Year Av.)
Israel’s High-Tech
Source: Giza Venture Capital
Source: Giza Venture Capital
VC Investments –
Global comparison
B$, 2011-2012
Israel in Global
Perspective
The Global Competitiveness Index- WEF/144
The World Economic Forum ranked Israel 26th
out of 144 countries for 2012-2013
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
13
16
19
21
26
29
36
38
42
43
48
49
50
53
59
60
67
75
78
96
110
115
120
126
132
144
Switzerland
Singapore
Finland
Sweden
Netherlands
Germany
United States
United Kingdom
Hong Kong
Japan
Taiwan
Austria
Korea, Rep.
France
Israel
China
Spain
Thailand
Italy
Turkey
Brazil
Portugal
Indonesia
Mexico
India
Hungary
Russia
Vietnam
Romania
Greece
Algeria
Nigeria
Tanzania
Venezuela
Zimbabwe
Burundi
Israel in Global
Perspective
Israel in Global
Perspective
The Global Competitiveness Index
Israel in Global
Perspective
Quality of scientific research institutions Venture capital availability
Strength of investor protectionPCT* patent applications
* PCT (Patent Cooperation Treaty)
Israel in Global
Perspective
The Global Competitiveness Index
Government procurement of advanced
technology products Capacity for innovation
University-industry collaboration in R&DFirm-level technology absorption
Did you know
Israel is…
1
2
3
4
10
12
15
16
19
21
27
28
29
30
31
34
35
36
38
41
42
43
52
65
69
96
99
102
116
120
134
147
189
Singapore
Hong Kong
New Zealand
United States
United Kingdom
Finland
Ireland
Taiwan, China
Canada
Germany
Japan
Netherlands
Switzerland
Austria
Portugal
Chile
Israel
Belgium
France
South Africa
Peru
Colombia
Spain
Italy
Turkey
China
Vietnam
Costa Rica
Brazil
Indonesia
India
Nigeria
Chad
Israel in Global
Perspective
Doing Business Index 2014 (World Bank)/189
Israel in Global
Perspective
Rank2014DB Rank2013DB
Starting a Business
35 39
Dealing with Construction Permits 140 135
Getting Electricity
103 100
Registering Property
151 146
Getting Credit
13 11
Protecting Investors
6 6
Paying Taxes
93 87
Trading Across Borders
10 10
Enforcing Contracts
93 92
Resolving Insolvency
35 34
Total Rank 35 33
Thank you
Shauli katznelson
Deputy Director General
shauli@export.gov.il

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Israel economy22.06

  • 1. Israel Economy The Israel Export & International Cooperation Institute
  • 2. Macro Economic Indicators Source: IMF,EIU, CBS, Bank of Israel, IEICI 201320122011201020092008Criteria 273257258232206213GDP (B$ -at current market prices) 3.6%3.4%4.6%5.7%1.2%4.0%GDP Real Growth rate (%) 34,87633,87832,92531,55830,15830,209GDP per Capita (PPP, $) 959391806881Exports of Goods & Services (B$) 949392766384Imports of Goods & Services (B$) 6.3%6.9%6.7%6.6%7.5%6.1%Unemployment Rate (%) 1.8%1.6%2.2%2.7%3.9%3.8%Inflation Rate (Year End)
  • 3. 1985 2008 2013 GDP per capita (US=100) 6,171 $ 30,209$ 34,876$ Inflation Rate (Year End) 470% 3.8% 1.8% Current Account Balance (% of GDP) -5.8% 1.4% 1.6% Budget Balance (% of GDP) -14.4% -2.1% -3.2% Public Debt (% of GDP) 159.5% 71.5% 66.2% Israel Economy – Past & Present Source: EIU, CBS, Bank of Israel
  • 4. 3.9 2.6 2.2 2 2.7 2.5 1.8 2.8 1.7 2.6 1.9 1.6 -0.6 -0.5 0.9 3 1.9 1.5 1.2 2.2 5.7 4.6 3.4 3.6 3.1 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* world US Euro area OECD Israel World GDP Growth Forecast Israel’s growth rate has exceeded the average growth rate of advanced economies. Source: Economist Intelligence Unit ,MoF forecast
  • 5. 3.6 4.7 1.4 2.6 2.2 4.5 3.6 7.5 3.6 1.4 6.6 4.6 7.2 3.8 7 9.9 5.5 3.4 4.1 3.4 9.3 -0.2 -0.6 1.5 4.8 4.7 5.8 5.9 4.1 1.1 5.7 4.6 3.4 3.6 3.1 * IMF Israel GDP Growth Dot- com bubble burst & the second intifada The subprime crisis Debt crisis/ world economic slowdown The first intifada
  • 6. Source: EIU Since 2003, government debt has been on a consistent downward trend, only interrupted by the extraordinary circumstances surrounding the 2009 global economic crisis Gross Public Debt (as % of GDP) 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014* 2015* 2016* 2017* 2018* ISRAEL U.K U.S Forecast
  • 7. Source: Ministry of Finance Israel’s Credit Ratings ForecastCredit RatingRating Firm StableA1 StableA+ StableA Nov 2007 S&P upgrade Israel To A April 2008 Moody’s upgrade Israel To A1 Sep 2011 S&P upgrade Israel To A+ Feb 2008 Fitch upgrade Israel To A Israel is the only Western country that has managed to have its credit rating raised since the outbreak of the global crisis
  • 8. Source: EIU GDP Per Capita 1980-2012 (as % of U.S GDP, PPP) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Growing fast, but not fast enough…
  • 9. Gini coefficient 2010 Israel still needs to deal with rising income-inequality
  • 10. 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 B$ Exports of Goods&Services Imports of Goods&Services Trade of Goods&Services 1980-2013 (in Billions of $)
  • 11. Trade Share of GDP 1995-2013 (in %) 63.4% 61.9% 61.9% 60.9% 69.8% 74.1% 67.4% 71.6% 73.0% 82.1% 85.4% 81.9% 82.5% 77.1% 63.0% 66.9% 70.3% 71.1% 62.7% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% * Exc. Taxes on net import
  • 12. * IEICI Forecast , including total exports of goods exports to the PA and ongoing projects Exports of goods and services (1980-2013*, in billions of $) For the last 30 years - Exports of goods and services has been a major growth engine in the Israeli economy 6 13 20 31 28 28 30 37 40 44 51 58 46 56 64 62 62 3 5 8 16 13 12 13 15 17 18 20 24 21 24 27 31 33 1980 1990 1995 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Services Goods
  • 13. North America 23% Africa 3% Latin America 6% Asia and the Far East 21% Europe 41% B10$ B11$ B2.7$ B20$ B1.3$ Rest of World 6% B2.5$ Despite the increased share of Asia and Latin America in recent years export are still mainly directed to the U.S. and the EU Distribution of export by regional trade (2013) * Exports of goods exc. services
  • 15. Israel Export Growth Dot- com bubble burst & the second intifada Subprime crisis 15% 8% 7% 3% 15% 23% -13% -3% 11% 20% 9% 9% 14% 15% -17% 18% 13% 0% 0% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013* *2013–IEICI Forecast Debt crisis/ world economic slowdown
  • 16. Low Tech Industries 6% Hi-Tech Industries 44% Med-Hi Tech Industries 37% Med-Low Tech Industries 13% 20.2B$ 2.9 B$ 5.8 B$ 17 B$ The Industrial Export by Sector Export in 2013 Export of Hi-Tech products comprise 44% of total industrial export
  • 17. In the past decade the industrial export was mainly affected by the rapid growth of the Hi-Tech industry Industrial Exports Growth by sector 1995-2013 Source: Central Bureau of Statistics - 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 High - technology industries Medium - high technology industries Medium - low technology industries Low - technology industries B$
  • 18. Main Hi-tech Services Sectors 2002-2013 Source: Central Bureau of Statistics Billionsof$ Hi-tech services export grew dramatically over the past years and consider to be the main growth engine for the Israeli economy 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.9 4.6 5.5 6.9 8.0 8.4 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.5 3.4 3.8 2.6 2.8 4.7 5.8 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Computer & Software services Research and development
  • 19. 18% 13% 22%6% 24% 11% 6% Pharmaceutical products Electronical components Medical & computing equipment Aircraft Computer and related services Research and development - exc.start-up companies Exports of services from start-up companies Source: IEICI Calculations’ Main Hi-tech Sectors 2013 Total High-tech Export of 2013: 35.7 B$
  • 20. 4.25% 2.33% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% Israel is 1st in the OECD in expenditure on R&D (research & development) as % of GDP, demonstrating innovation, development and creativity. Expenditure on R&D as % of GDP ,2010
  • 21. 3.3 2.7 2.6 2.3 5.2 9.7 8.3 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 M&A's of Israeli High-Tech Companies (Year Av.) Israel’s High-Tech Source: Giza Venture Capital
  • 22. Source: Giza Venture Capital VC Investments – Global comparison B$, 2011-2012
  • 23. Israel in Global Perspective The Global Competitiveness Index- WEF/144 The World Economic Forum ranked Israel 26th out of 144 countries for 2012-2013 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 13 16 19 21 26 29 36 38 42 43 48 49 50 53 59 60 67 75 78 96 110 115 120 126 132 144 Switzerland Singapore Finland Sweden Netherlands Germany United States United Kingdom Hong Kong Japan Taiwan Austria Korea, Rep. France Israel China Spain Thailand Italy Turkey Brazil Portugal Indonesia Mexico India Hungary Russia Vietnam Romania Greece Algeria Nigeria Tanzania Venezuela Zimbabwe Burundi
  • 26. The Global Competitiveness Index Israel in Global Perspective Quality of scientific research institutions Venture capital availability Strength of investor protectionPCT* patent applications * PCT (Patent Cooperation Treaty)
  • 27. Israel in Global Perspective The Global Competitiveness Index Government procurement of advanced technology products Capacity for innovation University-industry collaboration in R&DFirm-level technology absorption
  • 29. 1 2 3 4 10 12 15 16 19 21 27 28 29 30 31 34 35 36 38 41 42 43 52 65 69 96 99 102 116 120 134 147 189 Singapore Hong Kong New Zealand United States United Kingdom Finland Ireland Taiwan, China Canada Germany Japan Netherlands Switzerland Austria Portugal Chile Israel Belgium France South Africa Peru Colombia Spain Italy Turkey China Vietnam Costa Rica Brazil Indonesia India Nigeria Chad Israel in Global Perspective Doing Business Index 2014 (World Bank)/189
  • 30. Israel in Global Perspective Rank2014DB Rank2013DB Starting a Business 35 39 Dealing with Construction Permits 140 135 Getting Electricity 103 100 Registering Property 151 146 Getting Credit 13 11 Protecting Investors 6 6 Paying Taxes 93 87 Trading Across Borders 10 10 Enforcing Contracts 93 92 Resolving Insolvency 35 34 Total Rank 35 33
  • 31. Thank you Shauli katznelson Deputy Director General shauli@export.gov.il