The document provides the results of a November 2015 political opinion poll in the United Kingdom. Key findings include: - The Conservatives led Labour by 2 points (37% to 35%) in general election voting intentions. - Satisfaction with David Cameron as Prime Minister was at 40%, with 55% dissatisfied. Satisfaction with Jeremy Corbyn as Labour leader was similar at 37% satisfied and 39% dissatisfied. - On the economy, 40% thought conditions would get worse in the next year, 31% thought they would improve, and 25% thought they would stay the same. Satisfaction with George Osborne as Chancellor was low at 35% satisfied and 52% dissatisfied.

1. 2015
POLITICAL MONITOR
20.11.2015

2. VOTING
INTENTIONS

3. Voting Intention
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
37%
35%
8%
5%
8%
6%
All giving a voting intention Headline voting intention
Conservative lead = +2 Conservative lead = +7
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
GREEN
LIB DEM
OTHER
41%
34%
7%
4%
7%
7%
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it depends vote in General
Elections = 760. Headline voting intention is based on a method that would have given most accurate results in the 2015 GE;
this is an interim measure whilst our internal review is carried out.
3

4. SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND PARTY LEADERS

5. CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM GOVERNMENT
-3%
swing from October
-1.5%
swing from October
-10%
swing from October
-4.5%
swing from October
-1.5%
swing from October
-15 Net -3 Net -12 Net -14 Net -22 Net
SATISFIED 40% SATISFIED 37% SATISFIED 33% SATISFIED 18% SATISFIED 36%
DISSATISFIED 55% DISSATISFIED 40% DISSATISFIED 45% DISSATISFIED 32% DISSATISFIED 58%
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November 2015. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied”
5
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
0
-50
+50
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS / LEADER OF UKIP?

6. Satisfaction with Party leaders Nov‘8 – Nov‘15
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
6HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS
RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS JOB AS … ?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
40%
33%
CAMERON CORBYN FARRON FARAGE
37%
18%

7. Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
7HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY… IS DOING HIS / HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
Number of months from becoming Prime Minister
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone

8. David Cameron (satisfaction)
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
8ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY DAVID CAMERON IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY/ AS PRIME MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
40%
55%
5%
November 2015 August 2006 –November 2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Aug-06
Nov-06
May-07
Aug-07
Dec-07
Mar-08
Jun-08
Sep-08
Dec-08
Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
Dec-09
Mar-10
Jun-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14
Jul-14
Oct-14
Jan-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Nov-15
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
SATISFIED 40%
DISSATISFIED 55%
DON’T KNOW 5%
Net = -15
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

9. David Cameron (satisfaction among Tory supporters)
Base: 307 Conservative supporters 18+, 14th – 17th November
9ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY DAVID CAMERON IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY/ AS PRIME MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
80%
18%
3%
October 2015 July 2006 – November 2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug06
Jan07
Jun07
Sep07
Jan08
Apr08
Jul08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Apr-13
Jul-13
Oct-13
Jan-14
Apr-14
Jul-14
Oct-14
Jan-15
Apr15
Jul-15
Nov-15
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
SATISFIED 80%
DISSATISFIED 18%
DON’T KNOW 3%
Net = +62
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

10. 37%
40%
23%
37%
39%
25%
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
10ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMEY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
October 2015
SATISFIED 37%
DISSATISFIED 39%
DON’T KNOW 25%
Net = -2
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November and 1,021 British adults18+, 17th –19th October 2015
SATISFIED 37%
DISSATISFIED 40%
DON’T KNOW 23%
Net = -3
November 2015

11. 65%
18%
18%
64%16%
25%
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
11ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMEY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
October 2015
SATISFIED 64%
DISSATISFIED 16%
DON’T KNOW 21%
Net = +48
Base: 310 Labour supporters 14th – 17th November and 311 Labour supporters17th –19th October 2015
SATISFIED 65%
DISSATISFIED 18%
DON’T KNOW 18%
Net = +47
November 2015

12. 22%
27%
51%
18%
32%
50%
Tim Farron (satisfaction)
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November and 1,021 British adults18+, 17th –19th October 2015
12ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
October 2015 November 2015
SATISFIED 22%
DISSATISFIED 27%
DON’T KNOW 51%
Net = -5
SATISFIED 18%
DISSATISFIED 32%
DON’T KNOW 50%
Net = -14

13. 61%14%
25%
57%30%
13%
Tim Farron (satisfaction)
Base:80 Lib Dem supporters 18+ 14th – 17th November and 80 Lib Dem supporters 18+, 17th – 19th October 2015
N.B. small base size, indicative only.
13ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY TIM FARRON IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
October 2015 (Lib Dem supporters only) November 2015 (Lib Dem supporters only)
SATISFIED 61%
DISSATISFIED 14%
DON’T KNOW 25%
Net = +47
SATISFIED 57%
DISSATISFIED 30%
DON’T KNOW 13%
Net = +27

14. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-152
Apr-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Nigel Farage (satisfaction)
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
14ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY NIGEL FARAGE IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE UNITED KINGDOM INDEPENDENCE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
33%
45%
21%
November 2015 March 2013 – November 2015
SATISFIED 33%
DISSATISFIED 45%
DON’T KNOW 21%
Net = -12
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

15. 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-152
Apr-15
Jun-15
Jul-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Nigel Farage (satisfaction)
Base: 71 UKIP supporters 18+, 14th – 17th November
N.B. small base size, indicative only.
15ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY NIGEL FARAGE IS DOING HIS JOB
AS LEADER OF THE UNITED KINGDOM INDEPENDENCE PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
91%
9% 1%
November 2015 March 2013 – November 2015
SATISFIED 91%
DISSATISFIED 9%
DON’T KNOW 1%
Net = +82
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

16. ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM

17. Economic Optimism Index
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
17DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL
IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
November 2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Feb-04
Sep-04
Apr-05
Nov-05
Jul-06
May-07
Jan-08
Aug-08
Mar-09
Oct-09
May-10
Jan-11
Aug-11
Mar-12
Oct-12
May-13
Dec-13
Jul-14
Feb-15
Oct-15
IMPROVE 31%
STAY THE SAME 25%
GET WORSE 40%
DON’T KNOW 4%
EOI = -9

18. The Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
18DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL
IMPROVE, STAY THE SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Oct1997
May1998
Dec1998
Jul1999
Feb2000
Sep2000
Apr2001
Nov2001
Jun2002
Jan2003
Aug2003
Mar2004
Oct2004
May2005
Dec2005
Jul2006
Feb2007
Sep2007
Apr2008
Nov2008
Jun2009
Jan2010
Aug2010
Mar2011
Oct2011
May2012
Dec2012
Jul2013
Feb2014
Sep2014
Apr2015
Nov2015
-9

19. THE ECONOMY AND THE CHANCELLOR

20. Will the government’s policies improve the economy?
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
20ON BALANCE, DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
March 2012 March 2015
47%46%
6%
47%48%
5%
AGREE DISAGREE DON’T KNOW
IN THE LONG TERM, THIS GOVERNMENT’S POLICIES WILL IMPROVE THE STATE OF BRITAIN'S
ECONOMY
39%
53%
7%
November 2015

21. 35%
52%
13%
Satisfaction with George Osborne
21ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY GEORGE OSBORNE IS DOING HIS JOB
AS CHANCELLOR OF THE EXCHEQUER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
November 2015 June 2010 – November 2015
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Jun-10
Mar-11
Dec-11
Apr-12
Mar-13
Apr-14
Mar-15
Jul-15
Nov-15
BB = Before Budget
AB = After Budget
AAS = After Autumn Statement
BAS = Before Autumn Statement
BB
BB
BB
BB
BB
BB
AAS
AAS
BAS
AB
BB
BB BAS
AB
AB
AB
SATISFIED 35%
DISSATISFIED 52%
DON’T KNOW 13%
Net =-17
Dissatisfied
Satisfied
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November

22. 0%
26%
19%
22%
0%
31%
37%
41%
0%
38%
38%
28%
0%
5%
6%
9%
Would Labour do a better job on the economy?
AND DO YOU THINK THAT A LABOUR GOVERNMENT WITH JEREMY CORBYN AS PRIME MINISTER AND JOHN MCDONNELL AS
CHANCELLOR OF THE EXCHEQUER WOULD DO A BETTER OR WORSE JOB, OR ABOUT THE SAME, THAN THE PRESENT
GOVERNMENT HAS DONE AT MANAGING THE ECONOMY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
22
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
March 2013- Ed
Miliband and Ed Balls
March 2015- Ed
Miliband and Ed Balls
November 2015-
Jeremy Corbyn and
John McDonnell
BETTER JOB WORSE JOB ABOUT THE SAME DON’T KNOW

23. Which is the party of working people?
WHICH POLITICAL PARTY, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK WOULD BE THE BEST AT LOOKING AFTER THE
INTERESTS OF WORKING PEOPLE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
November 2015
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
LIB DEM
OTHER
NONE
DON’T KNOW
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
23
25%
41%
5%
6%
5%
6%
12%

24. THE DEFICIT AND PUBLIC SPENDING

25. Will the government’s policies improve public
services?
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
25ON BALANCE, DO YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
October 2013 March 2015
59%
35%
6%
56%
37%
6%
AGREE DISAGREE DON’T KNOW
IN THE LONG TERM, THIS GOVERNMENT’S POLICIES WILL IMPROVE BRITAIN’S PUBLIC SERVICES
August 2015
33%
60%
7%
67%
27%
5%
November 2015

26. Own view of spending cuts
26
WHICH ONE OF THESE, IF ANY, COMES CLOSEST TO YOUR OPINION ON CUTTING PUBLIC
SPENDING TO REDUCE THE DEFICIT?
6%
1%
1%
27%
32%
34%
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
It is still necessary to reduce the deficit by
cutting public spending
It was necessary in the last parliament to
reduce the deficit by cutting public
spending, but it is not necessary any more
It was never necessary to reduce the
deficit by cutting public spending
Other
Don't know
None of these

27. Different party supporters’ attitudes to cuts
15
34
51
21
47
28
39
36
16
9
24
63
It was never necessary to reduce the
deficit by cutting public spending
It was necessary in the last parliament to
reduce the deficit by cutting public
spending, but it is not necessary any more
It is still necessary to reduce the deficit by
cutting public spending
Con Lab LibDem UKIP
%
27
WHICH ONE OF THESE, IF ANY, COMES CLOSEST TO YOUR OPINION ON CUTTING PUBLIC
SPENDING TO REDUCE THE DEFICIT?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November

28. Getting the balance right
WHICH PARTY, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST BALANCE BETWEEN CUTTING SPENDING TO REDUCE THE DEFICIT AND NOT
DAMAGING PUBLIC SERVICES – THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS, UKIP OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
24%
25%
7%
8%
8%
11%
17%
December 2014 November 2015
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
UKIP
LIB DEM
OTHER
NONE
DON’T KNOW
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
28
26%
27%
6%
12%
7%
8%
15%

29. Spending cuts
Base: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
29
FROM WHAT YOU KNOW, DO YOU THINK THE GOVERNMENT HAS ON THE WHOLE MADE THE
RIGHT DECISIONS OR THE WRONG DECISIONS ABOUT WHERE SPENDING CUTS SHOULD BE MADE?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
March 2010 October 2010
55%
35%
10%
59%
33%
8%
38%41%
21%
November 2015
RIGHT DECISIONS WRONG DECISIONS DON’T KNOW

30. 59
36
19
15
8
5
3
3
4
1
1
3
5
9
55
44
28
10
8
5
4
3
2
1
9
7
Overseas aid
Benefit payments
Defence and armed forces
Transport
Local authority services
Social services
The NHS/Healthcare
Police
State pensions
Schools
Care for the elderly
Other
Don’t know
None
NA
Areas where spending cuts should come from
30
IF THE GOVERNMENT WERE TO MAKE FURTHER CUTS IN SPENDING WHICH TWO OR THREE, IF ANY, OF THE
FOLLOWING AREAS DO YOU THINK THE UK GOVERNMENT SHOULD CUT THE MOST MONEY FROM?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
MARCH 2013 NOVEMBER 2015
NA

31. Different party supporters’ priorities for cuts
4
4
49
93
20
31
32
40
19
30
15
43
13
8
59
71
Transport
Defence and armed forces
Benefit payments
Overseas aid
Con Lab LibDem UKIP
%
31
IF THE GOVERNMENT WERE TO MAKE FURTHER CUTS IN SPENDING WHICH TWO OR THREE, IF ANY, OF THE
FOLLOWING AREAS DO YOU THINK THE UK GOVERNMENT SHOULD CUT THE MOST MONEY FROM?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November

32. 73
39
28
27
23
14
13
8
5
4
2
1
3
1
The NHS/Healthcare
Schools
Care for the elderly
Defence and armed forces
Police
State pensions
Social services
Benefit payments
Local authority services
Transport
Overseas aid
Other
Don’t know
None
Areas which should be protected from spending cuts
32AND WHICH TWO OR THREE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK SHOULD BE MOST PROTECTED FROM CUTS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November

33. Different party supporters’ priorities to protect from cuts
55
22
26
63
14
23
54
78
16
31
40
80
40
26
33
67
Defence and armed forces
Care for the elderly
Schools
NHS/healthcare
Con Lab LibDem UKIP
%
33AND WHICH TWO OR THREE, IF ANY, DO YOU THINK SHOULD BE MOST PROTECTED FROM CUTS?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November

34. NEXT CONSERVATIVE LEADER

35. Next Conservative leader
35
AS YOU MAY KNOW, DAVID CAMERON HAS SAID THAT HE WILL STEP DOWN AS LEADER OF THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY BEFORE THE NEXT
GENERAL ELECTION IN 2020. WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING POLITICIANS I AM GOING TO READ OUT, IF ANY, WOULD MAKE YOU MOST
LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY IF THEY WERE LEADER
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,021 British adults 18+, 14th – 17th November
8%
25%
4%
15%
17%
27%
9%
29%
3%
4%
11%
19%
25%
Don't know
None of these
Michael Gove
Sajid Javid
George Osborne
Theresa May
Boris Johnson
SEPTEMBER 2015 NOVEMBER 2015

36. Next Conservative leader amongst Conservative
supporters
36
AS YOU MAY KNOW, DAVID CAMERON HAS SAID THAT HE WILL STEP DOWN AS LEADER OF THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY BEFORE THE NEXT
GENERAL ELECTION IN 2020. WHICH ONE OF THE FOLLOWING POLITICIANS I AM GOING TO READ OUT, IF ANY, WOULD MAKE YOU MOST
LIKELY TO VOTE FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY IF THEY WERE LEADER
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 307 Conservative supporters 18+, 14th – 17th November
5%
7%
3%
32%
18%
29%
8%
6%
2%
3%
23%
26%
32%
Don't know
None of these
Michael Gove
Sajid Javid
George Osborne
Theresa May
Boris Johnson
SEPTEMBER 2015 NOVEMBER 2015

37. 2015
POLITICAL MONITOR