The number of Britons saying Theresa May is doing a good job at handling Brexit is up from October, according to the latest Ipsos MORI Political Monitor, although more still say she is doing a bad job. Two in five (43%) say the Prime Minister is currently doing a good job at handling Britain’s exit from the European Union – up 11 points from when asked in October last year. Half (50%) however say she is doing a bad job – down 5 points.

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© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
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1
Ipsos MORIPOLITICAL
MONITOR
March
2018

2. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 2
VOTING
INTENTIONS

3. 3Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+, 2rd March – 7th March 2018; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote and always/usually/it
depends vote in General Elections = 782. Margin of error is displayed at +/- 4%
Voting Intention
ALL GIVING A VOTING INTENTIONHEADLINE VOTING INTENTION
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = 0
CONSERVATIVE LEAD = +1
43%
42%
6%
2%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN
41%
41%
8%
3%
2%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
CONSERVATIVE
LABOUR
LIB DEM
UKIP
GREEN

4. 4Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: Since 2015 General Election
2015 General Election
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
May15
Jun15
Jul15
Aug15
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)

5. 5Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan04
Jun04
Nov04
Apr05
Sep05
Feb06
Jul06
Dec06
May07
Oct07
Mar08
Aug08
Jan09
Jun09
Nov09
Apr10
Sep10
Feb11
Jul11
Dec11
May12
Oct12
Mar13
Aug13
Jan14
Jun14
Nov14
Apr15
Sep15
Feb16
Jul16
Dec16
May17
Oct17
Mar18
2015 General Election
Miliband
elected
(Sept 10)
Corbyn
elected
(Sept 15)
May
as PM
(July 16)
HOW WOULD YOU VOTE IF THERE WERE A GENERAL ELECTION TOMORROW?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: c. 800 British adults; Prior to July 2015 the turnout filter is “All certain to vote”; From July 2015 turnout filter is “all 9/10 certain to vote
and always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections
Headline voting intention: January ‘04 – March ‘18
2005 General Election 2010 General Election
Cameron
elected
(Dec 05)
Brown
as PM
(June 07)
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP GREEN LIB DEM

6. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 6
SATISFACTION WITH THE
GOVERNMENT AND
PARTY LEADERS

7. 7Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY…. IS RUNNING THE COUNTRY / DOING HIS/HER JOB
AS PRIME MINISTER /LEADER OF THE LABOUR PARTY/LEADER OF THE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Theresa May
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018. Swing is calculated as the average of change in % “satisfied” and % “dissatisfied
Satisfaction with leaders and the Government
30%
62%
9%
41%
52%
7%
37%
52%
10%
Jeremy Corbyn The Government
+3%
swing from January 2018
-2%
swing from January 2018
0%
swing from January 2018
+2%
swing from January 2018
-11 Net -15 Net -12 Net -32 Net
SATISFIED 41% SATISFIED 37% SATISFIED 25% SATISFIED 30%
DISSATISFIED 52% DISSATISFIED 52% DISSATISFIED 38% DISSATISFIED 62%
25%
37%
38%
Vince Cable

8. 8Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME MINISTER
/LEADER OF THE LABOUR/LIB DEM PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month.
Satisfaction with Party leaders Sept 2015 – Mar 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Sep15
Oct15
Nov15
Dec15
Jan16
Feb16
Mar16
Apr16
May16
Jun16
Jul16
Aug16
Sep16
Oct16
Nov16
Dec16
Jan17
Feb17
Mar17
Apr17
May17
Jun17
Jul17
Aug17
Sep17
Oct17
Nov17
Dec17
Jan18
Feb18
Mar18
MAY CORBYN CABLE
41%
37%
25%

9. 9Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS/HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Prime Ministers (1979-2018)
MAY CAMERON BROWN MAJOR BLAIR THATCHER
Netsatisfaction
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
May
Number of months after becoming Prime Minister

10. 10Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
HOW SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED ARE YOU WITH THE WAY … IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE …
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Net satisfaction with Opposition Leaders (1980 – 2018)
Note: Data collected prior to February 2008 was collected via face-to-face methodology; data collected from February 2008 was via telephone
Hague (97-01) Duncan Smith (01-03) Howard (03-05) Cameron (05-10)
Blair (94-97) Miliband (10-15) Corbyn (15-present) Kinnock (83-92)
Foot (80-83) Smith (92-94)
Number of months after becoming Opposition Leader
Netsatisfaction
Corbyn

11. 11Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction)
41%
52%
7%
March 2018 August 2016 – March 2018
SATISFIED 41%
DISSATISFIED 52%
DON’T KNOW 7%
Net = -11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

12. 12Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY THERESA MAY IS DOING HER JOB AS PRIME
MINISTER?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 386 Conservative supporters 18+ , 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Theresa May (satisfaction amongst Conservative supporters)
74%
22%
4%
March 2018
SATISFIED 74%
DISSATISFIED 22%
DON’T KNOW 4%
Net = +52
August 2016 – March 2018
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
Dissatisfied
Satisfied

13. 13Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
37%
52%
10%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
SATISFIED 37%
DISSATISFIED 52%
DON’T KNOW 10%
Net = -15
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction)
March 2018 September 2015 – March 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

14. 14Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
71%
26%
3%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Sep-15
Oct-15
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Aprl-16
May-16
Jun-16
Jul-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
Oct-16
Nov-16
Dec-16
Jan-17
Feb-17
Mar-17
Apr-17
May-17
Jun-17
Jul-17
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
SATISFIED 71%
DISSATISFIED 26%
DON’T KNOW 3%
Net = +45
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY JEREMY CORBYN IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF
THE LABOUR PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: 318 Labour supporters 18+ , 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Jeremy Corbyn (satisfaction amongst Labour supporters)
March 2018 September 2015 – March 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

15. 15Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
25%
37%
38%
SATISFIED 25%
DISSATISFIED 37%
DON’T KNOW 38%
Net = -12
ARE YOU SATISFIED OR DISSATISFIED WITH THE WAY VINCE CABLE IS DOING HIS JOB AS LEADER OF THE
LIBERAL DEMOCRATS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Vince Cable (satisfaction)
March 2018
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Sep-17
Oct-17
Nov-17
Jan-18
Mar-18
September 2017 – March 2018
Satisfied
Dissatisfied

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ECONOMIC
OPTIMISM

17. 17Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
22%
22%
54%
3%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan-07
May-07
Jul-07
Sep-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Sep-10
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
Jul-117
Sep-11
Nov-11
Jan-12
Mar-12
May-12
Jul-12
Sep-12
Nov-12
Jan-13
Mar-13
May-13
Jul-13
Sep-13
Nov-13
Jan-14
Mar-14
May-14
Jul-14
Sep-14
Nov-14
Jan-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
Jul-15
Oct-15
Dec-15
Feb-16
Aprl-16
Jun-16
Aug-16
Oct-16
Dec-16
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jul-17
Oct-17
Jan-18
IMPROVE 22%
STAY THE SAME 22%
GET WORSE 54%
DON’T KNOW 3%
EOI = -32
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018
Economic Optimism Index
March 2018

18. 18Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK THAT THE GENERAL ECONOMIC CONDITION OF THE COUNTRY WILL IMPROVE, STAY THE
SAME OR GET WORSE OVER THE NEXT 12 MONTHS?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political MonitorBase: c.1,000 British adults each month
Consistent levels of economic pessimism since July 2017
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
Jan1998
Dec1998
Nov1999
Oct2000
Sep2001
Aug2002
Jul2003
Jun2004
May2005
Apr2006
Mar2007
Feb2008
Jan2009
Dec2009
Nov2010
Oct2011
Sep2012
Aug2013
Jul2014
Jun2015
May2016
Apr2017
Mar2018
-32

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Brexit

20. 20Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
37%
48%
25%
17%
6%
12%
3%
3%
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON HANDLING BRITAIN’S FUTURE RELATIONSHIP
WITH THE EUROPEAN UNION: THE CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER
PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Party with the best policies on handling Brexit
March 2018
April 2017
Conservative lead
+12
+31
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018

21. 21Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
41%
52%
41%
25%
17%
23%
4%
6%
4%
<1%
2%
3%
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON MANAGING THE ECONOMY: THE
CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Party with the best policies on managing the economy
March 2018
April 2017
April 2015
Conservative lead
+16
+35
+18
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018

22. 22Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES ON MANAGING THE ECONOMY, THE
CONSERVATIVES, LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Party with the best policies on managing the economy 1990-2018
<1%0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan90
Jul90
Jan91
Jul91
Jan92
Jul92
Jan93
Jul93
Jan94
Jul94
Jan95
Jul95
Jan96
Jul96
Jan97
Jul97
Jan98
Jul98
Jan99
Jul99
Jan00
Jul00
Jan01
Jul01
Jan02
Jul02
Jan03
Jul03
Jan04
Jul04
Jan05
Jul05
Jan06
Jul06
Jan07
Jul07
Jan08
Jul08
Jan09
Jul09
Jan10
Jul10
Jan11
Jul11
Jan12
Jul12
Jan13
Jul13
Jan14
Jul14
Jan15
Jul15
Jan16
Jul16
Jan17
Jul17
Jan18
4%
CONSERVATIVE LABOUR UKIP LIB DEM
25%
41%
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month

23. 23Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
43%
25%
5%
1%
Conservative Labour Liberal Democrats UKIP
March 2018
WHICH PARTY DO YOU THINK HAS THE BEST POLICIES FOR BRITAIN’S BUSINESSES THE CONSERVATIVES,
LABOUR, LIBERAL DEMOCRATS OR SOME OTHER PARTY?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
Party with the best policies for Britain’s businesses
Conservative lead
+18
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+ 2rd March – 7th March 2018

24. 24Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK EACH OF THE FOLLOWING HAS DONE A GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB AT HANDLING BRITAIN’S
EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
GOOD JOB BAD JOB
43
32
35
49
51%
50
55
55
40
35%
Theresa May (March 18)
Theresa May (Oct 17)
Theresa May (July 2017)
Theresa May (March 17)
Theresa May (Dec 16)
Theresa May’s handling of Britain’s exit from the
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
European Union

25. 25Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK EACH OF THE FOLLOWING HAS DONE A GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB AT HANDLING BRITAIN’S
EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
GOOD JOB BAD JOB
38
31
36
33
37
54
58
52
53
48
The Government (March 18)
The Government (July 17)
The Government (March 17)
The Government (Dec 16)
The Government (Nov 16)
The Government’s handling of Britain’s exit from the
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
European Union

26. 26Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK EACH OF THE FOLLOWING HAS DONE A GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB AT HANDLING BRITAIN’S
EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
GOOD JOB BAD JOB
34
31
33
29
56
55
46
39
Boris Johnson (March 2018)
Boris Johnson (Dec 2016)
David Davis (March 2018)
David Davis (Dec 2016)
Boris Johnson and David Davis’ handling of Britain’s
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
exit from the European Union

27. 27Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
DO YOU THINK EACH OF THE FOLLOWING HAS DONE A GOOD JOB OR A BAD JOB AT HANDLING BRITAIN’S
EXIT FROM THE EUROPEAN UNION
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
GOOD JOB BAD JOB
26
32
29
30
30
50
41
40
45
58
Michael Gove
Liam Fox
Amber Rudd
Philip Hammond
The European Union
Members of the cabinet and the EU’s handling of Britain’s
Base: c.1,000 British adults each month
exit from the European Union

28. 28Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
AND IF JEREMY CORBYN WAS PRIME MINISTER, HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, WOULD YOU BE THAT HE
WOULD GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?
Base: 1,071 British adults 18+, 3rd – 8th March 2018
May vs. Corbyn in confidence to get Britain a good deal
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
6%
31%
28%
31%
4%
Very confident Fairly confident
Not very confident Not confident at all
Don’t know
5%
28%
29%
34%
5%
Very confident Fairly confident
Not very confident Not confident at all
Don’t know
Jeremy CorbynTheresa May
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR
BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?
from Brexit negotiations

29. 29Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
PLEASE TELL ME HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, YOU ARE THAT THERESA MAY WILL GET A GOOD DEAL FOR
BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+, 3rd – 8th March 2018
Confidence in May to get a good deal for Britain
6
5
6
11
31
35
30
33
4
4
3
5
28
31
31
28
31
29
29
23
March 2018
October 2017
July 2017
March 2017
VERY CONFIDENT FAIRLY CONFIDENT NOT VERY CONFIDENT NOT CONFIDENT AT ALL
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor

30. 30Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+, 3rd – 8th March 2018
Confidence in Corbyn to get a good deal
5
6
28
23
5
5
29
29
34
38
March 2018
July 2017
VERY CONFIDENT FAIRLY CONFIDENT NOT VERY CONFIDENT NOT CONFIDENT AT ALL
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
AND IF JEREMY CORBYN WAS PRIME MINISTER, HOW CONFIDENT, IF AT ALL, WOULD YOU BE THAT HE
WOULD GET A GOOD DEAL FOR BRITAIN IN NEGOTIATIONS WITH OTHER EUROPEAN UNION LEADERS?

31. 31Political Monitor | March 2018| Final | Public
AND WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING DO YOU THINK WILL BE THE BEST FOR BRITAIN’S ECONOMY IN THE FIVE
TO TEN YEARS AFTER BRITAIN LEAVES THE EUROPEAN UNION?
Source: Ipsos MORI Political Monitor
36
49
Maintaining free trade with the European
Union, even if that means Britain won’t
be able to negotiate its own trade deals
with countries outside the EU
Britain negotiating its own trade deals
with countries outside the European
Union, even if that means there will be
barriers to trade with the EU
What’s best for Britain's economy after Brexit
Base: 1,012 British adults 18+, 3rd – 8th March 2018

32. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION)
© 2016 Ipsos. All rights reserved. Contains Ipsos' Confidential and Proprietary information
and may not be disclosed or reproduced without the prior written consent of Ipsos.
32
Ipsos MORI
March 2018 POLITICAL MONITOR