This document summarizes the results of a post-referendum poll conducted by Ipsos MORI between June 29-30, 2016. Key findings include:
- 89% of leave voters and 8% of remain voters thought leaving the EU was the right decision.
- 85% of leave voters and 79% of remain voters would vote the same way if another referendum was held.
- 38% of people overall felt more hopeful for the future after the vote to leave, while 41% felt less hopeful.
- Views were split on whether the UK will ultimately leave or remain in the EU.
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Ipsos MORI - BBC Newsnight Post-Referendum Research
1. 1June 2016 | Version 1 | Public
BBC Newsnight
Post-Referendum Research
01/07/2016
2. 2June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
As you may know the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union.
43%
44%
14%
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
Do you think that was the right decision or the wrong decision for the United Kingdom?
89%
3%
8% 4%
89%
8%
All Leave voters Remain voters
Right decision Wrong decision Don’t know
3. 3June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
If a second referendum was to be held on the United Kingdom’s membership of the
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 974 online GB adults who voted aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
European Union, would you vote the same way or would you change your vote?
85%
79%
82%
9%
11%
10%
1%
4%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
2%
3%
3%
Remain voters
Leave voters
All
Would definitely vote the same way Would probably vote the same way
Would probably change my vote Would definitely change my vote
Would not vote at all Don’t know
4. 4June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
How does the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the European Union make you feel,
38%
41%
12%
9%
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
if at all?
All Leave voters Remain voters
More hopeful
for the future
Less hopeful
for the future
Neither Don’t know
80%
3%
11%
6% 2%
83%
9%
6%
5. 5June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
“I don’t want to see another General Election this year”
16%
26%
19%
13%
14%
14%
24%
27%
27%
19%
11%
14%
23%
17%
19%
5%
4%
7%
Remain voters
Leave voters
All
Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither agree nor disagree Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
6. 6June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
“The currently elected Government and MPs do not reflect the views of the
20%
35%
26%
25%
32%
28%
32%
22%
28%
12%
5%
7%
4%
4%
4%
7%
2%
7%
Remain voters
Leave voters
All
Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither agree nor disagree Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
British public towards the European Union”
7. 7June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
To what extent, if at all, do you agree or disagree with the following statements?
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
“There should be another General Election before negotiations start so that people can
35%
22%
27%
24%
20%
21%
16%
24%
22%
10%
13%
10%
9%
18%
13%
6%
3%
7%
Remain voters
Leave voters
All
Strongly agree Tend to agree Neither agree nor disagree Tend to disagree Strongly disagree Don’t know
vote on political parties’ plans for Britain’s future relationship with the European Union”
8. 8June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
80%
7%
13%
Now that the referendum is over, some have suggested that Britain will stay in
61%16%
22%
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
the European Union despite the public voting to leave it. How about you, do you think
All Leave voters Remain voters
Britain will leave the European
Union
Britain will remain a member
of the European Union
Don’t know
49%
27%
24%
Britain will remain a member of the European Union or will it leave the European Union?
9. 9June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
How confident, if at all, are you in Britain’s political leaders to get the best possible
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
terms of exit for Britain from the European Union?
3%
9%
6%
15%
36%
24%
41%
32%
35%
35%
14%
24%
6%
9%
11%
Remain voters
Leave voters
All
Very confident Fairly confident Not very confident Not at all confident Don’t know
10. 10June 2016 Newsnight Post referendum poll | Version 1 | Public
Source: Ipsos MORIBase: 1,077 online GB adults aged 18-75 29th– 30th June 2016 (426 leave voters and 548 remain voters)
67%
18%
42%
17%
16%
20%
16%
66%
38%
Remain voters
Leave voters
All
Britain should continue to allow European Union
citizens to come and live and work in Britain in
return for access to the EU single market
Britain should stop European Union citizens coming to
live and work in Britain with new immigration rules even
if that restricted Britain’s access to the EU single market
Don’t
know
And now that Britain has decided to leave the European Union which of the
following statements comes closest to your view?
11. Document Name Here | Month 2016 | Version 1 | Public | Internal Use Only | Confidential | Strictly Confidential (DELETE CLASSIFICATION) 11