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Ipsos MORI Issues Index - January 2018

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The January Ipsos MORI Issues Index records a rise in concern about the NHS – since December 2017 the proportion who consider it to be a big issue facing the country has risen by ten percentage points, to 55%. Apart from a peak of 61% in May last year, this is the highest score since 2002. It has displaced Brexit as the biggest issue facing the country overall, although worries about Europe are still close to the highest recorded score, with almost half of the British public concerned (46%).

When asked about the single biggest issue facing Britain the order is reversed, with the largest proportion of the public (29%) mentioning Brexit and fewer (18%) saying it is the NHS. However, the gap has closed somewhat this month.

Publicada em: Notícias e política
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Ipsos MORI Issues Index - January 2018

  1. 1. January 2018 IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000
  2. 2. 2 Issues Facing Britain – January Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 55% 46% 20% 20% 19% 19% 17% 14% 14% 12% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Housing Education/schools Poverty/Inequality Economy Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism +10 -5 -1 -1 -3 -3 +2 -1 +2 % Change since Dec: Position Top mentions % +1 -2 +1 -1 +1 +1 -1 +1 +2 -2
  3. 3. 3 Issues Facing Britain – January What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 55% 46% 20% 20% 19% 19% 17% 14% 14% 12% 18% 29% 9% 4% 2% 4% 6% 2% 3% 2% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Housing Education/schools Poverty/Inequality Economy Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018
  4. 4. 4 Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT
  5. 5. 5 Issues Facing Britain: Ten Year Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jan 2008 Jan 2009 Jan 2010 Jan 2011 Jan 2012 Jan 2013 Jan 2014 Jan 2015 Jan 2016 Jan 2017 Jan 2018 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT
  6. 6. 6 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% May-10 Feb-11 Nov-11 Aug-12 May-13 Feb-14 Nov-14 Aug-15 May-16 Feb-17 Nov-17 Issues Facing Britain: Single Biggest Issue 2010 - 2018 What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY DEFENCE/ TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT
  7. 7. 7 Cameron becomes PM GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Lowest score since December 1985 (12%) Highest score since April 2002 (61%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  8. 8. 8 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / EU / Brexit What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Treaty of Accession: ten new EU Member States France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution Lowest score recorded (1%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 51%: Highest recorded score
  9. 9. 9 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index EU Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest concern ever recorded (56%)
  10. 10. 10 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Global recession and Russian Financial crisis Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for the first time Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Northern Rock nationalised Lowest score since December 2007 (17%)
  11. 11. 11 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years Minimum wage introduced Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% Lowest ever score (5%) Youth unemployment reaches 1 million Lowest score since July 2008 (10%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  12. 12. 12 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Introduction of university tuition fees; Education most important issue First City Academies introduced Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%) Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools Highest score since September 2006 (27%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  13. 13. 13 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May day riots Riots across England Lowest score since March 1991 (8%)
  14. 14. 14 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 9/11 “7/7” London Bombing Invasion of Iraq UK withdraws from Iraq War in Kosovo Parliamentary vote against action in Syria NATO bombing in Libya Rise of IS Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Paris attacks and Parliamentary vote for action against IS in Syria London Bridge attack
  15. 15. 15 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty December 2016: highest score recorded (20%) January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  16. 16. 16 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%) Inflation rate hits 16 year peak Inflation rises to 3.4% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  17. 17. 17 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Highest score since October 1974 (22%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  18. 18. 18 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Equitable Life sells its non-profit pension annuities Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-off from state benefits Gordon Brown unveils pension credits Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Lowest ever score (3%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  19. 19. 19 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PMCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Wettest Autumn since records began – widespread flooding Nine killed in gales across Britain and EU proposes carbon emission cuts of 20% by 2020 Winter flooding and storms Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  20. 20. 20 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Highest recorded score (15%)
  21. 21. 21 Issues Facing Britain: Party support Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 55% 57% 35% 17% 16% 14% 19% 20% 17% 20% 59% 48% 9% 22% 24% 23% 19% 12% 14% 7% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Housing Education Poverty/Inequality Economy Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
  22. 22. 22 Issues Facing Britain: Men and women Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 53% 50% 19% 17% 17% 15% 24% 12% 12% 13% 58% 43% 21% 23% 21% 23% 10% 16% 15% 11% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Housing Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Economy Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % MEN WOMEN
  23. 23. 23 Issues Facing Britain: Social grade Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 62% 55% 19% 20% 23% 21% 19% 13% 16% 14% 48% 37% 22% 19% 14% 16% 15% 15% 11% 9% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Housing Education Poverty/Inequality Economy Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % ABC1 C2DE
  24. 24. 24 Issues Facing Britain: Age group Base: 1010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 50% 38% 9% 24% 19% 17% 15% 11% 9% 11% 59% 46% 24% 20% 22% 24% 22% 16% 14% 14% 57% 53% 26% 17% 16% 16% 14% 15% 17% 11% NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe Immigration/immigrants Housing Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Economy Crime/Law and Order/ASB Ageing population/social care Defence/foreign affairs/terrorism Top mentions % 18-34 35-54 55+
  25. 25. 25 Issues Facing Britain: Age and social grade What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 64% 59% 22% EU/Brexit NHS Immigration 66% 55% 29% NHS EU/Brexit Education 60% 43% 22% NHS EU/Brexit Education 55% 43% 31% NHS EU/Brexit Immigration 48% 31% 25% NHS EU/Brexit Immigration 38% 33% 30% NHS EU/Brexit Housing 18-3435-5455+ ABC1 C2DE Social grade Agebracket
  26. 26. 26 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about Brexit/EU by subgroup Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group: 58% 35% 40% 64% Concern by region: 46% 50% 43% 57% 48% 62% 47% 46% 29% Overall Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups: 43% 42% 36% 47% 52% 55%45% Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeGender Party support
  27. 27. 27 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about the NHS by subgroup Base: 1,010 British adults 18+, 12 – 22 January 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the NHS by age group: 50% 54% 53% 65% Concern by region: 55% 53% 58% 55% 59% 65% 59% 51% 45% Overall Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups: 51% 50% 50% 58% 54% 60%59% Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeGender Party support
  28. 28. January 2018 IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX For more information contact: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com

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