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Ipsos MORI Issues Index - August 2018

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Ipsos MORI's Issues Index for August 2018 shows public concern about Britain and Europe remaining at the same record level measured in July. Fifty-seven per cent see European issues as one of the biggest concerns and 44% name it as the single biggest worry, compared with 58% and 45% last month.

Concern about the NHS has fallen by six percentage points since last month to the lowest level of worry recorded this year. However, it is still mentioned by 40% of the British public (including 9% who consider it the biggest single issue), making it the second-biggest issue by a considerable margin. The next-biggest issue is immigration, a concern for 20%.

Publicada em: Notícias e política
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Ipsos MORI Issues Index - August 2018

  1. 1. IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX Contacts: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com 020 7347 3000 August 2018
  2. 2. 2 Issues Facing Britain – August Base: 1,020 British adults 18+, 3 – 14 August 2018 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 57% 40% 20% 18% 18% 17% 15% 14% 12% 11% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Housing Crime/Law and Order/ASB Economy Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Lack of faith in politicians/government Pollution/environment -1 +1 0 % Change since July: Position Top mentions % +1 +2 +1 0 -6 -3 +1 +2 -1 +1 -2 +2
  3. 3. 3 Issues Facing Britain – August What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 57% 40% 20% 18% 18% 17% 15% 14% 12% 11% 44% 9% 6% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Housing Crime/Law and Order/ASB Economy Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Lack of faith in politicians/government Pollution/environment Top mentions % MOST/OTHER IMPORTANT ISSUES MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE Base: 1,020 British adults 18+, 3 – 14 August 2018
  4. 4. 4 Issues Facing Britain: Long Term Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 NHS UNEMPLOYMENT CRIME/LAW & ORDER ECONOMY IMMIGRATION EU/BREXIT
  5. 5. 5 Issues Facing Britain: Ten Year Trends Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Aug 2008 Aug 2009 Aug 2010 Aug 2011 Aug 2012 Aug 2013 Aug 2014 Aug 2015 Aug 2016 Aug 2017 Aug 2018 NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY HOUSING UNEMPLOYMENT
  6. 6. 6 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% May-10 Feb-11 Nov-11 Aug-12 May-13 Feb-14 Nov-14 Aug-15 May-16 Feb-17 Nov-17 Aug-18 Issues Facing Britain: Single Biggest Issue 2010 - 2018 What do you see as the most important issue facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index NHS EU/BREXIT IMMIGRATION ECONOMY DEFENCE/TERRORISM UNEMPLOYMENT
  7. 7. 7 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Common Market / Europe / EU / Brexit What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Treaty of Accession: ten new EU Member States France and Holland reject ratification of EU constitution Lowest score recorded (1%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home 58%: Highest score recorded (since 1974)
  8. 8. 8 Cameron becomes PM GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: NHS / Hospitals / Healthcare What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Report says waiting lists have doubled under Labour Lowest score since December 1985 (12%) Highest score since April 2002 (61%) Source: Ipsos MORI Issues IndexBase: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  9. 9. 9 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Immigration / Immigrants Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home NB Until Sept 2014 the code was race relations/immigration/immigrants What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index Cameron becomes PM 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Border controls relaxed for “A8” EU Countries (Poland, etc.) EU Border controls relaxed for Romanians and Bulgarians Highest concern ever recorded (56%)
  10. 10. 10 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Economy / Economic situation What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Global recession and Russian Financial crisis Highest score since 1992; Most important issue for the first time Sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Northern Rock nationalised Lowest score since December 2007 (16%)
  11. 11. 11 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Unemployment / Factory closure / Lack of industry What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Unemployment falls below 1 million for first time in 25 years Minimum wage introduced Unemployment in Britain rises to 5.5% Lowest ever score (5%) Youth unemployment reaches 1 million Lowest score since August 2008 (8%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  12. 12. 12 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PMCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Education / Schools What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Introduction of university tuition fees; Education the most important issue First City Academies introduced Lowest score since Dec 1985 (9%) Labour’s second term - pledge to improve failing secondary schools Highest score since September 2006 (27%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  13. 13. 13 GE 2017 Vote for Brexit; May becomes PMCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Crime / Law & Order / Violence / Vandalism / ASB Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 May day riots Riots across England Lowest score since March 1991 (8%) Highest score since November 2011 (23%)
  14. 14. 14 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Defence / Foreign Affairs / International terrorism What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 9/11 “7/7” London Bombing Invasion of Iraq UK withdraws from Iraq War in Kosovo Parliamentary vote against action in Syria NATO bombing in Libya Rise of IS Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Paris attacks and Parliamentary vote for action against IS in Syria London Bridge attack
  15. 15. 15 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Poverty/inequality What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Sept 1999: Alastair Darling – “one child in three” living in poverty December 2016: highest recorded score (20%) January 2005: Make Poverty History campaign launched on New Year’s Day Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  16. 16. 16 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Inflation/Prices What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Lowest score since Sep 2007 (4%) Inflation rate hits 16 year peak Inflation rises to 3.4% Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  17. 17. 17 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Housing What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Highest score since October 1974 (22%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  18. 18. 18 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pensions/Social Security/Benefits What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Equitable Life sells its non-profit pension annuities Labour proposes ‘affluence testing’ to exclude the well-off from state benefits Gordon Brown unveils pension credits Pensions commission report – “more than 12 million working people are not saving enough for their retirement” Lowest ever score (3%) Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  19. 19. 19 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PMCameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Pollution / Environment What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 25 May 1997 May 1998 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Widespread flooding during wet autumn Nine killed in gales across Britain Winter flooding and storms Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home
  20. 20. 20 GE 2017Vote for Brexit; May becomes PM Cameron becomes PM Issues Facing Britain: Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 0 5 10 15 20 May 1999 May 2000 May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005 May 2006 May 2007 May 2008 May 2009 May 2010 May 2011 May 2012 May 2013 May 2014 May 2015 May 2016 May 2017 May 2018 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Highest recorded score (15%)
  21. 21. 21 Issues Facing Britain: Party support What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 79% 45% 23% 17% 24% 17% 21% 10% 13% 18% 54% 47% 23% 24% 20% 19% 17% 18% 12% 9% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Housing Crime/Law and Order/ASB Economy Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Lack of faith in politicians/government Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,020 British adults 18+, 3 – 14 August 2018 CONSERVATIVE SUPPORTERS LABOUR SUPPORTERS
  22. 22. 22 Issues Facing Britain: Men and women What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 64% 37% 23% 19% 19% 19% 17% 12% 13% 10% 51% 43% 18% 18% 18% 15% 14% 16% 11% 12% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Housing Crime/Law and Order/ASB Economy Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Lack of faith in politicians/government Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 MEN WOMEN
  23. 23. 23 Issues Facing Britain: Social grade What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 70% 43% 20% 19% 17% 18% 18% 16% 13% 15% 42% 37% 21% 18% 19% 16% 12% 11% 10% 6% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Housing Crime/Law and Order/ASB Economy Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Lack of faith in politicians/government Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 ABC1 C2DE
  24. 24. 24 Issues Facing Britain: Age group What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 47% 35% 19% 19% 14% 18% 16% 11% 11% 11% 59% 40% 20% 20% 21% 19% 18% 20% 8% 9% 65% 45% 22% 16% 18% 14% 12% 12% 15% 13% Common Market/Brexit/EU/Europe NHS/Hospitals/Healthcare Immigration/immigrants Housing Crime/Law and Order/ASB Economy Education/Schools Poverty/Inequality Lack of faith in politicians/government Pollution/environment Top mentions % Base: 1,027 British adults 18+, 6 – 16 July 2018 18-34 35-54 55+
  25. 25. 25 Issues Facing Britain: Age and social grade What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? Top three issues by age and social grade Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index 78% 44% 21% EU/Brexit NHS Immigration 74% 45% 21% EU/Brexit NHS Housing 55% 39% 20% EU/Brexit NHS Immigration 50% 46% 23% EU/Brexit NHS Immigration 34% 33% 23% EU/Brexit NHS Immigration 37% 30% 19% EU/Brexit NHS Economy/hous… 18-3435-5455+ ABC1 C2DE Social grade Agebracket Base: 1,020 British adults 18+, 3 – 14 August 2018 Economy/ Housing
  26. 26. 26 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about Brexit/EU by subgroup What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? EU/Europe/Brexit Ipsos MORI Issues Index 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Concern about the EU/Brexit by age group: 53% 56% 54% 72% Concern by region: 57% 64% 51% 79% 54% 76% 64% 53% 32% Overall Concern about the EU/Brexit by key demographic groups: 45% 47% 46% 59% 68% 62%58% Men Women CON LAB Social GradeGender Party support Base: 1,020 British adults 18+, 3 – 14 August 2018 AB C1 C2 DE
  27. 27. 27 Issues Facing Britain: Concern about NHS by subgroup What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? NHS Ipsos MORI Issues Index Concern about the NHS by age group: 34% 43% 34% 50% Concern by region: 40% 37% 43% 45% 47% 41% 44% 42% 33% Overall Concern about the NHS by key demographic groups: 36% Men Women CON LAB AB C1 C2 DE Social GradeGender Party support Base: 1,020 British adults 18+, 3 – 14 August 2018 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 37% 33% 44% 48% 43%36%
  28. 28. IPSOS MORI ISSUES INDEX August 2018 For more information contact: Gideon.Skinner@ipsos.com Michael.Clemence@ipsos.com

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