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2016 Predictions Poll

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An Ipsos MORI poll of just over 1,000 British adults finds expectations of a terrorist attack on British soil have risen sharply, with three in four of us fearing the worst for next year.

Publicada em: Notícias e política
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2016 Predictions Poll

  1. 1. PREDICTIONS
  2. 2. Predictions - Political 2 I’D NOW LIKE TO ASK YOU SOME QUESTIONS ABOUT WHAT YOU THINK MIGHT HAPPEN IN 2016. FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING, PLEASE TELL ME HOW LIKELY OR UNLIKELY YOU THINK THEY ARE TO HAPPEN Source: Ipsos MORIBase: c.500 British adults 18+, 12th – 14th December 2015 LIKELY UNLIKELY DON’T KNOW 17% 34% 39% 45% 53% 77% 44% 51% 27% 41% 6% 22% 10% 28% 7% Jeremy Corbyn will still be leader of the Labour Party by the end of the year Zac Goldsmith, the Conservative candidate will be elected Mayor of London The EU referendum will be held before the end of the year Sadiq Khan, the Labour candidate will be elected Mayor of London Donald Trump will be elected President of the United States
  3. 3. Predictions – Security and defence 3 I’D NOW LIKE TO ASK YOU SOME QUESTIONS ABOUT WHAT YOU THINK MIGHT HAPPEN IN 2016. FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING, PLEASE TELL ME HOW LIKELY OR UNLIKELY YOU THINK THEY ARE TO HAPPEN Source: Ipsos MORIBase: c.500 British adults 18+, 12th – 14th December 2015 LIKELY UNLIKELY DON’T KNOW 58% 49% 74% 39% 45% 21% 3% 6% 5% A major terrorist attack will be carried out in the UK British ground troops will be sent to Syria A major terrorist attack will be carried out in the UK – Dec 2014
  4. 4. 16% 17% 19% 35% 39% 80% 73% 51% 44% 48% 4% 10% 30% 21% 12% Predictions – Sport and society 4 I’D NOW LIKE TO ASK YOU SOME QUESTIONS ABOUT WHAT YOU THINK MIGHT HAPPEN IN 2016. FOR EACH OF THE FOLLOWING, PLEASE TELL ME HOW LIKELY OR UNLIKELY YOU THINK THEY ARE TO HAPPEN Source: Ipsos MORIBase: c.500 British adults 18+, 12th – 14th December 2015 LIKELY UNLIKELY DON’T KNOW Britain will win more medals at the Rio de Janeiro Olympic Games than in the London 2012 Olympics Prince Harry will get engaged The pop group One Direction will re-form before the end of the year England will get to the final of the football European Championships We will find life on Mars
  5. 5. 22% 30% 36% 52% 60% 47% 70% 58% 40% 34% 37% 33% 39% 24% 20% 18% 27% 7% 4% 13% 5% 13% 2% 5% 4% Predictions - Economic 5 IN 2016, DO YOU THINK THAT EACH OF THE FOLLOWING WILL RISE, FALL, OR STAY ABOUT THE SAME LEVEL? EACH OF THE FOLLOWING, PLEASE TELL ME HOW LIKELY OR UNLIKELY YOU THINK THEY ARE TO HAPPEN Source: Ipsos MORIBase: c500 British adults 18+, 12th-14th December 2015 The number of immigrants coming in to the country The number of immigrants coming in to the country- December 2014 Mortgage interest rates The rate of inflation Your own standard of living RISE FALL STAY THE SAME DON’T KNOW The number of people unemployed in this country The value of the pound against the euro
  6. 6. Unemployment and standard of living - trends 6 IN [THE NEXT YEAR], DO YOU THINK THAT EACH OF THE FOLLOWING WILL RISE, FALL, OR STAY ABOUT THE SAME LEVEL? 18 19 21 22 51 63 61 58 31 17 17 20 2 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 56 44 30 36 27 27 35 34 15 29 33 27 1 1 2 20 10 20 30 40 50 60 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 The number of unemployed people in this country Your own standard of living RISE FALL STAY THE SAME DON’T KNOW Base: Circa 500 British adults interviewed each year
  7. 7. Inflation and interest rates - trends 7 IN [THE NEXT YEAR], DO YOU THINK THAT EACH OF THE FOLLOWING WILL RISE, FALL, OR STAY ABOUT THE SAME LEVEL? 38 52 57 60 4 4 6 4 51 39 31 33 6 5 6 4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 56 52 52 52 36 36 36 37 5 10 8 7 3 3 4 5 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 The rate of inflation Mortgage interest rates RISE FALL STAY THE SAME DON’T KNOW Base: Circa 500 British adults interviewed each year
  8. 8. 2015 POLITICAL MONITOR

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