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Integrating Care – what are the
possibilities?

November 14, 2013

CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY
Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
Pace of change in the healthcare industry has been slow to date
Physician’s office – then vs. now
1908

2012

Modern medicine is still using fairly primitive technology

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 1
Rising financial pressure to change…
Share of healthcare costs as part of GDP
%1
Country

<10

2008

2015

2020

2025

10-15

>15

2030

Korea

5.9

6.7

7.4

8.1

8.9

Hong Kong

6.0

6.8

7.5

8.2

9.0

Spain

7.8

8.9

9.7

10.7

11.7

Italy

8.8

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.2

U.K.

9.3

10.6

11.6

12.7

14.0

Ireland

9.4

11.9

13.0

14.4

15.8

Australia

10.5

10.5

13.1

14.4

15.8

Canada

10.8

12.3

13.5

14.8

16.2

Germany

10.8

12.3

13.5

14.8

16.2

France

11.2

12.7

14.0

15.3

16.8

U.S.

16.1

18.3

20.1

22.0

24.2

1 Assumptions: Healthcare spending increases 1.9 basis points faster than OECD GDP Growth Forecasts (OECD historical rate)
SOURCE: OECD Policy Implications of the New Economy – 2000-50, 2001; Global Insight WMM, 2000-37; Espicom: World PharmaMcKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy
ceutical Fact Book, 2008; International Monetary Fund; World Economic Outlook Database, October 2009; McKinsey

| 2
Despite Ireland having low diabetes prevalence and death rates, patient
expenditure is still high
Diabetes burden across 15 European Countries
Estimated burden of disease
Diabetes prevalence

Diabetes related deaths
7.5
7.2
6.9
6.5
6.2
6.2
6.0
5.6
5.4
5.0
4.6
4.3
4.0
3.9

10.0
9.3
8.5
8.4
8.2
8.1
7.8
7.5
7.4
7.0
6.6
6.4
5.7
5.6
3.9

Average = 7.4 %

2.6
Average = 5.4 deaths per 10,000

SOURCE: International Diabetes Federation, 2012

Diabetes £ per person
9.3
9.2
7.7
7.0
6.6
6.3
6.1
5.9
5.6
5.6
5.4
5.1
4.2
3.5
3.3
Average= £ 6.0k
McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 3
What patients want – Patient’s Experience of Hospital Services
“Staff nurses, doctors and support workers
were efficient, friendly and put my
needs first…”

“Being on a waiting list over a year is not
acceptable. At 77 years old it is too long
to wait.”

“Patients are endlessly asked the same
questions and you feel no one consults
those notes to avoid asking them again.

“The multi disciplinary team gave me the
support and information I required, all
administered in a professional and cheerful
climate.”
SOURCE: Irish Society for Quality & Safety in Healthcare, 2011

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 4
The consequences of continuing in a ‘business as usual’ way across the
system will be significant
Patients

▪
▪

Face reduced access to services,
There is less flexibility in treatment options

Payors and health systems

▪

Increased spending on acute services at the expense
of social, mental and prevention activities

▪

Disputes with providers may increase,

▪
▪

Unless
addressed this
will lead to an
increase in
poorly treated
and
undiagnosed
patients who
will further
reinforce
strains across
the system

Face major financial challenges

Providers

Challenge of delivering more with less

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 5
Integrated care can help address these challenges

Goals of integrated care

▪

Empower patients, users and their carers

▪

Provide better and more pro-active care for a
specific group of patients that are most at risk

▪

Provide the best possible quality of care at the
minimum necessary costs

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 6
Our research and work across the globe shows that successful integrated
care systems require three core building blocks

Success in integrated care

A Address specific patient needs …
Patient cohorts

Very high risk

B … by working in a multi-disciplinary
system …
1 Clinical
protocols and
care packages
2 Care
coordination
and planning

High risk
Moderate risk
Low risk
Very low risk

3 Case
conference
4 Performance
review

C … supported by key enablers

Aligned incentives
and reimbursement
models

Accountability
and joint
decision-making

Information
transparency and
decision support

Clinical leadership
and team working

Patient engagement

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 7
A First, understand the needs of the population you are trying to serve…
2010/11 data, 4 London CCGs

Health spend

Average cost per
capita per annum, £

Population

Very
high

4,757

High

Moderate

Low risk

322,609

378,020

Total/average

~890,000

188

8,700

142,773

Very low

1 Includes elective admissions, outpatient, and A&E

Total spend, £m

39,600

41,675

Social care spend

327

2,400

354

160x difference in cost!

500

300

186

104

1,230

1,168

2 Includes community health & primary care

SOURCE: McKinsey team analysis, NHS NWL data; HES 2010/11, FIMS, Q research/NHS
Information centre, PSSEX; NHS Reference Costs

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 8
B What does a Multi-Disciplinary Team do?

The MDT uses an
information tool to
stratify these patients
by risk of emergency
admission

Patient registry

Each patient is then given
an individual integrated
care plan that varies
according to risk and need

Performance review





Care planning
Care delivery1

Risk stratification
GP

The MDT meets regularly
to review its performance
and decide how it can
improve its ways of
working to meet its goals

A small number of the
most complex patients
will be discussed at a
multi-disciplinary case
conference, which will
help plan and
coordinate care

Practice nurse
Case conference

District nurseSocial care
worker

Community Community
pharmacistMental Health

Each MDT holds a register of
all patients who are part of the
IC programme

All providers in the MDT agree
to provide high quality care as
laid out in recommended
pathways and protocols

Shared clinical protocols

Patients receive care from a range of
providers across settings, with primary
care playing the crucial co-ordinating role
and everybody using the IC IT tool to
coordinate delivery of care

1 Icons are illustrative only: any number of other professionals may be involved in a patient’s care,
a case conference or performance review

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 9
C Beyond care delivery, enablers are crucial
… supported by key enablers

Reimbursement
& incentives

▪ Significant
▪
▪
▪

(30%+)
At scale (30%+)
Sustained (3-5
years)
Align risk and
reward across
system

SOURCE: McKinsey & Company

Governance

▪ CEOs & Boards
▪

▪

commitment of
resources
Bind in payors,
hospitals,
primary care and
local
government
Hold to account
for delivery

Information

▪ Support
– Patient

▪

records
– Clinical
decision
making
– Peer
pressure
– Payment
Solve
Information
governance

Clinical
leadership

▪ Role model
▪
▪

▪

behaviour
Deliver
consistently
Hold peers to
account
Work within
team

Patient
engagement

▪ Empower
▪

patients with
informed choice
Make use of
behavioural
economics

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 10
CONFIDENTIAL: Not for onward distribution

→ ChenMed: Aims to minimise avoidable hospital admissions through
intensive primary care and aligned incentives
Description

▪
▪

ChenMed medical centres are set up to look/feel like a quiet A&E
with rapid access for unscheduled appointments available, to
reduce patient A&E use

▪

Each centre at capacity – 5 primary care physicians, 10-15
specialists rotating through, 2200+ Medicare patients

▪

Task-shifting is used extensively with trained, but unqualified, health
assistants carrying out routine clinical tasks (such as BP monitoring,
clinical measurements, administration)

▪

Patient
experience

ChenMed offers patients regular appointments with their named
Primary Care Provider; numbers predetermined by the risk
stratification model (min. 1 per month)

ChenMed aims to offer most services under one roof including
primary care, outpatient care, diagnostics, dental care, pharmacy
and complementary medicine including acupuncture

How care is
organised

SOURCE: Source

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 11
CONFIDENTIAL: Not for onward distribution

→ Torbay: Integrated health and social care teams are co-located in zones
Patients and providers have one number to call

SC
Lead
If a patient comes
to A&E and does not
require admission to
hospital, the acute trust
contacts the zone and
the Health and Social
Care Coordinator
contacts various
agencies to make sure
the patient is able to go
home or receive
temporary placement
if needed

OT
Lead

Front desk
Nurse
Lead

HSCC Manager
Admin

DN
team

IC
team

Physio
Lead

GP Triage
Desk

Lead
P.A.
Zone
Lead

Note: DN – District Nurse; SW – Social Worker; CCW – Community C.Worker; HSCC – Health and Social Care Co-ordinator; RCO – Referral
Co-ordinators; IC – Intermediate Care Team

SOURCE: Torquay North Health and Social care team

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 12
Key questions for consideration in the Irish context

▪

What is the appropriate model of primary
and community based services in Ireland
(Chen Med/Torbay/other)?

▪

Which of the key enablers would be most
important in driving change
(reimbursement, IT, clinical leadership)?

▪

What will it take to effect this change at
scale in this country?

McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy

| 13

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Sorcha Mckenna, Head of Healthcare Practice, McKinsey

  • 1. Integrating Care – what are the possibilities? November 14, 2013 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY Any use of this material without specific permission of McKinsey & Company is strictly prohibited
  • 2. Pace of change in the healthcare industry has been slow to date Physician’s office – then vs. now 1908 2012 Modern medicine is still using fairly primitive technology McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 1
  • 3. Rising financial pressure to change… Share of healthcare costs as part of GDP %1 Country <10 2008 2015 2020 2025 10-15 >15 2030 Korea 5.9 6.7 7.4 8.1 8.9 Hong Kong 6.0 6.8 7.5 8.2 9.0 Spain 7.8 8.9 9.7 10.7 11.7 Italy 8.8 10.0 11.0 12.0 13.2 U.K. 9.3 10.6 11.6 12.7 14.0 Ireland 9.4 11.9 13.0 14.4 15.8 Australia 10.5 10.5 13.1 14.4 15.8 Canada 10.8 12.3 13.5 14.8 16.2 Germany 10.8 12.3 13.5 14.8 16.2 France 11.2 12.7 14.0 15.3 16.8 U.S. 16.1 18.3 20.1 22.0 24.2 1 Assumptions: Healthcare spending increases 1.9 basis points faster than OECD GDP Growth Forecasts (OECD historical rate) SOURCE: OECD Policy Implications of the New Economy – 2000-50, 2001; Global Insight WMM, 2000-37; Espicom: World PharmaMcKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy ceutical Fact Book, 2008; International Monetary Fund; World Economic Outlook Database, October 2009; McKinsey | 2
  • 4. Despite Ireland having low diabetes prevalence and death rates, patient expenditure is still high Diabetes burden across 15 European Countries Estimated burden of disease Diabetes prevalence Diabetes related deaths 7.5 7.2 6.9 6.5 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.4 5.0 4.6 4.3 4.0 3.9 10.0 9.3 8.5 8.4 8.2 8.1 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.0 6.6 6.4 5.7 5.6 3.9 Average = 7.4 % 2.6 Average = 5.4 deaths per 10,000 SOURCE: International Diabetes Federation, 2012 Diabetes £ per person 9.3 9.2 7.7 7.0 6.6 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.1 4.2 3.5 3.3 Average= £ 6.0k McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 3
  • 5. What patients want – Patient’s Experience of Hospital Services “Staff nurses, doctors and support workers were efficient, friendly and put my needs first…” “Being on a waiting list over a year is not acceptable. At 77 years old it is too long to wait.” “Patients are endlessly asked the same questions and you feel no one consults those notes to avoid asking them again. “The multi disciplinary team gave me the support and information I required, all administered in a professional and cheerful climate.” SOURCE: Irish Society for Quality & Safety in Healthcare, 2011 McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 4
  • 6. The consequences of continuing in a ‘business as usual’ way across the system will be significant Patients ▪ ▪ Face reduced access to services, There is less flexibility in treatment options Payors and health systems ▪ Increased spending on acute services at the expense of social, mental and prevention activities ▪ Disputes with providers may increase, ▪ ▪ Unless addressed this will lead to an increase in poorly treated and undiagnosed patients who will further reinforce strains across the system Face major financial challenges Providers Challenge of delivering more with less McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 5
  • 7. Integrated care can help address these challenges Goals of integrated care ▪ Empower patients, users and their carers ▪ Provide better and more pro-active care for a specific group of patients that are most at risk ▪ Provide the best possible quality of care at the minimum necessary costs McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 6
  • 8. Our research and work across the globe shows that successful integrated care systems require three core building blocks Success in integrated care A Address specific patient needs … Patient cohorts Very high risk B … by working in a multi-disciplinary system … 1 Clinical protocols and care packages 2 Care coordination and planning High risk Moderate risk Low risk Very low risk 3 Case conference 4 Performance review C … supported by key enablers Aligned incentives and reimbursement models Accountability and joint decision-making Information transparency and decision support Clinical leadership and team working Patient engagement McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 7
  • 9. A First, understand the needs of the population you are trying to serve… 2010/11 data, 4 London CCGs Health spend Average cost per capita per annum, £ Population Very high 4,757 High Moderate Low risk 322,609 378,020 Total/average ~890,000 188 8,700 142,773 Very low 1 Includes elective admissions, outpatient, and A&E Total spend, £m 39,600 41,675 Social care spend 327 2,400 354 160x difference in cost! 500 300 186 104 1,230 1,168 2 Includes community health & primary care SOURCE: McKinsey team analysis, NHS NWL data; HES 2010/11, FIMS, Q research/NHS Information centre, PSSEX; NHS Reference Costs McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 8
  • 10. B What does a Multi-Disciplinary Team do? The MDT uses an information tool to stratify these patients by risk of emergency admission Patient registry Each patient is then given an individual integrated care plan that varies according to risk and need Performance review    Care planning Care delivery1 Risk stratification GP The MDT meets regularly to review its performance and decide how it can improve its ways of working to meet its goals A small number of the most complex patients will be discussed at a multi-disciplinary case conference, which will help plan and coordinate care Practice nurse Case conference District nurseSocial care worker Community Community pharmacistMental Health Each MDT holds a register of all patients who are part of the IC programme All providers in the MDT agree to provide high quality care as laid out in recommended pathways and protocols Shared clinical protocols Patients receive care from a range of providers across settings, with primary care playing the crucial co-ordinating role and everybody using the IC IT tool to coordinate delivery of care 1 Icons are illustrative only: any number of other professionals may be involved in a patient’s care, a case conference or performance review McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 9
  • 11. C Beyond care delivery, enablers are crucial … supported by key enablers Reimbursement & incentives ▪ Significant ▪ ▪ ▪ (30%+) At scale (30%+) Sustained (3-5 years) Align risk and reward across system SOURCE: McKinsey & Company Governance ▪ CEOs & Boards ▪ ▪ commitment of resources Bind in payors, hospitals, primary care and local government Hold to account for delivery Information ▪ Support – Patient ▪ records – Clinical decision making – Peer pressure – Payment Solve Information governance Clinical leadership ▪ Role model ▪ ▪ ▪ behaviour Deliver consistently Hold peers to account Work within team Patient engagement ▪ Empower ▪ patients with informed choice Make use of behavioural economics McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 10
  • 12. CONFIDENTIAL: Not for onward distribution → ChenMed: Aims to minimise avoidable hospital admissions through intensive primary care and aligned incentives Description ▪ ▪ ChenMed medical centres are set up to look/feel like a quiet A&E with rapid access for unscheduled appointments available, to reduce patient A&E use ▪ Each centre at capacity – 5 primary care physicians, 10-15 specialists rotating through, 2200+ Medicare patients ▪ Task-shifting is used extensively with trained, but unqualified, health assistants carrying out routine clinical tasks (such as BP monitoring, clinical measurements, administration) ▪ Patient experience ChenMed offers patients regular appointments with their named Primary Care Provider; numbers predetermined by the risk stratification model (min. 1 per month) ChenMed aims to offer most services under one roof including primary care, outpatient care, diagnostics, dental care, pharmacy and complementary medicine including acupuncture How care is organised SOURCE: Source McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 11
  • 13. CONFIDENTIAL: Not for onward distribution → Torbay: Integrated health and social care teams are co-located in zones Patients and providers have one number to call SC Lead If a patient comes to A&E and does not require admission to hospital, the acute trust contacts the zone and the Health and Social Care Coordinator contacts various agencies to make sure the patient is able to go home or receive temporary placement if needed OT Lead Front desk Nurse Lead HSCC Manager Admin DN team IC team Physio Lead GP Triage Desk Lead P.A. Zone Lead Note: DN – District Nurse; SW – Social Worker; CCW – Community C.Worker; HSCC – Health and Social Care Co-ordinator; RCO – Referral Co-ordinators; IC – Intermediate Care Team SOURCE: Torquay North Health and Social care team McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 12
  • 14. Key questions for consideration in the Irish context ▪ What is the appropriate model of primary and community based services in Ireland (Chen Med/Torbay/other)? ▪ Which of the key enablers would be most important in driving change (reimbursement, IT, clinical leadership)? ▪ What will it take to effect this change at scale in this country? McKinsey Clinical Leadership Academy | 13

Editor's Notes

  1. Finally we need to hear what patients are telling us – they are tired of waiting for care and they would like to be able to have continuity of care with people they feel have their best interests at heart
  2. Share a couple of examples on novel ways of providing integrated care focusing in the community that really start to get address these issuesChenmed – family owned practices (33 in North america) all identical in their infrastructure set up designed to provide better care for medicare patients – elderly/LTCs v defined population.30% fewer emergency admissions, consistently 98% patient satisfaction