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Nicola Cavalli
NuMediaBiOs – Università di Milano Bicocca
        Ledi Media Group - Italy


          Online Information
             21/11/2012




                               Nicola Cavalli
Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                     Nicola Cavalli
Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                     Nicola Cavalli
Est. % of total
Country      Total pop       % with internet                pop purchased
                                    use                           ebook
                 m                      %                           %
Australia         22                  89.8                         19
Brazil           203                  37.4                           7
France            65                  69.5                           3
Germany           82                  79.9                         10
India           1189                  10.2                           2
Japan            127                  80.0                           6
South Korea       49                  82.7                         12
Spain             47                  62.2                           8
UK                62                  82.0                         17
USA              313                  78.3                         16
                     Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                                            Nicola Cavalli
Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                     Nicola Cavalli
% of respondents downloading FREE eBook in past 6 months
                            53

     47
                                                   42


32                                                                 33
                                                                           30
                                                                                             25
                    23


            11                         11




                                                                        Base: All online adults




                             Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                                                  Nicola Cavalli
• Much of the world is catching up now with US in
  access to and experience with eBooks
• ‘Free’ in emerging markets still major source of
  access to eBooks
• High-tech countries do not always equate to high
  eBook penetration – e.g. France and Japan
• While only ~2% of Indian population has purchased
  an eBook – that number is > UK with 17%
  penetration
• It is always tricky to take this kind of stats to be
  completely true but they can help us to forecast
  trends

                                   Nicola Cavalli
Datas from LJ Annual Ebook Survey 2011


                 Nicola Cavalli
Nicola Cavalli
Baker and Taylor estimates


                  Nicola Cavalli
• Trade Market and Public Libraries are
  catching up with STM and research
  libraries in digital content adoption

• Trade growth will result in helping
  STM digital offering to grow further
  and become predominat in both
  journals and book


                          Nicola Cavalli
eBook Buying


                                                                  Very likely (4)        Fairly likely (3)


             29
                                         31


                                                                 23

   17                                                                                    16
                                                                                                         14
                                                                                 21
                                14
             29
                       12                23
                                                      9          18                      17              16
   15
                                10                                               9
                       6                              4

Australia   Brazil   France   Germany   India       Japan    S. Korea         Spain      UK            USA

                                                                                          Base: All online adults




                                              Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                                                                      Nicola Cavalli
Free eBook dowloading



                                                                       Very likely (4)   Fairly likely (3)

             25                          28


                                                                 33

                                                                                 28
   22
                                                                                         19
             54                                                                                           17
                                19       52
                       17
                                                                 34
   24                                                 15                         25      22               20
                                17
                       11
                                                      6

Australia   Brazil   France   Germany   India       Japan     S. Korea         Spain     UK              USA

                                                                                           Base: All online adults




                                              Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                                                                      Nicola Cavalli
No interest in eBook


     Country                                No interest past or
                                                  future - %
     Australia                                       45
     Brazil                                          16
     France                                          66
     Germany                                         56
     India                                            11
     Japan                                           72
     South Korea                                     26
     Spain                                           38
     UK                                                      52
     USA                                                     59

                       Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                                            Nicola Cavalli
Devices used most often for ereading

       PC/laptop        Tablet           Smartphone          Ereader                  Games console                  Other

    USA            23                          29                      11                               36                                1

     UK                 30                    14             15                                    36                               1 4

   Spain                           47                             18                    10                    22                        3

S. Korea                     37                         18                                    39                                    4 3

  Japan                                  59                                       12                    20                 11       7

   India                                       76                                                       9              11            23

Germany                            46                             18                     13                       22                      2

  France                            50                                           28                          12                 8       12

   Brazil                                     72                                                    14                 8        2 4

Australia                     40                             23                               22                       13               2

            0                 20                   40                       60                          80                              100
                                                                                                                   Base: All downloaderss




                                                    Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                                                                                 Nicola Cavalli
Where do the buy eBooks?

      Amazon/Kindle                                       Publishers                                                     Apple iBookstore/iTunes
      Indie booksellers                                   High street chains                                             Direct sellers/other
    USA                                             61                                               4         7         5                13                  11

     UK                                                  66                                                    4             11           3     6             10

   Spain                        30                             14               7          10                  17                                   23

S. Korea         5             16                   20                          16                          22                                      22

  Japan                  13          12                   19                          16                  11                                   29

   India                  16                   24                          11                    21                          10                      19

Germany                                   43                                     12             10                  12                7                  16

  France                       26                    12                         20               5                           27                               11

   Brazil            9                   23                   8                      21                             21                               19

Australia                           35                              10                     23                       8             8                      17

            0%                       20%                          40%                           60%                               80%                              100%
                                                                                                                                           Base: All paid downloaders


                                                                         Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker

                                                                                                         Nicola Cavalli
• Amazon plays a central role in US and UK
  eBook distribution, but other world
  regions tend to be more fractured…for
  now (remember when Amazon entered in
  each market)
• Devices are becoming more affordable
  and content more pervasive to emerging
  economies…so growth will continue to
  happen, if infrastructures hold.

                           Nicola Cavalli
• will evolve into providing different
  services, such as data-mining, data
  presentation, content
  aggregation, metrics…..

• PDA, DDA, rental models will become
  more popular



                             Nicola Cavalli
• As the academic will evolve into providing
  services (conversations, platforms) but
  product will remain central

• New products will emerge and become
  more popular (apps), more
  entertainment products than traditional
  books


                            Nicola Cavalli
E-textbook market is at least as large as
consumer market
Higher Education
        In US, most e-books are sold as part of online courses, or integrated with
        formative assessment systems
        Digital sales in US Higher Ed topped $750m in 2010, according to AAP
K-12
        Governments around the world are pushing the transition from print to digital
        textbooks

         E-textbooks are the tip of this iceberg
         Truly transformative digital learning requires more than simply ‘e’ing text
         books
         The focus of the digital transition in education isn’t about ebooks, it’s about
         accelerating the transformation of teaching and learning


                                                          Nicola Cavalli
• As the previous will evolve into providing
  services (complete online course
  solutions, learning communities, note
  sharing, personalization) but (e)-textbook
  will remain central

• Rental and chapter sales will grow
  (CourseSmart, Amazon, AcademicPub)


                            Nicola Cavalli
nicola.cavalli@gmail.com
nicola.cavalli@gmail.com www.ledigital.it
www.numediabios.eu       www.numediabios.eu
                         @nicolacavalli


                                Nicola Cavalli

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The Global Ebook Scene and Models - Nicola Cavalli

  • 1. Nicola Cavalli NuMediaBiOs – Università di Milano Bicocca Ledi Media Group - Italy Online Information 21/11/2012 Nicola Cavalli
  • 2. Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 3. Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 4. Est. % of total Country  Total pop % with internet pop purchased use ebook m % % Australia 22 89.8 19 Brazil 203 37.4 7 France 65 69.5 3 Germany 82 79.9 10 India 1189 10.2 2 Japan 127 80.0 6 South Korea 49 82.7 12 Spain 47 62.2 8 UK 62 82.0 17 USA 313 78.3 16 Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 5. Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 6. % of respondents downloading FREE eBook in past 6 months 53 47 42 32 33 30 25 23 11 11 Base: All online adults Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 7. • Much of the world is catching up now with US in access to and experience with eBooks • ‘Free’ in emerging markets still major source of access to eBooks • High-tech countries do not always equate to high eBook penetration – e.g. France and Japan • While only ~2% of Indian population has purchased an eBook – that number is > UK with 17% penetration • It is always tricky to take this kind of stats to be completely true but they can help us to forecast trends Nicola Cavalli
  • 8. Datas from LJ Annual Ebook Survey 2011 Nicola Cavalli
  • 10. Baker and Taylor estimates Nicola Cavalli
  • 11. • Trade Market and Public Libraries are catching up with STM and research libraries in digital content adoption • Trade growth will result in helping STM digital offering to grow further and become predominat in both journals and book Nicola Cavalli
  • 12. eBook Buying Very likely (4) Fairly likely (3) 29 31 23 17 16 14 21 14 29 12 23 9 18 17 16 15 10 9 6 4 Australia Brazil France Germany India Japan S. Korea Spain UK USA Base: All online adults Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 13. Free eBook dowloading Very likely (4) Fairly likely (3) 25 28 33 28 22 19 54 17 19 52 17 34 24 15 25 22 20 17 11 6 Australia Brazil France Germany India Japan S. Korea Spain UK USA Base: All online adults Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 14. No interest in eBook Country  No interest past or future - % Australia 45 Brazil 16 France 66 Germany 56 India 11 Japan 72 South Korea 26 Spain 38 UK 52 USA 59 Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 15. Devices used most often for ereading PC/laptop Tablet Smartphone Ereader Games console Other USA 23 29 11 36 1 UK 30 14 15 36 1 4 Spain 47 18 10 22 3 S. Korea 37 18 39 4 3 Japan 59 12 20 11 7 India 76 9 11 23 Germany 46 18 13 22 2 France 50 28 12 8 12 Brazil 72 14 8 2 4 Australia 40 23 22 13 2 0 20 40 60 80 100 Base: All downloaderss Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 16. Where do the buy eBooks? Amazon/Kindle Publishers Apple iBookstore/iTunes Indie booksellers High street chains Direct sellers/other USA 61 4 7 5 13 11 UK 66 4 11 3 6 10 Spain 30 14 7 10 17 23 S. Korea 5 16 20 16 22 22 Japan 13 12 19 16 11 29 India 16 24 11 21 10 19 Germany 43 12 10 12 7 16 France 26 12 20 5 27 11 Brazil 9 23 8 21 21 19 Australia 35 10 23 8 8 17 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Base: All paid downloaders Datas from Global eBook Monitor - Bowker Nicola Cavalli
  • 17. • Amazon plays a central role in US and UK eBook distribution, but other world regions tend to be more fractured…for now (remember when Amazon entered in each market) • Devices are becoming more affordable and content more pervasive to emerging economies…so growth will continue to happen, if infrastructures hold. Nicola Cavalli
  • 18. • will evolve into providing different services, such as data-mining, data presentation, content aggregation, metrics….. • PDA, DDA, rental models will become more popular Nicola Cavalli
  • 19. • As the academic will evolve into providing services (conversations, platforms) but product will remain central • New products will emerge and become more popular (apps), more entertainment products than traditional books Nicola Cavalli
  • 20. E-textbook market is at least as large as consumer market Higher Education In US, most e-books are sold as part of online courses, or integrated with formative assessment systems Digital sales in US Higher Ed topped $750m in 2010, according to AAP K-12 Governments around the world are pushing the transition from print to digital textbooks E-textbooks are the tip of this iceberg Truly transformative digital learning requires more than simply ‘e’ing text books The focus of the digital transition in education isn’t about ebooks, it’s about accelerating the transformation of teaching and learning Nicola Cavalli
  • 21. • As the previous will evolve into providing services (complete online course solutions, learning communities, note sharing, personalization) but (e)-textbook will remain central • Rental and chapter sales will grow (CourseSmart, Amazon, AcademicPub) Nicola Cavalli