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Wind Power Development in Pakistan




          29th February, 2012
HISTORIC SUPPLY AND DEMAND




                             2
E NE RGY SITUA TION IN PA KISTA N
               (FROM A DIFFE RE NT PE RSPE C TIVE )
 Total Population:                      180 Million
 Electricity Available to:              61%         (70 Million without power)
 Natural Gas Available to:              21%         (140 Million without piped gas)
 Diesel Imports                         4.5 Million Tones (50%)
 Yet there is shortages of Gas and Electricity leading to load shedding.


ENERGY DEMAND TO GROW FASTER:
      Pakistan has amongst the worlds highest and fastest rising urbanization. Under 15
      population 39%, pointing to spurt rather than gradual increase in energy demand
      Higher Economic and population growth, with highest rate of Urbanisation
AFFECTING AGRICULTURE, INDUSTRY, COMMERCE
      Tubewells, Transport, Fish-farms, Industry and commerce effected
POOR PAYING THE MOST
      Poor are paying 5-7 time more for their fuel costs than those in the cities,
      Increase in prices of modern commercial fuel, its lack of availability is forcing the
      consumer to step down on the energy ladder to biomass.
N eed ed Power C apacity
               2007– 2030 (C ountrywid e)
             Annual Growth Percentage = 8%
    120000


                                                                                        113695
    100000


     80000                                                                    80566


     60000

                                                               54359
W
M




     40000
                                                    36217

     20000                           24474
                      18883

         0
               2007           2010           2015           2020       2025           2030


                                               Years



                                                              Source of Growth Rate : PEPCO , P&D Div
Rental & SPP         PEPCO
                KESC(Thermal)
                                    2%             (Thermal)
                     9%
                                                      24%




IPPs(Thermal)
     31%
                                                         WAPDA (Hydel)
                Nuclear                                     32%
                     Thermal (Oil and Gas) - 66%
                  2%
                        Hydel & Nuclear - 34%
Why A lternative E nergy For Pakistan?
 Reduced dependence on Imported Oil:
      2011 Oil Import Bill:        $11+ Billion
      60% of the total Export Earnings                Energy                  Cost/Unit
      2015 Oil Import Bill US $ 38 Billion (ADB       Source
      Estimate)
                                                  Waste-to-                5 -8 Cents
      200% of the National Export Earnings        Energy
 Renewable Energy Potential:
                                                  Small Hydro              6 – 9 Cents
     Wind*:                     346,000 MW
     Solar*:                    2.9 Million MW
                                                  Wind                     14 Cents
     Hydro :                    58,000 MW
     Bagasse      :             2,000 MW         Solar                    20+ Cents
     Waste to Energy:            2,000 MW
     Geothermal       2500 MW                    RFO                      Expensive*
     Off-Grid Application:      10,000 MW        (Thermal)
     Alternate Fuels            Large TBD        *dependant on fuel oil prices
Alternative Energy Development Board
               (AEDB)
              (Act 2010)
Wind Resource in Pakistan


350,000 MW
National Potential


50,000 MW in Sindh

Sites in Baluchistan, Punjab and
Northern Areas being identified.



                                           or in d
                                                 d
                                        id o in
                                      rr id o WW
                                             r
                                   Co aro
                                   C o ha r
                                     Gh
                                      rr
                                     G
WIND MEASURING SITES IN SIND
Wind Measuring Masts Gharo
Wind Corridor




BHAMBORE       JHAMPIR




   KHUTTIKUN
Area
  Where
  Wind
  Power
 Projects
Are Being
Executed
(Jhimpir)
Land Allocation - Jhimpir
Creating Enabling Environment
Created Enabling Environment:
 Feed-in-Tariff as well as Cost Plus tariff with Wind risk available
 Grid Code Amended for Wind Power
 Streamlined Land Issues by developing standardized documentation which included specific statement of
   conditions for Wind Projects

Created Lender / Investor Confidence
 ADB Counter Guarantee in place
 Regained Lenders Confidence – OPIC supporting 4, IFC, ADB and IDB 6 Projects.
 Lender Acceptable Standardized the Project Documents (PPA / IA / Wheeling) available
 Regional Environment Impact Analysis, approved by donors available to investors


Reduced Lead Times And EPC Contract From Turbine Manufacturers
 All major turbine manufacturers now offering 4-6 months delivery and EPC contract


Encouraged Local Manufacturing
 DESCON now producing Wind Masts for Nordix Machines. HIT negotiating Turbine Assembly.


Expanding Wind Corridors
 New corridors identified. New wind masts installed Sindh, Baluchistan and Punjab through UNDP asst.
   Resource Risk - responsibility of GoP
   Guaranteed Electricity Purchase
   Grid provision is the responsibility of the purchaser
   Attractive Tariff (17%-18% ROE)
   Attractive Feed-in Tariff (US Cents 14.66/kWh)
   Counter Guarantee by the ADB
   Special Incentives by the State bank for upto 20 MW plants
   Free Repatriation of Profits
   No Import Duties on Equipment
   Zero Sales Tax
   Net Metering
   Banking of Electricity
   Wheeling Provisions
   Grid Spill Over Concept introduced
   Carbon Credits
        Fast Track Projects Policy being implemented for COD by March 2013
49.5 MW Wind Power Project of FFC Energy Limited under construction
56.4 MW Wind Power Project of Zorlu Enerji under construction
Construction / civil works at 49.5 MW wind project of M/s Three Gorges
Pakistan
Progress Status of First 550 MW WPPs
                                                                        Expected
                         Capacity   Project Cost                        Financial    Expected
       Name of Project    (MW)      (Million USD)                         Close     Completion   Cumulative

                                                         Under
1    Fauji Fertilizer      50         133.56          Construction       11-Jun      12-Sep       50 MW
                                                         Under
2    Zorlu Enerji Pak      56         143.60          Construction       12-Mar      12-Nov      106 MW
                                                         Under
3    Three Gorges          50         134.75          Construction       12-Jun      12-Nov      156 MW

4    Foundation 1          50         128.69        -Awaiting Tariff     12-Mar      13-Mar      206 MW

5    Foundation 2          50         128.70        -Awaiting Tariff     12-Mar      13-Mar      256 MW

6    Lucky Energy          50         132.53        -Tariff Received-    12-Apr       13-Apr     306 MW

7    Sapphire Power        50         128.87        -Awaiting Tariff-    12-Jun      13-Jun      356 MW

8    Tenaga Generasi       50         129.67              -do-           12-Jun      13-Jun      406 MW

9    Metro Power           50         132.56              -do-           12-May      13-May      456 MW

10   Master Energy         50         133.68              -do-           12-Aug      13-Aug      506 MW

11   Gul Ahmed             50         132.87              -do-           12-Jun      13-Jun      556 MW
List of Fast Track Wind Power Projects
Sr. No.             Company Name              Project Capacity
  1.      NBT Wind Power (Norway)                 500 MW
  2.      Titan Energy Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd.       10 MW
  3.      Tapal Wind Energy (Pvt.) Ltd.           10 MW
  4.      Ismail Power Limited                    10 MW
  5.      Fina Energy (Turkey)                    250 MW
  6.      FFC Energy                              100 MW
  7.      Japan Green Power (Japan)               50 MW
  8.      Associate Technologies                  100 MW
  9.      Anadulo Wind Pakistan                   50 MW
 10.      China Sunnec Energy (Pvt.) Ltd          50 MW
  11      System Wind Energy (Turkey)             50 MW
 12.      Hydro China                             300 MW
 13.      HZ Wind Power (CHINA)                   100 MW
                                                1582.4 MW
Pakistan: Investors Choice Destination
         Norway, Turkey, Iran, Germany
                  USA, China and Japan
     2012:          500 MW
     2013:          800 MW
     2014   +:     1000 ++
 Next Focus:        Indigenous Manufacturing
 Renewable Target 2020:   9700 MW
   Wind Sector is attracting the largest
   investment of any sectors in Pakistan
Come invest in the Pakistan Wind Sector

   • Wind Risk
   • Project Site Availability
   • Feed in Tariff
   • Standard Agreements
   • ADB Counter Guarantee
   • Free Repatriation
   • Extraordinary Returns
   • Special Incentives for local Manufacturer
Thank You
Thank You

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Wind Power Development in Pakistan: An Emerging Opportunity

  • 1. Wind Power Development in Pakistan 29th February, 2012
  • 3. E NE RGY SITUA TION IN PA KISTA N (FROM A DIFFE RE NT PE RSPE C TIVE ) Total Population: 180 Million Electricity Available to: 61% (70 Million without power) Natural Gas Available to: 21% (140 Million without piped gas) Diesel Imports 4.5 Million Tones (50%) Yet there is shortages of Gas and Electricity leading to load shedding. ENERGY DEMAND TO GROW FASTER: Pakistan has amongst the worlds highest and fastest rising urbanization. Under 15 population 39%, pointing to spurt rather than gradual increase in energy demand Higher Economic and population growth, with highest rate of Urbanisation AFFECTING AGRICULTURE, INDUSTRY, COMMERCE Tubewells, Transport, Fish-farms, Industry and commerce effected POOR PAYING THE MOST Poor are paying 5-7 time more for their fuel costs than those in the cities, Increase in prices of modern commercial fuel, its lack of availability is forcing the consumer to step down on the energy ladder to biomass.
  • 4. N eed ed Power C apacity 2007– 2030 (C ountrywid e) Annual Growth Percentage = 8% 120000 113695 100000 80000 80566 60000 54359 W M 40000 36217 20000 24474 18883 0 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Years Source of Growth Rate : PEPCO , P&D Div
  • 5. Rental & SPP PEPCO KESC(Thermal) 2% (Thermal) 9% 24% IPPs(Thermal) 31% WAPDA (Hydel) Nuclear 32% Thermal (Oil and Gas) - 66% 2% Hydel & Nuclear - 34%
  • 6. Why A lternative E nergy For Pakistan? Reduced dependence on Imported Oil: 2011 Oil Import Bill: $11+ Billion 60% of the total Export Earnings Energy Cost/Unit 2015 Oil Import Bill US $ 38 Billion (ADB Source Estimate) Waste-to- 5 -8 Cents 200% of the National Export Earnings Energy Renewable Energy Potential: Small Hydro 6 – 9 Cents  Wind*: 346,000 MW  Solar*: 2.9 Million MW Wind 14 Cents  Hydro : 58,000 MW  Bagasse : 2,000 MW Solar 20+ Cents  Waste to Energy: 2,000 MW  Geothermal 2500 MW RFO Expensive*  Off-Grid Application: 10,000 MW (Thermal)  Alternate Fuels Large TBD *dependant on fuel oil prices
  • 7. Alternative Energy Development Board (AEDB) (Act 2010)
  • 8.
  • 9. Wind Resource in Pakistan 350,000 MW National Potential 50,000 MW in Sindh Sites in Baluchistan, Punjab and Northern Areas being identified. or in d d id o in rr id o WW r Co aro C o ha r Gh rr G
  • 12. Wind Corridor BHAMBORE JHAMPIR KHUTTIKUN
  • 13. Area Where Wind Power Projects Are Being Executed (Jhimpir)
  • 14. Land Allocation - Jhimpir
  • 15. Creating Enabling Environment Created Enabling Environment:  Feed-in-Tariff as well as Cost Plus tariff with Wind risk available  Grid Code Amended for Wind Power  Streamlined Land Issues by developing standardized documentation which included specific statement of conditions for Wind Projects Created Lender / Investor Confidence  ADB Counter Guarantee in place  Regained Lenders Confidence – OPIC supporting 4, IFC, ADB and IDB 6 Projects.  Lender Acceptable Standardized the Project Documents (PPA / IA / Wheeling) available  Regional Environment Impact Analysis, approved by donors available to investors Reduced Lead Times And EPC Contract From Turbine Manufacturers  All major turbine manufacturers now offering 4-6 months delivery and EPC contract Encouraged Local Manufacturing  DESCON now producing Wind Masts for Nordix Machines. HIT negotiating Turbine Assembly. Expanding Wind Corridors  New corridors identified. New wind masts installed Sindh, Baluchistan and Punjab through UNDP asst.
  • 16. Resource Risk - responsibility of GoP  Guaranteed Electricity Purchase  Grid provision is the responsibility of the purchaser  Attractive Tariff (17%-18% ROE)  Attractive Feed-in Tariff (US Cents 14.66/kWh)  Counter Guarantee by the ADB  Special Incentives by the State bank for upto 20 MW plants  Free Repatriation of Profits  No Import Duties on Equipment  Zero Sales Tax  Net Metering  Banking of Electricity  Wheeling Provisions  Grid Spill Over Concept introduced  Carbon Credits Fast Track Projects Policy being implemented for COD by March 2013
  • 17. 49.5 MW Wind Power Project of FFC Energy Limited under construction
  • 18. 56.4 MW Wind Power Project of Zorlu Enerji under construction
  • 19. Construction / civil works at 49.5 MW wind project of M/s Three Gorges Pakistan
  • 20. Progress Status of First 550 MW WPPs Expected Capacity Project Cost Financial Expected Name of Project (MW) (Million USD) Close Completion Cumulative Under 1 Fauji Fertilizer 50 133.56 Construction 11-Jun 12-Sep 50 MW Under 2 Zorlu Enerji Pak 56 143.60 Construction 12-Mar 12-Nov 106 MW Under 3 Three Gorges 50 134.75 Construction 12-Jun 12-Nov 156 MW 4 Foundation 1 50 128.69 -Awaiting Tariff 12-Mar 13-Mar 206 MW 5 Foundation 2 50 128.70 -Awaiting Tariff 12-Mar 13-Mar 256 MW 6 Lucky Energy 50 132.53 -Tariff Received- 12-Apr 13-Apr 306 MW 7 Sapphire Power 50 128.87 -Awaiting Tariff- 12-Jun 13-Jun 356 MW 8 Tenaga Generasi 50 129.67 -do- 12-Jun 13-Jun 406 MW 9 Metro Power 50 132.56 -do- 12-May 13-May 456 MW 10 Master Energy 50 133.68 -do- 12-Aug 13-Aug 506 MW 11 Gul Ahmed 50 132.87 -do- 12-Jun 13-Jun 556 MW
  • 21. List of Fast Track Wind Power Projects Sr. No. Company Name Project Capacity 1. NBT Wind Power (Norway) 500 MW 2. Titan Energy Pakistan (Pvt.) Ltd. 10 MW 3. Tapal Wind Energy (Pvt.) Ltd. 10 MW 4. Ismail Power Limited 10 MW 5. Fina Energy (Turkey) 250 MW 6. FFC Energy 100 MW 7. Japan Green Power (Japan) 50 MW 8. Associate Technologies 100 MW 9. Anadulo Wind Pakistan 50 MW 10. China Sunnec Energy (Pvt.) Ltd 50 MW 11 System Wind Energy (Turkey) 50 MW 12. Hydro China 300 MW 13. HZ Wind Power (CHINA) 100 MW 1582.4 MW
  • 22. Pakistan: Investors Choice Destination Norway, Turkey, Iran, Germany USA, China and Japan  2012: 500 MW  2013: 800 MW  2014 +: 1000 ++  Next Focus: Indigenous Manufacturing  Renewable Target 2020: 9700 MW Wind Sector is attracting the largest investment of any sectors in Pakistan
  • 23. Come invest in the Pakistan Wind Sector • Wind Risk • Project Site Availability • Feed in Tariff • Standard Agreements • ADB Counter Guarantee • Free Repatriation • Extraordinary Returns • Special Incentives for local Manufacturer

Notas do Editor

  1. Source: NTDC Electricity Demand Forecast: 2008-2030 Forecast based on: Historical relationships between consumption and GDP, population, prices, number of consumers, etc. Average yearly increase in demand: 4,122 MW
  2. The Alternative Energy Development Board was established in May 2003 The purpose of establishing the Board is to implement various policies, programs and projects through private sector in the field of Alternative or Renewable Energy Technologies The objective of the Alternative Energy Development Board is to assist and facilitate development and generation of Alternative or Renewable Energy in order to achieve sustainable economic growth Facilitate transfer of technology for development of an indigenous technological base through a diversified energy generation
  3. Pakistan has a 1,046 Km coastline in the South Average wind speed more than 7 m/s in Gharo Wind Corridor Estimated wind potential more than 50,000 MW Other sites in Balochistan and Northern Areas being identified
  4. Pakistan has a 1,046 Km coastline in the South Average wind speed more than 7 m/s in Gharo Wind Corridor Estimated wind potential more than 50,000 MW Other sites in Balochistan and Northern Areas being identified
  5. Pakistan has a 1,046 Km coastline in the South Average wind speed more than 7 m/s in Gharo Wind Corridor Estimated wind potential more than 50,000 MW Other sites in Balochistan and Northern Areas being identified