2. GIS at ILRI
• Research:
– Currently being applied in a wide variety of
projects within the different “thematic work areas”
• Services:
– Data management
– Advice and services on applications
– Capacity Building among staff and collaborators
– Data sourcing and sharing both internally and
externally over the internet
3. GIS services Unit Activities
• Ensuring generated data documentation meets agreed
global standards
• Facilitate proper storage and sharing of data
• Catalyst to capacity development across the institute
• Meeting short term requests on GIS related work from
staff and collaborators
• Conducting training activities for staff and collaborators
• Keeping ILRI up to date on new developments in the geo-
information technologies
• Linking ILRI with geo-information community in the world
• Works with biometric services to ensure proper
incorporation of statistics principals in spatial analysis
where such is needed and in building capacity among
staff on the same
11. Some exciting GIS outputs 2008
• Poor Livestock Keepers / Value of Production
– SSA and SA An Notenbaert, Patrick
Kariuki, Abisalom Omolo
• USLE Based Potential Erosion Map
– Nile Basin Paulo van Breugel, A. Notenbaert,
L. Claessens, J. VdSteeg
• Livestock water productivity and crop water use
– Nile Basin Paulo van Breugel
• Simplified productions systems map (4 classes) + projection to
2030
– Global An Notenbaert
• Projections for crops, livestock, livestock products, water use,
malnutrition
– Developing world Mario Herrero, An Notenbaert
12. Some exciting GIS outputs 2008
Climate Change hotspots + VOPs per system
ASARECA Jeannette Van de Steeg
Vulnerability indicators
GHA James Kinyangi
Composite Risk maps
COMESA An Notenbaert, Stella Massawe
GOBLET and the “development domains tool”
Global Carlos Quiros, An Notenbaert
Avian Influenza Risk map
Africa, Asia, Indonesia Wachira Theuri
Innovation successes
Ethiopia Patrick Kariuki
Updated poverty maps
Uganda Patrick Kariuki
Dairy Value Chain.
East Africa Pamela Ochungo
Kitengela (Wildlife and livestock counts, fences, atlas)
Kitengela Shem Kifugo, Mohamed Said
14. SLP drivers of change
Systems are changing:
Population increasing, Urbanisation, Increased demand for LS products,
Intensification, Climate change, Technology shifts, Globalisation, ….
PROBLEM
…. can the poor benefit from these changes?
…. can we change without compromising food security,
ecosystems services and livelihoods?
16. SLP drivers of change
• Mixed intensive systems in the developing world are under significant
pressure
SOME KEY FINDINGS
From 2.5 to 3.4 billion people, from 150 to 200 million cattle
Sustaining most of the pigs and poultry and still increasing by 30-40%
Most of the crops yields as well as areas stagnating
Water and soil fertility problems
Important productivity gains could be made in the more extensive systems
Annual changes in Cereal-Production
Rate of Change Cereal Production
2000 - 2030
2000 - 2030
6 Rates lower than those of Rates of growth of mixed
population growth Catching up intensive similar to developed
5
countries
4
%
3
2
1
0
CSA EA SA SEA SSA WANA Total
AgroPastoral Mixed Extensive Mixed Intensive Other Developed countries
17. SLP drivers of change
3. “Moving megajoules” - fodder markets are likely to expand as demand for
meat and milk increases
SOME KEY FINDINGS
4. Expansion of bio-fuels will likely reduce household food consumption in
all systems
5. Some systems may need to de-intensify or stop growing to ensure
sustainability of agro-ecosystems services
Better understanding of intensification thresholds: regulatory framework
and M&E system
Incentives to protect environment / equitable “smart” schemes for
payment of eco-system services
We need significant efficiency gains (in crops, livestock and other sectors
alike)
18. Crops: You and Wood
Ag.Pot: LGP>180days or equipped for irrigation
MA: less than 8 hours to >250K
19. EADD - Spatial analysis
•The East African Dairy Development (EADD) Project operates in
selected areas of Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
• The EADD project aims to transform the lives of 179,000 farming
families (approx 1 million people – by doubling dairy income by the
10th year. This will be done through integrated interventions to
enhance dairy production, market access and knowledge
application.
•The core interventions include setting up 27 new milk collection/
chilling plant hubs across the region.
22. Site Selection using Development domains
Development Domains
-Similar agricultural Problems or opportunities.
-Specific dev. Policies, Investments, livelihood options, technologies likely to be most effective?
23. Sampling of households to be surveyed
•Quadrant random selection approach used – survey area divided into smaller
Sampling grid cells and then a simple random sampling technique applied to select.
25. Mapping of fences in Kitengela
The Fencing Team
ILRI
Shem Kifugo
Mohammed Said
5 David Nkedianye
Robin Reid
4 Mike Arunga
1 Vince Odour
3
Community
Lugard Ole Makui
6 Simon Sinkeet Ole Mula
Nelson Ole Olpute
Mark Ole Koikai
2 Daniel Ole Issa
Joseph Ole Maratanta
James Ole Turere
Nathaniel Ole Sinket
Joseph Ole Kimiti
Simon Ole Peira
Regan Ole Makui
26. What is planned for 2009 (and beyond)
• LS production systems toolbox (incl. standard classifications) and LS
productivity
– An Notenbaert
• Length Growing Period and Cereal production under different
scenarios
– Philip Thornton
• Global rangeland model + carbon sinks + responses to CC
– Stefano Disperati / Joseph Maitima
• Dynamic vulnerability for SSA (+ Mali & Mozambique)
– An Notenbaert
• Intensification thresholds and nutrient balances (global)
– Jeannette Van de Steeg
• Ecosystem services in the pastoral areas (+ links with
food/environmental security)
– Stefano Disperati
27. What is planned for 2009 (and beyond)
Methane emissions from livestock (global)
Mario Herrero
Feed supply (crops, forages, rangelands) & feed demand + impacts CC
+ Feed markets (global)
Mario Herrero, Michael Blummel
Integration of livestock in LU and economic models
Mario Herrero
Water poverty and vulnerability in the Nile Basin
James Kinyangi
Evaluation of Arid Lands Resource Management Program
Abisalom Omolo
Landscape genomics
Steve Kemp
East Coast Fever (risk mapping, spatial targeting of delivery)
Phil Toye, Frank Hansen
Value chains and market access (distance to markets and services;
collection and distribution of market information, risks and diseases)
Steve Staal, Derek Baker