Faith in a rapidly ageing society

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New analysis shows 60s who join a gym more likely to join a religious group The ILC-UK's longitudinal analysis also found that over 60s who join a political party are also significantly more likely to join a religious group like a church, synagogue or mosque.

Data & Analytics

The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank
dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change.
Religion in England Today
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Age 80+
Men Women
Proportion of respondents who are members
of a church or other religious group

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'Does living in a retirement village extend life expectancy? The case of Whiteley Village' investigates the possible benefits of retirement village life with respect to life expectancy i.e. whether Villagers live longer on average than the general population, using Whiteley Village as a case study. This presentation was delivered at the report launch at Cass Business School on Wednesday, 22nd February 2017.

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On Wednesday 9th November 2016, ILC-UK held it's second annual future of Ageing conference. We welcomed over 180 delegates made up of business leaders; charity sector experts; public sector decision makers; local authority staff; academics; and senior journalists. The one day conference was chaired by Baroness Slly Greengross OBE and Lawrence Churchill CBE, and we heard from the following speakers: - Dr Islene Araujo de Carvalho, Senior Policy and Strategy Adviser, Department of Ageing and Life Course, WHO - John Cridland CBE, Head of the Independent State Pension Age Review - The Rt Rev. and the Rt Hon. the Lord Carey of Clifton, Archbishop of Canterbury 1991-2002 - Ben Franklin, Head of Economics of an Ageing Society, ILC-UK - Professor Sarah Harper, Director, Oxford Institute of Population Ageing - Dwayne Johnson, Director of Social Care and Health at Sefton Metropolitan Borough Council - Dr Margaret McCartney, Author and Broadcaster - John Pullinger CB, National Statistician, UK Statistics Authority - David Sinclair, Director, ILC-UK - Jonathan Stevens, Senior Vice President, Thought Leadership, AARP - Linda Woodall, Director of Life Insurance and Financial Advice, and sponsor of the Ageing Population project, Financial Conduct Authority

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On the 2nd November 2015, ILC-UK held a panel discussion to launch the Drink Wise, Age Well programme. The event brought together important stakeholders to discuss the growing problem of alcohol misuse in the over 50s population of the UK. Supported by the Big Lottery Fund, Drink Wise, Age Well brings together 6 strategic partners; Addaction, the Royal Voluntary Service, International Longevity Centre UK, Drugs and Alcohol Charities Wales, Addiction Northern Ireland and the University of Bedfordshire. With at least 20% of over 50s in the UK exceeding recommended alcohol units, and alcohol related harms significantly increasing in this age group, Drink Wise, Age Well will aim to create a healthier relationship with alcohol for the overs 50s population through a preventative approach. As part of our programme evaluation we have recently carried out a survey of drinking behaviour in people aged 50 and over which more than 17,000 people completed. Joining our panel to discuss this important and growing issue were: - Simon Antrobus, CEO, Addaction (Chair) - Don Lavoie, Alcohol Programme Manager, Alcohol Team, Public Health England - Dr Sarah Wadd, Director, Substance misuse and Ageing Research Team at the Tilda Goldberg Centre, University of Bedfordshire - Professor José Iparraguirre, Chief Economist, Age UK - Dr Kieran Moriarty, Consultant Physician and Gastroenterologist, Bolton NHS FT

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On Wednesday, 20th April 2016, the International Longevity Centre - UK and the Global Aging Institute hosted a roundtable discussion in the House of Lords on how the UK can maximise the potential of its ageing population, supported by Prudential Plc. The discussion focused on a range of topics emerging from the Global Aging Institute's research in East Asia, including how different Asian countries address productivity challenges, changing dependency ratios, gender disparities and the changing nature of intergenerational dependence. These topics were also considered in relation to ageing societies across Europe, at a roundtable discussion with European Commissioners held in Brussels on Thursday, 21st April 2016.

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This report, containing new research by Professor Les Mayhew reveals that the life expectancy gap between the richest and poorest has begun to increase. The research reveals that the richest 5% of men are living an average of 96.2 years, which is 34.2 years longer than the poorest 10% of men. The gap is 1.7 years wider than in 1993. There are likely to be significant unintended consequences of further increases to State Pension Age in 2028. Increasing State Pension Age up to levels where disability rates are higher, raises concerns about transferring spending from the State Pension to disability or other working age benefits. Increasing the State Pension Age further might also impact on the supply of carers. And will employers be prepared for further increases in the State Pension Age? Public policy is beginning to recognise the challenges ahead. The DWP Select Committee are currently conducting an Inquiry into “early drawing of the state pension”. Labour have proposed a flexible state pension age so manual workers can retire earlier than other workers. Are there other, potentially more radical solutions to the inequalities challenge?

Adult inequalities in lifespan

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Socio-economic inequalities continue to present challenges to the Government’s Fuller Working Lives programme, and research conducted by the ILC-UK in 2015 found that although 1.1 million people are currently working beyond state pension age, 1 million people aged 50-64 have been forced out of work through a combination of redundancy, ill health or early retirement. This one day conference, hosted by the ILC-UK and research teams from renEWL and the Uncertain Futures consortium allowed policy makers, business leaders, civil society organisations and academics to engage with new research findings on the socio-economic inequalities preventing some sections of the population from achieving longer, fuller working lives. The conference examined the current barriers to extending working lives: health inequalities, work place practice, and the policy barriers that Government, business and civil society can work collectively to address. Speakers included: John Cridland, Independent Reviewer of the State Pension Age - Professor David Armstrong, Department of Primary Care and Public Health Sciences, King's College London - Professor Jenny Head, Professor of Medical and Social Statistics, UCL - Prof. Sarah Vickerstaff, Professor of Work and Employment, University of Kent - Dr Mai Stafford, renEWL - Dr Charlotte Clark, Uncertain Futures Research Consortium - Peter Kelly, Senior Psychologist, Health and Safety Executive - Nicola Lee, Employment Relations Adviser, RCN - Dr Ewan Carr, renEWL - Professor Wendy Loretto, Uncertain Futures Research Consortium - Patrick Thomson, Senior Programme Manager, Centre for Ageing Better - Denise Keating, CEO, Employers Network for Equality and Inclusion - Yvonne Sonsino, Innovation Leader, Mercer Europe and Pacific - Dr Emily Murray, renEWL - Professor Chris Phillipson, Uncertain Futures Research Consortium - Russell Taylor, DWP Fuller Working Lives Team - Caroline Abrahams, Charity Director, Age UK - Professor Stephen Stansfeld, renEWL - Dr Joanne Crawford, Uncertain Futures Research Consortium - Rachael Saunders, Business in the Community

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Tuesday 3rd September, M&G, Governor’s House, Laurence Pountney Hill, London, EC4R 0HH, 16:00 for a 16:30 start – 18:30 Featuring Steve Webb MP (Minister for Pensions); Christopher Brooks (Age UK) and David Sinclair (ILC-UK), presenting findings from a new policy review of European innovations in supporting longer working lives. Chaired by Baroness Greengross, CEO, ILC-UK and cross-bench peer Europe needs older workers. Its long-term ageing population and recent economic hardships are creating huge fiscal and demographic pressures - pressures which could be greatly relieved if it can encourage its workers to remain in work for longer. How is this to be achieved? The European Union recently launched its Europe 2020 strategy which set employment targets of 75% for workers aged 20-64. However, with the old-age dependency ratio for the EU28 predicted to climb over 50% by 2050, much more still needs to be done. In this event we will hear UK and EU perspectives on how older workers can be supported, with contributions from Steve Webb MP, the UK Minister for Pensions; and Christopher Brooks (Age UK) To inform this debate, ILC-UK launched a report at the event, supported by Prudential, which shares key policy approaches being taken across to support older workers.

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Global ageing is calling into question the differences between developed and developing countries. Developing countries are seeing a growth of non-communicable diseases usually associated with affluence in wealthier countries: obesity; diabetes; cancer; heart disease; dementia; among others. Urbanisation is posing significant challenges and opportunities, but countries like China are also seeing vast areas of rural hinterland with an increasingly ageing population. At the same time, a complex picture of wealth and financial satisfaction is emerging across the world. The global economy is more heavily interlinked than ever before with the future economic success of the UK and wealthier countries likely to rely on the success of development in lower and middle income countries. There is a very positive story to tell about wellbeing in developing countries which is rarely heard. Across the world, transitions are varying in pace, but a common factor facing most parts is ageing. Focussing on ageing makes good development sense, a fact that policymakers are increasingly recognising. There has been growing interest from academics and policy makers in exploring how to best compare the impact of ageing in a global context. HelpAge International's Global AgeWatch Index ranks countries by how well their ageing populations are faring. The EC and UN supported Active Ageing Index (AAI) is an analytical tool that aims to help policy makers produce policies for active and healthy ageing. The Global Aging Preparedness Index (GAP) was developed by the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ with financial support from Prudential plc. The GAP Index seeks to inform the policy debate about global aging and focus attention on the need for constructive reform. Following introductory remarks from Chris Roles of Age International, Jessica Watson of ILC-UK presented new work using a major international dataset – the World Values Survey – about levels of self-reported financial satisfaction. Analysing data from 56 countries over six continents, these findings throw new light on levels of financial satisfaction within and between countries. This analysis has been made possible by the ESRC SDAI initiative

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Launch of ILC-UK Factpack, Ageing, longevity and demographic change, Supported by Legal & General his important briefing event, for journalists and senior policy-makers and opinion formers, set out the latest evidence on longevity and explore the extent to which government and business (financial services industry) is responding to the challenges. We will consider the extent to which longevity is influencing government and business decisions and how media and policy-makers can help to ensure that important longevity issues are taken into account. For example, the Government has set out plans to increase the state pension age to 66 years from 2018, and 67 years from 2026. They have also announced plans to automatically link state pension age with increased longevity. Whilst the driver of change has partly been the need for Government to cut spending and make fiscal savings, there is also a recognition that people will be spending an increasing proportion of their lives in retirement. Although we may be living longer on average, many are likely to be doing so in poor health. In parts of the country life expectancy is much lower than the UK average. In addition, on 26th June the Government will announce its latest spending review. The impact of future spending demands of an ageing society will undoubtedly influence this review so the event will consider the extent to which Government’s current spending priorities have adequately taken into account long term demographic change and how the private sector can contribute. The event took place just after the launch of the latest Office of Budget Responsibility fiscal sustainability report which set out the long term impact of ageing on fiscal sustainability. In its 2012 report, the OBR said; “The public finances are likely to come under pressure over the longer term, primarily as a result of an ageing population.” ILC-UK launched a new factpack, Ageing, longevity and demographic change, which has been produced with the support of Legal & General. The factpack will help those with an interest in population ageing and longevity to quickly access key, relevant statistics. Speakers: Baroness Sally Greengross, ILC-UK; Kerrigan Procter, Legal & General; Joseph Lu, Legal & General; Professor Les Mayhew, Cass Business School; Professor Michael Murphy, London School of Economics; Tim Gosden, Legal & General; David Sinclair, ILC-UK.

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Demographic change means that more people will live past the point where they require care. As the increase in life expectancy looks set to continue, we need to develop enterprising and innovative ways to help people save and plan for this eventuality and bring new money into the care system. If people are to save for their future, especially people who are on lower incomes or are less wealthy, it is essential that they have opportunities to do so in a way that is simple, attractive, engaging, and safe, and which provides them with more choice about the care and support they would like. Equally, they must not be penalised for having done so through means tested support. This is what Personal Care Savings Bonds are intended to be all about.

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During 2014, ILC-UK, supported by the specialist insurance company, Partnership Assurance Group plc, is undertaking a series of events to explore the relationship between our changing demography and public policy. The third event in the series explored the demographic implications of Scottish independence. In 2014, Scotland will vote in an independence referendum which could significantly change its relationship with the rest of the United Kingdom. An independent Scotland would have a fully independent NHS, control a significant proportion of the North Sea oil reserves and will take on a percentage of the UK national debt. An independent Scotland would also result in the UK having a new demographic makeup. There are currently a number of marked differences between the two countries which will be highlighted by the division. These include a 2.8 year gap in healthy life expectancy for men, as well as differences in overall life expectancy and mortality rates. Recent figures released by the ONS suggest that the future health of an independent Scotland may actually align with that of the UK. The number of children aged two to 15 either overweight or obese in Scotland is now equal to that of England (30%), and lower than Wales (36%), and Scottish men are significantly more active than their counterparts in both countries. The seminar explored these differences, as well as how the demography of an independent Scotland may change over time, and what future Scottish Governments (with or without independence) may need to do to adapt to these demographic changes. Scottish independence would have a number of age-related policy implications for both Scotland and the rest of the United Kingdom. The issue of Scotland’s ageing population has already entered political debate, with the SNP announcing that, if elected, they would make new pensioners £4.40 a month better off than in England, while also pledging to set up a commission looking at the state pension age. The Scottish government has also announced that benefits, tax credits and state pensions would continue to be paid from the first day of independence, but have not addressed how they will meet the challenge of moving schemes from one administration to another.

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1. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Religion in England Today 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Age 80+ Men Women Proportion of respondents who are members of a church or other religious group

2. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Ethnic minorities are more likely to belong to a religious group 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Age 80+ Ethnic Minority White Proportion of respondents who are members of a church or other religious group

3. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Older people living in rural areas are more likely to belong to a religious group 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Age 80+ Urban Rural Proportion of respondents who are members of a church or other religious group

4. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Belonging to a religious group has a small, but positive impact on people’s sense of worth 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Age 80+ Not religious Religious On a scale from 1 to 10, to what extent do you feel things you do in your life are worthwhile?

5. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Belonging to a religious group has a small, but positive impact on people’s happiness 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Age 80+ Not religious Religious On a scale from 1 to 10, how happy did you feel yesterday?

6. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Belonging to a religious group does not equate to spending less time alone… 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Age 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 Age 80+ Not religious Religious Yesterday, did you spend time at home by yourself? (% answering yes)

7. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Organisational membership of the 60+ has increased since 2004 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2004/5 2006/7 2008/9 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15 Member of a church or religious group Member of a political party

8. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. Are people just becoming more active? (60+) 2004 to 2014 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% Have not joined a gym Have joined a gym Have not joined a political party Have joined a political party Proportion who joined a religious group

9. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. However, fewer people belong to religious groups compared to previous cohorts of the same age 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2002/3 2004/5 2006/7 2008/9 2010/11 2012/13 2014/15 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+

10. The International Longevity Centre-UK is an independent, non-partisan think-tank dedicated to addressing issues of longevity, ageing and population change. But as people get older, they become more likely to join a religious group

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