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BSA ARREARS AND
POSSESSIONS SEMINAR
HANDLING YOUR INTEREST-ONLY BACK BOOK

28th November 2013
John Grimbaldeston
Contents
•

Interest-only: The journey so far

• The HML interest-only back book
• Developing the lender strategy

• Delivering the lender strategy
• MI Development
• Customer journey
• Key challenges

Audience - what are your key interest-only issues?
The journey so far…
Getting to:“FCA Finalised Guidance”
-
Key Objectives for Lenders
•

Claims Management Companies

Risk-based analysis

•

Repayment plans - viable

•

LTV movement

•

Customer
Engagement

Reputational

•

Credit Risk

•
•

Regulatory Risk

FCA compliance

Big issue for industry - not customer

•

Letter?

•

Telephone?

•

Response Rates
The HML Interest-Only
Back Book
Maturity Profile
Interest Only Maturities - Volumes
•

Long term issue

•

Peak = 2027 and
2032

•

Conduct risk = key
driver in near term

•

2000

Familiar profile

•

2500

Risk based approach
to segmentation

1500

1000

500

=>30% <=90% LTV

>=90% LTV

<30% LTV

9/4/48

8/4/47

7/4/46

6/4/45

5/4/44

4/4/43

3/4/42

2/4/41

1/4/40

11/3/38

9/3/36

10/3/37

8/3/35

7/3/34

6/3/33

5/3/32

4/3/31

3/3/30

2/3/29

1/3/28

11/2/26

10/2/25

9/2/24

8/2/23

7/2/22

6/2/21

5/2/20

4/2/19

3/2/18

2/2/17

1/2/16

11/1/14

10/1/13

0
Risk Based Analysis Tool

•

Appropriate and sufficient data
(FCA guidance)

•

Flexibility to prioritise segments

•

Supports regulatory risk and credit
risk management

•

Beyond basic guidelines
Developing the Lender Strategy
Customer Options & Strategy
• Written policy and procedure guidance
• Repayment options

Part and part

Overpayments

•
•
•
•

Term
extension

Repayment

Customer contact campaign options
Data capture methods and systems
Reporting and MI
Training, compliance and quality

Combination

Repayment
plan
Capturing Customer data

•

Consistent

•

Configurable

•

Measurable format

•

Drives lender MI

•

Drives FCA reporting

•

Unique interest-only
scorecard input

•

Integrates with analytics
- Probability to repay

•

Communications data
Delivering the Lender Strategy
Case Study 1

Communications Model

Results

• Customer letter

•
•
•

• Inbound call

Inbound contact = 6%
Outbound contact = 55%
Total contact = 61%

• 3 x outbound calls
• Pilot 500 accounts
• Objective – Regulatory
compliance; „Test and
Learn‟ response rates

Learning
•
•
•

Letter only is weak
Outbound is positive
Work hard at customer
engagement
Case Study 2

Communications Model

Results

• Customer letter

•
•

12% response rate
3.5% switch/conversion

• Inbound call
• Online calculator for repayments
• 13,160 accounts
• Objective - Regulatory compliance
and „switch‟

Learning
•
•
•

Calculation tool=
Good letter response
Would see better results
with outbound
Case Study 3
Communications Model
• Customer letter

Results
•

35% response rate so far
- high response through
outbound calling
64% of respondents do
have a plan for repayment

• 3 x outbound calls
• 1,200 non-arrears accounts

•

• 300 arrears accounts
• Includes

- 3 and 5 years from term

Learning

- 10 years and under to maturity

•

• Objective - Regulatory compliance;
commence continuous activity

•
•

Currently part way through
outbound campaign
Outbound is positive
Good level of repayment
plans in place
Case Study 4
Communications Model

Results

• Customer letter &
“reply slip”

•
•

9% response rate
60% of respondents have
a repayment plan in place

• Inbound calls only
• 3,902 accounts
• Regulatory risks

• Objective - Regulatory compliance;
capturing the repayment method

Learning
•
•
•

Securitised portfolio
Demand for options from
customers = driven policy
change
Outbound call would
enhance contact rate
Case Study 5
Communications Model
• Monthly campaign
- Letter and inbound call

Results
•
•

64% response rate
49% of respondents have
a repayment plan in place

- Outbound call
- Includes Field agent contact
• Pre 2020 campaign - letter and
outbound
• 1,700 accounts

Learning
•
•

Refining with clients brokerfree advice proposition
Developing outputs to
enhance Expired Term
options
Case Study 6
Communications Model
• Customer letter

Results
•

• Inbound call
• 3 x outbound calls
• 1,900 accounts so far
• Very early in the campaign

• Objective - Regulatory compliance; test
and learn risk segments

•

14% response rate so far
(mixture of letter, outbound
and inbound)
85% of respondents have
a plan for repayment
MI Development
Reporting Results
•

Additional Repayments
When Payment Total How will
will they
Date
Amount they be
be paid? Option
Option repaid?

Example of Reporting
Customer Identification
Account

Name

Region
Code

Region

7

MIDLANDS

123456789 Mr A N Example

Endowment
Endowment Current Evidence Evidence Maturity Maturity
Value Provided Required? Date
Value

Risk Parameters
Payment
Type

Current
Balance

LTV

ILA

£40,926.82

27.99%

Term Expiry Is It Buy Months Field Agent
Date
To Let?
In
Instruction
Arrears
Date
08/11/2017

N

Strategy Information
Does the Customer Number of Ceased
Date
have a
Strategies Records
Last
repayment
Exist Modified
strategy in place?

•
•
•

Flexibility of lender
Populates warehouse
“Learning cycle” theory
- Risk
- Behaviour
- Analytics

3

Sale of Property
What is the Expected When do you Intended
expected
Value
intend to sell Sale Date
value
Option the property?
Option

What is
the type
of sale?

Sale of Asset
What is the value Expected
When
Intended What asset
expected to be?
Value
will this Sale Date will you be
Option
be sold?
Option
selling?
Conversion
How much Repayment
Term
do you want
Amount
Extension
to repay?
Option
required
months

Do you have a Completion
Completion
Date Option
Date?

Type Of
Conversion

Remortgage
When do you
Intended
What Type of
intend to
Application Remortgage?
apply for a Date Option
remortgage?

Savings
What is the
Expected When is the What type of
value expected Amount
maturity
savings plan?
Analytic Models - Navigation

Results
• View and segment Interest-Only portfolio
•

Discover and focus on specifics e.g.
- Age
- LTV
- Balance
- Term
- Region
- Bespoke IO scorecard

•

Profitability by portfolio and segment

•

Beyond FCA Guidelines
Analytic Models - Overview
Analytic Models - Graphs
Analytic Models - Graphs
Analytic Models - Scorebuilder
Analytic Models - Map

Results
• Geographic presentation of any
segment
•

Concentration risk

•

Heat map improvement over time

•

Supports focused campaign delivery
Customer Journey
Refining the Strategy

Risk Profile and
Segment

Contact
Development

Modify Results /
Market (LTV)

Report and
Analysis
Expired Term process
• Repayment is the customer‟s responsibility (FCA)
• Breach of contract
• Lender- agree policy and customer options
• Evidence and robust governance
• Outcomes
-

Switch to capital and interest/part and part with extension
Lifetime extension
Re-mortgage
Extend term (allow for repayment plan to mature)
Assisted Voluntary Sale (AVS)
Post MMR and Contract Variation
Non-advised or
Execution only

Customer
contact

Triage for
variation

Qualified advice
team

Advised
-

•

2,600 contract variations per annum

•

Specialist entity – SMS – created for advice and regulatory role

•

5 levels of advice for clients – options

•

Lender pays advice costs

I&E
Evidence
Quote
Quality check

Complete
switch/outcome
Key Challenges
Key Challenges

•

Written policy

•

Engaging customer
- Communications

•

FCA - change in oversight

•

MI
- Risk based profiling
- Communication
evidence
- Customer plans and
actions
- Impact on risk profile
- FCA will want to see
evidence

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HML's Interest-Only Mortgages Presentation to the Building Societies Association's Arrears and Possessions Seminar

  • 1. BSA ARREARS AND POSSESSIONS SEMINAR HANDLING YOUR INTEREST-ONLY BACK BOOK 28th November 2013 John Grimbaldeston
  • 2. Contents • Interest-only: The journey so far • The HML interest-only back book • Developing the lender strategy • Delivering the lender strategy • MI Development • Customer journey • Key challenges Audience - what are your key interest-only issues?
  • 3. The journey so far…
  • 5. Key Objectives for Lenders • Claims Management Companies Risk-based analysis • Repayment plans - viable • LTV movement • Customer Engagement Reputational • Credit Risk • • Regulatory Risk FCA compliance Big issue for industry - not customer • Letter? • Telephone? • Response Rates
  • 7. Maturity Profile Interest Only Maturities - Volumes • Long term issue • Peak = 2027 and 2032 • Conduct risk = key driver in near term • 2000 Familiar profile • 2500 Risk based approach to segmentation 1500 1000 500 =>30% <=90% LTV >=90% LTV <30% LTV 9/4/48 8/4/47 7/4/46 6/4/45 5/4/44 4/4/43 3/4/42 2/4/41 1/4/40 11/3/38 9/3/36 10/3/37 8/3/35 7/3/34 6/3/33 5/3/32 4/3/31 3/3/30 2/3/29 1/3/28 11/2/26 10/2/25 9/2/24 8/2/23 7/2/22 6/2/21 5/2/20 4/2/19 3/2/18 2/2/17 1/2/16 11/1/14 10/1/13 0
  • 8. Risk Based Analysis Tool • Appropriate and sufficient data (FCA guidance) • Flexibility to prioritise segments • Supports regulatory risk and credit risk management • Beyond basic guidelines
  • 10. Customer Options & Strategy • Written policy and procedure guidance • Repayment options Part and part Overpayments • • • • Term extension Repayment Customer contact campaign options Data capture methods and systems Reporting and MI Training, compliance and quality Combination Repayment plan
  • 11. Capturing Customer data • Consistent • Configurable • Measurable format • Drives lender MI • Drives FCA reporting • Unique interest-only scorecard input • Integrates with analytics - Probability to repay • Communications data
  • 13. Case Study 1 Communications Model Results • Customer letter • • • • Inbound call Inbound contact = 6% Outbound contact = 55% Total contact = 61% • 3 x outbound calls • Pilot 500 accounts • Objective – Regulatory compliance; „Test and Learn‟ response rates Learning • • • Letter only is weak Outbound is positive Work hard at customer engagement
  • 14. Case Study 2 Communications Model Results • Customer letter • • 12% response rate 3.5% switch/conversion • Inbound call • Online calculator for repayments • 13,160 accounts • Objective - Regulatory compliance and „switch‟ Learning • • • Calculation tool= Good letter response Would see better results with outbound
  • 15. Case Study 3 Communications Model • Customer letter Results • 35% response rate so far - high response through outbound calling 64% of respondents do have a plan for repayment • 3 x outbound calls • 1,200 non-arrears accounts • • 300 arrears accounts • Includes - 3 and 5 years from term Learning - 10 years and under to maturity • • Objective - Regulatory compliance; commence continuous activity • • Currently part way through outbound campaign Outbound is positive Good level of repayment plans in place
  • 16. Case Study 4 Communications Model Results • Customer letter & “reply slip” • • 9% response rate 60% of respondents have a repayment plan in place • Inbound calls only • 3,902 accounts • Regulatory risks • Objective - Regulatory compliance; capturing the repayment method Learning • • • Securitised portfolio Demand for options from customers = driven policy change Outbound call would enhance contact rate
  • 17. Case Study 5 Communications Model • Monthly campaign - Letter and inbound call Results • • 64% response rate 49% of respondents have a repayment plan in place - Outbound call - Includes Field agent contact • Pre 2020 campaign - letter and outbound • 1,700 accounts Learning • • Refining with clients brokerfree advice proposition Developing outputs to enhance Expired Term options
  • 18. Case Study 6 Communications Model • Customer letter Results • • Inbound call • 3 x outbound calls • 1,900 accounts so far • Very early in the campaign • Objective - Regulatory compliance; test and learn risk segments • 14% response rate so far (mixture of letter, outbound and inbound) 85% of respondents have a plan for repayment
  • 20. Reporting Results • Additional Repayments When Payment Total How will will they Date Amount they be be paid? Option Option repaid? Example of Reporting Customer Identification Account Name Region Code Region 7 MIDLANDS 123456789 Mr A N Example Endowment Endowment Current Evidence Evidence Maturity Maturity Value Provided Required? Date Value Risk Parameters Payment Type Current Balance LTV ILA £40,926.82 27.99% Term Expiry Is It Buy Months Field Agent Date To Let? In Instruction Arrears Date 08/11/2017 N Strategy Information Does the Customer Number of Ceased Date have a Strategies Records Last repayment Exist Modified strategy in place? • • • Flexibility of lender Populates warehouse “Learning cycle” theory - Risk - Behaviour - Analytics 3 Sale of Property What is the Expected When do you Intended expected Value intend to sell Sale Date value Option the property? Option What is the type of sale? Sale of Asset What is the value Expected When Intended What asset expected to be? Value will this Sale Date will you be Option be sold? Option selling? Conversion How much Repayment Term do you want Amount Extension to repay? Option required months Do you have a Completion Completion Date Option Date? Type Of Conversion Remortgage When do you Intended What Type of intend to Application Remortgage? apply for a Date Option remortgage? Savings What is the Expected When is the What type of value expected Amount maturity savings plan?
  • 21. Analytic Models - Navigation Results • View and segment Interest-Only portfolio • Discover and focus on specifics e.g. - Age - LTV - Balance - Term - Region - Bespoke IO scorecard • Profitability by portfolio and segment • Beyond FCA Guidelines
  • 22. Analytic Models - Overview
  • 25. Analytic Models - Scorebuilder
  • 26. Analytic Models - Map Results • Geographic presentation of any segment • Concentration risk • Heat map improvement over time • Supports focused campaign delivery
  • 28. Refining the Strategy Risk Profile and Segment Contact Development Modify Results / Market (LTV) Report and Analysis
  • 29. Expired Term process • Repayment is the customer‟s responsibility (FCA) • Breach of contract • Lender- agree policy and customer options • Evidence and robust governance • Outcomes - Switch to capital and interest/part and part with extension Lifetime extension Re-mortgage Extend term (allow for repayment plan to mature) Assisted Voluntary Sale (AVS)
  • 30. Post MMR and Contract Variation Non-advised or Execution only Customer contact Triage for variation Qualified advice team Advised - • 2,600 contract variations per annum • Specialist entity – SMS – created for advice and regulatory role • 5 levels of advice for clients – options • Lender pays advice costs I&E Evidence Quote Quality check Complete switch/outcome
  • 32. Key Challenges • Written policy • Engaging customer - Communications • FCA - change in oversight • MI - Risk based profiling - Communication evidence - Customer plans and actions - Impact on risk profile - FCA will want to see evidence