2. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Climate Change
What is your view?
A: It’s a very serious looming crisis
B: I’m confused, not sure what to
make of it
C: It’s overblown. Earth’s climate
has always been variable
32. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Road deaths per 100,000 people
If everyone drove as safely as the
British, there would be
192,500 road deaths a year
= 2 major aircraft crashes every day
Eritrea: 40
Thailand: 38
Canada: 7
UK: 2.75
Bicycle
33. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
2: Air Pollution
About 21,000
Canadians die
prematurely from
the ill effects of air
pollution each year,
compared to 2,400
from traffic
crashes.
35. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Diesel exhaust…
Deaths from lung cancer
increase by 8% for every
10 mg of fine particulate
matter per cubic meter
New York: 16 mg
Chicago: 18 mg
Los Angeles: 20 mg
Paris: 30 mg
Paris 2014: 140
Cairo: 159 mgNew Delhi:
177 mg
Beijing: 120 to 473 mg
37. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Formaldehyde Recognized carcinogen.
Carbon tetrachloride Recognized carcinogen. Ranked as one of the most hazardous
compounds to ecosystems and human health.
Aniline Recognized carcinogen.
Methanol Suspected carcinogen.
Benzene Recognized carcinogen.
Acetaldehyde Recognized carcinogen
Toluene-2, 6-diisocyanate Recognized carcinogen.
Ranked as one of the most hazardous compounds to human health.
Napthalene Recognized carcinogen.
Ethylbenzene Recognized carcinogen.
Styrene Suspected carcinogen.
1,3 Butadiene Recognized carcinogen.
Toluene Recognized developmental toxicant.
Toluen-2, 4-diisocyanate Recognized carcinogen.
2,6-Dinitrotoluene Recognized carcinogen.
Phosphorous (yellow or white) Ranked as one of the most hazardous compounds to ecosystems
and human health.
Dinitrotoluene (mixed isonomers) Suspected carcinogen.
Chromium and its compounds Suspected carcinogen.
Cobalt and its compounds Recognized carcinogen.
Manganese and its compounds Ranked as one of the most hazardous compounds to human health.
Nickel and its compounds Recognized carcinogen
“Found in diesel engine exhaust”
Assembled by Leo Petrilli, Windsor, Ontario
Commission for Environmental Cooperation Report
Children’s Health and the Environment in North America
49. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
As we burn the fossil fuels…
Guy Dauncey 2007Guy Dauncey 2007
www.earthfuture.cowww.earthfuture.co
CO2 CO2
CO2
CO2
CO2 CO2
100 million tonnes a day
= 4 million tonnes an hour
= 67,000 tonnes a minute
= 1,000 tonnes a second
66. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Neolithic Era
Ancient Egypt
Roman Empire
Islamic Golden Age
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
The Age of Oil
……………………………………….
The last 10,000 years
67. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
The last 10,000 years
...................................................
What happens here,
when we stop using oil?
68. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion yearsNeolithic Era: 8,000 years
Ancient Egypt: 3,000 years
Roman Empire: 1,000 years
Islamic Golden Age: 600 years
Age of Oil: 150 years
The Sun does not begin to turn
into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.
That’s 100,000 periods of 10,000 years
69. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
A billion years
The Sun does not begin to turn
into a Red Giant for more than a billion years.
And with every passing year,
solar technology will improve
and get cheaper.
72. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
How Are We Using the Oil?
Cars & light trucks 40%
Heavy trucks 13%
Flying 8%
Shipping 2.5%
Asphalt 3%
Rail freight 1%
Recreational 1%
Military 1.5%
TOTAL TRANSPORT 71%
Non-transport uses 29%
132. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Umea, Sweden
Fast-Charging Electric Bus, 18 hours/day
1 – 2 euros for 10-20 kWh electricity to go 10 km
www.opbrid.com
183. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Made by Dutch students at Eindhoven University
4-seater, roadworthy, legal in Holland
Weighs 380 kg (1120 kg for normal EV)
400 km range with no sunshine
600 km in full sunshine
188. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
100 km = 15 kWh
10,000 km = 1,500 kWh
1,500 kwh @ 10 cents = $13 a month
Gas 10 litres @ $1.30 litre = $130 a month
Grid Power for EV
EV Bargain!!
10 times cheaper
to run!
195. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane
$5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping
2,000 trips per hour
= 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
196. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane
$5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping
2,000 trips per hour
= 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
$35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required
= 5 to 35 times more cost-effective
Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and
Design Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996.
197. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of a new traffic lane
$300,000 to $500,000 per km 800 vehicles per hour
Cost of a 1.5 metre bike lane
$5,000 to $10,000 per km for re-striping
2,000 trips per hour
= 75 to 250 times more cost-effective
$35,000 to $150,000 per km when road widening required
= 5 to 35 times more cost-effective
Ministry of Transportation of Ontario, Ontario Bikeways Planning and
Design Guidelines, pg. 8-34, March 1996.
Cost of a new separated bike lane
$100,000 per km
= 7 to 12 times more cost-effective
198. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Cost of the Airport McTavish Interchange
$24 million
= 2,400 km of painted bike lanes
or 240 km of separated bike lanes
206. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Freight Solutions - Trucking
Super-efficient designs save 35%
Electric plug-in to eliminate idling saves 8%
Slower driving saves 8%
‘Empty miles’ shipping saves 5-15%
Combined innovations could save 60%
But 60% increased demand would
wipe out all the gains.
208. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Slowing from 25 to 20 knots – saves 50%
Slowing from 23.5 to 20 knots - saves 25%
Skysails on slow boats (10 knots) - saves 20%
Ecospeed coating and underwater cleaning – saves 20%
Underwater propellor polishing – saves 2%
Black carbon elimination through cleaner fuel
But 50% increased demand would
wipe out all the gains.
212. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Proposed EADS VoltAir lithium-air battery aircraft
Superconducting electric motors
Paris Airshow, 2011
Up to Mach 4, Paris – Tokyo in 2.5 hours
217. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Together, we can change the world.
If you’re feeling inspired, will you
join the BCSEA?
You can become a member!
www.bcsea.org/joinBCSEA 2013
www.bcsea.org
220. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
D'où venons-nous? Que sommes-nous? Où allons-nous?
Where Do We Come From?
What Are We?
Where Are We Going??
224. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of
atoms in your
body:
1027
: 1000 trillion
trillion
All self-organized
into one amazing
whole
226. Guy Dauncey 2014
Earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2013
www.earthfuture.com
Number of synapses in your brain
100 trillion
All self-organized into one amazing whole