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Public Opinion Landscape

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Public Opinion Landscape

  1. 1. A p r i l 2 0 1 6 Public Opinion Landscape: Energy and the Environment
  2. 2. PAGE 2 TA B L E O F C O N T ENTS Slide Current Landscape 3 Energy Policy & Political Perceptions 11 Energy Sources 21
  3. 3. C u r r e n t L a n d s c a p e
  4. 4. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 4 A F T E R R E C O RD- HIG H T E M PER ATURE S L A S T Y E A R, M O R E A M E R IC ANS T H I N K T H E Q U A L ITY O F T H E E N V I RONM ENT I S G E T T I NG W O R SE Right now, do you think the quality of the environmentin the country as a whole is getting better or getting worse? Getting worse Getting better Note: “Same” and “no opinion” results not shown 57% 54% 57% 58% 63% 67% 67% 68% 51% 48% 48% 49% 49% 50% 51% 56% 36% 40% 33% 34% 29% 25% 25% 26% 41% 41% 42% 42% 41% 42% 41% 37% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
  5. 5. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 5 V I E W S A R E M I X E D O N T H E C A U S E O F T H E U N U SU ALLY WA R M T E M P ER ATURE Note: “Same” and “no opinion” results not shown 49% 46% 5% Human-caused climate change Natural changes in Earth’s temperature Assuming these reports are accurate,do you think the record temperatures were mainly due to human-causedclimate change OR to natural changes in the Earth’s temperature?
  6. 6. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 6 C O N C ERN S A B O UT G L O B AL WA R M ING A R E T H E H I G HE ST S I N C E 2 0 0 8 58% 51% 62% 65% 66% 60% 52% 51% 55% 58% 56% 55% 64% 40% 47% 36% 34% 33% 40% 48% 48% 45% 43% 43% 45% 36% 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 I’m going to read you a list of environmental problems. As I read each one, please tell me if you personally worry about this problem a great deal, a fair amount, only a little, or not at all. First, how much do you worry about [global warming]? Worry a great deal/a fair amount Only a little/not at all
  7. 7. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 7 Y E T, A M A J O RIT Y O F A M E R I CANS D O U BT G L O B AL WA R MI NG W I L L S E R I OU SLY A F F E CT T H E M 65% 62% 58% 60% 67% 61% 64% 64% 62% 57% 33% 35% 40% 38% 32% 38% 34% 36% 37% 41% 2002 2006 2008 2009 2010 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Note: “No opinion” results not shown Do you think that global warming will pose a serious threat to you or your way of life in your lifetime? No Yes
  8. 8. PAGE 8 D E M O CRAT S M O R E L I K E LY T O S AY E F F E CTS O F G L O B A L WA R M I NG H AV E A L R E AD Y B E G UN Which of the followingstatements reflects your view of when the effects of global warmingwill begin to happen? Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 59% 5% 9% 17% 10% Already begun Will begin within a few years Will begin within lifetime Will affect future generations Will never happen 36% 55% 72% Republicans Independents Democrats % “Already begun” by Party
  9. 9. PAGE 9 O V E R H A L F W H O T H I NK G L O B AL WA R MI NG I S H A P P EN ING S AY I T I S C A U S E D E N T IR ELY O R M O S T LY B Y H U M AN A C T IV ITY Yes 69% No 16% Not Sure 15% Refused 1% 2% 6% 38% 41% 11% Caused entirely by natural changes in the environment Caused mostly by natural changes in the environment Caused about equally by human activities and natural changes in the environment Caused mostly by human activities Caused entirely by human activities Do you think that global warming is happening, or do you think global warmingis not happening? Of those who think global warmingis happening, do you think global warmingis… Source: Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research Poll, July 17-19, 2015
  10. 10. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 10 M O R E N O W S AY T H E N E W S U N D ER ESTI MATE S T H E S E R I OU SNE SS O F G L O B AL WA R MI NG 31% 33% 38% 31% 30% 33% 35% 41% 48% 43% 42% 41% 42% 42% 34% 32% 29% 25% 29% 28% 29% 33% 29% 24% 26% 24% 24% 23% 21% 25% 32% 33% 33% 35% 38% 35% 29% 28% 25% 29% 31% 33% 33% 35% 40% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Thinkingabout what is said in the news,in your view is the seriousness of global warming – [generally exaggerated, generally correct, or is it generally underestimated]? Note: “DK/ref” results not shown Underestimated Exaggerated Correct
  11. 11. E n e r g y P o l i c y & P o l i t i c a l P e r c e p t i o n s
  12. 12. PAGE 12 C L I M ATE C H A NGE L O W O N L I S T O F C R I T ICA L T H R E ATS T O U . S . , B U T H I G H O N T H E L I S T F O R D E M O CRAT S % Critical Threat All Republicans Democrats 1 International terrorism 79% 86% 74% 2 Development of nuclear weapons by Iran 75% 87% 66% 3 Cyberterrorism, the use of computers to cause disruptionor fear in society 73% 77% 72% 4 The spread of infectious diseases throughout theworld 63% 59% 66% 5 The conflict in Syria 58% 64% 54% 6 The military power of North Korea 58% 67% 51% 7 Large number of refugees trying tocome to Europeand NorthAmerica 52% 70% 37% 8 Global warming or climate change 50% 25% 75% 9 The conflict betweenIsrael and Palestinians 45% 53% 38% 10 The military power of China 41% 49% 33% 11 The economic power of China 41% 48% 34% 12 The military power of Russia 39% 44% 34% I am going to read you a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please tell me if you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat or not an important threat at all. Source: Gallup Poll, February 3-7, 2016
  13. 13. PAGE 13 A N D E N V I R ONME NTAL I S S U ES R A N K T O WA RD T H E B O T TO M O F T O P P R I O RI TIE S % Top Priority 2014 2015 2016 % Top Priority 2014 2015 2016 1 Strengthening the nation’s economy 80% 75% 75% 13 Protecting the environment 49% 51% 47% 2 Defending the country from future terrorist attacks 73% 76% 75% 14 Reforming the nation’s tax system 55% 48% 45% 3 Improving the educational system 69% 67% 66% 15 Reforming the criminal justice system - - 44% 4 Improving the job situation 74% 67% 64% 16 Dealing with global climate change - 34% 38% 5 Taking steps to make the Social Security system financially sound 66% 66% 62% 17 Dealing with gun policy - - 37% 6 Reducing healthcare costs 59% 64% 61% 18 Dealing with global trade issues 28% 30% 31% 7 Taking steps to make the Medicare system financially sound 61% 61% 58% 8 Reducing crime 55% 57% 58% 9 Reducing the budget deficit 63% 64% 56% 10 Dealing with the problems of poor and needy people 49% 55% 54% 11 Dealing with the issue of immigration 40% 52% 51% 12 Strengthening the U.S. military 43% 52% 49% I’d like to ask you about priorities for President Obama and Congress this year. As I read from a list, tell me if you think each shouldbe a top priority, important but lower priority, not too important or it shouldnot be done. Source: Pew Research Center, January 7-11, 2016
  14. 14. PAGE 14 A F T E R A H U G E D R O P I N 2 0 1 0 , O B A M A’S J O B A P P R O VAL F O R E N V I RO NMEN TAL/ ENE RGY I S S U ES H A S S TAY ED C O N S IST ENT Do you think Barack Obama is doing a good job or a poor job in handlingeach of the followingissues as president? [% good job] Protecting the nation’s environment Improving the nation’s energy policy Note: No opinion results not shown 79% 52% 55% 56% 55% 51% 52% 54% 72% 43% 41% 42% 46% 42% 39% 48% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016
  15. 15. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 15 A S O B A M A’ S P R E SI DEN CY C O M ES T O A C L O S E , A M A J O R ITY O F A M E R IC ANS T H I N K T O O L I T TL E I S B E I N G D O N E T O P R O TE CT T H E E N V I RO NMEN T 7% 5% 5% 4% 15% 16% 17% 16% 17% 16% 12% 51% 55% 58% 62% 46% 49% 51% 47% 48% 48% 57% 37% 37% 34% 33% 35% 33% 30% 35% 34% 34% 29% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Too little About the right amount Too much Do you think the U.S. governmentis doing too much, too little, or about the right amountin terms of protecting the environment? Note: “No opinion” results not shown PresidentObama took office in 2009
  16. 16. Source: Pew Research Center Poll, March 17-27, 2016 PAGE 16 3 I N 4 A M E R ICA NS T H I NK T H E U . S . S H O ULD D O W H ATE VER I T C A N T O P R O T ECT T H E E N V I RONM ENT Which statement comes closer to your views,even if neither is exactly right? The country should do whatever it takes to protect the environmentOR the country has gone too far in its efforts to protect the environment? Note: Equal priority andNo opinion results not shown The country should do whatever it takes to protect the environment The country has gone too far in its efforts to protect the environment 77% 74% 77% 80% 78% 77% 71% 71% 74% 19% 22% 18% 15% 17% 18% 24% 25% 23% 1994 1995 1996 1999 2000 2004 2011 2014 2016
  17. 17. Source: Pew Research, Aug. 27- Oct. 4, 2015 PAGE 17 D E M O CRAT S A R E M O R E L I K ELY T H AN R E P UBL ICA NS T O WA N T T H E G O V E R NMENT T O P L AY A M A J O R R O L E I N P R O T ECTI NG T H E E N V I RO NMEN T Note: DK/No opinion results not shown 75% 58% 89% 75% 22% 37% 10% 21% 3% 5% 1% 3% US Adults Republicans Democrats Independents % of U.S. adults saying federal government should play a major, minor, or no role at all in protecting the environment No role A minor role A major role 31 point gap
  18. 18. PAGE 18 A S E C O N OMY H A S R E C O VE RED, E N V I RONME NT I S A H I G H E R P R I O RI TY T H A N E C O N OMI C G R O WTH 33% 36% 42% 44% 36% 37% 37% 42% 51% 53% 43% 54% 49% 48% 41% 42% 37% 57% 54% 47% 49% 53% 52% 55% 49% 42% 38% 50% 36% 41% 43% 50% 46% 56% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2015 2016 Environment Economic growth Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 Which one of these statements about the environmentandthe economy do you most agree – protection of the environmentshould be given priority, even at the risk of curbing economic growth OR economic growth shouldbe given priority, even if the environmentsuffers to some extent?
  19. 19. PAGE 19 A N D A M E R I CANS T H I NK M O R E N E E DS T O B E D O N E T O A D D R ES S C L I M ATE C H A NGE , E S P E CIA LLY B Y O T H E R C O U NTRI ES Do you think the United States is doing enough to address climate change, doing too much, or do you think more needs to be done to address climate change? Do you think other countries are doing enough to address climate change,doing too much, or do you think more needs to be done to address climate change? Source: Quinnipiac Poll, November 23-30, 2015 21% 17% 57% 10% 5% 72% Doing enough Doing too much More needs to be done The United States Other countries
  20. 20. Source: CBS/NY Times Poll, Nov 18-22, 2015 PAGE 20 D E M O CRAT S T W I CE A S L I K E LY T H A N R E P UBL ICA NS T O FAV O R A N I N T E RN ATIO NAL T R E ATY T O R E D U CE E M I S SI ONS Do you think the United States shouldor should not join an international treaty requiringAmerica to reduce emissions in an effort to fight global warming? 66% 86% 42% 66% 25% 9% 52% 27% 2% 3% 2% 2% 7% 2% 4% 5% Independents Democrats Republicans All Should Should not Depends Unsure/No answer
  21. 21. E n e r g y S o u r c e s
  22. 22. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 22 M O R E A M E RI CAN S P R I O RITI ZE E N V I RO NMEN TAL P R O TEC TION O V E R E N E R GY D E V EL OPME NT 36% 40% 40% 44% 39% 42% 34% 41% 46% 50% 39% 50% 47% 46% 40% 39% 34% 52% 52% 49% 48% 52% 49% 58% 50% 47% 43% 55% 41% 44% 45% 51% 49% 59% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 With which one of these statements about the environmentand energy production do you most agree – [ROTATED: protection of the environmentshouldbe given priority, even at the risk of limiting the amountof energy supplies – such as oil, gas, and coal – which the United States produces (or) developmentof U.S. energy supplies – such as oil, gas, and coal – should be given priority, even if the environmentsuffers to some extent]? Note: Equal priority andNo opinion results not shown Environmental protection Energy development
  23. 23. PAGE 23 A M E R IC ANS C O N S IS TENT LY S U P PORT C O N S ERVATI ON O F E N E R GY O V E R P R O DUC TIO N O F E N E R GY Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 33% 30% 29% 31% 28% 35% 26% 29% 36% 41% 40% 36% 34% 30% 56% 60% 60% 59% 61% 55% 64% 61% 48% 48% 51% 51% 57% 60% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 Which of the followingapproaches to solving the nation’s energy problem do you think the U.S. shouldfollow right now – emphasize production of more oil, gas, and coal supplies or emphasize more conservation by consumers of existing energy supplies? More energy conservation More energy production
  24. 24. PAGE 24 A L M O ST 3 I N 4 A M E R I CAN S WA N T T O D E V E L OP A LT ER NATIV E E N E R GY R AT HE R T H A N P R O D UCE M O R E O I L A N D G A S Which of the followingapproaches to solving the nation’s energy problems do you think the U.S. shouldfollow right now – emphasize production of more oil, gas, and coal supplies OR emphasize the development of alternative energy such as wind and solar power? Emphasize production of alternative energy Emphasize production of oil, gas Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 66% 59% 59% 64% 73% 26% 34% 31% 32% 21% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016
  25. 25. PAGE 25 B U T S P E N DI NG M O R E O N E L E C TR ICI TY P R O DU CED B Y R E N E WABLE S O U RCE S M A K E S S O M E R E L U CTAN T In order to help reduce global warming, wouldyou be willingor not willingto pay more for electricity if it were generated by renewable sources like solar or wind energy? Willing 54% Notwilling 43% Unsure/No answer 3% Source: CBS/NY Times Poll, Nov 18-22, 2015
  26. 26. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 26 O V E R H A L F O F A M E R I CANS O P P OSE F R A CKI NG A S A WAY O F R E T R IE VIN G N AT URA L G A S A N D O I L , A N I N C R E ASE F R O M L A S T Y E A R Do you favor hydraulic fracturingor “fracking” as a means of increasingthe production of natural gas and oil in the U.S.? 40% 36% 40% 51% 19% 13% 2015 2016 Favor Oppose No Opinion
  27. 27. Source: Gallup Poll, March 2-6, 2016 PAGE 27 A N D A M A J O RI TY O F A M E R I CAN S O P P OS E T H E U S E O F N U C L EAR E N E R GY A S E L E C TRI CI TY S O U RCE Overall, do you strongly favor, somewhatfavor, somewhatoppose or strongly oppose the use of nuclear energy as one of the ways to provide electricity for the U.S.? 57% 46% 56% 54% 56% 53% 59% 62% 57% 57% 53% 51% 44% 37% 48% 39% 43% 38% 43% 37% 33% 38% 40% 43% 43% 54% 1994 2001 2004 2005 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2015 2016 Total oppose Total favor
  28. 28. 1025 F Street NW, 9th Floor Washington, DC 20004 121 East 24th Street, 10th Floor New York, NY 10010 202.337.0808 | GPG.COM G P G R e s e a r c h G P G h a s a f u l l - s e r v i c e r e s e a r c h t e a m o f f e r i n g a f u l l c o m p l e m e n t o f q u a l i t a t i ve a n d q u a n t i t a t i ve p u b l i c o p i n i o n , a s w e l l a s d i g i t a l , r e s e a r c h s e r v i c e s . W e u s e r e s e a r c h t o i n f o r m m e s s a g e d e v e l o p m e n t a n d c o m m u n i c a t i o n s t r a t e g y , a s w e l l a s t o h e l p c l i e n t s a s s e s s a n d m o n i t o r c r i t i c a l i s s u e s a n d t r a c k t h e e f f e c t i v e n e s s o f s t r a t e g i c c o m m u n i c a t i o n c a m p a ig n s . G P G h a s e x t e n s i v e e x p e r i e n c e c o n d u c t i n g r e s e a r c h o n c o m p l e x i s s u e s a n d p o l i t i c a l t o p i c s w i t h d i v e r s e a u d i e n c e s . W e g o b e y o n d t h e s t a n d a r d Q & A , u s i n g i n n o v a t i v e , p r o j e c t i v e t e c h n i q u e s t o u n c o v e r k e y i n s i g h t s. T h e r e s u l t i s a c t i o n a b l e r e s e a r c h t h a t h e l p s s h a p e o u r c l i e n t s ’ m e s s a g i n g a n d s t r a t e g y . For more information about this presentation or to find out more about GPG’s research capabilities contact: Jason Boxt (jboxt@gpg.com)

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