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Ilkka Alarotu,          Jim Hertel,      Cyndy Renfrow,
S Group Grocery Trade   Willard Bishop   SAS Institute Inc.
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Panelists




Ilkka Alarotu                Jim Hertel                    Cyndy Renfrow
Director, Customer           Managing Partner              Senior Director, EMEA
Oriented Assortment          Willard Bishop                Retail/FMCG Practice
and Pricing - Food and                                     SAS Institute Inc.
Daily Consumer Goods
S Group Grocery Trade


                          Moderator

                                      Debbie Hauss
                                      Editor-in-Chief
                                      Retail TouchPoints
Unique Challenges Facing Grocery Retailers


      Commodity pricing pressures

      Decreased household wallet share due to fewer
       shopping trips

      Increased competition from non-grocery retailers,
       including deep discounters

      Empowered consumers

      Numerous in-store departments

      Fresh food management

      Mountains of SKUs and UPCs

      Need for a highly optimized workforce

      Siloed internal business processes
Insight-Driven Analytics Boost Grocery
         Profits And Revenue

    Insight-driven retailing can break down the barriers/silos and provide
                     transparency across the value chain 



   Supermarket retailers can expect to increase same-store sales 5% to10%
                 when becoming more shopper-centered
                          – Jim Hertel, Willard Bishop 



    Mobile Technology and Social Media will greatly impact the grocery
  business and analytics will play a key role. “Location-based information …
           represents the most important single feature of mobile.”
                 – Richard Hastings, Global Hunter Securities 



   Retailers must institute “outside-in” thinking in order to analyze customer
                    sentiment and deliver actionable insights 
Insight-Driven Analytics Boost Grocery
         Profits And Revenue

  Smart retailers will respond with a focused
  optimization strategy featuring 4 key components: 
     
         1.  Assortment Optimization

         2.  Campaign Planning, Marketing and
             Promotion Optimization

         3.  Pricing Optimization

         4.  Demand Forecasting
10/12/11   SOK Päivittäistavarakaupan ketjuohjaus   9
1.    S Group in brief
2.    Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture
3.    Space Optimization
4.    Price Optimization
5.    Interactive social media services
6.    Summary




                                              10
1.    S Group in brief
2.    Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture
3.    Space Optimization
4.    Price Optimization
5.    Interactive social media services
6.    Summary




                                              11
–  The S Group consists of 22 regional cooperatives and
   the SOK Corporation, which is owned by the
   cooperatives.
–  S Group has operations throughout Finland, in the
   Baltic Countries, and in St. Petersburg, Russia.
–  Retail sales: EUR 12,267 million (+5,0 %)
–  Profit before exceptional items: EUR 296 million
–  Bonuses paid: EUR 333 million
–  1,636 outlets
–  39,646 employees



   SOK Grocery Trade Chain Management                 12
Grocery sales              Service station stores        Department stores
                                  and fuel sales            and speciality goods




Hotels and restaurants               Cars and                  Agribusiness
                                 automotive goods




 Other S Group’s restaurants    S Group’s car dealerships



                                                                              13
“Higher quality at a lower price”

S Group leads the industry with consistently
lower prices, wide variety and high customer
satisfaction.




                                               14
–  Every Day Low Price (EDLP)
   requires Every Day Low Costs (EDLC)

–  Best demand-based assortment
   always (continuously) available

–  Easiest place to shop in all locations




                                            15
16
17
1.    S Group in brief
2.    Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture
3.    Space Optimization
4.    Price Optimization
5.    Interactive social media services
6.    Summary




                                              18
1. Forecast             2. Forecast                  3. Forecast
                                    • 
   •  S Group total /     •  Store / Product /    •    Store / Product / Day
  Product / Period                Week
                                                        • 28 days before


                           Optimization
 Customer-oriented                                         Store
assortment planning       Space/product                Replenishment
Pricing optimization:   In-store efficiency            Labour planning
 volume scenarios         Logistics costs        Logistics operations
       Sourcing          Display methods
                                                 Automated ordering
                        Delivery Pack size
                              Pricing



    Vendors:                                         Vendors:
                           Vendors:
Auctions ->Orders                                  Labour plans
                         Logistics plans
  Raw material                                   Production drivers
                        Inventory levels
   purchasing                                        Logistics
                        Production plans
    Capacity                                        operations
  4 – 8 months              2 months                        21 days – 48 hours


                                                                               19
Orders for vendors
                        2. Forecast
                                                                               3. Forecast
                                •                   Drivers:
                      •  Store / Product /          •  Store
                                                          specific           Store / Product /
                              Week                  space allocation                Day
                                                                             • 28 days before
   1. Forecast                                      •  100% Shelf
                                                    availability
                         Optimization
 •  S Group total /                        Display methods                                         Tentative Order
 Product / Period              Picking       and delivery
                              efficiency      pack sizes
                                                                In-store         Store
                            (warehouse /
                              supplier) Recommended
                                                           merchandizing     Replenishment
                                             facings /                          System
                              Wastage         product
                                level                    Replenishment
                                           Inventory          cycle                                      Order
                                         level at store (logistical costs)
 Sourcing Decisions
     Assortment
      Decisions                                 Space optimizer
  Pricing Decisions
                          Store Specific                Space in units /
                           Planograms                   Product / Store


    4 – 8 months                                 2 months                                    21 days – 48 hours

                                                                                                             20
1.    S Group in brief
2.    Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture
3.    Space Optimization
4.    Price Optimization
5.    Interactive social media services
6.    Summary




                                              21
Base drivers
1.  Shelf availability (100 % availability)
2.  Store specific sales forecast by product
3.  Store specific space allocation by category

Business performance optimization
1.  Efficiency in store activities
      •    Labour cost of shelving
2.     Logistics efficiency
      •    Drop size
      •    Drop times
      •    Store replenishment cycles
      •    Warehouse picking
3.     Vendor efficiency
      •    Order volume of delivery pack sizes
4.     Total wastage in supply chain


Customer centricity = Best assortment – Easy to shop
Cost reduction in supply chain

                                                       22
Analyzing,Reporting
Store layout, total area
                                                      Total space utilization
  Store layout incl. sections
                                                             - sales area
                                                           - auxiliary area
                                                       - concept development

Sales area
                                                        Macro level allocation
  Allocation of sections to product categories         -  effectiveness of space
                                                     - development of allocation
  Space optimization on store/category level               recommendations


Display groups                                        Micro space allocation
                                                      - effectiveness of space
                                                        allocation for products
 Automated production of store specific planograms
                                                      - assortment optimization
 Space optimization on store/product level


                                                     Automated replenishment
                                                            process

                                                                                   23
40,000 store-based
planograms per
assortment period




                 24
1.    S Group in brief
2.    Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture
3.    Space Optimization
4.    Price Optimization
5.    Interactive social media services
6.    Summary




                                              25
Lower prices, better margin
1.  More forecasting power: Price elasticity
    calculations
     –     When product A price changes, what happens to the product A
           volume
     –     When product A price changes, what happens to the product B
           volume

2.  More analytical power
     –     What is the best combination of prices:
          –    Brand leader price is fixed (competition). There also are rules for economic products.
               What are optimum prices for other products than brand leader to get best margin
               possible?
     –     How we could use customer owner information to improve our
           pricing?
          –    Best customers: what do they buy and what they do not ?




                                                                                                26
Scenario -example

      –  Maximize Margin (%) such that
          –  Units sold is not sacrificed (Units sold ≥ Units sold LY)
          –  Competitor price rules are not violated




10/12/11               SOK Grocery trade chain management                27
1.    S Group in brief
2.    Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture
3.    Store Localization
4.    Space Optimization
5.    Price Optimization
6.    Interactive social media services
7.    Summary




                                              28
Foodie.fm - Facebook for groceries

        Personalized product and recipe recommendations
        Answers to a simple question: What would I buy and eat today?
        Unique server technology for personalized product and recipe
        recommendations.

        Empower people to consume smarter
        Foodie tailors recommendations based on your preferences. Use
        relevancy search to find products that fit your preferences and
        taste profile.

        Social grocery discovery
        Social interaction influences consumer behavior. Connect family
        to co-shop and share. Follow friends to discover new ideas and
        recommendations.




                                                                          29
Foodie.fm – Social shopping where ever you are

          Mobile             Facebook & Web             SMS & Email
   iPhone, Nokia & Android




                                                                      Shopping	
  list:	
  
                                                                      CocaCola,	
  
                                                                      Arla	
  Cheese,	
  
                                                                      Milk  	
  




        Widgets




                                         Retailer & checkout
                                          assortment link




                                                                                              30
31
Benefits

–  Social media speeds up fragmentation of consumer
   needs: Personalization technology provides a state of
   the art way to meet the unique needs of consumers.

–  Get the shopper before they buy: Service enables very
   transparent and interactive way of being part of everyday
   life of consumers. Create link to checkout from social
   discovery.

–  Analytics: Ability to feed back analytics from social
   shopping process.



                                                               32
1.    S Group in brief
2.    Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture
3.    Store Localization
4.    Space Optimization
5.    Price Optimization
6.    Interactive social media services
7.    Summary




                                              33
Summary


–  Best demand-based assortment and availability
   every day, every hour, every store

–  We are ambitious in developing world class
   productivity and business analytics

–  Value Chain Optimization connects all operations
   together to get the maximum output

–  Social media speeds up fragmentation of consumer
   needs: we need a new level of personalized digital
   and mobile services for our individual customers

                                                        34
Jim Hertel
 Managing Partner




September 2011
There are Dramatic Differences Between “Best”
                                and “Worst” Front Page Items




                                                                                                                                            Top 10




                                                                                                                                            Bottom 10




                                 Source: Willard Bishop, Chain 12-store transaction data, for 12 weeks beginning 12-31-2008 to 3-18-2009.




                             Shopper-centered merchants select Front-Page promotions based on Top Shopper appeal



Copyright © 2011. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                                                  36
Good Loyalty Programs Invite Collaboration




                   External (Trading Partners)                                                                 Internal

            Shopper insights                                                              Shopper insights
                   Data access                                                                 Behavioral
                   Custom research                                                             Attitudinal
            Shopper marketing                                                             Shopper marketing: internally funded
                   New vendor resources investment                                        Shopper-centered merchandising
                   Marketing services                                                      foundation

                   Efficient and effective demand
                    generation


                                           Gaining full value starts with placing the shopper at the center
                                           Retail trading partners will add to retailers’ investments, accelerating impact



Copyright © 2011. All Rights Reserved.                                                                                             37
Over the Past Two Decades, Traditional Supermarket
                                Retailers Have Lost Significant Ground


                                             Market Share by Segment




                    Source: Willard Bishop




Copyright © 2011. All Rights Reserved.                                               38
Accelerating Growth
                                         through Innovation
                                         SAS Grocery Case Studies
                                         October 12, 2011

                                                                Company Confidential - For Internal Use Only
Copyright © 2009, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.   Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Consumers are increasingly difficult to keep
  up with…
    In Store
                           Catalogue
                                                                                              Web
                                                                                      Email     Social


  4500 212 3344




Loyalty
Program



                                                                                          Mobile

  Call Centre                                                           Direct Mail
                  Credit
                                                                                                         40



                   Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
How do we break our operational silos
How do we offer personalized                 Should we open alternate
                                   down to better server our customers                                       How do we improve
service to our customers?                    channels?
                                   coming to us across the Omni-channel?                                     profitability?

                                   How do we reposition with                                        Where do we open more
Why are we losing share of
                                   deep discounters coming in to                                    stores? Which format?
wallet to our competition?
                                   our market?

    How do we innovate and create a unique differentiation?                                          Should we open alternate
                                                                                                     channels?
How do we listen to our               How do we continue to
customers to better understand        maintain market dominance?
what they want next?                                                                               How do we provide better value?




                                                                                                                                 41



                                       Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Engineering the Solution with SAS
       Grocers must successfully execute a combination of these five fundamental
       processes to be competitive.




                                                                                                                                    Localize assortments
                                                                                             Segment and engage shoppers
                   Add stores to markets                                                                                         Rationalize store space and
                                                                                                    Target market
                   Close non-performers                                                                                                 assortments
                                                                                                   Optimize prices
                 Remodel to retain and attract                                                                                      Optimize Promotions


                                                                         SAS Enablers




                                                                                                                                    Regular Price Optimization
Analytics and ESRI ArcGIS                        Analytics                                               Category Management
                                                                                                                                    Promotions Optimization
                                                 Customer Insights                                       Assortment Planning
                                                                                                                                    Marketing Automation
                                                 Marketing Optimization                                  SKU Rationalization
                                                 Promotions Optimization                                 Assortment Scaling
                                                 Customer Sentiment Analysis                             Space Management
                                                         SAS Forecasting – Predictive Analytics
                                                                                                                                                                  42



                                                              Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Creating Automated Continuous Dialogue
SAS Marketing Operations   SAS Media Mix Analytics
     Management




                                                                                                  SAS Marketing Automation/Optimization


                           Customer Sentiment Analysis
                             Omni-Channel Marketing

                                                                                                                                          Store level data
                                                                                                                                          Inventory Data
                                                                                                                                           Pricing Data
                                                                                                                                   Offline Customer History


                                                                                                                  Content Server


                                                SAS Real-time Decision Manager




                                                                                                                          Online Customer History




                                                                                                                                                             43
                                                                SAS for Customer Experience Analytics


                                      Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Dynamic Intelligence-Driven Personalization
                               Headline Driven by Search

                               Text Offer Driven by Data
                                                                                            MRM

                                Price Offer Driven by Data

                                Product Driven by Data


                                                                                            MA/MO




                                                                                            RDM




                                                                                            CXA




                                                  Real-time Dynamic Collection Technology
                                                                                                    44



               Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Innovation…
                                                                45



    Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Applying SAS Innovation in Grocery




                                                                          46



              Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Leveraging Customer Insight to Generate
   Competitive Advantage
  Company
   Large U.S. national grocer with over 1,500 stores and in
   excess of $ 50 billion in sales.

  Opportunity
   Create “competitive advantage that is better allowing the
   company …. to target customers’ needs and wants” – Deborah
   Weinswig, Citigroup Global Markets, August 10, 2008

  Results
    “The promotions in these (retailer) mailings have a 40%
   redemption rate.…which compares to an industry average of
   2%” – Deborah Weinswig, Citigroup Global Markets, August 10, 2008
    “Helped (retailer) boost sales by 5%” – Business Week,
   September 22, 2008

                                                                                            47



                                Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Gain Greater Customer Insight,
  Loyalty and Spend with SAS
  Challenge
   Large North American grocer was facing increased competition,
   customer defection and eroding margins. They wanted to gain better
   customer insight, which would drive better merchandising decisions
   and offers, and increase share of customer’s wallet.

  Solution
   Licensed SAS Retail Intelligence Solutions to better understand its
   customer segments and buying patterns by analyzing all point-of-sale
   data and customer data.

  Results
   Using SAS, the retailer has gained greater customer insight to drive
   better merchandising and promotion decisions. The projected ROI is a
   3-5% increase in sales.

                                                                                          48



                              Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Delivering Margin Performance
                                                                                                             “Rising Prices are Here to Stay”
     A long-standing regional supermarket chain doing
     business in the U.S. under multiple banners has
     always stood for real quality and value. Their
     reputation stands not only on always delivering a
     quality product, but on constantly striving to find new
     ways to improve that quality


Business Issue                           Solutions                                                        Results
•    Ability to deliver competitive        Leverage SAS to create a rules                                  Increased the total margin
     pricing to customers while           based regular price optimization                                 performance of pilot categories by
     protecting profit margins for the    tool that considers (Retailer’s)                                 2.5 % to 8%
     company.                             competition in creating price
                                          elasticity curves. as developed by
                                          Deloitte LLP.




                                                                                                                                            49



                                              Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Improved Forecasting and Customer Insight
         Lead to Precise Pricing
     A U.S. regional retailer with more than 1,000
     stores doing business across 13 banners.




Business Issue                         Solutions                                                        Results
  Increased competition and eroding   SAS® Revenue Optimization                                          Better forecasting to inform
 margins                                                                                                 precise pricing
                                         SAS® Regular Price Optimization
  Growing number of customer                                                                             Establishment of comprehensive
 choices made it difficult to retain     SAS® Promotion Optimization                                    product and price relationships to
 customers and increase loyalty        SAS® Shopper Insights                                             improve category management
  Increase responsiveness to                                                                             Multiple margin and market
 market conditions                                                                                       strategies
  Maximize margins and market                                                                            Expected return 2-5% increase in
 share                                                                                                   margin

                                                                                                                                              50



                                            Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Increased Store Comps while Reducing
        Inventory Levels
     A fortune 500 Retailer with more than 5,000
     stores is one of the largest, fastest- growing
     retailers in the United States. It offers both
     quality brand name and private-label
     products at value prices.

Business Issue                       Solutions                                                        Results
  Sustain rapid company growth      SAS® Integrated Merchandise                                        Adjust Merchandise Assortments
                                     Planning                                                          quickly to meet consumer demand
  Continue to know customers
                                       Integrated Merchandise Planning                                 Long term sustainable results
  Desire to improve customers’       Suite including Merchandise                                      expected from new program /
 shopping experience                  Financial Planning and Assortment                                platform
  Desire to add optimization and     Planning
                                                                                                        Short-term results achieved
 analytics                           SAS® Business Intelligence                                        in this economy include:
  Desire to tailor assortments,      Includes ad-hoc and standard                                          Maintain IMU
 pricing, store formats; move away     reporting, built-in analytics and                                     Increase inventory turn
 from “one size fits all”              graphics                                                              Increase GMROI
                                                                                                                                          51
                                      SAS® Demand Forecasting

                                          Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Gaining Accurate Visibility into
         Forecasted Demand
         Supermarket chain in Europe has
         established itself as a leader in quality
         and choice, combining the convenience
         of a supermarket with the service of a
         specialist shop.

Challenge                                Solution                                                         Results
                                         SAS®   Demand Forecasting
  To utilize forecasting analytics to     Forecasting business processes                                  Improved margins with highly
 view spatial performance.                that account for demand                                          accurate forecasts
                                          differences across all stores,
  To create optimized assortments        geographies and product lines                                     Automated exception based
 tailored to market requirements                                                                           forecast management reduces the
                                           Includes models for basic product                              need for manual inputs and
  To provide numerous                    lifecycle and seasonal products.                                 forecast updates
                                           Create weekly forecasts/ updates                                Forecast Performance reporting to
                                          automatically with exception                                     validate forecasting decisions
                                           Forecasts incorporate operational                               Enable users to identify the right
                                          updates (re-alignments, re-                                      forecasting level for item/ locations
                                          classifications, promotions,                                     for specific operational need
                                          introductions, etc.)                                                                                    52



                                              Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Personalized Offers
     Supermarket chain in Europe has
     successfully targeted their marketing
     campaigns to customer profiles
     supporting tailored promotions.

Business Issue                          Solutions                                                        Results
  Need to Streamline process             SAS® Shopper Insights                                           Integrated Analytics
  Need to replace current CRM            SAS® Campaign Management                                        Highly Targeted, Personalized
 system                                                                                                   Offers
  High total cost of ownership                                                                            More Automated Campaigns
  Campaign management platform                                                                            Consistent process for all types of
 not tightly integrated with customer                                                                     campaigns
 analytic models
                                                                                                           Streamlined process because of
                                                                                                          integrated analytics reduced time
                                                                                                          and effort and increased user
                                                                                                          satisfaction
                                                                                                           Lower cost infrastructure

                                                                                                                                              53



                                             Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Customer Insight Drives Customer Loyalty
        and Greater Share of Wallet
         Large North American grocery store
         chain addresses eroding margins
         and customer attrition with SAS
         Analytics.

Business Issue                         Solution                                                        Results
  Increased competition and eroding   SAS® Shopper Insights                                             Using SAS, the customer gains
 margins.                                                                                               greater customer insight to drive
                                                                                                        better merchandising decisions,
  Growing number of customer                                                                           which will in turn increase
 choices made it difficult to retain                                                                    customer loyalty and spend.
 customers and increase loyalty.
                                                                                                         The expected ROI is a 3-5%
  Want to gain better customer                                                                         percent increase in customer
 insight, which would drive better                                                                      spend or revenue.
 merchandising and marketing
 decisions
  Drive offers to increase share of
 customer’s wallet
  Need to prevent decline in
 revenues and profit.                                                                                                                       54



                                           Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Value of Predictive Analytics and Optimization
• Assortment Optimization: National U.S. general merchandise
chain
        – 5% to 15% sales increase, margin up 2% to 3%

• Regular Price Optimization: Sales 1+% - 3%, margin +2% - 5%

• Assortment Optimization: European department store chain
        – 5% sales increase via average basket growth
• Promotion Optimization: Sales + 1% - 12%, margin +5% - 20%

• Markdown Optimization: Sales + 0 - 5%, margin +6 – 10%
                                                                                 - Gartner (Former AMR Research)

 “(Customer Insight) helped major grocer boost sales by 5%”
                                                   - Business Week
                                                                                                                   55



                         Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Enabling The Infusion Of Deep Consumer
Understanding Into Planning Decisions

                                  Action
                                                                                  Pricing Strategy
                                   Brand

                                            Assort-
                        Pricing              ment
                                                                                Tailored Assortments
              Services                                   Service

                                  Insight
                                                         Communi
              Promo                                           -
                                                          cations             Customized Interaction

                                Layout
                       Location & Space

                                                                              Effective Promotions

           Bricks &             Direct Mail/
                                                               Web/Internet
            Mortar               Catalog
          Customers             Customers
                                                               Customers
                                                                              Optimized Planograms
             Cross Channel Customers
                                                                                                       56



                Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
Q&A Session
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Q&A | Panelists




Ilkka Alarotu            Jim Hertel                   Cyndy Renfrow
Director, Customer       Managing Partner             Senior Director, EMEA
Oriented Assortment      Willard Bishop               Retail/FMCG Practice
and Pricing - Food and                                SAS Institute Inc.
Daily Consumer Goods
S Group Grocery Trade



                                 Debbie Hauss
                                 Editor-in-Chief
                                 Retail TouchPoints
Thanks for attending!


You can download this
presentation & view the
webinar On-Demand here:




 http://rtou.ch/optimize-shopper-insights
Contact the Panelists




Contact Ilkka at:      Contact Jim at:                Contact Cyndy at:

Ilkka.alarotu@sok.fi   Jim.Hertel@willardbishop.com   Cyndy.Renfrow@sas.com

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Optimizing Shopper Insights For Grocery Retailers

  • 1. Ilkka Alarotu, Jim Hertel, Cyndy Renfrow, S Group Grocery Trade Willard Bishop SAS Institute Inc.
  • 2. Welcome to the Webinar Your GoToWebinar Attendee Viewer is made of 2 parts: 1.  Viewer  Window   2.  Control  Panel   Type  your  ques9on  here  
  • 3. Follow this Webinar on Twitter #LiveWebinar hashtag.
  • 4. About Retail TouchPoints   Launched in 2007   Over 20,000 subscribers   To provide executives with relevant, insightful content across a variety of digital medium Free subscription to our weekly newsletter: www.retailtouchpoints.com/signup
  • 5. Panelists Ilkka Alarotu Jim Hertel Cyndy Renfrow Director, Customer Managing Partner Senior Director, EMEA Oriented Assortment Willard Bishop Retail/FMCG Practice and Pricing - Food and SAS Institute Inc. Daily Consumer Goods S Group Grocery Trade Moderator Debbie Hauss Editor-in-Chief Retail TouchPoints
  • 6. Unique Challenges Facing Grocery Retailers   Commodity pricing pressures   Decreased household wallet share due to fewer shopping trips   Increased competition from non-grocery retailers, including deep discounters   Empowered consumers   Numerous in-store departments   Fresh food management   Mountains of SKUs and UPCs   Need for a highly optimized workforce   Siloed internal business processes
  • 7. Insight-Driven Analytics Boost Grocery Profits And Revenue Insight-driven retailing can break down the barriers/silos and provide transparency across the value chain  Supermarket retailers can expect to increase same-store sales 5% to10% when becoming more shopper-centered – Jim Hertel, Willard Bishop  Mobile Technology and Social Media will greatly impact the grocery business and analytics will play a key role. “Location-based information … represents the most important single feature of mobile.” – Richard Hastings, Global Hunter Securities  Retailers must institute “outside-in” thinking in order to analyze customer sentiment and deliver actionable insights 
  • 8. Insight-Driven Analytics Boost Grocery Profits And Revenue Smart retailers will respond with a focused optimization strategy featuring 4 key components:      1.  Assortment Optimization 2.  Campaign Planning, Marketing and Promotion Optimization 3.  Pricing Optimization 4.  Demand Forecasting
  • 9. 10/12/11 SOK Päivittäistavarakaupan ketjuohjaus 9
  • 10. 1.  S Group in brief 2.  Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture 3.  Space Optimization 4.  Price Optimization 5.  Interactive social media services 6.  Summary 10
  • 11. 1.  S Group in brief 2.  Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture 3.  Space Optimization 4.  Price Optimization 5.  Interactive social media services 6.  Summary 11
  • 12. –  The S Group consists of 22 regional cooperatives and the SOK Corporation, which is owned by the cooperatives. –  S Group has operations throughout Finland, in the Baltic Countries, and in St. Petersburg, Russia. –  Retail sales: EUR 12,267 million (+5,0 %) –  Profit before exceptional items: EUR 296 million –  Bonuses paid: EUR 333 million –  1,636 outlets –  39,646 employees SOK Grocery Trade Chain Management 12
  • 13. Grocery sales Service station stores Department stores and fuel sales and speciality goods Hotels and restaurants Cars and Agribusiness automotive goods Other S Group’s restaurants S Group’s car dealerships 13
  • 14. “Higher quality at a lower price” S Group leads the industry with consistently lower prices, wide variety and high customer satisfaction. 14
  • 15. –  Every Day Low Price (EDLP) requires Every Day Low Costs (EDLC) –  Best demand-based assortment always (continuously) available –  Easiest place to shop in all locations 15
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  • 18. 1.  S Group in brief 2.  Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture 3.  Space Optimization 4.  Price Optimization 5.  Interactive social media services 6.  Summary 18
  • 19. 1. Forecast 2. Forecast 3. Forecast •  •  S Group total / •  Store / Product / •  Store / Product / Day Product / Period Week • 28 days before Optimization Customer-oriented Store assortment planning Space/product Replenishment Pricing optimization: In-store efficiency Labour planning volume scenarios Logistics costs Logistics operations Sourcing Display methods Automated ordering Delivery Pack size Pricing Vendors: Vendors: Vendors: Auctions ->Orders Labour plans Logistics plans Raw material Production drivers Inventory levels purchasing Logistics Production plans Capacity operations 4 – 8 months 2 months 21 days – 48 hours 19
  • 20. Orders for vendors 2. Forecast 3. Forecast •  Drivers: •  Store / Product / •  Store specific Store / Product / Week space allocation Day • 28 days before 1. Forecast •  100% Shelf availability Optimization •  S Group total / Display methods Tentative Order Product / Period Picking and delivery efficiency pack sizes In-store Store (warehouse / supplier) Recommended merchandizing Replenishment facings / System Wastage product level Replenishment Inventory cycle Order level at store (logistical costs) Sourcing Decisions Assortment Decisions Space optimizer Pricing Decisions Store Specific Space in units / Planograms Product / Store 4 – 8 months 2 months 21 days – 48 hours 20
  • 21. 1.  S Group in brief 2.  Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture 3.  Space Optimization 4.  Price Optimization 5.  Interactive social media services 6.  Summary 21
  • 22. Base drivers 1.  Shelf availability (100 % availability) 2.  Store specific sales forecast by product 3.  Store specific space allocation by category Business performance optimization 1.  Efficiency in store activities •  Labour cost of shelving 2.  Logistics efficiency •  Drop size •  Drop times •  Store replenishment cycles •  Warehouse picking 3.  Vendor efficiency •  Order volume of delivery pack sizes 4.  Total wastage in supply chain Customer centricity = Best assortment – Easy to shop Cost reduction in supply chain 22
  • 23. Analyzing,Reporting Store layout, total area Total space utilization Store layout incl. sections - sales area - auxiliary area - concept development Sales area Macro level allocation Allocation of sections to product categories -  effectiveness of space - development of allocation Space optimization on store/category level recommendations Display groups Micro space allocation - effectiveness of space allocation for products Automated production of store specific planograms - assortment optimization Space optimization on store/product level Automated replenishment process 23
  • 25. 1.  S Group in brief 2.  Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture 3.  Space Optimization 4.  Price Optimization 5.  Interactive social media services 6.  Summary 25
  • 26. Lower prices, better margin 1.  More forecasting power: Price elasticity calculations –  When product A price changes, what happens to the product A volume –  When product A price changes, what happens to the product B volume 2.  More analytical power –  What is the best combination of prices: –  Brand leader price is fixed (competition). There also are rules for economic products. What are optimum prices for other products than brand leader to get best margin possible? –  How we could use customer owner information to improve our pricing? –  Best customers: what do they buy and what they do not ? 26
  • 27. Scenario -example –  Maximize Margin (%) such that –  Units sold is not sacrificed (Units sold ≥ Units sold LY) –  Competitor price rules are not violated 10/12/11 SOK Grocery trade chain management 27
  • 28. 1.  S Group in brief 2.  Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture 3.  Store Localization 4.  Space Optimization 5.  Price Optimization 6.  Interactive social media services 7.  Summary 28
  • 29. Foodie.fm - Facebook for groceries Personalized product and recipe recommendations Answers to a simple question: What would I buy and eat today? Unique server technology for personalized product and recipe recommendations. Empower people to consume smarter Foodie tailors recommendations based on your preferences. Use relevancy search to find products that fit your preferences and taste profile. Social grocery discovery Social interaction influences consumer behavior. Connect family to co-shop and share. Follow friends to discover new ideas and recommendations. 29
  • 30. Foodie.fm – Social shopping where ever you are Mobile Facebook & Web SMS & Email iPhone, Nokia & Android Shopping  list:   CocaCola,   Arla  Cheese,   Milk   Widgets Retailer & checkout assortment link 30
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  • 32. Benefits –  Social media speeds up fragmentation of consumer needs: Personalization technology provides a state of the art way to meet the unique needs of consumers. –  Get the shopper before they buy: Service enables very transparent and interactive way of being part of everyday life of consumers. Create link to checkout from social discovery. –  Analytics: Ability to feed back analytics from social shopping process. 32
  • 33. 1.  S Group in brief 2.  Value Chain Optimization: Big Picture 3.  Store Localization 4.  Space Optimization 5.  Price Optimization 6.  Interactive social media services 7.  Summary 33
  • 34. Summary –  Best demand-based assortment and availability every day, every hour, every store –  We are ambitious in developing world class productivity and business analytics –  Value Chain Optimization connects all operations together to get the maximum output –  Social media speeds up fragmentation of consumer needs: we need a new level of personalized digital and mobile services for our individual customers 34
  • 35. Jim Hertel Managing Partner September 2011
  • 36. There are Dramatic Differences Between “Best” and “Worst” Front Page Items Top 10 Bottom 10 Source: Willard Bishop, Chain 12-store transaction data, for 12 weeks beginning 12-31-2008 to 3-18-2009. Shopper-centered merchants select Front-Page promotions based on Top Shopper appeal Copyright © 2011. All Rights Reserved. 36
  • 37. Good Loyalty Programs Invite Collaboration External (Trading Partners) Internal   Shopper insights   Shopper insights   Data access   Behavioral   Custom research   Attitudinal   Shopper marketing   Shopper marketing: internally funded   New vendor resources investment   Shopper-centered merchandising   Marketing services foundation   Efficient and effective demand generation   Gaining full value starts with placing the shopper at the center   Retail trading partners will add to retailers’ investments, accelerating impact Copyright © 2011. All Rights Reserved. 37
  • 38. Over the Past Two Decades, Traditional Supermarket Retailers Have Lost Significant Ground Market Share by Segment Source: Willard Bishop Copyright © 2011. All Rights Reserved. 38
  • 39. Accelerating Growth through Innovation SAS Grocery Case Studies October 12, 2011 Company Confidential - For Internal Use Only Copyright © 2009, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved. Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 40. Consumers are increasingly difficult to keep up with…   In Store Catalogue Web Email Social 4500 212 3344 Loyalty Program Mobile Call Centre Direct Mail Credit 40 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 41. How do we break our operational silos How do we offer personalized Should we open alternate down to better server our customers How do we improve service to our customers? channels? coming to us across the Omni-channel? profitability? How do we reposition with Where do we open more Why are we losing share of deep discounters coming in to stores? Which format? wallet to our competition? our market? How do we innovate and create a unique differentiation? Should we open alternate channels? How do we listen to our How do we continue to customers to better understand maintain market dominance? what they want next? How do we provide better value? 41 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 42. Engineering the Solution with SAS Grocers must successfully execute a combination of these five fundamental processes to be competitive. Localize assortments Segment and engage shoppers Add stores to markets Rationalize store space and Target market Close non-performers assortments Optimize prices Remodel to retain and attract Optimize Promotions SAS Enablers   Regular Price Optimization Analytics and ESRI ArcGIS   Analytics   Category Management   Promotions Optimization   Customer Insights   Assortment Planning   Marketing Automation   Marketing Optimization   SKU Rationalization   Promotions Optimization   Assortment Scaling   Customer Sentiment Analysis   Space Management SAS Forecasting – Predictive Analytics 42 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 43. Creating Automated Continuous Dialogue SAS Marketing Operations SAS Media Mix Analytics Management SAS Marketing Automation/Optimization Customer Sentiment Analysis Omni-Channel Marketing Store level data Inventory Data Pricing Data Offline Customer History Content Server SAS Real-time Decision Manager Online Customer History 43 SAS for Customer Experience Analytics Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 44. Dynamic Intelligence-Driven Personalization Headline Driven by Search Text Offer Driven by Data MRM Price Offer Driven by Data Product Driven by Data MA/MO RDM CXA Real-time Dynamic Collection Technology 44 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 45. Innovation… 45 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 46. Applying SAS Innovation in Grocery 46 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 47. Leveraging Customer Insight to Generate Competitive Advantage   Company Large U.S. national grocer with over 1,500 stores and in excess of $ 50 billion in sales.   Opportunity Create “competitive advantage that is better allowing the company …. to target customers’ needs and wants” – Deborah Weinswig, Citigroup Global Markets, August 10, 2008   Results  “The promotions in these (retailer) mailings have a 40% redemption rate.…which compares to an industry average of 2%” – Deborah Weinswig, Citigroup Global Markets, August 10, 2008  “Helped (retailer) boost sales by 5%” – Business Week, September 22, 2008 47 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 48. Gain Greater Customer Insight, Loyalty and Spend with SAS   Challenge Large North American grocer was facing increased competition, customer defection and eroding margins. They wanted to gain better customer insight, which would drive better merchandising decisions and offers, and increase share of customer’s wallet.   Solution Licensed SAS Retail Intelligence Solutions to better understand its customer segments and buying patterns by analyzing all point-of-sale data and customer data.   Results Using SAS, the retailer has gained greater customer insight to drive better merchandising and promotion decisions. The projected ROI is a 3-5% increase in sales. 48 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 49. Delivering Margin Performance “Rising Prices are Here to Stay” A long-standing regional supermarket chain doing business in the U.S. under multiple banners has always stood for real quality and value. Their reputation stands not only on always delivering a quality product, but on constantly striving to find new ways to improve that quality Business Issue Solutions Results •  Ability to deliver competitive   Leverage SAS to create a rules   Increased the total margin pricing to customers while based regular price optimization performance of pilot categories by protecting profit margins for the tool that considers (Retailer’s) 2.5 % to 8% company. competition in creating price elasticity curves. as developed by Deloitte LLP. 49 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 50. Improved Forecasting and Customer Insight Lead to Precise Pricing A U.S. regional retailer with more than 1,000 stores doing business across 13 banners. Business Issue Solutions Results   Increased competition and eroding SAS® Revenue Optimization   Better forecasting to inform margins precise pricing   SAS® Regular Price Optimization   Growing number of customer   Establishment of comprehensive choices made it difficult to retain   SAS® Promotion Optimization product and price relationships to customers and increase loyalty SAS® Shopper Insights improve category management   Increase responsiveness to   Multiple margin and market market conditions strategies   Maximize margins and market   Expected return 2-5% increase in share margin 50 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 51. Increased Store Comps while Reducing Inventory Levels A fortune 500 Retailer with more than 5,000 stores is one of the largest, fastest- growing retailers in the United States. It offers both quality brand name and private-label products at value prices. Business Issue Solutions Results   Sustain rapid company growth SAS® Integrated Merchandise   Adjust Merchandise Assortments Planning quickly to meet consumer demand   Continue to know customers   Integrated Merchandise Planning   Long term sustainable results   Desire to improve customers’ Suite including Merchandise expected from new program / shopping experience Financial Planning and Assortment platform   Desire to add optimization and Planning   Short-term results achieved analytics SAS® Business Intelligence in this economy include:   Desire to tailor assortments,  Includes ad-hoc and standard   Maintain IMU pricing, store formats; move away reporting, built-in analytics and   Increase inventory turn from “one size fits all” graphics   Increase GMROI 51  SAS® Demand Forecasting Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 52. Gaining Accurate Visibility into Forecasted Demand Supermarket chain in Europe has established itself as a leader in quality and choice, combining the convenience of a supermarket with the service of a specialist shop. Challenge Solution Results SAS® Demand Forecasting   To utilize forecasting analytics to   Forecasting business processes   Improved margins with highly view spatial performance. that account for demand accurate forecasts differences across all stores,   To create optimized assortments geographies and product lines   Automated exception based tailored to market requirements forecast management reduces the   Includes models for basic product need for manual inputs and   To provide numerous lifecycle and seasonal products. forecast updates   Create weekly forecasts/ updates   Forecast Performance reporting to automatically with exception validate forecasting decisions   Forecasts incorporate operational   Enable users to identify the right updates (re-alignments, re- forecasting level for item/ locations classifications, promotions, for specific operational need introductions, etc.) 52 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 53. Personalized Offers Supermarket chain in Europe has successfully targeted their marketing campaigns to customer profiles supporting tailored promotions. Business Issue Solutions Results   Need to Streamline process   SAS® Shopper Insights   Integrated Analytics   Need to replace current CRM   SAS® Campaign Management   Highly Targeted, Personalized system Offers   High total cost of ownership   More Automated Campaigns   Campaign management platform   Consistent process for all types of not tightly integrated with customer campaigns analytic models   Streamlined process because of integrated analytics reduced time and effort and increased user satisfaction   Lower cost infrastructure 53 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 54. Customer Insight Drives Customer Loyalty and Greater Share of Wallet Large North American grocery store chain addresses eroding margins and customer attrition with SAS Analytics. Business Issue Solution Results   Increased competition and eroding SAS® Shopper Insights   Using SAS, the customer gains margins. greater customer insight to drive better merchandising decisions,   Growing number of customer which will in turn increase choices made it difficult to retain customer loyalty and spend. customers and increase loyalty.   The expected ROI is a 3-5%   Want to gain better customer percent increase in customer insight, which would drive better spend or revenue. merchandising and marketing decisions   Drive offers to increase share of customer’s wallet   Need to prevent decline in revenues and profit. 54 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 55. Value of Predictive Analytics and Optimization • Assortment Optimization: National U.S. general merchandise chain – 5% to 15% sales increase, margin up 2% to 3% • Regular Price Optimization: Sales 1+% - 3%, margin +2% - 5% • Assortment Optimization: European department store chain – 5% sales increase via average basket growth • Promotion Optimization: Sales + 1% - 12%, margin +5% - 20% • Markdown Optimization: Sales + 0 - 5%, margin +6 – 10% - Gartner (Former AMR Research) “(Customer Insight) helped major grocer boost sales by 5%” - Business Week 55 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 56. Enabling The Infusion Of Deep Consumer Understanding Into Planning Decisions Action Pricing Strategy Brand Assort- Pricing ment Tailored Assortments Services Service Insight Communi Promo - cations Customized Interaction Layout Location & Space Effective Promotions Bricks & Direct Mail/ Web/Internet Mortar Catalog Customers Customers Customers Optimized Planograms Cross Channel Customers 56 Copyright © 2010, SAS Institute Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 57. Q&A Session Your GoToWebinar Attendee Viewer is made of 2 parts: 1.  Viewer  Window   2.  Control  Panel   Type  your  ques9on  here  
  • 58. Q&A | Panelists Ilkka Alarotu Jim Hertel Cyndy Renfrow Director, Customer Managing Partner Senior Director, EMEA Oriented Assortment Willard Bishop Retail/FMCG Practice and Pricing - Food and SAS Institute Inc. Daily Consumer Goods S Group Grocery Trade Debbie Hauss Editor-in-Chief Retail TouchPoints
  • 59. Thanks for attending! You can download this presentation & view the webinar On-Demand here: http://rtou.ch/optimize-shopper-insights
  • 60. Contact the Panelists Contact Ilkka at: Contact Jim at: Contact Cyndy at: Ilkka.alarotu@sok.fi Jim.Hertel@willardbishop.com Cyndy.Renfrow@sas.com