7. Focus on end of cheap fossile fuels
Economic :
“to prevent is cheaper than to cure” (Stern)
Social:
Rising energy prizes disturb livability in a city
City should “arm” citizens and companies by helping
them to become more independent of energy
Delay only makes it more difficult
Ghent Climate neutral in 2050 means:
100.000 dwellings => 2.560 a year
21.000 businesses => 540 a year
600 own buildings => 15 a year
8. Climate neutral in …
2030, 2040, 2050, 2070, 2100?
Every ambition has to take into account
the specific context of every city
Important to start moving
“Ghent strives for… “
9. Ghent, an atypical city
CO2 emissions in the city (direct + indirect, 2009)
source: survey
Totale emissies
12000
10000
CO2-emissies (in kton)
8000 Landbouw
Transport
Handel en diensten
6000 Huishoudens
Energieproductie
Industrie
4000
2000
0
2007 2009
9
12. How to act?
Parallel tracks: study, action and being a model
• Building strategic and policy supporting instruments
• Participation project ‘Ghent Climate Alliance’
• Being an example as City
While knowledge is being build
creating support and enthusiasm for actions
or
13. Website + E-zine + social media
Duurzaamheidsmeter Climate stage
CO2-monitoring
E Input-
Output Knowledge centers
Business cases
Thermal photo
Energy maps
RE-scan
Paden
uitstippelen
Visie vormen
2 Subsidies
climate projects
3
Systemen
analyseren
1
Opvolgen Verankeren
Group
Experimenteren
4
5 6
purchases
Abatement Cost Curve
Transition
management
Education and climate
transition Pilot electric
vehicles
15. To objectify policy by strategic instruments
• First Flemish city with CO2 baseline and two yearly update
• Renewable energy scan
• Energy maps (GIS – MUSIC project)
• Climate maps for adaptation (urban heat islands)
• Modelling transition paths based on abatement cost curve
16. Why 2050 scope?
• Important to know what’s ahead to be prepared
• 2050 seems far away but it’s only 1 or 2 investment
cycles away
• Is the EU ambition -80% in 2050 feasible?
• Limits of local policy levers: defining the roles
• The temptation of low hanging fruit vs. measures on mid and
long term: aligning is essential
• Spotting opportunities for innovation
Focus on strengths and Energy loop in The Loop
business cases for tomorrow
16
17. How to act on short, mid and long term
From CO2 baseline toward transition … through cooperation
Measure a
Measure b
Measure c
Sector x
Measure d
Measure e household x
Measure?
innovation
Measure?
2007 BAU 2050
10,9 Mton CO2 14,7 Mton CO2
17
18. 2012
Rerofitting
10,9 Mton
LE building
Mobility
New techniques
Optimalisation
processes
Wind energy
Solar potential
Bio-energy
Innovation
Abatement cost curve Gent
14,7Mton
2050
19. Scenarios of possible transition paths
10,9 Mton • 4 P’s
• Mix of low and high hanging fruit per legislation
= MODELLING
2012 2050
20. Transition path X for e.g. existing
dwellings could be ...
micro Energy roof windows HP Solar behavior
use thermal
21. Transition path X for e.g. dwellings
could be ...
Remaining District meso
demand heating
22. Transition path X for e.g. dwellings
could be ...
Remaining wind bio-energy macro
demand
23. Transition path X for e.g. dwellings
could be ...
energy roof windows HP solar behavior district wind bio-
use thermal heating energy
24. To do: 3.000 CO2N houses/y – WHERE?
• Energy maps = tools to prioritize geographically
• Defining objective criteria to tackle a specific district first
Example: existing building stock for dwellings
38. Images of the future
2050 : as many citizens as many images of the
future
Consumer pushes demand From prosperity to well being Waste is history Keep on moving
Paths
Ghent blue gate Product services Ghent is a RES plant
Authenticity Smart energy systems
Knowlegde without borders EE at the top Buildings are RES plants
Quality at close range
Economy and consumption Mobility, space &well being Energy and waste Involvement and activation
39. From vision to action
Communiction tool: magazine + website
http://issuu.com/transitiemagazines/docs
40. Valorisation sewage
23 cultural
water & organic
waste
Organisations
> 100.000 visitors
GREEN TRACK
Political support of 3
Energy efficiency
parties
business < 0,5 PJ
City farming
Consumer pushes
arena demand
6th of October 2012
Transition UGent
Transition arena on
mobility
Business case 38.000 students
district heating 7.100 staff
….
Networks Climate working groups Expertiments
41. A new beginning
Target Climate Working Groups
– Activating stakeholders for a concrete targets and business
cases
– Head hunting
– Finding new levers for concrete “actions of tomorrow”
– Creating a dynamic towards real transition with a broadening
group of stakeholders
– Stimulating co-ownership and co-implementation
Result contains 4Ps (people, planet, profit, participation/policy)
but also:
5th P of PROOF
It’s working
43. Priorities layered out in time
based on all P’s
PRIORITISING POLICY
• High and low hanging fruit for every council period
• Aligning short, mid long and long term research and investments
• ...
IGUESS
Social factors Ecological factors
e.g. Fuel poverty first! Trias ecologica
next trias energetica
next CO2
Participation Economic factors
Transitie arena
No concrete prioritising
FILTERING Taking in to account
that not all positive
in time only in measures are feasible
measures right now
ADDING
• Possible to qualify • Possible to qualify and
Subjective priorities • Not always possible to quantify Objective priorities quantify
• GIS helps visualizing • Offers handles to prioritize
Result: transition paths based on feelings and experience, containing Result: measures towards CO2N sorted by €/reduced ton CO2
integrated sustainability = facts and figures containing 1P of sustainability
Stakeholders Politicians ... ACC ETEM GIS energy maps
46. For public buildings
Office building Port of Ghent
Total use of electricity: +15 %
in spite of the double surface
Total use of fuel is 17% lower than before
Share of passive wing: 50% of share
renovated wing
return on extra investment : 4 years
For city development projects
Duurzaamheidsmeter
or a measuring system for sustainable city development
46
48. Implementation
The Gas Site (7 ha)
from brownfield to demonstration site
Oude Dokken :
reconverted harbour
area
Gent St-Pieters (at the main
railway station)
48
49. For public lighting
Lichtplan II • Targets for existing lighting: min. -20% in 2020
c.t. 2008 (estimated -24%)
• Targets for new developments: -20% c.t.
standards 2008
Examples • LED light for all trafic lights (investment
660.000€, EE 413.770 kWh/y, return 13 years)
• accelerated remediation: 3,6 M€, return 5,9
years, 3.685.279 kWh/y, targets 2020 in 2013