Future of work - and how to get there
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1) The document discusses the future of work and lifelong learning in the context of rapid technological change. 2) Key drivers of change include digitalization, automation, and the need for constant reskilling and reinvention. 3) Lifelong learning is now taking place across formal and informal contexts, through online courses, social networks and other platforms where learning is self-directed and occurs anywhere at any time.
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Future of work - and how to get there
- 1. FROLLEINFLOW FUTURE OF WORK EuroGuidance Cross-Border Seminar in Belgrade, Serbia Dr. Anja C. Wagner 5. October 2017 AND HOW WE GET THERE?
- 2. FROLLEINFLOW The world of tomorrow The times they are a-Changin Network society What happened to the jobs landscape? Lifelong learning How to keep track in this fast moving time? Institutional challenges Let’s collect good practices ... 1 2 3 4
- 4. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW 5 Stages in the Design Thinking Process
- 5. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Design Thinking as a Strategy for Innovation INNOVATION “Creative leadership isn’t about leaders simply becoming more creative. It’s about individuals leading for creativity. That means you, as a leader, must unlock the creative potential of your organization, no matter the industry. It’s your job to set the conditions for your organization to generate, embrace, and execute on new ideas. It’s a competitive imperative that will keep you ahead in the marketplace.” - Tim Brown, IDEO
- 7. FROLLEINFLOW The world of tomorrow The times they are a-Changin Network society What happened to the jobs landscape? Lifelong learning How to keep track in this fast moving time? Institutional challenges Let’s collect good practices ... 1 2 3 4
- 8. FROLLEINFLOW The world of tomorrow The times they are a-Changin 1
- 9. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT: HOW SUSCEPTIBLE ARE JOBS TO COMPUTERISATION? Carl Benedikt Frey & Michael A. Osborne September 17, 2013 Bild: Oxford Martin School & Faculty of Philosophy
- 10. FROLLEINFLOW 47 % .... of all US jobs at risk (2013)
- 11. FROLLEINFLOW
- 12. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW In 2015, the official dialogue process Work 4.0 was started (Ministry of Labour) http://www.bmas.de/EN/Services/Publi cations/a883-white-paper.html
- 13. FROLLEINFLOW Can a robot do my job?
- 14. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW A lot of studies signaled: Positive view of employee development in Germany
- 15. FROLLEINFLOW Work 4.0 Where are we heading? Two time horizons 1. What will our world look like in 20 years? 2. What is the way to get there?
- 17. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Global disruption through digitalization in all industries First Wave Second Wave Third Wave Impactonbusinessmodel Time Platforms / Software Deep Tech Thanks to Dr. Holger Schmidt | Netzoekonom.de We are here Hightech Media Music Retail Travel Telecommunications Cars Finance Logistics Energy Real Estate Construction Education Health / Pharma Engineering Agriculture Chemistry Mining
- 19. FROLLEINFLOW Demographic development Technical-economic developments Social developments Ageing society & staff Globalization Awareness for sustainability Shrinking society Digitalization Changing values Shortage of junior staff Automatization Diversity Extension of working life Acceleration with simultaneous complexity Feminisation Innovation pressure + cost pressure Customization Knowledge society + innovation society Work-Life-Balance as a life plan Urbanization Polarisation of society Thanks to Prof. Jutta Ramp | Institute for Employment and Employability
- 20. FROLLEINFLOW Demographic development Technical-economic developments Social developments Ageing society & staff Globalization Awareness for sustainability Shrinking society Digitalization Changing values Shortage of junior staff Automatization Diversity Extension of working life Acceleration with simultaneous complexity Feminisation Innovation pressure + cost pressure Customization Knowledge society + innovation society Work-Life-Balance as a life plan Urbanization Polarisation of society Thanks to Prof. Jutta Ramp | Institute for Employment and Employability
- 21. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW How is it exchanged around the globe?
- 22. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW The specific mixture at Silicon Valley
- 23. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Some say ... … it’s the attractiveness of the “californian ideology”
- 24. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW MOORE’S LAW = Doubling of processor speeds every 1-2 years
- 25. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Growth of the semiconductor industry enables global production siehe IHS Markit Study
- 26. FROLLEINFLOW
- 28. FROLLEINFLOW
- 29. FROLLEINFLOW
- 30. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Current global networking via submarine cables
- 31. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Expected developments until approx. 2020 because of mobile satellites
- 34. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW We live in a global network society - all of us linked together via the internet.
- 35. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Design Thinking as a Strategy for Innovation INNOVATION We are here
- 37. FROLLEINFLOW The world of tomorrow The times they are a-Changin Network society What happened to the jobs landscape? Lifelong learning How to keep track in this fast moving time? Institutional challenges Let’s collect good practices ... 1 2 3 4
- 38. FROLLEINFLOW Network society What happened to the jobs landscape? 2
- 39. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Global disruption through digitalization in all industries Hightech Media Music Retail Travel Telecommunications Cars Finance Logistics Energy Real Estate Construction Education Health / Pharma Engineering Agriculture Chemistry Mining First Wave Second Wave Third Wave Impactonbusinessmodel Time Platforms / Software Deep Tech Thanks to Dr. Holger Schmidt | Netzoekonom.de We are here
- 41. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Diverse distortions caused by... 1. Plattforms as Amazon, Facebook, Alphabet usw. 2. Artificial intelligence as Bots, Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Robotics ... 3. Network society at global, regional, institutional & private levels 4. New workflows & new work cultures such as home office, open spaces etc.
- 43. FROLLEINFLOW “There is a need to retool yourself, and you should not expect to stop,” said Randall Stephenson, the chief and chairman of AT&T. People who do not spend five to 10 hours a week in online learning, he added, “will obsolete themselves with the technology.” The New York Times, Feb. 13, 2016
- 44. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW “If you don't want to keep reinventing yourself with the new technologies, please quit.” - AT&T
- 45. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW MACRO Education MACRO Further Education “If you don't want to keep reinventing yourself with the new technologies, please quit.” - AT&T
- 46. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW So far, traditional educational work has looked like this LEARNING OBJECTIVES METHODS CURRICULUM TEST
- 47. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Modern education 4.0 work would look like this 7 PILLARS OF LEARNING TIME - EVERYWHERE AND AT ANY TIME ROOM - F2F ONLY WHEN REQUIRED PACE - SELF-DETERMINED LEARNING PATHS - SELF-ORGANIZED TECHNOLOGY - DELIVERS CONTENT DIGITIZED CONTENT - INTERACTIVE NETWORKED - COACH / AI / P2P FLOWCAMPUS.com
- 48. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW “Wenn du dich nicht immer wieder neu mit den neuen Technologien erfinden magst, kündige bitte.” - AT&T The Economist, Feb. 18, 1999
- 49. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW MICRO MACRO Education MACRO Further Education “If you don't want to keep reinventing yourself with the new technologies, please quit.” - AT&T
- 50. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW On-the-fly learning in micro-steps is "on vogue"... © Bersin by Deloitte
- 51. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Macro learning makes sense if you want to learn something completely new
- 52. FROLLEINFLOW And what significance will official certificates have in the future?
- 53. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Practical experience counts in technical professions more than degrees Siehe Quartz vom 15.12.2016
- 54. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Consequences for the labour market 1. Cancellation of (old) formal qualifications for individuals 2. New opportunities in a connected world 3. Increased mobility on all sides 4. Every company becomes a media company? ⇒ more competition for attention 5. Network competence & personal responsibility increases on all sides
- 55. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW The times of knowledge transfer are almost over, as no one can predict the future and prepare others for it.
- 56. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Design Thinking as a Strategy for Innovation INNOVATION We are here
- 58. FROLLEINFLOW The world of tomorrow The times they are a-Changin Network society What happened to the jobs landscape? Lifelong learning How to keep track in this fast moving time? Institutional challenges Let’s collect good practices ... 1 2 3 4
- 59. FROLLEINFLOW 2 Lifelong learning How to keep track in this fast moving time? 3
- 60. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Competence (in the singular, not in the plural) ● Individual level ● Sozio-cultural level ● Sozio-technological level
- 61. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Lifelong learning already takes place in social networks! Day after day...
- 62. FROLLEINFLOW
- 63. FROLLEINFLOW
- 64. FROLLEINFLOW That’s education? Jane Hart: Top 100 Tools for Learning “A learning tool is any software or online tool or service that can be used for your own personal learning or for teaching or training.” 2016
- 65. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Jane Hart: 6th Annual Learning in the Workplace survey (2017) 7 PILLARS OF LEARNING TIME - EVERYWHERE AND AT ANY TIME ROOM - F2F ONLY WHEN REQUIRED PACE - SELF-DETERMINED LEARNING PATHS - SELF-ORGANIZED TECHNOLOGY - DELIVERS CONTENT DIGITIZED CONTENT - INTERACTIVE NETWORKED - COACH / AI / P2P
- 67. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW More than 3/4 of all Germans are on social networks. Datengrundlage: ARD/ZDF-Onlinestudie 2016 7 PILLARS OF LEARNING TIME - EVERYWHERE AND AT ANY TIME ROOM - F2F ONLY WHEN REQUIRED PACE - SELF-DETERMINED LEARNING PATHS - SELF-ORGANIZED TECHNOLOGY - DELIVERS CONTENT DIGITIZED CONTENT - INTERACTIVE NETWORKED - COACH / AI / P2P Minimum weekly usage
- 68. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW The World Wide Web as a global learning environment siehe CB Insights: Reinventing School: 108 Ed Tech Startups Across Learning Management, Language Teaching, And More (3. Mai 2017)
- 69. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Since Q1 2017 a lot of money has been flowing into the market again... siehe CB Insights: Reinventing School: 108 Ed Tech Startups Across Learning Management, Language Teaching, And More (3. Mai 2017)
- 72. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW MOOCs are a great EduMarketing instrument as well
- 74. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Online and/or offline, hybrid & in a glocal community
- 76. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Much of it FOR FREE ==> Zero marginal cost economy
- 81. FROLLEINFLOW Each person chooses a different mixture of attractive experiences on various platforms
- 82. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Today, you can learn anything if you want to. And most of it will cost you nothing than your time … and your data ...
- 83. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Design Thinking as a Strategy for Innovation INNOVATION We are here
- 85. FROLLEINFLOW The world of tomorrow The times they are a-Changin Network society What happened to the jobs landscape? Lifelong learning How to keep track in this fast moving time? Institutional challenges Let’s collect good practices ... 1 2 3 4
- 86. FROLLEINFLOW 2 Institutional challenges Let’s collect good practices ... 4
- 87. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Let's recapitulate: competence (in the singular, not in the plural) ● Individual level ● Sozio-cultural level ● Sozio-technological level
- 88. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Public systems are the slowest ...
- 89. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Macro Learning needs more Micro Flow
- 90. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW In the 21st century: We have to support more of those micro-phases... LEARNING OBJECTIVES METHODs CURRICULUM TEST 7 PILLARS OF LEARNING TIME - EVERYWHERE AND AT ANY TIME ROOM - F2F ONLY WHEN REQUIRED PACE - SELF-DETERMINED LEARNING PATHS - SELF-ORGANIZED TECHNOLOGY - DELIVERS CONTENT DIGITIZED CONTENT - INTERACTIVE NETWORKED - COACH / AI / P2P ? ?
- 91. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW And rely more on individual strengths than standardization LIFE DESIGN as a storytelling of one's own identity
- 92. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW It needs more socio-cultural and socio-technological frameworks Education 1.0 Teachers "school" learners in educational institutions Education 2.0 Learners use the Web (2.0) to empower themselves Education 4.0 New policy infrastructures for self-directed learning
- 93. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW It needs more socio-cultural and socio-technological frameworks Practice Social Learning Living at the pulse of time Develop an open mindset for the future Embrace the Net NEWSERVICES Education 4.0 New policy infrastructures for self-directed learning
- 94. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW New policy infrastructures 4.0 ... Unconditional learning assets from the government = People have a budget, which they can use for their own learning - they choose by themselves, what they want to learn Support to develop diverse interdisciplinary working and learning spaces = Makerspaces, CoWorking-Spaces, Repair shops, Libraries, Documenta, Urban Gardening Projects etc. pp. Building platforms, clouds, content, analytics & technical support “as a service”
- 95. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Let’s introduce: BOB, your personal learning coach (in France)
- 96. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Let’s introduce: BOB, your personal learning coach (in France)
- 97. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Let’s introduce: BOB, your personal learning coach (in France)
- 98. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Let’s introduce: BOB, your personal learning coach (in France)
- 99. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Design Thinking as a Strategy for Innovation INNOVATION We are here
- 101. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW What are your good practices in your countries?
- 102. FROLLEINFLOWFROLLEINFLOW Dr. Anja C. Wagner Twitter: @acwagner Mail: acw@frolleinflow.com FROLLEINFLOW GbR http://frolleinflow.com FLOWCAMPUS http://flowcampus.com