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OPPORTUNITIES IN LIFE SCIENCES
                                                  Scottish Enterprise




                                             Stratified and Personalised Medicine:
                                                                       An Overview




Supporting a globally competitive Scotland
OPPORTUNITIES	                                                                                                                                              1




                                                                                           Scottish Enterprise
                 SUMMARY
                 Stratified medicine encompasses the following approaches:

                 1)	The use of a range of genomic and other biomarkers
                 	 to improve the drug development process by significantly
                 	 reducing cost and risk.

                 2)	The use of companion diagnostics (CDx) to identify patient
                 	 populations into those most likely to respond favourably,
                 	 and without adverse effects, to a particular therapeutic
                 	 (Rx) treatment option.                                                                   The pace of change will be
                 3)	The use of biomarkers to optimise dosage of drug, for                                accelerated yet further by the
                 	 prognosis and monitoring outcome of treatments.                                      imminent arrival of affordable
                 Successfully deployed stratified medicine approaches serve
                 to increase margins for pharmaceutical companies, markedly
                                                                                                          genome based personalised
                 reducing cost and speeding drug development. This is particularly                                           medicine.
                 important at a time when major pharmaceutical companies are
                 coming under intense pressure as patents on key products expire
                 and these products are substituted by generics.
                 To date the application of stratified medicine approaches has
                 been primarily associated with drug based therapeutics and
                 molecular or protein based biomarkers. However the process is
                 generic and is likely to develop and encompass a wider range of
                 both therapeutic modalities (cellular, surgical & behavioural) and
                 analytical techniques (physiological measurements and functional
                 imaging).
                 Stratified medicine can also generate significant savings for
                 healthcare providers and most importantly deliver better clinical
                 outcomes to the patient.




                 Full reports on the markets covered here can be downloaded from the Scottish Enterprise website www.scottish-enterprise.com/lifesciences
OPPORTUNITIES	                                                                                                                 2




                 BACKGROUND
                 Stratified medicine is a new approach to delivering
                 healthcare, and can be seen as a step on the road to
                 delivering fully personalised medicines. It encompasses
                 biomarkers derived from all “omics” technologies (genomics,
                 proteomics and metabolomics) and increasingly other
                 analytical technologies such as imaging. To date such
                 biomarkers have been principally used as a tool to accelerate
                 drug discovery and development and develop a small group
                 of Rx-CDx products to stratify patient populations based on              Personalised medicine is very much in
                 disease status and response to therapy.                              process and will lead to the sequencing of
                 The pace of change will be accelerated yet further by the
                 imminent arrival of affordable genome based personalised
                                                                                        individual genomes becoming a routine.
                 medicine. The commercial availability of a “$1,000 genome” was
                 announced by a major research tools company in early 2012.
                 An affordable “$100 genome” by 2018 is a realistic proposition.
                 Thus the transition from the current era of stratified medicine to
                 one of personalised medicine is very much in process and will
                 lead to the sequencing of individual genomes becoming a routine
                 and accepted part of clinical practice.
                 Stratified medicine has already significantly changed the
                 pharma, diagnostics, biotechnology and impacted IT industries by
                 generating a much greater “evidence base” for informed decision
                 making. Personalised medicine is likely to similarly change
                 clinical practice. This will present not only major challenges for
                 the life science sectors and NHS in Scotland but also tremendous
                 commercial and societal opportunities.
OPPORTUNITIES	                                                                                                                                               3




                 Market and Key Drivers                                                     Industry Needs
                 The leading market for both CDx and biomarkers has been cancer.            •	 Validated biomarkers: New technical breakthroughs
                 The market value of targeted cancer therapies, where there is a               have produced a huge pipeline of prospective biomarkers
                 companion diagnostic element, is now $40 billion and is growing at            all of which require better and faster methods of
                 CAGR of 15%. Landmark companion diagnostic (CDx) products such                validation, a major opportunity for Scottish CRO base and
                 as the Her2 test for breast cancer patient stratification are now in          translational research base.
                 extensive use in both Europe and US and generating significant             •	 Data handling (IT & Bioinformatics): The two major
                 revenues ($100 million).                                                      needs and opportunities are for seamless and secure
                 The market for cancer biomarkers in general (i.e. Non CDx), employed          medical records and data recording systems to efficiently
                 in cancer clinical trials and discovery, was ten times greater at $1          deal with the sheer volume of data. This is an opportunity
                 billion in 2010. This in turn was part of the $20 billion market for all      for Scottish IT companies to specialise in medical
                 biomarkers used in drug development (BCC Research 2010).                      related data handling. Related to this are opportunities
                                                                                               to statistically analyze data and put the data in a context
                 Biomarkers for drug development and clinical trials for other                 relating biomarker changes to underlying biology.
                 indications are coming on line, and Rx-Dx combinations are
                 evidently negotiating the complexities of regulatory approval for          •	 Adaptation to changes in the regulatory processes:
                 both diagnostics and therapeutics.                                            Stratified and personalised medicine is going to produce
                                                                                               major changes in regulatory authorities requiring more
                 In short, stratified medicine is here to stay. Key drivers include            complex data submission packages which incorporate
                 needs for:                                                                    biomarker data within a regulatory submission for a new
                  •	 Pharmaceutical companies to reduce the cost and                           drug. There is an opportunity for Scottish companies,
                     increase the speed of the drug development process;                       particularly specialist CRO’s and consultancies, to gain
                                                                                               market share by anticipating and adapting to these
                  •	 Cost savings for healthcare providers;                                    changes quickly.
                  •	 Improved clinical outcomes for patients.                               •	 Development of new business models & processes:
                 Thus the ability of countries, life science industry sectors,                 New therapeutics have traditionally been priced by value
                 companies and healthcare systems to quickly anticipate adapt                  – where a perceived monetary value is assigned to the
                 and successfully exploit the opportunities created by advances                impact of the treatment. In contrast diagnostics have been
                 in stratified medicine is of immediate commercial importance.                 priced according to production cost with a margin added.
                 Success in adapting to the changes brought by stratified medicine             This has created an as yet unresolved business challenge
                 is strategically important. It will provide a foundation and                  between the in vitro diagnostics providers and pharma
                 bridgehead to take advantage of what may be much greater long-                partners. Similarly optimised processes to effectively
                 term opportunities created as personalised medicine becomes a                 incorporate novel biomarker and diagnostics development
                 technical and commercial reality.                                             into the drug development process are required.
OPPORTUNITIES	                                                                                                                                      4




                 	   Solving these issues are both opportunities for Scottish    Scottish Strengths
                     companies, particularly in vitro diagnostic & CRO
                     companies, to develop novel business pricing solutions       •	 A strong presence of major international research
                     re-engineered workflow processes and strategic                  tools companies: Major research tools companies are
                     partnerships.                                                   implanted in Scotland (Life Technologies, Gen-Probe,
                                                                                     Millipore now Merck, Agilent and a number of SMEs). This
                 •	 Adaptations within Healthcare Provider Systems:                  cluster is capable of developing and manufacturing kits
                    Change in clinical evaluation bodies (equivalent to NICE         and services which provide stratified medicine tools for a
                    in UK), to evaluate cost effectiveness of new personalised       global Pharma and biotechnology market.
                    medicines are needed. Adapting NHS and other healthcare
                    systems to deliver stratified and personalised medicine,      •	 An internationally competitive cluster of pharma CRO’s
                    in particular handling of genomic data and long term             with presence of majors such as Charles River, Aptuit &
                    education of clinicians and patients is required and will        Quintiles: As with the research tools companies this cluster
                    create new opportunities for prepared companies.                 is competitive and capable of adapting its processes and
                                                                                     services to exploit the growth of stratified medicine.
                                                                                  •	 A vibrant group in vitro diagnostic (IVD) and imaging
                                                                                     companies: Scottish IVD and imaging companies have the
                                                                                     technical capability of developing and providing companion
                                                                                     diagnostics co-marketed with new pharmaceuticals. To
                                                                                     date most marketed CDx products have been molecular
                                                                                     biomarker based tests using DNA/RNA or proteins.
                                                                                     However in future other diagnostic modalities such as
                                                                                     imaging based CDx tests will be deployed.
                                                                                  •	 An internationally competitive clinical translational
                                                                                     research base: Scotland clinical translational researchers
                                                                                     are working on most of the disease areas that stratified
                                                                                     medicine is predicted to impact upon in the coming
                                                                                     decade. The major Wyeth TMRC investment created
                                                                                     infrastructure, and more importantly a cohort of clinical
                                                                                     researchers (now within Health Science Scotland), with
                                                                                     extensive experience of industry lead stratified medicine
                                                                                     development. Other initiatives which will support stratified
                                                                                     medicine include biobanks notably Generation Scotland,
                                                                                     significant initiatives in bioinformatics through Scottish
                                                                                     Bioinformatics Forum (SBF) and coordinated mechanism
                                                                                     of patient recruitment through Scottish Health Informatics
                                                                                     Partnership (SHIP).
If you require this publication in an alternative format
and/or language please contact the Scottish Enterprise
Helpline on 0845 607 8787 to discuss your needs.


Scottish Enterprise
Atrium Court
50 Waterloo Street
Glasgow
G2 6HQ

Helpline: 0845 607 8787

www.scottish-enterprise.com




February 2012

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Stratified and Personalised Medicine

  • 1. OPPORTUNITIES IN LIFE SCIENCES Scottish Enterprise Stratified and Personalised Medicine: An Overview Supporting a globally competitive Scotland
  • 2. OPPORTUNITIES 1 Scottish Enterprise SUMMARY Stratified medicine encompasses the following approaches: 1) The use of a range of genomic and other biomarkers to improve the drug development process by significantly reducing cost and risk. 2) The use of companion diagnostics (CDx) to identify patient populations into those most likely to respond favourably, and without adverse effects, to a particular therapeutic (Rx) treatment option. The pace of change will be 3) The use of biomarkers to optimise dosage of drug, for accelerated yet further by the prognosis and monitoring outcome of treatments. imminent arrival of affordable Successfully deployed stratified medicine approaches serve to increase margins for pharmaceutical companies, markedly genome based personalised reducing cost and speeding drug development. This is particularly medicine. important at a time when major pharmaceutical companies are coming under intense pressure as patents on key products expire and these products are substituted by generics. To date the application of stratified medicine approaches has been primarily associated with drug based therapeutics and molecular or protein based biomarkers. However the process is generic and is likely to develop and encompass a wider range of both therapeutic modalities (cellular, surgical & behavioural) and analytical techniques (physiological measurements and functional imaging). Stratified medicine can also generate significant savings for healthcare providers and most importantly deliver better clinical outcomes to the patient. Full reports on the markets covered here can be downloaded from the Scottish Enterprise website www.scottish-enterprise.com/lifesciences
  • 3. OPPORTUNITIES 2 BACKGROUND Stratified medicine is a new approach to delivering healthcare, and can be seen as a step on the road to delivering fully personalised medicines. It encompasses biomarkers derived from all “omics” technologies (genomics, proteomics and metabolomics) and increasingly other analytical technologies such as imaging. To date such biomarkers have been principally used as a tool to accelerate drug discovery and development and develop a small group of Rx-CDx products to stratify patient populations based on Personalised medicine is very much in disease status and response to therapy. process and will lead to the sequencing of The pace of change will be accelerated yet further by the imminent arrival of affordable genome based personalised individual genomes becoming a routine. medicine. The commercial availability of a “$1,000 genome” was announced by a major research tools company in early 2012. An affordable “$100 genome” by 2018 is a realistic proposition. Thus the transition from the current era of stratified medicine to one of personalised medicine is very much in process and will lead to the sequencing of individual genomes becoming a routine and accepted part of clinical practice. Stratified medicine has already significantly changed the pharma, diagnostics, biotechnology and impacted IT industries by generating a much greater “evidence base” for informed decision making. Personalised medicine is likely to similarly change clinical practice. This will present not only major challenges for the life science sectors and NHS in Scotland but also tremendous commercial and societal opportunities.
  • 4. OPPORTUNITIES 3 Market and Key Drivers Industry Needs The leading market for both CDx and biomarkers has been cancer. • Validated biomarkers: New technical breakthroughs The market value of targeted cancer therapies, where there is a have produced a huge pipeline of prospective biomarkers companion diagnostic element, is now $40 billion and is growing at all of which require better and faster methods of CAGR of 15%. Landmark companion diagnostic (CDx) products such validation, a major opportunity for Scottish CRO base and as the Her2 test for breast cancer patient stratification are now in translational research base. extensive use in both Europe and US and generating significant • Data handling (IT & Bioinformatics): The two major revenues ($100 million). needs and opportunities are for seamless and secure The market for cancer biomarkers in general (i.e. Non CDx), employed medical records and data recording systems to efficiently in cancer clinical trials and discovery, was ten times greater at $1 deal with the sheer volume of data. This is an opportunity billion in 2010. This in turn was part of the $20 billion market for all for Scottish IT companies to specialise in medical biomarkers used in drug development (BCC Research 2010). related data handling. Related to this are opportunities to statistically analyze data and put the data in a context Biomarkers for drug development and clinical trials for other relating biomarker changes to underlying biology. indications are coming on line, and Rx-Dx combinations are evidently negotiating the complexities of regulatory approval for • Adaptation to changes in the regulatory processes: both diagnostics and therapeutics. Stratified and personalised medicine is going to produce major changes in regulatory authorities requiring more In short, stratified medicine is here to stay. Key drivers include complex data submission packages which incorporate needs for: biomarker data within a regulatory submission for a new • Pharmaceutical companies to reduce the cost and drug. There is an opportunity for Scottish companies, increase the speed of the drug development process; particularly specialist CRO’s and consultancies, to gain market share by anticipating and adapting to these • Cost savings for healthcare providers; changes quickly. • Improved clinical outcomes for patients. • Development of new business models & processes: Thus the ability of countries, life science industry sectors, New therapeutics have traditionally been priced by value companies and healthcare systems to quickly anticipate adapt – where a perceived monetary value is assigned to the and successfully exploit the opportunities created by advances impact of the treatment. In contrast diagnostics have been in stratified medicine is of immediate commercial importance. priced according to production cost with a margin added. Success in adapting to the changes brought by stratified medicine This has created an as yet unresolved business challenge is strategically important. It will provide a foundation and between the in vitro diagnostics providers and pharma bridgehead to take advantage of what may be much greater long- partners. Similarly optimised processes to effectively term opportunities created as personalised medicine becomes a incorporate novel biomarker and diagnostics development technical and commercial reality. into the drug development process are required.
  • 5. OPPORTUNITIES 4 Solving these issues are both opportunities for Scottish Scottish Strengths companies, particularly in vitro diagnostic & CRO companies, to develop novel business pricing solutions • A strong presence of major international research re-engineered workflow processes and strategic tools companies: Major research tools companies are partnerships. implanted in Scotland (Life Technologies, Gen-Probe, Millipore now Merck, Agilent and a number of SMEs). This • Adaptations within Healthcare Provider Systems: cluster is capable of developing and manufacturing kits Change in clinical evaluation bodies (equivalent to NICE and services which provide stratified medicine tools for a in UK), to evaluate cost effectiveness of new personalised global Pharma and biotechnology market. medicines are needed. Adapting NHS and other healthcare systems to deliver stratified and personalised medicine, • An internationally competitive cluster of pharma CRO’s in particular handling of genomic data and long term with presence of majors such as Charles River, Aptuit & education of clinicians and patients is required and will Quintiles: As with the research tools companies this cluster create new opportunities for prepared companies. is competitive and capable of adapting its processes and services to exploit the growth of stratified medicine. • A vibrant group in vitro diagnostic (IVD) and imaging companies: Scottish IVD and imaging companies have the technical capability of developing and providing companion diagnostics co-marketed with new pharmaceuticals. To date most marketed CDx products have been molecular biomarker based tests using DNA/RNA or proteins. However in future other diagnostic modalities such as imaging based CDx tests will be deployed. • An internationally competitive clinical translational research base: Scotland clinical translational researchers are working on most of the disease areas that stratified medicine is predicted to impact upon in the coming decade. The major Wyeth TMRC investment created infrastructure, and more importantly a cohort of clinical researchers (now within Health Science Scotland), with extensive experience of industry lead stratified medicine development. Other initiatives which will support stratified medicine include biobanks notably Generation Scotland, significant initiatives in bioinformatics through Scottish Bioinformatics Forum (SBF) and coordinated mechanism of patient recruitment through Scottish Health Informatics Partnership (SHIP).
  • 6. If you require this publication in an alternative format and/or language please contact the Scottish Enterprise Helpline on 0845 607 8787 to discuss your needs. Scottish Enterprise Atrium Court 50 Waterloo Street Glasgow G2 6HQ Helpline: 0845 607 8787 www.scottish-enterprise.com February 2012