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PROBLEMATIC


The current world oil consumption is 87,915 kBbl/day. The world total proven oil reserves is
                                 1,478,974 million barrels.
 The current daily production rate is 83,241 kBbl/day (That means we consume more than
                                     we produce oops!).

    For the last 5 years (2005 to 2010), the world consumption has increased by 25%.
 Someone will ask me what about the reserves? of course, the past 5 years, the reserves
have increased by 29% but only 30% is recoverable by current methods and 55% by heavy
                              high tech engineering methods.
                  When is the end of oil as the primary source of energy


                                  By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
INTRODUCTION




Energy and persistence conquer all things.
Benjamin Franklin
(January 17, 1706 [O.S. January 6, 1705[1]] – April 17, 1790) was one
of the Founding Fathers of the United States.


              By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
OPERATION OVERVIEW




    By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
OPERATION OVERVIEW TODAY




        By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
TOP 10 PRODUCER IN THE WORLD
                   (KBbl/Day)
•   Russia         10450
•   Saudi Arabia   9761
•   USA            7805
•   Iran           4259
•   China          4103
•   Canada         3367
•   Mexico         2953
•   United         2848
•   Venezuela      2438
•   Nigeria        2436                                    2010



                       By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
WORLD’S PRODUCTION

                                          World's Production of Oil 2010 =82000 K Barrel/Day
                         90000

                         80000

                         70000

                         60000
Thousand of barril/Day




                         50000

                         40000

                         30000

                         20000

                         10000

                             0
                                 1995   2000             2005              2008    2009   2010
                                                                  Year


                                               By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
TOP 10 RESERVE IN THE WORLD
               (Mbl)                          Top 10 Producer (Kbl/Day)

•   Saudi     262602                          •    Russia                 10450
•   Venezuela 211170                          •    Saudi Arabia           9761
•   Canada 175214                             •    USA                    7805
•   Iran      137010                          •    Iran                   4259
•   Iraq      115000                          •    China                  4103
•   Kuwait    104000                          •    Canada                 3367
•   USA       97800                           •    Mexico                 2953
•   Russia    60000                           •    United                 2848
•   Libya     46420                           •    Venezuela              2438
•   Nigeria 37200                             •    Nigeria                2436

             WATCH WHAT HAPPENNING TO THE OUTSIDERS
                       By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
WORLD’S RESERVE

    World's Oil Reserve 2011


  16%




                                            Top 10
                                            Rest of the World




                         84%




        By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
TOP 10 OIL CONSUMPTION

•   United         19 528                         World's Oil Consumption 2010
•   China          9 377
•   Japan          4 422
•   India          3 338                           41%
                                                                            Top 10


•   Russia         3 041                                       59%
                                                                            Rest of the World



•   Brazil         2 724
•   Saudi Arabia   2 664
•   Germany        2 483
•   South Korea    2 249
•   Canada         2 234

                        WATCH THEIR FUTURE ACTION (BRIC)
                     By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
LEVEL OF DEPENDANCE
Top 10 Producer             Top 10 Reserve                             Top 10 Consumer
•   Russia                 •     Saudi                             •    United
•   Saudi Arabia           •     Venezuela                         •    China
•   USA                    •     Canada                            •    Japan
•   Iran                   •     Iran                              •    India
•   China                  •     Iraq                              •    Russia
•   Canada                 •     Kuwait                            •    Brazil
•   Mexico                 •     USA                               •    Saudi Arabia
•   UAE                    •     Russia                            •    Germany
•   Venezuela              •     Libya                             •    South Korea
•   Nigeria                •     Nigeria                           •    Canada

       IN TROUBLE: CHINA, JAPAN, INDIA, BRAZIL, SOUTH KOREA, GERMANY
                               By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
HOW LONG CAN WE SURVIVE?
Dependence from OIL&GAS        Years to survive
•   USA              62%                     10
•   CHINA            22%                     14
•   JAPAN            63%                     7
•   INDIA            31%                     18
•   BRAZIL           58%                     16
•   GERMANY          56%                     9
•   SOUTH KOREA59%                           NA
•   WORLD                                    45




                           By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
OIL FUTURE
             We produce only 2.2% of the Daily Reserve and consume 100% of our production
                                                     Future World's Oil
                        1995               2000      2005           2008           2009      2010    2011   Year
             150000                                                                                                50

             100000
                           46
                                                                                        45      45                 45
              50000                           44                        44
                                                         43
                  0
                                                                                                                   40
              -50000
barril/Day




             -100000                                                                                               35

             -150000

                        Production                                                                                 30
             -200000
                        New Discovery
             -250000
                        Years to survive                                                                           25
             -300000
                                              OIL FUTURE IS UNCERTAIN, NOT PREDICTABLE
             -350000                                                                                               20

                  The Discovery Rate is about 5% increase average YoY.

                                                    By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
WHEN OIL ENERGY WILL DIE?
                                  Oi l fi e l d s Esti m a te d Pro d u cti o n C o sts ($ 2 0 0 8 )


Mideast/N.Africa oilfields                                6             28                 Arctic oilfields    32   100
Other conventional oilfields                              6             39                 Heavy oil/bitumen   32    68
CO2 enhanced oil recovery                                30             80                 Oil shales          52   113
Deep/ultra-deep-water oilfields                          32             65                 Gas to liquids      38   113
Enhanced oil recovery                                    32             82                 Coal to liquids     60   113

           COST OF DOING OIL BUSINESS IS LESS THAN THE OIL PRICE




                                               By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
COMPARISION WITH SUBSTITUTES




         By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
WHAT IS THE NEXT SOURCE OF ENERGY

•   HYDRO
•   NUCLEAR
•   COAL
•   WIND
•   GAS
•   SOLAR


          Need HULT MBA to crack it!
                By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club

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The End of Oil as Primary Source of Energy

  • 1. PROBLEMATIC The current world oil consumption is 87,915 kBbl/day. The world total proven oil reserves is 1,478,974 million barrels. The current daily production rate is 83,241 kBbl/day (That means we consume more than we produce oops!). For the last 5 years (2005 to 2010), the world consumption has increased by 25%. Someone will ask me what about the reserves? of course, the past 5 years, the reserves have increased by 29% but only 30% is recoverable by current methods and 55% by heavy high tech engineering methods. When is the end of oil as the primary source of energy By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 2. INTRODUCTION Energy and persistence conquer all things. Benjamin Franklin (January 17, 1706 [O.S. January 6, 1705[1]] – April 17, 1790) was one of the Founding Fathers of the United States. By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 3. OPERATION OVERVIEW By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 4. OPERATION OVERVIEW TODAY By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 5. TOP 10 PRODUCER IN THE WORLD (KBbl/Day) • Russia 10450 • Saudi Arabia 9761 • USA 7805 • Iran 4259 • China 4103 • Canada 3367 • Mexico 2953 • United 2848 • Venezuela 2438 • Nigeria 2436 2010 By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 6. WORLD’S PRODUCTION World's Production of Oil 2010 =82000 K Barrel/Day 90000 80000 70000 60000 Thousand of barril/Day 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 0 1995 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 Year By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 7. TOP 10 RESERVE IN THE WORLD (Mbl) Top 10 Producer (Kbl/Day) • Saudi 262602 • Russia 10450 • Venezuela 211170 • Saudi Arabia 9761 • Canada 175214 • USA 7805 • Iran 137010 • Iran 4259 • Iraq 115000 • China 4103 • Kuwait 104000 • Canada 3367 • USA 97800 • Mexico 2953 • Russia 60000 • United 2848 • Libya 46420 • Venezuela 2438 • Nigeria 37200 • Nigeria 2436 WATCH WHAT HAPPENNING TO THE OUTSIDERS By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 8. WORLD’S RESERVE World's Oil Reserve 2011 16% Top 10 Rest of the World 84% By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 9. TOP 10 OIL CONSUMPTION • United 19 528 World's Oil Consumption 2010 • China 9 377 • Japan 4 422 • India 3 338 41% Top 10 • Russia 3 041 59% Rest of the World • Brazil 2 724 • Saudi Arabia 2 664 • Germany 2 483 • South Korea 2 249 • Canada 2 234 WATCH THEIR FUTURE ACTION (BRIC) By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 10. LEVEL OF DEPENDANCE Top 10 Producer Top 10 Reserve Top 10 Consumer • Russia • Saudi • United • Saudi Arabia • Venezuela • China • USA • Canada • Japan • Iran • Iran • India • China • Iraq • Russia • Canada • Kuwait • Brazil • Mexico • USA • Saudi Arabia • UAE • Russia • Germany • Venezuela • Libya • South Korea • Nigeria • Nigeria • Canada IN TROUBLE: CHINA, JAPAN, INDIA, BRAZIL, SOUTH KOREA, GERMANY By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 11. HOW LONG CAN WE SURVIVE? Dependence from OIL&GAS Years to survive • USA 62% 10 • CHINA 22% 14 • JAPAN 63% 7 • INDIA 31% 18 • BRAZIL 58% 16 • GERMANY 56% 9 • SOUTH KOREA59% NA • WORLD 45 By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 12. OIL FUTURE We produce only 2.2% of the Daily Reserve and consume 100% of our production Future World's Oil 1995 2000 2005 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year 150000 50 100000 46 45 45 45 50000 44 44 43 0 40 -50000 barril/Day -100000 35 -150000 Production 30 -200000 New Discovery -250000 Years to survive 25 -300000 OIL FUTURE IS UNCERTAIN, NOT PREDICTABLE -350000 20 The Discovery Rate is about 5% increase average YoY. By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 13. WHEN OIL ENERGY WILL DIE? Oi l fi e l d s Esti m a te d Pro d u cti o n C o sts ($ 2 0 0 8 ) Mideast/N.Africa oilfields 6 28 Arctic oilfields 32 100 Other conventional oilfields 6 39 Heavy oil/bitumen 32 68 CO2 enhanced oil recovery 30 80 Oil shales 52 113 Deep/ultra-deep-water oilfields 32 65 Gas to liquids 38 113 Enhanced oil recovery 32 82 Coal to liquids 60 113 COST OF DOING OIL BUSINESS IS LESS THAN THE OIL PRICE By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 14. COMPARISION WITH SUBSTITUTES By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club
  • 15. WHAT IS THE NEXT SOURCE OF ENERGY • HYDRO • NUCLEAR • COAL • WIND • GAS • SOLAR Need HULT MBA to crack it! By Eric ADANGBA, Hult Energy Club