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Journal club on a systematic review and meta analysis.pptx

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Journal club on a systematic review and meta analysis.pptx

This presentation will guide you how to prepare a journal club on a systematic review and meta analysis. This will help you to understand, the LEVEL OF EVIDENCE, Difference between systematic review and meta analysis, Forest plot, funnel plot and PRISMA guidelines.

This presentation will guide you how to prepare a journal club on a systematic review and meta analysis. This will help you to understand, the LEVEL OF EVIDENCE, Difference between systematic review and meta analysis, Forest plot, funnel plot and PRISMA guidelines.

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Journal club on a systematic review and meta analysis.pptx

  1. 1. Journal club Dr Sarath Krishnan M P Junior Resident/Biochemistry AIIMS Rishikesh 1
  2. 2. Article of Interest 2 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  3. 3. Journal of Critical Care • Impact factor: 3.425 (2019 Journal Citation Reports ,Clarivate Analytics, 2020) • ISSN: 0883-9441(print) • Official publication: World Federation of Societies of Intensive and Critical Care Medicine (WFSICCM) and the Society for Complex Acute Illness (SCAI) • Open access • Editor in chief: Professor Jan Bakker, MD, PhD, FCCM, FCCP 3 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  4. 4. Level of Evidence *Evidence pyramid. Source: The University of Alabama at Birmingham, available from: https://guides.library.uab.edu/ebd/evidencestrength 4 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  5. 5. Systematic Review • Involves a detailed and comprehensive plan and search strategy • Goal of reducing bias by identifying, appraising, and synthesizing all relevant studies on a particular topic/ research question • Outcome: Available evidence more accessible to decision makers. 5 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  6. 6. Meta-Analysis • Quantitative, formal study design used to systematically assess the results of previous research • To derive conclusions about that body of research • To synthesize the data from several studies into a single quantitative estimate or summary effect size 6 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  7. 7. Meta-analyses can be used to..... • To establish statistical significance with studies that have conflicting results • To examine potential reasons for variability or heterogeneity in study results • To examine subgroups with individual numbers that are not statistically significant 7 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  8. 8. Difference Systematic Review • Identify and critique relevant research studies • Discuss factors that may explain heterogeneity • Synthesize the knowledge Meta- analysis • Identify relevant research studies using a defined protocol • Statistically test study heterogeinty and investigate explanatory variables • Statistically summarize results to obtain an overall estimate 8 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  9. 9. 9 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  10. 10. Background • Evaluation of serum ferritin for prediction of severity and mortality in COVID-19- A cross sectional study Sibtain Ahmed, Zeeshan Ansar Ahmed, Imran Siddiqui, Naveed Haroon Rashid,Maheen Mansoor c, Lena Jafri • D-Dimer and Serum ferritin as an Independent Risk Factor for Severity in COVID-19 Patients Ali M. Hussein, Zhala B. Taha, Ahmed Gailan Malek, Kamgar Akram Rasul, Dur Qasim Hazim,Reman Jalal Ahmed , Usama Badraden Mohamed • To determine overall trends. 10 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  11. 11. Ferritin • Cytosolic protein, although a mitochondrial form has recently been described • Important role in the storage of intracellular iron • 24-subunit protein • Two types of subunits: H and L • H chain has ferroxidase activity and oxidizes Fe2+ to Fe3+ • Fe3+ then moves towards the nucleation site on the L chain and thus by acting in a synchronizing way, iron oxidation and core formation is carried out. 11 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  12. 12. Ferritin.... • Acute phase reactant • There is uncertainty whether hyperferritinaemia is a result or mediator of inflammation • Hyperferritinaemia is observed across a range of inflammation driven disorders • Serves as a validated biomarker across different disease domains 12 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  13. 13. 13 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  14. 14. Hypothesis of the study • COVID-19 represents a systemic inflammatory condition with elevation of pro-inflammatory markers • Individual studies reported that in patients with COVID-19, serum ferritin correlates with disease severity and its surrogates (CRP) • Till now only single metaanalysis • Evaluate the association between serum ferritin level and severity of disease, organ involvement, need of invasive ventilation and survival 14 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  15. 15. Aim • To evaluate the association between serum ferritin and severity and outcome of COVID-19. 15 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  16. 16. Objectives 1. Comparative evaluation of serum ferritin level between COVID-19 patients and control. 2. Association between serum ferritin level and severity of COVID-19 3. Association between serum ferritin level and survival in COVID-19. 4. Association between serum ferritin level and requirement of mechanical ventilation (MV). 16 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  17. 17. Objectives.... 5. Association between serum ferritin level and requirement of ICU. 6. Association between serum ferritin level and different organ involvement in COVID-19 (heart, kidney, liver). 7. Association between serum ferritin level and occurrence of thrombotic complications in COVID-19. 17 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  18. 18. Inclusion criteria 1. Study design: Observational studies (prospective, retrospective or ambispective) reporting serum ferritin level among patients with COVID-19 2. Quality of study: Only good and fair quality studies were included (on the basis of risk of bias analysis). 3. Age: Adult age group 4. Sex: Both female and male sex. 18 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  19. 19. Exclusion criteria 1. Case report, case series 2. Poor-quality studies (as decided by risk of bias analysis). Case definition of COVID 19 • Both RT-PCR positive COVID-19 and clinically diagnosed RT-PCR negative COVID-19 cases 19 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  20. 20. Search strategy • Comprehensive search of various databases was performed without any language restriction. • The references of the included studies were also screened for the possible inclusion. • The search was conducted using the keywords: “corona virus disease- 19”, “corona virus disease 2019”, “COVID-19”, “2019-nCoV”, “2019 nCoV”, “SARS-CoV2”, “ferritin” and “hyperferritin” 20 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  21. 21. Screening of studies • After search of databases, the articles were screened as per predefined inclusion/exclusion criteria for inclusion using title and abstract • Following which full text of the relevant articles were further screened. 21 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  22. 22. PRISMA flow chart of the included studies 22 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  23. 23. Risk of bias (ROB) evaluation • Methodological quality of clinical studies was performed using the “New-castle Ottawa Scale” (NOS) • Risk of bias was evaluated in three domains: selection, comparability and outcome. • The studies were converted to AHRQ standards (good, Fair and poor) on the basis of number of stars in each domains (across selection, comparability and outcome domain) as per existing standard methodology • Only good and fair quality studies were included in the metaanalysis. 23 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  24. 24. Author, Year/Country Study Design Population /Inclusion- Exclusion criteria Methodology/ follow up Outcome Risk of bias Rating Selection Comparability Outcome Jiao et al [1]2020/China Retros pectiv e study Hospitalize d COVID-19 positive patients with glucocortic oid therapy. Multicentre study with clinical records from January 27 to March 27 2020. Clinical profile and Laboratory parameter s, prognosis. **** ** ** Good De Micheli et al[2]2021/USA Retros pectiv e study >18 years old RT PCR positive, COVID-19 patients Electronic records from February 21 to May 31, 2020 Relationshi p of myocardial injury to COVID-19 mortality. ** * ** Fair 24 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  25. 25. Statistical analysis • Mean difference (MD) to get the point estimate. • Standardized mean difference (SMD) was used for combining continuous data presented in different scales. • Dichotomous outcomes were reported as risk ratios (RRs). 25 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  26. 26. Statistical analysis.... • Meta-analysis of dichotomous data was performed using “Mantel Haenszel method” and continuous data was performed using “Inverse variance method”. • Heterogeneity among the study results were evaluated by I2 statistics. 26 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  27. 27. Statistical analysis.... • In case of low to moderate heterogeneity (<50%), “fixed-effect model” was used. • In presence of significant heterogeneity (>50%) “random- effects model” was used. • In case of substantial and significant heterogeneity, the cause of high heterogeneity was investigated using subgroup analysis and meta- regression. • Used metaphor R package, RevMan and SPSS (IBM, Newyork) for the analysis of data. 27 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  28. 28. Meta-regression • Meta-regression to evaluate the potential source of heterogeneity among the included studies. • As many factors affect the level of serum ferritin, univariate meta- regression analysis was done to observe the effect of these confounders on the final result. • P < 0.05 indicates a significant association and slope of the balloon plot regression line indicates the direction of association. • Metaregression was carried out in case when there were 10 or more studies against a variable. 28 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  29. 29. The Power of Graphs in Meta-Analysis • Box plot • Weighted box plot • Standardized residual histogram • Normal quantile plot • Forest plot • Balloon plot • 3 kinds of funnel plots • Trim-and-fill plot • Galbraith plot • L'Abbé plot 29 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  30. 30. What does a forest plot show????? 30 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  31. 31. Result • A total of 7929 studies were obtained after searching nine data bases. • After removal of duplicates, 2994 studies were obtained. • Full text screening was done for 186 relevant articles. • Finally a total of 163 studies fulfilling “predefined inclusion/exclusion criteria” were included in final analysis. 31 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  32. 32. Serum ferritin: COVID-19 negative VS. COVID-19 positive 32 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  33. 33. Severe and critical (SC) VS. mild to moderate disease (MM) 33 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  34. 34. Severe and critical versus mild and moderate: Meta-regression analysis to evaluate the impact of imbalance between the two groups 34 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  35. 35. 35 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  36. 36. 36 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  37. 37. Serum ferritin level among non-survivor versus survivor. 37
  38. 38. Non-survivor versus Survivor Metaregression to evaluate the impact of difference in mean age between the two Groups and its impact on difference in serum ferritin levels between the two groups. Significant positive association was seen. 38 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  39. 39. 39 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  40. 40. Non-survivor versus Survivor Metaregression to evaluate the impact of Difference in percentage of male sex between the two Groups and its impact on difference in serum ferritin levels between the two groups. Significant positive association was seen. 40 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  41. 41. 41 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  42. 42. Serum ferritin level among patients who required ICU versus those who didn't. 42 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  43. 43. Serum ferritin level among patients who required MV versus who didn't require MV. 43 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  44. 44. Serum ferritin and occurrence of thrombotic complications: (thrombotic complications: absent vs. present) 44 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  45. 45. Organ involvement • Liver: Studies not pooled due to heterogenecity • Heart: No data regarding COVID-19 related cardiac involvement vs. those without cardiac involvement • Kidney: Serum ferritin level is higher in patients with COVID-19 related acute kidney injury 45 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  46. 46. How to interpret funnel plot??? 46 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  47. 47. Publication bias SC vs. MM 47 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  48. 48. Conclusion • High serum ferritin level was found to be associated with more severe disease and negative/poor outcome in COVID-19. • Serum ferritin level can serve as an important predictive biomarker in COVID-19 management and in triage. • However, in presence of other co-morbid conditions/disease, serum ferritin level needs to be interpreted cautiously. 48 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  49. 49. Limitations of the study • High heterogeneity was seen among the included studies • Subgroup analyses on the basis of predefined subgroups couldn't pinpoint the etiology of high heterogeneity in any of the comparisons 49 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  50. 50. PRISMA 2020 CHECKLIST 50 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  51. 51. Section and Topic Item # Checklist item Reported (Yes/No) Title 1 Identify the report as a systematic review or Meta-analysis Yes Abstract 2 Provide a structered summary including background, objectives,data sources, study eligibility criteria, participants and interventions, study appraisal and synthesis method, results, limitations, conclusion and implication of key finding, study registration number NO Introduction Rationale 3 Describe the rationale for the review in the context of what is already known. Yes Objectives 4 Provide an explicit statement of question(s) being addressed in terms of participants, index test(s), and target condition(s). Yes Methods Protocol and registration 5 Indicate if a review protocol exists, if and where it can be accessed (e.g., Web address), and, if available, provide registration information including registration number. Yes Eligibility criteria 6 Specify study characteristics (participants, setting, index test(s), reference standard(s), target condition(s), and study design) and report characteristics (e.g., years considered, language, publication status) used as criteria for eligibility, giving rationale. Yes 51
  52. 52. Information sources 7 Describe all information sources (e.g., databases with dates of coverage, contact with study authors to identify additional studies) in the search and date last searched. Yes Search 8 Present full search strategies for all electronic databases and other sources searched, including any limits used, such that they could be repeated. Yes Study selection 9 State the process for selecting studies (i.e., screening, eligibility, included in systematic review, and, if applicable, included in the meta-analysis). Yes Data collection process 10 Describe method of data extraction from reports (e.g., piloted forms, independently, in duplicate) and any processes for obtaining and confirming data from investigators. Yes Definitions for data extraction 11 Provide definitions used in data extraction and classifications of target condition(s), index test(s), reference standard(s) and other characteristics (e.g. study design, clinical setting). Yes Risk of bias and applicability 12 Describe methods used for assessing risk of bias in individual studies and concerns regarding the applicability to the review question. Yes Synthesis of results 13 Describe methods of handling data, combining results of studies and describing variability between studies. This could include, but is not limited to: a) handling of multiple definitions of target condition. b) handling of multiple thresholds of test positivity, c) handling multiple index test readers, d) handling of indeterminate test results, e) grouping and comparing tests, f) handling of different reference standards Yes 52 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  53. 53. Meta-analysis 14 Report the statistical methods used for meta-analyses, if performed. Yes Additional analyses 15 Describe methods of additional analyses (e.g., sensitivity or subgroup analyses, meta-regression), if done, indicating which were pre-specified. Yes Results Study selection 16 Provide numbers of studies screened, assessed for eligibility, included in the review (and included in meta-analysis, if applicable) with reasons for exclusions at each stage, ideally with a flow diagram. Yes Study characteristics 17 For each included study provide citations and present key characteristics including: a) participant characteristics (presentation, prior testing), b) clinical setting, c) study design, d)target condition definition, e) index test, f) reference standard, g) sample size, h) funding sources Yes Risk of bias and applicability 18 Present evaluation of risk of bias and concerns regarding applicability for each study. Yes Results of individual studies 19 For each analysis in each study (e.g. unique combination of index test, reference standard, and positivity threshold) report 2x2 data (TP, FP, FN, TN) with estimates of diagnostic accuracy and confidence intervals, ideally with a forest or receiver operator characteristic (ROC) plot. Yes Synthesis of results 20 Describe test accuracy, including variability; if meta-analysis was done, include results and confidence intervals. Yes 53 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  54. 54. Additional analysis 21 Give results of additional analyses, if done (e.g., sensitivity or subgroup analyses, meta-regression; analysis of index test: failure rates, proportion of inconclusive results, adverse events). Yes Discussion Summary of evidence 22 Summarize the main findings including the strength of evidence. Yes Limitations 23 Discuss limitations from included studies (e.g. risk of bias and concerns regarding applicability) and from the review process (e.g. incomplete retrieval of identified research). Yes Conclusions 24 Provide a general interpretation of the results in the context of other evidence. Discuss implications for future research and clinical practice (e.g. the intended use and clinical role of the index test). Yes Funding Funding 25 For the systematic review, describe the sources of funding and other support and the role of the funders. Yes 54 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  55. 55. Role of Ferritin nowadays!!!!! • Serum Ferritin level will increase in second week after affecting with Covid-19 • Used as an independent biomarker • D-Dimer, ESR, C.R protein. *D-Dimer and Serum Ferritin as an Independent Risk Factor for Severity in COVID-19 Patients Ali M. Hussein, Zhala B. Taha, Ahmed Gailan Malek, Kamgar Akram Rasul, Dur Qasim Hazim, Reman Jalal Ahmed and Usama Badraden Mohamed 55 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem
  56. 56. Thank you 56 Dr Sarath Krishnan M P/JR-2/Bchem

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