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ECS 2023 - Presentation by GfK
1.
Ecommerce Today & Tomorrow Vanessa Theunissen Global
Client Insights Lead
2.
2 © GfK Why, what
and how we do every day Our promise, purpose and mission as a company “We unlock Growth from Knowledge empower bold actions for sustainable growth unparalleled always-on AI-powered intelligence and consulting services.” The GfK promise Our corporate purpose Our mission to through
3.
3 © GfK We provide
concrete support to clients in these five industries Influence purchasing decisions during any, and all, phases of the product lifecycle. Link ’why’ people shop with ’what’ was bought and ’how’ it was purchased. More State-of-the-art technologies and rigorous methodologies to track who is watching what and where, and how they engage with media content on individual channels and across media. More Innovation, premiumization, performance, experience, simplification – understand these macro trends to maximize new and emerging opportunities in this crowded sector. More Shoppers are more empowered and demanding than ever. Understand market trends and consumer behavior. Plan how to best navigate factors such as convenience, concentration, experience, and personalization. More Deconstruct the purchase process to position your brand, makes, and models. Understand your performance to identify competitive strengths and weaknesses and focus your marketing activity. More Technology & Durables Fast-moving Consumer Goods Retail Media & Entertainment Automotive Positioned to provide unique and independent insight
4.
© GfK 4 Ecommerce
of today ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
5.
© GfK 5 Ecommerce
of today Promotions 03 Evolution: Direct Sales 02 BRAND Ecommerce & Marketplaces 01 3P ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
6.
© GfK 6 Ecommerce
& Marketplaces: ◼ Ecommerce defends elevated COVID business in 2023 ◼ Marketplaces aggregate substantial revenues: service improvements remove barriers for sellers May 23 Gfknewron consumer: Q2 20 - Q1 2022: all tracked PGs, BE, BR, CN, DE, FR, GB, IN, IT, JP, NL, RU, ES; reasons to purchase from retailer 01
7.
© GfK ▪ Ecommerce
Today & Tomorrow Total population 7.91 Billion Urban: 57% Unique mobile phone users 5.31 Billion 67.1 % Of total population 4.95 Billion 62.5 % Of total population 4.62 Billion 58.4 % Of total population 2 Hrs. 27 min. 58.4 % Of total population Avg. time spent on social media Active social media users Internet users Covid 19 led to dramatic changes impacting digital behaviors Source: UN Local govt bodies, GSMA intelligence, ITU, GWI, Eurostat, CNNIC, APJII, Social media platforms, Self-service advertising tools, company earning reports. 7
8.
© GfK 8 Ecommerce
defends elevated COVID business in 2022 Long-term success for online sales Source: GfK Market Intelligence: Sales Tracking 76% 67% 66% 66% 5% 8% 9% 8% 19% 24% 25% 26% 2019 2020 2021 2022 Pure Player Click & Mortar Traditional GfK B2C Retailer Market | Technical Consumer Goods | YTD September 2022 | Sales Value USD (NSP) % Pure player +/- PY % 5.1% 23.1% 22.4% -4.3% C&M +/- PY % 5.5% 60.6% 34.1% -16.4%
9.
© GfK 9 Direct
DTC sales vs retail sales Reasons much more important buying DTC vs retail: ◼ Knowledgeable staff ◼ After sales support ◼ Detailed product information May 23 Gfknewron consumer: Q2 20 - Q1 2022: all tracked PGs, BE, BR, CN, DE, FR, GB, IN, IT, JP, NL, RU, ES; reasons to purchase from retailer Reasons much less important buying DTC vs retail: ◼ Promotions/prices ◼ Can touch the product ◼ Pay over time 02
10.
© GfK 10 Brand
websites promote direct sales by promoting better service Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow Samsung
11.
© GfK 11 Promotion
in retail “High and stable relevance of key promotions over the past 4 years!” May 23 Gfknewron consumer: Q2 20 - Q1 2022: all tracked PGs, BE, BR, CN, DE, FR, GB, IN, IT, JP, NL, RU, ES; reasons to purchase from retailer 03
12.
© GfK 12 In
Europe, Black Friday/Cyber Monday, Christmas Sale and prime-day are the 4 major promotion events Source: GfK Market Intelligence: Sales Tracking, Weekly data; Calendar week 1 2021 – 47 2022; TCG: Telecom: Smartphones, Headsets | IT: Mobile/Desk computing (excl. Media sticks/boxes), Media Tablets, Monitors, Keying & Pointing Devices | Office: Laser and Inkjet Printers | Consumer Electronics (CE): TVs, Audio Home Systems, Soundbars | Major domestic appliances (MDA): Cooling, Washing Machines | Small domestic appliances (SDA): Vacuum Cleaners, Shavers, Food Preparation, Dental Care, Hot Beverage Makers; *Countries: Austria, Belgium, Czech Rep., Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Great Britain, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Kazakhstan, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Ukraine. 0,0 1.000,0 2.000,0 3.000,0 4.000,0 5.000,0 6.000,0 Europe (20): Sales Mio USD Back to school Back to school
13.
© GfK 13 Key
take-aways: ◼ Ecommerce shares differ massively when comparing with pré-Covid figures ◼ Direct sales and social commerce shape a new retail mix ◼ Peak events are Black Friday,Cyber Monday, X-mas sales & Prime day May 23 Gfknewron consumer: Q2 20 - Q1 2022: all tracked PGs, BE, BR, CN, DE, FR, GB, IN, IT, JP, NL, RU, ES; reasons to purchase from retailer
14.
© GfK 14 Long
term retail evolution Clear differences between developed and emerging markets Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow ? Independent retail shops Buying groups / Chains Superstores (large formats) Pure Players Click& mortar Market Places S-commerce, Metaverse, Web3 Developed Markets ? Emerging Markets Single channel Multichannel Cross channel Omnichannel Platform experience 3P market place selling as the next evolution leapfrogging other formats less relevance more relevance Consumer interaction
15.
© GfK 15 Ecommerce
of tomorrow ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
16.
© GfK 16 Drivers
for success in the ecommerce of tomorrow ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow Choice 01 Experiences 03 Operational Excellence 02 Purpose 04
17.
© GfK 17 01. Choice May
23 Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
18.
© GfK 18 45,0% 42,7% 39,1% 32,2%
31,8% 24,2% Retailer Websites Search Engines Product review sites Price comparison sites Manufacturer/brand websites Social Media Online research channels Q2 21 Q2 22 Online continues to gain importance in pre purchase activity Retailer websites and social media show strong growth Source: gfknewron Consumer, Q2 2022, Countries: DE FR GB IT ES PL RU CN JP IN BR ▪ GSI: Retail – Today & Tomorrow 61% Of consumers’ research online 33% Of consumers’ who researched online purchased in- store +1 ppts +4 ppts
19.
© GfK 19 Reasons
to choose an online or an offline retailer blurs Source: gfknewron Consumer, Q2 2022, Countries: DE FR GB IT ES PL RU CN JP IN BR Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow Convenience Range of products Stock Availability Prices & Promotions Ease of Finding products Free Delivery Fast Delivery Can Touch the Product Knowledgeable Staff Online Exclusive Offline Exclusive Common Reasons 33% 28% 28% 22% 54% 28% 20% 20% 54% 29% 26% 23% 22% 42% 34%
20.
© GfK 20 New
category specialists entering the market Focus on niche consumer segments Country: Germany ◼ New players entering the market focusing on one category Offline retailers especially are collaborating with other category specialists to expand range of products Online retailers are investing to expand their assortment to non tech categories → Given the economic pressure, offline retailers can make better use of space with collaboration as well as reduce costs → ‘One shop for all’ to widen the consumer base New players are entering market especially the online channel to offer niche segments Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
21.
© GfK 21 May
23 Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow 02. Operational Excellence
22.
© GfK 22 Consumers
continue to prioritize last mile fulfillment speed Retailers explore different alternative options to deliver efficiently Source: www.ecommerce-Europe.eu *Webshops only Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow 32% 22% 21% 13% Next day delivery Choice of delivery date/time Weekend delivery Same day delivery Use of delivery options* in 2022 (EU27) 55% 71% 40% 58% 31% 76% 51% 68% 37% 44% Electronics and Acc General Merchandise Home & garden Fashion Groceries, Beverages & Pet Supplies Use of delivery options* by sector in 2022 (EU27) Collect in store Pick Up point
23.
© GfK 23 Meeting
consumer expectation with Operational Excellence Country : Russia ◼ Conversion of hypermarkets into dark stores ◼ Last mile delivery in grocery shops Country : Brazil ◼ novomundo.com offering click & collect services Increased last-mile efficiency via click & collect options ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow Country: Taiwan ◼ Shopee plans to open 700 physical ‘convenience stores’
24.
© GfK 24 ▪
Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow 03. Experimental formats & experiences: ◼ Experimental store formats like product lounges or pilot testing stores are popping up ◼ Digital shopping touch points are increasing from social media to live stream shopping platforms ◼ Big retailers and manufacturers are exploring the metaverse to create brand awareness and market products especially among Gen Z and Millennial audience
25.
© GfK 25 Optimized
store concepts to cater to wide array of consumer needs Selling an experience with better operations ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow ▪ Lighthouse: passion for technology, most innovative products, interactive customer experience ▪ Core: large selection, complete product-, consulting- and service- portfolio (most existing stores) ▪ Xpress: easy, convenient shopping close to home ▪ Smart: carefully selected assortment as a contact point, especially in city centres
26.
© GfK 26 Haier
Experience Lounge in Frankfurt is a mix of showroom & cafe New format combines local, social and brand - completely new shopping, event and gastronomic experience Source: https://www.infoboard.de/haier-experience-lounge-der-troubleshooter-von-der-kaiserstrasse/ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow What a mixture: restaurant and wine bar, communicative and cultural meeting place Show stage for Haier refrigerators and washing machines
27.
© GfK 27 Shopping
touchpoints via existing digital channels is also increasing TikTok Shop, Instagram Shop, Live Streaming platforms are alternative touchpoints; their business features became popular on social media in 2022 Source : RivalIQ and desk research Instagram : Median across all industries is 0.67% and Facebook : Median across all industries is 0.06% Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow 0,0% 0,1% 0,0% 0,0% 0,2% 0,4% 0,2% 0,0% 0,3% 0,0% 0,4% 0,5% 0,6% 0,3% 3,0% 0,5% 1,2% 0,3% 1,8% 0,6% Fashion Financial Services Food & Beverages Health & Beauty Higher Education Home Décor Influencers Retail Sports Teams Tech & Software Engagement Rate per post (by follower): All industries Facebook Engagement Instagram Engagement Tik Tok Shop Tokopedia Campaign on Facebook & Instagram
28.
© GfK 28 Metaverse:
What’s known and understood? In the words of Venture Capitalist Mathew Ball: Consumers, retailers & industry players are just starting to explore the scope of metaverse & experimenting with it Source: https://www.mckinsey.com/capabilities/growth-marketing-and-sales/our-insights/marketing-in-the-metaverse-an-opportunity-for-innovation-and-experimentation Linkedin Poll Question: What statement best describes your knowledge about Metaverse? N-867 Globally Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow 13% 45% 38% 4% GfK LinkedIn Poll: Share of respondents % I understand it very well I know somethings about it I have only heard of it I have never heard of it The metaverse encompasses immersive environments, often (but not always) using virtual- or augmented-reality technology. The metaverse is powered by a fully functioning virtual economy, often (but not always) built on cryptocurrency including nonfungible tokens (NFTs). The metaverse enables people to have virtual identities, presence, and “agency,” including peer-to-peer interactions, transactions, user-generated content, and “world-building.”
29.
© GfK 29 Brands
and retailers are using metaverse to engage & create awareness Carrefour x The Sandbox Carrefour achieves a first in the French retail industry by purchasing a virtual lot on The Sandbox. To become a digital retail leader, Carrefour, one of the major French HMSM, created a virtual campus on The Sandbox platform and even organized a whole virtual recruiting process there. Carrefour buying a campus and conducting interviews. to P&G using it to create awareness Source: https://medium.com/geekculture/why-carrefour-buys-a-virtual-plot-in-the-metaverse-the-sandbox-sand-64ff9e74c29d https://themediaverse.com/supermarket-carrefour- is-now-holding-job-interviews-in-the-metaverse/ https://beautysphere.com/ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow P&G BeautySphere Proctor & Gamble launched its metaverse this year and they used gamification to give more information about their products to tech savvy consumers. They attempt to create awareness about the product, the brand and ideal it supports e.g. talking about equality.
30.
© GfK 30 Casino
Group – Leader Price offers NFTs to its 100 most loyal clients it will allow customers to access promotions Loyalty programs using the metaverse engagement? https://www.groupe-casino.fr/le-groupe-casino-et-ses-enseignes-monoprix-et-le-club-leader-price-accelerent-sur-le-metavers-et-les-nft/ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow These customers will receive a link to download Leader Price Club Wallet app and will get one unique NFT. These avatars symbolize different retail professions (deliveryman, pastry chef….), . They will get special offers and promotions related to the avatar. Ex: Deliveryman avatar = promotion on delivery fees.
31.
© GfK 31 04. Purpose
and Sustainability: ◼ Buying with purpose is gaining ground. ◼ Transparency of selling products with tangible sustainability metrics ◼ Repairability of products allows for second life for products ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
32.
© GfK 32 Additional
business models needed – but what? ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow Sell with tangible sustainability metrics Repair as a service Belonging instead owning This score takes into account : Reliability (Break rate) and Repairability (repair rate, availability time and price of spare part)5 Monthly subscription to maintain appliances of a specific universe. Repair your device yourself with the suppport of tvideos, phone assistance and a website to find spare parts Challenger, which is Singapore’s leading IT specialist, launched ITEZ.SG featuring subscription-based models to make tech more accessible.
33.
© GfK 33 More
and more people tend to keep their phones longer More specialized retailers and marketplaces selling refurbished are also surfacing on the market! ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
34.
© GfK 34 It‘s
not only people holding phones longer,more often they buy refurbished! Source: https://www.counterpointresearch.com/global-refurbished-smartphone-market-2021/ https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2022/10/25/2541045/0/en/Global-Refurbished-and-Used-Mobile-Phones-Market-Size-Share-Worth-146-43-Billion-by-2030-at- an-11-45-CAGR-Custom-Market-Insights-Analysis-Outlook-Leaders-Report-Trends-Forecast-Seg.html * top two responses including most of the time or always Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow 45% of consumers are most of the time taking environmental protection into consideration when purchasing a new product!* According to the latest research study global demand for Refurbished and Used Mobile Phones Market size valued at approximately US $ 52.34 Bil in 2021 and is expected to reach a value of around US $ 146.43 Bil in 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 11.45% during the forecast period 2022 to 2030.
35.
© GfK 35 Key
takeaways Retail concentration More consolidation and concentration since COVID19. Retail fragmentation is still massive in Emerging Asia & Middle East where small independent shops dominate. Retail formats E-commerce defends sales uplift due to COVID19 period Marketplaces, direct sales and social commerce shape a new retail mix based on unique USPs Sustainability Buying with a purpose is gaining ground. Consumer expect retailers and brands to be more responsible. Refurbished sellers, subscription services, repairability of products could be differentiators 01 02 03 04 05 Platform ecosystem Retailer increasing touchpoints with consumers via social media, live stream commerce, metaverse, try- out stores etc. Retailers are expanding service support into last mile delivery, payment support, new loyalty formats Choice Consumer choose between varied touchpoints to buy and varied options to pay Specialist Retailers are expanding their assortment to reduce risks and attract wider audience Today Tomorrow ▪ Ecommerce– Today & Tomorrow
36.
Thank you www.gfk.com