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FutureMedia: 
Beyond the Buzz
Derek Woodgate
President The Futures Lab, Inc 
November, 2013
Discon'nuous

change

Finding

connec'ons
in

disconnects

The
Futurists’
Toolbox

 
Vision

 
Disrup'on

 
Wildcards

 
Unknowns

Poten'al

opportuni'es

Future
TV
studios
Beyond
the
Buzz

Beyond
the
Buzz

Crossmedia, remediation, multi-media platforms,
interactive storytelling, modality transformation,
hypermedia, transmedia, intermediation sites, AWATAD,
ipersonalization, remix, simulation, clickers, deep
tagging, mapping mashups, screencasting, tag clouds,
paywall, snackable content, p-commerce, SoLoMo,
earned media, gamification, growth hacker, agile…
Beyond
the
Buzz

Over
a
decade
of
digital
and
apps!

The
Future
Media
Landscape


2013
‐
2020

Global
Entertainment
&
Media

Revenues:
$2.5
trillion
by
2020












(1.6
trillion:
2012)

US
Entertainment
&
Media

Revenues:
732
Billion











($498
Billion:
2012)

Source: PWC/TFL 
0

200

400

600

800

2012
2014
2016

Column2

Series
1

2012








































2020

US
Entertainment


&
Media

The
Future
Media
Landscape
•  Media industry will grow faster than US economy over the 
next 7 years (4.6% ‐5.0% p.a.) 
•  Magazines
will
remain
bigger
than
video
games
in
2017


•  PPV,
VOD,
OTT
will
outstrip
physical
product
by
2016
due
to

4.9%
decrease
in
sales
of
physical

•  Film
industry
revenues
will
reach
$60
billion
by
2020
from
$40

billion
in
2012
‐
US
sales
of
movie
'ckets
=
1.3
billion
in
2012

with
an
average
price
of
$9.60.

•  Mobile
video
‐
key
growth
area

•  OOH
adver'sing
–
up
5‐6%

•  TV
adver'sing
–
up
6%

•  Mobile/Tablet
increasing
news






consump'on

10
Intelligent
machines
robotics / AI
In-car heath network//Navigation
OLEDs
Distribution
Traders
Semi-autonomous
agents / avatars
Sexual attractiveness
Fused Sensors
systems
Reproductive health
Real doll
Interchangeable
modules
Cultural
integration
Convergent health
management system
Virtual worlds
Convergent
media / data
systems
Standards / legislation
On-line workouts
Fun, enjoyment
Creativity time
Energy foods
Weight management
Comfort
havens
Age defiance
Neuro stimulation
Life meaning
Sub-conscious stimulation
Sleep
Furniture
Spiritual growth
Dream enhancers
Positivism
Sleep systems
Dream ambient
networks
Tai Chi
Life extension
Natural / organic foods
Immunity boosting
Nutraceuticals
Bio-monitoring
Resurgence in organic
Biosimulation
Seamless, ubiquitous
computing
Entertainment systems
Greater human agency:
Connectivity, community,
curation and collaboration –
Democratization of media -
new social spaces
Nutritional value management
peNanoencapsulation
Small scale local agriculture
Biofeedback

Precision
health
monitoring
Supplements

Core
Training

Dreams

New
company

structures
and

transac'on
/sell‐
through/
distribu'on
models

Corporate

Consolida'on

Environmental
concerns

Yoga

Digital tracking

Beauty

On-line health and
well-being sites
communities

Sensors / biometrics
Well-being and social aspects

Intelligent displays

Life enrichment

Brain Fitness

Energy

Machine to machine

Gaming

Wearable sensors
 Stress &
fatigue relief

Vitality

Exercise and
FitnessSpirit
boosting

Production: from
robotts to “Make”
delivering sensation

Diagnostics

Sexbots
Light therapy
Grooming
Body Sculpting
Collaborative farming
Meat on a sheet
Vitamins and additives
Integrated food
systems
Cognitive
feedback
Interactive training Bioscience
MeditationBiogenetics
Recharging
Digestive aids
Bioengineering
Remote diagnostics
Sound programming
Adventure sports
Virtual terminals Personal care
Sustainability
Ambience modulation
Food substitutes
Social networks
Fitness programs
Brain Foods
Performance
analysis
Embedded tech
Corporate services
Mood tracking
Telematics
Fulfillment
Work hours
Slowtime
Independent farms
Antioxidants
Spare time
Happiness
Plug & play
Sports
Service
Mind, body and soul
Visibility
Mood Foods
Exergizing
Sexual
performance
enhancement
Feedback
&
new

effec'veness
criteria

and
metrics

The
Power
of
Search:

Effec've

recommenda'ons

Big
Data
‐
visualiza'on

AWATAD

Delivery
‐
agile

From
mobile
devices
to

Super
HD
one‐to‐one

adver'sing

Emotional wellness
Standard of living
Stability
Health communities
Healthy eating
Transforma've

space,

immersion/
telepresence
and

interac'on,

blended
worlds

Skin
Care

New
media

formats
and

expanding

scope
and

imagina'on

Home fitness system
Gyms
Personal coach
Aromatherapy
In-body
sensing
Prevention
Crossover
&
hybrid

revenue
streams
–

retransmission,

payment
systems

&
service

plaforms/paywalls

The
Future

of
Media

Remix
Lifestyle
‐

Changing
role
of

audience

‐
presence/
experiences

Mapping
poten'al
future
drivers

Content
king

Interac've
storytelling

Gamifica'on
,
Story
in

Story

+
AR(

Cri'cal
future
drivers

Crossover
&

hybrid
revenue

streams
–

retransmission,

payment
systems,


service
plaforms

New
company

structures
&

transac'on
/
distribu'on

models

Corporate

Consolida'on

Transforma've

space,

immersion/
telepresence
and

interac'on,

blended
worlds

AWATAD

Delivery
‐
agile

From
mobile

devices
to
Super

HD,
ajen'on

adver'sing

The
Power
of

Search:

Effec've

recommenda'ons

Big
Data
‐

visualiza'on

Production:
from robotts
to “Make”
delivering
sensation

Feedback
&

new

effec'veness

criteria
and

metrics

Content
king

Interac've

storytelling

Gamifica'on,

Story
in
Story

+

AR

Greater human
agency: curation
collaboration
Democratization
of media
Remix
Lifestyle

‐
Changing
role

of
audience

‐
presence/
experiences

New
media

formats
and

expanding

scope
and

Imagina'on

Content

Produc'on

Audience

Business

New
dimensions
of
convergence

New
dimensions
of
Convergence
(2)

Interac've
everything

Content

New
leverage
agents

•  Video
plaforms

•  TV
channels
–
smaller
content
bundles

•  MSOs
–
AWATAD

•  Real‐'me
micro‐segmented
ad
inser'ons

•  Cloud‐based
delivery

•  Second
screen/windowing

•  Event
TV

•  Fan‐funded
programming



The
power
of
retransmission,
resell
and
omnibus

From
mobile
to
Super
HD
TV

•  90
inch
showing
auto‐stereoscopic
Mul'view

Ultra
HD
produc'ons

•  Interac've
TV

•  Holographic
TV

•  Mobile
TV

Mashing
and
publishing

IPTV
/Entertainment
hubs

Total
immersion
TV

4D
Cinema,
experien'al
venues,

interac'on

Cinema
and
AR

Cinematography,
Augmented
reality,
3D

and
Projec'on
Mapping

Programmable
movies

•  Movies
that
change
with
context
(observer,

emo'ons,
place,
or
'me).


•  Long‐
Distance
Barcodes
work
to
make
both

cameras
and
the
world
more
intelligent,
by

allowing
users
to
piece
together
and
merge

separate
images
using
metadata
encoded
into
the

image.


•  This
work
will
allow
for
the
merging
of
mul'ple

viewpoints
to
create
richer
stories
from
varied

storytellers.


The
power
of
AI

Interac've
storytelling

Living
the
story

Context
based
interac've
narra've

narra've

Story
in
Story

IDNA

Augmented
reality

Interac've
storytelling
in
annotated

environments

•  iRiS
(Immediate
Remote

Interac'on
System

•  User
can
“paint”,
create
a

game
like
a
jigsaw
puzzle,
an

interac've
story
with
one
or

more
par'cipants
on
a
façade

from
a
mobile
device.


•  ANW
(ar'culated
Naturality

Web
and
computer
vision

3D
Sketch
to
playable
video
game

Sensors
as
a
crea've
tool

CCTV

Peering:
Machinima
to
Prime

Produc'on

TV
produc'on
on
the
go

•  TV
studio
in
your
pocket:






‐
edi'ng
of
footage,






‐
CGI
effects,






‐
augmented
reality
apps






‐
real
'me
virtual
sets

•  MARS
‐
3D
recogni'on

Visual
tracking,
robot
cameras,
scene

development
and
human
interac@on

with
virtual
objects
for
VR
TV

1
million
piece
screen

Mapping
tools

Next‐Genera@on
Synthe@c
Performers


•  Introducing
levels
of
autonomy
into
the
synthe'c

performer

•  Enabling
more
flexible,
engaging,
and
directable

robot‐mediated
performance
on
the
set.

•  Second
Skin
is
a
project
to
build
a
wearable
fabric

that
supports
millimeter‐accurate
loca'on
and

bio‐parameter
tracking
at
thousands
of
points
on

the
body.


AI
–human
interac'on

•  Music Creatures: Synthetic AI animals act as
an interface to direct and act with humans in
movies.
Immersive
telepresence

Interac'on

3D
Printed
Merch

Make
Magic

Immersion

Mo'on
control
gaming
with
AR

Augmented affect and atmospheres• 


• 
Socially
aware
systems,
ambient

and
sensa'on
enhancers

• 
Voice
to
vision

• 
Smell
walls

• 
Temperature
amplifica'on

• 
Wearables

Audience

Emerging
Lifestyles
and
Human
2.0:
How

redefined
iden@@es,
archetypes,
and
the

augmented
self
are
crea@ng
a
“Remix
Society”
“Emerging
Lifestyles
and

Human
2.0:
How
redefined

iden@@es,
archetypes,
and

the
augmented
self
are

crea@ng
a
“Remix
Society”

Cogni've
and
behavioral
feedback

Create
you
personal
soundtrack

3rd
Wave
compu'ng
meets
context
aware
systems

Business

Emerging
media
companies

3D
displays

Behavioral
email

Agile,
intelligent
enterprises

•  New
workforce
structures:

40%
Employees

18%
Temporary

12%
Consultants

15%
Network
specialists

15%
Strategic
partners


Employment
criteria

•  Global:
willingness
to
relocate

•  Innova'on:
12‐18
months
head
start

•  Ability
to
collaborate
with
interna'onal
teams

•  Depth
of
skill,
breadth
of
knowledge

•  Transferable
skills
across
plaforms

•  Innova've
thinking
in
convergence
terms

•  Ability
to
understand
prototyping
and

accelerators

New
jobs

• Digital
iden'ty
planners

• Global
syems
architects

• Digital
archeologists

• Online
Community
Organizers

• Robo'cians

• PAL/Avatar
designers

• Terabyters

• Polymedia
anthrtopologists

• Mobie
marke'ng
Jedi

Cas'ng
agents

Data
Storyteller

Content
archivist

Details
Despot

Sustainability
czar

Community
builder

Protocol
steward

Projec'on
mapper

Interac'on
coordinator

New
revenue
models

•  Access
vs.
ownership
–
Streaming
rules

•  Smaller
subscrip'on
bundles


•  Paywalls

•  Portability/
mul'‐device
streaming

•  Delayed
viewing

•  Delivering
personalized

meaning
and
relevance

•  Leveraging
big
data
–
ajen'on‐based
content

•  Power
and
intercommunica'on
of
the
“crowd”

Emerging
revenue
models

Futuremedia - Beyond the Buzz

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