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MARKETING….
Marketing: Definition
Market segmentation
Marketing concepts
• Market demand
• Product
• Value and satisfaction
• Exchange and transactions
Marketing channels
Competition
Marketing environment
Marketing mix
Marketing Defined…..
The Chartered Institute of Marketing define marketing as
“The management process responsible for identifying ,
anticipating and satisfying customer requirements
profitably”
According to William Stanton
“Marketing is a total system of business activities designed to
plan, price, promote & distribute want satisfying products to
target markets in order to achieve organisational objectives”
According to Philip Kotler
“Marketing is a human activity directed at satisfying needs
and wants through exchange process”
Scope of Marketing
• Marketing Research
• Product Planning & Development
• Pricing
• Advertising & Publicity
• Sales Promotion
• Packaging
• Branding & Labelling
• After Sales Service
• Test Marketing
Importance/ Benefits Of Marketing
• Satisfaction of human needs & wants
• Profits & market reputation
• Facilitates specialisation division of labour
• Widens the market
• Improves standard of living
• Bring economic growth
• Creates new norms of social economic behaviour
• Provides channels of communication to business firms
• Facilitates price control
• Develops social significance at.
MARKETING CONCEPTS
7
Core Concepts of Marketing
Needs, wants
demands
Markets Marketing &
Marketers
Utility, Value &
Satisfaction
Exchange, Transaction
Relationships
Products
Need, Want &Demand
A need is a state of felt deprivation of some basic satisfaction
Wants are desires for specific satisfiers of these deprived needs
Demands are wants for specific products that are backed by an
ability and willingness to buy them
Marketing Concept Continued…
Product is any thing that can be offered to satisfy a need or
want
Exchange is the act of obtaining a desired product from
someone by offering something in return
A Market consists of all the potential customers sharing a
particular need or want who might be willing and able to
engage in exchange to satisfy that need or want.
Market Segmentation
Market segmentation is a marketing strategy that involves
dividing a broad target market into subsets of consumers who
have common needs, and then designing and implementing
strategies to target their needs and desires using media channels
and other touch-points that best allow to reach them.
The process of defining and subdividing a large homogeneous
market into clearly identifiable segments having similar needs,
wants or demand characteristics. Its objective is to design a
market mix that precisely matches the expectations of customers
in the targeted segment.
Four basic factors that affect market segmentation are
(1) clear identification of the segment,
(2) measurability of its effective size,
(3) its accessibility through promotional efforts
(4) its appropriateness to the policies and resources of
the company.
The Marketing Segmentation Process
Take marketing actions to reach target segmentsTake marketing actions to reach target segments
Select the product segments toward which the
firm will direct its marketing actions
Select the product segments toward which the
firm will direct its marketing actions
Develop a market/product grid to relate the market segments to the
firm’s products and actions
Develop a market/product grid to relate the market segments to the
firm’s products and actions
Find ways to group marketing actions
available to the organization
Find ways to group marketing actions
available to the organization
Find ways to group consumers
according to their needs
Find ways to group consumers
according to their needs
• Geographic—The study of city size,
urban/suburban/rural population distribution and
climate.
• Demographic—The study of distribution of
population’s age, sex, income, stage in family cycle
and ethnic background.
• Psychographic—Personalties, lifestyles, social class
including Activities Interests and Opinions (AIO).
• Behaviour towards products.
• Benefits desired or sought.
• Product usage rate.
Objectives of segmentation are:
1) To reduce risk in deciding where, when, how, and to
whom a product, service, or brand will be marketed;
2) To increase marketing efficiency by directing effort
specifically toward the designated segment in a
manner consistent with that segment's characteristics.
Market segmentation process
1. Identify the needs & wants of customers.
2. Identify the different characteristics
between market segments.
3. Estimate the market potential.
Marketing channels
Marketing channels can be viewed as a sets of interdependent organizations
involved in the process of making a product or service available for use or
consumption
Functions
• Information
• Promotion
• Negotiation
• Ordering
• Financing
• Risk taking
• Physical possession
• Payment
• Title
Channel selection
• Analyzing the customer needs (lot size, waiting time, product
variety, service backing etc)
• Establishing channel objectives( product characteristics)
• Identifying the major alternatives (types & No of intermediaries)
• Evaluating (Economic, Control, Adaptive Criteria)
Distribution Channel Decisions
SelectingSelecting
ManagingManaging
MotivatingMotivating
Distribution
Channel
Decisions
Distribution
Channel
Decisions
Distribution Intermediaries
Distribution Channel
Intermediaries
Distribution Channel
Intermediaries
BrokersBrokers
DistributorsDistributors
WholesalersWholesalers
RetailersRetailers
Competition
To prepare an effective marketing strategy, a
company must study its competitors as well as its
actual and potential customers
A company's closest competitors are those seeking to
satisfy the same customers and needs and marketing
similar offers
A company needs to gather information on
competitor’s strategies objectives, strengths,
weakness, and reaction pattern
Types
• Pure Competition
low barriers to entry, many choices, no business has
dominance, many companies competing and nobody
has a significant advantage
examples
• small bars and restaurants, variety stores,
convenience stores, barbers, small grocery stores,
doughnut shops, professional services (dentist,
doctor, architects)
Oligopoly
very similar products, few sellers, small firms follow
lead of big firms, fairly inelastic demands
- many barriers to establishing a business so only the
oldest and biggest businesses are operating
examples
all the businesses are big and of equal size
banking industry, automotive manufacturers,
gasoline retail companies, insurance companies,
telecommunications companies
• Monopoly
one single large seller with no close
competition and no alternate substitutes
examples
• Indian Railway
• Electricity
• Postoffice
Monopolistic Competition
sellers feel they do have some competition
there is one big company dominating the
market with a few medium or smaller sized
companies
examples
Google
Walmart
Airlines
Market
Structure
Seller Entry
Barriers
Seller
Number
Buyer Entry
Barriers
Buyer
Number
Monopolistic competitionNo Many No Many
Monopoly Yes One No Many
Monopsony No Many Yes One
Oligopoly Yes Few No Many
Oligopsony No Many Yes Few
Perfect CompetitionNo Many No Many
strategies
• Price discounts
• Lower-priced goods
• Value-priced goods
• Prestige goods
• Product proliferation
• Product innovation
• Improved services
• Distribution innovation
• Manufacturing-cost reduction
• Intensive advertising promotion
Marketing environment
The market environment refers to factors and forces
that affect a firm’s ability to build and maintain
successful relationships with customers.
Two levels of the environment are:
• Micro (internal) environment - small forces within
the company that affect its ability to serve its
customers.
• Macro (national) environment - larger societal forces
that affect the microenvironment.
Marketing Mix
Is the set of marketing tools that the firm uses to pursue its
marketing objectives in the target market.
From the sellers view point (4P)
• Product
• Price
• Place
• Promotion
Customers View point (4C)
• Customer needs and wants
• Cost
• Convenience
• Communication
FUNCTIONS OF MARKETING
The ten (11) functions of marketing are;
· Researching
· Buying
· Product development and management
· Production
· Promotion
· Standardization and grading
· Pricing
· Distribution
· Risk bearing
· Financing
· After sales-service
Sales forecasting
Elements of a Good Forecast
Timely
AccurateReliable
M
eaningful
Written
Easy
to
use
Why is forecasting important?
Demand for products and services is usually uncertain.
Forecasting can be used for…
• Strategic planning (long range planning)
• Finance and accounting (budgets and cost controls)
• Marketing (future sales, new products)
• Production and operations
Principles of Forecasting
Many types of forecasting models that differ in
complexity and amount of data & way they
generate forecasts:
1. Forecasts are rarely perfect
2. Forecasts are more accurate for grouped data than
for individual items
3. Forecast are more accurate for shorter than longer
time periods
Types of Forecasting Methods
Forecasting methods are classified into two groups:
Qualitative Methods
Type Characteristics Strengths Weaknesses
Executive
opinion
A group of managers
meet & come up with
a forecast
Good for strategic or
new-product
forecasting
One person's opinion
can dominate the
forecast
Market
research
Uses surveys &
interviews to identify
customer preferences
Good determinant of
customer preferences
It can be difficult to
develop a good
questionnaire
Delphi
method
Seeks to develop a
consensus among a
group of experts
Excellent for
forecasting long-term
product demand,
technological
changes, and
Time consuming to
develop
Executive Judgment: Opinion of a group of high level
experts or managers is pooled
Market Research/Survey: Solicits input from customers
pertaining to their future purchasing plans. It involves
the use of questionnaires, consumer panels and tests
of new products and services.
Delphi Method: As opposed to regular panels where the
individuals involved are in direct communication, this
method eliminates the effects of group potential
dominance of the most vocal members. The group
involves individuals from inside as well as outside the
organization.
Quantitative Forecasting Methods
Quantitative
Forecasting
Regression
Models
2. Moving
Average
1. Naive
Time Series
Models
3. Exponential
Smoothing
a) simple
b) weighted
a) level
b) trend
c) seasonality
Time Series Models
Try to predict the future based on past data. Assume
that factors influencing the past will continue to
influence the future
Naive Approach:
Demand in next period is the same as demand in most
recent period
2. Simple Moving Average
n
A+...+A+A+A
=F 1n-t2-t1-tt
1t
+
+
• Assumes an average is a good estimator of future
behavior
– Used if little or no trend
– Used for smoothing
Ft+1 = Forecast for the upcoming period, t+1
n = Number of periods to be averaged
A t = Actual occurrence in period t
• Gives more emphasis to recent data
• Weights
– decrease for older data
– sum to 1.0
2. Weighted Moving Average
1n-tn2-t31-t2t11t Aw+...+Aw+Aw+Aw=F ++
Simple moving
average models
weight all previous
periods equally
Simple moving
average models
weight all previous
periods equally
3. Exponential Smoothing
• Assumes the most recent observations have the
highest predictive value
– gives more weight to recent time periods
Ft+1 = Ft + α(At - Ft)Ft+1 = Ft + α(At - Ft)
et
Ft+1 = Forecast value for time t+1
At = Actual value at time t
α = Smoothing constant
Need initial
forecast Ft
to start.
Need initial
forecast Ft
to start.
• Collect historical data
• Select a model
– Moving average methods
• Select n (number of periods)
• For weighted moving average: select weights
– Exponential smoothing
• Select α
• Selections should produce a good forecast
To Use a Forecasting Method
…but what is a good forecast?
Measures of Forecast Error
b. MSE = Mean Squared Error ( )
n
F-A
=MSE
n
1=t
2
tt∑
MAD =
A - F
n
t t
t=1
n
∑
et
 Ideal values =0 (i.e., no forecasting error)
MSE=RMSEc. RMSE = Root Mean Squared Error
a. MAD = Mean Absolute Deviation
Regression Analysis as a Method for
ForecastingRegression analysis takes advantage of
the relationship between two
variables. Demand is then forecasted
based on the knowledge of this
relationship and for the given value of
the related variable.
Ex: Sale of Tires (Y), Sale of Autos (X) are
obviously related
If we analyze the past data of these two
variables and establish a relationship
between them, we may use that
relationship to forecast the sales of
tires given the sales of automobiles.
The simplest form of the relationship is,
of course, linear, hence it is referred
to as a regression line.
Sales of Autos (100,000)
Selecting the Right Forecasting Model
1. The amount & type of available data
 Some methods require more data than others
1. Degree of accuracy required
 Increasing accuracy means more data
1. Length of forecast horizon
 Different models for 3 month vs. 10 years
1. Presence of data patterns
 Lagging will occur when a forecasting model meant for a
level pattern is applied with a trend
Forecasting Software
• Spreadsheets
– Microsoft Excel, Quattro Pro, Lotus 1-2-3
– Limited statistical analysis of forecast data
• Statistical packages
– SPSS, SAS, NCSS, Minitab
– Forecasting plus statistical and graphics
• Specialty forecasting packages
– Forecast Master, Forecast Pro, Autobox, SCA
Pricing Decisions
What consumers give up
to purchase a product or
service
What consumers give up
to purchase a product or
service
TimeTime
Price VariablePrice Variable
Mental activityMental activity
Behavioral effortBehavioral effort
Factors the firm must
consider
Factors the firm must
consider
CostsCosts
DemandDemand
CompetitionCompetition
Perceived valuePerceived value
Relating Price to Ads and
PromotionPrice must be consistent with perceptions of
the product
Price must be consistent with perceptions of
the product
Higher prices communicate higher product
quality
Higher prices communicate higher product
quality
Lower prices reflect bargain or “value”
perceptions
Lower prices reflect bargain or “value”
perceptions
Price, advertising and distribution be unified
in
identifying product position
Price, advertising and distribution be unified
in
identifying product position
Pricing
Considerations
Pricing
Considerations
A product positioned as high quality while
carrying a lower price than competitors will
confuse customers
A product positioned as high quality while
carrying a lower price than competitors will
confuse customers
Legal and Ethical Issues in Pricing
Unfair Trade Practices
Key Legal
and Ethical
Issues
Related to
Price
Key Legal
and Ethical
Issues
Related to
Price
Price Fixing
Price Discrimination
Predatory Pricing
Special Pricing Tactics
Odd-Even
Pricing
Two-Part
Pricing
Bundle
Pricing
Bait
Pricing
Price
Lining
Flexible
Pricing
Professional
Services
Leader
Pricing
Single
Price
Common
Special Pricing
Tactics
Common
Special Pricing
Tactics
• Advertising
– Any paid form of nonpersonal presentation and
promotion of ideas, goods, or services by an
identified sponsor.
Major
Advertising Decisions
16- 56
Advertising
• Advertising objectives can be
classified by primary
purpose:
– Inform
• Introducing new products
– Persuade
• Becomes more important
as competition increases
• Comparative ads
– Remind
• Most important for mature
products
Setting objectivesSetting objectives
Setting the budgetSetting the budget
Developing theDeveloping the
advertisingadvertising
strategystrategy
EvaluatingEvaluating
advertisingadvertising
campaignscampaigns
Key Decisions:Key Decisions:
16- 57
Advertising
Major Media TypesMajor Media Types
• Newspapers
• Television
• Direct Mail
RadioRadio
MagazinesMagazines
OutdoorOutdoor
InternetInternet
Major Types of Advertising
Corporate Image
Advocacy Advertising
Types
of
Advertising
Types
of
Advertising
Pioneering
Competitive
Comparative
Product
Advertising
Institutional
Advertising
Advertising Campaign Decision Process
Determine the campaign objectives.
Make creative decisions. Make media decisions.
Evaluate the campaign.
Sales promotion is the short-term incentives to
encourage the purchase or sale of a product or
service
Tools for Consumer Sales Promotion
Coupons
Premiums
Frequent Buyer Programs
Contests and
Sweepstakes
Samples
Point-of-Purchase
Displays
Six
Categories
of
Consumer
Sales
Promotions
Six
Categories
of
Consumer
Sales
Promotions
Elements of the Promotion
Mix
Advertising
Ingredients
of the
Promotion
Mix
Ingredients
of the
Promotion
Mix
Public Relations
Personal Selling
Sales Promotion
• Sales Promotions
–Can be targeted at final buyers,
retailers and wholesalers, business
customers, and members of the sales
force.
–The use of sales promotions has been
growing rapidly.
Sales Promotion
16- 64
Sales Promotion
Consumer Promotion ToolsConsumer Promotion Tools
• Samples
• Cash Refunds
(Rebates)
• Price packs (cents-
off deals)
• Advertising
Specialties
PremiumsPremiums
PatronagePatronage
RewardsRewards
Point-of-PurchasePoint-of-Purchase
CommunicationsCommunications
Contests, Games,Contests, Games,
and Sweepstakesand Sweepstakes
16- 65
• Trade Promotion Tools
– Discounts (also called price-offs,
off-list, and off-invoice discounts)
– Allowances
• Advertising allowances
• Display allowances
– Free goods
– Push money
– Specialty advertising items
Sales Promotion
16- 66
• Key Decisions When Developing the Sales
Promotion Program:
– Size of the incentive
– Conditions for participation
– Promotion and distribution of the actual sales
promotion program
– Length of the promotional program
– Evaluation
• Surveys and experiments can be used
Sales Promotion
Creating a Promotion
Plan
Choose Promotion Mix
Develop Promotion Budget
Set Promotion Objectives
Identify Target Market
Analyze the Marketplace

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Sales and marketing

  • 2. Marketing: Definition Market segmentation Marketing concepts • Market demand • Product • Value and satisfaction • Exchange and transactions Marketing channels Competition Marketing environment Marketing mix
  • 3. Marketing Defined….. The Chartered Institute of Marketing define marketing as “The management process responsible for identifying , anticipating and satisfying customer requirements profitably” According to William Stanton “Marketing is a total system of business activities designed to plan, price, promote & distribute want satisfying products to target markets in order to achieve organisational objectives” According to Philip Kotler “Marketing is a human activity directed at satisfying needs and wants through exchange process”
  • 4. Scope of Marketing • Marketing Research • Product Planning & Development • Pricing • Advertising & Publicity • Sales Promotion • Packaging • Branding & Labelling • After Sales Service • Test Marketing
  • 5. Importance/ Benefits Of Marketing • Satisfaction of human needs & wants • Profits & market reputation • Facilitates specialisation division of labour • Widens the market • Improves standard of living • Bring economic growth • Creates new norms of social economic behaviour • Provides channels of communication to business firms • Facilitates price control • Develops social significance at.
  • 7. 7 Core Concepts of Marketing Needs, wants demands Markets Marketing & Marketers Utility, Value & Satisfaction Exchange, Transaction Relationships Products
  • 8. Need, Want &Demand A need is a state of felt deprivation of some basic satisfaction Wants are desires for specific satisfiers of these deprived needs Demands are wants for specific products that are backed by an ability and willingness to buy them
  • 9. Marketing Concept Continued… Product is any thing that can be offered to satisfy a need or want Exchange is the act of obtaining a desired product from someone by offering something in return A Market consists of all the potential customers sharing a particular need or want who might be willing and able to engage in exchange to satisfy that need or want.
  • 10. Market Segmentation Market segmentation is a marketing strategy that involves dividing a broad target market into subsets of consumers who have common needs, and then designing and implementing strategies to target their needs and desires using media channels and other touch-points that best allow to reach them. The process of defining and subdividing a large homogeneous market into clearly identifiable segments having similar needs, wants or demand characteristics. Its objective is to design a market mix that precisely matches the expectations of customers in the targeted segment.
  • 11. Four basic factors that affect market segmentation are (1) clear identification of the segment, (2) measurability of its effective size, (3) its accessibility through promotional efforts (4) its appropriateness to the policies and resources of the company.
  • 12. The Marketing Segmentation Process Take marketing actions to reach target segmentsTake marketing actions to reach target segments Select the product segments toward which the firm will direct its marketing actions Select the product segments toward which the firm will direct its marketing actions Develop a market/product grid to relate the market segments to the firm’s products and actions Develop a market/product grid to relate the market segments to the firm’s products and actions Find ways to group marketing actions available to the organization Find ways to group marketing actions available to the organization Find ways to group consumers according to their needs Find ways to group consumers according to their needs
  • 13.
  • 14. • Geographic—The study of city size, urban/suburban/rural population distribution and climate. • Demographic—The study of distribution of population’s age, sex, income, stage in family cycle and ethnic background. • Psychographic—Personalties, lifestyles, social class including Activities Interests and Opinions (AIO). • Behaviour towards products. • Benefits desired or sought. • Product usage rate.
  • 15. Objectives of segmentation are: 1) To reduce risk in deciding where, when, how, and to whom a product, service, or brand will be marketed; 2) To increase marketing efficiency by directing effort specifically toward the designated segment in a manner consistent with that segment's characteristics.
  • 16. Market segmentation process 1. Identify the needs & wants of customers. 2. Identify the different characteristics between market segments. 3. Estimate the market potential.
  • 17. Marketing channels Marketing channels can be viewed as a sets of interdependent organizations involved in the process of making a product or service available for use or consumption Functions • Information • Promotion • Negotiation • Ordering • Financing • Risk taking • Physical possession • Payment • Title
  • 18. Channel selection • Analyzing the customer needs (lot size, waiting time, product variety, service backing etc) • Establishing channel objectives( product characteristics) • Identifying the major alternatives (types & No of intermediaries) • Evaluating (Economic, Control, Adaptive Criteria)
  • 20. Distribution Intermediaries Distribution Channel Intermediaries Distribution Channel Intermediaries BrokersBrokers DistributorsDistributors WholesalersWholesalers RetailersRetailers
  • 21. Competition To prepare an effective marketing strategy, a company must study its competitors as well as its actual and potential customers A company's closest competitors are those seeking to satisfy the same customers and needs and marketing similar offers A company needs to gather information on competitor’s strategies objectives, strengths, weakness, and reaction pattern
  • 22. Types • Pure Competition low barriers to entry, many choices, no business has dominance, many companies competing and nobody has a significant advantage examples • small bars and restaurants, variety stores, convenience stores, barbers, small grocery stores, doughnut shops, professional services (dentist, doctor, architects)
  • 23. Oligopoly very similar products, few sellers, small firms follow lead of big firms, fairly inelastic demands - many barriers to establishing a business so only the oldest and biggest businesses are operating examples all the businesses are big and of equal size banking industry, automotive manufacturers, gasoline retail companies, insurance companies, telecommunications companies
  • 24. • Monopoly one single large seller with no close competition and no alternate substitutes examples • Indian Railway • Electricity • Postoffice
  • 25. Monopolistic Competition sellers feel they do have some competition there is one big company dominating the market with a few medium or smaller sized companies examples Google Walmart Airlines
  • 26. Market Structure Seller Entry Barriers Seller Number Buyer Entry Barriers Buyer Number Monopolistic competitionNo Many No Many Monopoly Yes One No Many Monopsony No Many Yes One Oligopoly Yes Few No Many Oligopsony No Many Yes Few Perfect CompetitionNo Many No Many
  • 27. strategies • Price discounts • Lower-priced goods • Value-priced goods • Prestige goods • Product proliferation • Product innovation • Improved services • Distribution innovation • Manufacturing-cost reduction • Intensive advertising promotion
  • 28. Marketing environment The market environment refers to factors and forces that affect a firm’s ability to build and maintain successful relationships with customers. Two levels of the environment are: • Micro (internal) environment - small forces within the company that affect its ability to serve its customers. • Macro (national) environment - larger societal forces that affect the microenvironment.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31. Marketing Mix Is the set of marketing tools that the firm uses to pursue its marketing objectives in the target market. From the sellers view point (4P) • Product • Price • Place • Promotion Customers View point (4C) • Customer needs and wants • Cost • Convenience • Communication
  • 32. FUNCTIONS OF MARKETING The ten (11) functions of marketing are; · Researching · Buying · Product development and management · Production · Promotion · Standardization and grading · Pricing · Distribution · Risk bearing · Financing · After sales-service
  • 33.
  • 34. Sales forecasting Elements of a Good Forecast Timely AccurateReliable M eaningful Written Easy to use
  • 35. Why is forecasting important? Demand for products and services is usually uncertain. Forecasting can be used for… • Strategic planning (long range planning) • Finance and accounting (budgets and cost controls) • Marketing (future sales, new products) • Production and operations
  • 36. Principles of Forecasting Many types of forecasting models that differ in complexity and amount of data & way they generate forecasts: 1. Forecasts are rarely perfect 2. Forecasts are more accurate for grouped data than for individual items 3. Forecast are more accurate for shorter than longer time periods
  • 37. Types of Forecasting Methods Forecasting methods are classified into two groups:
  • 38. Qualitative Methods Type Characteristics Strengths Weaknesses Executive opinion A group of managers meet & come up with a forecast Good for strategic or new-product forecasting One person's opinion can dominate the forecast Market research Uses surveys & interviews to identify customer preferences Good determinant of customer preferences It can be difficult to develop a good questionnaire Delphi method Seeks to develop a consensus among a group of experts Excellent for forecasting long-term product demand, technological changes, and Time consuming to develop
  • 39. Executive Judgment: Opinion of a group of high level experts or managers is pooled Market Research/Survey: Solicits input from customers pertaining to their future purchasing plans. It involves the use of questionnaires, consumer panels and tests of new products and services. Delphi Method: As opposed to regular panels where the individuals involved are in direct communication, this method eliminates the effects of group potential dominance of the most vocal members. The group involves individuals from inside as well as outside the organization.
  • 40. Quantitative Forecasting Methods Quantitative Forecasting Regression Models 2. Moving Average 1. Naive Time Series Models 3. Exponential Smoothing a) simple b) weighted a) level b) trend c) seasonality
  • 41. Time Series Models Try to predict the future based on past data. Assume that factors influencing the past will continue to influence the future Naive Approach: Demand in next period is the same as demand in most recent period
  • 42. 2. Simple Moving Average n A+...+A+A+A =F 1n-t2-t1-tt 1t + + • Assumes an average is a good estimator of future behavior – Used if little or no trend – Used for smoothing Ft+1 = Forecast for the upcoming period, t+1 n = Number of periods to be averaged A t = Actual occurrence in period t
  • 43. • Gives more emphasis to recent data • Weights – decrease for older data – sum to 1.0 2. Weighted Moving Average 1n-tn2-t31-t2t11t Aw+...+Aw+Aw+Aw=F ++ Simple moving average models weight all previous periods equally Simple moving average models weight all previous periods equally
  • 44. 3. Exponential Smoothing • Assumes the most recent observations have the highest predictive value – gives more weight to recent time periods Ft+1 = Ft + α(At - Ft)Ft+1 = Ft + α(At - Ft) et Ft+1 = Forecast value for time t+1 At = Actual value at time t α = Smoothing constant Need initial forecast Ft to start. Need initial forecast Ft to start.
  • 45. • Collect historical data • Select a model – Moving average methods • Select n (number of periods) • For weighted moving average: select weights – Exponential smoothing • Select α • Selections should produce a good forecast To Use a Forecasting Method …but what is a good forecast?
  • 46. Measures of Forecast Error b. MSE = Mean Squared Error ( ) n F-A =MSE n 1=t 2 tt∑ MAD = A - F n t t t=1 n ∑ et  Ideal values =0 (i.e., no forecasting error) MSE=RMSEc. RMSE = Root Mean Squared Error a. MAD = Mean Absolute Deviation
  • 47. Regression Analysis as a Method for ForecastingRegression analysis takes advantage of the relationship between two variables. Demand is then forecasted based on the knowledge of this relationship and for the given value of the related variable. Ex: Sale of Tires (Y), Sale of Autos (X) are obviously related If we analyze the past data of these two variables and establish a relationship between them, we may use that relationship to forecast the sales of tires given the sales of automobiles. The simplest form of the relationship is, of course, linear, hence it is referred to as a regression line. Sales of Autos (100,000)
  • 48. Selecting the Right Forecasting Model 1. The amount & type of available data  Some methods require more data than others 1. Degree of accuracy required  Increasing accuracy means more data 1. Length of forecast horizon  Different models for 3 month vs. 10 years 1. Presence of data patterns  Lagging will occur when a forecasting model meant for a level pattern is applied with a trend
  • 49. Forecasting Software • Spreadsheets – Microsoft Excel, Quattro Pro, Lotus 1-2-3 – Limited statistical analysis of forecast data • Statistical packages – SPSS, SAS, NCSS, Minitab – Forecasting plus statistical and graphics • Specialty forecasting packages – Forecast Master, Forecast Pro, Autobox, SCA
  • 50. Pricing Decisions What consumers give up to purchase a product or service What consumers give up to purchase a product or service TimeTime Price VariablePrice Variable Mental activityMental activity Behavioral effortBehavioral effort Factors the firm must consider Factors the firm must consider CostsCosts DemandDemand CompetitionCompetition Perceived valuePerceived value
  • 51. Relating Price to Ads and PromotionPrice must be consistent with perceptions of the product Price must be consistent with perceptions of the product Higher prices communicate higher product quality Higher prices communicate higher product quality Lower prices reflect bargain or “value” perceptions Lower prices reflect bargain or “value” perceptions Price, advertising and distribution be unified in identifying product position Price, advertising and distribution be unified in identifying product position Pricing Considerations Pricing Considerations A product positioned as high quality while carrying a lower price than competitors will confuse customers A product positioned as high quality while carrying a lower price than competitors will confuse customers
  • 52. Legal and Ethical Issues in Pricing Unfair Trade Practices Key Legal and Ethical Issues Related to Price Key Legal and Ethical Issues Related to Price Price Fixing Price Discrimination Predatory Pricing
  • 54. • Advertising – Any paid form of nonpersonal presentation and promotion of ideas, goods, or services by an identified sponsor.
  • 56. 16- 56 Advertising • Advertising objectives can be classified by primary purpose: – Inform • Introducing new products – Persuade • Becomes more important as competition increases • Comparative ads – Remind • Most important for mature products Setting objectivesSetting objectives Setting the budgetSetting the budget Developing theDeveloping the advertisingadvertising strategystrategy EvaluatingEvaluating advertisingadvertising campaignscampaigns Key Decisions:Key Decisions:
  • 57. 16- 57 Advertising Major Media TypesMajor Media Types • Newspapers • Television • Direct Mail RadioRadio MagazinesMagazines OutdoorOutdoor InternetInternet
  • 58. Major Types of Advertising Corporate Image Advocacy Advertising Types of Advertising Types of Advertising Pioneering Competitive Comparative Product Advertising Institutional Advertising
  • 59. Advertising Campaign Decision Process Determine the campaign objectives. Make creative decisions. Make media decisions. Evaluate the campaign.
  • 60. Sales promotion is the short-term incentives to encourage the purchase or sale of a product or service
  • 61. Tools for Consumer Sales Promotion Coupons Premiums Frequent Buyer Programs Contests and Sweepstakes Samples Point-of-Purchase Displays Six Categories of Consumer Sales Promotions Six Categories of Consumer Sales Promotions
  • 62. Elements of the Promotion Mix Advertising Ingredients of the Promotion Mix Ingredients of the Promotion Mix Public Relations Personal Selling Sales Promotion
  • 63. • Sales Promotions –Can be targeted at final buyers, retailers and wholesalers, business customers, and members of the sales force. –The use of sales promotions has been growing rapidly. Sales Promotion
  • 64. 16- 64 Sales Promotion Consumer Promotion ToolsConsumer Promotion Tools • Samples • Cash Refunds (Rebates) • Price packs (cents- off deals) • Advertising Specialties PremiumsPremiums PatronagePatronage RewardsRewards Point-of-PurchasePoint-of-Purchase CommunicationsCommunications Contests, Games,Contests, Games, and Sweepstakesand Sweepstakes
  • 65. 16- 65 • Trade Promotion Tools – Discounts (also called price-offs, off-list, and off-invoice discounts) – Allowances • Advertising allowances • Display allowances – Free goods – Push money – Specialty advertising items Sales Promotion
  • 66. 16- 66 • Key Decisions When Developing the Sales Promotion Program: – Size of the incentive – Conditions for participation – Promotion and distribution of the actual sales promotion program – Length of the promotional program – Evaluation • Surveys and experiments can be used Sales Promotion
  • 67. Creating a Promotion Plan Choose Promotion Mix Develop Promotion Budget Set Promotion Objectives Identify Target Market Analyze the Marketplace

Editor's Notes

  1. Relation to textThis slide relates to the material on pp. 47-49. Summary OverviewThe markets segmentation process involves five distinct steps: Find ways to group customers according to their needs Find ways to group the marketing actions – usually the products offered Develop a market/product grid to relate the market segments to the firm’s products and actions Select the product segments toward which the firm directs its marketing actions Take marketing actions to reach target segments. Use of this slideThis slide can be used to provide an overview of market segmentation and the steps involved in this process.
  2. Relation to textThis slide refers to material on pp. 65-66 of the text. Summary OverviewDistribution decisions are among the most important made by marketers and often play a role in shaping the image of a company or brand. This slide shows various distribution channel decisions marketers must make including: Selecting the type of channels that will be used to distribute a product Managing the relationship with channel members Motivating channel members to stock and promote the company’s product Use of this slideThis slide can be used as part of a discussion of distribution channel decisions and how they must be coordinated with the other elements of the marketing mix.
  3. Relation to textThis slide refers to material on pp. 65-66 of the text. Summary OverviewMarketing channel intermediaries are critical to the success of a company’s marketing program. Brokers, distributors, wholesalers, and retailers are all intermediaries or “middlemen” who are involved in the process of making a product or service available for use or consumption. Intermediaries are sometimes called resellers. Consistent with the product and pricing decisions, where the product is distributed sends a message. Selling a product at Neiman Marcus conveys a very different message than selling it at Wal-Mart. Use of this slideThis slide can be used to introduce the various marketing intermediaries and discuss the important role they play in the marketing process.
  4. A point you may wish to make here is that only in the case of linear regression are we assuming that we know “why” something happened. General time-series models are based exclusively on “what” happened in the past; not at all on “why.” Does operating in a time of drastic change imply limitations on our ability to use time series models?
  5. This slide introduces the “weighted moving average” method. It is probably most important to discuss choice of the weights.
  6. This slide introduces the exponential smoothing method of time series forecasting. The following slide contains the equations, and an example follows.
  7. This slide illustrates the equations for two measures of forecast error. Students might be asked if there is an occasion when one method might be preferred over the other.
  8. Relation to textThis slide relates to material on page 64 of the text. Summary OverviewA firm must consider a number of factors in determining the price it charges for its product or service, including costs, demand factors, competition, and perceived value. The firm must also consider that the ultimate consumer is willing to give up to purchase the product or service Use of this slideThis slide can be used to explain pricing variables. Pricing must be coordinated with the other elements in the marketing mix to create an effective IMC program.
  9. Relation to textThis slide relates to material on pp. 64-65 of the text. Summary OverviewThe price that a firm charges for a product or services must be consistent with it’s advertising and promotion campaigns. A number of pricing considerations are shown on this slide. It is important to point out that a product positioned as a high quality while carrying a lower price than competitors will confuse customers Use of this slideThis slide can be used to explain the role of pricing decisions in an IMC program. Pricing needs to be coordinated with the other elements in the marketing mix to create an effective IMC program.