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Preparing for Cloud Native
Migrating to the Kubernetes Era
Al Gillen
GVP, Software Development and Open Source
December, 2016
o Why DX, why Containers
o Impact of Open Source
o Containers and Orchestration
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Why Digital Transformation?
Standardization
of Infrastructure
Social Data,
Mobile Data
Interconnection
of Systems
Decision
Support
Real Time
Analytics
IoT and
Other Data
Intellectual
Property
Source: IDC Developer Research, December 2016
Digital Transformation Made Possible by
Containers, Cloud Native Apps
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Standard infrastructure enables:
Rapid iteration
Disruption of competitors
Deployment flexibility
To remain competitive:
Embrace standardized infrastructure
Modernize apps application
Embrace DevOps, priv/pub cloud
DX Supply, Demand Pressures Diverge
Buyer Side Pressures/Challenges Vendor Pressures/Challenges
New competitors emerging and disrupting business
as usual
New startups don’t buy IT, don’t buy software; instead
are writing their code and running it in cloud from day
1
Legacy IT still must be supported, and will remain a
burden for the foreseeable future
Legacy IT will continue to be a cash cow, but that
cash will be needed to help fund a transition to 3rd
Platform compute
Cutting edge talent is hard to find and retain Cutting edge talent is hard to find and retain for
vendors, too
On-premises IT investments are becoming more
difficult to justify
Generic cloud hosting services is ultimately a race to
zero. The value add comes from software services
Technologies emerging faster than can be
understood, implemented, and provide a ROI
New technologies emerge, but often today are open
source based and provide little revenue opportunity
Installed apps generally tied to their host; new apps
typically have few or no dependencies
Operating systems losing their differentiation; Linux
and Windows increasingly close; Linux distro
differences fading
Source: IDC System Software Research, December 2016
Majority of DevOps Users Expect to Increase
Spending on IT Ops, Analytics
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Q: How are DevOps practices currently impacting or expected to impact purchasing of each
of the following areas?
36%
34%
27%
25%
35%
23%
23%
25%
33%
27%
32%
25%
27%
33%
33%
35%
37%
40%
42%
43%
46%
55%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
in house storage
Testing tools
Public SaaS
Inhouse computing infrastructure
Application development tools
Private cloud
Public PaaS cloud
Public IaaS
Application performance and analytics…
Inhouse automation and orchestration…
IT operations analytics tools
Purchase more
n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016
o Why DX, why Containers
o Impact of Open Source
o Containers and Orchestration
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Open Source Software Inherits the Earth
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
Worldwide Operating Environments Nonpaid and
Paid New License Shipments, Subscriptions and
Nonpaid Deployments (000)
Others
Linux (Paid)
Linux (Nonpaid)
Windows (Paid+Nonpaid)
 Linux fought a long battle
to open the door
 Open source crossed a
midpoint and is becoming
relevant or dominant in
many market segments
 “Open source first” is
increasingly the approach
that users and vendors
 Even Microsoft is favorable
to open source today
Source: IDC System Software Research, December 2016
45%
20%
20%
15%
26%
26%
21%
27%
15%
25%
29%
30%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Commercial/vendor supported
open source
Community-based free open
source
Cloud or outsourced services
Vendor proprietary tools
Ranked 1 Ranked 2
Enterprises Prefer Commercialized
Open Source Products Technologies
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Q: Rank order your organization’s preferences for sourcing options that will be used to acquire DevOps enabling
technologies over the next two years with 1 as the most preferred type
n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016
Applications Become the Pivot Point
Linux apps stay on Linux
Windows apps stay on Windows
• Starting points dictate
end points
• Apps divide into “legacy”
& “cloud-native” apps
• Could native apps will
emerge as the new
battleground
• Cloud Native and open
source are tightly
intertwined
IaaS Deployment
Containerized
Lift-and-Shift
Replaced with
Cloud Native Apps
Source: IDC Developer Research, December 2016
o Why DX, why Containers
o Impact of Open Source
o Containers and Orchestration
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Impact on You and Your IT
Apps
Middleware
Infr SW
Hardware
Storage NW
Apps
Hardware
Open Source
Apps Container
PaaS SaaS
Container
Adoption Continuum
• Open source
• Linux and
Containers
• Cost, service levels
vs. availability
• Pay-as-you-go
• Mobility
• Serverless
computing
Service Provider
Source: IDC Developer Research, December 2016
Process Fragmentation, Lack of
Mature Product DevOps Challenges
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Q: What are your organization's top technology challenges when implementing DevOps?
n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July,
2016
 Smaller
enterprises more
likely to think
workloads are not
suited for DevOps
 Largest orgs most
likely to suffer
from fragmented
processes
34%
34%
29%
27%
25%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%
Fragmented
processes
Tools and products
not mature enough…
Existing Security
tools are not…
Workloads not
suitable for DevOps
Lack of continuous
integration and…
Culture: The Biggest Impediment
to Digital Transformation
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Q: What are your organization's top governance and process challenges related to implementing DevOps?
49%
33%
33%
32%
28%
0% 20% 40% 60%
IT culture and internal
inertia
Project management
Governance,
measurement and…
Streamlining
integration across…
Lack of IT Leadership
support
n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016
 Smaller enterprises
more likely to cite
culture due to limited
staff headcount,
training dollars
 Largest enterprises
more likely to focus on
governance and
traceability concerns
Don’t Assume that Developers have an
Easier Onramp to DevOps
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Q: Rank order - for which functional team is it more challenging to adopt DevOps practices?
34%
33%
12%
19%
24%
22%
28%
24%
18%
22%
37%
21%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Development
IT Operations
QA & Testing
LOB analysts
Ranked 1 (Most Challenging) Ranked 2 Ranked 3
n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Container and Orchestration Observations
 Cloud SPs already have substantial experience with containers, and some
have been using them for years
 Most enterprises are dabbling in containers and cloud native applications;
orchestration often not used or an afterthought
 Much lift-and-shift happening today, and obviously the need to orchestrate
containerized monolithic apps is lower
 <10% of enterprise containers in use orchestration to manage scale and
performance
 But by 2020, more than 50% of enterprise containers will rely on
commercially supported orchestration technologies
 Ultimately, we expect most cloud native apps to run in containers and be
orchestrated by solutions like Kubernetes
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
Essential Guidance
 Open source software is increasingly the foundation on which
both services and commercial products are based
 Darwinism has not yet fully played out in the container
orchestration market; is there really room for 3 (or more) major
container orchestration engines?
 Development of containerized apps still in infancy among large
organizations; but adoption will become strong
 Most existing apps won’t be replaced/rebuilt; rather will be
augmented and extended using cloud native apps
 Mix of on-prem/cloud deployments for years to come
 We will see a scale-out and regulatory insensitive apps gravitate
to public cloud infrastructure
Al Gillen
GVP, Software Development and Open
Source
agillen@idc.com
@algillen
Thank You
© IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC

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Tectonic Summit 2016: Preparing for Cloud Native

  • 1. Preparing for Cloud Native Migrating to the Kubernetes Era Al Gillen GVP, Software Development and Open Source December, 2016
  • 2. o Why DX, why Containers o Impact of Open Source o Containers and Orchestration © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
  • 3. Why Digital Transformation? Standardization of Infrastructure Social Data, Mobile Data Interconnection of Systems Decision Support Real Time Analytics IoT and Other Data Intellectual Property Source: IDC Developer Research, December 2016
  • 4. Digital Transformation Made Possible by Containers, Cloud Native Apps © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Standard infrastructure enables: Rapid iteration Disruption of competitors Deployment flexibility To remain competitive: Embrace standardized infrastructure Modernize apps application Embrace DevOps, priv/pub cloud
  • 5. DX Supply, Demand Pressures Diverge Buyer Side Pressures/Challenges Vendor Pressures/Challenges New competitors emerging and disrupting business as usual New startups don’t buy IT, don’t buy software; instead are writing their code and running it in cloud from day 1 Legacy IT still must be supported, and will remain a burden for the foreseeable future Legacy IT will continue to be a cash cow, but that cash will be needed to help fund a transition to 3rd Platform compute Cutting edge talent is hard to find and retain Cutting edge talent is hard to find and retain for vendors, too On-premises IT investments are becoming more difficult to justify Generic cloud hosting services is ultimately a race to zero. The value add comes from software services Technologies emerging faster than can be understood, implemented, and provide a ROI New technologies emerge, but often today are open source based and provide little revenue opportunity Installed apps generally tied to their host; new apps typically have few or no dependencies Operating systems losing their differentiation; Linux and Windows increasingly close; Linux distro differences fading Source: IDC System Software Research, December 2016
  • 6. Majority of DevOps Users Expect to Increase Spending on IT Ops, Analytics © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Q: How are DevOps practices currently impacting or expected to impact purchasing of each of the following areas? 36% 34% 27% 25% 35% 23% 23% 25% 33% 27% 32% 25% 27% 33% 33% 35% 37% 40% 42% 43% 46% 55% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% in house storage Testing tools Public SaaS Inhouse computing infrastructure Application development tools Private cloud Public PaaS cloud Public IaaS Application performance and analytics… Inhouse automation and orchestration… IT operations analytics tools Purchase more n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016
  • 7. o Why DX, why Containers o Impact of Open Source o Containers and Orchestration © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
  • 8. Open Source Software Inherits the Earth 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 Worldwide Operating Environments Nonpaid and Paid New License Shipments, Subscriptions and Nonpaid Deployments (000) Others Linux (Paid) Linux (Nonpaid) Windows (Paid+Nonpaid)  Linux fought a long battle to open the door  Open source crossed a midpoint and is becoming relevant or dominant in many market segments  “Open source first” is increasingly the approach that users and vendors  Even Microsoft is favorable to open source today Source: IDC System Software Research, December 2016
  • 9. 45% 20% 20% 15% 26% 26% 21% 27% 15% 25% 29% 30% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Commercial/vendor supported open source Community-based free open source Cloud or outsourced services Vendor proprietary tools Ranked 1 Ranked 2 Enterprises Prefer Commercialized Open Source Products Technologies © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Q: Rank order your organization’s preferences for sourcing options that will be used to acquire DevOps enabling technologies over the next two years with 1 as the most preferred type n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016
  • 10. Applications Become the Pivot Point Linux apps stay on Linux Windows apps stay on Windows • Starting points dictate end points • Apps divide into “legacy” & “cloud-native” apps • Could native apps will emerge as the new battleground • Cloud Native and open source are tightly intertwined IaaS Deployment Containerized Lift-and-Shift Replaced with Cloud Native Apps Source: IDC Developer Research, December 2016
  • 11. o Why DX, why Containers o Impact of Open Source o Containers and Orchestration © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC
  • 12. Impact on You and Your IT Apps Middleware Infr SW Hardware Storage NW Apps Hardware Open Source Apps Container PaaS SaaS Container Adoption Continuum • Open source • Linux and Containers • Cost, service levels vs. availability • Pay-as-you-go • Mobility • Serverless computing Service Provider Source: IDC Developer Research, December 2016
  • 13. Process Fragmentation, Lack of Mature Product DevOps Challenges © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Q: What are your organization's top technology challenges when implementing DevOps? n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016  Smaller enterprises more likely to think workloads are not suited for DevOps  Largest orgs most likely to suffer from fragmented processes 34% 34% 29% 27% 25% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Fragmented processes Tools and products not mature enough… Existing Security tools are not… Workloads not suitable for DevOps Lack of continuous integration and…
  • 14. Culture: The Biggest Impediment to Digital Transformation © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Q: What are your organization's top governance and process challenges related to implementing DevOps? 49% 33% 33% 32% 28% 0% 20% 40% 60% IT culture and internal inertia Project management Governance, measurement and… Streamlining integration across… Lack of IT Leadership support n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016  Smaller enterprises more likely to cite culture due to limited staff headcount, training dollars  Largest enterprises more likely to focus on governance and traceability concerns
  • 15. Don’t Assume that Developers have an Easier Onramp to DevOps © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Q: Rank order - for which functional team is it more challenging to adopt DevOps practices? 34% 33% 12% 19% 24% 22% 28% 24% 18% 22% 37% 21% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Development IT Operations QA & Testing LOB analysts Ranked 1 (Most Challenging) Ranked 2 Ranked 3 n = 100 multiple selections permitted Source: IDC, Early Adopter DevOps Survey, IDC, July, 2016
  • 16. © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Container and Orchestration Observations  Cloud SPs already have substantial experience with containers, and some have been using them for years  Most enterprises are dabbling in containers and cloud native applications; orchestration often not used or an afterthought  Much lift-and-shift happening today, and obviously the need to orchestrate containerized monolithic apps is lower  <10% of enterprise containers in use orchestration to manage scale and performance  But by 2020, more than 50% of enterprise containers will rely on commercially supported orchestration technologies  Ultimately, we expect most cloud native apps to run in containers and be orchestrated by solutions like Kubernetes
  • 17. © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC Essential Guidance  Open source software is increasingly the foundation on which both services and commercial products are based  Darwinism has not yet fully played out in the container orchestration market; is there really room for 3 (or more) major container orchestration engines?  Development of containerized apps still in infancy among large organizations; but adoption will become strong  Most existing apps won’t be replaced/rebuilt; rather will be augmented and extended using cloud native apps  Mix of on-prem/cloud deployments for years to come  We will see a scale-out and regulatory insensitive apps gravitate to public cloud infrastructure
  • 18. Al Gillen GVP, Software Development and Open Source agillen@idc.com @algillen Thank You © IDC Visit us at IDC.com and follow us on Twitter: @IDC

Editor's Notes

  1. Standardization has been happening for a long time First x86 hardware Second, operating systems Third: infrastructure layered software Today: containers and runtimes Everything interconnected IP – Software in things
  2. Industry Clouds Health Retail Financial Government Energy Accelerators Security AR/VR IoT Cognitive Robotics 3D Printing
  3. Light Blue = orgs are purchasing more of these Dark Blue = orgs purchasing less of these products Orchestration, automation, analytics, performance management all on the “purchase more” side XaaS purchase more Inhourse resources, testing tools purchasing LESS
  4. Thousands of operating environment new license shipments, subscriptions and nonpaid deployments Explain colors in chart what the segments are Open Source ramping up in share
  5. Open source… commercial vendor supported products win in enterprises Proprietary products least favorable
  6. Starting points dictate end points VMware unlikely to migrate Windows apps off Windows Apps divide into “legacy-” and “cloud-native” apps Most apps will eventually move to cloud, live forever Few become true cloud applications Even fewer need to Expect a lot of “lift and shift” where existing apps CNAs the new battleground Expect consolidation in CNA space
  7. Open source SW helped insulate applications from the underlying infrastructure Linux + containers helps create application mobility cross-server, cross-platform, cross-cloud “Hardware” (AKA compute services) increasingly measured by frameworks offered, service levels, scalability, availability, bandwidth, and cost/instance Pay-as-you-go (“subscription” or “as a service”) becomes the default purchase model going forward Serverless computing is a logical evolution of PaaS, and promises to drive a new generation of applications
  8. Governance: Cultural barriers are substantial