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© 2015
YOLE reports abstract for
EPIC
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
2
TABLE OF CONTENT
• Introduction toYole (Page 3)
• Sensors for Drones and robots (page 8)
• Gas sensor market and technology trends (Page13)
• Technology challenges for data center: the photonic case (page 18)
• Infrared detector market (page 27)
• LED modules technology and market trends (page 32)
• OLED for lighting (page 40)
• Medical imaging (page 45)
• Microbolometers (page 52)
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
3©2015 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement
MEMS &
Sensors
LED
Compound
Semi.
Imaging Photonics
MedTech
Manufacturing
Advanced
Packaging
PV
Power
Electronics
FIELDS OF EXPERTISE
Yole Développement’s 30 analysts operate in the following areas
4
A GROUP OF COMPANIES
Market,
technology and
strategy
consulting
www.yole.fr
M&A operations
Due diligences
www.yolefinance.com
Fundraising
Maturation of companies
IP portfolio management & optimization
www.bmorpho.com
Manufacturing costs analysis
Teardown and reverse engineering
Cost simulation tools
www.systemplus.fr
IP analysis
Patent assessment
www.knowmade.fr
5
OUR GLOBAL ACTIVITY
Yole Japan
Yole Inc.
Yole
Korea
40% of our business is in
EU countries
30% of our business is in
North America
30% of our business is in
Asia
Blue Morpho
6
SERVINGTHE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN
Our analysts
provide market
analysis,
technology
evaluation, and
business plan
along the entire
supply chain
Integrators and
end-users
Device
makers
Suppliers: material,
equipment, OSAT,
foundries…
Financial investors,
R&D centers
7
SERVING MULTIPLE INDUSTRIAL FIELDS
We are
working
accross
multiples
industries to
understand
the impact of
More-than-
Moore
technologies
from device
to system
From A to Z…
Transportation
makers
Mobile phone
and consumer
electronics
Automotive
Medical
systems
Industrial and
defense
Energy
February © 2016
From
Technologies
to Market
Sensors for
Drones & Robots
2016 report
9
MEMS & SENSORS : BEYONDTHE HUMAN SENSES…
Mems & sensors
are enabling the
robotic revolution
©2016 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots
SmellSound
Taste
Vision
microphones
IR sensors
Pressure
Gas & Odor
sensors
Pressure sensors
CMOS Image Sensors
Humidity & Temperature
sensors
Position
Inertial devices & e-Compass
Touch
Force & Haptic sensors
Communication
Oscillators, tuners & filters & switches
Speech
Microspeakers
micromirrors
Vision Focus
Digital autofocus & Micro-optics
Yole Développement © February 2016
Robot by Eset
Electrode sensors
Electrical
10
CONVERGENCES LEADINGTO THE ROBOTIC REVOLUTION
3 Industries
converging for
the robotic
revolution
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots
Smartphone
• Computing &
Sensor platform
• Huge annual
volume (>1Bu)
• Quick
innovation cycle
(<1Y)
Why now?
• Smartphones helped
develop advanced
microelectronic
technologies at low cost
• Internet is providing
communication / cloud
computing infrastructure
coupled with high demand
for connected devices
• Autonomous vehicles
R&D allow for high priced
technology testbeds
fueled by car brand search
for differentiation
Connectivity
11
DRONES & ROBOTS MARKET LANDSCAPE
Rise in diversity
of drones &
robots
applications
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots
Within 5 years
• Defense and Industry
will no more standout
as the only robotic
markets
• 10 new drones &
robots applications
will cross the $1B
threshold [PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL][PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
[PLAGECELL]
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
100,000
1,000,000
10,000,000
100,000,000
0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100
AverageSellingPrice($)
Volume Shipment (M units)
2021 – Drones & Robots market landscape
by application
Yole Développement © February 2016
$10B
$1B
$100M
12
Impleme
ntation
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 2021e
CAGR
2015-
2021
Environment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 28%
Microwave 8 8 8 9 10 10 11 12 12 13 15 16 8%
Touch 0 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 9%
Position 26 32 34 38 47 52 57 63 69 76 85 95 11%
Optical 157 173 189 207 229 256 286 318 357 404 459 526 13%
Acoustic 16 19 20 24 28 33 38 44 50 57 64 73 14%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Revenue($M)
2010-2021 Sensors for Drones & Robots revenue forecast (in $M)
by sensor type
SENSORS FOR DRONES & ROBOTS REVENUE FORECAST 2010-2021
by sensor type (in $M)
74% of revenues
will be captured
by optical
sensors
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots
The growth in revenue
of +12.4% CAGR will
be essentially captured
by optical sensors
Position and acoustic
sensors have also a
significant market share
of sensors for drones
and robots market
Yole Développement © February2016
13©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
14
GAS SENSORS MARKET FORECAST
Gas sensors market will grow from $540M in 2014 to $765M in 2020
• 6% CAGR
in value
with
consumer /
environme
nt having
the highest
growth
15
CHEMICAL GAS SENSORS/ LIFETIMEVS.APPLICATIONS
MOSFET is the technology with most applications
Growing
importance
of MOS for
consumer &
transport
IR still
predominant
in HVAC &
industry
PID,
Chromatography
MOS
Lifetime2 years 5 years 10 years
ConsumerHVACTransportMedical
Defense&
IndustryEnvironment
IR
IRElectro
chemical
Printed
Electro
chemical
Holographic
Catalytic Resonant
Printed
Electro
chemical
ChemFET
Photo
acoustic
Volume
16
GAS SENSORS PLAYERS EXAMPLES
Strong competition with few players > $50M sales at sensor level
New comers
from the IC
are entering
the game
(e.g. NXP)
MOS
Lifetime2 years 5 years 10 years
ConsumerHVACTransportMedical
Defense&
IndustryEnvironment
IR
IRElectro
chemical
Printed
Electro
chemical
Catalytic Resonant
PID,
Chromatography
Printed
Electro
chemical
ChemFET
Holographic
Photo
acoustic
Volume
17
WHY GOING MEMS OR PRINTED?
Gas sensors are undergoing manufacturing shifts
MEMS &
printing allow
smaller &
cheaper dies
MOS gas sensor:
• Sensing principle: Gas absorption at the surface of
heated oxide (200-250°C) that result in change of
electrical resistance related to sample gas
concentration
• Manufacturing technology: semiconductor process
(CMOS)
MEMS MOS gas sensor:
• Sensing principle: same than left
• Manufacturing technology: use of Si micromachining (MEMS)
to create a cavity below the sensor
• Advantage compared to MOS (left): 50% size reduction and
cost reduction
Electrochemical gas sensor:
• Sensing principle: Electrochemical reaction between
sensing & counter electrodes creates a current
proportional to target gas concentration
• Manufacturing technology: semiconductor process
Printed Electrochemical gas sensor:
• Sensing principle: same than left
• Manufacturing technology: use printing electronics
processes (e.g. screen printing)
• Advantage compared to electrochemical sensor (left): low
cost (<$1) achievable
From Technologies to Market
Report
From Technologies to Market
© 2015
New technologies
& architectures
for efficient
Data Centers
19
MAIN 4 CHARACTERISTICS
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
• High concentration of heat
• All the concentrated electronics generate huge
amount of heat in a closed space
• Large cooling systems have to be installed
• Huge amounts of data
• Increasing need for bandwidth
• Interconnexions between servers are done
thanks to being at the same physical site
• Data Centers need to be close to big
urban areas
• Very high electricity consumption
• A proximity of a point access to very high
electrical power is required
• Multi-sourcing is obligatory for safety reasons
• Strong trends towards the use of renewable
electricity sources (hydro, PV, wind…)
• Ways to reduce the consumption are actively
researched
• Requirements on extremely high (24/7) data availability
and security
• Solutions implemented to ensure “ALWAYS-ON state” - uninterrupted
power supply, redundancy - System resilient to failure and enabling rapid
recovery after failure
• System protected against human and natural detrimental influence
20
DATA CENTER CHALLENGES
The main
priority for
Data Center
owners is
always
reliability and
life-time of
components!!
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
Urban area
Power
plant1
Power
plant2
Power
line 1
Power
line 2
(back-
up)
Urban area
Data line 2
Data line 1
Proximity to customer Proximity to electricity source
• Network of high information density optics fiber cables
• Low land cost and lower labor cost than in urban areas
• Possibility to grow thanks to the available space
• Possibility to use multiple renewable energy source thanks
to available space and no conflict with habitations
• Improved power quality due to the combination of
multiple electricity sources.
Renewables
Fuel-fired
power plants
Use of “green” electricity
Data storage and
access security
Enhanced cooling solutions
Increased system packing
density (W/m2)
Key trends in development of Data centers
Yole Développement
21
SUPPLY CHAIN
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
Equipment Architecture Data Center owners
Server
UPS/Power equipment
Cooling system
Photonics
Containers
Social network &
eBusiness providers
22
DATA CENTRES CHALLENGES
The 3 big data centre challenges: distance, bandwidth & energy!
• To face the increasing demand in bandwidth, data centers face huge challenges:
• Distance:
• Distance is expanding (sometimes beyond 1 km for multimode optical fiber). Some light
sources (e.g.VCSELs are limited)
• Bandwidth:
• Bandwidth is increasing: from 25Gb/s to 100Gb/s to 400Gb/s
• Power consumption:
• Energy consumption: data Center requires ~25MW of Power and in 2013, data centres
consumed more than 5% of US electricity. So low power consumption solutions are required.
• Interconnects account for a major part of power consumption.
• Cooling will become significant and any new interconnect solution must take less power.
• One Google Search is about 1kJ.
Optical
interconnects
is the solution
to cope with
current data
centers
challenges.
23
DATA CENTRE NETWORKING
Where optics is cool!
Just a few
examples of
photonic
solutions
that will
reduce
power.
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
Router ASIC with integrated optics
(Compass-EOS) OOO routers (Calient)
AOC (Finisar)
Active Optic interconnect
(TE Connectivity)
Hybrid optical/electrical switching (UCSD)
Si photonics and closer integration
(Luxtera)
24
PHOTONICS IN DATA CENTRES
Silicon Photonics is the next big thing!
• Silicon photonics involves the use of silicon semiconductors as the medium for optical signals, allowing
much faster digital signaling than is currently possible with traditional electron-based semiconductor
devices.
• Si photonics offers the advantages of a silicon technology: low cost, higher integration, more
functionalities embedded, higher interconnect density. It gives 3 main advantages:
• Low power consumption – in particularly compared to copper-based solutions which is expensive with high electrical
consumption.
• Reliability – important for data centres where rack servers life time is 2 years and often replaced.
• Last but not least, it is Si technology, with benefits of functions integration, low manufacturing cost and high density.
• Back in 2006,VOA have been the first Si photonics products on the market
• Today still few Si photonics products are on the market : VOA, AOC and Transceivers from Luxtera,
Kotura/Mellanox, Cisco/Lightwire.
• Over the near term, Si photonics chips will be deployed in high-speed signal transmission systems, which
far exceed the capabilities of copper cabling: Data Centers and High Performance Computing (HPC).
• As Si photonics evolves and chips become more sophisticated, we expect to see the technology used
more in processing tasks such as interconnecting multiple cores within processor chips to boost access
to shared cache and busses.
Silicon
photonics is
the short
term answer
to data
centre issue:
POWER!
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
25
WHAT IS SI PHOTONICS
Silicon photonics is …
• A disruptive technology: new breed of monolithic opto-electronic devices in a potential low cost Si
process.
• The vision: to deliver optical connectivity everywhere, from the network level … to chip-to-chip.
Today, except
for the light
source, many
optical
functions can
be embedded
at the SOI
wafer level.
Source Luxtera
26
INTRINSIC SI PHOTONICS ADVANTAGES
Si photonics mixes CMOS & optics advantages
Power target
for
photonics is
1 fJ/bit!
©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
Low Power
Consumption
Low environmental
footprint Low operating
costs
Reduced heat dissipation
Low
manufacturing
cost
Higher density of
interconnects
Higher optical
functions
integration
Silicon
technology
• But no complete
integration (laser)
• Packaging issues
Reliability
Low error rate
Spectral efficiency
• Telecom standard
• Operation speed vs. InP
• Polarization dependency
SiPh
• Still high for high perf
modules
• Impact on reliability
27©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
28©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
29©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
30©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
31©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
From Technologies to Market
LED Lighting Module
Technologies
33
• From LED chip to LED lighting system, several steps of value drive the lighting industry. LED modules represent a bridge
between the packaged LED offer and the luminaire shaped product.
• A significantly integrated LED package reduces the level of know-how necessary for lighting manufacturers, thereby enabling
conventional lighting system manufacturers to have easier access to the technology.
• Basically, we can consider an LED module as a unit containing one or more LEDs with mechanical and optical components.
• It may contain additional components (e.g., connectors,resistors,ESD protection devices, lenses…).
• Generally, LED module is considered a replaceable item for use in a luminaire.
• An LED module represents a component/sub-system optimized for a given application scope.
LED Module in the Global LEDValue Chain
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
LED MODULES
LED
Die/Chip
Packaged
LED
Light/LED
Module
Light Source
(Module + Driver)
Luminaire
Light
System/
Solution
Philips
Lighting
Lumileds
34
Middle Power LED Module:
• The middle power LED is a solution offering
low power consumption and high flux.
High Power LED Module:
• The high power LED is a solution offering
small lighting emitting surface and high flux.
COB LED Module:
• The COB module architecture is a solution
offering good compromise between size of
the light emitting surface, flux power and
power consumption.
The choice of the right LED module
solution depends on requirements at
application level, cost level (…).
The Different Types of LED Modules - Positioning
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
High flux
Low consumption Small light
emitting surface
LOW POWER
LED / MODULE
LOW POWER
LED / MODULE
COB
MODULE
35
LED module
can be
considered
equivalent to
lamp!
LED Modules and Performances
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
LED LIGHTING SYSTEMS
LED MODULES
LED SUPPLY CHAIN
LED modules significantly
contribute to the system
performances, quality and safety.
LED modules become a target for
performances and quality (i.e.,
technical specifications) regarding
LED production / manufacturing.
36
In 2014, the
LED lighting
module market
represented a
size of ~$2B. It
should grow to
a size of ~$9.5B
by 2020.
LED Lighting Module Market Trends
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
37
In 2014, the
flexible LED
strip market
represented a
size of ~$360M.
It should grow
to a size of
~$900M by
2020.
LED Lighting Module Market Trends - The Case of Flexible LED Strips
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
38
LED module
allow to bridge
the SSL chasm
and accelerate
penetration of
LED technology
in lighting
applications.
The SSL Chasm
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
New technologies, business models and industries are developed to enable Solid State Lighting
(SSL) → VerƟcal / Horizontal integraƟon and consolidaƟon facilitate and speed up the process!
New technologies, business models and industries are developed to enable Solid State Lighting
(SSL) → VerƟcal / Horizontal integraƟon and consolidaƟon facilitate and speed up the process!
What LED Manufacturers
Produce
• Packaged Emitters
• Components
• Less than 200 lm
• Technology Focused
• Proprietary Standards
• Short Product Life Cycles
• Long Product Lifetime
What Lighting
Manufacturers Use
• Bulbs and Luminaires
• Lighting Systems
• More than 500 lm
• Industry Standards
• Long Product Life Cycle
• Vast Bulb Replacement
Market
The “SSL Chasm”
Thermal Management
Drivers
Metrology
Encapsulation
Phosphors
Micro Optics
Light Engines
Color Management
(…)
39
Most of the
LED module
manufacturers
are coming
from the
packaged LED
field.
LED Lighting Module IndustryTrends - Origin of Players
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
• Many players can manufacture LED modules as such activity is relying mostly on assembly expertise.
• Main players involved in the LED module manufacturing are:
• Packaged LED manufacturers.
• LED luminaire manufacturers.
• LED driver manufacturers.
• LED optic manufacturers.
• LED connector manufacturers.
• LED heatsink manufacturers.
• Other manufacturers (PCB…).
• Main analyzing more deeply the origin of LED manufacturers, it seems that a majority of LED module manufacturers
are coming from the packaged LED industry.
Packaged LED
manufacturers
LED luminaire
manufacturers
LED driver
manufacturers
LED optic
manufacturers
LED connector
manufacturers
LED heatsink
manufacturers
Other
manufacturers
(PCB…)
LED MODULE
MANUAFCTURING
LED Module
Ecosystem
The analysis is based on the identification of main players involved in
LED module manufacturing and sale (sample of more than 40 LED
lighting module manufacturers)
Analysis of origin of LED
module manufacturers
40
41
42
43
44
Overview of the technical & economic requirements for Medical Imaging applications
October 2014
Solid State Medical Imaging:
X-Ray and Endoscopy
The Medical Image Sensors market is expected to double over the next five years. M&A
are increasing. Discover how Medical Imaging is being reshaped!
Le Quartz - 75 cours Emile Zola - 69100 LYON-Villeurbanne
Tel: +33 472 83 01 80 - Fax: +33 472 83 01 83
Web: www.yole.fr
© 2014 • 46
Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
Scope of the Report
Executive Summary
• Endoscopy Sweet Spot:
The endoscopy application is fruitful in terms of innovative product development. These
evolutions drive medical image sensor requirements.
• X-Ray Imaging Sweet Spot:
This application, more mature, represents the largest in terms of value and annual growth.
Endoscopy
SweetSpot
Endoscopy
SweetSpot
Camera PillsCamera Pills
Disposable EndoscopesDisposable Endoscopes
Flexible
Endoscopes
Flexible
Endoscopes
Rigid EndoscopesRigid Endoscopes
X-RayImaging
SweetSpot
X-RayImaging
SweetSpot
X-Ray imagers for intra-oral
imaging
X-Ray imagers for intra-oral
imaging
X-Ray imagers for 2D extra-
oral imaging
X-Ray imagers for 2D extra-
oral imaging
X-ray 3D CBCT extra-oral
imaging
X-ray 3D CBCT extra-oral
imaging
X-Ray imagers for 3D & large
area imaging
X-Ray imagers for 3D & large
area imaging
© 2014 • 47
Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
Medical Image Sensors
Market Segmentation
Executive Summary
• This report will focus exclusively on direct Imaging applications.
• Microscopy is excluded from that report because is hardly ever used in vivo, primarily it is used in vitro.
• Indirect imaging applications will not be developed in this report as their evolution rather relies on software
processing optimization.
Direct Imaging / Hardware Dependant
Indirect Imaging / Software
Dependant
Microscopy Endoscopy X-Ray based methods MRI
Ultrasound
Imaging
Nuclear
Medicine
Standalone
Disposable
Camera
pills
Disposable
endoscopes
Re-usable
Flexible
endoscopes
Rigid
endoscopes
X-Ray imagers
for intra-oral
imaging
X-Ray imagers
for 3D & large
area imaging
Doppler
ultrasound
Integrated into a
large system
Microscopes
X-Ray imagers
for 2D extra-
oral imaging
CT
MRI
syste
m
PET Scan
Application
Optical Imaging X-ray Imaging
© 2014 • 48
Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
Image Sensor Technologies by Market
Executive Summary
The table below links applicative markets and Medical Image Sensor (MIS) technologies:
CCD MIS CMOS MIS A-Si MIS
Camera pills
market
X X
Disposable endoscopes
market
X
Flexible endoscopes
market
X X
Rigid endoscopes
market
X X
intra-oral imaging
market
X
X-ray 3D CBCT extra-oral
imaging
X X X
2D extra-oral
market
X
3D & large area
market
X X X
Endoscopy
Application
X-RayImaging
Application
© 2014 • 49
Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
Global Medical Image Sensors Market (in M$)
For Endoscopy and X-Ray Imaging
Executive Summary
The global Medical Image Sensor market will grow from $79M in 2014 to $142M in 2019.
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
X-Ray IS Market in $M 72.7 78.7 85.6 93.7 103.1 115.9 131.0
Endoscopy IS Market in $M 5.9 6.5 7.3 8.1 8.8 9.7 10.8
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
MedicalISMarketin$M
Medical IS Market in $M
CAGR2014-2019
11%
11%
CAGR2014-2019=11%
© 2014 • 50
Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved.
Image Sensors Positioning
Price/Volume Mapping
Executive Summary
Image sensor price (In $)
Image sensor
Volume
(in units/year)
X-Ray imagers for large
area and 3D extra oral
imaging
X-Ray imagers for large
area and 3D extra oral
imaging
X-Ray imagers
for intra-oral
imaging
X-Ray imagers
for intra-oral
imaging
Camera PillCamera Pill
Flexible
Endoscope
Flexible
Endoscope
Disposable
Endoscopes
Disposable
Endoscopes
Rigid
Endoscope
Rigid
Endoscope
X-Ray imagers
for 2D extra-
oral imaging
X-Ray imagers
for 2D extra-
oral imaging
Optical Imaging
High volume / Low value applications
X-ray Imaging
Low volume / High value applications
$1
$100
$1000
1,000 units 10,000 units 100,000 units
51
52
53
54
55
56
57

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Data center technology trends and sensor market analysis

  • 1. © 2015 YOLE reports abstract for EPIC ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
  • 2. 2 TABLE OF CONTENT • Introduction toYole (Page 3) • Sensors for Drones and robots (page 8) • Gas sensor market and technology trends (Page13) • Technology challenges for data center: the photonic case (page 18) • Infrared detector market (page 27) • LED modules technology and market trends (page 32) • OLED for lighting (page 40) • Medical imaging (page 45) • Microbolometers (page 52) ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
  • 3. 3©2015 | www.yole.fr | About Yole Développement MEMS & Sensors LED Compound Semi. Imaging Photonics MedTech Manufacturing Advanced Packaging PV Power Electronics FIELDS OF EXPERTISE Yole Développement’s 30 analysts operate in the following areas
  • 4. 4 A GROUP OF COMPANIES Market, technology and strategy consulting www.yole.fr M&A operations Due diligences www.yolefinance.com Fundraising Maturation of companies IP portfolio management & optimization www.bmorpho.com Manufacturing costs analysis Teardown and reverse engineering Cost simulation tools www.systemplus.fr IP analysis Patent assessment www.knowmade.fr
  • 5. 5 OUR GLOBAL ACTIVITY Yole Japan Yole Inc. Yole Korea 40% of our business is in EU countries 30% of our business is in North America 30% of our business is in Asia Blue Morpho
  • 6. 6 SERVINGTHE ENTIRE SUPPLY CHAIN Our analysts provide market analysis, technology evaluation, and business plan along the entire supply chain Integrators and end-users Device makers Suppliers: material, equipment, OSAT, foundries… Financial investors, R&D centers
  • 7. 7 SERVING MULTIPLE INDUSTRIAL FIELDS We are working accross multiples industries to understand the impact of More-than- Moore technologies from device to system From A to Z… Transportation makers Mobile phone and consumer electronics Automotive Medical systems Industrial and defense Energy
  • 8. February © 2016 From Technologies to Market Sensors for Drones & Robots 2016 report
  • 9. 9 MEMS & SENSORS : BEYONDTHE HUMAN SENSES… Mems & sensors are enabling the robotic revolution ©2016 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots SmellSound Taste Vision microphones IR sensors Pressure Gas & Odor sensors Pressure sensors CMOS Image Sensors Humidity & Temperature sensors Position Inertial devices & e-Compass Touch Force & Haptic sensors Communication Oscillators, tuners & filters & switches Speech Microspeakers micromirrors Vision Focus Digital autofocus & Micro-optics Yole Développement © February 2016 Robot by Eset Electrode sensors Electrical
  • 10. 10 CONVERGENCES LEADINGTO THE ROBOTIC REVOLUTION 3 Industries converging for the robotic revolution ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots Smartphone • Computing & Sensor platform • Huge annual volume (>1Bu) • Quick innovation cycle (<1Y) Why now? • Smartphones helped develop advanced microelectronic technologies at low cost • Internet is providing communication / cloud computing infrastructure coupled with high demand for connected devices • Autonomous vehicles R&D allow for high priced technology testbeds fueled by car brand search for differentiation Connectivity
  • 11. 11 DRONES & ROBOTS MARKET LANDSCAPE Rise in diversity of drones & robots applications ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots Within 5 years • Defense and Industry will no more standout as the only robotic markets • 10 new drones & robots applications will cross the $1B threshold [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL][PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] [PLAGECELL] 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 100,000,000 0.0001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 AverageSellingPrice($) Volume Shipment (M units) 2021 – Drones & Robots market landscape by application Yole Développement © February 2016 $10B $1B $100M
  • 12. 12 Impleme ntation 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015e 2016e 2017e 2018e 2019e 2020e 2021e CAGR 2015- 2021 Environment 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 28% Microwave 8 8 8 9 10 10 11 12 12 13 15 16 8% Touch 0 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 9% Position 26 32 34 38 47 52 57 63 69 76 85 95 11% Optical 157 173 189 207 229 256 286 318 357 404 459 526 13% Acoustic 16 19 20 24 28 33 38 44 50 57 64 73 14% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Revenue($M) 2010-2021 Sensors for Drones & Robots revenue forecast (in $M) by sensor type SENSORS FOR DRONES & ROBOTS REVENUE FORECAST 2010-2021 by sensor type (in $M) 74% of revenues will be captured by optical sensors ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Sensors for Drones & Robots The growth in revenue of +12.4% CAGR will be essentially captured by optical sensors Position and acoustic sensors have also a significant market share of sensors for drones and robots market Yole Développement © February2016
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  • 14. 14 GAS SENSORS MARKET FORECAST Gas sensors market will grow from $540M in 2014 to $765M in 2020 • 6% CAGR in value with consumer / environme nt having the highest growth
  • 15. 15 CHEMICAL GAS SENSORS/ LIFETIMEVS.APPLICATIONS MOSFET is the technology with most applications Growing importance of MOS for consumer & transport IR still predominant in HVAC & industry PID, Chromatography MOS Lifetime2 years 5 years 10 years ConsumerHVACTransportMedical Defense& IndustryEnvironment IR IRElectro chemical Printed Electro chemical Holographic Catalytic Resonant Printed Electro chemical ChemFET Photo acoustic Volume
  • 16. 16 GAS SENSORS PLAYERS EXAMPLES Strong competition with few players > $50M sales at sensor level New comers from the IC are entering the game (e.g. NXP) MOS Lifetime2 years 5 years 10 years ConsumerHVACTransportMedical Defense& IndustryEnvironment IR IRElectro chemical Printed Electro chemical Catalytic Resonant PID, Chromatography Printed Electro chemical ChemFET Holographic Photo acoustic Volume
  • 17. 17 WHY GOING MEMS OR PRINTED? Gas sensors are undergoing manufacturing shifts MEMS & printing allow smaller & cheaper dies MOS gas sensor: • Sensing principle: Gas absorption at the surface of heated oxide (200-250°C) that result in change of electrical resistance related to sample gas concentration • Manufacturing technology: semiconductor process (CMOS) MEMS MOS gas sensor: • Sensing principle: same than left • Manufacturing technology: use of Si micromachining (MEMS) to create a cavity below the sensor • Advantage compared to MOS (left): 50% size reduction and cost reduction Electrochemical gas sensor: • Sensing principle: Electrochemical reaction between sensing & counter electrodes creates a current proportional to target gas concentration • Manufacturing technology: semiconductor process Printed Electrochemical gas sensor: • Sensing principle: same than left • Manufacturing technology: use printing electronics processes (e.g. screen printing) • Advantage compared to electrochemical sensor (left): low cost (<$1) achievable
  • 18. From Technologies to Market Report From Technologies to Market © 2015 New technologies & architectures for efficient Data Centers
  • 19. 19 MAIN 4 CHARACTERISTICS ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report • High concentration of heat • All the concentrated electronics generate huge amount of heat in a closed space • Large cooling systems have to be installed • Huge amounts of data • Increasing need for bandwidth • Interconnexions between servers are done thanks to being at the same physical site • Data Centers need to be close to big urban areas • Very high electricity consumption • A proximity of a point access to very high electrical power is required • Multi-sourcing is obligatory for safety reasons • Strong trends towards the use of renewable electricity sources (hydro, PV, wind…) • Ways to reduce the consumption are actively researched • Requirements on extremely high (24/7) data availability and security • Solutions implemented to ensure “ALWAYS-ON state” - uninterrupted power supply, redundancy - System resilient to failure and enabling rapid recovery after failure • System protected against human and natural detrimental influence
  • 20. 20 DATA CENTER CHALLENGES The main priority for Data Center owners is always reliability and life-time of components!! ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report Urban area Power plant1 Power plant2 Power line 1 Power line 2 (back- up) Urban area Data line 2 Data line 1 Proximity to customer Proximity to electricity source • Network of high information density optics fiber cables • Low land cost and lower labor cost than in urban areas • Possibility to grow thanks to the available space • Possibility to use multiple renewable energy source thanks to available space and no conflict with habitations • Improved power quality due to the combination of multiple electricity sources. Renewables Fuel-fired power plants Use of “green” electricity Data storage and access security Enhanced cooling solutions Increased system packing density (W/m2) Key trends in development of Data centers Yole Développement
  • 21. 21 SUPPLY CHAIN ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report Equipment Architecture Data Center owners Server UPS/Power equipment Cooling system Photonics Containers Social network & eBusiness providers
  • 22. 22 DATA CENTRES CHALLENGES The 3 big data centre challenges: distance, bandwidth & energy! • To face the increasing demand in bandwidth, data centers face huge challenges: • Distance: • Distance is expanding (sometimes beyond 1 km for multimode optical fiber). Some light sources (e.g.VCSELs are limited) • Bandwidth: • Bandwidth is increasing: from 25Gb/s to 100Gb/s to 400Gb/s • Power consumption: • Energy consumption: data Center requires ~25MW of Power and in 2013, data centres consumed more than 5% of US electricity. So low power consumption solutions are required. • Interconnects account for a major part of power consumption. • Cooling will become significant and any new interconnect solution must take less power. • One Google Search is about 1kJ. Optical interconnects is the solution to cope with current data centers challenges.
  • 23. 23 DATA CENTRE NETWORKING Where optics is cool! Just a few examples of photonic solutions that will reduce power. ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report Router ASIC with integrated optics (Compass-EOS) OOO routers (Calient) AOC (Finisar) Active Optic interconnect (TE Connectivity) Hybrid optical/electrical switching (UCSD) Si photonics and closer integration (Luxtera)
  • 24. 24 PHOTONICS IN DATA CENTRES Silicon Photonics is the next big thing! • Silicon photonics involves the use of silicon semiconductors as the medium for optical signals, allowing much faster digital signaling than is currently possible with traditional electron-based semiconductor devices. • Si photonics offers the advantages of a silicon technology: low cost, higher integration, more functionalities embedded, higher interconnect density. It gives 3 main advantages: • Low power consumption – in particularly compared to copper-based solutions which is expensive with high electrical consumption. • Reliability – important for data centres where rack servers life time is 2 years and often replaced. • Last but not least, it is Si technology, with benefits of functions integration, low manufacturing cost and high density. • Back in 2006,VOA have been the first Si photonics products on the market • Today still few Si photonics products are on the market : VOA, AOC and Transceivers from Luxtera, Kotura/Mellanox, Cisco/Lightwire. • Over the near term, Si photonics chips will be deployed in high-speed signal transmission systems, which far exceed the capabilities of copper cabling: Data Centers and High Performance Computing (HPC). • As Si photonics evolves and chips become more sophisticated, we expect to see the technology used more in processing tasks such as interconnecting multiple cores within processor chips to boost access to shared cache and busses. Silicon photonics is the short term answer to data centre issue: POWER! ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report
  • 25. 25 WHAT IS SI PHOTONICS Silicon photonics is … • A disruptive technology: new breed of monolithic opto-electronic devices in a potential low cost Si process. • The vision: to deliver optical connectivity everywhere, from the network level … to chip-to-chip. Today, except for the light source, many optical functions can be embedded at the SOI wafer level. Source Luxtera
  • 26. 26 INTRINSIC SI PHOTONICS ADVANTAGES Si photonics mixes CMOS & optics advantages Power target for photonics is 1 fJ/bit! ©2015 | www.yole.fr | Name of the report Low Power Consumption Low environmental footprint Low operating costs Reduced heat dissipation Low manufacturing cost Higher density of interconnects Higher optical functions integration Silicon technology • But no complete integration (laser) • Packaging issues Reliability Low error rate Spectral efficiency • Telecom standard • Operation speed vs. InP • Polarization dependency SiPh • Still high for high perf modules • Impact on reliability
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  • 32. From Technologies to Market LED Lighting Module Technologies
  • 33. 33 • From LED chip to LED lighting system, several steps of value drive the lighting industry. LED modules represent a bridge between the packaged LED offer and the luminaire shaped product. • A significantly integrated LED package reduces the level of know-how necessary for lighting manufacturers, thereby enabling conventional lighting system manufacturers to have easier access to the technology. • Basically, we can consider an LED module as a unit containing one or more LEDs with mechanical and optical components. • It may contain additional components (e.g., connectors,resistors,ESD protection devices, lenses…). • Generally, LED module is considered a replaceable item for use in a luminaire. • An LED module represents a component/sub-system optimized for a given application scope. LED Module in the Global LEDValue Chain EXECUTIVE SUMMARY LED MODULES LED Die/Chip Packaged LED Light/LED Module Light Source (Module + Driver) Luminaire Light System/ Solution Philips Lighting Lumileds
  • 34. 34 Middle Power LED Module: • The middle power LED is a solution offering low power consumption and high flux. High Power LED Module: • The high power LED is a solution offering small lighting emitting surface and high flux. COB LED Module: • The COB module architecture is a solution offering good compromise between size of the light emitting surface, flux power and power consumption. The choice of the right LED module solution depends on requirements at application level, cost level (…). The Different Types of LED Modules - Positioning EXECUTIVE SUMMARY High flux Low consumption Small light emitting surface LOW POWER LED / MODULE LOW POWER LED / MODULE COB MODULE
  • 35. 35 LED module can be considered equivalent to lamp! LED Modules and Performances EXECUTIVE SUMMARY LED LIGHTING SYSTEMS LED MODULES LED SUPPLY CHAIN LED modules significantly contribute to the system performances, quality and safety. LED modules become a target for performances and quality (i.e., technical specifications) regarding LED production / manufacturing.
  • 36. 36 In 2014, the LED lighting module market represented a size of ~$2B. It should grow to a size of ~$9.5B by 2020. LED Lighting Module Market Trends EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • 37. 37 In 2014, the flexible LED strip market represented a size of ~$360M. It should grow to a size of ~$900M by 2020. LED Lighting Module Market Trends - The Case of Flexible LED Strips EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
  • 38. 38 LED module allow to bridge the SSL chasm and accelerate penetration of LED technology in lighting applications. The SSL Chasm EXECUTIVE SUMMARY New technologies, business models and industries are developed to enable Solid State Lighting (SSL) → VerƟcal / Horizontal integraƟon and consolidaƟon facilitate and speed up the process! New technologies, business models and industries are developed to enable Solid State Lighting (SSL) → VerƟcal / Horizontal integraƟon and consolidaƟon facilitate and speed up the process! What LED Manufacturers Produce • Packaged Emitters • Components • Less than 200 lm • Technology Focused • Proprietary Standards • Short Product Life Cycles • Long Product Lifetime What Lighting Manufacturers Use • Bulbs and Luminaires • Lighting Systems • More than 500 lm • Industry Standards • Long Product Life Cycle • Vast Bulb Replacement Market The “SSL Chasm” Thermal Management Drivers Metrology Encapsulation Phosphors Micro Optics Light Engines Color Management (…)
  • 39. 39 Most of the LED module manufacturers are coming from the packaged LED field. LED Lighting Module IndustryTrends - Origin of Players EXECUTIVE SUMMARY • Many players can manufacture LED modules as such activity is relying mostly on assembly expertise. • Main players involved in the LED module manufacturing are: • Packaged LED manufacturers. • LED luminaire manufacturers. • LED driver manufacturers. • LED optic manufacturers. • LED connector manufacturers. • LED heatsink manufacturers. • Other manufacturers (PCB…). • Main analyzing more deeply the origin of LED manufacturers, it seems that a majority of LED module manufacturers are coming from the packaged LED industry. Packaged LED manufacturers LED luminaire manufacturers LED driver manufacturers LED optic manufacturers LED connector manufacturers LED heatsink manufacturers Other manufacturers (PCB…) LED MODULE MANUAFCTURING LED Module Ecosystem The analysis is based on the identification of main players involved in LED module manufacturing and sale (sample of more than 40 LED lighting module manufacturers) Analysis of origin of LED module manufacturers
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  • 45. Overview of the technical & economic requirements for Medical Imaging applications October 2014 Solid State Medical Imaging: X-Ray and Endoscopy The Medical Image Sensors market is expected to double over the next five years. M&A are increasing. Discover how Medical Imaging is being reshaped! Le Quartz - 75 cours Emile Zola - 69100 LYON-Villeurbanne Tel: +33 472 83 01 80 - Fax: +33 472 83 01 83 Web: www.yole.fr
  • 46. © 2014 • 46 Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved. Scope of the Report Executive Summary • Endoscopy Sweet Spot: The endoscopy application is fruitful in terms of innovative product development. These evolutions drive medical image sensor requirements. • X-Ray Imaging Sweet Spot: This application, more mature, represents the largest in terms of value and annual growth. Endoscopy SweetSpot Endoscopy SweetSpot Camera PillsCamera Pills Disposable EndoscopesDisposable Endoscopes Flexible Endoscopes Flexible Endoscopes Rigid EndoscopesRigid Endoscopes X-RayImaging SweetSpot X-RayImaging SweetSpot X-Ray imagers for intra-oral imaging X-Ray imagers for intra-oral imaging X-Ray imagers for 2D extra- oral imaging X-Ray imagers for 2D extra- oral imaging X-ray 3D CBCT extra-oral imaging X-ray 3D CBCT extra-oral imaging X-Ray imagers for 3D & large area imaging X-Ray imagers for 3D & large area imaging
  • 47. © 2014 • 47 Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved. Medical Image Sensors Market Segmentation Executive Summary • This report will focus exclusively on direct Imaging applications. • Microscopy is excluded from that report because is hardly ever used in vivo, primarily it is used in vitro. • Indirect imaging applications will not be developed in this report as their evolution rather relies on software processing optimization. Direct Imaging / Hardware Dependant Indirect Imaging / Software Dependant Microscopy Endoscopy X-Ray based methods MRI Ultrasound Imaging Nuclear Medicine Standalone Disposable Camera pills Disposable endoscopes Re-usable Flexible endoscopes Rigid endoscopes X-Ray imagers for intra-oral imaging X-Ray imagers for 3D & large area imaging Doppler ultrasound Integrated into a large system Microscopes X-Ray imagers for 2D extra- oral imaging CT MRI syste m PET Scan Application Optical Imaging X-ray Imaging
  • 48. © 2014 • 48 Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved. Image Sensor Technologies by Market Executive Summary The table below links applicative markets and Medical Image Sensor (MIS) technologies: CCD MIS CMOS MIS A-Si MIS Camera pills market X X Disposable endoscopes market X Flexible endoscopes market X X Rigid endoscopes market X X intra-oral imaging market X X-ray 3D CBCT extra-oral imaging X X X 2D extra-oral market X 3D & large area market X X X Endoscopy Application X-RayImaging Application
  • 49. © 2014 • 49 Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved. Global Medical Image Sensors Market (in M$) For Endoscopy and X-Ray Imaging Executive Summary The global Medical Image Sensor market will grow from $79M in 2014 to $142M in 2019. 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 X-Ray IS Market in $M 72.7 78.7 85.6 93.7 103.1 115.9 131.0 Endoscopy IS Market in $M 5.9 6.5 7.3 8.1 8.8 9.7 10.8 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 MedicalISMarketin$M Medical IS Market in $M CAGR2014-2019 11% 11% CAGR2014-2019=11%
  • 50. © 2014 • 50 Medical Imaging September 2014 Copyrights © Yole Développement SA. All rights reserved. Image Sensors Positioning Price/Volume Mapping Executive Summary Image sensor price (In $) Image sensor Volume (in units/year) X-Ray imagers for large area and 3D extra oral imaging X-Ray imagers for large area and 3D extra oral imaging X-Ray imagers for intra-oral imaging X-Ray imagers for intra-oral imaging Camera PillCamera Pill Flexible Endoscope Flexible Endoscope Disposable Endoscopes Disposable Endoscopes Rigid Endoscope Rigid Endoscope X-Ray imagers for 2D extra- oral imaging X-Ray imagers for 2D extra- oral imaging Optical Imaging High volume / Low value applications X-ray Imaging Low volume / High value applications $1 $100 $1000 1,000 units 10,000 units 100,000 units
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