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BREA



           Economic Impact
         of the Cruise Industry
  in the Canada/New England Market
                     Presented by

              Andrew J. Moody, Ph.D.

       Canada/New England Cruise Symposium
                 Saint John, NB

                   June 9, 2010
Canada/New England Market
β€’ Over the past decade the bed       Cruise Capacity in the Canada/New England Market
   day capacity in the CNE market
                                        2,500,000                                                    3.00%
   has trended up.
                                                                                        1,911,135
                                        2,000,000
β€’ The CNE share of global                                               1,488,585
                                                                                                     2.50%


   capacity has been fairly stable      1,500,000                                         2.08%
                                                         1,107,689        1.93%
   between 1.5 and 2%.                                                                               2.00%
                                        1,000,000


β€’ Its growth has come in spurts          500,000
                                                                                                     1.50%
                                                    1.19%
   with increases in excess of
   30% in 2000, 2004 and 2007.                 -                                                     1.00%
                                                    1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008
                                               Global Share (Right()           Bedday Capacity (Left)
β€’ It appears that capacity will
                                                    Source: Cruise Lines International Association
   exceed 2,000,000 bed days in
   2010.


    BREA                                                                                       Slide 2
     www.breanet.com
Background
β€’ Economic Impact Studies in Canada and the U.S.
   – Canada (2007): Northwest Cruiseship Assn and Particpating
     ports.
   – U.S. (2008): Cruise Lines International Assn.

β€’ Data Sources
   – Survey of association member cruise lines
       β€’ Operations: capacity, passengers, cruise days
       β€’ Revenues: cruise fares, on-board revenues
       β€’ Expenses by category, vendor and location
   – Survey of cruise ports: cruise ship calls and passenger flows
   – Passenger spending surveys: BREA and third-party surveys
   BREA                                                         Slide 3
   www.breanet.com
Sources of Direct Spending
                            United States   Europe   Canada       Caribbean         Total



Passenger & Crew Spending                                                       
   Capital Expenditures                                                         
  Cruise Line Operations
                                                                            
  Cruise Line Employees                                                          




  :       Greater than 40%       : Between 25% and 40%   : Between 10% and 25%
       : Less then 10%


      BREA                                                                      Slide 4
       www.breanet.com
Industry Impact of Direct Spending
                                             Transportation            Financial & Business
                             Manufacturing                    Trade
                                             & Distribution                  Services


Passenger & Crew Spending                                                   


   Capital Expenditures
                                                                           
  Cruise Line Operations
                                                                           
  Cruise Line Employees                                                     


                          : greatest impact   ……….. : least impact

    Manufacturing & Services: High Wages/High Productivity
    Distribution & Trade: Low Wages/Low Productivity
      BREA                                                                           Slide 5
       www.breanet.com
Cruise Industry Spending: Canada - 2007
β€’ Throughout Canada the cruise industry generated a total of $1.1 billion in
    direct spending or $571 per passenger visit.
     –     On average cruise lines accounted for 60% of the expenditures and passenger and crew
           40%.
     –     The higher the share of embarkations in a market the higher the percentage for cruise
           lines’ expenditures.
β€’ Per passenger spending is higher in embarkation markets due to overnight
    stays.
β€’   Crew spending on a per passenger basis is fairly similar across markets.

                                             Spend per    British    Spend per             Spend per   Atlantic   Spend per
                   Segments       Canada                                         Quebec
                                                Pax      Columbia       Pax                   Pax      Canada        Pax

              Passenger Visits   1,955,937               1,415,631               110,136               409,514
              Cruise Lines          $666       $341         $381       $269        $51       $463        $30        $73
              Passengers            $420       $215         $362       $256        $24       $218        $24        $59
              Crew                   $30        $15          $22        $16         $3        $27         $6        $15
              Total (C$ Mil)       $1,116      $571         $765       $540        $78       $708        $60       $147
              Total Jobs           16,645                  11,816                 1,104                  872       2,129




     BREA                                                                                                                     Slide 6
         www.breanet.com
Passenger Onshore Spending: Canada - 2007
β€’ Lodging expenditures generally account for 40 to 50% of passenger
  expenditures at embarkation ports.
β€’ Per passenger spending at the major transit ports average between
  $56 and $66.
   – Tours and local transit account for about 40% of passenger expenditures and
     retail just under 50%.
   – Average spending was slightly lower among the other (smaller) ports.


                                                                                     Other
                                    Montreal   Quebec    Halifax   Saint John Sydney
                                                                                      Ports
         Passenger Visits            28,540     63,443   167,905   126,992    40,710 67,963
         Lodging                     $66.57     $14.19
         Tours and Local Transit     $35.04     $33.10   $26.21     $24.41   $27.02    $25.01
         Food and Beverages          $31.53     $12.61    $8.34      $6.30    $4.91     $2.94
         Other Retail                $24.53     $61.47   $31.57     $25.99   $29.48    $20.60
         Total                      $157.67    $121.37   $66.11     $56.70   $61.41    $48.56
         Total Pax Spend (C$ Mil)     $4.50      $7.70   $11.10      $7.20    $2.50     $3.30


    BREA                                                                                        Slide 7
    www.breanet.com
Cruise Industry Spending: U.S. - 2008
β€’ The principal CNE ports in the U.S. are New York, Boston, Portland and Bar
    Harbor.
β€’   Throughout the U.S. the cruise industry generated a total of $19.1 billion in
    direct spending or $1,322 per passenger visit.
     –     On average cruise lines accounted for about 70% of the expenditures and passenger and
           crew 30%.
     –     The higher importance of cruise line spending in the U.S. is the result of a higher proportion
           of passenger sourcing in the U.S., higher percentage of embarkations and administrative
           spending.
β€’ Cruise line spending is higher in Massachusetts primarily due to spending
    for business and professional services.
β€’   New York leads on passenger and crew spending due to higher percentage
    of embarkations.
                                    United     Spend per              Spend per             Spend per             Spend per
                    Segments                               New York                Mass.                Maine
                                    States        Pax                    Pax                   Pax                   Pax
               Passenger Visits   14,425,000               533,800                172,000               190,800
               Cruise Lines        $13,126       $910        $983      $1,842      $398      $2,314        $2        $10
               Passengers           $4,140       $287        $149       $279        $32       $186        $22       $115
               Crew                  $255         $18         $9         $17         $3        $17         $5        $26
               Total (US$ Mil)     $19,070      $1,322      $1,141     $2,138      $433      $2,517       $29       $152


     BREA
               Total Jobs          357,710                  13,512                 6,388                  500



         www.breanet.com                                                                                                      Slide 8
Passenger Onshore Spending: U.S. - 2008
β€’ Lodging expenditures generally account for 40 to 50% of passenger
  expenditures at embarkation ports.
β€’ Per passenger spending at the major transit ports average between
  $56 and $66.
   – Tours and local transit account for about 40% of passenger expenditures and
     retail just under 50%.
   – Average spending was slightly lower among the other (smaller) ports.



                                                  New York    Mass.    Maine

                      Passenger Visits            533,800    172,000   190,800
                      Lodging                     $104.33     $14.85
                      Tours and Transportation*    $19.02     $14.60   $19.83
                      Food and Beverages           $23.00     $20.21   $20.57
                      Other Retail                 $28.45     $42.88   $58.25
                      Total                       $174.80     $92.54   $98.65
                      Total Pax Spend (US$ Mil)    $93.31     $15.92   $18.82


    BREA                                                                         Slide 9
    www.breanet.com
Estimated Impacts: CNE Market - 2009
β€’ Embarking cruise passengers spend an average of $174.18.
    –     Those passengers who have a pre- and/or post-cruise overnight stay spend an average of
          $448.73 during their average 2-night stay.
    –     Those passengers who arrive on the day of the cruise spend an average of $4.23 primarily on
          taxis and parking.

β€’ As noted previously, 42% of embarking passengers stay in NYC for an
   overnight stay either prior to or after their cruise.
    –     These passengers spend an average of just over $245 per passenger for lodging and another
          $72 for food and beverages




                                                               CNE Total

                              Individual Passenger Visits      1,629,415

                              Total Spend (C$ Mil)               $1,740

                              Total Spend (US$ Mil)              $1,582

                              Total Jobs                        22,400


    BREA                                                                                  Slide 10
        www.breanet.com
Micro Impacts: 2,500 Pax Transit Call
β€’ At the Port: 7 – 10 jobs
    –     Pilot, Ship Agent, Stevedores, Customs Agent

β€’ Passenger Spending Impacts: 95 – 111 jobs
    –     2,400 onshore visits: 1,500 tours; 1,500 shoppers; and 750 restaurant visits
    –     25 - 30 tour buses with driver and guide: 50 - 60 jobs
    –     50 - 75 taxi journeys/rental cars: 5 – 6 jobs
    –     1,500 retail visits: 25 – 30 store employees
    –     750 restaurant visits: 10 – 15 employees

β€’ Crew Spending Impacts: 12 – 15 jobs
    –     350 crew onshore visits: 250 shopper and 175 restaurant visits
    –     50 - 75 taxi journeys: 5 - 6 jobs
    –     250 retail visits: 5 - 6 store employees
    –     175 restaurant visits: 2 - 3 employees

β€’ Total Daily Employment Impact: 114 – 136 jobs per ship call

    BREA                                                                                 Slide 11
        www.breanet.com

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Canada New England Cruise Symposium Cruise And The Community Andy Moody

  • 1. BREA Economic Impact of the Cruise Industry in the Canada/New England Market Presented by Andrew J. Moody, Ph.D. Canada/New England Cruise Symposium Saint John, NB June 9, 2010
  • 2. Canada/New England Market β€’ Over the past decade the bed Cruise Capacity in the Canada/New England Market day capacity in the CNE market 2,500,000 3.00% has trended up. 1,911,135 2,000,000 β€’ The CNE share of global 1,488,585 2.50% capacity has been fairly stable 1,500,000 2.08% 1,107,689 1.93% between 1.5 and 2%. 2.00% 1,000,000 β€’ Its growth has come in spurts 500,000 1.50% 1.19% with increases in excess of 30% in 2000, 2004 and 2007. - 1.00% 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Global Share (Right() Bedday Capacity (Left) β€’ It appears that capacity will Source: Cruise Lines International Association exceed 2,000,000 bed days in 2010. BREA Slide 2 www.breanet.com
  • 3. Background β€’ Economic Impact Studies in Canada and the U.S. – Canada (2007): Northwest Cruiseship Assn and Particpating ports. – U.S. (2008): Cruise Lines International Assn. β€’ Data Sources – Survey of association member cruise lines β€’ Operations: capacity, passengers, cruise days β€’ Revenues: cruise fares, on-board revenues β€’ Expenses by category, vendor and location – Survey of cruise ports: cruise ship calls and passenger flows – Passenger spending surveys: BREA and third-party surveys BREA Slide 3 www.breanet.com
  • 4. Sources of Direct Spending United States Europe Canada Caribbean Total Passenger & Crew Spending      Capital Expenditures      Cruise Line Operations      Cruise Line Employees      : Greater than 40% : Between 25% and 40% : Between 10% and 25% : Less then 10% BREA Slide 4 www.breanet.com
  • 5. Industry Impact of Direct Spending Transportation Financial & Business Manufacturing Trade & Distribution Services Passenger & Crew Spending     Capital Expenditures     Cruise Line Operations     Cruise Line Employees     : greatest impact ……….. : least impact Manufacturing & Services: High Wages/High Productivity Distribution & Trade: Low Wages/Low Productivity BREA Slide 5 www.breanet.com
  • 6. Cruise Industry Spending: Canada - 2007 β€’ Throughout Canada the cruise industry generated a total of $1.1 billion in direct spending or $571 per passenger visit. – On average cruise lines accounted for 60% of the expenditures and passenger and crew 40%. – The higher the share of embarkations in a market the higher the percentage for cruise lines’ expenditures. β€’ Per passenger spending is higher in embarkation markets due to overnight stays. β€’ Crew spending on a per passenger basis is fairly similar across markets. Spend per British Spend per Spend per Atlantic Spend per Segments Canada Quebec Pax Columbia Pax Pax Canada Pax Passenger Visits 1,955,937 1,415,631 110,136 409,514 Cruise Lines $666 $341 $381 $269 $51 $463 $30 $73 Passengers $420 $215 $362 $256 $24 $218 $24 $59 Crew $30 $15 $22 $16 $3 $27 $6 $15 Total (C$ Mil) $1,116 $571 $765 $540 $78 $708 $60 $147 Total Jobs 16,645 11,816 1,104 872 2,129 BREA Slide 6 www.breanet.com
  • 7. Passenger Onshore Spending: Canada - 2007 β€’ Lodging expenditures generally account for 40 to 50% of passenger expenditures at embarkation ports. β€’ Per passenger spending at the major transit ports average between $56 and $66. – Tours and local transit account for about 40% of passenger expenditures and retail just under 50%. – Average spending was slightly lower among the other (smaller) ports. Other Montreal Quebec Halifax Saint John Sydney Ports Passenger Visits 28,540 63,443 167,905 126,992 40,710 67,963 Lodging $66.57 $14.19 Tours and Local Transit $35.04 $33.10 $26.21 $24.41 $27.02 $25.01 Food and Beverages $31.53 $12.61 $8.34 $6.30 $4.91 $2.94 Other Retail $24.53 $61.47 $31.57 $25.99 $29.48 $20.60 Total $157.67 $121.37 $66.11 $56.70 $61.41 $48.56 Total Pax Spend (C$ Mil) $4.50 $7.70 $11.10 $7.20 $2.50 $3.30 BREA Slide 7 www.breanet.com
  • 8. Cruise Industry Spending: U.S. - 2008 β€’ The principal CNE ports in the U.S. are New York, Boston, Portland and Bar Harbor. β€’ Throughout the U.S. the cruise industry generated a total of $19.1 billion in direct spending or $1,322 per passenger visit. – On average cruise lines accounted for about 70% of the expenditures and passenger and crew 30%. – The higher importance of cruise line spending in the U.S. is the result of a higher proportion of passenger sourcing in the U.S., higher percentage of embarkations and administrative spending. β€’ Cruise line spending is higher in Massachusetts primarily due to spending for business and professional services. β€’ New York leads on passenger and crew spending due to higher percentage of embarkations. United Spend per Spend per Spend per Spend per Segments New York Mass. Maine States Pax Pax Pax Pax Passenger Visits 14,425,000 533,800 172,000 190,800 Cruise Lines $13,126 $910 $983 $1,842 $398 $2,314 $2 $10 Passengers $4,140 $287 $149 $279 $32 $186 $22 $115 Crew $255 $18 $9 $17 $3 $17 $5 $26 Total (US$ Mil) $19,070 $1,322 $1,141 $2,138 $433 $2,517 $29 $152 BREA Total Jobs 357,710 13,512 6,388 500 www.breanet.com Slide 8
  • 9. Passenger Onshore Spending: U.S. - 2008 β€’ Lodging expenditures generally account for 40 to 50% of passenger expenditures at embarkation ports. β€’ Per passenger spending at the major transit ports average between $56 and $66. – Tours and local transit account for about 40% of passenger expenditures and retail just under 50%. – Average spending was slightly lower among the other (smaller) ports. New York Mass. Maine Passenger Visits 533,800 172,000 190,800 Lodging $104.33 $14.85 Tours and Transportation* $19.02 $14.60 $19.83 Food and Beverages $23.00 $20.21 $20.57 Other Retail $28.45 $42.88 $58.25 Total $174.80 $92.54 $98.65 Total Pax Spend (US$ Mil) $93.31 $15.92 $18.82 BREA Slide 9 www.breanet.com
  • 10. Estimated Impacts: CNE Market - 2009 β€’ Embarking cruise passengers spend an average of $174.18. – Those passengers who have a pre- and/or post-cruise overnight stay spend an average of $448.73 during their average 2-night stay. – Those passengers who arrive on the day of the cruise spend an average of $4.23 primarily on taxis and parking. β€’ As noted previously, 42% of embarking passengers stay in NYC for an overnight stay either prior to or after their cruise. – These passengers spend an average of just over $245 per passenger for lodging and another $72 for food and beverages CNE Total Individual Passenger Visits 1,629,415 Total Spend (C$ Mil) $1,740 Total Spend (US$ Mil) $1,582 Total Jobs 22,400 BREA Slide 10 www.breanet.com
  • 11. Micro Impacts: 2,500 Pax Transit Call β€’ At the Port: 7 – 10 jobs – Pilot, Ship Agent, Stevedores, Customs Agent β€’ Passenger Spending Impacts: 95 – 111 jobs – 2,400 onshore visits: 1,500 tours; 1,500 shoppers; and 750 restaurant visits – 25 - 30 tour buses with driver and guide: 50 - 60 jobs – 50 - 75 taxi journeys/rental cars: 5 – 6 jobs – 1,500 retail visits: 25 – 30 store employees – 750 restaurant visits: 10 – 15 employees β€’ Crew Spending Impacts: 12 – 15 jobs – 350 crew onshore visits: 250 shopper and 175 restaurant visits – 50 - 75 taxi journeys: 5 - 6 jobs – 250 retail visits: 5 - 6 store employees – 175 restaurant visits: 2 - 3 employees β€’ Total Daily Employment Impact: 114 – 136 jobs per ship call BREA Slide 11 www.breanet.com