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The SHL Talent Report 
Big Data Insight and Analysis of the Global Workforce 
Eugene Burke and Ray Glennon
Table of contents 
shl.com | 3 
Foreword from Corporate Executive Board (CEB) 4 
Introduction 5 
Chapter 1: The global availability of current 
and future leaders 7 
Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation 19 
Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk 31 
Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 41 
Chapter 5: The global race for skills 53 
Conclusion 65 
Endnotes 68 
Appendix 70 
About the authors 71
Foreword from CEB 
Since the early 1990s, the performance of major enterprises around the world has been 
fueled largely by steady gains in labor efficiency and productivity. Maintaining, and extending, 
those gains will be a significant challenge in the face of an increasingly complex work 
environment – characterized by unpredictable global economic forces, ubiquitous information, 
and rapid technological changes. It is no surprise that talent management has been elevated 
to the top of the strategic agenda for corporate boards and executive teams worldwide. 
Numerous studies have shown that well led firms – those who are able to attract, retain, 
develop and engage the best talent – are more likely to hit their business objectives and 
grow. How do you know if your organization is well led? Is your organization’s talent ready to 
perform in the new work environment? Are your talent development programs focused on 
the right objectives? 
The SHL Talent Report for 2012 brings the best in talent analytics to bear to provide new 
insights on important talent management topics: leadership, innovation, organizational 
risk, diversity, and the distribution of critical employee skills globally. SHL has a privileged 
and unique position to help executives understand their current and emerging talent base. 
The insights in this report are generated from the work of more than 300 expert industrial 
psychologists and data from almost 4 million assessments in close to 200 countries. 
The strategic importance of talent data and intelligence was a key driver for CEB’s acquisition 
of SHL this past summer. Combined, our two organizations are able to provide unparalleled 
insight and advice on leading and managing talent in the new global economy. As the leading 
member-based advisory company, CEB equips senior leaders with insight and actionable 
solutions to transform their operations. We’ve done this for nearly 30 years by identifying 
the world’s best management practices, corporate benchmarks and data-based analytics. 
Combining SHL’s unparalleled knowledge of workforce skills, competencies and capabilities 
with CEB’s archive of more than 15,000 best practices, will help our members identify and 
act on their key talent management challenges – across their enterprises broadly, within their 
most important corporate functions (Sales, R&D, Marketing, and Finance), and in their new 
and emerging markets. 
Conrad Schmidt 
Global Research Officer, CEB 
4 | The SHL Talent Report
shl.com | 5 
Introduction 
This report is about knowing. It is about questions that organizations worldwide ask 
themselves every day. Questions such as “How do we know that our people can achieve 
what we want to achieve?” and “How do we know that our talent management programs 
will deliver?” 
Knowing requires data and insight 
Our mission at SHL is to provide that knowledge and insight through People Intelligence. 
That intelligence is delivered through reliable, scientifically valid and objective measures 
of people’s talents, ranging from their potential to be an effective leader to the specific 
skills and knowledge required for the thousands of daily transactions that make or break an 
organization. 
With the launch of the SHL Talent AnalyticsTM program this year, we have delivered a new 
macro capability in People Intelligence. Organizations can now look at their people against 
their industry and across the geographies in which they operate. This has helped leading 
organizations articulate their people issues and identify where they need to focus to address 
those issues. 
The program has also moved the talent conversation on from the cliché that people are our 
most valuable asset. Now organizations can see where the value of their people is and what 
they need to do to realize that value. SHL Talent AnalyticsTM is about actionable insight based 
on hard data about talent. 
Delivering millions of assessments globally places SHL in a unique position to share a global 
and a local view of talent. In this report, that view is shared in the context of the most 
pressing talent questions of today. 
• What does the supply of leadership potential look like by geography and by industry 
sector? 
• What are the talents that drive effective innovation and how are those talents distributed 
globally? 
• Which sectors are most at risk from the behavior of their people? 
• Is the gender imbalance in favor of men for senior positions driven by differences in 
leadership potential? 
• What are the implications of an aging workforce for the future supply of leaders and the 
dynamics of the workplace over the next decade? 
• Which geographies are best placed in the global race for skills? 
• Where can I find the talent I need? 
In the true spirit of big data, this report aims to provide you with a compass to help guide 
and improve the effectiveness of your talent programs. 
People Intelligence is the 
insight into behavior, 
ability and potential 
SHL offers to help 
organizations understand, 
benchmark and make 
better decisions about 
people.
Chapter 1 
The global availability of 
current and future leaders 
shl.com | 7
Perspectives on the supply of leaders 
for today and tomorrow 
How intelligent is your organization about identifying leaders for today and 
for tomorrow? 
Major economic shifts, swift social and political change, and accelerating technological and 
communications capabilities are driving an ever-greater demand for effective leadership. 
Which begs the question: where will top leadership talent come from to meet high demand? 
At SHL, we believe that effective leadership is about influencing people so that they share 
common goals and work more effectively towards the achievement of the organization’s 
mission1. Effective leaders know how to develop a compelling vision that is based on clear 
and critical thinking; know how to articulate and communicate goals that motivate others 
and provide direction; know how to communicate effectively and to support others through 
change; and know how to get things done and realize tangible goals and objectives. 
Finding individuals with this rounded repertoire of leadership talents is clearly a challenge, 
one recognized by both executives and the employees whom they lead. Recent surveys 
show as few as 25% of employees believe their organizations have the leaders to succeed in 
the future2 and only 33% identify their executives as being among the top leadership talent in 
their industry3. 
To help organizations understand the global landscape of leadership talent and to frame 
strategies for identifying, acquiring and developing effective leaders, we have harnessed 
SHL’s extensive data on leadership potential. We look at the supply of leadership talent from 
two perspectives: those with potential to lead today, and those who have potential through 
additional development to become the leaders of tomorrow. 
Leadership gaps and succession risk 
Whether you ask executives looking at their people from above or employees judging 
their organizations from below, both express a lack of confidence in the next generation of 
leaders4 – or in the ability of their organization to develop leadership talent5. Organizations 
acknowledge this succession risk as one of the most critical factors facing them today6. 
However, mitigating this risk requires the kind of intelligence about people’s potential that 
many organizations are missing or, if they have the data, fail to use effectively. 
8 | The SHL Talent Report 
Effective leaders 
• Articulate a compelling vision 
• Understand how to motivate others 
• Provide clear direction 
• Communicate effectively 
• Support others through change 
• Accomplish goals and objectives 
Only 1 in 4 
employees 
believe their organizations 
have the leaders to succeed 
in the future.2
Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders 
shl.com | 9 
The geography of 
leaders for today 
Leadership potential for today: People with the strongest 
potential to be effective leaders. Most likely to respond to 
leadership development and realize that investment through 
performance in a leadership role. 
Table 1: Supply of potential leaders 
for today as a % of population: 
Top 25 countries7 
China (Hong Kong) 
Germany 
United Kingdom 
Australia 
United States 
Switzerland 
Canada 
Japan 
Singapore 
New Zealand 
Sweden 
China (Taiwan) 
France 
Thailand 
Finland 
Belgium 
Spain 
Turkey 
Italy 
South Africa 
United Arab Emirates 
Mexico 
Denmark 
Brazil 
Norway 
14.0% 
13.4% 
10.3% 
10.0% 
9.9% 
9.8% 
9.5% 
9.4% 
8.9% 
8.0% 
7.4% 
7.3% 
7.1% 
7.0% 
6.7% 
6.6% 
6.3% 
6.3% 
6.1% 
5.7% 
5.7% 
5.6% 
5.4% 
5.3% 
5.2% 
Average 
Those in the leaders for today group have the strongest behavioral repertoire to be effective 
leaders. They are stronger in the more transactional, managerial and operational behaviors 
that build effective relationships with people, can drill down to the essence of a problem and 
evaluate the data to identify a solution, can organize and mobilize resources, and can adapt to 
challenges and change effectively. They are also stronger in the transformational behaviors 
that can engage and influence others to get things done (rather than doing it themselves), 
can communicate effectively to gain the support of others, can think laterally and bring 
new insights, and have the drive to see things through and achieve their personal career 
objectives. 
Analysis of the data shows that a very small number – just 6.7% or 1 in 15 managers, 
professionals or executives globally – fit this category. We have called them leaders for today 
simply because they are the people who, with the right experience, are most likely to deliver 
in a leadership position. 
Table 1 shows the Top 25 countries for this level of leadership potential. Countries in North 
America (Canada and United States), Western Europe (notably Germany, United Kingdom, 
Switzerland, Sweden, France and Finland), and Australia and New Zealand emerge as the 
global hot spots. While Asia as a region does not emerge as strongly in the supply of this 
level of leadership talent, China (Hong Kong), Japan, Singapore, China (Taiwan) and Thailand 
are emerging as top hot spots in Asia. 
Region9 
North America 
Australia- 
New Zealand 
Western Europe 
Asia 
Africa 
Middle East 
Eastern Europe 
Latin America
Region 
North America 
Australia- 
New Zealand 
Western Europe 
Asia 
Africa 
Middle East 
Eastern Europe 
Latin America 
The geography of 
leaders for tomorrow 
Leadership potential for tomorrow: People with the potential 
to become well-rounded leaders, but who have a longer personal 
journey to take in order to reach that level of effectiveness. 
10 | The SHL Talent Report 
Table 2: Supply of potential leaders 
for tomorrow as a % of population: 
Top 25 countries8 
Mexico 
Turkey 
Egypt 
Switzerland 
Brazil 
India 
Italy 
United States 
Germany 
Netherlands 
China (Taiwan) 
United Arab Emirates 
Denmark 
Sweden 
Portugal 
Russia 
Spain 
Ireland 
Indonesia 
China (Hong Kong) 
United Kingdom 
Norway 
Poland 
Canada 
China (Mainland) 
53.9% 
49.5% 
44.1% 
43.4% 
41.8% 
41.3% 
41.2% 
41.0% 
40.1% 
39.9% 
39.4% 
39.3% 
39.1% 
38.6% 
37.3% 
36.9% 
36.8% 
36.7% 
36.7% 
36.6% 
36.6% 
35.9% 
35.2% 
34.5% 
34.3% 
Average 
The next tier of potential leaders includes those who exhibit strengths in some of the 
key behaviors but lack fully-rounded potential. They may have strength in some of the 
transactional facets of leadership and can deliver programs to time, cost and quality, but lack 
strength in areas such as communication, influencing and lateral thinking. Or they may have 
strengths in these transformational areas but lack strengths in the areas that turn ideas into 
effective programs of work. 
These are the people who would benefit from additional development and we have called 
them leaders for tomorrow simply because they have a longer personal journey to become 
effective and rounded leaders. 
Organizations ignore this tier of leadership at their peril. From a supply side perspective, 1 in 
3 managers and professionals have this level of leadership potential – six times the proportion 
in the leaders for today tier of leadership potential. Realizing the potential of leaders for 
tomorrow requires targeted learning and development, which in turn requires a deep 
understanding of their strengths and challenges. 
The landscape changes quite a bit when we look at the supply of leaders for tomorrow (see 
Table 2). The availability of leadership potential for tomorrow is strongest among emerging 
economies, notably the BRICS countries: Brazil, Russia, India, and China (Taiwan) – with 
South Africa at 32.3% falling outside the Top 25. Additional strong geographies for leaders 
for tomorrow are found in the newly coined TIMS emerging economies: Turkey, Indonesia, 
Mexico, and South Korea. Latin America and the Middle East also feature strongly as hot 
spots for leaders for tomorrow (see Figure 2).
Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders 
shl.com | 11 
Leadership by region 
When we look at the global distribution of leadership potential, we see a marked difference 
between leaders for today and leaders for tomorrow. 
Figure 1: Regional view: Leadership for today 
Figure 2: Regional view: Leadership for tomorrow 
Region9 
North America 
Australia-New Zealand 
Western Europe 
Asia 
Africa 
Middle East 
Eastern Europe 
Latin America 
7 
6 
1 5 
8 
4 3 
2 
1 
2 
8 
7 
6 
5 
4 
3
Adapting leadership strategies 
to regional needs 
Viewing the supply of potential leadership talent for today and tomorrow suggests that 
organizations need to adapt their strategies to reflect different needs in different regions. 
Looking at the supply of leadership in the countries ranked in the Top 25 for today and 
tomorrow, and comparing them to the global supply, four distinct groups emerge requiring 
distinct leadership acquisition and development strategies. 
Leaders for today Leaders for tomorrow 
1. Strongest potential overall. In the first group, the supply of leadership for today 
and tomorrow is stronger than the average global supply. While competing for 
leadership talent remains a challenge in these geographies, the odds of finding 
effective leaders for today are significantly higher at 1 in 10 versus the global 
average of 1 in 15. With the right intelligence on the leadership potential of their 
people, leveraging the supplies of leaders for today and tomorrow offers a source 
of competitive advantage for organizations in these geographies as they engage in 
an increasingly global economy. This group includes: 
• Asia: China (Taiwan) 
• Western Europe: Germany, Sweden, Switzerland 
• North America: United States 
2. Strong today – challenged tomorrow. The second group identified has a 
different challenge – stronger than global average supply of people with the 
highest potential today to move into a leadership role, but succession risk in terms 
of available leadership talent for tomorrow. For this group, the challenge will be to 
use People Intelligence to maximize the investment in learning and development 
to build leadership bench strength for the future. Geographies facing this 
challenge are spread around the globe: 
• Asia: China (Hong Kong), Japan, Singapore, Thailand 
• Western Europe: France, Finland, UK 
• Australia-New Zealand 
• North America: Canada 
3. Weaker today, but the future looks bright. Flip the challenge around and we 
find several countries from the emerging BRICS and TIMS economic blocs with a 
short supply of top potential leadership talent today, but showing greater potential 
for available future leaders. In order for this group to stay competitive, using 
People Intelligence is even more critical to identify leaders now since the odds of 
successfully doing so are 1 in 20 – half the odds of the strong group one countries. 
12 | The SHL Talent Report 
Emerging economies have 
strong supplies for leaders 
for tomorrow, provided 
development programs 
are targeted to realize 
that potential.
Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders 
shl.com | 13 
The data suggests the value of People Intelligence extends beyond the hiring 
phase into development programs to strengthen the effectiveness of those in 
senior positions; as well as identifying potential in the richer supply of leaders for 
tomorrow in these geographies. 
• Asia: India 
• Western Europe: Denmark, Italy, Netherlands 
• Latin America: Brazil and Mexico 
• Middle East: Egypt and Turkey 
4. Weakest potential overall. This group requires a strategy to build a strong 
alignment between talent acquisition and development. In these geographies, 
identifying potential leaders early and ensuring they have the personal and career 
development to realize their potential is essential. This strategy will also be 
critical for companies operating across diverse geographies who wish to avoid 
a crucial error: using a one-size-fits-all approach to identifying and developing 
leaders everywhere they operate. Such an approach ignores socio-economic and 
cultural differences in leadership potential and development needs and that these 
differences require a flexible and localized approach (see Figure 3). This group 
includes: 
• Middle East/Africa: South Africa 
• Asia: China (Mainland), Indonesia 
• Eastern Europe: Poland, Russia 
• Western Europe: Ireland, Norway, Portugal, Spain 
Figure 3: The supply of leadership talent in emerging and mature economies10 
1 
6.3% 
5.3% 
Percentage of population 
Leaders for today Leaders for tomorrow 
4 
3 
3 
4 
5 
2 
2 
6 
5 
5 
37.4% 
38.5% 
1 
37.0% 
42.6% 
38.1% 
37.0% 
4.5% 
8.7% 
6.8% 
6.6%
Which industries have the strongest 
supplies of leadership talent? 
When looking at the data across both industry sectors and geographical regions, specific 
areas of strengths and weaknesses in the leadership talent pools for today and tomorrow 
emerge (see Figures 4-6 on pages 15, 16, and 17). 
Strongest sectors overall 
Banking, Insurance and Financial Services sectors have the advantage of strong supplies 
of leadership both today and tomorrow across most geographies, with the exception of 
Western Europe. 
Weakest sectors overall 
In contrast, the Oil & Gas and Utilities sectors face challenges in the supply of leaders for 
both today and tomorrow, particularly in Eastern Europe and North America, despite North 
America being one of the geographical hot spots for leadership talent. 
Strong today – challenged tomorrow 
Mining, Professional Services and the Public Sector emerge as sectors attracting stronger 
talent for leadership today but face likely succession risks in the future, with risk highest in 
Australia-New Zealand for Mining; in the Middle East and Africa for Professional Services; 
and in Asia for the Public Sector. 
Weaker today, but the future looks bright 
Other sectors are weaker in attracting strong leaders for today but attract stronger supplies 
of leaders for tomorrow. For these sectors – Consumer Goods, Healthcare, Telecoms and 
General Business Services – we see the need for a two-pronged strategy of strengthening 
leadership attraction and acquisition programs while also using People Intelligence to meet 
development gaps. 
The data also suggests that relying on recruiting leaders on the basis of sector specific 
knowledge and experience is simply the wrong strategy for many sectors seeking to build a 
pool of effective leaders for today and tomorrow. For several sectors, taking a broader scan of 
leadership talent including talent pools from outside their traditional sectors is essential. 
14 | The SHL Talent Report
Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders 
shl.com | 15 
Industries with the strongest 
leaders for today 
Figure 4: Leaders for today by industry sector globally 
The data was cut by 17 industry sectors11 to provide a picture of which sectors are more 
effective in attracting strong leadership for today. 
Professional 
Services 
10.3%* 
Public Sector 
10.3% 
Mining 
8.8% 
Insurance 
& Financial 
Services 
8.6% 
Consumer 
Goods 
(Heavy Goods) 
5.8% 
Banking 
8.4% 
Technology 
6.6% 
Utilities 
6.6% 
Retail 
6.5% 
Food, 
Beverages & 
Tobacco 
6.6% 
Business 
Services 
6.1% 
Telecoms 
5.9% 
Healthcare 
5.9% 
Travel 
& Leisure 
5.4% 
Engineering 
5.4% 
Consumer 
Goods (Leisure 
& Personal) 
5.7% 
Oil & Gas 
5.1% 
1 
1 
3 
4 
5 
10 
9 
6 
6 
6 
11 
11 
13 
14 
15 
15 
17 
* i.e. 10.3% of people working in the Professional Services sector have the potential to be leaders today.
Industries with the strongest 
leaders for tomorrow 
Figure 5: Leaders for tomorrow by industry sector globally 
When we look at the supply of leadership for tomorrow, we get 
a very different picture by industry. 
Consumer 
Goods 
(Heavy Goods) 
46.4% 
16 | The SHL Talent Report 
Consumer Goods 
(Leisure & Personal) 
59.8% 
Insurance & 
Financial Services 
56.5% 
Business Services 
55.0% 
Banking 
52.0% 
Mining 
Public 32.9% 
Sector 
22.8% 
Healthcare 
51.3% 
Telecoms 
50.5% 
Technology 
48.2% 
Food, 
Beverages & 
Tobacco 
46.6% 
Retail 
44.1% 
Travel 
& Leisure 
38.9% 
Engineering 
43.3% 
Oil & Gas 
29.2% 
Utilities 
24.3% 
Professional 
Services 
32.2% 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
10 
9 
8 
7 
6 
11 
12 
13 
14 
15 
16 
17
Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders 
shl.com | 17 
Which industry sectors offer the strongest supplies of 
leadership talent in the geographies you operate in? 
Figure 6: Industries with strongest leaders for today and leaders for tomorrow, by region 
North America 
Leaders for today: 
Retail, Banking, Insurance 
& Financial Services 
Leaders for tomorrow: 
Banking, Consumer Goods 
(Leisure & Personal), Telecoms 
Western Europe 
Leaders for today: 
Consumer Goods (Leisure 
& Personal), Mining, Public 
Sector 
Leaders for tomorrow: 
Consumer Goods (Leisure & 
Personal), Retail, Technology 
Eastern Europe 
Leaders for today: 
Banking, Insurance & 
Financial Services, Technology 
Leaders for tomorrow: 
Insurance & Financial 
Services, Technology, Travel 
& Leisure 
Asia 
Leaders for today: 
Insurance & Financial 
Services, Professional 
Services, Public Sector 
Leaders for tomorrow: 
Banking, Healthcare 
and Technology 
Latin America 
Leaders for today: 
Consumer Goods (Leisure & 
Personal), Healthcare, Insurance 
& Financial Services 
Leaders for tomorrow: 
General Business Services, Insurance 
& Financial Services, Consumer 
Goods (Leisure & Personal) 
Middle East & Africa 
Leaders for today: 
Banking, Mining, Oil & Gas 
Leaders for tomorrow: 
Consumer Goods (Leisure 
& Personal), Food, Beverages 
& Tobacco, Telecoms 
Australia-New Zealand 
Leaders for today: 
Insurance & Financial Services, 
Professional Services, Public Sector 
Leaders for tomorrow: 
Consumer Goods (Leisure & 
Personal), Insurance & Financial 
Services, Professional Services
The question is not whether 
there is leadership talent 
The question is how intelligent is your organization in 
recognizing that talent and developing it. 
A more hopeful picture of leadership talent emerges from the data when you look beyond 
the highest tier of talent to the next tier, where there is potential to be realized if the right 
People Intelligence is applied to identify and develop it. This talent pool is much more 
evenly distributed globally and much stronger in many geographies, notably the emerging 
economies, and will require time and investment to grow. Organizations will need to put in 
place clear and targeted programs to address development gaps. 
The supply of leadership talent varies by sector 
Industry sectors are facing significant challenges both today and tomorrow and need to 
reconsider their assumptions about the strength of their leadership talent. Many need to 
recognize succession risks. They especially need to develop greater intelligence about 
that talent, how to leverage it more effectively, and put in place development programs for 
those they hope to move into senior roles. 
Geography matters 
Finally, organizations need to be aware of future leadership challenges at the country 
level. Organizations need to understand the supply of leadership where they operate and 
adapt their leadership development and succession programs accordingly. More mature 
economies run the risk of relying on the stronger supply of leadership talent for today 
but failing to recognize a potential future shortfall of effective leaders for tomorrow. In 
emerging economies, with an ever more globalized economy predicted to be as volatile 
as our experience in recent years, the demand for effective leaders and the demand to be 
increasingly thoughtful about managing leadership talent will only increase. 
18 | The SHL Talent Report 
Data shows that the 
demand for effective 
leaders and the demand to 
be increasingly thoughtful 
about managing 
leadership talent will only 
increase. 
Just 1 in 15 
managers 
or executives globally 
have the potential to 
become a top leader.
Chapter 2 
The global availability 
of innovation 
shl.com | 19
Looking for innovator 
potential around the world 
In a world full of volatility and challenges, innovation has become the single most important 
factor for both private and public sector organizations to transform a crisis into an opportunity. 
Additionally, rapidly changing business models highlight the importance of innovation 
to the success and survival of today’s organizations. The ability to innovate impacts the 
organization broadly; whether in the application of technology, development of new products 
and services, marketing, or day-to-day operations. As business management expert Gary 
Hamel has said, “Every company worth its low-salt lunch has identified innovation as a core 
competency.” 
There are at least three conditions that determine whether the investment in innovation will 
deliver value to an organization: 
• Organizational processes to stimulate, support and translate the innovation of its people 
into tangible value 
• Geographical context – both economic and social – for supporting innovation 
• People with the right talent to be true innovators 
Much has been written about innovation processes. Global indices such as those produced 
by the INSEAD and the Boston Group12 (discussed in detail on page 28) have recently been 
developed to tell organizations what the state of play is geographically in terms of the 
economic and social conditions for innovation. But equally important, what talent is available 
to become innovators? How is that talent distributed geographically and across industry 
sectors? These are the questions we will address in this chapter. 
20 | The SHL Talent Report 
“Management knows it 
and so does Wall Street: 
The year to year viability 
of a company depends 
on its ability to innovate. 
Given today’s market 
expectations, global 
competitiveness, and 
the extent and pace of 
structural change, this is 
truer than ever.”13 
Harvard Business Review 
The ability 
to innovate 
impacts the organization 
broadly, whether in 
the application of 
technology, development 
of new products and 
services, marketing, or 
day-to-day operations.
Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation 
shl.com | 21 
The DNA of the innovator and the SHL Innovation 
Index 
When you think of innovations in recent years, do Apple products come to mind? If so, you 
share a common association with the iconic status of Steve Jobs as an innovator, and he 
would more than likely point out that effective innovation calls for more than just coming up 
with new ideas. 
Effective innovators need the intellectual capability to see new associations and possibilities, 
and the analytical skills to interpret and translate market and customer data into specific 
offerings. They must be able to focus, to persist in the face of initial failures, to be able to 
make right hand turns in thinking, to articulate a need, be able to persuade, influence and sell 
an innovation to others, and to work collaboratively as well as work through potential conflict. 
Innovation is, after all, about change. 
To capture this unique blend of talents that mark the true innovator, we have explored 
behaviors that drive effective innovation and captured these in the SHL Innovation Index. 
This index takes into account two key domains of innovator talent in Table 3 below. 
Table 3: Index for behaviors that drive effective innovation 
Focus & Insight Networking & Collaboration 
Ability to reason Capacity to build effective relationships 
Capacity to think laterally – or ‘outside 
the box’ 
Ability to navigate social networks effectively 
Capacity to focus on a particular need Strong communication skills required for 
influencing others 
Ability to adapt to new data Ability to sell an innovation into an organization 
or to raise investment capital 
Ability to persist through those moments 
when an initial idea does not work, or when 
an experiment presents challenges 
You will find more on the SHL Innovation Index in the Appendix. 
“Every company worth 
its low-salt lunch has 
identified innovation as 
a core competency.” 
Gary Hamel
Region 
North America 
Australia- 
New Zealand 
Western Europe 
Asia 
Africa 
Middle East 
Eastern Europe 
Latin America 
Mapping the supply of 
innovator potential 
As illustrated in the previous chapter, the supply of talent to be an effective top leader is 
scarce at 1 in 15 of the assessed population. Similar results are found when examining the 
data from the SHL Innovation Index for innovator potential. Just 1 in 17 or 5.8% of graduates, 
managers and professionals have the potential to be a true innovator. 
What does the supply of innovator talent by geography look like? 
North America, Western Europe and Asia featured heavily on the list. Countries in Eastern 
Europe emerge as centers for innovator talent, with Hungary, Poland and Russia featured in 
the Top 25 (see Table 4). 
Though individual countries such as China (Hong Kong), Japan, Singapore and South Korea 
rank in the Top 25 list for innovator potential, Asia as a region factors lower than North 
America, Australia-New Zealand, and Western Europe. In spite of its reputation as an IT 
powerhouse, India did not feature strongly in talent for innovation. 
22 | The SHL Talent Report 
Table 4: Supply of innovator talent: 
Top 25 countries by % of population14 
United States 
China (Hong Kong) 
Australia 
Germany 
Singapore 
United Kingdom 
Sweden 
Canada 
Netherlands 
Denmark 
New Zealand 
Switzerland 
Ireland 
France 
Japan 
Italy 
Spain 
Belgium 
South Korea 
Hungary 
China (Mainland) 
Russia 
Iceland 
Poland 
China (Taiwan) 
11.1% 
10.6% 
10.5% 
10.1% 
9.8% 
9.7% 
9.4% 
9.1% 
8.6% 
7.3% 
7.1% 
7.1% 
6.9% 
6.3% 
6.1% 
6.0% 
5.9% 
5.8% 
5.8% 
5.7% 
5.7% 
5.6% 
5.4% 
5.4% 
5.2% 
Average
Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation 
shl.com | 23 
Talent for innovation 
by region 
With the United States and Canada both ranking in the top 10, North America understandably 
rates as the top global region for overall innovation, followed by Australia-New Zealand and 
Western Europe. 
Figure 7: Innovator talent by geographical region 
1 
2 
3 5 
4 
7 
6 
8 
North America 
Australia-New Zealand 
Western Europe 
Asia 
Region15 
Eastern Europe 
Middle East 
Africa 
Latin America 
10.1% 
8.8% 
7.0% 
4.9% 
4.7% 
3.0% 
2.6% 
1.0%
Developing 
innovation talent 
Investing in learning and development to close the 
geographical gap in innovator talent. 
This raises questions as to what should organizations focus on to be able to strengthen 
innovation among their employee populations. 
Developmental needs for those with innovator talent in Asia for example, lie in the 
Networking & Collaboration domain of the SHL innovator model and index. Specifically, 
talent management programs designed to leverage innovator talent potential in this region 
need to focus on improving competencies such as Building Effective Networks, Influencing 
& Persuading, and in Communication. This enables those charged with innovation to 
understand how to navigate the culture of their organizations and leverage social networks 
locally and internationally, as well as within and outside their organizations. 
A need for learning and development is also apparent when we compare the more mature 
and emerging economies (see Figure 8). 
Figure 8: The supply of innovator talent in emerging and mature economies16 
TIMS 6 
Percentage of innovators for today 
G8 
OECD 
G20 
EU 
BRICS 
24 | The SHL Talent Report 
5 
2 
4 
2 
1 
This data shows how important it is for organizations to understand regional variations in the 
bench strength and availability of ‘true innovator’ talent so they can create programs that 
strengthen their ability to execute innovation projects effectively.
Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation 
shl.com | 25 
Industries with the greatest supply 
of potential innovators 
Innovation can take many forms: from creating new products and services, to finding new 
supply sources, developing new markets and new ways to reach existing markets, or 
identifying new ways of organizing. This means the supply of innovator talent is critical across 
all aspects of economic activity and not just in the most obvious ones such as R&D. 
Figure 9 shows which industry sectors are strong in attracting and employing innovator 
talent, and which sectors are not. 
Technology ranks No.1, but we see Professional Services, Food, Tobacco & Beverages, 
Retail, and Insurance & Finance sectors also ranking high. 
Regarding the Public Sector ranking near the middle of the list: significant economic, social 
and political challenges place increasing pressure on how public services are financed, 
delivered and measured in terms of value. Finding new ways of organizing has become a key 
mission for governments and their agencies, particularly in Europe and North America, and 
that means innovation. 
For the Public Sector as well as Banking, attracting and developing innovator talent appears 
to be a key priority for talent management programs. These and the sectors that rank lower 
down the list need to reconsider the profile of talent they have traditionally attracted and 
employed in order to create the talent profile they will need to move forward and succeed in 
today’s increasingly volatile environment. 
Variations across sectors appear when we factor in geographical region (see Figure 10) 
showing that organizations need to be aware of and sensitive to the supply of innovator talent 
where they operate, and have the People Intelligence to know where to invest in their people 
to build their talent strength locally. 
For the Public Sector as 
well as other sectors such 
as Banking, attracting 
and developing innovator 
talent appears to be a 
key priority for talent 
management programs. 
‘True innovator’ 
potential is just 
1 in 17 
or 
5.8% 
of the population
Industries with the greatest 
supply of potential innovators 
Figure 9: Innovator talent ranked by industry sector globally, as a percentage of population 
Consumer Goods 
(Personal & 
Leisure) 
5.3% 
26 | The SHL Talent Report 
Telecoms 
4.6% 
Mining 
5.6% 
Retail 
5.9% 
Technology 
6.4%* 
Professional 
Services 
6.2% 
Food, Beverages 
& Tobacco 
5.9% 
Consumer Goods 
(Heavy Goods) 
5.8% 
Insurance & 
Financial Services 
5.6% 
Public Sector 
5.4% 
Business 
Services 
4.9% 
Banking 
4.6% 
Healthcare 
4.8% 
Engineering 
4.2% 
Oil & Gas 
4.2% 
Utilities 
4.3% 
Travel 
& Leisure 
4.1% 
1 
2 
3 
3 
5 
10 
9 
8 
6 
6 
11 
12 
12 
14 
15 
15 
17 
* i.e. 6.4% of people working in the technology sector have the potential to be true innovators.
Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation 
shl.com | 27 
Industries with the strongest 
talent for innovation by region 
North America 
Stronger innovation talent: 
Retail, Technology, 
Telecoms 
Weaker innovation talent: 
Consumer Goods (Personal & 
Leisure), Travel & Leisure 
Western Europe 
Stronger innovation talent: 
Professional Services, 
Technology 
Weaker innovation talent: 
Banking, Oil & Gas, Telecoms 
Eastern Europe 
Stronger innovation talent: 
Consumer Goods (Personal 
& Leisure), Professional 
Services 
Weaker innovation talent: 
Oil & Gas, Retail 
Asia 
Stronger innovation talent: 
Insurance & Financial 
Services, Professional 
Services 
Weaker innovation talent: 
Oil & Gas, Travel & Leisure 
Latin America 
Stronger innovation talent: 
Food, Beverages & Tobacco, 
Public Sector 
Weaker innovation talent: 
Engineering, Telecoms 
Middle East & Africa 
Stronger innovation talent: 
Food, Beverages & Tobacco, 
Mining, Oil & Gas 
Weaker innovation talent: 
Consumer Goods (Heavy 
Goods), Travel & Leisure 
Australia-New Zealand 
Stronger innovation talent: 
Insurance & Financial Services, 
Professional Services 
Weaker innovation talent: 
Retail, Travel & Leisure 
Figure 10: Talent for innovation by industry sector and region
A comprehensive view of 
global innovation 
Recognizing the growing importance of innovation, the past few years have seen the 
development of global innovation indices to provide policy makers and business leaders 
with a view of the global landscape for innovation readiness. These indices combine data 
on the ‘inputs’ for innovation readiness, such as the infrastructure to support innovation and 
business sophistication, and data on the scientific and creative ‘outputs’ to rank countries in 
terms of the economic, financial and social context for innovation. 
We have looked at data from two such indices, one from the United States produced by the 
Boston Consulting Group with the National Association of Manufacturers in the U.S., and 
one from INSEAD located in Europe and Asia17. We extend this view of human capital by 
adding SHL intelligence on innovator potential and the behaviors and attitudes that turn the 
knowledge inputs to innovation into tangible outputs that create value. 
Analysis shows both the Boston and the INSEAD indices correlate strongly with the SHL 
Innovation Index. It also shows that insight into the ‘talent to innovate’ combined with data on 
economic and social conditions provides a more comprehensive view of the global innovation 
landscape. Of note is the strong correlation we found between both economic indices and 
the Networking & Collaboration component of the SHL Innovation Index, emphasizing how 
critical social and interpersonal factors are to effective innovation. 
We combined data on both the Boston and INSEAD indices to create an overall score we 
called ‘context for innovation’ (business confidence, social, economic and financial factors). 
Figure 11 shows the results when this was plotted against the SHL Innovation Index18. 
What we found were four distinct clusters. Cluster 1 countries have both stronger economic 
context and stronger supplies of innovator talent, and are countries with a clear global 
competitive advantage for innovation. This cluster includes: 
• Asia: particular strength in China (Hong Kong) and Singapore 
• Australia 
• Western Europe: particular strength in Germany, Sweden, Switzerland and the U.K. 
• North America: both Canada and the U.S. featuring strongly 
Cluster 2 countries have the economic and social infrastructure in place but have weaker 
supplies of innovator talent. Clearly identifying and developing innovator talent will yield a 
higher economic return from the investment potential available in these countries. In this 
cluster we find: 
• Asia: China (Mainland) 
• Western Europe: Finland, Norway and Portugal 
• Eastern Europe: Hungary 
• Middle East: United Arab Emirates 
Cluster 3 involves just three countries – Italy, the Netherlands and New Zealand. These are 
countries with stronger supplies of innovator talent but weaker infrastructure to realize the 
potential that a stronger supply offers. 
28 | The SHL Talent Report
Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation 
Cluster 2 Cluster 1 
China (Hong Kong) 
Cluster 4 Cluster 3 
shl.com | 29 
Cluster 4 countries have stronger challenges in both the economic and social conditions 
for innovation as well as weaker supplies of innovator talent. For this cluster, a key priority 
has to be the identification and development of innovator talent to sustain and build on the 
economic growth that many of these countries have enjoyed in recent years. This cluster 
includes: 
• Africa: South Africa 
• Asia: India, Indonesia and Thailand 
• Eastern Europe: Poland, Romania and Russia 
• Western Europe: Greece 
• Latin America: Brazil and Mexico 
• Middle East: Egypt and Turkey 
Figure 11: Combined data on the economic and social conditions for innovation with the supply of innovator talent.19 
Indonesia 
Egypt 
Italy 
Poland 
Russia 
Greece 
Turkey 
South Africa 
India 
Romania 
Brazil 
Thailand 
Mexico 
China (Mainland) 
Spain 
Hungary 
Portugal 
United Arab Emirates 
New Zealand 
Sweden 
Canada 
Netherlands 
Switzerland 
Finland 
Denmark 
Ireland 
Japan 
Norway 
Belgium 
France 
U.S. 
U.K. 
Germany 
Australia 
Context for innovation 
Supply of innovator talent 
Singapore 
Lower Higher 
Lower Higher
Innovation isn’t an option 
– it’s a must do 
Events in recent years have forced governments, the public sector, and private businesses 
in the more mature economies to think hard about how they are organizationally and 
financially structured. Adopting new technologies in the search for productivity gains and 
cost reductions has driven efficiencies. In Europe, North America and Australia-New Zealand 
organizations are already leaner or will be soon. However, more is necessary to ensure a 
secure future. New ways of working, new and more sophisticated goods and services, as 
well as innovative ways of delivering those goods and services are becoming critical globally. 
In the emerging economies, product driven growth achieved by scalable and low cost 
production processes is set to come under increasing pressure for two reasons. 
First, broader economic growth globally will bring new challenges to the powerhouses of 
China and India. Other countries will become more competitive for a share of the global 
market for goods and services. From a talent perspective, SHL’s data indicates that China is 
better positioned to weather this competition, India less so. Our research also points to the 
countries in Eastern Europe being well placed, with the innovator talent to compete for a 
greater share of the global market. 
The second reason is what the Economist has recently called a “third industrial revolution” 
in which digital manufacturing will change the landscape for manufacturing, service delivery 
and ways of working. To quote “... some of the business of making things will return to rich 
countries.”20 Despite their travails, the older economies are not finished yet and results from 
our study indicate they have the talent to make this third industrial revolution happen. 
Innovation will be key to moving up the value chain from more traditional goods and services 
to more value-intensive goods and services in the future, particularly under challenging 
economic and trading conditions. 
Knowing that innovation is a critical core competency will not be enough for organizations to 
succeed. 
SHL’s data shows that the sectors with the greatest need to recognize this and take action 
include Travel & Leisure, Oil & Gas, Banking, and the Public Sector. They face significant 
challenges, including reduced consumer spending, environmental concerns, distrust of their 
products and services, and a need to work within constrained government budgets. 
Whatever the geography or sector, those organizations with the People Intelligence to 
identify, acquire and develop innovator talent will be the organizations to thrive. 
30 | The SHL Talent Report
Chapter 3 
shl.com | 31 
The landscape of 
organizational risk
The landscape of 
organizational risk 
“Fortune favors those who dare” – or does it?21 
Typically, analyses of risks by geography and industry look at regulation, legislation, and 
a variety of social, economic, political and financial factors. Few indices of organizational 
risk look at the behavior of the people employed by organizations. This is a key flaw in 
how organizations approach risk. There is a wealth of scientific research showing that it is 
precisely what people do or fail to do that are key to an organization’s resilience to risk. With 
recent news of a judicial inquiry into telephone hacking by the media22, the continued fallout 
in the finance sector resulting from Lehman Brothers bankruptcy23, and a parliamentary 
commission in the U.K. into the banking sector24, we are again seeing evidence that how 
people act at all levels in an organization is a fundamental driver of risk. 
How confident are you that your organization is 
resilient to risk? 
While many organizations are waking up to the need to understand the behavioral 
risk profiles of the people they employ, most are at an early stage in developing that 
understanding. Few have begun to look to their talent management programs as a significant 
contributor to their risk management strategies. 
The Lloyd’s Risk Index surveys business leaders’ sense of how well they are prepared 
to manage operational risks. To quote their 2011 survey, “More than 70% of survey 
respondents report that their company is better prepared to manage business and production 
line risks than they were two years ago... One should not ignore the fact that, for many 
companies, there will be a difference between actually25 being prepared and simply believing 
they are prepared.” 
The goal of this chapter is to fill this gap between perception and reality by providing 
business leaders, risk managers and talent managers with data on levels of behavioral risk 
from three perspectives: by employee job level, industry sector and geography. The note of 
caution about confusing the perception that you are prepared and actually being prepared 
is backed up by what our findings show, and that gap is likely to be greatest in sectors that 
rank highest in our analysis of behavioral risk. 
32 | The SHL Talent Report 
“Perceptions of risk have 
evolved significantly 
in the intervening two 
years. In all regions of 
the world, across all 
sectors, business leaders 
now perceive the world 
as an inherently riskier 
place.”26 Lloyd’s Risk Index 
2011
Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk 
Average level of high 
behavioral risk 
1/8 employees 
shl.com | 33 
Behavioral risk by 
job level 
In contrast to our indices for leadership and innovation, SHL’s behavioral risk index flags the 
proportion of people who are most likely to create risk. At the manager and professional level, 
the greatest risk comes from lower decision quality and lower communication quality. SHL’s 
data shows that 12.2% or 1 in 8 managers and professionals exhibit high levels of these 
behavioral risks. 
The greatest risks at the production line and front line level are lower compliance and quality 
and lower commitment. Data from assessments of production line and front line employees 
shows that 12.5% or 1 in 8 exhibit high levels of these behavioral risks. 
Table 5: Behavioral risk components by job level 
Managers and professionals Production line and front line 
Decision quality risk: 
• Miss or ignore data 
• Ignore decision impact on organization 
• Fail to seek other views and opinions 
Compliance and quality risk: 
• Failure to comply with procedures 
• Lack of attention to detail 
Communication quality risk: 
• Inability to articulate decisions 
objectives 
• Inability to persuade or influence 
• Lack of credibility 
• Failure to build networks/relationships 
Commitment and teamwork risk: 
• Inability to accept individual or shared 
responsibility 
• Lack of team orientation
Behavioral risk at the managers 
and professionals level 
With a global average of 12.2%, here is how 17 industry sectors rank in terms of behavioral risk in 
the people they attract and employ. 
Manager and professional roles 
Figure 12: Levels of behavioral risk for managers and professionals by industry sector globally 
Healthcare 
11.3% 
Engineering 
Public Sector 
9.9% 
11 
Consumer 
Goods 
(Personal 
& Leisure) 
8.3% 
* i.e. 18.2% of people working in the Travel & Leisure sector exhibit high levels of behavioral risk. 
34 | The SHL Talent Report 
Travel & Leisure 
18.2%* 
Technology 
8.8% 
Oil & Gas 
16% 
Utilities 
14% 
Professional 
Services 
12.9% 
Retail 
12.4% 
Mining 
11.7% 
Consumer 
Goods (Heavy 
Goods) 
11.5% 
11.4% 
Business 
Services 
10.7% 
Banking 
10.2% 
Telecoms 
10.5% 
Food, 
Beverages 
& Tobacco 
9.2% 
Insurance 
& Financial 
9.8% 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
10 
9 
8 
7 
6 
12 
13 
14 
15 
16 
17
Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk 
shl.com | 35 
Turning from the analysis of risk in various sectors, Figure 13 illustrates which job levels most 
indicate behavioral risk among managers and professionals, from individual contributor to 
executive level. 
On a positive note, it appears that behavioral risk is lower at more senior levels: calculated to 
be 1 in 15 of executives and 1 in 10 of senior managers. 
As organizations depend upon senior leaders to account for and mitigate risk, finding that 
those leaders exhibit lower levels of behavioral risk should be reassuring. However, there is 
still behavioral risk at the top, which means organizations should examine how effective their 
senior leaders are when managing behavioral risk. 
Additionally, the increasing level of behavioral risk from middle managers down indicates 
that organizations cannot rely on the effective communication of decisions from the C-suite. 
Middle managers sit at the intersection between strategy and operational execution. They 
must be able to translate executive decisions into effective action or execution fails. 
Given the higher levels of behavioral risk at the team leader and individual contributor 
levels, organizations need to ensure middle managers are equipped to identify and address 
behavioral risk from the people who report to them. 
Figure 13: Where behavioral risk sits among managers and professionals by job level 
Senior Manager 
1/10 10.4% 
Global Average 12.2% 
Executive 
1/15 6.7% 
Middle Manager 
1/8 13.2% 
Team Leader 
1/7 14.7% 
Individual Contributor 
1/7 14.2% 
Percentage of high behavioral risk
Behavioral risk at the production 
line and front line level 
Levels of behavioral risk increase as one moves from the C-suite to lower levels in an 
organization. The next set of data shows trends in behavioral risk on the production line and out 
on the front line. Figure 14 shows how industry sectors rank when looking at SHL’s index for 
production line and front line employees. 
While the global average rate for behavioral risk on the production line is about the same as for 
managers and professionals, the rankings by sector differ. Consumer Goods (Personal & Leisure) 
and Technology move up when we look at the production line and front line, while Oil & Gas, 
Retail and Utilities move down, as does Travel & Leisure. What do these differences mean? As 
we will explore in more detail later, having a full understanding of where behavioral risk exists is 
critical for organizations to have a clear view of where they are most at risk from the actions of 
their employees. 
Production line and front line roles 
Figure 14: Levels of behavioral risk for production line and front line roles by industry 
sector globally27 
2 
4 
Consumer 
Goods 
(Heavy Goods) 
3 
20.8% 
36 | The SHL Talent Report 
5 
Banking 
15.7% 
15 
12 
1 
5 
14 
Retail 
8.4% 
Consumer 
Goods 
13 
(Leisure & Personal) 
24% 
Telecoms 
23.9% 
Technology 
21.4% 
Engineering 
15.3% 
10 
Insurance 
& Financial 
Services 
15.3% 
Travel 
& Leisure 
12.9% 
8 
8 
7 
Food, 
Beverages 
& Tobacco 
15.6% 
Business 
Services 
15.7% 
11 
Healthcare 
11.9% 
Oil & Gas 
11.3% 
Utilities 
9.9% 
Public 
Sector 
7.1%
Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk 
shl.com | 37 
The geography of 
behavioral risk 
As shown, levels of behavioral risk can vary significantly at different job levels and across 
industries. Combining both of those indices gives a more complete understanding of the 
geography of behavioral risk. 
Managers and professionals in Australia-New Zealand rank highest for behavioral risk. And 
while much lower levels of risk are found at the manager level in Africa and the Middle 
East, those same regions exhibit increased rates of behavioral risk at production line and 
front line level. 
These trends are illustrated in Figure 15. This graph shows that for most geographies 
the levels of behavioral risk are higher on the production line than at the managerial and 
professional levels. However, Australia-New Zealand bucks the general trend by having 
higher levels for managers and professionals than on the production line, while for 
organizations in Western Europe, behavioral risk between job levels is generally aligned. 
Behavioral risk varies 
by region: 
• Managerial risk is highest in 
Australia-New Zealand 
• Front line risk is highest in the 
Middle East 
Figure 15: Levels of behavioral risk by geographical region28 
Africa 
2 
10.8 
24.1 
17.5 
North 
America 
3 
12.9 
19 
16 
Asia 
5 
11.6 
18.9 
15.3 
Eastern 
Europe 
3 
12.3 
19.6 
16 
Western 
Europe 
7 
12.7 12.1 
12.4 
Middle 
East 
1 
8.7 
28 
18.4 
Percentage high behavioral risk 
Managers & professional 
Front line & production line 
Average 
Overall ranking for risk globally 
13.5 
6 
17.2 
9.7 
Australia- 
New Zealand 
11.3 
See 
Endnote 28 
Latin 
America
Behavioral risk by 
industry sector 
The role of talent management in mitigating 
organizational risk 
In 2004, SHL conducted a research project with the Future Foundation29 and found that, in 
the U.S. alone, 23% of people surveyed saw their colleagues as incompetent and that 68% of 
mistakes made by workers were hidden from their managers. 
To address the gap between perception and reality in terms of preparedness for risk, 
organizations need valid metrics through which they can understand behavioral risk at all levels 
within their organization. In Figure 16 patterns emerge in terms of which sectors show higher 
levels of behavioral risk at the managerial level and which sectors show higher levels of risk on 
the front line. 
What do the results tell us about where organizations and their managers need to focus to better 
manage behavioral risk? In Western Europe, while levels of risk are generally aligned between 
managers and professionals and those in production line and front line roles, there is still risk to be 
managed. 
In Australia-New Zealand, the focus has to be the managers and professionals who lead and 
task organizations. Key priorities here include adopting behavioral risk measures in selection 
processes, as well as focused coaching and development programs. 
For the other geographical regions where behavioral risk appears more strongly in production line 
and front line roles, the ability of managers to identify that risk is clearly important. What will be 
equally critical are the decision-making skills of managers and professionals to ensure goals and 
expectations are clearly understood by those on the front line. 
Figure 16: A comprehensive view of behavioral risk by industry sector 
Behavioral risk: managers & professionals 
38 | The SHL Talent Report 
Public 
Sector Banking 
Behavioral risk: production line & front line 
Business Services 
Insurance 
& Financial Services 
Food, Beverages 
& Tobacco 
Consumer 
Goods 
Telecoms 
Technology 
Engineering 
Healthcare 
Retail 
Utilities 
Travel & 
Leisure 
Oil & Gas 
Mining 
Risk higher at 
managers and 
professionals level 
Risk higher at the 
production line and 
front line level 
Lower Risk 
Higher Risk
Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk 
shl.com | 39 
Ranking behavioral risk by industry sector 
Figure 17 ranks fifteen sectors by the average across SHL’s two behavioral risk indices 
(the average across our index for managers and professionals and our index for production 
line and front line employees) to give a final industry sector ranking. A note about the 
lower ranking sectors: these represent sector averages. An analysis of the data shows 
considerable variation across organizations within sectors, which is not detailed in this report. 
Complacency is also a risk. 
Figure 17: Aggregated data showing overall behavioral risk for all job levels by industry 
sector globally30 
1 
17.2% 
2 
16.1% 
Consumer goods (Heavy Goods) 
3 
15.6% 
4 
15.1% 
Technology 
5 
13.7% 
Oil & Gas 
6 
13.4% 
7 
13.2% 
* Global average of these two indices is 12.4%. 
Business Services 
8 
13% 
Banking 
9 
12.6% 
Food, Beverages & Tobacco* 
Utilities 
Healthcare 
Mining 
Retail 
Public Sector 
Insurance & Financial Services 
Engineering 
Telecoms 
Travel & Leisure 
10 
12.4% 
11 
12% 
12 
11.6% 
13 
10.9% 
14 
10.4% 
15 
8.5% 
Lower Risk 
Higher Risk 
Global Average
Talent management as 
risk management 
Talent managers, those in recruitment, selection and succession, have always been in 
the business of risk management. Placing the wrong person in the wrong role is a critical 
organizational risk they have traditionally been employed to manage. 
We hope this chapter points to the next evolution in talent management by helping 
organizations articulate the key driver of risk – what people do. The data in this chapter points 
to two ways that talent managers can grasp this opportunity and realize it. 
The first is to provide People Intelligence that goes beyond the perceptions captured by risk 
and safety surveys by providing data and insight based on how employees are likely to act. 
That is what SHL’s risk indices address. 
The second point is to ensure that evaluations of behavioral risk are incorporated throughout 
talent management processes – from acquisition through performance and development, and 
on to succession and promotions. 
As we hope this chapter illustrates, the know-how exists. Talent managers need only step up 
to the plate and use that know-how. 
40 | The SHL Talent Report 
Putting a number on 
behavioral risk 
SHL’s 2004 research showed that: 
• 68% of mistakes made by employees 
were hidden from U.S. managers 
• U.S. managers spent up to 8 weeks 
a year dealing with performance 
issues 
• The cumulative cost to the U.S. 
economy amounted to ~1% of U.S. 
GDP or $105 billion a year
Chapter 4 
The landscape of diversity 
shl.com | 41
Diversity, diversity, 
diversity... 
In this chapter, we look at what our data reveals about one of the key factors that will 
shape the future for global organizations within both the public and private sectors. Their 
capabilities in recognizing, managing and leveraging diversity. We have focused on two 
important areas, gender and generational differences. 
Let’s start with the U.S. as an example. “By 2025 over 76 million Baby Boomers will have 
retired from the American workforce and by 2030 the U.S. is set to face a shortfall of 30 
million workers.”31 The same trends are apparent in other countries. Emerging economic 
superpowers such as China face significant challenges with the declining population 
numbers accompanying greater economic and social expectations of Chinese consumers32. 
Technology and innovation may aid in mitigating challenges such as these. But from a gender 
standpoint, it will be critical to understand and leverage diversity as more women enter the 
workforce33. In the U.S. and U.K. the workforce is nearly 50:50 male/female, though women 
remain under-represented in certain sectors, on boards and in senior roles34. We are likely 
then to see not only a generational transition from the well-known Boomers to the Gen Xers 
and Millennials (also known as Gen Y35) but a gender shift as well. 
Recognizing and working intelligently with diversity 
in talent management 
SHL approaches diversity as a talent management issue through the lens of business need. 
As we explored in the chapter on leadership, our leaders for today potential is rare at 1 in 
15 job applicants and employees. So, what does our data say about gender differences 
in the supply of leadership potential globally? We will see why it points to women as an 
increasingly important source of leadership talent not to be overlooked. For countries with 
aging populations, ignoring women as potential senior leaders may become a critical failure 
point. 
Motivation to succeed is just as important as having the talent to perform in senior roles. We 
uncover what our data says about the differences between men and women in the critical 
motivational factors36 that are key to succeeding to a senior position in an organization. 
We then look at the global workforce from a generational perspective to address these 
questions: 
1. What will organizations need to understand to keep employees across three generations 
engaged over the next years and decades? 
2. How will the supply of talent with leaders for today potential shift as the generational 
transitions take effect? 
3. Which learning and development priorities will organizations need to focus on Millennials, 
the true leaders for tomorrow, to realize the talents of younger potential leaders? 
42 | The SHL Talent Report 
Leadership gender gaps 
favoring men will put 
increasing pressure on 
organizations in regions 
with aging populations. 
The difference in 
leadership potential 
for women and men is 
less than 1% 
but men hold senior 
positions 3 to 1 over 
women.
Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 
shl.com | 43 
Gender and leadership 
The 2012 Olympic Games were remarkable for many reasons. In the context of this 
chapter, it was a milestone. With the introduction of women’s boxing, men and women 
are now represented in every sport at the Olympics. There is now equal opportunity for 
both genders to realize the ambition to be an Olympian and to be a winner in every event. 
Yet, while every other person in the world is a woman, we are a long way from equal 
representation at the most senior levels in business, government, the law and in science. 
Evidence is mounting that greater gender equality at the top is associated with better 
financial performance of businesses37. It is widely acknowledged that the recovery from 
today’s economic woes will require nations to capitalize on the full range of talent they 
have available. As noted in a 2010 report by the European Commission: “As Europe 
collectively strives to recover from the recent recession and build a platform for future 
growth and stability ... One crucial resource for future growth lies in the untapped 
economic potential of women and their full integration into the decision-making process in 
all areas of the economy is crucial.”38 
While the exact numbers may vary, most reports are consistent in showing that women 
are far less likely to hold a senior position in either public or private sector organizations. 
A just released global survey cited the proportion of women holding senior positions has 
dropped to 2004 levels at 1 in 539. 
As in sports, career achievement is affected by potential, motivation and opportunity. 
Table 6 shows how men and women compare at the top level of potential we have called 
leaders for today, across the 25 countries with the strongest supply of this potential. We 
have calculated the differences between these proportions and then compared them to 
statistics on the proportion of women holding senior positions in those countries40. 
One of the barriers identified for women succeeding into a senior role is gender-based 
stereotypes of personal characteristics and abilities41. This was the highest factor 
identified in one survey and ranked above family commitments as a stumbling block42. 
Our data says there is no evidence to support stereotypes, a finding backed up by other 
independent research43. The supply of leadership potential is generally as strong for 
women as it is for men across our Top 25 countries for leaders for today. 
The average difference between men and women across the Top 25 countries is a mere 
-0.8%, a negligible difference in favor of women. Yet, 76% of senior positions are held 
by men. 
The supply of leadership 
potential is generally as 
strong for women as it is 
for men across our Top 25 
countries.
Gender and leadership 
Table 6: Top 25 countries for leadership potential – broken down by gender 
Leaders 
for today 
rank 
Country % Men 
44 | The SHL Talent Report 
leaders 
for today 
% Women 
leaders for 
today 
Difference in 
leaders for 
today (+% 
favor men, 
-% favor 
women) 
% 
Leadership 
roles held 
by men44 
1 China (Hong Kong) 13.5 13.3 0.2 67 
2 Germany 12.7 14.0 -1.3 87 
3 U.K. 9.5 11.7 -2.2 80 
4 Australia 8.5 12.5 -4.0 76 
5 U.S. 8.6 11.8 -3.2 83 
6 Switzerland 9.9 9.3 0.6 78 
7 Canada 7.7 9.9 -2.2 75 
8 Japan 9.3 6.8 2.5 95 
9 Singapore 9.7 8.0 1.7 77 
10 New Zealand 6.7 9.6 -2.9 72 
11 Sweden 7.4 8.2 -0.8 77 
12 China (Taiwan) 7.6 6.8 0.8 73 
13 France 6.6 6.4 0.2 76 
14 Thailand 8.2 5.9 2.3 61 
15 Finland 6.9 6.7 0.2 73 
16 Belgium 6.6 6.2 0.4 79 
17 Spain 6.3 6.4 -0.1 76 
18 Turkey 5.1 8.3 -3.2 69 
19 Italy 5.5 5.5 0.0 64 
20 South Africa 4.5 6.8 -2.3 72 
20 United Arab Emirates 5.0 6.5 -1.5 85 
22 Mexico 5.3 8.0 -2.7 82 
23 Denmark 4.5 6.1 -1.6 85 
24 Brazil 6.9 5.5 1.4 73 
25 Norway 4.5 6.5 -2.0 58 
Average 7.5 8.3 -0.8 76 
Leaders for today is our definition for the highest level of leadership potential reflecting a rounded repertoire of 
both transactional and transformational behaviors. Differences shown as positive favor men and those shown as 
negative favor women. 
Globally, men hold 52% 
more senior positions than 
women.
Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 
shl.com | 45 
Do men and women differ in their motivation to be 
a leader? 
So, if it isn’t the supply of potential that’s the barrier to women succeeding to senior 
positions, is it a factor of motivation? A survey of 60 leading companies suggests this might 
be so and why only 7,000 of 150,000 women professionals or 1 in 21 have achieved Vice 
President or higher senior positions in those companies45. Responding to the question “I have 
the desire to advance to the next level in my organization”, 69% of women said yes compared 
to 74% of men. Yet, when asked “If anything were possible, I would choose to advance to 
C-level management”, 18% of women said yes compared to 36% of men – exactly half. 
Interestingly, we see some differences across the globe with men in the U.K. seeing 
advancement to the next level as fundamental to developing their career compared to 
women, but the reverse for women in the U.S. and Australia46. 
To understand which motivating factors distinguish those holding senior positions, we looked 
across five job levels: individual contributor (employee), team leader, middle manager, senior 
manager, and executive47. We found six motivational factors that increased systematically at 
each level48. People that succeed to higher job levels value these motivational factors more 
(see Figure 18). 
While the differences in motivational factors between executives and other employees are 
significant, we did not find the same to be true when comparing genders49. Overall, we found 
an average three percentile difference in favor of men, which is negligible. None of these 
differences are either statistically or substantively significant. 
Figure 18: The key motivational factors for executives* 
Level of activity 
Working at a fast pace and 
multi-tasking with pressure to 
deliver against deadlines 
Power 
Opportunities to take 
responsibility, exercise 
authority and influence others 
Immersion 
Work that requires a personal 
commitment above and beyond 
the norm 
Interest 
Work that provides variety and 
stimulation 
Flexibility 
Environments that allow for 
more fluid ways of working and 
less structured and procedural 
approaches 
Autonomy 
Independence and scope for 
determining how they approach 
and organize their work 
People higher across all 6 
motivational factors are 
three times more likely to 
hold an executive position. 
The difference between 
men and women on those 
factors is negligible. 
* Refer to the Appendix for the data
The journey to the top 
We found no substantial overall differences between men and women on the motivational 
factors that distinguish those who succeed to the executive level. Are there differences in 
other motivational factors that help to explain why women are not progressing to more senior 
roles? The answer is yes. 
Let’s go back a for a moment to the survey of those 60 companies and the results that 
showed that men and women were equally interested in a move to the next level but men 
were twice as interested as women in an opportunity to reach the C-suite. In recent SHL 
research, reasons for not being interested in a C-suite position included: “When you see it 
up close… It’s not clean at the top. Motives are not always enterprise-related. It’s more about 
personal agendas.” And “Members of the executive management team above me are all 
men and I feel they see strong women as a threat.”50 
This concern with politics at the top resonates in our data when we compare four 
motivational factors showing the largest differences between men and women. Power 
showed the largest difference between men and women when we looked at the motivational 
factors that distinguish those holding executive positions. While the difference between men 
and women is modest, it is in favor of men and contrasts with Ease and security, which holds 
greater motivational value for women (see Figure 19). There is also a clear contrast between 
Recognition, stronger for women, and Fear of failure, stronger for men. 
The importance of individual differences is key in assessing motivational patterns and 
strengths, so it is important to highlight that not all men or all women are motivated to 
succeed in the same way. However, our data suggests that if the C-suite is dominated by 
those who are more motivated by Power and Fear of failure, then this environment will be a 
natural turn-off for people wanting a constructive environment where they will be recognized 
for achieving. Our data shows that the people who are most likely to experience that turn-off 
are women. 
That means the culture of the C-suite or perceptions of that culture have to change if it is 
going to attract aspiring female leaders. There’s been much talk about the need for values-driven 
and authentic leadership, and the time has come for organizations to make that a 
reality. The research we have cited from those such as McKinsey shows that is the type of 
leader women want to work for and to be. Not only are women more likely to value Ease and 
security and Recognition, they are likely to reflect those motivational factors in the way they 
manage and incentivize others. 
The development and preparation of people for senior roles must take into account that 
motivational factors are going to be especially important transitional hurdles for women, 
though our data also recognizes the need for attention to development of male leaders too. 
For either gender, an organizational shift from a culture framed by Fear of failure to one 
founded on Recognition for contribution and performance will be a stronger attraction for 
potential leaders. 
46 | The SHL Talent Report 
The C-suite culture has 
to change if it is going to 
attract aspiring female 
leaders.
Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 
30 70 
30 70 
Percentile 
Percentile 
shl.com | 47 
Figure 19: Motivation by gender 
Numbers represent percentile ranking 
What gets me out of bed in the morning? 
Ease and security 
Power 
45 57 
44 56 
When it comes to the supply of leadership talent, the 
gender math isn’t complicated 
The top tier of leadership talent that we have called leaders for today is in short supply. Failing 
to leverage the potential of women is only going to make the supply of leaders even smaller. 
The data shows the differences between men and women is negligible across our Top 25 
countries. All the research says that one of the key challenges for organizations is addressing 
the motivation of women to step up to the C-suite. Our data does supply evidence of 
motivational differences between men and women. Women look to Ease and security 
and Recognition more than men. Simply flagging that women are less attracted to senior 
positions isn’t going to change the gender balance at the top. We can identify tangible ways 
in which organizations can address the imbalance. 
The first step is to understand what motivates women to become leaders and how it varies 
between individuals. The second is to use that People Intelligence earlier in the career 
path to shape mentoring, coaching and learning experiences. This will equip women with 
leadership potential for the times when they meet inevitable motivational roadblocks. And, of 
course, the same advice applies to potential male leaders. Indeed, enabling potential leaders 
to understand what makes them and others tick will strengthen their leadership talent 
irrespective of their gender. The arithmetic is simple, ignoring what is effectively 50% of the 
global talent pool just makes the search for leaders all the more challenging. 
Percentile 
What brings me back the next day? 
Recognition 
Fear of failure 
Percentile 
46 57 
40 49 
30 70 
30 70 
Ease and security 
Constructive and pleasant 
working conditions and a 
sense of job/role security 
Power 
Opportunities to take 
responsibility, exercise 
authority and influence others 
Recognition 
Recognition and praise 
for their contributions and 
achievements 
Fear of failure 
The need to avoid failure 
and associated loss of 
self-esteem 
Men Women
Talking about “my” generation 
Let’s turn to the much debated generational differences and the impacts that the shift from 
the Boomer generation to the Millennials is having and will continue to have on the world of 
work. This section focuses first on motivation, and concludes by returning to what our data 
reveals about the ongoing supply of leadership potential as a generational shift occurs over 
the next decade and a half. 
Understanding the engagement and retention 
challenges of the multi-generational workforce 
Despite much that has been said and written about the differences between the work 
attitudes of the three generations, the research data is mixed and often conflicts51. The 
simple reality is that organizations need each of these generations. They can reap the 
benefits of the wisdom of aging workers and the fresh ideas and perspectives of younger 
workers if they understand the differences and how to respond to them appropriately. 
Where the broader research data is more consistent is in showing a general trend towards 
declining employer loyalty from generation to generation: 65% of Boomers would consider 
staying with an organization throughout their working lives in contrast to 40% of Gen Xers 
and only 20% of Millennials52. Clearly, this trend shows organizations and their managers 
need to be astute in their understanding of what motivates and engages employees, and 
be able to reflect that understanding in the way that work is rewarded and contribution 
recognized. 
We looked at our data on motivation to see what differences would help inform organizations 
about how to engage a multi-generational workforce. We found six factors any organization 
needs to be aware of (see Figure 20). 
Just as the war for talent is set to become more intense as workforce shortages emerge, the 
retention of skilled talent is clearly going to be more important. Flexibility is and will continue 
to be key to how organizations reflect these differences in their reward and recognition 
processes to address retention issues. 
So what does this mean for organizations that need to build a sustainable, diverse leadership 
pipeline, which does not peter out? Among the strongest motivational factors for the 
Millennials is progression and personal growth. Sustaining career progression, therefore, is 
the most singular challenge organizations face in energizing and retaining younger talent who 
are hungry to learn and compete for opportunities53. Since any organization will only have so 
many senior positions open at any one time, reframing what career progression means has 
become a critical must-do for talent managers54. 
And what of the Boomer generation that will remain as the largest inhabitants of the 
workplace for at least the next 15-20 years? These are the people who are most likely to have 
broader skills and experiences from which they can draw insight. They are also the people 
who hold much of the intellectual property that drives knowledge work, much of the social 
capital in terms of key networks inside and outside the organization, and the tacit knowledge 
of “how things really get done around here”. 
48 | The SHL Talent Report 
Declining 
employer loyalty 
Who would stay with an 
employer throughout their 
working lives? 
Boomers 
65% 
Gen X 
40% 
Millennials 
20%
Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 
Our data shows that reward and recognition that emphasizes Competition (they’ve already 
been there and done that), Progression (most of them will be at their maximum career 
point) and Personal growth (they’ve already developed skills and knowledge) is not going to 
motivate the Boomers. 
At first glance and reflecting the way generational differences have tended to be portrayed, 
these differences may be seen as potential sources of conflict. This is not necessarily the 
case. The effective manager will be sensitive to these differences and know that they require 
flexibility in how people are managed. And the manager who is most likely to be impacted 
by these differences is the Gen X manager. They bridge the Boomers on the one hand and 
the Millennials on the other. Understanding differences and managing diversity is now a 
critical competency for these managers in driving performance and sustaining employee 
engagement. 
41 52 55 
30 70 
Percentile 
Percentile 
Percentile 
Percentile 
Percentile 
shl.com | 49 
Figure 20: Motivation by generation 
Power 
Opportunities to take 
responsibility, exercise 
authority and influence others 
Competition 
Opportunities to distinguish 
themselves from others and 
to show they are the best 
Autonomy 
Independence and scope 
for determining how they 
approach and organize their 
work 
Progression 
Opportunities for career 
progression and promotion 
Personal principles 
Environments which promote 
ideals, high ethical standards 
and quality 
Personal growth 
Opportunities to learn, 
acquire skills and for personal 
development 
Numbers represent percentile ranking 
What gets me out of bed in the morning? 
Power 
Competition 
Percentile 
What brings me back the next day? 
Autonomy 
Progression 
4142 57 
40 53 59 
What will make me stick around? 
Personal principles 
Personal growth 
Boomers Gen X Millennials 
30 50 54 59 
70 
30 70 
30 70 
30 70 
32 42 50 
30 70 
37 48 54
The supply of leadership potential as 
the Millennials inherit the earth 
Just as the workplace becomes more diverse, the need for effective leadership will increase. 
When we look forward, what does our data say about the supply of leadership potential for 
the coming decade and a half? On the whole, for the technically savvy and digitally driven 
Millennials, the prospects are good – the supply of leadership talent is improving overall. 
While 6.3% or 1 in 16 of the Boomers in our data have the leaders for today level of potential, 
7.4% or 1 in 13 of Gen Xers and 8.4% or 1 in 11 of Millennials possess this level of leadership 
potential. 
What drives this trend is greater potential among the younger generations for the 
transformational competencies underpinning innovation, entrepreneurial thinking as well as 
a focus on execution. However, we also see a need for focused learning and development 
programs to harvest the potential of young leaders. Using the SHL Corporate Leadership 
Model55, we looked at how the three generations compared across four key management 
and leadership functions: Developing the vision, Sharing the goals, Gaining support and 
Delivering success (see Figure 21). 
We found modest differences in the talents that underpin the creation of ideas and proposals 
(Developing the vision), and negligible differences in the talents required to socialize those 
ideas effectively (Sharing the goals). Significant and substantive differences appear in the 
talents required to mobilize others in support of ideas and proposals (Gaining support) with 
the differences favoring the older generations, and in turning those ideas into actions and 
deliverables (Delivering success) favoring younger generations. 
Figure 21: Management & leadership functions 
44 50 53 
42 52 64 
40 49 56 
Numbers represent percentile ranking 
50 | The SHL Talent Report 
Boomers Gen X Millennials 
Developing the vision 
Percentile 
30 70 
Sharing the goals 
Percentile 
30 47 52 52 
70 
Gaining support 
Percentile 
30 70 
Delivering success 
Percentile 
30 70
Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 
Potential to 
become ‘leaders 
for today’ 
shl.com | 51 
Boomers 
1/16 
Gen X 
1/13 
Millennials 
1/11 
It’s not really about gender 
and generations 
Does this mean that the workplace of the future is set to become one in which execution 
supersedes the niceties of collaboration and getting the buy-in of others? The demands of 
an increasingly global and networked working world would suggest not. Framing objectives 
that motivate and develop others, empowering people and inspiring them with the trust 
to succeed will grow rather than diminish in importance and, ironically, these are the very 
leadership qualities required to meet the motivational needs of the younger generations for 
Personal growth and Progression. 
Here is where the wisdom to leverage differences will be key in the development of 
leadership potential. Mentoring and coaching programs that will pay a dividend are the ones 
that understand the motivational and competency profiles of the different generations and 
can bring those differences together to effect the transfer of the softer skills that are most 
likely to be the greatest hurdles for younger aspiring leaders in realizing their ambitions. 
It’s about the best person for the job and having managers 
who know how to leverage differences effectively 
We began this chapter by noting that 76 million American Boomers are set to exit the 
workforce in the coming years, a trend that will be followed in other mature economies. That 
means many organizations will have to face a simple fact – there is going to be an even bigger 
shortage of talent. 
A shortage of talent means a rethink. That rethink will have to include re-framing the world of 
work and many of the assumptions we hold today about that world will have to be discarded. 
But, discarding one set of assumptions for another set of assumptions will not serve 
organizations well. There is a need to develop clearer and more evidence-based perspectives 
on people and their talent. Organizations would be better served by understanding where 
differences matter and what those differences mean for employee performance and 
engagement.
Chapter 5 
The global race for skills 
shl.com | 53
The supply and quality 
of key hard skills 
In this chapter, we look at the hard skills of employees who administer and carry out the 
thousands of daily transactions that can make or break an organization. These hard skills are 
essential if the aspirations of leaders and the great ideas of innovators are to become a reality 
and deliver value. 
The supply and quality of key skills has become critical on a number of fronts. The most 
obvious need is for employers to find people who can execute and achieve organizational 
goals. Leading staffing firm Manpower reports that the search for skilled labor is proving 
difficult in many geographies: “Despite the continuing caution exercised by many 
organizations amid ongoing economic uncertainty, a substantial proportion of employers 
around the globe identify a lack of available skilled talent as a continuing drag on business 
performance. Overwhelmingly, a lack of available candidates with the right technical expertise 
and employability skills continues to vex employers.” 56 
The Manpower report also states more than 1 in 3 employers across geographies are unable 
to find talent with the necessary skillsets. The most acute shortages occur in both mature 
and emerging economies, including Australia, Brazil, India, and Japan. Almost half of the 
employers in the U.S. report difficulties filling jobs. In contrast, Europe, the Middle East and 
Africa report less critical talent shortages. 
Two other key factors are driving the dynamics in the global market for skilled labor – 
increased competition in the outsourcing market for services and IT, and the start of an 
insourcing trend among mature economies, which are looking to bring jobs back home. In a 
recent survey by The Engineering Employers Federation57 in the U.K., 2 in 5 companies were 
restoring domestic production. 
Valued at U.S. $62.4 billion in 201058, the IT outsourcing market has played a significant role 
in the growth of many emerging economies in Asia, Eastern Europe and South America. 
Today the trend may be in reverse, as insourcing is the option many companies are exploring 
while they regroup and rethink their business strategies. 
Increased demand for skills coupled with perceived shortages in supply has created an 
international competition for skilled labor. Employers facing shortages at home may also 
face competition for skills from outside their home geographies, creating what has been 
described as the global race for skills59. 
54 | The SHL Talent Report 
1 in 3 employers across 
geographies are unable 
to find talent with the 
necessary skillsets.
Chapter 5: The global race for skills 
shl.com | 55 
An objective view of 
key global skills 
Much of the information available to date on skills by country is based on perception and 
expert judgment60. We do not question the value of those judgments. What SHL contributes 
is hard data to understand objectively how countries, geographical and economic regions 
compare on skills levels. The data is based on standardized certifications administered 
globally, providing a common set of metrics to make comparisons. We have grouped the data 
from different certifications to ensure they are equivalent in terms of the skills levels they 
measure. 
Skill certification scores indicate the likely results achieved from training programs in terms of 
expected pass rates and average scores achieved by different populations globally. Our data 
shows where regions are placed in the global race for skills. Where pass rates and average 
scores are high, organizations have stronger skills pools to draw upon. 
Conversely, where we see lower pass rates and lower average scores, greater investment in 
training and education is required to create the volume of skilled labor to meet demand. 
Two critical skills areas – business administration & IT 
Both Manpower and Hays61 agree that among the skills employers are finding most difficult 
to source are those in business administration and IT, which is where we have focused our 
analysis. In this chapter, we examine results from certifications delivered between 2006 and 
2011 to view the global supply of talent in these two skills areas62. Business administration 
data covers administrative/clerical and essential business skills, and IT certifications are for 
programming, database development, and systems and networking. 
Since these skills areas are critical to all organizations regardless of region, we have used our 
data to develop a global view for comparison. We provide an overview by geographical region 
of where the supply of skills is strongest and where it is weakest. 
Table 7: The two critical skills areas 
Business Administration Information Technology (IT) 
Administrative/clerical skills 
Bookkeeping, Microsoft Office, office 
management & procedures, typing speed & 
accuracy 
Programming & database development 
C, C#, COBOL, Java, UNIX, .NET, XML, HTML, 
JavaScript 
Essential business skills 
Business mathematics, business writing & 
communication, marketing, presentation skills 
Systems & networking 
MS SQL Server, Oracle, RDBMS concepts, business 
analysis, software configuration management, 
networking concepts, network security, LAN/WAN 
communications, CISCO network design and support, 
LINUX administration, MS desktop and server 
administration
The global supply of business 
administration skills 
To get a view of general business administration skills globally, we constructed an overall 
ranking of certification results by country that represents the two subsets: administrative/ 
clerical and essential business skills. The rankings in Table 8 are derived from the combined 
pass rates and average scores for each subset. 
This ranking has significant meaning when one considers the dynamics driving the race 
for skills. Eastern European countries appear to have strong talent pools for administrative/ 
clerical and essential business skills, giving them an advantage in their home markets as 
well as offering strong sources of skilled labor to other neighboring economies as Europe 
emerges from the current economic downturn. 
Western European countries also rank as hot spots for administrative/clerical and essential 
business skills. One factor that would support the forward growth of European economies 
is the mobility of skilled labor across that region. To be effective, this requires clear People 
Intelligence on available skill levels. Organizations across Europe need to understand the 
skills available in their home and neighboring markets. 
The picture elsewhere is more mixed. Asia shows a divergent range in skills levels impacting 
both the more mature economies in this region as well as the emerging ones. India, ranking 
in the Top 25 for essential business skills (see Table 10) does not make it into the Top 25 
overall due to lower levels of administrative/clerical skills (see Table 9). China does not make 
it into our Top 25 whether we look at specific skills sets or take an overall view of skills levels. 
The data suggests at best an imbalance in the skills profiles for these countries. 
For Latin America and Africa, there are emerging talent pools with Mexico, South Africa and 
Brazil in our overall rankings. But, there are challenges for these countries with lower pass 
rates and average skills scores that speak to a need for greater investment in training and 
education to raise skills levels. Similar challenges emerge in the Middle East whether we look 
at the data at a macro regional level or at an individual country. Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the 
United Arab Emirates all sit outside our top 25’s for specific skills and overall, showing that 
the gap is particularly severe in this region for the key skills that enable the smooth day-to-day 
running of any organization. 
Breaking down the business administration skills area into subsets of administrative/clerical 
skills and essential business skills, the macro perspective shows additional differences 
by region. Beginning with administrative/clerical skills, the landscape is clearly polarized 
between the emerging and mature economies, and between geographies (see Figure 22). 
Certification results are higher in terms of both pass rates and quality among the more 
mature economies in Australia-New Zealand, both Eastern and Western Europe, and in North 
America. 
Skills strength in Eastern European nations is notable given the transition over the past two 
decades as they have adopted more open labor markets, with many joining the European 
Union (EU), and moved towards more free market economic models. 
The lower overall skills levels for Asia mask significant diversity across that region. Looking at 
specific countries in more detail shows this region spans the spectrum from high pass rates 
and high average scores to much lower levels. 
56 | The SHL Talent Report 
Table 8: Top 25 countries for combined 
business administration skills* 
Japan 
Netherlands 
Germany 
Poland 
Sweden 
U.K. 
Russia 
Czech Republic 
Australia 
Estonia 
Bulgaria 
Singapore 
New Zealand 
Romania 
Latvia 
Argentina 
Italy 
Lithuania 
Ireland 
Canada 
U.S. 
Ukraine 
Mexico 
South Africa 
Brazil 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
6 
7 
8 
9 
10 
11 
11 
13 
14 
15 
16 
17 
18 
19 
20 
21 
21 
23 
24 
25 
Region 
North America 
Australia-New Zealand 
Western Europe 
Asia 
Africa 
Middle East 
Eastern Europe 
Latin America 
* Final rank was determined by summing rankings by 
pass rate and average score, and then by re-ranking 
countries from smallest to largest summed rank.
Chapter 5: The global race for skills 
shl.com | 57 
A look at administrative/ 
clerical skills 
Table 9: Top 25 countries for administrative/ 
clerical skills certifications 
Rank* Country Pass 
Rate 
Average 
Score 
1 Japan 85.0% 3.97 
2 Netherlands 80.5% 3.38 
3 Germany 75.6% 3.24 
4 U.K. 73.6% 3.21 
5 Australia 72.3% 3.23 
6 Argentina 75.3% 3.13 
7 Singapore 73.3% 3.20 
7 Sweden 74.3% 3.13 
9 Poland 71.4% 3.18 
9 Russia 68.4% 3.21 
11 New Zealand 73.5% 3.11 
12 Bulgaria 68.1% 3.12 
12 Czech 
Republic 
68.6% 3.11 
14 Italy 70.4% 3.08 
15 Latvia 64.3% 3.16 
15 Ukraine 66.2% 3.12 
17 Romania 67.7% 3.06 
18 Estonia 67.5% 3.04 
19 U.S. 65.8% 3.06 
20 Ireland 63.8% 3.08 
21 Mexico 67.1% 3.00 
22 Canada 65.5% 3.03 
22 Lithuania 61.8% 3.07 
24 South Africa 63.9% 2.95 
25 Brazil 60.2% 2.92 
Table 9 shows the Top 25 countries ranked by pass rate and average score for administrative/ 
clerical skills. Two countries in Asia rank in the Top 25 – Japan and Singapore – with China 
and India notably absent. Average pass rates for these two countries are below the global 
pass rate at 54.1% and the average score across both countries ranks just above the pass 
mark for certification in administrative/clerical skills at 2.81. 
The Netherlands, Germany, the U.K. and Sweden rank high from Western Europe, joined 
by Poland, Russia, Bulgaria and the Czech Republic in the top 12 overall. Australia and New 
Zealand also have high rankings. Stronger quality of administrative/clerical skills is shown 
for Argentina with Mexico and Brazil coming in the second half of our table, supporting an 
emerging skills base in Latin America. South Africa’s ranking at 24th reflects lower, athough 
above global average, pass rates, but with average scores approaching the pass rate 
minimum of 2.75. 
The U.S. and Canada rank in the lower half of the Top 25. This seemed counterintuitive, so 
we looked for supporting data from other sources. The PISA program results for 2003 and 
2009 showed the U.S. ranked middle to lower for reading and science literacy, with one of 
the widest gaps seen between most and least-proficient students across OECD countries63. 
For both Canada and the U.S., higher skills levels cited in other reports tend to focus on 
university graduates. Data on skillsets of those without a university degree is scarce, and 
those are the people most likely to take the certification tests covered in this chapter. 
Figure 22: Administrative/clerical skills pass rates by geographic region 
71.2% 
69.8% 
66% 
65.8% 
54.8% 
54.7% 
44.8% 
49.9% 
Australia- 
New Zealand 
Western 
Europe 
Eastern 
Europe North 
America 
Latin America 
Africa 
Asia 
Middle East 
Global average pass rate is 60.3% 
Low High 
* Final rank was determined by summing rankings by 
pass rate and average score, and then by re-ranking 
countries from smallest to largest summed rank.
The view of essential 
business skills 
Figure 23 shows the macro landscape for essential business skills. The pattern that emerges 
is similar to that for administrative/clerical skills. The macro view by geography becomes 
clearer when we look at the strongest levels of essential business skills by country (see Table 
10). Countries in Eastern and Western Europe dominate the upper rankings, sharing the top 
with Japan. Australia-New Zealand, North America, Latin America and individual nations 
scattered by geography populate the lower half. 
One distinct feature of the business skills landscape is the strong representation of countries 
in Eastern Europe with Estonia, Poland, the Czech Republic, Russia, Romania and Bulgaria all 
ranking among the top 10 countries. 
Again, Japan ranks near the top of our table, with Singapore and Malaysia ranking lower, 
showing that, even among the strongest Asian countries for essential business skills, there is 
a wide range in skills throughputs and levels. 
This diversity is also shown for Western Europe and North America, with countries in these 
regions spanning the range from higher to lower rankings. 
Figure 23: Essential business skills pass rates by geographical region 
58 | The SHL Talent Report 
Table 10: Top 25 countries on essential 
business skills certifications 
Rank* Country Pass 
Rate 
Average 
Score 
1 Estonia 96.9% 3.75 
1 Japan 93.7% 4.25 
3 Poland 92.7% 3.80 
4 Netherlands 94.5% 3.59 
5 Czech 
Republic 
92.3% 3.71 
6 Russia 87.4% 3.58 
6 Sweden 85.75 3.62 
8 Germany 88.3% 3.53 
9 Romania 87.2% 3.56 
10 Bulgaria 83.6% 3.45 
10 U.K. 83.3% 3.48 
12 Latvia 83.8% 3.44 
13 Australia 84.5% 3.42 
14 New Zealand 83.3% 3.44 
15 Singapore 82.1% 3.45 
16 Lithuania 81.9% 3.43 
17 France 82.5% 3.29 
18 Canada 80.8% 3.40 
19 Ireland 78.4% 3.32 
20 Italy 79.7% 3.27 
21 South Africa 70.9% 3.24 
22 India 72.1% 3.12 
23 Brazil 64.9% 3.18 
23 Malaysia 68.6% 3.11 
23 Mexico 65.0% 3.12 
23 U.S. 67.9% 3.11 
83.4% 
82.8% 
76.3% 
69.8% 
68.2% 
66.1% 
58.1% 
59% 
Australia- 
New Zealand 
Western 
Europe 
Eastern 
Europe 
North 
America 
Latin America 
Africa 
Asia 
Middle East 
Global average pass rate is 68.7% 
Low High 
* Final rank was determined by summing rankings by 
pass rate and average score, and then by re-ranking 
countries from smallest to largest summed rank.
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Shl talent-report-use (1)

  • 1. The SHL Talent Report Big Data Insight and Analysis of the Global Workforce Eugene Burke and Ray Glennon
  • 2.
  • 3. Table of contents shl.com | 3 Foreword from Corporate Executive Board (CEB) 4 Introduction 5 Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders 7 Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation 19 Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk 31 Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 41 Chapter 5: The global race for skills 53 Conclusion 65 Endnotes 68 Appendix 70 About the authors 71
  • 4. Foreword from CEB Since the early 1990s, the performance of major enterprises around the world has been fueled largely by steady gains in labor efficiency and productivity. Maintaining, and extending, those gains will be a significant challenge in the face of an increasingly complex work environment – characterized by unpredictable global economic forces, ubiquitous information, and rapid technological changes. It is no surprise that talent management has been elevated to the top of the strategic agenda for corporate boards and executive teams worldwide. Numerous studies have shown that well led firms – those who are able to attract, retain, develop and engage the best talent – are more likely to hit their business objectives and grow. How do you know if your organization is well led? Is your organization’s talent ready to perform in the new work environment? Are your talent development programs focused on the right objectives? The SHL Talent Report for 2012 brings the best in talent analytics to bear to provide new insights on important talent management topics: leadership, innovation, organizational risk, diversity, and the distribution of critical employee skills globally. SHL has a privileged and unique position to help executives understand their current and emerging talent base. The insights in this report are generated from the work of more than 300 expert industrial psychologists and data from almost 4 million assessments in close to 200 countries. The strategic importance of talent data and intelligence was a key driver for CEB’s acquisition of SHL this past summer. Combined, our two organizations are able to provide unparalleled insight and advice on leading and managing talent in the new global economy. As the leading member-based advisory company, CEB equips senior leaders with insight and actionable solutions to transform their operations. We’ve done this for nearly 30 years by identifying the world’s best management practices, corporate benchmarks and data-based analytics. Combining SHL’s unparalleled knowledge of workforce skills, competencies and capabilities with CEB’s archive of more than 15,000 best practices, will help our members identify and act on their key talent management challenges – across their enterprises broadly, within their most important corporate functions (Sales, R&D, Marketing, and Finance), and in their new and emerging markets. Conrad Schmidt Global Research Officer, CEB 4 | The SHL Talent Report
  • 5. shl.com | 5 Introduction This report is about knowing. It is about questions that organizations worldwide ask themselves every day. Questions such as “How do we know that our people can achieve what we want to achieve?” and “How do we know that our talent management programs will deliver?” Knowing requires data and insight Our mission at SHL is to provide that knowledge and insight through People Intelligence. That intelligence is delivered through reliable, scientifically valid and objective measures of people’s talents, ranging from their potential to be an effective leader to the specific skills and knowledge required for the thousands of daily transactions that make or break an organization. With the launch of the SHL Talent AnalyticsTM program this year, we have delivered a new macro capability in People Intelligence. Organizations can now look at their people against their industry and across the geographies in which they operate. This has helped leading organizations articulate their people issues and identify where they need to focus to address those issues. The program has also moved the talent conversation on from the cliché that people are our most valuable asset. Now organizations can see where the value of their people is and what they need to do to realize that value. SHL Talent AnalyticsTM is about actionable insight based on hard data about talent. Delivering millions of assessments globally places SHL in a unique position to share a global and a local view of talent. In this report, that view is shared in the context of the most pressing talent questions of today. • What does the supply of leadership potential look like by geography and by industry sector? • What are the talents that drive effective innovation and how are those talents distributed globally? • Which sectors are most at risk from the behavior of their people? • Is the gender imbalance in favor of men for senior positions driven by differences in leadership potential? • What are the implications of an aging workforce for the future supply of leaders and the dynamics of the workplace over the next decade? • Which geographies are best placed in the global race for skills? • Where can I find the talent I need? In the true spirit of big data, this report aims to provide you with a compass to help guide and improve the effectiveness of your talent programs. People Intelligence is the insight into behavior, ability and potential SHL offers to help organizations understand, benchmark and make better decisions about people.
  • 6. Chapter 1 The global availability of current and future leaders shl.com | 7
  • 7. Perspectives on the supply of leaders for today and tomorrow How intelligent is your organization about identifying leaders for today and for tomorrow? Major economic shifts, swift social and political change, and accelerating technological and communications capabilities are driving an ever-greater demand for effective leadership. Which begs the question: where will top leadership talent come from to meet high demand? At SHL, we believe that effective leadership is about influencing people so that they share common goals and work more effectively towards the achievement of the organization’s mission1. Effective leaders know how to develop a compelling vision that is based on clear and critical thinking; know how to articulate and communicate goals that motivate others and provide direction; know how to communicate effectively and to support others through change; and know how to get things done and realize tangible goals and objectives. Finding individuals with this rounded repertoire of leadership talents is clearly a challenge, one recognized by both executives and the employees whom they lead. Recent surveys show as few as 25% of employees believe their organizations have the leaders to succeed in the future2 and only 33% identify their executives as being among the top leadership talent in their industry3. To help organizations understand the global landscape of leadership talent and to frame strategies for identifying, acquiring and developing effective leaders, we have harnessed SHL’s extensive data on leadership potential. We look at the supply of leadership talent from two perspectives: those with potential to lead today, and those who have potential through additional development to become the leaders of tomorrow. Leadership gaps and succession risk Whether you ask executives looking at their people from above or employees judging their organizations from below, both express a lack of confidence in the next generation of leaders4 – or in the ability of their organization to develop leadership talent5. Organizations acknowledge this succession risk as one of the most critical factors facing them today6. However, mitigating this risk requires the kind of intelligence about people’s potential that many organizations are missing or, if they have the data, fail to use effectively. 8 | The SHL Talent Report Effective leaders • Articulate a compelling vision • Understand how to motivate others • Provide clear direction • Communicate effectively • Support others through change • Accomplish goals and objectives Only 1 in 4 employees believe their organizations have the leaders to succeed in the future.2
  • 8. Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders shl.com | 9 The geography of leaders for today Leadership potential for today: People with the strongest potential to be effective leaders. Most likely to respond to leadership development and realize that investment through performance in a leadership role. Table 1: Supply of potential leaders for today as a % of population: Top 25 countries7 China (Hong Kong) Germany United Kingdom Australia United States Switzerland Canada Japan Singapore New Zealand Sweden China (Taiwan) France Thailand Finland Belgium Spain Turkey Italy South Africa United Arab Emirates Mexico Denmark Brazil Norway 14.0% 13.4% 10.3% 10.0% 9.9% 9.8% 9.5% 9.4% 8.9% 8.0% 7.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.0% 6.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 6.1% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 5.4% 5.3% 5.2% Average Those in the leaders for today group have the strongest behavioral repertoire to be effective leaders. They are stronger in the more transactional, managerial and operational behaviors that build effective relationships with people, can drill down to the essence of a problem and evaluate the data to identify a solution, can organize and mobilize resources, and can adapt to challenges and change effectively. They are also stronger in the transformational behaviors that can engage and influence others to get things done (rather than doing it themselves), can communicate effectively to gain the support of others, can think laterally and bring new insights, and have the drive to see things through and achieve their personal career objectives. Analysis of the data shows that a very small number – just 6.7% or 1 in 15 managers, professionals or executives globally – fit this category. We have called them leaders for today simply because they are the people who, with the right experience, are most likely to deliver in a leadership position. Table 1 shows the Top 25 countries for this level of leadership potential. Countries in North America (Canada and United States), Western Europe (notably Germany, United Kingdom, Switzerland, Sweden, France and Finland), and Australia and New Zealand emerge as the global hot spots. While Asia as a region does not emerge as strongly in the supply of this level of leadership talent, China (Hong Kong), Japan, Singapore, China (Taiwan) and Thailand are emerging as top hot spots in Asia. Region9 North America Australia- New Zealand Western Europe Asia Africa Middle East Eastern Europe Latin America
  • 9. Region North America Australia- New Zealand Western Europe Asia Africa Middle East Eastern Europe Latin America The geography of leaders for tomorrow Leadership potential for tomorrow: People with the potential to become well-rounded leaders, but who have a longer personal journey to take in order to reach that level of effectiveness. 10 | The SHL Talent Report Table 2: Supply of potential leaders for tomorrow as a % of population: Top 25 countries8 Mexico Turkey Egypt Switzerland Brazil India Italy United States Germany Netherlands China (Taiwan) United Arab Emirates Denmark Sweden Portugal Russia Spain Ireland Indonesia China (Hong Kong) United Kingdom Norway Poland Canada China (Mainland) 53.9% 49.5% 44.1% 43.4% 41.8% 41.3% 41.2% 41.0% 40.1% 39.9% 39.4% 39.3% 39.1% 38.6% 37.3% 36.9% 36.8% 36.7% 36.7% 36.6% 36.6% 35.9% 35.2% 34.5% 34.3% Average The next tier of potential leaders includes those who exhibit strengths in some of the key behaviors but lack fully-rounded potential. They may have strength in some of the transactional facets of leadership and can deliver programs to time, cost and quality, but lack strength in areas such as communication, influencing and lateral thinking. Or they may have strengths in these transformational areas but lack strengths in the areas that turn ideas into effective programs of work. These are the people who would benefit from additional development and we have called them leaders for tomorrow simply because they have a longer personal journey to become effective and rounded leaders. Organizations ignore this tier of leadership at their peril. From a supply side perspective, 1 in 3 managers and professionals have this level of leadership potential – six times the proportion in the leaders for today tier of leadership potential. Realizing the potential of leaders for tomorrow requires targeted learning and development, which in turn requires a deep understanding of their strengths and challenges. The landscape changes quite a bit when we look at the supply of leaders for tomorrow (see Table 2). The availability of leadership potential for tomorrow is strongest among emerging economies, notably the BRICS countries: Brazil, Russia, India, and China (Taiwan) – with South Africa at 32.3% falling outside the Top 25. Additional strong geographies for leaders for tomorrow are found in the newly coined TIMS emerging economies: Turkey, Indonesia, Mexico, and South Korea. Latin America and the Middle East also feature strongly as hot spots for leaders for tomorrow (see Figure 2).
  • 10. Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders shl.com | 11 Leadership by region When we look at the global distribution of leadership potential, we see a marked difference between leaders for today and leaders for tomorrow. Figure 1: Regional view: Leadership for today Figure 2: Regional view: Leadership for tomorrow Region9 North America Australia-New Zealand Western Europe Asia Africa Middle East Eastern Europe Latin America 7 6 1 5 8 4 3 2 1 2 8 7 6 5 4 3
  • 11. Adapting leadership strategies to regional needs Viewing the supply of potential leadership talent for today and tomorrow suggests that organizations need to adapt their strategies to reflect different needs in different regions. Looking at the supply of leadership in the countries ranked in the Top 25 for today and tomorrow, and comparing them to the global supply, four distinct groups emerge requiring distinct leadership acquisition and development strategies. Leaders for today Leaders for tomorrow 1. Strongest potential overall. In the first group, the supply of leadership for today and tomorrow is stronger than the average global supply. While competing for leadership talent remains a challenge in these geographies, the odds of finding effective leaders for today are significantly higher at 1 in 10 versus the global average of 1 in 15. With the right intelligence on the leadership potential of their people, leveraging the supplies of leaders for today and tomorrow offers a source of competitive advantage for organizations in these geographies as they engage in an increasingly global economy. This group includes: • Asia: China (Taiwan) • Western Europe: Germany, Sweden, Switzerland • North America: United States 2. Strong today – challenged tomorrow. The second group identified has a different challenge – stronger than global average supply of people with the highest potential today to move into a leadership role, but succession risk in terms of available leadership talent for tomorrow. For this group, the challenge will be to use People Intelligence to maximize the investment in learning and development to build leadership bench strength for the future. Geographies facing this challenge are spread around the globe: • Asia: China (Hong Kong), Japan, Singapore, Thailand • Western Europe: France, Finland, UK • Australia-New Zealand • North America: Canada 3. Weaker today, but the future looks bright. Flip the challenge around and we find several countries from the emerging BRICS and TIMS economic blocs with a short supply of top potential leadership talent today, but showing greater potential for available future leaders. In order for this group to stay competitive, using People Intelligence is even more critical to identify leaders now since the odds of successfully doing so are 1 in 20 – half the odds of the strong group one countries. 12 | The SHL Talent Report Emerging economies have strong supplies for leaders for tomorrow, provided development programs are targeted to realize that potential.
  • 12. Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders shl.com | 13 The data suggests the value of People Intelligence extends beyond the hiring phase into development programs to strengthen the effectiveness of those in senior positions; as well as identifying potential in the richer supply of leaders for tomorrow in these geographies. • Asia: India • Western Europe: Denmark, Italy, Netherlands • Latin America: Brazil and Mexico • Middle East: Egypt and Turkey 4. Weakest potential overall. This group requires a strategy to build a strong alignment between talent acquisition and development. In these geographies, identifying potential leaders early and ensuring they have the personal and career development to realize their potential is essential. This strategy will also be critical for companies operating across diverse geographies who wish to avoid a crucial error: using a one-size-fits-all approach to identifying and developing leaders everywhere they operate. Such an approach ignores socio-economic and cultural differences in leadership potential and development needs and that these differences require a flexible and localized approach (see Figure 3). This group includes: • Middle East/Africa: South Africa • Asia: China (Mainland), Indonesia • Eastern Europe: Poland, Russia • Western Europe: Ireland, Norway, Portugal, Spain Figure 3: The supply of leadership talent in emerging and mature economies10 1 6.3% 5.3% Percentage of population Leaders for today Leaders for tomorrow 4 3 3 4 5 2 2 6 5 5 37.4% 38.5% 1 37.0% 42.6% 38.1% 37.0% 4.5% 8.7% 6.8% 6.6%
  • 13. Which industries have the strongest supplies of leadership talent? When looking at the data across both industry sectors and geographical regions, specific areas of strengths and weaknesses in the leadership talent pools for today and tomorrow emerge (see Figures 4-6 on pages 15, 16, and 17). Strongest sectors overall Banking, Insurance and Financial Services sectors have the advantage of strong supplies of leadership both today and tomorrow across most geographies, with the exception of Western Europe. Weakest sectors overall In contrast, the Oil & Gas and Utilities sectors face challenges in the supply of leaders for both today and tomorrow, particularly in Eastern Europe and North America, despite North America being one of the geographical hot spots for leadership talent. Strong today – challenged tomorrow Mining, Professional Services and the Public Sector emerge as sectors attracting stronger talent for leadership today but face likely succession risks in the future, with risk highest in Australia-New Zealand for Mining; in the Middle East and Africa for Professional Services; and in Asia for the Public Sector. Weaker today, but the future looks bright Other sectors are weaker in attracting strong leaders for today but attract stronger supplies of leaders for tomorrow. For these sectors – Consumer Goods, Healthcare, Telecoms and General Business Services – we see the need for a two-pronged strategy of strengthening leadership attraction and acquisition programs while also using People Intelligence to meet development gaps. The data also suggests that relying on recruiting leaders on the basis of sector specific knowledge and experience is simply the wrong strategy for many sectors seeking to build a pool of effective leaders for today and tomorrow. For several sectors, taking a broader scan of leadership talent including talent pools from outside their traditional sectors is essential. 14 | The SHL Talent Report
  • 14. Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders shl.com | 15 Industries with the strongest leaders for today Figure 4: Leaders for today by industry sector globally The data was cut by 17 industry sectors11 to provide a picture of which sectors are more effective in attracting strong leadership for today. Professional Services 10.3%* Public Sector 10.3% Mining 8.8% Insurance & Financial Services 8.6% Consumer Goods (Heavy Goods) 5.8% Banking 8.4% Technology 6.6% Utilities 6.6% Retail 6.5% Food, Beverages & Tobacco 6.6% Business Services 6.1% Telecoms 5.9% Healthcare 5.9% Travel & Leisure 5.4% Engineering 5.4% Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal) 5.7% Oil & Gas 5.1% 1 1 3 4 5 10 9 6 6 6 11 11 13 14 15 15 17 * i.e. 10.3% of people working in the Professional Services sector have the potential to be leaders today.
  • 15. Industries with the strongest leaders for tomorrow Figure 5: Leaders for tomorrow by industry sector globally When we look at the supply of leadership for tomorrow, we get a very different picture by industry. Consumer Goods (Heavy Goods) 46.4% 16 | The SHL Talent Report Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal) 59.8% Insurance & Financial Services 56.5% Business Services 55.0% Banking 52.0% Mining Public 32.9% Sector 22.8% Healthcare 51.3% Telecoms 50.5% Technology 48.2% Food, Beverages & Tobacco 46.6% Retail 44.1% Travel & Leisure 38.9% Engineering 43.3% Oil & Gas 29.2% Utilities 24.3% Professional Services 32.2% 1 2 3 4 5 10 9 8 7 6 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
  • 16. Chapter 1: The global availability of current and future leaders shl.com | 17 Which industry sectors offer the strongest supplies of leadership talent in the geographies you operate in? Figure 6: Industries with strongest leaders for today and leaders for tomorrow, by region North America Leaders for today: Retail, Banking, Insurance & Financial Services Leaders for tomorrow: Banking, Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal), Telecoms Western Europe Leaders for today: Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal), Mining, Public Sector Leaders for tomorrow: Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal), Retail, Technology Eastern Europe Leaders for today: Banking, Insurance & Financial Services, Technology Leaders for tomorrow: Insurance & Financial Services, Technology, Travel & Leisure Asia Leaders for today: Insurance & Financial Services, Professional Services, Public Sector Leaders for tomorrow: Banking, Healthcare and Technology Latin America Leaders for today: Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal), Healthcare, Insurance & Financial Services Leaders for tomorrow: General Business Services, Insurance & Financial Services, Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal) Middle East & Africa Leaders for today: Banking, Mining, Oil & Gas Leaders for tomorrow: Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal), Food, Beverages & Tobacco, Telecoms Australia-New Zealand Leaders for today: Insurance & Financial Services, Professional Services, Public Sector Leaders for tomorrow: Consumer Goods (Leisure & Personal), Insurance & Financial Services, Professional Services
  • 17. The question is not whether there is leadership talent The question is how intelligent is your organization in recognizing that talent and developing it. A more hopeful picture of leadership talent emerges from the data when you look beyond the highest tier of talent to the next tier, where there is potential to be realized if the right People Intelligence is applied to identify and develop it. This talent pool is much more evenly distributed globally and much stronger in many geographies, notably the emerging economies, and will require time and investment to grow. Organizations will need to put in place clear and targeted programs to address development gaps. The supply of leadership talent varies by sector Industry sectors are facing significant challenges both today and tomorrow and need to reconsider their assumptions about the strength of their leadership talent. Many need to recognize succession risks. They especially need to develop greater intelligence about that talent, how to leverage it more effectively, and put in place development programs for those they hope to move into senior roles. Geography matters Finally, organizations need to be aware of future leadership challenges at the country level. Organizations need to understand the supply of leadership where they operate and adapt their leadership development and succession programs accordingly. More mature economies run the risk of relying on the stronger supply of leadership talent for today but failing to recognize a potential future shortfall of effective leaders for tomorrow. In emerging economies, with an ever more globalized economy predicted to be as volatile as our experience in recent years, the demand for effective leaders and the demand to be increasingly thoughtful about managing leadership talent will only increase. 18 | The SHL Talent Report Data shows that the demand for effective leaders and the demand to be increasingly thoughtful about managing leadership talent will only increase. Just 1 in 15 managers or executives globally have the potential to become a top leader.
  • 18. Chapter 2 The global availability of innovation shl.com | 19
  • 19. Looking for innovator potential around the world In a world full of volatility and challenges, innovation has become the single most important factor for both private and public sector organizations to transform a crisis into an opportunity. Additionally, rapidly changing business models highlight the importance of innovation to the success and survival of today’s organizations. The ability to innovate impacts the organization broadly; whether in the application of technology, development of new products and services, marketing, or day-to-day operations. As business management expert Gary Hamel has said, “Every company worth its low-salt lunch has identified innovation as a core competency.” There are at least three conditions that determine whether the investment in innovation will deliver value to an organization: • Organizational processes to stimulate, support and translate the innovation of its people into tangible value • Geographical context – both economic and social – for supporting innovation • People with the right talent to be true innovators Much has been written about innovation processes. Global indices such as those produced by the INSEAD and the Boston Group12 (discussed in detail on page 28) have recently been developed to tell organizations what the state of play is geographically in terms of the economic and social conditions for innovation. But equally important, what talent is available to become innovators? How is that talent distributed geographically and across industry sectors? These are the questions we will address in this chapter. 20 | The SHL Talent Report “Management knows it and so does Wall Street: The year to year viability of a company depends on its ability to innovate. Given today’s market expectations, global competitiveness, and the extent and pace of structural change, this is truer than ever.”13 Harvard Business Review The ability to innovate impacts the organization broadly, whether in the application of technology, development of new products and services, marketing, or day-to-day operations.
  • 20. Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation shl.com | 21 The DNA of the innovator and the SHL Innovation Index When you think of innovations in recent years, do Apple products come to mind? If so, you share a common association with the iconic status of Steve Jobs as an innovator, and he would more than likely point out that effective innovation calls for more than just coming up with new ideas. Effective innovators need the intellectual capability to see new associations and possibilities, and the analytical skills to interpret and translate market and customer data into specific offerings. They must be able to focus, to persist in the face of initial failures, to be able to make right hand turns in thinking, to articulate a need, be able to persuade, influence and sell an innovation to others, and to work collaboratively as well as work through potential conflict. Innovation is, after all, about change. To capture this unique blend of talents that mark the true innovator, we have explored behaviors that drive effective innovation and captured these in the SHL Innovation Index. This index takes into account two key domains of innovator talent in Table 3 below. Table 3: Index for behaviors that drive effective innovation Focus & Insight Networking & Collaboration Ability to reason Capacity to build effective relationships Capacity to think laterally – or ‘outside the box’ Ability to navigate social networks effectively Capacity to focus on a particular need Strong communication skills required for influencing others Ability to adapt to new data Ability to sell an innovation into an organization or to raise investment capital Ability to persist through those moments when an initial idea does not work, or when an experiment presents challenges You will find more on the SHL Innovation Index in the Appendix. “Every company worth its low-salt lunch has identified innovation as a core competency.” Gary Hamel
  • 21. Region North America Australia- New Zealand Western Europe Asia Africa Middle East Eastern Europe Latin America Mapping the supply of innovator potential As illustrated in the previous chapter, the supply of talent to be an effective top leader is scarce at 1 in 15 of the assessed population. Similar results are found when examining the data from the SHL Innovation Index for innovator potential. Just 1 in 17 or 5.8% of graduates, managers and professionals have the potential to be a true innovator. What does the supply of innovator talent by geography look like? North America, Western Europe and Asia featured heavily on the list. Countries in Eastern Europe emerge as centers for innovator talent, with Hungary, Poland and Russia featured in the Top 25 (see Table 4). Though individual countries such as China (Hong Kong), Japan, Singapore and South Korea rank in the Top 25 list for innovator potential, Asia as a region factors lower than North America, Australia-New Zealand, and Western Europe. In spite of its reputation as an IT powerhouse, India did not feature strongly in talent for innovation. 22 | The SHL Talent Report Table 4: Supply of innovator talent: Top 25 countries by % of population14 United States China (Hong Kong) Australia Germany Singapore United Kingdom Sweden Canada Netherlands Denmark New Zealand Switzerland Ireland France Japan Italy Spain Belgium South Korea Hungary China (Mainland) Russia Iceland Poland China (Taiwan) 11.1% 10.6% 10.5% 10.1% 9.8% 9.7% 9.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.9% 6.3% 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% Average
  • 22. Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation shl.com | 23 Talent for innovation by region With the United States and Canada both ranking in the top 10, North America understandably rates as the top global region for overall innovation, followed by Australia-New Zealand and Western Europe. Figure 7: Innovator talent by geographical region 1 2 3 5 4 7 6 8 North America Australia-New Zealand Western Europe Asia Region15 Eastern Europe Middle East Africa Latin America 10.1% 8.8% 7.0% 4.9% 4.7% 3.0% 2.6% 1.0%
  • 23. Developing innovation talent Investing in learning and development to close the geographical gap in innovator talent. This raises questions as to what should organizations focus on to be able to strengthen innovation among their employee populations. Developmental needs for those with innovator talent in Asia for example, lie in the Networking & Collaboration domain of the SHL innovator model and index. Specifically, talent management programs designed to leverage innovator talent potential in this region need to focus on improving competencies such as Building Effective Networks, Influencing & Persuading, and in Communication. This enables those charged with innovation to understand how to navigate the culture of their organizations and leverage social networks locally and internationally, as well as within and outside their organizations. A need for learning and development is also apparent when we compare the more mature and emerging economies (see Figure 8). Figure 8: The supply of innovator talent in emerging and mature economies16 TIMS 6 Percentage of innovators for today G8 OECD G20 EU BRICS 24 | The SHL Talent Report 5 2 4 2 1 This data shows how important it is for organizations to understand regional variations in the bench strength and availability of ‘true innovator’ talent so they can create programs that strengthen their ability to execute innovation projects effectively.
  • 24. Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation shl.com | 25 Industries with the greatest supply of potential innovators Innovation can take many forms: from creating new products and services, to finding new supply sources, developing new markets and new ways to reach existing markets, or identifying new ways of organizing. This means the supply of innovator talent is critical across all aspects of economic activity and not just in the most obvious ones such as R&D. Figure 9 shows which industry sectors are strong in attracting and employing innovator talent, and which sectors are not. Technology ranks No.1, but we see Professional Services, Food, Tobacco & Beverages, Retail, and Insurance & Finance sectors also ranking high. Regarding the Public Sector ranking near the middle of the list: significant economic, social and political challenges place increasing pressure on how public services are financed, delivered and measured in terms of value. Finding new ways of organizing has become a key mission for governments and their agencies, particularly in Europe and North America, and that means innovation. For the Public Sector as well as Banking, attracting and developing innovator talent appears to be a key priority for talent management programs. These and the sectors that rank lower down the list need to reconsider the profile of talent they have traditionally attracted and employed in order to create the talent profile they will need to move forward and succeed in today’s increasingly volatile environment. Variations across sectors appear when we factor in geographical region (see Figure 10) showing that organizations need to be aware of and sensitive to the supply of innovator talent where they operate, and have the People Intelligence to know where to invest in their people to build their talent strength locally. For the Public Sector as well as other sectors such as Banking, attracting and developing innovator talent appears to be a key priority for talent management programs. ‘True innovator’ potential is just 1 in 17 or 5.8% of the population
  • 25. Industries with the greatest supply of potential innovators Figure 9: Innovator talent ranked by industry sector globally, as a percentage of population Consumer Goods (Personal & Leisure) 5.3% 26 | The SHL Talent Report Telecoms 4.6% Mining 5.6% Retail 5.9% Technology 6.4%* Professional Services 6.2% Food, Beverages & Tobacco 5.9% Consumer Goods (Heavy Goods) 5.8% Insurance & Financial Services 5.6% Public Sector 5.4% Business Services 4.9% Banking 4.6% Healthcare 4.8% Engineering 4.2% Oil & Gas 4.2% Utilities 4.3% Travel & Leisure 4.1% 1 2 3 3 5 10 9 8 6 6 11 12 12 14 15 15 17 * i.e. 6.4% of people working in the technology sector have the potential to be true innovators.
  • 26. Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation shl.com | 27 Industries with the strongest talent for innovation by region North America Stronger innovation talent: Retail, Technology, Telecoms Weaker innovation talent: Consumer Goods (Personal & Leisure), Travel & Leisure Western Europe Stronger innovation talent: Professional Services, Technology Weaker innovation talent: Banking, Oil & Gas, Telecoms Eastern Europe Stronger innovation talent: Consumer Goods (Personal & Leisure), Professional Services Weaker innovation talent: Oil & Gas, Retail Asia Stronger innovation talent: Insurance & Financial Services, Professional Services Weaker innovation talent: Oil & Gas, Travel & Leisure Latin America Stronger innovation talent: Food, Beverages & Tobacco, Public Sector Weaker innovation talent: Engineering, Telecoms Middle East & Africa Stronger innovation talent: Food, Beverages & Tobacco, Mining, Oil & Gas Weaker innovation talent: Consumer Goods (Heavy Goods), Travel & Leisure Australia-New Zealand Stronger innovation talent: Insurance & Financial Services, Professional Services Weaker innovation talent: Retail, Travel & Leisure Figure 10: Talent for innovation by industry sector and region
  • 27. A comprehensive view of global innovation Recognizing the growing importance of innovation, the past few years have seen the development of global innovation indices to provide policy makers and business leaders with a view of the global landscape for innovation readiness. These indices combine data on the ‘inputs’ for innovation readiness, such as the infrastructure to support innovation and business sophistication, and data on the scientific and creative ‘outputs’ to rank countries in terms of the economic, financial and social context for innovation. We have looked at data from two such indices, one from the United States produced by the Boston Consulting Group with the National Association of Manufacturers in the U.S., and one from INSEAD located in Europe and Asia17. We extend this view of human capital by adding SHL intelligence on innovator potential and the behaviors and attitudes that turn the knowledge inputs to innovation into tangible outputs that create value. Analysis shows both the Boston and the INSEAD indices correlate strongly with the SHL Innovation Index. It also shows that insight into the ‘talent to innovate’ combined with data on economic and social conditions provides a more comprehensive view of the global innovation landscape. Of note is the strong correlation we found between both economic indices and the Networking & Collaboration component of the SHL Innovation Index, emphasizing how critical social and interpersonal factors are to effective innovation. We combined data on both the Boston and INSEAD indices to create an overall score we called ‘context for innovation’ (business confidence, social, economic and financial factors). Figure 11 shows the results when this was plotted against the SHL Innovation Index18. What we found were four distinct clusters. Cluster 1 countries have both stronger economic context and stronger supplies of innovator talent, and are countries with a clear global competitive advantage for innovation. This cluster includes: • Asia: particular strength in China (Hong Kong) and Singapore • Australia • Western Europe: particular strength in Germany, Sweden, Switzerland and the U.K. • North America: both Canada and the U.S. featuring strongly Cluster 2 countries have the economic and social infrastructure in place but have weaker supplies of innovator talent. Clearly identifying and developing innovator talent will yield a higher economic return from the investment potential available in these countries. In this cluster we find: • Asia: China (Mainland) • Western Europe: Finland, Norway and Portugal • Eastern Europe: Hungary • Middle East: United Arab Emirates Cluster 3 involves just three countries – Italy, the Netherlands and New Zealand. These are countries with stronger supplies of innovator talent but weaker infrastructure to realize the potential that a stronger supply offers. 28 | The SHL Talent Report
  • 28. Chapter 2: The global availability of innovation Cluster 2 Cluster 1 China (Hong Kong) Cluster 4 Cluster 3 shl.com | 29 Cluster 4 countries have stronger challenges in both the economic and social conditions for innovation as well as weaker supplies of innovator talent. For this cluster, a key priority has to be the identification and development of innovator talent to sustain and build on the economic growth that many of these countries have enjoyed in recent years. This cluster includes: • Africa: South Africa • Asia: India, Indonesia and Thailand • Eastern Europe: Poland, Romania and Russia • Western Europe: Greece • Latin America: Brazil and Mexico • Middle East: Egypt and Turkey Figure 11: Combined data on the economic and social conditions for innovation with the supply of innovator talent.19 Indonesia Egypt Italy Poland Russia Greece Turkey South Africa India Romania Brazil Thailand Mexico China (Mainland) Spain Hungary Portugal United Arab Emirates New Zealand Sweden Canada Netherlands Switzerland Finland Denmark Ireland Japan Norway Belgium France U.S. U.K. Germany Australia Context for innovation Supply of innovator talent Singapore Lower Higher Lower Higher
  • 29. Innovation isn’t an option – it’s a must do Events in recent years have forced governments, the public sector, and private businesses in the more mature economies to think hard about how they are organizationally and financially structured. Adopting new technologies in the search for productivity gains and cost reductions has driven efficiencies. In Europe, North America and Australia-New Zealand organizations are already leaner or will be soon. However, more is necessary to ensure a secure future. New ways of working, new and more sophisticated goods and services, as well as innovative ways of delivering those goods and services are becoming critical globally. In the emerging economies, product driven growth achieved by scalable and low cost production processes is set to come under increasing pressure for two reasons. First, broader economic growth globally will bring new challenges to the powerhouses of China and India. Other countries will become more competitive for a share of the global market for goods and services. From a talent perspective, SHL’s data indicates that China is better positioned to weather this competition, India less so. Our research also points to the countries in Eastern Europe being well placed, with the innovator talent to compete for a greater share of the global market. The second reason is what the Economist has recently called a “third industrial revolution” in which digital manufacturing will change the landscape for manufacturing, service delivery and ways of working. To quote “... some of the business of making things will return to rich countries.”20 Despite their travails, the older economies are not finished yet and results from our study indicate they have the talent to make this third industrial revolution happen. Innovation will be key to moving up the value chain from more traditional goods and services to more value-intensive goods and services in the future, particularly under challenging economic and trading conditions. Knowing that innovation is a critical core competency will not be enough for organizations to succeed. SHL’s data shows that the sectors with the greatest need to recognize this and take action include Travel & Leisure, Oil & Gas, Banking, and the Public Sector. They face significant challenges, including reduced consumer spending, environmental concerns, distrust of their products and services, and a need to work within constrained government budgets. Whatever the geography or sector, those organizations with the People Intelligence to identify, acquire and develop innovator talent will be the organizations to thrive. 30 | The SHL Talent Report
  • 30. Chapter 3 shl.com | 31 The landscape of organizational risk
  • 31. The landscape of organizational risk “Fortune favors those who dare” – or does it?21 Typically, analyses of risks by geography and industry look at regulation, legislation, and a variety of social, economic, political and financial factors. Few indices of organizational risk look at the behavior of the people employed by organizations. This is a key flaw in how organizations approach risk. There is a wealth of scientific research showing that it is precisely what people do or fail to do that are key to an organization’s resilience to risk. With recent news of a judicial inquiry into telephone hacking by the media22, the continued fallout in the finance sector resulting from Lehman Brothers bankruptcy23, and a parliamentary commission in the U.K. into the banking sector24, we are again seeing evidence that how people act at all levels in an organization is a fundamental driver of risk. How confident are you that your organization is resilient to risk? While many organizations are waking up to the need to understand the behavioral risk profiles of the people they employ, most are at an early stage in developing that understanding. Few have begun to look to their talent management programs as a significant contributor to their risk management strategies. The Lloyd’s Risk Index surveys business leaders’ sense of how well they are prepared to manage operational risks. To quote their 2011 survey, “More than 70% of survey respondents report that their company is better prepared to manage business and production line risks than they were two years ago... One should not ignore the fact that, for many companies, there will be a difference between actually25 being prepared and simply believing they are prepared.” The goal of this chapter is to fill this gap between perception and reality by providing business leaders, risk managers and talent managers with data on levels of behavioral risk from three perspectives: by employee job level, industry sector and geography. The note of caution about confusing the perception that you are prepared and actually being prepared is backed up by what our findings show, and that gap is likely to be greatest in sectors that rank highest in our analysis of behavioral risk. 32 | The SHL Talent Report “Perceptions of risk have evolved significantly in the intervening two years. In all regions of the world, across all sectors, business leaders now perceive the world as an inherently riskier place.”26 Lloyd’s Risk Index 2011
  • 32. Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk Average level of high behavioral risk 1/8 employees shl.com | 33 Behavioral risk by job level In contrast to our indices for leadership and innovation, SHL’s behavioral risk index flags the proportion of people who are most likely to create risk. At the manager and professional level, the greatest risk comes from lower decision quality and lower communication quality. SHL’s data shows that 12.2% or 1 in 8 managers and professionals exhibit high levels of these behavioral risks. The greatest risks at the production line and front line level are lower compliance and quality and lower commitment. Data from assessments of production line and front line employees shows that 12.5% or 1 in 8 exhibit high levels of these behavioral risks. Table 5: Behavioral risk components by job level Managers and professionals Production line and front line Decision quality risk: • Miss or ignore data • Ignore decision impact on organization • Fail to seek other views and opinions Compliance and quality risk: • Failure to comply with procedures • Lack of attention to detail Communication quality risk: • Inability to articulate decisions objectives • Inability to persuade or influence • Lack of credibility • Failure to build networks/relationships Commitment and teamwork risk: • Inability to accept individual or shared responsibility • Lack of team orientation
  • 33. Behavioral risk at the managers and professionals level With a global average of 12.2%, here is how 17 industry sectors rank in terms of behavioral risk in the people they attract and employ. Manager and professional roles Figure 12: Levels of behavioral risk for managers and professionals by industry sector globally Healthcare 11.3% Engineering Public Sector 9.9% 11 Consumer Goods (Personal & Leisure) 8.3% * i.e. 18.2% of people working in the Travel & Leisure sector exhibit high levels of behavioral risk. 34 | The SHL Talent Report Travel & Leisure 18.2%* Technology 8.8% Oil & Gas 16% Utilities 14% Professional Services 12.9% Retail 12.4% Mining 11.7% Consumer Goods (Heavy Goods) 11.5% 11.4% Business Services 10.7% Banking 10.2% Telecoms 10.5% Food, Beverages & Tobacco 9.2% Insurance & Financial 9.8% 1 2 3 4 5 10 9 8 7 6 12 13 14 15 16 17
  • 34. Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk shl.com | 35 Turning from the analysis of risk in various sectors, Figure 13 illustrates which job levels most indicate behavioral risk among managers and professionals, from individual contributor to executive level. On a positive note, it appears that behavioral risk is lower at more senior levels: calculated to be 1 in 15 of executives and 1 in 10 of senior managers. As organizations depend upon senior leaders to account for and mitigate risk, finding that those leaders exhibit lower levels of behavioral risk should be reassuring. However, there is still behavioral risk at the top, which means organizations should examine how effective their senior leaders are when managing behavioral risk. Additionally, the increasing level of behavioral risk from middle managers down indicates that organizations cannot rely on the effective communication of decisions from the C-suite. Middle managers sit at the intersection between strategy and operational execution. They must be able to translate executive decisions into effective action or execution fails. Given the higher levels of behavioral risk at the team leader and individual contributor levels, organizations need to ensure middle managers are equipped to identify and address behavioral risk from the people who report to them. Figure 13: Where behavioral risk sits among managers and professionals by job level Senior Manager 1/10 10.4% Global Average 12.2% Executive 1/15 6.7% Middle Manager 1/8 13.2% Team Leader 1/7 14.7% Individual Contributor 1/7 14.2% Percentage of high behavioral risk
  • 35. Behavioral risk at the production line and front line level Levels of behavioral risk increase as one moves from the C-suite to lower levels in an organization. The next set of data shows trends in behavioral risk on the production line and out on the front line. Figure 14 shows how industry sectors rank when looking at SHL’s index for production line and front line employees. While the global average rate for behavioral risk on the production line is about the same as for managers and professionals, the rankings by sector differ. Consumer Goods (Personal & Leisure) and Technology move up when we look at the production line and front line, while Oil & Gas, Retail and Utilities move down, as does Travel & Leisure. What do these differences mean? As we will explore in more detail later, having a full understanding of where behavioral risk exists is critical for organizations to have a clear view of where they are most at risk from the actions of their employees. Production line and front line roles Figure 14: Levels of behavioral risk for production line and front line roles by industry sector globally27 2 4 Consumer Goods (Heavy Goods) 3 20.8% 36 | The SHL Talent Report 5 Banking 15.7% 15 12 1 5 14 Retail 8.4% Consumer Goods 13 (Leisure & Personal) 24% Telecoms 23.9% Technology 21.4% Engineering 15.3% 10 Insurance & Financial Services 15.3% Travel & Leisure 12.9% 8 8 7 Food, Beverages & Tobacco 15.6% Business Services 15.7% 11 Healthcare 11.9% Oil & Gas 11.3% Utilities 9.9% Public Sector 7.1%
  • 36. Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk shl.com | 37 The geography of behavioral risk As shown, levels of behavioral risk can vary significantly at different job levels and across industries. Combining both of those indices gives a more complete understanding of the geography of behavioral risk. Managers and professionals in Australia-New Zealand rank highest for behavioral risk. And while much lower levels of risk are found at the manager level in Africa and the Middle East, those same regions exhibit increased rates of behavioral risk at production line and front line level. These trends are illustrated in Figure 15. This graph shows that for most geographies the levels of behavioral risk are higher on the production line than at the managerial and professional levels. However, Australia-New Zealand bucks the general trend by having higher levels for managers and professionals than on the production line, while for organizations in Western Europe, behavioral risk between job levels is generally aligned. Behavioral risk varies by region: • Managerial risk is highest in Australia-New Zealand • Front line risk is highest in the Middle East Figure 15: Levels of behavioral risk by geographical region28 Africa 2 10.8 24.1 17.5 North America 3 12.9 19 16 Asia 5 11.6 18.9 15.3 Eastern Europe 3 12.3 19.6 16 Western Europe 7 12.7 12.1 12.4 Middle East 1 8.7 28 18.4 Percentage high behavioral risk Managers & professional Front line & production line Average Overall ranking for risk globally 13.5 6 17.2 9.7 Australia- New Zealand 11.3 See Endnote 28 Latin America
  • 37. Behavioral risk by industry sector The role of talent management in mitigating organizational risk In 2004, SHL conducted a research project with the Future Foundation29 and found that, in the U.S. alone, 23% of people surveyed saw their colleagues as incompetent and that 68% of mistakes made by workers were hidden from their managers. To address the gap between perception and reality in terms of preparedness for risk, organizations need valid metrics through which they can understand behavioral risk at all levels within their organization. In Figure 16 patterns emerge in terms of which sectors show higher levels of behavioral risk at the managerial level and which sectors show higher levels of risk on the front line. What do the results tell us about where organizations and their managers need to focus to better manage behavioral risk? In Western Europe, while levels of risk are generally aligned between managers and professionals and those in production line and front line roles, there is still risk to be managed. In Australia-New Zealand, the focus has to be the managers and professionals who lead and task organizations. Key priorities here include adopting behavioral risk measures in selection processes, as well as focused coaching and development programs. For the other geographical regions where behavioral risk appears more strongly in production line and front line roles, the ability of managers to identify that risk is clearly important. What will be equally critical are the decision-making skills of managers and professionals to ensure goals and expectations are clearly understood by those on the front line. Figure 16: A comprehensive view of behavioral risk by industry sector Behavioral risk: managers & professionals 38 | The SHL Talent Report Public Sector Banking Behavioral risk: production line & front line Business Services Insurance & Financial Services Food, Beverages & Tobacco Consumer Goods Telecoms Technology Engineering Healthcare Retail Utilities Travel & Leisure Oil & Gas Mining Risk higher at managers and professionals level Risk higher at the production line and front line level Lower Risk Higher Risk
  • 38. Chapter 3: The landscape of organizational risk shl.com | 39 Ranking behavioral risk by industry sector Figure 17 ranks fifteen sectors by the average across SHL’s two behavioral risk indices (the average across our index for managers and professionals and our index for production line and front line employees) to give a final industry sector ranking. A note about the lower ranking sectors: these represent sector averages. An analysis of the data shows considerable variation across organizations within sectors, which is not detailed in this report. Complacency is also a risk. Figure 17: Aggregated data showing overall behavioral risk for all job levels by industry sector globally30 1 17.2% 2 16.1% Consumer goods (Heavy Goods) 3 15.6% 4 15.1% Technology 5 13.7% Oil & Gas 6 13.4% 7 13.2% * Global average of these two indices is 12.4%. Business Services 8 13% Banking 9 12.6% Food, Beverages & Tobacco* Utilities Healthcare Mining Retail Public Sector Insurance & Financial Services Engineering Telecoms Travel & Leisure 10 12.4% 11 12% 12 11.6% 13 10.9% 14 10.4% 15 8.5% Lower Risk Higher Risk Global Average
  • 39. Talent management as risk management Talent managers, those in recruitment, selection and succession, have always been in the business of risk management. Placing the wrong person in the wrong role is a critical organizational risk they have traditionally been employed to manage. We hope this chapter points to the next evolution in talent management by helping organizations articulate the key driver of risk – what people do. The data in this chapter points to two ways that talent managers can grasp this opportunity and realize it. The first is to provide People Intelligence that goes beyond the perceptions captured by risk and safety surveys by providing data and insight based on how employees are likely to act. That is what SHL’s risk indices address. The second point is to ensure that evaluations of behavioral risk are incorporated throughout talent management processes – from acquisition through performance and development, and on to succession and promotions. As we hope this chapter illustrates, the know-how exists. Talent managers need only step up to the plate and use that know-how. 40 | The SHL Talent Report Putting a number on behavioral risk SHL’s 2004 research showed that: • 68% of mistakes made by employees were hidden from U.S. managers • U.S. managers spent up to 8 weeks a year dealing with performance issues • The cumulative cost to the U.S. economy amounted to ~1% of U.S. GDP or $105 billion a year
  • 40. Chapter 4 The landscape of diversity shl.com | 41
  • 41. Diversity, diversity, diversity... In this chapter, we look at what our data reveals about one of the key factors that will shape the future for global organizations within both the public and private sectors. Their capabilities in recognizing, managing and leveraging diversity. We have focused on two important areas, gender and generational differences. Let’s start with the U.S. as an example. “By 2025 over 76 million Baby Boomers will have retired from the American workforce and by 2030 the U.S. is set to face a shortfall of 30 million workers.”31 The same trends are apparent in other countries. Emerging economic superpowers such as China face significant challenges with the declining population numbers accompanying greater economic and social expectations of Chinese consumers32. Technology and innovation may aid in mitigating challenges such as these. But from a gender standpoint, it will be critical to understand and leverage diversity as more women enter the workforce33. In the U.S. and U.K. the workforce is nearly 50:50 male/female, though women remain under-represented in certain sectors, on boards and in senior roles34. We are likely then to see not only a generational transition from the well-known Boomers to the Gen Xers and Millennials (also known as Gen Y35) but a gender shift as well. Recognizing and working intelligently with diversity in talent management SHL approaches diversity as a talent management issue through the lens of business need. As we explored in the chapter on leadership, our leaders for today potential is rare at 1 in 15 job applicants and employees. So, what does our data say about gender differences in the supply of leadership potential globally? We will see why it points to women as an increasingly important source of leadership talent not to be overlooked. For countries with aging populations, ignoring women as potential senior leaders may become a critical failure point. Motivation to succeed is just as important as having the talent to perform in senior roles. We uncover what our data says about the differences between men and women in the critical motivational factors36 that are key to succeeding to a senior position in an organization. We then look at the global workforce from a generational perspective to address these questions: 1. What will organizations need to understand to keep employees across three generations engaged over the next years and decades? 2. How will the supply of talent with leaders for today potential shift as the generational transitions take effect? 3. Which learning and development priorities will organizations need to focus on Millennials, the true leaders for tomorrow, to realize the talents of younger potential leaders? 42 | The SHL Talent Report Leadership gender gaps favoring men will put increasing pressure on organizations in regions with aging populations. The difference in leadership potential for women and men is less than 1% but men hold senior positions 3 to 1 over women.
  • 42. Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity shl.com | 43 Gender and leadership The 2012 Olympic Games were remarkable for many reasons. In the context of this chapter, it was a milestone. With the introduction of women’s boxing, men and women are now represented in every sport at the Olympics. There is now equal opportunity for both genders to realize the ambition to be an Olympian and to be a winner in every event. Yet, while every other person in the world is a woman, we are a long way from equal representation at the most senior levels in business, government, the law and in science. Evidence is mounting that greater gender equality at the top is associated with better financial performance of businesses37. It is widely acknowledged that the recovery from today’s economic woes will require nations to capitalize on the full range of talent they have available. As noted in a 2010 report by the European Commission: “As Europe collectively strives to recover from the recent recession and build a platform for future growth and stability ... One crucial resource for future growth lies in the untapped economic potential of women and their full integration into the decision-making process in all areas of the economy is crucial.”38 While the exact numbers may vary, most reports are consistent in showing that women are far less likely to hold a senior position in either public or private sector organizations. A just released global survey cited the proportion of women holding senior positions has dropped to 2004 levels at 1 in 539. As in sports, career achievement is affected by potential, motivation and opportunity. Table 6 shows how men and women compare at the top level of potential we have called leaders for today, across the 25 countries with the strongest supply of this potential. We have calculated the differences between these proportions and then compared them to statistics on the proportion of women holding senior positions in those countries40. One of the barriers identified for women succeeding into a senior role is gender-based stereotypes of personal characteristics and abilities41. This was the highest factor identified in one survey and ranked above family commitments as a stumbling block42. Our data says there is no evidence to support stereotypes, a finding backed up by other independent research43. The supply of leadership potential is generally as strong for women as it is for men across our Top 25 countries for leaders for today. The average difference between men and women across the Top 25 countries is a mere -0.8%, a negligible difference in favor of women. Yet, 76% of senior positions are held by men. The supply of leadership potential is generally as strong for women as it is for men across our Top 25 countries.
  • 43. Gender and leadership Table 6: Top 25 countries for leadership potential – broken down by gender Leaders for today rank Country % Men 44 | The SHL Talent Report leaders for today % Women leaders for today Difference in leaders for today (+% favor men, -% favor women) % Leadership roles held by men44 1 China (Hong Kong) 13.5 13.3 0.2 67 2 Germany 12.7 14.0 -1.3 87 3 U.K. 9.5 11.7 -2.2 80 4 Australia 8.5 12.5 -4.0 76 5 U.S. 8.6 11.8 -3.2 83 6 Switzerland 9.9 9.3 0.6 78 7 Canada 7.7 9.9 -2.2 75 8 Japan 9.3 6.8 2.5 95 9 Singapore 9.7 8.0 1.7 77 10 New Zealand 6.7 9.6 -2.9 72 11 Sweden 7.4 8.2 -0.8 77 12 China (Taiwan) 7.6 6.8 0.8 73 13 France 6.6 6.4 0.2 76 14 Thailand 8.2 5.9 2.3 61 15 Finland 6.9 6.7 0.2 73 16 Belgium 6.6 6.2 0.4 79 17 Spain 6.3 6.4 -0.1 76 18 Turkey 5.1 8.3 -3.2 69 19 Italy 5.5 5.5 0.0 64 20 South Africa 4.5 6.8 -2.3 72 20 United Arab Emirates 5.0 6.5 -1.5 85 22 Mexico 5.3 8.0 -2.7 82 23 Denmark 4.5 6.1 -1.6 85 24 Brazil 6.9 5.5 1.4 73 25 Norway 4.5 6.5 -2.0 58 Average 7.5 8.3 -0.8 76 Leaders for today is our definition for the highest level of leadership potential reflecting a rounded repertoire of both transactional and transformational behaviors. Differences shown as positive favor men and those shown as negative favor women. Globally, men hold 52% more senior positions than women.
  • 44. Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity shl.com | 45 Do men and women differ in their motivation to be a leader? So, if it isn’t the supply of potential that’s the barrier to women succeeding to senior positions, is it a factor of motivation? A survey of 60 leading companies suggests this might be so and why only 7,000 of 150,000 women professionals or 1 in 21 have achieved Vice President or higher senior positions in those companies45. Responding to the question “I have the desire to advance to the next level in my organization”, 69% of women said yes compared to 74% of men. Yet, when asked “If anything were possible, I would choose to advance to C-level management”, 18% of women said yes compared to 36% of men – exactly half. Interestingly, we see some differences across the globe with men in the U.K. seeing advancement to the next level as fundamental to developing their career compared to women, but the reverse for women in the U.S. and Australia46. To understand which motivating factors distinguish those holding senior positions, we looked across five job levels: individual contributor (employee), team leader, middle manager, senior manager, and executive47. We found six motivational factors that increased systematically at each level48. People that succeed to higher job levels value these motivational factors more (see Figure 18). While the differences in motivational factors between executives and other employees are significant, we did not find the same to be true when comparing genders49. Overall, we found an average three percentile difference in favor of men, which is negligible. None of these differences are either statistically or substantively significant. Figure 18: The key motivational factors for executives* Level of activity Working at a fast pace and multi-tasking with pressure to deliver against deadlines Power Opportunities to take responsibility, exercise authority and influence others Immersion Work that requires a personal commitment above and beyond the norm Interest Work that provides variety and stimulation Flexibility Environments that allow for more fluid ways of working and less structured and procedural approaches Autonomy Independence and scope for determining how they approach and organize their work People higher across all 6 motivational factors are three times more likely to hold an executive position. The difference between men and women on those factors is negligible. * Refer to the Appendix for the data
  • 45. The journey to the top We found no substantial overall differences between men and women on the motivational factors that distinguish those who succeed to the executive level. Are there differences in other motivational factors that help to explain why women are not progressing to more senior roles? The answer is yes. Let’s go back a for a moment to the survey of those 60 companies and the results that showed that men and women were equally interested in a move to the next level but men were twice as interested as women in an opportunity to reach the C-suite. In recent SHL research, reasons for not being interested in a C-suite position included: “When you see it up close… It’s not clean at the top. Motives are not always enterprise-related. It’s more about personal agendas.” And “Members of the executive management team above me are all men and I feel they see strong women as a threat.”50 This concern with politics at the top resonates in our data when we compare four motivational factors showing the largest differences between men and women. Power showed the largest difference between men and women when we looked at the motivational factors that distinguish those holding executive positions. While the difference between men and women is modest, it is in favor of men and contrasts with Ease and security, which holds greater motivational value for women (see Figure 19). There is also a clear contrast between Recognition, stronger for women, and Fear of failure, stronger for men. The importance of individual differences is key in assessing motivational patterns and strengths, so it is important to highlight that not all men or all women are motivated to succeed in the same way. However, our data suggests that if the C-suite is dominated by those who are more motivated by Power and Fear of failure, then this environment will be a natural turn-off for people wanting a constructive environment where they will be recognized for achieving. Our data shows that the people who are most likely to experience that turn-off are women. That means the culture of the C-suite or perceptions of that culture have to change if it is going to attract aspiring female leaders. There’s been much talk about the need for values-driven and authentic leadership, and the time has come for organizations to make that a reality. The research we have cited from those such as McKinsey shows that is the type of leader women want to work for and to be. Not only are women more likely to value Ease and security and Recognition, they are likely to reflect those motivational factors in the way they manage and incentivize others. The development and preparation of people for senior roles must take into account that motivational factors are going to be especially important transitional hurdles for women, though our data also recognizes the need for attention to development of male leaders too. For either gender, an organizational shift from a culture framed by Fear of failure to one founded on Recognition for contribution and performance will be a stronger attraction for potential leaders. 46 | The SHL Talent Report The C-suite culture has to change if it is going to attract aspiring female leaders.
  • 46. Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity 30 70 30 70 Percentile Percentile shl.com | 47 Figure 19: Motivation by gender Numbers represent percentile ranking What gets me out of bed in the morning? Ease and security Power 45 57 44 56 When it comes to the supply of leadership talent, the gender math isn’t complicated The top tier of leadership talent that we have called leaders for today is in short supply. Failing to leverage the potential of women is only going to make the supply of leaders even smaller. The data shows the differences between men and women is negligible across our Top 25 countries. All the research says that one of the key challenges for organizations is addressing the motivation of women to step up to the C-suite. Our data does supply evidence of motivational differences between men and women. Women look to Ease and security and Recognition more than men. Simply flagging that women are less attracted to senior positions isn’t going to change the gender balance at the top. We can identify tangible ways in which organizations can address the imbalance. The first step is to understand what motivates women to become leaders and how it varies between individuals. The second is to use that People Intelligence earlier in the career path to shape mentoring, coaching and learning experiences. This will equip women with leadership potential for the times when they meet inevitable motivational roadblocks. And, of course, the same advice applies to potential male leaders. Indeed, enabling potential leaders to understand what makes them and others tick will strengthen their leadership talent irrespective of their gender. The arithmetic is simple, ignoring what is effectively 50% of the global talent pool just makes the search for leaders all the more challenging. Percentile What brings me back the next day? Recognition Fear of failure Percentile 46 57 40 49 30 70 30 70 Ease and security Constructive and pleasant working conditions and a sense of job/role security Power Opportunities to take responsibility, exercise authority and influence others Recognition Recognition and praise for their contributions and achievements Fear of failure The need to avoid failure and associated loss of self-esteem Men Women
  • 47. Talking about “my” generation Let’s turn to the much debated generational differences and the impacts that the shift from the Boomer generation to the Millennials is having and will continue to have on the world of work. This section focuses first on motivation, and concludes by returning to what our data reveals about the ongoing supply of leadership potential as a generational shift occurs over the next decade and a half. Understanding the engagement and retention challenges of the multi-generational workforce Despite much that has been said and written about the differences between the work attitudes of the three generations, the research data is mixed and often conflicts51. The simple reality is that organizations need each of these generations. They can reap the benefits of the wisdom of aging workers and the fresh ideas and perspectives of younger workers if they understand the differences and how to respond to them appropriately. Where the broader research data is more consistent is in showing a general trend towards declining employer loyalty from generation to generation: 65% of Boomers would consider staying with an organization throughout their working lives in contrast to 40% of Gen Xers and only 20% of Millennials52. Clearly, this trend shows organizations and their managers need to be astute in their understanding of what motivates and engages employees, and be able to reflect that understanding in the way that work is rewarded and contribution recognized. We looked at our data on motivation to see what differences would help inform organizations about how to engage a multi-generational workforce. We found six factors any organization needs to be aware of (see Figure 20). Just as the war for talent is set to become more intense as workforce shortages emerge, the retention of skilled talent is clearly going to be more important. Flexibility is and will continue to be key to how organizations reflect these differences in their reward and recognition processes to address retention issues. So what does this mean for organizations that need to build a sustainable, diverse leadership pipeline, which does not peter out? Among the strongest motivational factors for the Millennials is progression and personal growth. Sustaining career progression, therefore, is the most singular challenge organizations face in energizing and retaining younger talent who are hungry to learn and compete for opportunities53. Since any organization will only have so many senior positions open at any one time, reframing what career progression means has become a critical must-do for talent managers54. And what of the Boomer generation that will remain as the largest inhabitants of the workplace for at least the next 15-20 years? These are the people who are most likely to have broader skills and experiences from which they can draw insight. They are also the people who hold much of the intellectual property that drives knowledge work, much of the social capital in terms of key networks inside and outside the organization, and the tacit knowledge of “how things really get done around here”. 48 | The SHL Talent Report Declining employer loyalty Who would stay with an employer throughout their working lives? Boomers 65% Gen X 40% Millennials 20%
  • 48. Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity Our data shows that reward and recognition that emphasizes Competition (they’ve already been there and done that), Progression (most of them will be at their maximum career point) and Personal growth (they’ve already developed skills and knowledge) is not going to motivate the Boomers. At first glance and reflecting the way generational differences have tended to be portrayed, these differences may be seen as potential sources of conflict. This is not necessarily the case. The effective manager will be sensitive to these differences and know that they require flexibility in how people are managed. And the manager who is most likely to be impacted by these differences is the Gen X manager. They bridge the Boomers on the one hand and the Millennials on the other. Understanding differences and managing diversity is now a critical competency for these managers in driving performance and sustaining employee engagement. 41 52 55 30 70 Percentile Percentile Percentile Percentile Percentile shl.com | 49 Figure 20: Motivation by generation Power Opportunities to take responsibility, exercise authority and influence others Competition Opportunities to distinguish themselves from others and to show they are the best Autonomy Independence and scope for determining how they approach and organize their work Progression Opportunities for career progression and promotion Personal principles Environments which promote ideals, high ethical standards and quality Personal growth Opportunities to learn, acquire skills and for personal development Numbers represent percentile ranking What gets me out of bed in the morning? Power Competition Percentile What brings me back the next day? Autonomy Progression 4142 57 40 53 59 What will make me stick around? Personal principles Personal growth Boomers Gen X Millennials 30 50 54 59 70 30 70 30 70 30 70 32 42 50 30 70 37 48 54
  • 49. The supply of leadership potential as the Millennials inherit the earth Just as the workplace becomes more diverse, the need for effective leadership will increase. When we look forward, what does our data say about the supply of leadership potential for the coming decade and a half? On the whole, for the technically savvy and digitally driven Millennials, the prospects are good – the supply of leadership talent is improving overall. While 6.3% or 1 in 16 of the Boomers in our data have the leaders for today level of potential, 7.4% or 1 in 13 of Gen Xers and 8.4% or 1 in 11 of Millennials possess this level of leadership potential. What drives this trend is greater potential among the younger generations for the transformational competencies underpinning innovation, entrepreneurial thinking as well as a focus on execution. However, we also see a need for focused learning and development programs to harvest the potential of young leaders. Using the SHL Corporate Leadership Model55, we looked at how the three generations compared across four key management and leadership functions: Developing the vision, Sharing the goals, Gaining support and Delivering success (see Figure 21). We found modest differences in the talents that underpin the creation of ideas and proposals (Developing the vision), and negligible differences in the talents required to socialize those ideas effectively (Sharing the goals). Significant and substantive differences appear in the talents required to mobilize others in support of ideas and proposals (Gaining support) with the differences favoring the older generations, and in turning those ideas into actions and deliverables (Delivering success) favoring younger generations. Figure 21: Management & leadership functions 44 50 53 42 52 64 40 49 56 Numbers represent percentile ranking 50 | The SHL Talent Report Boomers Gen X Millennials Developing the vision Percentile 30 70 Sharing the goals Percentile 30 47 52 52 70 Gaining support Percentile 30 70 Delivering success Percentile 30 70
  • 50. Chapter 4: The landscape of diversity Potential to become ‘leaders for today’ shl.com | 51 Boomers 1/16 Gen X 1/13 Millennials 1/11 It’s not really about gender and generations Does this mean that the workplace of the future is set to become one in which execution supersedes the niceties of collaboration and getting the buy-in of others? The demands of an increasingly global and networked working world would suggest not. Framing objectives that motivate and develop others, empowering people and inspiring them with the trust to succeed will grow rather than diminish in importance and, ironically, these are the very leadership qualities required to meet the motivational needs of the younger generations for Personal growth and Progression. Here is where the wisdom to leverage differences will be key in the development of leadership potential. Mentoring and coaching programs that will pay a dividend are the ones that understand the motivational and competency profiles of the different generations and can bring those differences together to effect the transfer of the softer skills that are most likely to be the greatest hurdles for younger aspiring leaders in realizing their ambitions. It’s about the best person for the job and having managers who know how to leverage differences effectively We began this chapter by noting that 76 million American Boomers are set to exit the workforce in the coming years, a trend that will be followed in other mature economies. That means many organizations will have to face a simple fact – there is going to be an even bigger shortage of talent. A shortage of talent means a rethink. That rethink will have to include re-framing the world of work and many of the assumptions we hold today about that world will have to be discarded. But, discarding one set of assumptions for another set of assumptions will not serve organizations well. There is a need to develop clearer and more evidence-based perspectives on people and their talent. Organizations would be better served by understanding where differences matter and what those differences mean for employee performance and engagement.
  • 51. Chapter 5 The global race for skills shl.com | 53
  • 52. The supply and quality of key hard skills In this chapter, we look at the hard skills of employees who administer and carry out the thousands of daily transactions that can make or break an organization. These hard skills are essential if the aspirations of leaders and the great ideas of innovators are to become a reality and deliver value. The supply and quality of key skills has become critical on a number of fronts. The most obvious need is for employers to find people who can execute and achieve organizational goals. Leading staffing firm Manpower reports that the search for skilled labor is proving difficult in many geographies: “Despite the continuing caution exercised by many organizations amid ongoing economic uncertainty, a substantial proportion of employers around the globe identify a lack of available skilled talent as a continuing drag on business performance. Overwhelmingly, a lack of available candidates with the right technical expertise and employability skills continues to vex employers.” 56 The Manpower report also states more than 1 in 3 employers across geographies are unable to find talent with the necessary skillsets. The most acute shortages occur in both mature and emerging economies, including Australia, Brazil, India, and Japan. Almost half of the employers in the U.S. report difficulties filling jobs. In contrast, Europe, the Middle East and Africa report less critical talent shortages. Two other key factors are driving the dynamics in the global market for skilled labor – increased competition in the outsourcing market for services and IT, and the start of an insourcing trend among mature economies, which are looking to bring jobs back home. In a recent survey by The Engineering Employers Federation57 in the U.K., 2 in 5 companies were restoring domestic production. Valued at U.S. $62.4 billion in 201058, the IT outsourcing market has played a significant role in the growth of many emerging economies in Asia, Eastern Europe and South America. Today the trend may be in reverse, as insourcing is the option many companies are exploring while they regroup and rethink their business strategies. Increased demand for skills coupled with perceived shortages in supply has created an international competition for skilled labor. Employers facing shortages at home may also face competition for skills from outside their home geographies, creating what has been described as the global race for skills59. 54 | The SHL Talent Report 1 in 3 employers across geographies are unable to find talent with the necessary skillsets.
  • 53. Chapter 5: The global race for skills shl.com | 55 An objective view of key global skills Much of the information available to date on skills by country is based on perception and expert judgment60. We do not question the value of those judgments. What SHL contributes is hard data to understand objectively how countries, geographical and economic regions compare on skills levels. The data is based on standardized certifications administered globally, providing a common set of metrics to make comparisons. We have grouped the data from different certifications to ensure they are equivalent in terms of the skills levels they measure. Skill certification scores indicate the likely results achieved from training programs in terms of expected pass rates and average scores achieved by different populations globally. Our data shows where regions are placed in the global race for skills. Where pass rates and average scores are high, organizations have stronger skills pools to draw upon. Conversely, where we see lower pass rates and lower average scores, greater investment in training and education is required to create the volume of skilled labor to meet demand. Two critical skills areas – business administration & IT Both Manpower and Hays61 agree that among the skills employers are finding most difficult to source are those in business administration and IT, which is where we have focused our analysis. In this chapter, we examine results from certifications delivered between 2006 and 2011 to view the global supply of talent in these two skills areas62. Business administration data covers administrative/clerical and essential business skills, and IT certifications are for programming, database development, and systems and networking. Since these skills areas are critical to all organizations regardless of region, we have used our data to develop a global view for comparison. We provide an overview by geographical region of where the supply of skills is strongest and where it is weakest. Table 7: The two critical skills areas Business Administration Information Technology (IT) Administrative/clerical skills Bookkeeping, Microsoft Office, office management & procedures, typing speed & accuracy Programming & database development C, C#, COBOL, Java, UNIX, .NET, XML, HTML, JavaScript Essential business skills Business mathematics, business writing & communication, marketing, presentation skills Systems & networking MS SQL Server, Oracle, RDBMS concepts, business analysis, software configuration management, networking concepts, network security, LAN/WAN communications, CISCO network design and support, LINUX administration, MS desktop and server administration
  • 54. The global supply of business administration skills To get a view of general business administration skills globally, we constructed an overall ranking of certification results by country that represents the two subsets: administrative/ clerical and essential business skills. The rankings in Table 8 are derived from the combined pass rates and average scores for each subset. This ranking has significant meaning when one considers the dynamics driving the race for skills. Eastern European countries appear to have strong talent pools for administrative/ clerical and essential business skills, giving them an advantage in their home markets as well as offering strong sources of skilled labor to other neighboring economies as Europe emerges from the current economic downturn. Western European countries also rank as hot spots for administrative/clerical and essential business skills. One factor that would support the forward growth of European economies is the mobility of skilled labor across that region. To be effective, this requires clear People Intelligence on available skill levels. Organizations across Europe need to understand the skills available in their home and neighboring markets. The picture elsewhere is more mixed. Asia shows a divergent range in skills levels impacting both the more mature economies in this region as well as the emerging ones. India, ranking in the Top 25 for essential business skills (see Table 10) does not make it into the Top 25 overall due to lower levels of administrative/clerical skills (see Table 9). China does not make it into our Top 25 whether we look at specific skills sets or take an overall view of skills levels. The data suggests at best an imbalance in the skills profiles for these countries. For Latin America and Africa, there are emerging talent pools with Mexico, South Africa and Brazil in our overall rankings. But, there are challenges for these countries with lower pass rates and average skills scores that speak to a need for greater investment in training and education to raise skills levels. Similar challenges emerge in the Middle East whether we look at the data at a macro regional level or at an individual country. Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates all sit outside our top 25’s for specific skills and overall, showing that the gap is particularly severe in this region for the key skills that enable the smooth day-to-day running of any organization. Breaking down the business administration skills area into subsets of administrative/clerical skills and essential business skills, the macro perspective shows additional differences by region. Beginning with administrative/clerical skills, the landscape is clearly polarized between the emerging and mature economies, and between geographies (see Figure 22). Certification results are higher in terms of both pass rates and quality among the more mature economies in Australia-New Zealand, both Eastern and Western Europe, and in North America. Skills strength in Eastern European nations is notable given the transition over the past two decades as they have adopted more open labor markets, with many joining the European Union (EU), and moved towards more free market economic models. The lower overall skills levels for Asia mask significant diversity across that region. Looking at specific countries in more detail shows this region spans the spectrum from high pass rates and high average scores to much lower levels. 56 | The SHL Talent Report Table 8: Top 25 countries for combined business administration skills* Japan Netherlands Germany Poland Sweden U.K. Russia Czech Republic Australia Estonia Bulgaria Singapore New Zealand Romania Latvia Argentina Italy Lithuania Ireland Canada U.S. Ukraine Mexico South Africa Brazil 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 21 23 24 25 Region North America Australia-New Zealand Western Europe Asia Africa Middle East Eastern Europe Latin America * Final rank was determined by summing rankings by pass rate and average score, and then by re-ranking countries from smallest to largest summed rank.
  • 55. Chapter 5: The global race for skills shl.com | 57 A look at administrative/ clerical skills Table 9: Top 25 countries for administrative/ clerical skills certifications Rank* Country Pass Rate Average Score 1 Japan 85.0% 3.97 2 Netherlands 80.5% 3.38 3 Germany 75.6% 3.24 4 U.K. 73.6% 3.21 5 Australia 72.3% 3.23 6 Argentina 75.3% 3.13 7 Singapore 73.3% 3.20 7 Sweden 74.3% 3.13 9 Poland 71.4% 3.18 9 Russia 68.4% 3.21 11 New Zealand 73.5% 3.11 12 Bulgaria 68.1% 3.12 12 Czech Republic 68.6% 3.11 14 Italy 70.4% 3.08 15 Latvia 64.3% 3.16 15 Ukraine 66.2% 3.12 17 Romania 67.7% 3.06 18 Estonia 67.5% 3.04 19 U.S. 65.8% 3.06 20 Ireland 63.8% 3.08 21 Mexico 67.1% 3.00 22 Canada 65.5% 3.03 22 Lithuania 61.8% 3.07 24 South Africa 63.9% 2.95 25 Brazil 60.2% 2.92 Table 9 shows the Top 25 countries ranked by pass rate and average score for administrative/ clerical skills. Two countries in Asia rank in the Top 25 – Japan and Singapore – with China and India notably absent. Average pass rates for these two countries are below the global pass rate at 54.1% and the average score across both countries ranks just above the pass mark for certification in administrative/clerical skills at 2.81. The Netherlands, Germany, the U.K. and Sweden rank high from Western Europe, joined by Poland, Russia, Bulgaria and the Czech Republic in the top 12 overall. Australia and New Zealand also have high rankings. Stronger quality of administrative/clerical skills is shown for Argentina with Mexico and Brazil coming in the second half of our table, supporting an emerging skills base in Latin America. South Africa’s ranking at 24th reflects lower, athough above global average, pass rates, but with average scores approaching the pass rate minimum of 2.75. The U.S. and Canada rank in the lower half of the Top 25. This seemed counterintuitive, so we looked for supporting data from other sources. The PISA program results for 2003 and 2009 showed the U.S. ranked middle to lower for reading and science literacy, with one of the widest gaps seen between most and least-proficient students across OECD countries63. For both Canada and the U.S., higher skills levels cited in other reports tend to focus on university graduates. Data on skillsets of those without a university degree is scarce, and those are the people most likely to take the certification tests covered in this chapter. Figure 22: Administrative/clerical skills pass rates by geographic region 71.2% 69.8% 66% 65.8% 54.8% 54.7% 44.8% 49.9% Australia- New Zealand Western Europe Eastern Europe North America Latin America Africa Asia Middle East Global average pass rate is 60.3% Low High * Final rank was determined by summing rankings by pass rate and average score, and then by re-ranking countries from smallest to largest summed rank.
  • 56. The view of essential business skills Figure 23 shows the macro landscape for essential business skills. The pattern that emerges is similar to that for administrative/clerical skills. The macro view by geography becomes clearer when we look at the strongest levels of essential business skills by country (see Table 10). Countries in Eastern and Western Europe dominate the upper rankings, sharing the top with Japan. Australia-New Zealand, North America, Latin America and individual nations scattered by geography populate the lower half. One distinct feature of the business skills landscape is the strong representation of countries in Eastern Europe with Estonia, Poland, the Czech Republic, Russia, Romania and Bulgaria all ranking among the top 10 countries. Again, Japan ranks near the top of our table, with Singapore and Malaysia ranking lower, showing that, even among the strongest Asian countries for essential business skills, there is a wide range in skills throughputs and levels. This diversity is also shown for Western Europe and North America, with countries in these regions spanning the range from higher to lower rankings. Figure 23: Essential business skills pass rates by geographical region 58 | The SHL Talent Report Table 10: Top 25 countries on essential business skills certifications Rank* Country Pass Rate Average Score 1 Estonia 96.9% 3.75 1 Japan 93.7% 4.25 3 Poland 92.7% 3.80 4 Netherlands 94.5% 3.59 5 Czech Republic 92.3% 3.71 6 Russia 87.4% 3.58 6 Sweden 85.75 3.62 8 Germany 88.3% 3.53 9 Romania 87.2% 3.56 10 Bulgaria 83.6% 3.45 10 U.K. 83.3% 3.48 12 Latvia 83.8% 3.44 13 Australia 84.5% 3.42 14 New Zealand 83.3% 3.44 15 Singapore 82.1% 3.45 16 Lithuania 81.9% 3.43 17 France 82.5% 3.29 18 Canada 80.8% 3.40 19 Ireland 78.4% 3.32 20 Italy 79.7% 3.27 21 South Africa 70.9% 3.24 22 India 72.1% 3.12 23 Brazil 64.9% 3.18 23 Malaysia 68.6% 3.11 23 Mexico 65.0% 3.12 23 U.S. 67.9% 3.11 83.4% 82.8% 76.3% 69.8% 68.2% 66.1% 58.1% 59% Australia- New Zealand Western Europe Eastern Europe North America Latin America Africa Asia Middle East Global average pass rate is 68.7% Low High * Final rank was determined by summing rankings by pass rate and average score, and then by re-ranking countries from smallest to largest summed rank.