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Aligning Risk Appetite
              and Exposure




The New Paradigm of
Strategic Execution
Introduction
             As the credit crisis unfolded, some of the largest and most powerful players in the
             financial services industry suddenly began to face the consequences of a failure of
             strategy execution and risk management on a scale that previously would have seemed
             unfathomable. It quickly became the worst financial and economic crisis in living
             memory.

             The effect has been almost without precedent: not        In this paper, we are focusing on how organisations
             only did it wreak havoc upon the financial services      can successfully align their performance and
             industry; it has destroyed growth and prosperity in      risk management processes to enable them to
             the wider, global economy. As signs of recovery          survive the recession, and subsequently exploit
             emerge, governments, regulators and experts are          opportunities presented as growth returns. We
             examining the root causes of the crisis and asking       argue that successful strategy execution, in a post
             how to avoid similar meltdowns in the future.            credit crisis world, will be built on the foundation
                                                                      of balancing risk appetite and exposure within the
             Simply, the credit crisis arose because financial        context of clear strategic objectives. Embracing this
             services organisations failed to develop and execute     new paradigm will enable organisations to answer
             sustainable strategies that fully considered their       three critical questions:
             risk environment, and they neglected to embed
             risk management at the heart of their strategic and      1. What we are trying to achieve i.e. what are our
             operational processes. Organisations didn’t have the        strategic objectives?
             processes, technology or culture in place to provide
             the right management information to the right            2. What level of risk is acceptable to achieve those
             people at the right time necessary to foster effective      objectives i.e. what is our risk appetite?
             decision-making. As the risk environment changed,
                                                                      3. What is our current level of risk i.e. what is our
             few organisations foresaw the crisis; as it unfolded,
                                                                         risk exposure?
             most were incapable of responding to it effectively.
             In the wake of the credit crisis and against a           Organisations will develop the capabilities to deliver
             background of a more intrusive regulatory                strategic objectives, reduced risk related losses and
             environment, organisations need to radically             costs, improved capital allocation and utilisation,
             change how they approach performance and risk            lower cost of capital, and reduce the burden and
             management. The traditional siloed approach must         cost of regulatory compliance.
             be replaced by an integrated and aligned approach:
             one that enables organisations to integrate risk
             within the context of their strategic objectives.




Risk         What Is Risk Appetite?
             Risk appetite is the amount and type of risk that an organisation is prepared to seek, accept or tolerate
Appetite &   (BS31100), on a broad level, in pursuit of value. It reflects the entity’s risk management philosophy, and in
             turn influences the entity’s culture and operating style (COSO Integrated Risk Management Framework).
Exposure     Essentially, risk appetite is the amount and type of risk that an organisation is willing to accept to achieve
             its objectives.


             What Is Risk Exposure?
             Risk exposure is the extent to which an organisation is subject to risk events (BS31100). More
             meaningfully, however, is the exposure to consequences - as a combination of impact and likelihood -
             which may be experienced if a specific risk is realised.




2                                             © Manigent 2009                     Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
Balanced Scorecard & COSO
In the early 1990s Kaplan and Norton presented the Balanced Scorecard as a framework enabling
organisations to develop a set of measures to drive strategic execution, “balanced” between financial and
non-financial measures, as well as leading and lagging indicators.
Over the last 20 years or so, as the Balanced            Both the Balanced Scorecard and COSO
Scorecard was dominating discussions around              frameworks have been highly influential, and widely
performance management and strategy execution,           deployed. However, as the regulatory environment
the disciplines around risk management were also         becomes more prescriptive and regulators more
evolving. The COSO Integrated framework for              intrusive, we would argue that organisations must
Internal Controls was released in the early 1990s        move beyond siloed approaches to managing
and gained widespread acceptance. In 2004, the           performance and risk, instead they should integrate
COSO Enterprise risk management framework,               and align these disciplines. Organisations must
which explicitly recognises the critical role risk       shift to a strategic execution paradigm that aligns
management plays in the achievement of strategic         risk appetite and exposure within the context of
outcomes, superseded the COSO Internal                   strategic objectives.
framework.


Determining Strategic Objectives,
Aligning Risk Appetite & Exposure
It has never been more critical to shift to a strategic execution paradigm that aligns risk
appetite and exposure within the context of strategic objectives. Given the intrinsic
challenges of this undertaking, however, implementing this approach may be overwhelming
without a proven roadmap to provide guidance – the Risk-based performance™ methodology
provides such a roadmap.

The figure below identifies the high-level steps toward articulating alignment between risk appetite and its
risk exposure, as discussed in this paper. This initial process brings organisations up through the critical
stage of developing indicators, and it offers significant benefits: Manigent clients have found that following
this preliminary process produces powerful organisational change and delivers the comprehensive risk and
performance information to inform management discussions, decision-makings and action-taking.


                                                                                                                   Aligning Risk
                                                                                                                   Appetite & Exposure




Outline the Strategy
The business landscape is constantly changing. It is precisely because of uncertainty and rapid change that it
is essential to develop a clear, sustainable strategy that will empower the organisation to survive in the short
term and thrive in the long term. Given the impact of unsustainable strategies, business practices and policy
setting, the time to fundamentally change your business and focus on building sustainable competitive
advantage is now. When the economy recovers, it will be too late.




The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution                       © Manigent 2009                                                       3
Articulate Strategic Objectives
    When conducting a structured strategy formulation/review process, many organisations will
    produce a weighty strategy document, accompanied by the obligatory slide deck. After the
    strategy document has been signed off by the few, and the slide deck presented to the many,
    too commonly the strategy implementation process grinds to a halt. This is a significant
    contributing factor as to why a significant proporation of organisations continue to fail to
    execute strategy; this is often estimated as 70%.



    Strategy execution must become an embedded
    part of everyone’s job.

    One of the most powerful tools that has found            which sap energy, buy-in and support for the risk
    its way to the manager’s toolbox over the last           initiative and does not generate promised benefits.
    10-15 years has been the Strategy Map. A well-
    constructed Strategy Map offers a summary                This was clearly demonstrated during a recent
    of the organisation’s ‘strategic story’ - a clear        engagement with an investment bank in London.
    narrative of what the organisation is seeking to         The organisation had attempted to identify its
    achieve and how they will go about achieving the         key risks, generating a risk and control matrix
    strategy. By distilling strategy into a collection of    (RCM) that included hundreds of ‘key risks’ per
    simple objectives and visually depicting the causal      department. Recognising the overwhelming task of
    relationships between those objectives, the Strategy     managing those ‘key risks’, one division looked to
    Map identifies how intangible assets, such as people,    Manigent for further guidance. Fundamental to our
    information systems, culture, processes etc., create     Risk-based performance methodology is the setting
    customer outcomes and ultimately deliver tangible        of clear objectives. By employing this methodology
    financial benefits for stakeholders. A clear Strategy    our client was able to restructure their risk initiative
    Map ensures that those directly involved with            and the RCM; ultimately, there were fewer than
    its development will have a deep understanding           twenty key risks. By refining the sea of risk into this
    and buy-in of the strategy; it will also make            vital few, they were able to engage fully the rest of
    communicating and engaging those not directly            the business, drive the change they were seeking,
    involved more straightforward.                           focus on reducing risk-related losses, and put in
                                                             place the right projects to lower their risk profile
    While the Strategy Map development and its               over the long term, while uncovering and exploiting
    benefits are easily recognised from a performance        some previously unseen opportunities.
    management perspective, less obvious is the
    fundamental role that the Strategy Map has to
    play in relation to risk management. It is well
    documented in risk frameworks, such as COSO
    Enterprise Risk Framework and BS31100, and
    it is widely accepted within the risk community
    that the starting point for an enterprise-wide risk
    management initiative must be strategy and strategic
    objectives.

    Without a clear strategy and clear set of strategic
    objectives it is too easy to take a ‘measure
    everything’ approach. This too often leads to risk
    frameworks that attempts to manage thousands of
    risks, resulting in unwieldy, unsustainable situations



4                                    © Manigent 2009                     Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
Example Strategy
                                                                                                                  Map




Defining Risk Appetite
Too often, organisations move into the strategic implementation phase before weighing the
risks and opportunities presented by the prevailing business environment and organisational
capabilities and embedding risk into the process.
One of the most powerful ways in which an                 and the organisation quickly understood that, in
organisation can embed the consideration of               order to achieve some objectives, the level of risk
risk into the strategy execution process is via risk      required would be unacceptable. Thus, objectives
appetite. Rather than simply distilling strategy into     and their related targets were adjusted to match the
a set of objectives and defining KPIs, as per the         organisation’s risk appetite.
Balanced Scorecard, organisations should pause to
take an additional step: evaluating the level of risk     Another client employed a similar, but slightly more
they are willing to take to achieve their objectives.     sophisticated and comprehensive approach. After
By taking this step, organisations embark on the          developing a risk appetite based on a number of
development of an integrated, aligned approach to         ‘dimensions’ such as capital, cash flow, reputation,
strategy execution that incorporates both risk and        etc., the organisation considered questions such as:
performance management.                                   “To achieve this objective, how much capital are
                                                          we willing to put at risk?” “What potential impact
Some organisations develop complex, sophisticated         on cash flow can we accept?” and “How much of
quantitative models to support the definition of          a hit on our reputation can we afford?” Not only
risk appetite; however, to ensure relevance and           did this generate a robust and thoughtful set of
to make this information instantly meaningful             objectives, it also led to a high level of engagement
to senior management, others focus on a more              and buy-in across the organisation. People at all
pragmatic approach. With one recent client,               levels felt confident that the proposed strategy
Manigent simply created a set of levels for ‘target       was strong enough to get the company through
appetite’ – Extreme, High, Moderate and Low -             these challenging times (and thus continue to
with clear, well agreed definitions. Once levels were     provide them with jobs), was well considered, well
assigned to each objective, it was simple to visualise    thought out and achievable, rather than the normal
the different appetites of each business unit and         ‘unrealistic decree issued from on high’.
function. This tied back to the objective setting step,




The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution                       © Manigent 2009                                                    5
Defining Key Risks
                          Many organisations assume they should define key risks before defining risk appetite. Our
                          experience is to the contrary. An understanding of the level and type of risk the organisation
                          will accept to achieve its objectives is far more powerful when it is done before the definition
                          of specific, key risks.

                                                                                    Key risks are the vital few - the most critical risks
                                                                                    - that could have the most significant impact on
Example Risk Map                                                                    successful achievement of your strategic objectives.
                                                                                    The downside of key risks, should they materialise,
                                                                                    is the potential to wipe out your profits for the year,
                                                                                    or even decimate your business altogether. Risk
                                                                                    management is not simply about managing threats,
                                                                                    but also about realising opportunities. Potential
                                                                                    upsides are essential to consider when defining
                                                                                    risks. Perhaps most importantly, upsides and
                                                                                    downsides should be considered within the context
                                                                                    of strategic objectives and risk appetite when
                                                                                    evaluating a risk to determine if it is key. Objectives
                                                                                    and risk appetite provide a filter to ensure that
                                                                                    the risk management initiative does not become
                                                                                    overwhelmed by the ‘measure everything’ approach
                                                                                    and only the vital few are managed as key risks.

                          Regardless of how good risk processes are, no organisation possesses the resources or ability to manage all
                          risks in every single trade or transaction. Clear, easily understandable objectives, risk appetites and key risks
                          can be used to provide signals and to set boundaries within organisations. They shape culture and promote
                          the right set of behaviours; in particular, they promote the right set of behaviours on the front-line, whether
                          that is when trader is about to execute a trade or a mortgage advisor is about to offer a new mortgage.




“A more sophisticated
 and comprehensive
 approach to risk
 management
 can increase a
 company’s value
 by three to five
 percent.”
       - Prof. Doherty,
 Wharton Insurance &
    Risk Management




6                                                          © Manigent 2009                      Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
Review Risk Appetite
In our experience, many organisations choose to review their risk appetite in light of the
insight and understanding generated during the process of determining key risks.

Typically during this review, changes reflect the        The mechanism for conducting this type of review
organisation’s development of the capability and         varies. Some organisations simply review their
knowledge to take a more considered approach to          risk appetite statements to ensure applicability
determining appetite. Interestingly, we often see        given the identified set of key risks. Alternatively a
organisations increasing their appetite for risk as a    recent client took a more comprehensive approach,
result of having a more comprehensive picture of         assigning appetite to both objectives and key risks
their risk profile and their key risks. Some clients     and aligning the two.
also adjust objectives and targets at this stage.



    Just 37 percent of nearly a hundred senior
    executives at U.S.-based multinational
    organisations surveyed by
    PricewaterhouseCoopers in 2008 said their
    companies link risk indicators to corporate
    performance indicators.

Conduct Risk Assessment
With a clear set of the ‘vital few’ risks, reflecting the greatest potential threats or opportunities,
it becomes vital to conduct regular risk assessments as part of the overall strategic execution
process.

Risk assessments at this strategic level are often conducted on a quarterly, bi-annual, or sometimes an
annual basis. Between assessments, indicators can be used to monitor changes in risk profile (KRIs) and
changes in control effectiveness (KCIs). Recently, we have seen a number of organisations accelerating risk
assessments from relatively infrequent ‘set piece’ events to more continuous, rolling processes that may be
conducted on a monthly basis.

While the typical risk assessment process continues to focus on Likelihood and Impact, or variations of
these two elements, the supporting processes and practices vary. One Manigent client is not atypical,
conducting a quarterly, numbers driven assessment involving a relatively small number of ‘experts’. This
approach contrasts with another client, who engages in a continuous, organisational wide dialogue about
risk and performance. This process is driven by a small number of ‘risk champions’ and supported with
collaborative technologies. They encourage the use of tools such as spot surveys, discussion groups, and
monthly dashboards to form the basis of their risk assessments.

While the approaches may differ, the end result is the same: a clear understanding of the level of risk the
business is currently carrying - its risk exposure which is expressed in the same terms as used to express
appetite, such as– Extreme, High, Moderate or Low.




The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution                      © Manigent 2009                                      7
A recent client implementation of an aligned
                   performance and risk management approach
                   based on Manigent’s Risk-based performance
                   methodology led to a notable reduction in
                   operational losses and related claims - within
                   just six months of project inception.


                   Map Risk Exposure to Risk Appetite
                   To visualise the alignment of risk appetite and exposure, Manigent has developed a relatively
                   simple Risk Appetite and Exposure Matrix™. This simple matrix has proven to be one of the
                   most powerful, and engaging tools in our clients’ toolboxes.

                                                                            The matrix presents the level of risk appetite along
Example                                                                     the horizontal axis and exposure along the vertical.
Risk Appetite &                                                             The diagonal span of coloured cells identifies the
Exposure Matrix™                                                            intersection of appetite and exposure; thus the
                                                                            risks that appear in these coloured zones can be
                                                                            regarded as aligned. Risks below and to the left of
                                                                            the coloured cells are those for which the level of
                                                                            risk exposure is greater than appetite, therefore
                                                                            showing that the organisation’s exposure is greater
                                                                            than deemed acceptable. This should prompt
                                                                            immediate action to reduce risk exposure for these
                                                                            risks. Risk above and to the right of the coloured
                                                                            cells indicates the level of risk exposure is less than
                                                                            appetite, suggesting that the organisation is not
                                                                            taking enough risk to achieve its objectives. Again
                                                                            this should prompt action to rectify this situation.

                   Those involved in risk initiatives typically understand the first situation outlined, where exposure exceeds
                   appetite, and generally know how to respond. However the most interesting and powerful aspect of this
                   simple matrix has been its ability to demonstrate the second situation, outlining where the exposure is less
                   than appetite. Organisations are often surprised to discover areas in which they are not taking enough risk
                   and therefore not developing the capability to respond to - or positioning themselves for - opportunities in
                   the market.

                   On a recent project, the risk appetite and exposure matrix emerged as the single most powerful tool
                   deployed, generating a high level of senior management engagement and buy-in. Interestingly, the results
                   generally matched the collective gut feeling of the senior team, who felt certain areas of the business were
                   not moving fast enough or being aggressive enough in seizing opportunities in this changing market. The
                   risk appetite and exposure matrix provided the tool that enabled them to have informed and meaningful
                   discussions about where more or less risk needed to be taken. Over time they are now able to monitor
                   changes in alignment, more effectively allocate capital and ultimately enhance their strategic execution.


8                                                  © Manigent 2009                     Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution
To excel as the global economy recovers from the economic crisis, organisations must adopt
a new performance and risk paradigm. This paradigm is one that enables them to eschew the
traditional siloed approaches to performance management and risk management, replacing
them with an integrated and aligned approach.

As a result, their organisations are empowered with a sophisticated and comprehensive view of their
strategy execution – one that can allow them to more effectively manage risk alongside performance. The
benefits are evident throughout the organisation, via an enhanced ability to deliver strategic objectives,
reduced risk related losses and costs, improved capital allocation and utilisation, lower cost of capital, and
reduce the burden and cost of regulatory compliance.

When management teams move beyond traditional metric-focused management frameworks, they begin
taking the steps necessary to align their risk appetite and exposure. Manigent provides the solutions that
enables organisations to adopt this new paradigm, better positioning them to sustain and grow as the global
economy recovers.




The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution                       © Manigent 2009                                    9
About the Author
Andrew Smart is the co-founder and Managing Director of Manigent, a specialist performance
and risk management services company. Manigent’s solutions are based around the Risk-based
performance methodology and StratexPoint technology.

He is the originator of the Risk-based performance methodology and has more than 10 years
experience delivering performance and risk management solutions in the UK, Europe and the
Middle East. He is a Professional member of the Institute of Operational Risk and holds an MBA
from Henley Business School.

As part of his MBA studies Andrew undertook a year-long research project involving 19 financial
services companies in the United Kingdom asking the question “How do financial services
companies integrate and align performance and risk management?”. The results of this research
have subsequently influenced the development of the Risk-based performance methodology and
client projects.

Andrew regularly undertakes speaking, training and consultancy engagements in the area of
performance and risk management and has a book due to be published at the end of 2009.

Contact Andrew
andrew.smart@manigent.com




About Manigent
A thought leader in the area of the alignment of performance and risk management, Manigent
provides performance and risk management solutions, enabling organisations to manage and
monitor their objectives, the level of risk they will accept to achieve those objectives and the level
of risk they are currently running.

Manigent’s Risk-based performance™ methodology is a proven strategic execution methodology
which was developed by Manigent, in conjunction with its clients in the financial services industry.
Building on the Balanced Scorecard and COSO frameworks, Risk-based performance integrates
and aligns performance and risk management processes to enable organisations to manage the
trade-off between risk and reward, and drive strategic execution.

Manigent’s StratexPoint™ is a unique performance and risk management application combining
powerful analytical and collaboration capabilities. Developed on Microsoft’s market leading
SharePoint 2007 platform, StratexPoint is the only application specifically designed to integrate and
align performance and risk management. It allows organisations to take an integrated, enterprise-
level approach to managing and monitoring their performance objectives, risks and controls.




                                                                                                         117 Waterloo Road
                                                                                                         London SE1 8UL
                                                                                                         T:   +44 (0)20 7921 0022
                                                                                                         E:   info@manigent.com
                                                                                                         W:   www.manigent.com
                                         © Manigent 2009

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Aligning Risk Appetite and Exposure

  • 1. Aligning Risk Appetite and Exposure The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution
  • 2. Introduction As the credit crisis unfolded, some of the largest and most powerful players in the financial services industry suddenly began to face the consequences of a failure of strategy execution and risk management on a scale that previously would have seemed unfathomable. It quickly became the worst financial and economic crisis in living memory. The effect has been almost without precedent: not In this paper, we are focusing on how organisations only did it wreak havoc upon the financial services can successfully align their performance and industry; it has destroyed growth and prosperity in risk management processes to enable them to the wider, global economy. As signs of recovery survive the recession, and subsequently exploit emerge, governments, regulators and experts are opportunities presented as growth returns. We examining the root causes of the crisis and asking argue that successful strategy execution, in a post how to avoid similar meltdowns in the future. credit crisis world, will be built on the foundation of balancing risk appetite and exposure within the Simply, the credit crisis arose because financial context of clear strategic objectives. Embracing this services organisations failed to develop and execute new paradigm will enable organisations to answer sustainable strategies that fully considered their three critical questions: risk environment, and they neglected to embed risk management at the heart of their strategic and 1. What we are trying to achieve i.e. what are our operational processes. Organisations didn’t have the strategic objectives? processes, technology or culture in place to provide the right management information to the right 2. What level of risk is acceptable to achieve those people at the right time necessary to foster effective objectives i.e. what is our risk appetite? decision-making. As the risk environment changed, 3. What is our current level of risk i.e. what is our few organisations foresaw the crisis; as it unfolded, risk exposure? most were incapable of responding to it effectively. In the wake of the credit crisis and against a Organisations will develop the capabilities to deliver background of a more intrusive regulatory strategic objectives, reduced risk related losses and environment, organisations need to radically costs, improved capital allocation and utilisation, change how they approach performance and risk lower cost of capital, and reduce the burden and management. The traditional siloed approach must cost of regulatory compliance. be replaced by an integrated and aligned approach: one that enables organisations to integrate risk within the context of their strategic objectives. Risk What Is Risk Appetite? Risk appetite is the amount and type of risk that an organisation is prepared to seek, accept or tolerate Appetite & (BS31100), on a broad level, in pursuit of value. It reflects the entity’s risk management philosophy, and in turn influences the entity’s culture and operating style (COSO Integrated Risk Management Framework). Exposure Essentially, risk appetite is the amount and type of risk that an organisation is willing to accept to achieve its objectives. What Is Risk Exposure? Risk exposure is the extent to which an organisation is subject to risk events (BS31100). More meaningfully, however, is the exposure to consequences - as a combination of impact and likelihood - which may be experienced if a specific risk is realised. 2 © Manigent 2009 Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
  • 3. Balanced Scorecard & COSO In the early 1990s Kaplan and Norton presented the Balanced Scorecard as a framework enabling organisations to develop a set of measures to drive strategic execution, “balanced” between financial and non-financial measures, as well as leading and lagging indicators. Over the last 20 years or so, as the Balanced Both the Balanced Scorecard and COSO Scorecard was dominating discussions around frameworks have been highly influential, and widely performance management and strategy execution, deployed. However, as the regulatory environment the disciplines around risk management were also becomes more prescriptive and regulators more evolving. The COSO Integrated framework for intrusive, we would argue that organisations must Internal Controls was released in the early 1990s move beyond siloed approaches to managing and gained widespread acceptance. In 2004, the performance and risk, instead they should integrate COSO Enterprise risk management framework, and align these disciplines. Organisations must which explicitly recognises the critical role risk shift to a strategic execution paradigm that aligns management plays in the achievement of strategic risk appetite and exposure within the context of outcomes, superseded the COSO Internal strategic objectives. framework. Determining Strategic Objectives, Aligning Risk Appetite & Exposure It has never been more critical to shift to a strategic execution paradigm that aligns risk appetite and exposure within the context of strategic objectives. Given the intrinsic challenges of this undertaking, however, implementing this approach may be overwhelming without a proven roadmap to provide guidance – the Risk-based performance™ methodology provides such a roadmap. The figure below identifies the high-level steps toward articulating alignment between risk appetite and its risk exposure, as discussed in this paper. This initial process brings organisations up through the critical stage of developing indicators, and it offers significant benefits: Manigent clients have found that following this preliminary process produces powerful organisational change and delivers the comprehensive risk and performance information to inform management discussions, decision-makings and action-taking. Aligning Risk Appetite & Exposure Outline the Strategy The business landscape is constantly changing. It is precisely because of uncertainty and rapid change that it is essential to develop a clear, sustainable strategy that will empower the organisation to survive in the short term and thrive in the long term. Given the impact of unsustainable strategies, business practices and policy setting, the time to fundamentally change your business and focus on building sustainable competitive advantage is now. When the economy recovers, it will be too late. The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution © Manigent 2009 3
  • 4. Articulate Strategic Objectives When conducting a structured strategy formulation/review process, many organisations will produce a weighty strategy document, accompanied by the obligatory slide deck. After the strategy document has been signed off by the few, and the slide deck presented to the many, too commonly the strategy implementation process grinds to a halt. This is a significant contributing factor as to why a significant proporation of organisations continue to fail to execute strategy; this is often estimated as 70%. Strategy execution must become an embedded part of everyone’s job. One of the most powerful tools that has found which sap energy, buy-in and support for the risk its way to the manager’s toolbox over the last initiative and does not generate promised benefits. 10-15 years has been the Strategy Map. A well- constructed Strategy Map offers a summary This was clearly demonstrated during a recent of the organisation’s ‘strategic story’ - a clear engagement with an investment bank in London. narrative of what the organisation is seeking to The organisation had attempted to identify its achieve and how they will go about achieving the key risks, generating a risk and control matrix strategy. By distilling strategy into a collection of (RCM) that included hundreds of ‘key risks’ per simple objectives and visually depicting the causal department. Recognising the overwhelming task of relationships between those objectives, the Strategy managing those ‘key risks’, one division looked to Map identifies how intangible assets, such as people, Manigent for further guidance. Fundamental to our information systems, culture, processes etc., create Risk-based performance methodology is the setting customer outcomes and ultimately deliver tangible of clear objectives. By employing this methodology financial benefits for stakeholders. A clear Strategy our client was able to restructure their risk initiative Map ensures that those directly involved with and the RCM; ultimately, there were fewer than its development will have a deep understanding twenty key risks. By refining the sea of risk into this and buy-in of the strategy; it will also make vital few, they were able to engage fully the rest of communicating and engaging those not directly the business, drive the change they were seeking, involved more straightforward. focus on reducing risk-related losses, and put in place the right projects to lower their risk profile While the Strategy Map development and its over the long term, while uncovering and exploiting benefits are easily recognised from a performance some previously unseen opportunities. management perspective, less obvious is the fundamental role that the Strategy Map has to play in relation to risk management. It is well documented in risk frameworks, such as COSO Enterprise Risk Framework and BS31100, and it is widely accepted within the risk community that the starting point for an enterprise-wide risk management initiative must be strategy and strategic objectives. Without a clear strategy and clear set of strategic objectives it is too easy to take a ‘measure everything’ approach. This too often leads to risk frameworks that attempts to manage thousands of risks, resulting in unwieldy, unsustainable situations 4 © Manigent 2009 Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
  • 5. Example Strategy Map Defining Risk Appetite Too often, organisations move into the strategic implementation phase before weighing the risks and opportunities presented by the prevailing business environment and organisational capabilities and embedding risk into the process. One of the most powerful ways in which an and the organisation quickly understood that, in organisation can embed the consideration of order to achieve some objectives, the level of risk risk into the strategy execution process is via risk required would be unacceptable. Thus, objectives appetite. Rather than simply distilling strategy into and their related targets were adjusted to match the a set of objectives and defining KPIs, as per the organisation’s risk appetite. Balanced Scorecard, organisations should pause to take an additional step: evaluating the level of risk Another client employed a similar, but slightly more they are willing to take to achieve their objectives. sophisticated and comprehensive approach. After By taking this step, organisations embark on the developing a risk appetite based on a number of development of an integrated, aligned approach to ‘dimensions’ such as capital, cash flow, reputation, strategy execution that incorporates both risk and etc., the organisation considered questions such as: performance management. “To achieve this objective, how much capital are we willing to put at risk?” “What potential impact Some organisations develop complex, sophisticated on cash flow can we accept?” and “How much of quantitative models to support the definition of a hit on our reputation can we afford?” Not only risk appetite; however, to ensure relevance and did this generate a robust and thoughtful set of to make this information instantly meaningful objectives, it also led to a high level of engagement to senior management, others focus on a more and buy-in across the organisation. People at all pragmatic approach. With one recent client, levels felt confident that the proposed strategy Manigent simply created a set of levels for ‘target was strong enough to get the company through appetite’ – Extreme, High, Moderate and Low - these challenging times (and thus continue to with clear, well agreed definitions. Once levels were provide them with jobs), was well considered, well assigned to each objective, it was simple to visualise thought out and achievable, rather than the normal the different appetites of each business unit and ‘unrealistic decree issued from on high’. function. This tied back to the objective setting step, The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution © Manigent 2009 5
  • 6. Defining Key Risks Many organisations assume they should define key risks before defining risk appetite. Our experience is to the contrary. An understanding of the level and type of risk the organisation will accept to achieve its objectives is far more powerful when it is done before the definition of specific, key risks. Key risks are the vital few - the most critical risks - that could have the most significant impact on Example Risk Map successful achievement of your strategic objectives. The downside of key risks, should they materialise, is the potential to wipe out your profits for the year, or even decimate your business altogether. Risk management is not simply about managing threats, but also about realising opportunities. Potential upsides are essential to consider when defining risks. Perhaps most importantly, upsides and downsides should be considered within the context of strategic objectives and risk appetite when evaluating a risk to determine if it is key. Objectives and risk appetite provide a filter to ensure that the risk management initiative does not become overwhelmed by the ‘measure everything’ approach and only the vital few are managed as key risks. Regardless of how good risk processes are, no organisation possesses the resources or ability to manage all risks in every single trade or transaction. Clear, easily understandable objectives, risk appetites and key risks can be used to provide signals and to set boundaries within organisations. They shape culture and promote the right set of behaviours; in particular, they promote the right set of behaviours on the front-line, whether that is when trader is about to execute a trade or a mortgage advisor is about to offer a new mortgage. “A more sophisticated and comprehensive approach to risk management can increase a company’s value by three to five percent.” - Prof. Doherty, Wharton Insurance & Risk Management 6 © Manigent 2009 Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
  • 7. Review Risk Appetite In our experience, many organisations choose to review their risk appetite in light of the insight and understanding generated during the process of determining key risks. Typically during this review, changes reflect the The mechanism for conducting this type of review organisation’s development of the capability and varies. Some organisations simply review their knowledge to take a more considered approach to risk appetite statements to ensure applicability determining appetite. Interestingly, we often see given the identified set of key risks. Alternatively a organisations increasing their appetite for risk as a recent client took a more comprehensive approach, result of having a more comprehensive picture of assigning appetite to both objectives and key risks their risk profile and their key risks. Some clients and aligning the two. also adjust objectives and targets at this stage. Just 37 percent of nearly a hundred senior executives at U.S.-based multinational organisations surveyed by PricewaterhouseCoopers in 2008 said their companies link risk indicators to corporate performance indicators. Conduct Risk Assessment With a clear set of the ‘vital few’ risks, reflecting the greatest potential threats or opportunities, it becomes vital to conduct regular risk assessments as part of the overall strategic execution process. Risk assessments at this strategic level are often conducted on a quarterly, bi-annual, or sometimes an annual basis. Between assessments, indicators can be used to monitor changes in risk profile (KRIs) and changes in control effectiveness (KCIs). Recently, we have seen a number of organisations accelerating risk assessments from relatively infrequent ‘set piece’ events to more continuous, rolling processes that may be conducted on a monthly basis. While the typical risk assessment process continues to focus on Likelihood and Impact, or variations of these two elements, the supporting processes and practices vary. One Manigent client is not atypical, conducting a quarterly, numbers driven assessment involving a relatively small number of ‘experts’. This approach contrasts with another client, who engages in a continuous, organisational wide dialogue about risk and performance. This process is driven by a small number of ‘risk champions’ and supported with collaborative technologies. They encourage the use of tools such as spot surveys, discussion groups, and monthly dashboards to form the basis of their risk assessments. While the approaches may differ, the end result is the same: a clear understanding of the level of risk the business is currently carrying - its risk exposure which is expressed in the same terms as used to express appetite, such as– Extreme, High, Moderate or Low. The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution © Manigent 2009 7
  • 8. A recent client implementation of an aligned performance and risk management approach based on Manigent’s Risk-based performance methodology led to a notable reduction in operational losses and related claims - within just six months of project inception. Map Risk Exposure to Risk Appetite To visualise the alignment of risk appetite and exposure, Manigent has developed a relatively simple Risk Appetite and Exposure Matrix™. This simple matrix has proven to be one of the most powerful, and engaging tools in our clients’ toolboxes. The matrix presents the level of risk appetite along Example the horizontal axis and exposure along the vertical. Risk Appetite & The diagonal span of coloured cells identifies the Exposure Matrix™ intersection of appetite and exposure; thus the risks that appear in these coloured zones can be regarded as aligned. Risks below and to the left of the coloured cells are those for which the level of risk exposure is greater than appetite, therefore showing that the organisation’s exposure is greater than deemed acceptable. This should prompt immediate action to reduce risk exposure for these risks. Risk above and to the right of the coloured cells indicates the level of risk exposure is less than appetite, suggesting that the organisation is not taking enough risk to achieve its objectives. Again this should prompt action to rectify this situation. Those involved in risk initiatives typically understand the first situation outlined, where exposure exceeds appetite, and generally know how to respond. However the most interesting and powerful aspect of this simple matrix has been its ability to demonstrate the second situation, outlining where the exposure is less than appetite. Organisations are often surprised to discover areas in which they are not taking enough risk and therefore not developing the capability to respond to - or positioning themselves for - opportunities in the market. On a recent project, the risk appetite and exposure matrix emerged as the single most powerful tool deployed, generating a high level of senior management engagement and buy-in. Interestingly, the results generally matched the collective gut feeling of the senior team, who felt certain areas of the business were not moving fast enough or being aggressive enough in seizing opportunities in this changing market. The risk appetite and exposure matrix provided the tool that enabled them to have informed and meaningful discussions about where more or less risk needed to be taken. Over time they are now able to monitor changes in alignment, more effectively allocate capital and ultimately enhance their strategic execution. 8 © Manigent 2009 Aligning Risk Appetite & Risk Exposure
  • 9. The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution To excel as the global economy recovers from the economic crisis, organisations must adopt a new performance and risk paradigm. This paradigm is one that enables them to eschew the traditional siloed approaches to performance management and risk management, replacing them with an integrated and aligned approach. As a result, their organisations are empowered with a sophisticated and comprehensive view of their strategy execution – one that can allow them to more effectively manage risk alongside performance. The benefits are evident throughout the organisation, via an enhanced ability to deliver strategic objectives, reduced risk related losses and costs, improved capital allocation and utilisation, lower cost of capital, and reduce the burden and cost of regulatory compliance. When management teams move beyond traditional metric-focused management frameworks, they begin taking the steps necessary to align their risk appetite and exposure. Manigent provides the solutions that enables organisations to adopt this new paradigm, better positioning them to sustain and grow as the global economy recovers. The New Paradigm of Strategic Execution © Manigent 2009 9
  • 10. About the Author Andrew Smart is the co-founder and Managing Director of Manigent, a specialist performance and risk management services company. Manigent’s solutions are based around the Risk-based performance methodology and StratexPoint technology. He is the originator of the Risk-based performance methodology and has more than 10 years experience delivering performance and risk management solutions in the UK, Europe and the Middle East. He is a Professional member of the Institute of Operational Risk and holds an MBA from Henley Business School. As part of his MBA studies Andrew undertook a year-long research project involving 19 financial services companies in the United Kingdom asking the question “How do financial services companies integrate and align performance and risk management?”. The results of this research have subsequently influenced the development of the Risk-based performance methodology and client projects. Andrew regularly undertakes speaking, training and consultancy engagements in the area of performance and risk management and has a book due to be published at the end of 2009. Contact Andrew andrew.smart@manigent.com About Manigent A thought leader in the area of the alignment of performance and risk management, Manigent provides performance and risk management solutions, enabling organisations to manage and monitor their objectives, the level of risk they will accept to achieve those objectives and the level of risk they are currently running. Manigent’s Risk-based performance™ methodology is a proven strategic execution methodology which was developed by Manigent, in conjunction with its clients in the financial services industry. Building on the Balanced Scorecard and COSO frameworks, Risk-based performance integrates and aligns performance and risk management processes to enable organisations to manage the trade-off between risk and reward, and drive strategic execution. Manigent’s StratexPoint™ is a unique performance and risk management application combining powerful analytical and collaboration capabilities. Developed on Microsoft’s market leading SharePoint 2007 platform, StratexPoint is the only application specifically designed to integrate and align performance and risk management. It allows organisations to take an integrated, enterprise- level approach to managing and monitoring their performance objectives, risks and controls. 117 Waterloo Road London SE1 8UL T: +44 (0)20 7921 0022 E: info@manigent.com W: www.manigent.com © Manigent 2009