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1 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
The Future
of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
2 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Setting the scene
There has been much speculation about the
future of office space. Some media reports
have hypothesized that a significant amount of
employees will permanently work from home,
which will result in a dramatic decline in the
need for office space. These articles often lack
concrete data though, and instead cite one or
two high-profile companies which have made
bold statements regarding remote working
being a much bigger part of their long-term real
estate strategy.
In an effort to gain a deeper understanding of
this complex topic, JLL Research during the
month of July surveyed more than 100 Midwest
business executives across a wide range of
industries to understand how small businesses
and middle market companies plan to utilize
office space post-COVID-19. Here’s who we
surveyed and what we learned.
What is the size of your
company’s office?
What industry are
you in?
Finance &
Insurance
Construction &
Manufacturing
Real Estate
Other
Professional &
Business Services
Health
Legal
Technology
23%
26%
26%
22%
15%
11%
14%
12%11%
11%
11%
10%
8%
Less than 5,000 square feet
5,000 to 10,000 square feet
More than 50,000 square feet
10,000 to 20,000 square feet
20,000 to 50,000 square feet
3 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Nearly all offices will
re-open by the end of the year
64% of offices are currently open across the Midwest, and by
the end of the year, that number will increase to 86%.
Of the more than 100 businesses surveyed, only one firm, a
technology company, indicated plans to close their office and
shift employees into coworking space.
When do you
expect your office
to re-open?
Our office already re-opened
39%
Our office never closed
25%
September / October15%
Beyond 202013%
November / December4%
July / August3%
We are closing the office, all
employees will work remotely
1%
4 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Offices are re-opening, but
employees will be slow to return
While the majority of offices have
re-opened, only 27% of businesses
currently have at least half of their
employees working from the office
regularly. By the end of the year, 60%
of businesses expect to have at least
half of their employees working in the
office regularly.
Conversely, 40% of the businesses
surveyed said they do not intend to
have the majority of employees back
in the office until 2021, signaling that
until a vaccine is widely available,
many employees will continue to
work from home.
When do you expect 50% of your employees
to be working in the office regularly?
40%
Beyond
2020
27%
50% of our employees
are already working in
the office regularly
22%
The fourth quarter
of this year (October
through December)
11%
The third quarter of
this year (July through
September)
5 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Offices are re-opening without major
capital expenditures
The majority of businesses are not incurring significant expenses to re-open offices. In
fact, only 19% of firms indicated that they were planning capital expenditures in the
short- to medium-term to redesign their office due to COVID-19.
Are you planning capital expenditures in the short- to
medium-term to redesign your office due to COVID-19?
66%
No
19%
Yes
15%
Unsure
6 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Companies are implementing
practical safety protocols
Most companies are implementing inexpensive and practical policies to keep
employees safe. The most common safety protocols that are being implemented
include social distancing guidelines, enhanced cleaning procedures, and limiting the
number of employees that can congregate in common areas.
When you return to the office, which safety
protocols do you plan to put in place?
Social distancing guidelines
Enhanced cleaning procedures
Limiting access to common areas
Reduce seating capacity
Temperature screening
Foot traffic management
Employee shifts
Contact tracing
98%
87%
69%
62%
50%
48%
42%
38%
7 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Companies plan to bring almost all
workers back to the office
The last few months have proven
that most employees can work
from home and be productive. As
a result, 60% of the companies
surveyed said that they are
considering having a percentage
of their workforce permanently
work from home.
However, the office will
continue to play a critical role in
employee collaboration, product
innovation, and company culture.
Recognizing this, 80% of the
companies surveyed said that at
least 80% of their employees will
return to the office post-COVID-19.
Does your company plan to keep
some employees working from home
permanently? If so, what percentage?
40%
21%
19%
15%
4%
1%
All employees will
eventually return to
the office
10% to 20% will
permanently work
from home
20% to 50% will
permanently work
from home
Less than 5% will
permanently work
from home
5% to 10% will
permanently work
from home
More than 50% will
permanently work
from home
8 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Most companies will need about the
same amount of office space
73% of the companies
surveyed said that they will
need about the same amount
of office space in the future,
indicating that overall office
demand should remain fairly
stable post-COVID-19.
That said, 23% of companies
plan to significantly reduce the
size of their office, which could
lead to increased vacancy in the
short- to medium-term. Long-
term, however, this vacancy will
be re-absorbed as the economy
rebounds and companies begin
to grow again.
47%
7%
23%
4%
19%
Our company will need
the same amount of
office space
We will need a
little more space
(an increase of
20% or less)
We will need a lot less
space (a reduction of
more than 20%)
We will need a lot
more space (an
increase of more
than 20%)
We will need a little less
space (a reduction of
20% or less)
What do you expect will be your company’s
future office space needs?
9 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Very few companies have immediate
plans to dispose of space
65% percent of companies do not
plan to sublease or dispose of space
in the short- to medium-term, which
is reflective of the fact that most
companies plan to need about the
same amount of office space
post-COVID-19.
However, 11% of companies
do plan to shed office space
and another 24% are undecided.
If these companies follow through
on giving back space, that could
result in a meaningful increase
in office vacancy in the
short- to medium-term.
Do you plan to sublease or dispose of office
space in the short- to medium-term?
65%
24%
11%
No
Unsure
Yes
10 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Companies remain committed to
downtown offices
Many have speculated that companies will migrate from downtown to the suburbs to de-densify
and address employee concerns about public transportation. This is not likely to be the case in the
Midwest, in part because most employees already commute by car, but also because the underlying
factors that drove companies to locate downtown will remain in place post-COVID-19, including the
central location, proximity to clients, and the highly amenitized setting.
A resounding 93% of business leaders who currently have offices in downtowns across the Midwest
said they have no intention of relocating to the suburbs.
If your office is currently located
downtown, are you planning to
relocate to the suburbs?
93% 7%
No Unsure
11 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Very few companies plan to move
to a hub-and-spoke model
Some companies have announced
plans to move to a hub-and-spoke
model in large metropolitan regions
like New York and Los Angeles.
This is being driven by the excessive
commute times in those regions, the
inability for companies to access talent
pools, and employee concerns over
public transportation.
This trend is unlikely to play out in the
Midwest given the shorter commute
times and the fact that most employees
drive to work. In fact, only 5% of the
businesses surveyed said they were
planning to add additional offices as
part of a hub-and-spoke model.
Do you plan to add additional office
locations as part of a hub-and-spoke model?
80%
15%
5%No
Unsure
Yes
12 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
Most companies are not planning to
consolidate offices
When asked if companies were
considering consolidating
multiple offices within a region,
in part to save costs, 67% of the
businesses surveyed indicated
no plans to do so.
The office will remain a critical
asset to companies, serving as
a place to conduct business,
collaborate, and innovate. The
underlying drivers that led
companies to establish
multiple offices within a
region will largely remain in
place post-COVID-19.
If you have multiple offices within the region,
do you plan to consolidate locations?
67% No
17% Unsure
16% Yes
13 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
The future of coworking in the
Midwest is unclear
Over the last decade, companies
have increasingly embraced
coworking space given the
flexibility it provides in terms of
cost, time, and scale. However,
in the age of COVID-19, many
companies are looking to exit
coworking agreements due to
health concerns and the need to
preserve capital.
The future of coworking space
in the Midwest is very much
unclear, with 57% of the survey
respondents saying they were
unsure if they would increase or
decrease their company’s usage
of coworking space in the future.
Is your company planning to change its
usage of coworking space in the future?
57% 27% 16%
We are planning to
increase our usage of
coworking space
Unsure We are planning to
decrease our usage of
coworking space
14 The Future of Office Space
MIDWEST ANALYSIS
What else we heard
Having our team together in the office
as much and as soon as possible is
important for the team’s productivity,
mental health, and collaboration.
“
”
Our answers to the survey questions
change daily as the situation evolves.
Currently the goal is to shift more than
50% of the workforce to work form
home and have employees come to
the office as needed. Only essential
personnel will be onsite daily.
“
”
Issues of child support will greatly
impact the need to work remotely i.e. if
schools are predominantly online and/
or daycare access is limited – coming
back into the office full time will not be
an option for many employees.
“
”
We thought we would move to bigger
space when our lease is up, not sure if
we will still do that to allow for social
distancing, or if we will take less space
because more employees will be
working from home.
“
”
It is unclear what our work environment will
look like post-COVID-19, but it is apparent
to the leadership that many employees
can work from home productively and
some continued remote working may be
permanent. But we are a collaborative
culture, and that will factor into some return
to the office when safe.
“
”
You can’t build culture without an office
presence. I’ve already seen it when
people are back together, it’s amazing.
When you’re apart again, it’s obvious this
cannot last if you want to build a winning
culture and team.
“
”
I expect we’ll have a lot of people
who work from home one to
three days per week and come
into the office the other days.
“
”
The COVID-19 crisis materially
changed our perception of what
we need from a physical office.
That said, when we do get back
together we will remember how
much can get done face-to-face.
“
”
For more information, please contact:
Andrew Batson
Senior Vice President
Director of Midwest Research
andrew.batson@am.jll.com
© 2020 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.
This report has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not necessarily purport to be a complete analysis of the topics discussed, which are inherently unpredictable. Any views
expressed in the report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. Statements that are forward-looking involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may
cause future realities to be materially different from those implied by such forward-looking statements. Advice we give to clients in particular situations may differ from the views expressed in this report.
No investment or other business decisions should be made based solely on the views expressed in this report.

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JLL Research - The Future of Office Space

  • 1. 1 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS
  • 2. 2 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Setting the scene There has been much speculation about the future of office space. Some media reports have hypothesized that a significant amount of employees will permanently work from home, which will result in a dramatic decline in the need for office space. These articles often lack concrete data though, and instead cite one or two high-profile companies which have made bold statements regarding remote working being a much bigger part of their long-term real estate strategy. In an effort to gain a deeper understanding of this complex topic, JLL Research during the month of July surveyed more than 100 Midwest business executives across a wide range of industries to understand how small businesses and middle market companies plan to utilize office space post-COVID-19. Here’s who we surveyed and what we learned. What is the size of your company’s office? What industry are you in? Finance & Insurance Construction & Manufacturing Real Estate Other Professional & Business Services Health Legal Technology 23% 26% 26% 22% 15% 11% 14% 12%11% 11% 11% 10% 8% Less than 5,000 square feet 5,000 to 10,000 square feet More than 50,000 square feet 10,000 to 20,000 square feet 20,000 to 50,000 square feet
  • 3. 3 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Nearly all offices will re-open by the end of the year 64% of offices are currently open across the Midwest, and by the end of the year, that number will increase to 86%. Of the more than 100 businesses surveyed, only one firm, a technology company, indicated plans to close their office and shift employees into coworking space. When do you expect your office to re-open? Our office already re-opened 39% Our office never closed 25% September / October15% Beyond 202013% November / December4% July / August3% We are closing the office, all employees will work remotely 1%
  • 4. 4 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Offices are re-opening, but employees will be slow to return While the majority of offices have re-opened, only 27% of businesses currently have at least half of their employees working from the office regularly. By the end of the year, 60% of businesses expect to have at least half of their employees working in the office regularly. Conversely, 40% of the businesses surveyed said they do not intend to have the majority of employees back in the office until 2021, signaling that until a vaccine is widely available, many employees will continue to work from home. When do you expect 50% of your employees to be working in the office regularly? 40% Beyond 2020 27% 50% of our employees are already working in the office regularly 22% The fourth quarter of this year (October through December) 11% The third quarter of this year (July through September)
  • 5. 5 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Offices are re-opening without major capital expenditures The majority of businesses are not incurring significant expenses to re-open offices. In fact, only 19% of firms indicated that they were planning capital expenditures in the short- to medium-term to redesign their office due to COVID-19. Are you planning capital expenditures in the short- to medium-term to redesign your office due to COVID-19? 66% No 19% Yes 15% Unsure
  • 6. 6 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Companies are implementing practical safety protocols Most companies are implementing inexpensive and practical policies to keep employees safe. The most common safety protocols that are being implemented include social distancing guidelines, enhanced cleaning procedures, and limiting the number of employees that can congregate in common areas. When you return to the office, which safety protocols do you plan to put in place? Social distancing guidelines Enhanced cleaning procedures Limiting access to common areas Reduce seating capacity Temperature screening Foot traffic management Employee shifts Contact tracing 98% 87% 69% 62% 50% 48% 42% 38%
  • 7. 7 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Companies plan to bring almost all workers back to the office The last few months have proven that most employees can work from home and be productive. As a result, 60% of the companies surveyed said that they are considering having a percentage of their workforce permanently work from home. However, the office will continue to play a critical role in employee collaboration, product innovation, and company culture. Recognizing this, 80% of the companies surveyed said that at least 80% of their employees will return to the office post-COVID-19. Does your company plan to keep some employees working from home permanently? If so, what percentage? 40% 21% 19% 15% 4% 1% All employees will eventually return to the office 10% to 20% will permanently work from home 20% to 50% will permanently work from home Less than 5% will permanently work from home 5% to 10% will permanently work from home More than 50% will permanently work from home
  • 8. 8 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Most companies will need about the same amount of office space 73% of the companies surveyed said that they will need about the same amount of office space in the future, indicating that overall office demand should remain fairly stable post-COVID-19. That said, 23% of companies plan to significantly reduce the size of their office, which could lead to increased vacancy in the short- to medium-term. Long- term, however, this vacancy will be re-absorbed as the economy rebounds and companies begin to grow again. 47% 7% 23% 4% 19% Our company will need the same amount of office space We will need a little more space (an increase of 20% or less) We will need a lot less space (a reduction of more than 20%) We will need a lot more space (an increase of more than 20%) We will need a little less space (a reduction of 20% or less) What do you expect will be your company’s future office space needs?
  • 9. 9 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Very few companies have immediate plans to dispose of space 65% percent of companies do not plan to sublease or dispose of space in the short- to medium-term, which is reflective of the fact that most companies plan to need about the same amount of office space post-COVID-19. However, 11% of companies do plan to shed office space and another 24% are undecided. If these companies follow through on giving back space, that could result in a meaningful increase in office vacancy in the short- to medium-term. Do you plan to sublease or dispose of office space in the short- to medium-term? 65% 24% 11% No Unsure Yes
  • 10. 10 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Companies remain committed to downtown offices Many have speculated that companies will migrate from downtown to the suburbs to de-densify and address employee concerns about public transportation. This is not likely to be the case in the Midwest, in part because most employees already commute by car, but also because the underlying factors that drove companies to locate downtown will remain in place post-COVID-19, including the central location, proximity to clients, and the highly amenitized setting. A resounding 93% of business leaders who currently have offices in downtowns across the Midwest said they have no intention of relocating to the suburbs. If your office is currently located downtown, are you planning to relocate to the suburbs? 93% 7% No Unsure
  • 11. 11 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Very few companies plan to move to a hub-and-spoke model Some companies have announced plans to move to a hub-and-spoke model in large metropolitan regions like New York and Los Angeles. This is being driven by the excessive commute times in those regions, the inability for companies to access talent pools, and employee concerns over public transportation. This trend is unlikely to play out in the Midwest given the shorter commute times and the fact that most employees drive to work. In fact, only 5% of the businesses surveyed said they were planning to add additional offices as part of a hub-and-spoke model. Do you plan to add additional office locations as part of a hub-and-spoke model? 80% 15% 5%No Unsure Yes
  • 12. 12 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS Most companies are not planning to consolidate offices When asked if companies were considering consolidating multiple offices within a region, in part to save costs, 67% of the businesses surveyed indicated no plans to do so. The office will remain a critical asset to companies, serving as a place to conduct business, collaborate, and innovate. The underlying drivers that led companies to establish multiple offices within a region will largely remain in place post-COVID-19. If you have multiple offices within the region, do you plan to consolidate locations? 67% No 17% Unsure 16% Yes
  • 13. 13 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS The future of coworking in the Midwest is unclear Over the last decade, companies have increasingly embraced coworking space given the flexibility it provides in terms of cost, time, and scale. However, in the age of COVID-19, many companies are looking to exit coworking agreements due to health concerns and the need to preserve capital. The future of coworking space in the Midwest is very much unclear, with 57% of the survey respondents saying they were unsure if they would increase or decrease their company’s usage of coworking space in the future. Is your company planning to change its usage of coworking space in the future? 57% 27% 16% We are planning to increase our usage of coworking space Unsure We are planning to decrease our usage of coworking space
  • 14. 14 The Future of Office Space MIDWEST ANALYSIS What else we heard Having our team together in the office as much and as soon as possible is important for the team’s productivity, mental health, and collaboration. “ ” Our answers to the survey questions change daily as the situation evolves. Currently the goal is to shift more than 50% of the workforce to work form home and have employees come to the office as needed. Only essential personnel will be onsite daily. “ ” Issues of child support will greatly impact the need to work remotely i.e. if schools are predominantly online and/ or daycare access is limited – coming back into the office full time will not be an option for many employees. “ ” We thought we would move to bigger space when our lease is up, not sure if we will still do that to allow for social distancing, or if we will take less space because more employees will be working from home. “ ” It is unclear what our work environment will look like post-COVID-19, but it is apparent to the leadership that many employees can work from home productively and some continued remote working may be permanent. But we are a collaborative culture, and that will factor into some return to the office when safe. “ ” You can’t build culture without an office presence. I’ve already seen it when people are back together, it’s amazing. When you’re apart again, it’s obvious this cannot last if you want to build a winning culture and team. “ ” I expect we’ll have a lot of people who work from home one to three days per week and come into the office the other days. “ ” The COVID-19 crisis materially changed our perception of what we need from a physical office. That said, when we do get back together we will remember how much can get done face-to-face. “ ”
  • 15. For more information, please contact: Andrew Batson Senior Vice President Director of Midwest Research andrew.batson@am.jll.com © 2020 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved. This report has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not necessarily purport to be a complete analysis of the topics discussed, which are inherently unpredictable. Any views expressed in the report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. Statements that are forward-looking involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause future realities to be materially different from those implied by such forward-looking statements. Advice we give to clients in particular situations may differ from the views expressed in this report. No investment or other business decisions should be made based solely on the views expressed in this report.