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Opportunities and Challenges in West Africa’s 
Healthcare and Pharmaceutical Sector 
Aiswariya Chidambaram 
Senior Research Analyst - Life Sciences 
CPhI Worldwide, Paris 
8-10-2014
2 
Focus Points 
Focus Points 
Ghana & Nigeria – Macroeconomic Overview 
Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria Overview 
Ghana & Nigeria Pharmaceutical Market Trends and Forecasts 
Pharmaceutical Market Segmentation by Therapeutic Area 
Therapeutic Area Growth Analysis 
Key Drivers & Restraints 
Pharmaceutical Procurement Process 
Competitive Analysis by Company Type 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry – Detailed Overview 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry – Detailed Overview 
Key Mergers, Acquisitions & Partnerships 
Future Directions for Pharmaceutical Companies in Ghana & Nigeria
3 
Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria Overview 
Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Market Engineering Measurements, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 
Market Stage 
Growth 
Market Revenue 
$1.63 B 
Market Size for 
Last Year of 
Study Period 
$3.12 B 
(2013) (2018) 
(2013) 
Base Year 
Market Growth 
Rate 
14.0% 
Compound 
Annual Growth 
Rate 
13.9% 
(CAGR, 2013–2018) 
Customer Price 
Sensitivity 
9 
(scale:1 [low] to 10 [High]) 
Degree of 
Technical Change 
6 
(scale:1 [low] to 10 [High]) 
Market Overview 
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan 
Decreasing Stable Increasing 
(2013) 
Prescription 
Pharmaceutical 
Segment Revenue 
65.9% 
(2013) 
OTC 
Pharmaceutical 
Segment Revenue 
34.1% 
(2013) 
Number of 
Registered 
Market 
Participants 
185 
(approximately) 
(active market competitors in 
2013)
4 
Ghana & Nigeria Pharmaceutical Market Trends and 
Forecasts 
Key Trends 
Robust industry growth expected to 
near 14% p.a. in the next 5 years, 
underpinned by: 
 Continuous burden of infectious 
diseases including malaria, TB 
and AIDS among others drives 
demand for anti-infectives 
 Increased incidence of NCDs 
including diabetes, hypertension 
and cancer drives demand for 
chronic prescription drugs. 
 OTC segment expected to 
witness growth mainly for anti-infectives, 
analgesics and 
vitamins 
 Rapid increase in uptake of 
generics anticipated owing to 
increased NHIS coverage. 
 100% NHIS coverage in Ghana 
expected to boost prescription 
drugs 
Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria: Revenue Forecast 
3.50 
3.00 
2.50 
2.00 
1.50 
1.00 
0.50 
Key Segments 
75% 
25% 
20.0 
18.0 
16.0 
14.0 
12.0 
10.0 
8.0 
6.0 
4.0 
2.0 
Sales Breakdown by 
Exclusivity Status, 2013 
44.3% 
21.6% 
34.1% 
Revenue Breakdown by 
Geographic Region, 2013 
2.4% 
Ghana 
Governments to encourage local production of essential medicines to improve capacity utilization and reduce imports 
7 
0.0 
0.00 
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
Revenue 1.11 1.26 1.43 1.63 1.85 2.09 2.40 2.73 3.12 
Growth Rate - 13.5 13.5 14.0 13.5 13.0 14.8 13.8 14.3 
Growth Rate (%) 
Revenue ($ Billion) 
CAGR (2013 – 2018) = 13.9% 
Branded 
Nigeria 
OTC 
Generic 
CAGR (2013 – 2018) = 13.9%
5 
Per Cent Revenue Forecast by Region 
Ghana is expected to witness higher growth than Nigeria because of increased NHIS coverage and 
well-defined regulatory guidelines. 
100.0 
75.0 
50.0 
25.0 
0.0 
Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue Forecast by Region, Ghana & 
Nigeria, 2010–2018 
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 
Ghana 27.3 25.0 26.7 25.0 27.8 28.6 29.2 29.6 29.0 
Nigeria 72.7 75.0 73.3 75.0 72.2 71.4 70.8 70.4 71.0 
Revenue (%) 
Year 
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
6 
Pharmaceutical Market Segmentation by Therapeutic Area 
Although anti-infectives constitute the largest segment of the prescriptive pharmaceutical market, a 
marked shift in the burden of illness towards lifestyle diseases is expected. 
Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Sales Breakdown by 
Therapeutic Segment, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 
Anti-infectives 
25.8% 
Cardiovascular 
11.9% 
Diabetes 
6.2% 
Respiratory 
5.6% 
CNS 
4.4% 
Oncology 
3.5% 
OTC 
34.7% 
Others 
7.9% 
Note: Others include dermatology, gastrointestinal, and rheumatology. 
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
7 
Therapeutic Area Growth Analysis 
Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Therapeutic Segment Growth Analysis, Ghana & Nigeria, 2014–2018 
Continuous burden of 
anti-infectives is 
expected to contribute 
to significantly high 
growth of this 
segment throughout 
the forecast period. 
Anti-infectives 
14% 
12% 
10% 
8% 
6% 
4% 
2% 
Declining 
Cardiovascular Diabetes Respiratory CNS 
Fast 
Growing 
Growing 
Oncology 
Source: Frost & Sullivan 
Note: Bubble size represents market value 
The relatively lesser 
incidence of respiratory 
diseases coupled with lack 
of technological expertise 
for the production of certain 
drug types is expected to 
restrict the growth of this 
segment. 
This is the fastest 
growing segment. 
Early diagnosis, 
coupled with 
increasing 
awareness, is 
expected to fuel 
the growth of this 
segment. 
20% 
Fast 
Growing 
CAGR 
Fast 
Growing 
Fast 
Growing 
Increasing awareness 
of mental conditions 
and efforts to protect 
mental health of 
people are expected 
to drive growth in the 
long-term. 
The increasing rate of urbanisation 
and adoption of western life style are 
expected to result in an increasing 
incidence of NCDs, including 
cardiovascular disease and 
diabetes.
8 
Drivers 
Continuous 
burden of 
infectious 
diseases 
Increasing 
incidence 
of NCDs 
Increased 
healthcare 
spending 
Weak 
Restraints 
regulatory 
policies 
Weak 
distribution 
systems 
Poor 
diagnosis 
and patient 
awareness 
Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria – Key 
Drivers and Restraints 
• Largest reservoir 
of malaria, TB 
and AIDS 
• Recent outbreak 
of Ebola virus 
• Increased public 
health coverage 
(90%) 
• Expanded 
program on 
immunization 
(EPI) 
• Increasing 
adoption of 
western 
lifestyle 
• NCDs to 
constitute 21% 
by 2030 
• Steep rise in 
chronic drugs 
to essential 
medicines 
ratio 
• Pharmaceutical 
spending in Africa 
to reach $35 
billion by 2018 
• Implementation of 
NHIS to improve 
access and 
availability of 
drugs 
• FDI in Africa 
expected to 
double by 2016 
• Inadequate 
number of 
pharmacies 
and private 
clinics 
• Counterfeit 
drugs and 
illegitimate 
drug trading 
• Drug registration 
process time 
consuming and open 
to corruption 
• Absence of structured 
pricing system poses 
challenge to public 
sector 
• Private sector 
challenged by high 
out-of –pocket 
spending 
• Poor 
knowledge of 
diagnostic 
procedures 
• Patients 
skeptical about 
use of modern 
medicines 
• Lack of trained 
doctors and 
nurses 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
9 
Pharmaceutical Procurement Process 
Key Takeaway: Engaging in strategic partnerships with local distributors is crucial for effective 
Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Procurement Process, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 
Local Manufacturers 
Generic 
Companies 
Distributors 
Branded 
Companies 
Manufacturer 
Representatives Direct Sales 
Distributors Teaching hospitals, 
private hospitals, 
clinics, pharmacies, 
and chemical sellers 
Source: Frost & Sullivan 
product distribution in Ghana and Nigeria. 
End User
10 
Competitive Analysis by Company Type 
Per Cent Sales Breakdown by Tiers of 
Competition, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 
Local 
manufacturers 
28.8% 
• Efforts have been made to ensure quality 
production 
• The WHO and UNITAID have offered technical 
assistance and capacity building to Nigerian drug 
makers in achieving GMP standards and WHO 
pre-qualification 
 Branded companies predominantly target the 
private sector, especially for in-demand therapies 
 Increasing incidence of NCDs to fuel demand for 
specialty pharmaceuticals driving growth of MNCs 
 Importers include Indian and Chinese generic 
pharmaceutical companies. 
 Indian generic companies, which sell drugs 
mostly through NGOs and government tenders, 
fare much better than their Chinese counterparts. 
 Local manufacturers sell own brands besides 
distributing brands of MNCs and importers 
 High cost of local APIs poses challenge to local 
manufacturers 
 Only a handful of local companies have gained 
WHO pre-qualification status 
Importers 
36.7% 
Branded 
companies 
34.5% 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
11 
Key Competitive Factors for Pharmaceutical Companies 
Competitive 
Pricing 
Key Success 
Factors 
Good 
product 
quality 
Well-established 
distribution 
network 
Marketing 
Strategies 
Brand 
Recognition/ 
Loyalty 
Source: Frost & Sullivan 
Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Competitive 
Factors, Ghana and Nigeria
12 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry Overview 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue 
OTC 
28.8% 
by Product Segment, Ghana, 2013 
Generic 
71.1% 
Branded 
Prescription 28.9% 
71.2% 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue by 
Imported and Locally Produced Pharmaceuticals, 
Ghana, 2013 
Locally 
manufactured 
34.0% 
Imported 
66.0% 
 The OTC product segment is considerable, 
attributing to inaccessibility issues with 
prescription pharmaceuticals in certain regions, 
increased focus of the local participants on the 
OTC sector, and heavy advertising of OTC drugs. 
 Ghana has approximately 55 registered 
pharmaceutical manufacturers producing finished 
dose formulations. 
 Few companies equipped with the capabilities to 
produce APIs. La Gray Chemical Company is 
one such example. 
 Well-developed NHIS and major donor funding 
for the provision of essential drugs 
 10-15% of locally produced drugs exported to 
other West African countries. 
 Unregistered products account for 4% of the 
market; exact share of counterfeit drugs unknown 
 Acute respiratory infections, malnutrition, anemia, 
diarrhea, and measles account for 50% of all 
childhood hospitalisation and 30% of childhood 
deaths. 
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
13 
Ghana – Market Analysis by Product Segment 
50.6% 
28.8% 
20.6% 
Generic Branded OTC 
• Local manufacturers primarily 
focus on OTC. 
• Key products include combination 
analgesics, tonics, vitamins, cold 
and flu preparations 
• High cost of imports, APIs and 
intermediates to drive growth of 
OTC segment 
• Increased NHIS coverage could 
result in slightly lesser growth 
• Increasing incidence of NCDs 
drive growth in this segment 
• Significant proportion of Ghanaian 
population are brand loyal 
• Growth of niche therapy areas 
such as oncology and CNS 
expected to increase uptake of 
branded drugs 
• Increasing patient awareness to 
contribute to growth 
• Traditionally largest 
segment comprising half 
the market 
• Key suppliers include 
importers from India and 
China 
• Local manufacturers 
produce drugs for PEDs 
• Cent percent NHIS 
coverage – major 
growth driver 
• Generic companies 
likely to win tenders in 
public sector, particularly 
in diabetes and 
cardiovascular 
segments 
• Expected to witness 
highest growth, 
representing almost 
60% by 2018 
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
14 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and 
Supply Management 
Tertiary 
level 
(Central 
authorities) 
Secondary level 
(District and regional) 
Primary level 
(Community and rural areas) 
Public Sector Pharmaceutical Procurement 
The Ministry of Health (MOH) Procurement Department is 
responsible for the overall steering and management of 
the public sector drug procurement. 
The Ghanaian health service (GHS), a service delivery 
agency under the MOH, is responsible for the allocation 
of resources and liaison with the private sector. 
 Public sector procurement comprises 3 levels. 
o Tertiary-level services are provided by central authorities that 
include the major public teaching hospitals (Korle Bu, Komfo 
Anokye and Tamale) via tendering 
o secondary-level services are offered by district and regional 
institutions. 
o Primary-level services are provided by community and sub-district/ 
rural institutions 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector 
Drug Procurement, Ghana, 2013 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
15 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and 
Supply Management (continued) 
International Competitive 
Bidding (ICB) 
• Drugs that address local PEDs 
and financed through TGF are 
procured via ICB. 
• WHO pre-qualification and 
registration with FDB is 
required for a product to 
qualify for ICB. 
• Drug needs assessment is 
done by the following 
agencies: 
o ARVs – Ghana Office of 
UNAIDS and WHO 
o Anti-malarials – Ghana 
National Malarial Control 
Program 
o TB drugs – Ghana National 
TB Program and WHO 
o NTD drugs – Ghana MOH 
and WHO 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Procurement Process, Ghana, 2013 
National Competitive 
Bidding (NCB) 
• Conducted for essential 
drugs not provided 
through TGF 
• Product qualifications 
include FDB product 
registration and GMP 
registration. 
• Nearly 1% of ARVs and 
anti-malarial drugs are 
procured through NCB. 
Donations 
• Large number of 
vaccines and medical 
devices such as 
disposables and 
condoms are donated 
through UNICEF and 
USAID as well as ITNs 
through NGOs. 
• Additionally, the 
research industry 
donates a significant 
chunk of medicines, 
although the exact 
amount is unknown. 
Shopping 
• The MoH Central 
Medical Stores 
maintains large supplies 
of drugs targeting PEDs. 
• Whenever there is an 
acute supply shortage or 
lengthy delay in ICB-and 
NCB-based 
procurements, MoH 
fulfils drug procurement 
orders through 
shopping. 
• A huge amount of 
essential drugs are 
procured through 
shopping. 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
16 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry - Distribution 
Public Sector Private Sector 
Distribution 
• Drugs procured publically via ICB/NCB are 
distributed by the MoH’s Central Medical 
Stores. 
• Transported to the district medical stores 
managed by district health authorities 
• Dispensed from public health centers 
• Anti-retrovirals, medicines for HIV/AIDS, TB, 
and NTDs are distributed by the public sector 
and confirmed by the Ghana Standard 
Treatment Guidelines. 
• Few NTD drugs produced locally; vast majority 
imported via ICB/ NCB and distributed through 
the public sector 
• Highly chaotic with thousands of 
intermediaries involved 
• Local companies forced to create own 
distribution agencies to ensure product 
supply at fair prices 
• Anti-malarials, particularly Artemesinin-based 
combination therapy (ACTs), are 
distributed at subsidised rates 
• Malaria largely treated outside the public 
health system ; ACT anti-malarials 
dispensed as OTC products. 
• ITNs imported from donors represent an 
integral part of malaria treatment 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
17 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Demand Analysis 
Local Pharmaceutical Market: Industry Capacity Utilisation, Ghana, 2013 
(Capacity 
Utilization 
Potential) 
0% 48.0% 100% 
• Local manufacturers producing drugs for malaria, TB and HIV export to other parts of West Africa. 
• Large-scale manufacturers compelled to produce under capacity as the local pharmaceutical market is primarily focused 
on the OTC non-essential products. 
• Local pharmaceutical industry strives to address PEDs and control population morbidity. 
• Supply of medicines for PEDs through TGF funding and ICB procedure is as follows: 
o ARVs heavily dependent on Indian suppliers 
o Anti-malarial ACTs largely supplied from India and China 
o TB drugs predominantly supplied through IDA 
o Drugs for NTDs are principally imported. 
• Besides traditional oral and topical formulations, Ghana also has local capacity for the production of parenteral fluids 
(Intravenous Infusions Limited and San Bao Company Limited). 
• Vaccines and injectables imported mostly through ICB/ NCB as well as drug donations 
• Increasing investment by MNCs and Indian companies in local pharmaceutical production 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
18 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry – Competitive 
Landscape 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Market Participants, Ghana, 2013 
Rank Branded Companies Generic Companies Local Manufacturers 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
Other 
Noticeable 
Participants 
Novartis, Jansen-Cilag 
Glenmark, Serum Institute of 
India, Mepha 
Danadams Pharmaceuticals 
Ltd., La Gray Chemical 
Company 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
19 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—SWOT Analysis 
Source: Frost & Sullivan 
• Under-utilisation of local pharmaceutical 
manufacturing capacity often by 50% 
• Limited incentives for PED drug production; hence 
heavy reliance on OTC drugs 
• High cost of locally-manufactured products 
• Unable to conduct bio-equivalence studies 
required for WHO pre-qualification 
• Large variation in local ex-manufacturing prices 
for comparative products 
• Lack of consensus regarding TRIPS 
implementation and compulsory licensing. 
• Imported raw material expense and supply 
shortages 
• VAT on imported manufacturing materials 
• Influx of low-cost Asian generics 
• Parallel pharmaceutical trade 
• Continued proliferation of counterfeit 
pharmaceuticals 
• Price sensitivity of the total pharmaceutical industry. 
• Unmet human resource development needs 
• Lack of focus on pharmaceutical R&D issues 
Strengths 
Opportunities 
Weaknesses 
Threats 
• Well-functioning pharmaceutical regulation 
systems in place 
• One of the strongest pharmaceutical industries in 
the Economic Community of West African States 
(ECOWAS) 
• High degree of economic and political stability in 
Africa 
• Cent per cent public health coverage 
• Established local manufacturing industry 
• Existence of public budget for products that 
address priority endemic diseases 
• WHO pre-qualification enables better access of local 
producers to international markets 
• Utilisation of the ‘marginal preference scheme’ 
applied to tenders 
• Access to external funding sources and technical 
assistance 
• Creation of local API, excipient, and packaging 
material production 
• Access to the President's Special Initiative 
Programme 
• Effective lobbying of PMAG and WAPMA on 
important local industry issues
Branded 
37.1% 
20 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry Overview 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue 
by Product Segment, Nigeria, 2013 
OTC 
39.4% Generic 
62.9% 
Prescription 
60.6% 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue by 
Imported and Locally Produced Pharmaceuticals, 
Nigeria, 2013 
Locally 
manufactured 
30.0% 
Imported 
70.0% 
 The OTC product segment is quite large as a 
significant proportion of population yet to be 
covered under NHIS operational since 2005. 
 Nigeria has over 10,000 unregistered patent and 
proprietary drug stores selling OTC products only 
 Vibrant pharmaceutical industry employing about 
500,000 people in manufacturing and distribution 
 According to the Pharmacists Council of Nigeria, 
there are 128 registered drug manufacturers, 724 
drug distributors, 1,543 retail pharmacies, and 
292 drug importers in Nigeria. 
 Only 50% of population covered under NHIS 
 Nigerian pharmaceutical industry is quite 
susceptible to parallel trading. 
 It is estimated that nearly 17% of essential 
generic medicines and as high as 30% of anti-malarials 
are routinely faked in Nigeria. 
 ARVs, ACTs, and anti-TB drugs considered life-saving 
drugs, the government strives to 
encourage local production of these medicines 
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
21 
Nigeria – Market Analysis by Product Segment 
38.1% 
22.5% 
39.4% 
Generics Branded OTC 
• OTC segment quite large as 
people practice self-medication 
• Anti-malarial ACTs, analgesics, 
and multivitamins constitute a 
large share 
• Increasing demand for vitamins 
and health supplements drive 
growth 
• Over 10,000 unregistered stores 
selling OTC drugs 
• High out-of-pocket payment by 
patients is likely to restrict use of 
premium branded drugs 
• Branded drugs more commonly 
used in private sector by brand-loyal 
customers 
• Increasing incidence of life-style 
diseases and absence of cheaper 
generic equivalents to drive 
growth of this segment 
• Smaller as compared to 
Ghana as consumers 
are price-sensitive 
• 70% of generics 
imported while 30% 
produced locally 
• Anti-infectives, 
cardiovascular and 
diabetes are key 
therapeutic segments 
• Expected to witness 
high growth – CAGR 
14.6% 
Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Drug 
22 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and 
Supply Management 
Procurement, Nigeria, 2013 
Tertiary 
healthcare 
under Federal 
Government 
Secondary healthcare 
controlled by the 
State MOH 
Primary healthcare controlled by the 
Local Government Areas 
Public Sector Pharmaceutical Procurement 
The federal government is responsible for over all policy 
formulation and technical guidance to all healthcare 
providers. 
Public sector procurement comprises 3 levels 
o The tertiary healthcare centres (University teaching 
hospitals) and federal medical centres located in 36 
states procure drugs and supplies from the federal 
government. 
o The secondary level healthcare comprised of state 
hospitals is supplied by the State MoH, which also offers 
technical support to the local government areas (LGAs). 
o The primary level healthcare services are taken care of 
by the LGAs. 
• The private sector, NGOs, and traditional health 
practitioners provide service across the healthcare 
delivery system. 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
23 
Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and 
Supply Management (continued) 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Procurement Process, Nigeria, 2013 
The Bureau of Public Procurement 
(BPP) 
• BPP established in 2007 by the Public 
Procurement Act (PPA) is responsible for 
the overall steering and management 
• Aims to ensure accountability, integrity, 
and transparency in the procurement 
process, establishment of pricing 
standards and benchmarks 
• Frames policies and guidelines for the 
approval of the National Council on 
Public Procurement (NCPP) 
• Right to debar any supplier, service 
provider or, contractor in case of 
violation of the Act. 
Source: Frost & Sullivan 
Domestic Preference Policy 
• Provision of PPA that grants a margin of 
preference while evaluating tenders, 
comparing bids from domestic and 
foreign companies. 
• Margins of preference applies only to 
tenders procured under ICB. 
• It is required that the bidding 
documents clearly state the preference 
and furnish information required to 
establish the eligibility of a bid for such 
preference.
24 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry - Distribution 
Public Sector Private Sector 
Distribution 
• Traditionally 3 different warehouses – The 
Central Central Medical Stores, the Federal 
Medical Stores (FMS), and the State Medical 
Stores 
• Currently, all integrated into one – the Central 
Medical Stores with one branch in Oshodi and 
another in Abhuja. 
• A mega distribution consensus model was 
framed to improve distribution 
• Drugs collected from the FMS in Oshodi are 
distributed directly to health institutions across 
the country 
• Drug distribution to pharmacists is prevented, 
thereby promoting rational drug use. 
• Local manufacturers and importers have 
their own distribution channels to supply 
medicines 
• Drugs are traded in unregistered and 
unlicensed premises, and sometimes by 
non-pharmacists 
• A predominant hub of counterfeit drugs - 
17% of essential generic drugs and 30% 
of anti-malarials are routinely faked 
• NAFDAC strives to tackle this problem 
through radio frequency identification 
(RFID) technology for logistics and 
tagging to detect fake medicines 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
25 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—Distribution 
(continued) 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Drug Procurement—Mega Distribution Company 
FACTORY/EXPORT 
Mega Distribution 
Wholesalers Wholesalers Wholesalers 
Retailers Clinics 
Hospitals 
Retailers Clinics 
Hospitals 
Retailers Clinics 
Hospitals 
Regional Hub – 
SW 
Regional Hub – 
SE 
Regional Hub – 
North 
Regional Hubs 
Consensus Model, Nigeria, 2013 
Source: PMG-MAN; Frost & Sullivan
26 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—Demand Analysis 
Local Pharmaceutical Market: Industry Capacity Utilisation, Nigeria, 2013 
(Capacity 
Utilization 
Potential) 
0% 42.0% 100% 
• Local industry meets 30% of demand while 70% is imported from India and China 
• Local manufacturers produce tablets, capsules, ointments, liquid preparations, creams, lotions, and ophthalmic 
preparations 
• Fluctuations in capacity demand are attributed to low purchasing power within the population and the irregular 
government purchase of drugs and delayed payments 
• Drugs locally produced in Nigeria represent as much as 60% of the pharmaceutical production in the ECOWAS region. 
• Judicious efforts to increase utilization rate of available capacity include: 
o Upgrading of facilities of local drug manufacturers to obtain the WHO pre-qualification status 
o In 2010, 6 Nigerian companies gained WHO pre-qualification for supply of ARVs, anti-malarials and anti-TB drugs 
o Ban imposed by Nigerian FMoH on the import of certain essential medicines to attain self-sufficiency and reduce 
parallel trade 
o Revised ECOWAS tariff structure for import of drugs: essential medicines, industry machinery and equipment - 0% 
tariff; raw materials and other capital goods – 5% tariff; intermediates – 10%; finished goods – 20% tariff; finished 
products with adequate local capacity – 50% tariff 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
27 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry – Competitive 
Landscape 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Market Participants, Nigeria, 2013 
Rank Branded Companies Generic Companies Local Manufacturers 
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 
Other 
Noticeable 
Participants 
AstraZeneca, Jansen-Cilag, 
Eli Lilly 
Nigeria German Chemicals 
Plc, Greenlife 
Pharmaceuticals Ltd. 
Juhel Nigeria Ltd., Swipha, 
Neimeth International 
Pharmaceuticals Plc. 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
28 
Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—SWOT Analysis 
• Current capacity utilisation rate in Nigeria is only 
45%. 
• Access to affordable funding for local 
manufacturers is hampered by high bank interest 
rates. 
• High cost of locally manufactured products than 
those imported 
• Unable to conduct bio-equivalence studies 
required for WHO pre-qualification 
• Large variation in local ex-manufacturing prices 
for comparative products 
• Weak purchasing power threatens scope for 
marketing drugs. 
• VAT on imported manufacturing materials 
• Influx of low-cost Asian generics 
• Parallel pharmaceutical trade 
• Continued proliferation of counterfeit 
pharmaceuticals 
• Price sensitivity of the total pharmaceutical industry 
• Failure to address loopholes in the distribution 
system 
• Lack of focus on pharmaceutical R&D issues 
Strengths 
Opportunities 
Weaknesses 
Threats 
• More than 60% of pharmaceutical production in 
ECOWAS countries is domiciled in Nigeria. 
• Attainment of WHO cGMP and pre-qualification 
status by certain companies enables participation 
in international tenders. 
• High degree of economic and political stability 
• Established local manufacturing industry – 
technical skills, trained manpower, and basic 
manufacturing infrastructure already exists. 
• Large market size, strong demand and need for 
better management of anti-infectives (malaria, AIDS, 
and TB) 
• Positive economic growth and macroeconomic 
stability in recent years 
• Judicious efforts taken by NAFDAC to reduce 
counterfeit trade 
• Government ban of imports of certain essential 
medicines for which there is adequate capacity and 
technical skills 
• Establishment of NHIS scheme to provide universal 
health coverage by 2015 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
29 
Key Mergers, Acquisitions & Partnerships 
Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Mergers, Acquisitions & Partnerships, Ghana & Nigeria, 2012 - 2014 
Value: Undisclosed 
Year of Deal: February 2014 
Key Reason: 
• Imperial Health Sciences, the 
Life Sciences division of 
Imperial Logistics, a leading 
distribution company in South 
Africa, bought 53% stake in 
WWCV. 
• By this deal, Imperial 
Logistics is expected to 
leverage the well-established 
supply chain network of 
WWCV in Nigeria, thereby 
pioneering into the healthcare 
space. 
Value: $86.0 million 
Year of Deal: July 2012 
Key Reason: 
• Bought the manufacturing 
facility and sales and 
distribution infrastructure of 
Cosme Farma 
• Adcock Ingram strives to 
expand its presence in the 
Indian pharmaceutical market 
by leveraging Cosme Farma’s 
strong sales forces and nearly 
60 well-established brands in 
dermatology gynecology, 
among others. 
Value: Undisclosed 
Year of Deal: May 2012 
Key Reason: 
• Sanofi Aventis acquired 
Medreich’s portfolio of 
branded generics in Sub- 
Saharan Africa 
• Med Reich being the 
leading generic 
pharmaceutical company, 
Sanofi has managed to 
significantly increase its 
market shares in the generic 
pharmaceuticals segment by 
this acquisition. 
Adcock Ingram – 
Cosme Farma 
Imperial Logistics – 
Worldwide 
Commercial Ventures 
Limited (WWCV) 
Sanofi aventis – 
Medreich 
Source : Frost & Sullivan .
30 
Future Directions for Pharmaceutical Companies in 
Ghana & Nigeria 
2 Foreign traders in Africa are expected to bolster their distribution channels by 
engaging in strategic partnerships with local trustworthy stakeholders. 
3 
Given the immense growth potential and business opportunities, it is expected that 
companies would invest significantly in their marketing capabilities, patient awareness 
programmes, and treatment support services to enhance brand loyalty. 
1 
Branded companies are expected to adopt a differential pricing strategy specific to 
patient segments and geographies in Africa to make treatment affordable to a large 
group of patients, thereby significantly expanding their customer base. 
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Future Directions for Pharmaceutical Companies in 
Ghana & Nigeria (continued) 
Game-changing Strategies for the success of market participants 
engaging local patient groups 
•Corporate Social 
Responsibility 
Source: Frost & Sullivan 
31 
•Patient support programs 
for technically challenging 
formulations 
•Revisiting cost of 
commodity generics 
•Addressing 
loopholes in supply 
chain and 
distribution 
channels 
•Close coordination 
with NGOs to 
penetrate rural areas 
•Technical Training 
of distributors and 
retailers 
•Investing in R&D and 
•Engage in 
strategic 
partnerships with 
trustworthy local 
stakeholders 
Foreign Companies to Bolster Distribution Channels 
•Pharmacists 
influence choice of 
customers and 
brand image 
Branded Companies to adopt Differential Pricing Strategy 
•Bar codes and 
holograms to track 
counterfeits 
•Training of 
physicians and 
nurses 
•Detailing by 
medical 
representatives 
•Continual medical 
education (CME) 
programs 
•Advisory/Advocacy 
Boards 
Enhance Patient Awareness and Treatment Support Services 
(CSR)
Questions
33 
Legal Disclaimer 
Frost & Sullivan takes no responsibility for the incorrect information supplied to us by 
manufacturers or users. Quantitative market information is based primarily on interviews and 
therefore is subject to fluctuation. Frost & Sullivan research services are limited publications 
containing valuable market information provided to a select group of customers. Our 
customers acknowledge, when ordering or downloading, that Frost & Sullivan Research 
Services are for customers’ internal use and not for general publication or disclosure to third 
parties. No part of this Research Service may be given, lent, resold or disclosed to 
noncustomers without written permission. Furthermore, no part may be reproduced, stored in 
a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, 
photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the permission of the publisher. 
• For information regarding permission, write to: 
Frost & Sullivan 
331 E. Evelyn Ave. Suite 100 
Mountain View, CA 94041
34 
State your need, we would be happy to serve you… 
AISWARIYA CHIDAMBARAM 
Senior Research Analyst – Life Sciences 
Tel: +91 (0) 44 61606666 (Extn: 4097) 
Fax: +91 (0) 44 4230 0369 
Email: AiswariyaC@frost.com 
www.frost.com 
Frost & Sullivan (I) Pvt. Ltd. 
ASV HANSA 
No.53, Greams Road 
Thousand Lights 
Chennai 600 006 
Your Growth Partner 
Contact Information

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Opportunities & Challenges in West Africa's (Ghana & Nigeria) Healthcare and Pharmaceutical Sector

  • 1. Opportunities and Challenges in West Africa’s Healthcare and Pharmaceutical Sector Aiswariya Chidambaram Senior Research Analyst - Life Sciences CPhI Worldwide, Paris 8-10-2014
  • 2. 2 Focus Points Focus Points Ghana & Nigeria – Macroeconomic Overview Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria Overview Ghana & Nigeria Pharmaceutical Market Trends and Forecasts Pharmaceutical Market Segmentation by Therapeutic Area Therapeutic Area Growth Analysis Key Drivers & Restraints Pharmaceutical Procurement Process Competitive Analysis by Company Type Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry – Detailed Overview Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry – Detailed Overview Key Mergers, Acquisitions & Partnerships Future Directions for Pharmaceutical Companies in Ghana & Nigeria
  • 3. 3 Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria Overview Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Market Engineering Measurements, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 Market Stage Growth Market Revenue $1.63 B Market Size for Last Year of Study Period $3.12 B (2013) (2018) (2013) Base Year Market Growth Rate 14.0% Compound Annual Growth Rate 13.9% (CAGR, 2013–2018) Customer Price Sensitivity 9 (scale:1 [low] to 10 [High]) Degree of Technical Change 6 (scale:1 [low] to 10 [High]) Market Overview Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan Decreasing Stable Increasing (2013) Prescription Pharmaceutical Segment Revenue 65.9% (2013) OTC Pharmaceutical Segment Revenue 34.1% (2013) Number of Registered Market Participants 185 (approximately) (active market competitors in 2013)
  • 4. 4 Ghana & Nigeria Pharmaceutical Market Trends and Forecasts Key Trends Robust industry growth expected to near 14% p.a. in the next 5 years, underpinned by:  Continuous burden of infectious diseases including malaria, TB and AIDS among others drives demand for anti-infectives  Increased incidence of NCDs including diabetes, hypertension and cancer drives demand for chronic prescription drugs.  OTC segment expected to witness growth mainly for anti-infectives, analgesics and vitamins  Rapid increase in uptake of generics anticipated owing to increased NHIS coverage.  100% NHIS coverage in Ghana expected to boost prescription drugs Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria: Revenue Forecast 3.50 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 Key Segments 75% 25% 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 Sales Breakdown by Exclusivity Status, 2013 44.3% 21.6% 34.1% Revenue Breakdown by Geographic Region, 2013 2.4% Ghana Governments to encourage local production of essential medicines to improve capacity utilization and reduce imports 7 0.0 0.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Revenue 1.11 1.26 1.43 1.63 1.85 2.09 2.40 2.73 3.12 Growth Rate - 13.5 13.5 14.0 13.5 13.0 14.8 13.8 14.3 Growth Rate (%) Revenue ($ Billion) CAGR (2013 – 2018) = 13.9% Branded Nigeria OTC Generic CAGR (2013 – 2018) = 13.9%
  • 5. 5 Per Cent Revenue Forecast by Region Ghana is expected to witness higher growth than Nigeria because of increased NHIS coverage and well-defined regulatory guidelines. 100.0 75.0 50.0 25.0 0.0 Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue Forecast by Region, Ghana & Nigeria, 2010–2018 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Ghana 27.3 25.0 26.7 25.0 27.8 28.6 29.2 29.6 29.0 Nigeria 72.7 75.0 73.3 75.0 72.2 71.4 70.8 70.4 71.0 Revenue (%) Year Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 6. 6 Pharmaceutical Market Segmentation by Therapeutic Area Although anti-infectives constitute the largest segment of the prescriptive pharmaceutical market, a marked shift in the burden of illness towards lifestyle diseases is expected. Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Sales Breakdown by Therapeutic Segment, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 Anti-infectives 25.8% Cardiovascular 11.9% Diabetes 6.2% Respiratory 5.6% CNS 4.4% Oncology 3.5% OTC 34.7% Others 7.9% Note: Others include dermatology, gastrointestinal, and rheumatology. Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 7. 7 Therapeutic Area Growth Analysis Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Therapeutic Segment Growth Analysis, Ghana & Nigeria, 2014–2018 Continuous burden of anti-infectives is expected to contribute to significantly high growth of this segment throughout the forecast period. Anti-infectives 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Declining Cardiovascular Diabetes Respiratory CNS Fast Growing Growing Oncology Source: Frost & Sullivan Note: Bubble size represents market value The relatively lesser incidence of respiratory diseases coupled with lack of technological expertise for the production of certain drug types is expected to restrict the growth of this segment. This is the fastest growing segment. Early diagnosis, coupled with increasing awareness, is expected to fuel the growth of this segment. 20% Fast Growing CAGR Fast Growing Fast Growing Increasing awareness of mental conditions and efforts to protect mental health of people are expected to drive growth in the long-term. The increasing rate of urbanisation and adoption of western life style are expected to result in an increasing incidence of NCDs, including cardiovascular disease and diabetes.
  • 8. 8 Drivers Continuous burden of infectious diseases Increasing incidence of NCDs Increased healthcare spending Weak Restraints regulatory policies Weak distribution systems Poor diagnosis and patient awareness Pharmaceutical Industry in Ghana & Nigeria – Key Drivers and Restraints • Largest reservoir of malaria, TB and AIDS • Recent outbreak of Ebola virus • Increased public health coverage (90%) • Expanded program on immunization (EPI) • Increasing adoption of western lifestyle • NCDs to constitute 21% by 2030 • Steep rise in chronic drugs to essential medicines ratio • Pharmaceutical spending in Africa to reach $35 billion by 2018 • Implementation of NHIS to improve access and availability of drugs • FDI in Africa expected to double by 2016 • Inadequate number of pharmacies and private clinics • Counterfeit drugs and illegitimate drug trading • Drug registration process time consuming and open to corruption • Absence of structured pricing system poses challenge to public sector • Private sector challenged by high out-of –pocket spending • Poor knowledge of diagnostic procedures • Patients skeptical about use of modern medicines • Lack of trained doctors and nurses Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 9. 9 Pharmaceutical Procurement Process Key Takeaway: Engaging in strategic partnerships with local distributors is crucial for effective Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Procurement Process, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 Local Manufacturers Generic Companies Distributors Branded Companies Manufacturer Representatives Direct Sales Distributors Teaching hospitals, private hospitals, clinics, pharmacies, and chemical sellers Source: Frost & Sullivan product distribution in Ghana and Nigeria. End User
  • 10. 10 Competitive Analysis by Company Type Per Cent Sales Breakdown by Tiers of Competition, Ghana & Nigeria, 2013 Local manufacturers 28.8% • Efforts have been made to ensure quality production • The WHO and UNITAID have offered technical assistance and capacity building to Nigerian drug makers in achieving GMP standards and WHO pre-qualification  Branded companies predominantly target the private sector, especially for in-demand therapies  Increasing incidence of NCDs to fuel demand for specialty pharmaceuticals driving growth of MNCs  Importers include Indian and Chinese generic pharmaceutical companies.  Indian generic companies, which sell drugs mostly through NGOs and government tenders, fare much better than their Chinese counterparts.  Local manufacturers sell own brands besides distributing brands of MNCs and importers  High cost of local APIs poses challenge to local manufacturers  Only a handful of local companies have gained WHO pre-qualification status Importers 36.7% Branded companies 34.5% Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 11. 11 Key Competitive Factors for Pharmaceutical Companies Competitive Pricing Key Success Factors Good product quality Well-established distribution network Marketing Strategies Brand Recognition/ Loyalty Source: Frost & Sullivan Total Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Competitive Factors, Ghana and Nigeria
  • 12. 12 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry Overview Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue OTC 28.8% by Product Segment, Ghana, 2013 Generic 71.1% Branded Prescription 28.9% 71.2% Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue by Imported and Locally Produced Pharmaceuticals, Ghana, 2013 Locally manufactured 34.0% Imported 66.0%  The OTC product segment is considerable, attributing to inaccessibility issues with prescription pharmaceuticals in certain regions, increased focus of the local participants on the OTC sector, and heavy advertising of OTC drugs.  Ghana has approximately 55 registered pharmaceutical manufacturers producing finished dose formulations.  Few companies equipped with the capabilities to produce APIs. La Gray Chemical Company is one such example.  Well-developed NHIS and major donor funding for the provision of essential drugs  10-15% of locally produced drugs exported to other West African countries.  Unregistered products account for 4% of the market; exact share of counterfeit drugs unknown  Acute respiratory infections, malnutrition, anemia, diarrhea, and measles account for 50% of all childhood hospitalisation and 30% of childhood deaths. Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 13. 13 Ghana – Market Analysis by Product Segment 50.6% 28.8% 20.6% Generic Branded OTC • Local manufacturers primarily focus on OTC. • Key products include combination analgesics, tonics, vitamins, cold and flu preparations • High cost of imports, APIs and intermediates to drive growth of OTC segment • Increased NHIS coverage could result in slightly lesser growth • Increasing incidence of NCDs drive growth in this segment • Significant proportion of Ghanaian population are brand loyal • Growth of niche therapy areas such as oncology and CNS expected to increase uptake of branded drugs • Increasing patient awareness to contribute to growth • Traditionally largest segment comprising half the market • Key suppliers include importers from India and China • Local manufacturers produce drugs for PEDs • Cent percent NHIS coverage – major growth driver • Generic companies likely to win tenders in public sector, particularly in diabetes and cardiovascular segments • Expected to witness highest growth, representing almost 60% by 2018 Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 14. 14 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and Supply Management Tertiary level (Central authorities) Secondary level (District and regional) Primary level (Community and rural areas) Public Sector Pharmaceutical Procurement The Ministry of Health (MOH) Procurement Department is responsible for the overall steering and management of the public sector drug procurement. The Ghanaian health service (GHS), a service delivery agency under the MOH, is responsible for the allocation of resources and liaison with the private sector.  Public sector procurement comprises 3 levels. o Tertiary-level services are provided by central authorities that include the major public teaching hospitals (Korle Bu, Komfo Anokye and Tamale) via tendering o secondary-level services are offered by district and regional institutions. o Primary-level services are provided by community and sub-district/ rural institutions Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Drug Procurement, Ghana, 2013 Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 15. 15 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and Supply Management (continued) International Competitive Bidding (ICB) • Drugs that address local PEDs and financed through TGF are procured via ICB. • WHO pre-qualification and registration with FDB is required for a product to qualify for ICB. • Drug needs assessment is done by the following agencies: o ARVs – Ghana Office of UNAIDS and WHO o Anti-malarials – Ghana National Malarial Control Program o TB drugs – Ghana National TB Program and WHO o NTD drugs – Ghana MOH and WHO Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Procurement Process, Ghana, 2013 National Competitive Bidding (NCB) • Conducted for essential drugs not provided through TGF • Product qualifications include FDB product registration and GMP registration. • Nearly 1% of ARVs and anti-malarial drugs are procured through NCB. Donations • Large number of vaccines and medical devices such as disposables and condoms are donated through UNICEF and USAID as well as ITNs through NGOs. • Additionally, the research industry donates a significant chunk of medicines, although the exact amount is unknown. Shopping • The MoH Central Medical Stores maintains large supplies of drugs targeting PEDs. • Whenever there is an acute supply shortage or lengthy delay in ICB-and NCB-based procurements, MoH fulfils drug procurement orders through shopping. • A huge amount of essential drugs are procured through shopping. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 16. 16 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry - Distribution Public Sector Private Sector Distribution • Drugs procured publically via ICB/NCB are distributed by the MoH’s Central Medical Stores. • Transported to the district medical stores managed by district health authorities • Dispensed from public health centers • Anti-retrovirals, medicines for HIV/AIDS, TB, and NTDs are distributed by the public sector and confirmed by the Ghana Standard Treatment Guidelines. • Few NTD drugs produced locally; vast majority imported via ICB/ NCB and distributed through the public sector • Highly chaotic with thousands of intermediaries involved • Local companies forced to create own distribution agencies to ensure product supply at fair prices • Anti-malarials, particularly Artemesinin-based combination therapy (ACTs), are distributed at subsidised rates • Malaria largely treated outside the public health system ; ACT anti-malarials dispensed as OTC products. • ITNs imported from donors represent an integral part of malaria treatment Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 17. 17 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Demand Analysis Local Pharmaceutical Market: Industry Capacity Utilisation, Ghana, 2013 (Capacity Utilization Potential) 0% 48.0% 100% • Local manufacturers producing drugs for malaria, TB and HIV export to other parts of West Africa. • Large-scale manufacturers compelled to produce under capacity as the local pharmaceutical market is primarily focused on the OTC non-essential products. • Local pharmaceutical industry strives to address PEDs and control population morbidity. • Supply of medicines for PEDs through TGF funding and ICB procedure is as follows: o ARVs heavily dependent on Indian suppliers o Anti-malarial ACTs largely supplied from India and China o TB drugs predominantly supplied through IDA o Drugs for NTDs are principally imported. • Besides traditional oral and topical formulations, Ghana also has local capacity for the production of parenteral fluids (Intravenous Infusions Limited and San Bao Company Limited). • Vaccines and injectables imported mostly through ICB/ NCB as well as drug donations • Increasing investment by MNCs and Indian companies in local pharmaceutical production Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 18. 18 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry – Competitive Landscape Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Market Participants, Ghana, 2013 Rank Branded Companies Generic Companies Local Manufacturers 1 2 3 4 5 Other Noticeable Participants Novartis, Jansen-Cilag Glenmark, Serum Institute of India, Mepha Danadams Pharmaceuticals Ltd., La Gray Chemical Company Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 19. 19 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—SWOT Analysis Source: Frost & Sullivan • Under-utilisation of local pharmaceutical manufacturing capacity often by 50% • Limited incentives for PED drug production; hence heavy reliance on OTC drugs • High cost of locally-manufactured products • Unable to conduct bio-equivalence studies required for WHO pre-qualification • Large variation in local ex-manufacturing prices for comparative products • Lack of consensus regarding TRIPS implementation and compulsory licensing. • Imported raw material expense and supply shortages • VAT on imported manufacturing materials • Influx of low-cost Asian generics • Parallel pharmaceutical trade • Continued proliferation of counterfeit pharmaceuticals • Price sensitivity of the total pharmaceutical industry. • Unmet human resource development needs • Lack of focus on pharmaceutical R&D issues Strengths Opportunities Weaknesses Threats • Well-functioning pharmaceutical regulation systems in place • One of the strongest pharmaceutical industries in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) • High degree of economic and political stability in Africa • Cent per cent public health coverage • Established local manufacturing industry • Existence of public budget for products that address priority endemic diseases • WHO pre-qualification enables better access of local producers to international markets • Utilisation of the ‘marginal preference scheme’ applied to tenders • Access to external funding sources and technical assistance • Creation of local API, excipient, and packaging material production • Access to the President's Special Initiative Programme • Effective lobbying of PMAG and WAPMA on important local industry issues
  • 20. Branded 37.1% 20 Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry Overview Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue by Product Segment, Nigeria, 2013 OTC 39.4% Generic 62.9% Prescription 60.6% Pharmaceutical Industry: Per Cent Revenue by Imported and Locally Produced Pharmaceuticals, Nigeria, 2013 Locally manufactured 30.0% Imported 70.0%  The OTC product segment is quite large as a significant proportion of population yet to be covered under NHIS operational since 2005.  Nigeria has over 10,000 unregistered patent and proprietary drug stores selling OTC products only  Vibrant pharmaceutical industry employing about 500,000 people in manufacturing and distribution  According to the Pharmacists Council of Nigeria, there are 128 registered drug manufacturers, 724 drug distributors, 1,543 retail pharmacies, and 292 drug importers in Nigeria.  Only 50% of population covered under NHIS  Nigerian pharmaceutical industry is quite susceptible to parallel trading.  It is estimated that nearly 17% of essential generic medicines and as high as 30% of anti-malarials are routinely faked in Nigeria.  ARVs, ACTs, and anti-TB drugs considered life-saving drugs, the government strives to encourage local production of these medicines Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 21. 21 Nigeria – Market Analysis by Product Segment 38.1% 22.5% 39.4% Generics Branded OTC • OTC segment quite large as people practice self-medication • Anti-malarial ACTs, analgesics, and multivitamins constitute a large share • Increasing demand for vitamins and health supplements drive growth • Over 10,000 unregistered stores selling OTC drugs • High out-of-pocket payment by patients is likely to restrict use of premium branded drugs • Branded drugs more commonly used in private sector by brand-loyal customers • Increasing incidence of life-style diseases and absence of cheaper generic equivalents to drive growth of this segment • Smaller as compared to Ghana as consumers are price-sensitive • 70% of generics imported while 30% produced locally • Anti-infectives, cardiovascular and diabetes are key therapeutic segments • Expected to witness high growth – CAGR 14.6% Note: All figures are rounded. The base year is 2013. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 22. Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Drug 22 Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and Supply Management Procurement, Nigeria, 2013 Tertiary healthcare under Federal Government Secondary healthcare controlled by the State MOH Primary healthcare controlled by the Local Government Areas Public Sector Pharmaceutical Procurement The federal government is responsible for over all policy formulation and technical guidance to all healthcare providers. Public sector procurement comprises 3 levels o The tertiary healthcare centres (University teaching hospitals) and federal medical centres located in 36 states procure drugs and supplies from the federal government. o The secondary level healthcare comprised of state hospitals is supplied by the State MoH, which also offers technical support to the local government areas (LGAs). o The primary level healthcare services are taken care of by the LGAs. • The private sector, NGOs, and traditional health practitioners provide service across the healthcare delivery system. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 23. 23 Ghanaian Pharmaceutical Industry—Procurement and Supply Management (continued) Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Procurement Process, Nigeria, 2013 The Bureau of Public Procurement (BPP) • BPP established in 2007 by the Public Procurement Act (PPA) is responsible for the overall steering and management • Aims to ensure accountability, integrity, and transparency in the procurement process, establishment of pricing standards and benchmarks • Frames policies and guidelines for the approval of the National Council on Public Procurement (NCPP) • Right to debar any supplier, service provider or, contractor in case of violation of the Act. Source: Frost & Sullivan Domestic Preference Policy • Provision of PPA that grants a margin of preference while evaluating tenders, comparing bids from domestic and foreign companies. • Margins of preference applies only to tenders procured under ICB. • It is required that the bidding documents clearly state the preference and furnish information required to establish the eligibility of a bid for such preference.
  • 24. 24 Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry - Distribution Public Sector Private Sector Distribution • Traditionally 3 different warehouses – The Central Central Medical Stores, the Federal Medical Stores (FMS), and the State Medical Stores • Currently, all integrated into one – the Central Medical Stores with one branch in Oshodi and another in Abhuja. • A mega distribution consensus model was framed to improve distribution • Drugs collected from the FMS in Oshodi are distributed directly to health institutions across the country • Drug distribution to pharmacists is prevented, thereby promoting rational drug use. • Local manufacturers and importers have their own distribution channels to supply medicines • Drugs are traded in unregistered and unlicensed premises, and sometimes by non-pharmacists • A predominant hub of counterfeit drugs - 17% of essential generic drugs and 30% of anti-malarials are routinely faked • NAFDAC strives to tackle this problem through radio frequency identification (RFID) technology for logistics and tagging to detect fake medicines Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 25. 25 Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—Distribution (continued) Pharmaceutical Industry: Public Sector Drug Procurement—Mega Distribution Company FACTORY/EXPORT Mega Distribution Wholesalers Wholesalers Wholesalers Retailers Clinics Hospitals Retailers Clinics Hospitals Retailers Clinics Hospitals Regional Hub – SW Regional Hub – SE Regional Hub – North Regional Hubs Consensus Model, Nigeria, 2013 Source: PMG-MAN; Frost & Sullivan
  • 26. 26 Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—Demand Analysis Local Pharmaceutical Market: Industry Capacity Utilisation, Nigeria, 2013 (Capacity Utilization Potential) 0% 42.0% 100% • Local industry meets 30% of demand while 70% is imported from India and China • Local manufacturers produce tablets, capsules, ointments, liquid preparations, creams, lotions, and ophthalmic preparations • Fluctuations in capacity demand are attributed to low purchasing power within the population and the irregular government purchase of drugs and delayed payments • Drugs locally produced in Nigeria represent as much as 60% of the pharmaceutical production in the ECOWAS region. • Judicious efforts to increase utilization rate of available capacity include: o Upgrading of facilities of local drug manufacturers to obtain the WHO pre-qualification status o In 2010, 6 Nigerian companies gained WHO pre-qualification for supply of ARVs, anti-malarials and anti-TB drugs o Ban imposed by Nigerian FMoH on the import of certain essential medicines to attain self-sufficiency and reduce parallel trade o Revised ECOWAS tariff structure for import of drugs: essential medicines, industry machinery and equipment - 0% tariff; raw materials and other capital goods – 5% tariff; intermediates – 10%; finished goods – 20% tariff; finished products with adequate local capacity – 50% tariff Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 27. 27 Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry – Competitive Landscape Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Market Participants, Nigeria, 2013 Rank Branded Companies Generic Companies Local Manufacturers 1 2 3 4 5 Other Noticeable Participants AstraZeneca, Jansen-Cilag, Eli Lilly Nigeria German Chemicals Plc, Greenlife Pharmaceuticals Ltd. Juhel Nigeria Ltd., Swipha, Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 28. 28 Nigerian Pharmaceutical Industry—SWOT Analysis • Current capacity utilisation rate in Nigeria is only 45%. • Access to affordable funding for local manufacturers is hampered by high bank interest rates. • High cost of locally manufactured products than those imported • Unable to conduct bio-equivalence studies required for WHO pre-qualification • Large variation in local ex-manufacturing prices for comparative products • Weak purchasing power threatens scope for marketing drugs. • VAT on imported manufacturing materials • Influx of low-cost Asian generics • Parallel pharmaceutical trade • Continued proliferation of counterfeit pharmaceuticals • Price sensitivity of the total pharmaceutical industry • Failure to address loopholes in the distribution system • Lack of focus on pharmaceutical R&D issues Strengths Opportunities Weaknesses Threats • More than 60% of pharmaceutical production in ECOWAS countries is domiciled in Nigeria. • Attainment of WHO cGMP and pre-qualification status by certain companies enables participation in international tenders. • High degree of economic and political stability • Established local manufacturing industry – technical skills, trained manpower, and basic manufacturing infrastructure already exists. • Large market size, strong demand and need for better management of anti-infectives (malaria, AIDS, and TB) • Positive economic growth and macroeconomic stability in recent years • Judicious efforts taken by NAFDAC to reduce counterfeit trade • Government ban of imports of certain essential medicines for which there is adequate capacity and technical skills • Establishment of NHIS scheme to provide universal health coverage by 2015 Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 29. 29 Key Mergers, Acquisitions & Partnerships Pharmaceutical Industry: Key Mergers, Acquisitions & Partnerships, Ghana & Nigeria, 2012 - 2014 Value: Undisclosed Year of Deal: February 2014 Key Reason: • Imperial Health Sciences, the Life Sciences division of Imperial Logistics, a leading distribution company in South Africa, bought 53% stake in WWCV. • By this deal, Imperial Logistics is expected to leverage the well-established supply chain network of WWCV in Nigeria, thereby pioneering into the healthcare space. Value: $86.0 million Year of Deal: July 2012 Key Reason: • Bought the manufacturing facility and sales and distribution infrastructure of Cosme Farma • Adcock Ingram strives to expand its presence in the Indian pharmaceutical market by leveraging Cosme Farma’s strong sales forces and nearly 60 well-established brands in dermatology gynecology, among others. Value: Undisclosed Year of Deal: May 2012 Key Reason: • Sanofi Aventis acquired Medreich’s portfolio of branded generics in Sub- Saharan Africa • Med Reich being the leading generic pharmaceutical company, Sanofi has managed to significantly increase its market shares in the generic pharmaceuticals segment by this acquisition. Adcock Ingram – Cosme Farma Imperial Logistics – Worldwide Commercial Ventures Limited (WWCV) Sanofi aventis – Medreich Source : Frost & Sullivan .
  • 30. 30 Future Directions for Pharmaceutical Companies in Ghana & Nigeria 2 Foreign traders in Africa are expected to bolster their distribution channels by engaging in strategic partnerships with local trustworthy stakeholders. 3 Given the immense growth potential and business opportunities, it is expected that companies would invest significantly in their marketing capabilities, patient awareness programmes, and treatment support services to enhance brand loyalty. 1 Branded companies are expected to adopt a differential pricing strategy specific to patient segments and geographies in Africa to make treatment affordable to a large group of patients, thereby significantly expanding their customer base. Source: Frost & Sullivan
  • 31. Future Directions for Pharmaceutical Companies in Ghana & Nigeria (continued) Game-changing Strategies for the success of market participants engaging local patient groups •Corporate Social Responsibility Source: Frost & Sullivan 31 •Patient support programs for technically challenging formulations •Revisiting cost of commodity generics •Addressing loopholes in supply chain and distribution channels •Close coordination with NGOs to penetrate rural areas •Technical Training of distributors and retailers •Investing in R&D and •Engage in strategic partnerships with trustworthy local stakeholders Foreign Companies to Bolster Distribution Channels •Pharmacists influence choice of customers and brand image Branded Companies to adopt Differential Pricing Strategy •Bar codes and holograms to track counterfeits •Training of physicians and nurses •Detailing by medical representatives •Continual medical education (CME) programs •Advisory/Advocacy Boards Enhance Patient Awareness and Treatment Support Services (CSR)
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  • 34. 34 State your need, we would be happy to serve you… AISWARIYA CHIDAMBARAM Senior Research Analyst – Life Sciences Tel: +91 (0) 44 61606666 (Extn: 4097) Fax: +91 (0) 44 4230 0369 Email: AiswariyaC@frost.com www.frost.com Frost & Sullivan (I) Pvt. Ltd. ASV HANSA No.53, Greams Road Thousand Lights Chennai 600 006 Your Growth Partner Contact Information