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2020 Case Competition: IndiPharmaCo
Navigating to the next normal
Acknowledgements
This Case Study has been developed by: María Peña, Juan Guillermo Velasco, Soraya Quiroga
Camacho, Marco de Leon, Ellis Kolber, and Yuki Takeyasu
Under the supervision of Lourdes S. Casanova & Sofia Kalantzi
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 2
WARNING: Participating students are specifically prohibited from sharing any information issued in this case without prior consent from
from the SC Johnson College of Business.
Guidelines
•Teams must submit a max. 15 page PowerPoint deck to the following Google form link by 15 September 2021, 10:00 pm
(Bangladesh Standard Time).
Google Form Link: https://forms.gle/9t6in9657yZLN1ki6
•File name format: Team Name_Intra-IBA_Cornell EMICC_2021
•The appendix section (if any) must be included within the 15 slide limit.
•The slide limit does not include the cover slide, references slide (if any), and "Thank You" slide.
•Teams must state their team name as used during registration in the cover slide.
Names of the individuals cannot be written anywhere in the PowerPoint or PDF file.
•Additional media such as music, video, third-party animation and other features outside the features of PowerPoint is
prohibited.
•Teams must upload a PDF file along with the PowerPoint file. Max file size: 10 MB for each file.
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 3
Guidelines
•Teams are free to use advisors as long as the advisors are not involved in the development and evaluation of this case.
•Any avenue of primary and secondary research is allowed so long as it does not violate the law; however key details within this
PowerPoint must be kept confidential and not be shared with external parties
•Please remember to embed the fonts to ensure maximum compatibility.
•Teams cannot change members once registered except for emergency situations (done on case-by-case basis)
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 4
IndiPharmaCo’s supply chain has been disrupted by Covid-19,
what should be its strategic response?
BACKGROUND
• IndiPharmaCo is an Indian Pharma Company
that manufactures and sells pharmaceutical
drugs across many segments including specialty
products, branded generics, complex generics,
pure generics and APIs.
• After 29 years of operation and a strong
acquisition strategy the company has more than
28.000+ employees and 33 manufacturing
facilities in 3 continents.
• The company is one of the world leaders in the
Generic Pharma sector and the leader in India.
CHALLENGE
• What should IndiPharmaCo’s immediate
actions be to protect its supply chain and
the company’s growth in the wake of
Covid-19?
• Given deglobalization trends, how can
IndiPharmaCo maintain its leading
position and profitability in the long
term?
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 5
The next normal
▪As stay-at-home orders were enforced around the world, businesses with
capacity to go trough the crisis scrambled to provide employees digital tools
to perform their activities from home. As people became comfortable with
the new work environment, the question of what the “next normal” would be
still lingers.
▪Covid-19 accelerated the adoption of digitalization, this means 1) upskilling all
employees to handle the technological shift to a 100% telecommunications
interaction with every stakeholder and 2) prepare managers to lead their
teams in a fully virtual environment.
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 6
Deglobalization trends
▪ Since a few years ago, protectionist ideas have shown growing support around the world. The trade war
between China and the United States, Brexit and wide-ranging governments policies to limit immigration
are examples of how countries are beginning to reduce the free movement of people, goods and
economies. This new trend has a direct impact on the way supply chains work and on global trade
dynamics since companies are starting to source their suppliers locally due to political pressure or public
relations challenges. In fact, in 2019 the value of world merchandise exports fell 3%.
▪ Moreover, the Covid-19 pandemic could accelerate and even deepen deglobalization trends. The WTO
forecasts that world trade will fall between 13% and 32% in 2020 as a result of disruptions caused by the
virus in the economy. Further, the pandemic could exacerbate nationalistic tendencies, as companies and
countries come to terms with their dependence on international trade, and the consequences of
globalization. This could deal an even greater blow to industries of strategic importance, such as
pharmaceuticals. In fact, the US has already expressed its concern about its reliance on India’s generics
and a desire to become more self-sufficient.
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 7
Before and after Covid-19
Before After
Private Investment High yield seeking
Reduced as lost revenue put pressure on cash
flows, raised debt, and political agendas of large
economies swing toward deglobalization
Supply chains Cost efficient Resilience efficient
Use of digital
communication tools
Non-essential Essential
Patent protection
Created patent cliffs, slowed R&D, and high
revenue growth
Lack of patent protection will affect product
perception when the country of origin is
questioned
Government expenditure
Slowing since 2009 from 17.8% to 16.9% of world
GDP1
Higher to support reactivation specially in rich
economies2
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 8
1. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.CON.GOVT.ZS
2. https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Policy-Responses-to-COVID-19
The 10 leading companies in the pharmaceutical industry are
from the US and Europe
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020
Leading global pharmaceutical companies by pharma revenue in 2019 (in billion U.S. dollars)
51.75
50
47.45
46.84
43.54
42.1
33.27
27.77
26.15
23.57
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
Pfizer
Roche
Novartis
Merck & Co.
GlaxoSmithKline
Johnson & Johnson
AbbVie
Sanofi
Bristol-Myers Squibb
AstraZeneca
United States
Switzerland
United Kingdom
France
9
Current Pharma Industry drivers will support IndiPharmaCo’s
revenue growth
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
▪ In the last 5 years the industry has benefited
from an aging population and higher purchasing
power in emerging markets.
▪ The largest companies have increased their
presence in regional markets by accelerating
relationships with governments to hasten drug
approval and reimbursement rates.
▪ Patent cliffs still hamper industry revenues as
large R&D expenditures are diminished by lower
returns.
TRENDS AND PERFORMANCE
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 10
IndiPharmaCo’s challenge is to secure profitability in a mature
industry
GLOBAL VALUE DRIVERS
▪ Global number of adults aged 65 and older
▪ Per capita healthcare expenditure of OECD
countries
▪ Regulation for the Global Pharma & Medicine
Manufacturing industry
▪ Technological change
▪ Global per capita income
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 11
Generic drugs and the Indian Scenario
GENERICS DEFINITION
▪ A generic drug is a pharmaceutical drug that is
chemically identical to its name brand counterpart.
When the patent protection of a name brand drug
expires, generic drug manufacturers reverse-
engineer the chemical substances of a name brand
drug to create their own offering. Since generic
drug manufacturers do not have the same amount
of up-front R&D and clinical trial expenses, they
are able to offer significantly lower prices
compared to their name brand counterparts.
INDIAN SCENARIO
▪ The Patent Acts of 1970 in India removed the
composition patents for food and drugs, though
process patents remained and were shortened to
a period of 5 to 7 years. This lack of patent
protection gave Indian companies the unique
ability to reverse-engineer chemical and
manufacturing processes for pharmaceutical
drugs. Coupled with its strength in science and
engineering, India has become the world leader
in generic drug manufacturing.
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 12
India is a generics powerhouse focused in the US market
INDIAN PHARMA
▪ $20 Billion market in 2019
▪ Largest provider of generics in the world
▪ Contributes 20% of global exports and 40% of US
generics demand
▪ Bears significant footprints in all highly-regulated
developed markets
▪ Earned 304 Abbreviated New Drug Application
(ANDA) approvals from the United States Food
and Drug Administration (USFDA)
RATE OF APPROVAL FOR INDIAN PHARMA
ANDA BY U.S. FDA 2017-2019
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 13
65%
65.5%
67.9%
64.5%
65.0%
65.5%
66.0%
66.5%
67.0%
67.5%
68.0%
68.5%
H1 FY 2017 H1 FY 2018 H1 FY 2019
ANDA
rate
of
approval
Key figures
Pharma Industry in India: Key Statistics 2020
Source: MarketLine
30
28
29
31
33
34
35
36
37
39
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* 2022* 2023* 2024*
Value
in
billion
U.S.
dollars
Size of the Indian pharmaceutical market
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 14
Value of Indian pharmaceutical exports
Finances and trade
10.1
12.6
14.5
14.9
16.9
16.8
17.3
19.1
10.8
0 5 10 15 20 25
FY 2012
FY 2013
FY 2014
FY 2015
FY 2016
FY 2017
FY 2018
FY 2019
FY 2020*
Export value in billion U.S. dollars
Pharma Industry in India: Key Statistics 2020
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 15
Finances and trade
32.1%
18%
15.7%
6.9%
6.8%
5.6%
14.9%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0%
North America
Africa
European Union
Association of Southeast Nations
Latin America and the Caribbean
Middle East
Others
Share of exports
Pharma Industry in India: Key Statistics 2020
FY 2019 Share of Indian pharmaceutical exports by region
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 16
Real-time developments will shape IndiPharmaCo’s response
to the crisis
ECONOMY
▪ Covid-19 wrought far-reaching consequences
on the global economy, including:
▪ Forecasted 3% decline in the 2020 global
GDP, much worse than the financial crisis
(IMF).
▪ India GDP growth estimated to drop to 1.9%
from 5.8% for FY20 (IMF).
▪ China’s GDP growth estimated to be 1.2% in
FY20 (IMF).
▪ Cumulative global output loss in 2020 and
2021 could total $9 trillion (IMF).
POLITICS
▪ The Covid-19 global pandemic has shined a
light on many political differences over the use
of science and data for emergency response.
▪ In March, India restricted the export of 26
pharmaceuticals, which amounted to 10% of
the country’s pharma exports. These
restrictions were mostly lifted in April but
could relapse.
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 17
Source: Oxford Analytica, IMF
IndiPharmaCo’s Financials
KEY STATS
▪ Market cap 2019: USD $13 billion
▪ EBITDA margin 2019: 20%
▪ Net income margin 2019: 11.3%
▪ R&D investment 2019: 8% of revenue
▪ Debt-to-equity ratio 2019: 17%
IndiPharmaCo vs. Leading generics
pharmaceuticals EBITDA margin (%)
28.5% 28.8%
20.0% 20.7% 20.0%
24.6%
22.2% 21.3% 21.8% 22.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
IndiPharmaCo Top 10 generics pharmaceuticals average
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020
Source:
Capital
IQ
Included
companies;
Sanofi,
Teva,
Mylan,
Sun
Pharmaceutical,
Dr
Reddy's,
Cipla,
Hikma,
Lupin,
Sandoz,
Sawai
18
IndiPharmaCo relies heavily on the US market
INDIPHARMACO REVENUE
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 19
3,882
3,741
4,332
3,559
3,695 3,793
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Revenue
in
million
U.S.
dollars
2019 REVENUE SOURCES
US
38%
India
29%
Emerging
Markets
12%
Europe, Canada, Japan,
Australia, New Zealand
14%
API
7%
IndiPharmaCo’s latest M&A’s shows a new interest of the
company in the API sector
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 20
2015 2019
2017
2016 2018
• 12 Chinese generic
brands licensing
• 2 API companies
• API company
• Japanese
pharmaceutical
• Russian
pharmaceutical
• Merger: Indian
pharmaceutical
• US pharmaceutical
• 14 prescription
brands in Japan
• 2 US
pharmaceuticals
• Israeli
pharmaceutical
IndiPharmaCo’s finished dosage manufacturing facilities
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 21
10 – India
2 – US, Japan
1 – Canada, Hungary , Israel,
Bangladesh, Malaysia,
Romania and Russia
IndiPharmaCo’s API
manufacturing facilities
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 22
7 – India
2 – Australia
1 – US, Israel, Hungary
IndiPharmaCo’s supply chain is highly dependent on Chinese
suppliers
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 23
China
69%
India
16%
US
4%
In-house
production
4%
Others
7%
IndiPharmaCo’s material and component supplies by country of origin, 2019
IndiPharmaCo’s supply chain disruption
RAW MATERIAL IMPORTS
▪ IndiPharmaCo currently imports about 70% of its
raw materials from China. The impact from Covid-
19 was severe, as no contingency plan had been
put in place to procure replacement raw materials,
either internationally or domestically.
▪ Many raw materials factories in China were out of
commission for multiple weeks, drastically
inhibiting IndiPharmaCo to meet increased
demand caused by Covid-19.
VALUE CHAIN DISRUPTION
▪ IndiPharmaCo is looking for ways to stabilize
their supply chain to be prepared for another
global pandemic. Specifically, they deem their
raw materials import to be the weakest portion
of the supply chain. IndiPharmaCo must
optimize the tradeoff between domestic and
international options.
▪ Likewise, IndiPharmaCo seeks to mitigate the
impact of new social and political trends on its
revenues, particularly in countries like the US.
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 24
Thank You!
We, at EMI, thank you for your interest and time for engaging with us!
About EMI
Emerging Markets Institute (EMI) at SC Johnson College of Business at Cornell University was
founded in 2010 with a mission to prepare and support business leaders who seek a
competitive advantage to become experts in emerging markets. The institute brings together
preeminent practitioners and academics from around the world to develop the next generation
of global business leaders and create the premier research center on the role of emerging
markets in the global economy.
7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 25

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Cornell'21 Case, Intra Round (IBA)

  • 1. v 2020 Case Competition: IndiPharmaCo Navigating to the next normal
  • 2. Acknowledgements This Case Study has been developed by: María Peña, Juan Guillermo Velasco, Soraya Quiroga Camacho, Marco de Leon, Ellis Kolber, and Yuki Takeyasu Under the supervision of Lourdes S. Casanova & Sofia Kalantzi 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 2 WARNING: Participating students are specifically prohibited from sharing any information issued in this case without prior consent from from the SC Johnson College of Business.
  • 3. Guidelines •Teams must submit a max. 15 page PowerPoint deck to the following Google form link by 15 September 2021, 10:00 pm (Bangladesh Standard Time). Google Form Link: https://forms.gle/9t6in9657yZLN1ki6 •File name format: Team Name_Intra-IBA_Cornell EMICC_2021 •The appendix section (if any) must be included within the 15 slide limit. •The slide limit does not include the cover slide, references slide (if any), and "Thank You" slide. •Teams must state their team name as used during registration in the cover slide. Names of the individuals cannot be written anywhere in the PowerPoint or PDF file. •Additional media such as music, video, third-party animation and other features outside the features of PowerPoint is prohibited. •Teams must upload a PDF file along with the PowerPoint file. Max file size: 10 MB for each file. 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 3
  • 4. Guidelines •Teams are free to use advisors as long as the advisors are not involved in the development and evaluation of this case. •Any avenue of primary and secondary research is allowed so long as it does not violate the law; however key details within this PowerPoint must be kept confidential and not be shared with external parties •Please remember to embed the fonts to ensure maximum compatibility. •Teams cannot change members once registered except for emergency situations (done on case-by-case basis) 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 4
  • 5. IndiPharmaCo’s supply chain has been disrupted by Covid-19, what should be its strategic response? BACKGROUND • IndiPharmaCo is an Indian Pharma Company that manufactures and sells pharmaceutical drugs across many segments including specialty products, branded generics, complex generics, pure generics and APIs. • After 29 years of operation and a strong acquisition strategy the company has more than 28.000+ employees and 33 manufacturing facilities in 3 continents. • The company is one of the world leaders in the Generic Pharma sector and the leader in India. CHALLENGE • What should IndiPharmaCo’s immediate actions be to protect its supply chain and the company’s growth in the wake of Covid-19? • Given deglobalization trends, how can IndiPharmaCo maintain its leading position and profitability in the long term? 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 5
  • 6. The next normal ▪As stay-at-home orders were enforced around the world, businesses with capacity to go trough the crisis scrambled to provide employees digital tools to perform their activities from home. As people became comfortable with the new work environment, the question of what the “next normal” would be still lingers. ▪Covid-19 accelerated the adoption of digitalization, this means 1) upskilling all employees to handle the technological shift to a 100% telecommunications interaction with every stakeholder and 2) prepare managers to lead their teams in a fully virtual environment. 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 6
  • 7. Deglobalization trends ▪ Since a few years ago, protectionist ideas have shown growing support around the world. The trade war between China and the United States, Brexit and wide-ranging governments policies to limit immigration are examples of how countries are beginning to reduce the free movement of people, goods and economies. This new trend has a direct impact on the way supply chains work and on global trade dynamics since companies are starting to source their suppliers locally due to political pressure or public relations challenges. In fact, in 2019 the value of world merchandise exports fell 3%. ▪ Moreover, the Covid-19 pandemic could accelerate and even deepen deglobalization trends. The WTO forecasts that world trade will fall between 13% and 32% in 2020 as a result of disruptions caused by the virus in the economy. Further, the pandemic could exacerbate nationalistic tendencies, as companies and countries come to terms with their dependence on international trade, and the consequences of globalization. This could deal an even greater blow to industries of strategic importance, such as pharmaceuticals. In fact, the US has already expressed its concern about its reliance on India’s generics and a desire to become more self-sufficient. 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 7
  • 8. Before and after Covid-19 Before After Private Investment High yield seeking Reduced as lost revenue put pressure on cash flows, raised debt, and political agendas of large economies swing toward deglobalization Supply chains Cost efficient Resilience efficient Use of digital communication tools Non-essential Essential Patent protection Created patent cliffs, slowed R&D, and high revenue growth Lack of patent protection will affect product perception when the country of origin is questioned Government expenditure Slowing since 2009 from 17.8% to 16.9% of world GDP1 Higher to support reactivation specially in rich economies2 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 8 1. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.CON.GOVT.ZS 2. https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Policy-Responses-to-COVID-19
  • 9. The 10 leading companies in the pharmaceutical industry are from the US and Europe 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 Leading global pharmaceutical companies by pharma revenue in 2019 (in billion U.S. dollars) 51.75 50 47.45 46.84 43.54 42.1 33.27 27.77 26.15 23.57 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 Pfizer Roche Novartis Merck & Co. GlaxoSmithKline Johnson & Johnson AbbVie Sanofi Bristol-Myers Squibb AstraZeneca United States Switzerland United Kingdom France 9
  • 10. Current Pharma Industry drivers will support IndiPharmaCo’s revenue growth EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ▪ In the last 5 years the industry has benefited from an aging population and higher purchasing power in emerging markets. ▪ The largest companies have increased their presence in regional markets by accelerating relationships with governments to hasten drug approval and reimbursement rates. ▪ Patent cliffs still hamper industry revenues as large R&D expenditures are diminished by lower returns. TRENDS AND PERFORMANCE 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 10
  • 11. IndiPharmaCo’s challenge is to secure profitability in a mature industry GLOBAL VALUE DRIVERS ▪ Global number of adults aged 65 and older ▪ Per capita healthcare expenditure of OECD countries ▪ Regulation for the Global Pharma & Medicine Manufacturing industry ▪ Technological change ▪ Global per capita income INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 11
  • 12. Generic drugs and the Indian Scenario GENERICS DEFINITION ▪ A generic drug is a pharmaceutical drug that is chemically identical to its name brand counterpart. When the patent protection of a name brand drug expires, generic drug manufacturers reverse- engineer the chemical substances of a name brand drug to create their own offering. Since generic drug manufacturers do not have the same amount of up-front R&D and clinical trial expenses, they are able to offer significantly lower prices compared to their name brand counterparts. INDIAN SCENARIO ▪ The Patent Acts of 1970 in India removed the composition patents for food and drugs, though process patents remained and were shortened to a period of 5 to 7 years. This lack of patent protection gave Indian companies the unique ability to reverse-engineer chemical and manufacturing processes for pharmaceutical drugs. Coupled with its strength in science and engineering, India has become the world leader in generic drug manufacturing. 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 12
  • 13. India is a generics powerhouse focused in the US market INDIAN PHARMA ▪ $20 Billion market in 2019 ▪ Largest provider of generics in the world ▪ Contributes 20% of global exports and 40% of US generics demand ▪ Bears significant footprints in all highly-regulated developed markets ▪ Earned 304 Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) approvals from the United States Food and Drug Administration (USFDA) RATE OF APPROVAL FOR INDIAN PHARMA ANDA BY U.S. FDA 2017-2019 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 13 65% 65.5% 67.9% 64.5% 65.0% 65.5% 66.0% 66.5% 67.0% 67.5% 68.0% 68.5% H1 FY 2017 H1 FY 2018 H1 FY 2019 ANDA rate of approval Key figures Pharma Industry in India: Key Statistics 2020
  • 14. Source: MarketLine 30 28 29 31 33 34 35 36 37 39 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020* 2021* 2022* 2023* 2024* Value in billion U.S. dollars Size of the Indian pharmaceutical market 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 14
  • 15. Value of Indian pharmaceutical exports Finances and trade 10.1 12.6 14.5 14.9 16.9 16.8 17.3 19.1 10.8 0 5 10 15 20 25 FY 2012 FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 FY 2020* Export value in billion U.S. dollars Pharma Industry in India: Key Statistics 2020 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 15
  • 16. Finances and trade 32.1% 18% 15.7% 6.9% 6.8% 5.6% 14.9% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% North America Africa European Union Association of Southeast Nations Latin America and the Caribbean Middle East Others Share of exports Pharma Industry in India: Key Statistics 2020 FY 2019 Share of Indian pharmaceutical exports by region 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 16
  • 17. Real-time developments will shape IndiPharmaCo’s response to the crisis ECONOMY ▪ Covid-19 wrought far-reaching consequences on the global economy, including: ▪ Forecasted 3% decline in the 2020 global GDP, much worse than the financial crisis (IMF). ▪ India GDP growth estimated to drop to 1.9% from 5.8% for FY20 (IMF). ▪ China’s GDP growth estimated to be 1.2% in FY20 (IMF). ▪ Cumulative global output loss in 2020 and 2021 could total $9 trillion (IMF). POLITICS ▪ The Covid-19 global pandemic has shined a light on many political differences over the use of science and data for emergency response. ▪ In March, India restricted the export of 26 pharmaceuticals, which amounted to 10% of the country’s pharma exports. These restrictions were mostly lifted in April but could relapse. 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 17 Source: Oxford Analytica, IMF
  • 18. IndiPharmaCo’s Financials KEY STATS ▪ Market cap 2019: USD $13 billion ▪ EBITDA margin 2019: 20% ▪ Net income margin 2019: 11.3% ▪ R&D investment 2019: 8% of revenue ▪ Debt-to-equity ratio 2019: 17% IndiPharmaCo vs. Leading generics pharmaceuticals EBITDA margin (%) 28.5% 28.8% 20.0% 20.7% 20.0% 24.6% 22.2% 21.3% 21.8% 22.3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 IndiPharmaCo Top 10 generics pharmaceuticals average 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 Source: Capital IQ Included companies; Sanofi, Teva, Mylan, Sun Pharmaceutical, Dr Reddy's, Cipla, Hikma, Lupin, Sandoz, Sawai 18
  • 19. IndiPharmaCo relies heavily on the US market INDIPHARMACO REVENUE 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 19 3,882 3,741 4,332 3,559 3,695 3,793 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Revenue in million U.S. dollars 2019 REVENUE SOURCES US 38% India 29% Emerging Markets 12% Europe, Canada, Japan, Australia, New Zealand 14% API 7%
  • 20. IndiPharmaCo’s latest M&A’s shows a new interest of the company in the API sector 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 20 2015 2019 2017 2016 2018 • 12 Chinese generic brands licensing • 2 API companies • API company • Japanese pharmaceutical • Russian pharmaceutical • Merger: Indian pharmaceutical • US pharmaceutical • 14 prescription brands in Japan • 2 US pharmaceuticals • Israeli pharmaceutical
  • 21. IndiPharmaCo’s finished dosage manufacturing facilities 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 21 10 – India 2 – US, Japan 1 – Canada, Hungary , Israel, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Romania and Russia
  • 22. IndiPharmaCo’s API manufacturing facilities 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 22 7 – India 2 – Australia 1 – US, Israel, Hungary
  • 23. IndiPharmaCo’s supply chain is highly dependent on Chinese suppliers 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 23 China 69% India 16% US 4% In-house production 4% Others 7% IndiPharmaCo’s material and component supplies by country of origin, 2019
  • 24. IndiPharmaCo’s supply chain disruption RAW MATERIAL IMPORTS ▪ IndiPharmaCo currently imports about 70% of its raw materials from China. The impact from Covid- 19 was severe, as no contingency plan had been put in place to procure replacement raw materials, either internationally or domestically. ▪ Many raw materials factories in China were out of commission for multiple weeks, drastically inhibiting IndiPharmaCo to meet increased demand caused by Covid-19. VALUE CHAIN DISRUPTION ▪ IndiPharmaCo is looking for ways to stabilize their supply chain to be prepared for another global pandemic. Specifically, they deem their raw materials import to be the weakest portion of the supply chain. IndiPharmaCo must optimize the tradeoff between domestic and international options. ▪ Likewise, IndiPharmaCo seeks to mitigate the impact of new social and political trends on its revenues, particularly in countries like the US. 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 24
  • 25. Thank You! We, at EMI, thank you for your interest and time for engaging with us! About EMI Emerging Markets Institute (EMI) at SC Johnson College of Business at Cornell University was founded in 2010 with a mission to prepare and support business leaders who seek a competitive advantage to become experts in emerging markets. The institute brings together preeminent practitioners and academics from around the world to develop the next generation of global business leaders and create the premier research center on the role of emerging markets in the global economy. 7/21/2021 CORNELL UNIVERSITY EMI CASE COMPETITION 2020 25