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STRATEGY AND POLICY TO
  STRENGTHEN NATIONAL FOOD
SECURITY: LESSON FROM INDONESIA


                 Tahlim Sudaryanto

 Expert Group Meeting on “Achieving Food Security in Member
  Countries in Post-Crises World”, Islamic Development Bank,
              Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, 2-3 May 2010


       Indonesian Center for Agriculture Socio
       Economic and Policy Studies (ICASEPS)
OUTLINE

1.   Introduction
2.
2    Current Status of Food Security
3.   National Food Security Strategy
4.   Conclusion and Implication




     ICASEPS
INTRODUCTION

Economic indicators 2000 2009
E         i i di t     2000-2009
• GDP growth 5.1 %
• Agriculture GDP growth 3.3%
• Inflation rate 6.2%
• Unemployment 9 2%9.2%
• Poverty 32.5 million (14.2%) in 2009


    ICASEPS
INTRODUCTION (cont’d)
                      (cont d)


• Food-fuel-financial crises in 2007-2008
• Impact to food security of the poor
• Need to strengthen National Food Security
  Strategy (NFSS)




    ICASEPS
CURRENT STATUS OF FOOD SECURITY

 • Production and availability
                             y
 • Distribution and accesibility
 • C
   Consumption and nutrition
              ti    d t iti




  ICASEPS
Production and Availability

      Growth on rice production
      G   th     i      d ti
     1970-1980   :   4.37
                      4 37 %
     1980-1990   :   4.30 %
     1990-2000   :   1.40
                      1 40 %
     2000-2006   :   0.80 %
     2007        :   4.76
                      4 76 %
     2008        :   5.46 %
     2009        :   6.64
                      6 64 %


ICASEPS
Determinants of rice production in
            2007-2009

a. Good weather condition;
b. High i
b Hi h rice price;
              i
c. Government policies on input subsidies,
                p            p           ,
   price incentive, and import control;
d.
d Special program to accelerate rice
   production.


   ICASEPS
Production of other food commodities,
      2004-2009 (thausand ton)
                                   Production
                                   P d i                              Growth
                                                                      G     h    Growth
                                                                                 G     h
 Commodities                                                             (%)         (%)
                2004     2005     2006     2007     2008     2009     '04-'09    '08-'09
1. Maize        11 225   12 524   11 609   13 288   15 860   17 592       9.80      10.92

2. Soybean        723      808      748      593      761      973        7.96      27.86
3. Cassava      19 425   19 321   19 987   19 988   20 834   22 029       2.58       5.73

4. Sugar         2 052    2 242    2 307    2 624    2 801    3 341      10.38      19.28

5. Vegetables    9 060    9 102    9 564    9 941   10 234   10 531       3 62       2.94

6. Fruits       14 348   14 787   16 171   17 352   19 279   21 419       7.34       11.11

7. Beef           391      236      262      346      465      400        4.77      -13.98
8. Poultry       1 193    1 084    1 205    1 268    1 250    1 658       7.69      32.64

9. Egg           1 107    1 052    1 204    1 297    1 416    1 525       8.02         7.7

10.Fish          6.120    6.870    7.395    7.608    8.107    8.342       6,56       2,88
Import of major food commodities,
         2003-2008 (thousand ton)
No   Commodities   2003    2004    2005    2006    2007    2008
 1   Rice          1 438     246     195     400   1 397     298
 2   Maize         1 371   1 115     235   1 845     772     467
 3   Soybean       2 774   2 882   2 983   3 279   1 441   1 181
 4   Sugar         1 271     635   1 347     995   3 088   1 099
 5   Wheat         3 948   4 963   5 029   5 137   5 304   5 124
 6   Beef             84      94     110     117     185      46
 7   Milk            6 8
                     648     73
                             732     7 7
                                     747     707     757     153
                                                              53


      ICASEPS
Availability of energy and protein for consumption
                     2003-2008

                  Energy        Protein (
                                P t i (gram/cap/day)
                                           /   /d )
     Year
               (kcal/cap/day)   Crop    Animal    Total
     2003               3 082    63.3      12.2     75.5
     2004               3 005    63.2      13.1     76.3
     2005               2 912    64.5      12.3     76.8
     2006               2 932    64.5
                                 64 5      13.3
                                           13 3     77.8
                                                    77 8
     2007               3 040    66.2      14.5     80.7
     2008               3 145    69.0      14.6     83.3
  Growth (%)             0.42    1.65      3.34     1.93

     ICASEPS
Distribution of subsidized rice (Raskin)
           to poor household, 2002-2007

          Total poor         Distribution
                                                % to total poor
Year       household        Rice
                                        Poor HH        HH
            (million)
            ( illi )    (million ton)
 2002       15.1            2.2         12.3          81.5
 2003       15.8            2.0         11.8          75.1
 2004       15.8            2.1         11.5          73.0
 2005       15.8            2.0         11.2          71.0
 2006       15.5            1.3         12.7          87.6
 2007       19.1            1.7         16.7          87.6
Trend on food consumption, 2005 2009
              consumption 2005-2009

                      Consumption
 Description
               2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Energyy
               1996 1927 2015 2038 1927
(kcal/cap/day)
Protein
               55.27 53.66 57.65 57.43 54.35
(gram/cap/day)
IDP Index       77.5 74.9 82.8 81.9 75.7



  ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
       PREVIOUS AND CURRENT POLICY

Increase safety net program
1.   Subsidized rice (at 70% price subsidy,
     15kg/month/HH);
2.   Cash transfer (Rp.100 000/month/HH);
3.   Free health care;
4.   Subsidized education costs, especially for
     primary and secondary school
     p     y               y



     ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
                   (Cont’d)
Stabilize
Stabili e food p ice
               price
1. Reduce import tariffs;
2. Reduce value added taxes;
3. Special market operation, especially for
   rice and cooking oil;
4. Subsidize soybean price for small scale
   processors;
5. Subsidize fuel price for small scale food
   processors.


    ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
                    (Cont’d)
Accelerate f d crop production
A   l t food           d ti
   Irrigation infrastructure;
   Good quality seed at subsidized price;
   Subsidized fertilizer;
   Farm credit at subsidized interest rate;
              d        b d d
   Intensive extension services;
   Farm gate price along with procurement;
                        l      h
   Promote private sector investment
    (Gov.Reg.No.18/2009)
    (Gov Reg No 18/2009)


    ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
                     (Cont’d)
           FUTURE PERSPECTIVES
Problems and challenges:
1.   Persistence of small farm;
2.
2    Diversification change slowly;
     Di    ifi i      h       l l
3.   Over intensification;
4.   Increasing public spending;
5.
5    Decentralisation policy.
                       policy


     ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
                 (Cont’d)
Objectives:
a.
a Enhance food availability based on local
   resources;
b. Improve access to food for all household
            g
   in all region;
c. Increase quantity and quality of food
   consumption for a better and balance
   diet
    ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
                  (Cont’d)
Targets:
1. Achievement of food availability: energy
    consumption 2200 kcal/capita/day,
    p
    protein consumption 57 gram/capita/day,
                  p        g        p     y,
    maximum import 5%;
2. Stable prices=>price margin between
2
    harvest and non-harvest period
    maximum of 10%;

   ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
                   (Cont’d)
Targets:
3. Reduce poverty incidence by 1%/year
    => 50% decline in 2015 or 8%;
4. Diversified and balanced diet: energy
4
    2000 kcal/cap/day, protein 52
    gr/capita/day, sufficient micro nutrient,
    and IDP index close to 100.


   ICASEPS
NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY
                 (Cont’d)
Policy and strategy:
1. Enhance food availability with self-
   relience principle
2. Increase household capacity to
   access adequate food
3. Increase quantity and quality of food
   consumption to achieve a better diet
4.
4 Improve Communities Nutrition Status
5. Improve Food Quality and Safety

   ICASEPS
CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATION

1. Production of staple food shows a strong
   growth=>huge government investment on
   infrastructures, input subsidies, price support,
   R&D, extension;
2. Short-term policy responses to food crises:
   a. stabilize staple food prices by accumulating
      stock;
   b.
   b implement broader safety net program.


    ICASEPS
CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATION (cont’d)
                           (cont d)
3.
3 Medium-term and long-term policy responses:
   accelerate food production.
4.
4 Sustainable food security strategy: income
   security first, FS come later.
5. Promote d diversification toward high value
                     f            dh h l
   commodities.
6. Increase investment on infrastructures, R&D,
   strengthen farmer’s institution.
7. Reallign strategy of international communities.

    ICASEPS
ICASEPS

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Strengthen Indonesia National Food Security 2010

  • 1. STRATEGY AND POLICY TO STRENGTHEN NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY: LESSON FROM INDONESIA Tahlim Sudaryanto Expert Group Meeting on “Achieving Food Security in Member Countries in Post-Crises World”, Islamic Development Bank, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, 2-3 May 2010 Indonesian Center for Agriculture Socio Economic and Policy Studies (ICASEPS)
  • 2. OUTLINE 1. Introduction 2. 2 Current Status of Food Security 3. National Food Security Strategy 4. Conclusion and Implication ICASEPS
  • 3. INTRODUCTION Economic indicators 2000 2009 E i i di t 2000-2009 • GDP growth 5.1 % • Agriculture GDP growth 3.3% • Inflation rate 6.2% • Unemployment 9 2%9.2% • Poverty 32.5 million (14.2%) in 2009 ICASEPS
  • 4. INTRODUCTION (cont’d) (cont d) • Food-fuel-financial crises in 2007-2008 • Impact to food security of the poor • Need to strengthen National Food Security Strategy (NFSS) ICASEPS
  • 5. CURRENT STATUS OF FOOD SECURITY • Production and availability y • Distribution and accesibility • C Consumption and nutrition ti d t iti ICASEPS
  • 6. Production and Availability Growth on rice production G th i d ti  1970-1980 : 4.37 4 37 %  1980-1990 : 4.30 %  1990-2000 : 1.40 1 40 %  2000-2006 : 0.80 %  2007 : 4.76 4 76 %  2008 : 5.46 %  2009 : 6.64 6 64 % ICASEPS
  • 7. Determinants of rice production in 2007-2009 a. Good weather condition; b. High i b Hi h rice price; i c. Government policies on input subsidies, p p , price incentive, and import control; d. d Special program to accelerate rice production. ICASEPS
  • 8. Production of other food commodities, 2004-2009 (thausand ton) Production P d i Growth G h Growth G h Commodities (%) (%) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 '04-'09 '08-'09 1. Maize 11 225 12 524 11 609 13 288 15 860 17 592 9.80 10.92 2. Soybean 723 808 748 593 761 973 7.96 27.86 3. Cassava 19 425 19 321 19 987 19 988 20 834 22 029 2.58 5.73 4. Sugar 2 052 2 242 2 307 2 624 2 801 3 341 10.38 19.28 5. Vegetables 9 060 9 102 9 564 9 941 10 234 10 531 3 62 2.94 6. Fruits 14 348 14 787 16 171 17 352 19 279 21 419 7.34 11.11 7. Beef 391 236 262 346 465 400 4.77 -13.98 8. Poultry 1 193 1 084 1 205 1 268 1 250 1 658 7.69 32.64 9. Egg 1 107 1 052 1 204 1 297 1 416 1 525 8.02 7.7 10.Fish 6.120 6.870 7.395 7.608 8.107 8.342 6,56 2,88
  • 9. Import of major food commodities, 2003-2008 (thousand ton) No Commodities 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1 Rice 1 438 246 195 400 1 397 298 2 Maize 1 371 1 115 235 1 845 772 467 3 Soybean 2 774 2 882 2 983 3 279 1 441 1 181 4 Sugar 1 271 635 1 347 995 3 088 1 099 5 Wheat 3 948 4 963 5 029 5 137 5 304 5 124 6 Beef 84 94 110 117 185 46 7 Milk 6 8 648 73 732 7 7 747 707 757 153 53 ICASEPS
  • 10. Availability of energy and protein for consumption 2003-2008 Energy Protein ( P t i (gram/cap/day) / /d ) Year (kcal/cap/day) Crop Animal Total 2003 3 082 63.3 12.2 75.5 2004 3 005 63.2 13.1 76.3 2005 2 912 64.5 12.3 76.8 2006 2 932 64.5 64 5 13.3 13 3 77.8 77 8 2007 3 040 66.2 14.5 80.7 2008 3 145 69.0 14.6 83.3 Growth (%) 0.42 1.65 3.34 1.93 ICASEPS
  • 11. Distribution of subsidized rice (Raskin) to poor household, 2002-2007 Total poor Distribution % to total poor Year household Rice Poor HH HH (million) ( illi ) (million ton) 2002 15.1 2.2 12.3 81.5 2003 15.8 2.0 11.8 75.1 2004 15.8 2.1 11.5 73.0 2005 15.8 2.0 11.2 71.0 2006 15.5 1.3 12.7 87.6 2007 19.1 1.7 16.7 87.6
  • 12. Trend on food consumption, 2005 2009 consumption 2005-2009 Consumption Description 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Energyy 1996 1927 2015 2038 1927 (kcal/cap/day) Protein 55.27 53.66 57.65 57.43 54.35 (gram/cap/day) IDP Index 77.5 74.9 82.8 81.9 75.7 ICASEPS
  • 13. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY PREVIOUS AND CURRENT POLICY Increase safety net program 1. Subsidized rice (at 70% price subsidy, 15kg/month/HH); 2. Cash transfer (Rp.100 000/month/HH); 3. Free health care; 4. Subsidized education costs, especially for primary and secondary school p y y ICASEPS
  • 14. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY (Cont’d) Stabilize Stabili e food p ice price 1. Reduce import tariffs; 2. Reduce value added taxes; 3. Special market operation, especially for rice and cooking oil; 4. Subsidize soybean price for small scale processors; 5. Subsidize fuel price for small scale food processors. ICASEPS
  • 15. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY (Cont’d) Accelerate f d crop production A l t food d ti  Irrigation infrastructure;  Good quality seed at subsidized price;  Subsidized fertilizer;  Farm credit at subsidized interest rate; d b d d  Intensive extension services;  Farm gate price along with procurement; l h  Promote private sector investment (Gov.Reg.No.18/2009) (Gov Reg No 18/2009) ICASEPS
  • 16. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY (Cont’d) FUTURE PERSPECTIVES Problems and challenges: 1. Persistence of small farm; 2. 2 Diversification change slowly; Di ifi i h l l 3. Over intensification; 4. Increasing public spending; 5. 5 Decentralisation policy. policy ICASEPS
  • 17. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY (Cont’d) Objectives: a. a Enhance food availability based on local resources; b. Improve access to food for all household g in all region; c. Increase quantity and quality of food consumption for a better and balance diet ICASEPS
  • 18. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY (Cont’d) Targets: 1. Achievement of food availability: energy consumption 2200 kcal/capita/day, p protein consumption 57 gram/capita/day, p g p y, maximum import 5%; 2. Stable prices=>price margin between 2 harvest and non-harvest period maximum of 10%; ICASEPS
  • 19. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY (Cont’d) Targets: 3. Reduce poverty incidence by 1%/year => 50% decline in 2015 or 8%; 4. Diversified and balanced diet: energy 4 2000 kcal/cap/day, protein 52 gr/capita/day, sufficient micro nutrient, and IDP index close to 100. ICASEPS
  • 20. NATIONAL FOOD SECURITY STRATEGY (Cont’d) Policy and strategy: 1. Enhance food availability with self- relience principle 2. Increase household capacity to access adequate food 3. Increase quantity and quality of food consumption to achieve a better diet 4. 4 Improve Communities Nutrition Status 5. Improve Food Quality and Safety ICASEPS
  • 21. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATION 1. Production of staple food shows a strong growth=>huge government investment on infrastructures, input subsidies, price support, R&D, extension; 2. Short-term policy responses to food crises: a. stabilize staple food prices by accumulating stock; b. b implement broader safety net program. ICASEPS
  • 22. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATION (cont’d) (cont d) 3. 3 Medium-term and long-term policy responses: accelerate food production. 4. 4 Sustainable food security strategy: income security first, FS come later. 5. Promote d diversification toward high value f dh h l commodities. 6. Increase investment on infrastructures, R&D, strengthen farmer’s institution. 7. Reallign strategy of international communities. ICASEPS