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White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries
White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries
White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries
White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries
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White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries
White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries
White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries
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White Paper: 2013 Holiday Discoveries

  1. 1 2013 HOLIDAY DISCOVERIES The Impact on Retail
  2. The only constant in the world of retailing is change. Economic fluctuations, unexpected weather events, swift deviations in consumer behavior, and much more keep retailers in a perpetual defensive stance. At no other time is this change more evident than during the traditional holiday season that runs from November through the New Year. While some retailers experience various seasonal peaks throughout the year, the entire retail industry can benefit from the lessons learned over the Thanksgiving through Christmas holiday. Let’s take a look at the biggest themes to emerge this year, their impact on retail, and how they will influence your 2014 strategies—and beyond. Learn the secrets of successful retailers who are taking an offensive position and capitalizing on key trends. A Look Back at 2013 As the United States economy recovered, consumer confidence followed suit. Shoppers began opening their wallets and it showed―retail profits were up 10% through the first nine months of the year. Although spending was up, the scars of the recent economic recession were still visible as consumers remained price conscious and sought discounted products. Holidays Going into the holiday season, the National Retail Federation predicted holiday sales would grow 3.9% over 2012. According to SpendingPulse, retail grew by 3.5%, falling just shy of expectations. A mix of inclement weather, great shipping offers and increased mobile usage led to a rise in online sales, growing 10% year over year (ComScore). Unfortunately for brick-and-mortar stores, this ate into their traffic, but it didn’t stop multi-channel retailers from developing unique promotions and in-store-pick-up offers to try to drive shoppers out of their homes and into shopping centers. Shopping at Work Week of Dec 9th: first time ever that each day of the workweek saw online sales top $1 billion. – ComScore Cyber Monday Explodes Biggest US online spending day ever. Sales = $1.735 billion. Holiday Spending Holiday spending reached an all-time high as it increased 10% from 2012. – ComScore GREAT EXPECTATIONS What the 2013 holiday season says about the future of retail 2012 2013 $38.91B $42.75B
  3. Brick-and-mortar stores typically see an influx of store visitors when the online shipping deals expire as Christmas approaches. Unfortunately for them, this pattern did not hold true as store traffic fell 21.2% in the final week before Christmas (ComScore). Shipping, however, was up during this time, with a 54% increase in “last minute rush” orders over 2012 (Custora) which crippled UPS and FedEx’s ability to deliver. In this report, we’ll highlight three holiday retail trends that will have the biggest impact on your future strategy. Mobile The biggest story this holiday season belonged to mobile. Smartphones and tablets have become the key to linking online and offline. Prior to the holidays, mobile only accounted for one percent of all commerce, but it continues to play a critical role in influencing sales as consumers use their mobile devices to research products, read reviews, solicit feedback from their social networks, locate nearby stores, find promotions, and more. In fact, 90% of consumers admit to using multiple devices before making a product decision (Google and IPSOS), but our analytics fail to show the full picture. During the holidays, sales on mobile devices represented 16.6% of all online sales, up 46% over 2012. Mobile also accounted for an estimated 35% of web traffic (IBM). Retailers responded by shifting more advertising dollars across devices. Adlucent saw CPCs increase slightly on computers, significantly on tablets, and decline on mobile. As advertisers continue to grapple with mobile attribution and the impact of their mobile investment, along with rising inventory, mobile CPCs will remain lower. In the next year, there will be more mobile devices connected to the Internet than computer. In the next two years, 50% of Internet traffic will come from mobile devices (Millenia Media). Adlucent clients invested 60% more into mobile search over 2012 and received 132% more revenue and a 45% higher return on ad spend over last year. If mobile isn’t working for you today, it will be a growing issue for you in the future. Retailers must figure out how to invest, measure, and optimize mobile, and it starts with understanding consumer behavior. YOY Mobile Performance Impressions Ad Spend Cost per Click Revenue +145% +60% -8% +132% +229% +208% +24% +135% The Rise of Mobile During the holidays, sales on mobile devices represented 28% of all online sales, up 40% over 2012. Mobile also accounted for an estimated 48% of web traffic. – IBM Multiple Devices 90% of consumers admit to using multiple devices before making a product decision. – Google and IPSOS Mobile Sales Mobile Traffic % of Consumers 28 48 90
  4. Here are a few ways to improve the mobile experience for your shoppers in the year ahead: 1. Make it easier to check out The average mobile device requires 24 clicks or form entries to complete a transaction. This poor customer experience has resulted in a 97% cart abandonment rate for mobile (IPSOS/Google). The main culprit here is the credit card and account creation process. The biggest improvement we’re seeing is when people implement a third party payment system like Paypal Express and Google Instant Buy. Retailers like Crutchfield are reporting a 20-30% increase in CVR when offering Paypal (PayPal study). A second option is biometric checkout which allows for fingerprint and voice authentication. 2. Help facilitate the movement between devices Retailers must make the shopping experience easier for the 40% of consumers who browse on a mobile device but make a purchase on a computer (ComScore). Try adding an “email me this” link and social sharing buttons on each landing page to make this transition easier. Also a tracking code should be added to each email that’s generated so you know which mobile ad led to the sale. 3. Change analytics from device and channel view to customer view In October 2013, Google rolled out Estimated Total Conversions to deliver a better picture of how Adwords drives conversions that take multiple devices to complete. In one Google study, advertisers in the travel industry were able to measure 8% more conversions than they were able to before, and 33% more conversions that originated on a mobile phone. 4. Use geographic parting to test the impact of mobile on online and offline sales At Adlucent, we use geographic parting to run a variety of tests for our customers, and it’s especially useful for measuring the value that mobile advertising has on online and offline sales. We split the United States into segments and measure performance based on direct sales on mobile and indirect lift on online and offline sales by region. Watch the impact mobile advertising has on other parts of your business―online sales, offline sales, catalog, telephone purchases, and more. 5. Expand the definition of success Instead of focusing purely on driving sales on mobile devices, retailers can use other measures of success such as new registrations through mobile ads, calls to a unique phone number linked to an advertising campaign, or number of app downloads. Mobile’s up One apparel and accessory etailer (and Adlucent client) took advantage of the pre-holiday rush by testing new mobile pages. The winning pages were used during the holiday rush, and the retailer saw mobile revenue increase 89% over the Thanksgiving holiday weekend as more consumers ventured away from their desktop.
  5. Product Listing Ads 2013 is the second year that retailers have leveraged Google’s Product Listing Ads (PLAs) as part of their overall advertising strategy. In fact, they were #2 on retailer’s top priorities going into the holiday season. Adoption, and competition, has grown significantly in the last year. The number of PLAs displayed in the month of November doubled over 2012 and the number of advertisers grew 55% to 8,700 (Jefferies). eBay, who refused to participate last year, accounted for 4% of all PLAs in 2013. On average, retailers spend between 30-50% of their search budgets on PLAs, and it’s paying off. Adlucent’s clients saw PLAs outpace text ads in clicks (3X), ad spend (10X), conversion rate (10X), and revenue (5X), while CPCs increased as competition heightened. While many retailers enjoy the revenue generated by PLAs, there is a lot still left on the table due to un-optimized feeds, poor matching (or no matching at all), mismanagement, and more. PLAs require a solid strategy and dedicated resources. Adlucent’s BuyerPath™ for Product Ads technology helps leading retailers maximize their PLA return on ad spend by ensuring their products are matched based on a consumer’s intent, expanding their reach so they are seen by the right consumers more often, and provides automated reports with recommendations for improvement. Because of our extensive knowledge of PLAs, we’ve provided a few best practices employed by our retailers to ensure you’re on track for 2014. 1. Lead with your best products PLAs are like shopping windows: you want your highest performing products on display. Adlucent has found that only 56% of PLA orders include the product listed in the original PLA. Since Google determines which product—if any—will be matched, special attention must be paid to how you structure your PLA program. A best practice is to use intent information from your paid and organic search programs, site search, and sales information to help organize product feeds into highly performing categories, or segments. From there you can select the top converting products per category to promote. 2. Test the impact of price and promotions Create price buckets based on the average price at which a customer converts. This data should be pulled by category and for further granularity, segmented by new versus existing customer. 3. Retire or liquidate inventory Make sure to note where each product is within its lifecycle. Your hot selling electronic item today will be a dud in no time, so why would you pay to continue to promote it? PLAs are useful for liquidating excess inventory, but remember your conversion rate may not be as high for shoppers who are looking for the newest model. Emerging Ad Format The number of PLAs displayed in the month of November doubled over 2012. Across the Board Retailers are spending between 30-50% of their search budgets on PLAs. 2013 2012 2011 PLA Ad Spend 40
  6. 4. Understand consumer intent Information such as level of expertise, price point, and sense of urgency are located within each search term. One useful trick is to analyze general versus specific queries. Creating groups aligned to customer intent will provide you with the greatest opportunity for conversion. Promotions In a season that typically generates 30 percent of sales and 40 percent of profits (SpendingPulse), retailers used a variety of promotional strategies to lure customers. In order to spur demand, discounts started as early as Halloween. Consumers enjoyed an average 30-50% mark down on products during the 2013 season. While steep discounts were certainly an attractive offer, one promotion was the clear winner with online shoppers—free shipping. Over the Thanksgiving weekend (Nov 28—Dec 2), the most popular promotions on search ads contained a free shipping offer (38%), followed by a sale (34%) and free shipping with a minimum purchase (12%) (Search Monitor). In addition, over 800 retailers participated in Free Shipping Day on December 18th with one-third of retailers offering free or expedited shipping in the week leading up to Christmas (NRF). Here are a few tips on how to test promotional strategies in the coming year. 1. Add promotions to your search ads For paid search, Adlucent data has shown that a lower sales price will typically outperform a free shipping offer for PLAs, with the opposite holding true for text ads. A free shipping offer can provide a significant boost to click through rates when placed in ad text. If you’re offering free shipping for products appearing in your PLAs, try a test where you lower the product price by the shipping amount, and saving the offer for your text ads. 2. Buy online, pick up in store Many retailers have begun testing strategies to drive online shoppers into stores. During the holidays, only half of consumers had completed their shopping list by mid- December, so retailers who offered “buy online, pick up in store” promotions benefited immensely―ultimately saving shipping costs and driving more people and increasing average order value. This year, GAP enabled shoppers to reserve items in store, and Sears went as far as to provide curb-side delivery to those who bought online. In one survey by Reuters, 40% of those surveyed stated they want this type of service option from retailers. ‘Tis the Season The holiday season typically generates 30 percent of sales and 40 percent of profits. – SpendingPulse Annual Sales Annual Profits 30 40 Words that Move With six fewer shopping days in 2013 over 2012, one Adlucent client knew they had to instill a sense of urgency among shoppers earlier in the season. For one client, we tested three variations of paid-search ads that each had a “shop early!” theme. Not only did these three ad variations have a click-through-rate that was 20% higher than the historically best performing ads for the account, they also had a 14% higher CVR. This strategy also worked for clients who don’t experience seasonality around the Thanksgiving and Christmas holidays so it’s worth testing by all retailers. Keep an eye on the shopping trends over the next year and look for phrases that will motivate consumers.
  7. 0% 100% 200% 300% 400% The Big Deal One major apparel retailer used paid search to test how their shoppers would respond to a free shipping offer versus a % discount. We used the ad copy “get free shipping on any purchase” and “save up to 25%.” While the % discount offer had a 23% higher conversion rate, the free shipping offer had a much greater return at a lower cost, with 125% more clicks and a 70% higher return on ad spend. In this example, consumers preferred free shipping over a discount. Let’s Chat w: adlucent.com/buyerpath p: 1-800-788-9152 e: solutions@adlucent.com 3. Local search Buyers are looking for you―be there, every time. According to Google’s Ed Parsons, one in three queries a person types into Google’s search bar is about places. Google also found that 88% of clicks from mobile search are incremental to organic links, meaning shoppers would not otherwise click on the business’s organic listing when ads are paused. There are a variety of extensions that can be used―click to call, reviews, app, automatic offer―so test which ones are best for your business. 2014 and Beyond While the biggest holiday is behind us, the retail sales push will continue through January as consumers venture into stores to use their gift cards, exchange gifts, and take advantage of deep post-holiday discounts. The 2013 holiday season wasn’t a monumental success for retailers, but it was still an improvement over 2012. While mobile, PLAs, and promotions were the biggest winners this year, their success is simply the result of changing consumer behavior. In the future, the retailers who will succeed will be those who meet the needs and desires of each individual consumer, develop an understanding of their Buyerpath™ and create unique ad experiences along the way. By collecting and applying advanced shopping analytics, retailers are better equipped to solve their biggest challenges―understanding how consumers move across devices, which ads they will respond to, and what will make them convert. Over the years Adlucent has developed, refined, and extended its Applied Shopping Analytics platform, BuyerPath,™ to help retailers learn more about their customers and apply these insights to today’s modern online advertising infrastructure, delivering greater revenue and a higher return on ad spend. How much? Adlucent clients averaged 40%-190% growth in online revenue as opposed to the industry average of 15%-18%. Contact us today for a free assessment of your online ad programs, and ideas on how you can leverage applied shopping analytics to create unique advertising experiences for your buyers. The fact is, the more you know, the more they buy. 25%Off FREE Shipping Revenue Growth Plot includes client revenue growth after taking over account from competitive agencies. a b c d e
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