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Prototyping
Images of
the Future
Prototyping Images of the Future
8:30 - 8:40
Arrive & Settle In
8:40 - 8:50
Introductions & Overview
8:50 - 9:45
Guided EXF Field Guide Activities
9:45 - 10:00
Group Debrief
Introductio
ns
Workshop Design & Facilitation
Adam Zeiner
@_dezein
With assistance from
Tyler McCoy
@tyleryoga
Special thanks for initial feedback to
Jake Dunagan
@dunagan23
Avenues to get involved
www.meetup.com/ATX-Speculative-Futures
Speculative Futures Meetup - Austin
www.futures.design
Design Futures Initiative
www.primerconference.com
PRIMER Speculative Design & Foresight Conference
Overview
"Optimism is a strategy for making a better
future. Because unless you believe that the
future can be better, you are unlikely to step
up and take responsibility for making it so."
- Noam Chomsky
Why Images of the Future?
This is meant to serve as a tangible means of thinking
critically about the future, both in terms of what it
could be and what we want it to be.
Why Images of the Future?
The intersection of Design and Futures produces artifacts,
applications and interactions intended to provoke dialog in an
accessible manner.
Ref: Aisling Kelliher, Daragh Byrne; https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714001980#!
Why Images of the Future?
Images of the Future, whether they are vision statements
or scenario forecasts, inspiring or terrifying, can have
profound impacts on the goals we envision and on the
strategies we adopt.
Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; www.visionforesightstrategy.com
Preferred Futures
Moving from Foresight (a means of understanding and anticipating
change in society) towards Aspiration (moving beyond exploring
what could happen to reconsidering what you want to see happen).
Preferred Futures
Moving from Foresight (a means of understanding and anticipating
change in society) towards Aspiration (moving beyond exploring
what could happen to reconsidering what you want to see happen).
Aspiration is the realm of what we call “preferred futures”
Preferred Futures involves rethinking what we want as a “vision”
based in part on new insights and inspiration we’re generating.
Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; www.visionforesightstrategy.com
Terms_&_Con
cepts
Foresight
Foresight is best understood as insight into how and why
the future might be different from today.
Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; https://www.visionforesightstrategy.com/foresight
Speculative Design (⅓)
Speculative Design is a discursive practice, based on critical
thinking and dialogue, which questions the practice of design.
Ref: Ivica Mitrović; http://speculative.hr/en/introduction-to-speculative-design-practice/
Speculative Design (⅔)
We use Speculative Design to describe work that uses design
(products, services, scenarios) to address challenges and
opportunities of the future. We tend to look 5-10+ years forward
and speculate on how things could be and what future we want or
don’t want based on these scenarios.
Ref: Phil Balagtas; https://blog.optimalworkshop.com/what-is-speculative-design
Speculative Design (3/3)
However, Speculative Design as an approach can take this
critical practice one step further, towards imagination and
visions of possible scenarios.
Speculative design is also one of the most representative
examples of the new interaction between various
disciplines.
Ref: Ivica Mitrović; http://speculative.hr/en/introduction-to-speculative-design-practice/
Ref: Elliott P. Montgomery; https://twitter.com/EPMID/status/962039029997817858
Futures Studies
Futures studies is an academic field that is concerned with
understanding and anticipating change in society… in order
to help others conceive and pursue more desirable futures.
Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; https://www.visionforesightstrategy.com/foresight
Futures Research (⅓)
Futures researchers track technical innovations, value shifts,
geopolitical tides, environmental perturbations, economic
developments, demographic patterns, and other trends of change.
Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
Futures Research (⅔)
From data generated they create scenarios of possible alternative
futures, which are then used as contingencies within strategic
planning.
Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
Futures Research (3/3)
Working as facilitators, futures researchers can help communities
and organizations envision their preferred futures and compare
those visions with current trends & scenarios of possible futures.
The process leads to practical planning and often policy-making.
Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
Experiential Futures
The design of an experiential scenario, intended to provide a
tangible means of interacting with a possible future scenario.
Ref: Stuart Candy, Jake Dunagan;
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/303815839_Designing_an_Experiential_Scenario_The_People_Who_Vanish
ed
Ethnographi
c_Experient
ial_Futures
Visioning via Incasting
Incasting refers to projections or creations built
within an existing frame of reference, thinking up the
specific details of a possible future based on a more
general scenario description.
Artifacts like Images of the Future are one of many
possible outcomes of this process.
Ref: Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/tools/inclassic.shtml
Ethnographic Experiential Futures
Ethnographic Experiential Futures, or EXF, is a
design-driven, hybrid approach to Foresight aimed
at increasing the accessibility, variety and
depth of available images of the future.*
https://futuryst.blogspot.com/2017/06/ethnographic-experiential-futures.html
EXF Field Guides
Developed by Stuart Candy and Kelly Kornet.
Stuart Candy is an Experiential Futurist,
Director of the CMU SitLab, and Associate
Professor at the CMU School of Design
Stuart Candy - Speculative Design and Experiential Futures:
https://www.slideshare.net/futuryst/speculative-design-and-experiential-futures
Kelly Kornet is a Design Researcher & Futurist
Kelly Kornet - Reconstructing Resilience: http://www.reconstructingresilience.ca/?page_id=54
General Scenario Description
In the way of prototyping images of the future, a
narrowed focus on a particular future(s) should
be identified:
Transportation Infrastructure in
Austin; Near-term future, 10-15
years; 2028 - 2033
1 _ Map
2 x 5 min. partner interview sessions
Greyson, Making the Futures Present
“Making the Futures Present” is the prototype of a proposed
personal futures technique that begins by exploring ‘the world out
there’ before ‘the inner world’.
By the end of a three-phase interview cycle each participant
receives a personalized high-fidelity prototype.
That artifact or experience intentionally provokes the
participant’s perception of the expected future.
Ref: Greyson, Amy Helen Margaret (2017) Making the Futures Present. [MRP]:
http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/1441/
Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures
Chinatown
A futures-oriented community dialogue initiative created by Jake
Dunagan and Stuart Candy which took place in Honolulu.
The centerpiece and culminating event of the project was a community
workshop exploring Chinatown’s past, present, and futures.
To set the stage for this workshop within the community,FoundFutures
worked with multiple teams of designers and artists to create and
execute several distributed installations throughout Chinatown
Ref: Jake Dunagan & Stuart Candy: https://www.scribd.com/doc/298048071/Dunagan-and-Candy-2007-FoundFutures-
Chinatown
Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures
Chinatown
Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures
Chinatown
Textor’s Ethnographic Futures Research
A method invented in 1976 which futures researchers employing a
sociocultural approach can use with a sample of interviewees to
elicit their perceptions and preferences among possible and
probable alternative futures for their society and culture.
EFR is an adaptation of the spirit and method of cultural
anthropology and ethnography to the needs and constraints of
futures research.
Ref: Robert Textor:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222843387_The_ethnographic_futures_research_method_An_application_
to_Thailand
Kornet, Causing an Effect
A futures exhibition and research project that draws from
individual foresight, design research, and design fiction to build
understanding for activists working in future-minded ways.
The research aims to generate images of the future, give voice and
build empathy for activists, and create a space for strategic
conversation around the future of North American industrial
communities.
Ref: Kelly Kornet: https://issuu.com/kellykornet7/docs/kelly_kornet_causinganeffect_mrp_ap
Kornet, Causing an Effect
2 _ Multiply
2 x 3 min. partner interview sessions
Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory,
1-888- FUTURES
1-888-FUTURES is a service that takes a future dream, vision or
problem, renders it tangible as a “future present”, and delivers
it to a specific individual.
Ref: Extrapolation Factory & Situation Lab: http://1888futures.com/
Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory,
1-888- FUTURES
Greyson, Making the Futures Present
Kornet, Causing an Effect
3 _ Mediate
20 min. to prototype
move from Setting
(scenario concept)
→
Scenario (particular
hypothetical)
→
ideas for 1:1 scale
Situations or Artifacts
Think about
prototyping
something
experiential
Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory,
1-888- FUTURES
Kornet, Causing an Effect
Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures
Chinatown
Greyson, Making the Futures Present
4 _ Mount
10 min. to discuss approaches
Kornet, Causing an Effect
Greyson, Making the Futures Present
Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures
Chinatown
Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory,
1-888- FUTURES
5 _ Map
5 min. to discuss
Kornet, Causing an Effect
Greyson, Making the Futures Present
Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures
Chinatown
Group_Debri
ef
Discuss (⅓)
This (as with other forms of Design praxis) is a methodology that
can be applied to an identified problem utilizing a set nuanced of
tools and techniques.
Share what you created.
Let’s relate this to Design and Design Research.
Discuss (⅔)
May seem fantastical; but is based in logic and people and their
mental models
This fringe area is based in logic and everyday life/reality
Discuss (3/3)
Would you disseminate these artifacts into the world?
If so - How?
If you put it out - you’d observe people’s reactions - what kind
of reactions would you want to get?
Adam Zeiner
@_dezein
itsdezein@gmail.com
Tyler McCoy
@tyleryoga
Avenues to get involved
www.meetup.com/ATX-Speculative-Futures
Speculative Futures Meetup - Austin
www.futures.design
Design Futures Initiative
www.primerconference.com
PRIMER Speculative Design & Foresight Conference
possibly of interest
http://superflux.in/index.php/cartographies-of-imagination/#
Superflux - MAPLAB: Cartographies of Imagination
https://www.media.mit.edu/projects/mod/overview/
MIT Media Lab - City Science: Mobility On-Demand
https://civicsmart.city/
Emerson College - Engagement Lab: Making a Civic Smart City
https://engineering.nyu.edu/research-innovation/centers-and-institutes/connected-cities-smart-
mobility-towards-accessible-and
NYU - C2SMART: Connected Cities for Smart Mobility
http://www.slate.com/articles/podcasts/secret_history_of_the_future/2018/09/from_horseless_carria
ges_to_autonomous_cars.html
Secret History of the Future: The Fault in Our Cars
https://www.wired.com/story/scooters-cities-fees-mobility/?mc_cid=3be8a5cb46&mc_eid=58be77e1c7
MILKING SCOOTERS FOR CASH HELPS CITIES BUILD FOR THE FUTURE
into_the_fu
ture

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Prototyping Images of the Future _ Austin Design Week '18

  • 2. Prototyping Images of the Future 8:30 - 8:40 Arrive & Settle In 8:40 - 8:50 Introductions & Overview 8:50 - 9:45 Guided EXF Field Guide Activities 9:45 - 10:00 Group Debrief
  • 4. Workshop Design & Facilitation Adam Zeiner @_dezein With assistance from Tyler McCoy @tyleryoga Special thanks for initial feedback to Jake Dunagan @dunagan23
  • 5. Avenues to get involved www.meetup.com/ATX-Speculative-Futures Speculative Futures Meetup - Austin www.futures.design Design Futures Initiative www.primerconference.com PRIMER Speculative Design & Foresight Conference
  • 7. "Optimism is a strategy for making a better future. Because unless you believe that the future can be better, you are unlikely to step up and take responsibility for making it so." - Noam Chomsky
  • 8. Why Images of the Future? This is meant to serve as a tangible means of thinking critically about the future, both in terms of what it could be and what we want it to be.
  • 9. Why Images of the Future? The intersection of Design and Futures produces artifacts, applications and interactions intended to provoke dialog in an accessible manner. Ref: Aisling Kelliher, Daragh Byrne; https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714001980#!
  • 10. Why Images of the Future? Images of the Future, whether they are vision statements or scenario forecasts, inspiring or terrifying, can have profound impacts on the goals we envision and on the strategies we adopt. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; www.visionforesightstrategy.com
  • 11. Preferred Futures Moving from Foresight (a means of understanding and anticipating change in society) towards Aspiration (moving beyond exploring what could happen to reconsidering what you want to see happen).
  • 12. Preferred Futures Moving from Foresight (a means of understanding and anticipating change in society) towards Aspiration (moving beyond exploring what could happen to reconsidering what you want to see happen). Aspiration is the realm of what we call “preferred futures” Preferred Futures involves rethinking what we want as a “vision” based in part on new insights and inspiration we’re generating. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; www.visionforesightstrategy.com
  • 14. Foresight Foresight is best understood as insight into how and why the future might be different from today. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; https://www.visionforesightstrategy.com/foresight
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Speculative Design (⅓) Speculative Design is a discursive practice, based on critical thinking and dialogue, which questions the practice of design. Ref: Ivica Mitrović; http://speculative.hr/en/introduction-to-speculative-design-practice/
  • 18. Speculative Design (⅔) We use Speculative Design to describe work that uses design (products, services, scenarios) to address challenges and opportunities of the future. We tend to look 5-10+ years forward and speculate on how things could be and what future we want or don’t want based on these scenarios. Ref: Phil Balagtas; https://blog.optimalworkshop.com/what-is-speculative-design
  • 19. Speculative Design (3/3) However, Speculative Design as an approach can take this critical practice one step further, towards imagination and visions of possible scenarios. Speculative design is also one of the most representative examples of the new interaction between various disciplines. Ref: Ivica Mitrović; http://speculative.hr/en/introduction-to-speculative-design-practice/
  • 20. Ref: Elliott P. Montgomery; https://twitter.com/EPMID/status/962039029997817858
  • 21. Futures Studies Futures studies is an academic field that is concerned with understanding and anticipating change in society… in order to help others conceive and pursue more desirable futures. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; https://www.visionforesightstrategy.com/foresight
  • 22. Futures Research (⅓) Futures researchers track technical innovations, value shifts, geopolitical tides, environmental perturbations, economic developments, demographic patterns, and other trends of change. Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
  • 23. Futures Research (⅔) From data generated they create scenarios of possible alternative futures, which are then used as contingencies within strategic planning. Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
  • 24. Futures Research (3/3) Working as facilitators, futures researchers can help communities and organizations envision their preferred futures and compare those visions with current trends & scenarios of possible futures. The process leads to practical planning and often policy-making. Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
  • 25. Experiential Futures The design of an experiential scenario, intended to provide a tangible means of interacting with a possible future scenario. Ref: Stuart Candy, Jake Dunagan; https://www.researchgate.net/publication/303815839_Designing_an_Experiential_Scenario_The_People_Who_Vanish ed
  • 27.
  • 28. Visioning via Incasting Incasting refers to projections or creations built within an existing frame of reference, thinking up the specific details of a possible future based on a more general scenario description. Artifacts like Images of the Future are one of many possible outcomes of this process. Ref: Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/tools/inclassic.shtml
  • 29. Ethnographic Experiential Futures Ethnographic Experiential Futures, or EXF, is a design-driven, hybrid approach to Foresight aimed at increasing the accessibility, variety and depth of available images of the future.* https://futuryst.blogspot.com/2017/06/ethnographic-experiential-futures.html
  • 30. EXF Field Guides Developed by Stuart Candy and Kelly Kornet. Stuart Candy is an Experiential Futurist, Director of the CMU SitLab, and Associate Professor at the CMU School of Design Stuart Candy - Speculative Design and Experiential Futures: https://www.slideshare.net/futuryst/speculative-design-and-experiential-futures Kelly Kornet is a Design Researcher & Futurist Kelly Kornet - Reconstructing Resilience: http://www.reconstructingresilience.ca/?page_id=54
  • 31. General Scenario Description In the way of prototyping images of the future, a narrowed focus on a particular future(s) should be identified: Transportation Infrastructure in Austin; Near-term future, 10-15 years; 2028 - 2033
  • 32. 1 _ Map 2 x 5 min. partner interview sessions
  • 33. Greyson, Making the Futures Present “Making the Futures Present” is the prototype of a proposed personal futures technique that begins by exploring ‘the world out there’ before ‘the inner world’. By the end of a three-phase interview cycle each participant receives a personalized high-fidelity prototype. That artifact or experience intentionally provokes the participant’s perception of the expected future. Ref: Greyson, Amy Helen Margaret (2017) Making the Futures Present. [MRP]: http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/1441/
  • 34. Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown A futures-oriented community dialogue initiative created by Jake Dunagan and Stuart Candy which took place in Honolulu. The centerpiece and culminating event of the project was a community workshop exploring Chinatown’s past, present, and futures. To set the stage for this workshop within the community,FoundFutures worked with multiple teams of designers and artists to create and execute several distributed installations throughout Chinatown Ref: Jake Dunagan & Stuart Candy: https://www.scribd.com/doc/298048071/Dunagan-and-Candy-2007-FoundFutures- Chinatown
  • 35. Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown
  • 36. Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown
  • 37. Textor’s Ethnographic Futures Research A method invented in 1976 which futures researchers employing a sociocultural approach can use with a sample of interviewees to elicit their perceptions and preferences among possible and probable alternative futures for their society and culture. EFR is an adaptation of the spirit and method of cultural anthropology and ethnography to the needs and constraints of futures research. Ref: Robert Textor: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222843387_The_ethnographic_futures_research_method_An_application_ to_Thailand
  • 38. Kornet, Causing an Effect A futures exhibition and research project that draws from individual foresight, design research, and design fiction to build understanding for activists working in future-minded ways. The research aims to generate images of the future, give voice and build empathy for activists, and create a space for strategic conversation around the future of North American industrial communities. Ref: Kelly Kornet: https://issuu.com/kellykornet7/docs/kelly_kornet_causinganeffect_mrp_ap
  • 40. 2 _ Multiply 2 x 3 min. partner interview sessions
  • 41. Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory, 1-888- FUTURES 1-888-FUTURES is a service that takes a future dream, vision or problem, renders it tangible as a “future present”, and delivers it to a specific individual. Ref: Extrapolation Factory & Situation Lab: http://1888futures.com/
  • 43. Greyson, Making the Futures Present Kornet, Causing an Effect
  • 44. 3 _ Mediate 20 min. to prototype
  • 45. move from Setting (scenario concept) → Scenario (particular hypothetical) → ideas for 1:1 scale Situations or Artifacts
  • 47.
  • 48. Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory, 1-888- FUTURES Kornet, Causing an Effect Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown Greyson, Making the Futures Present
  • 49. 4 _ Mount 10 min. to discuss approaches
  • 50. Kornet, Causing an Effect Greyson, Making the Futures Present Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory, 1-888- FUTURES
  • 51. 5 _ Map 5 min. to discuss
  • 52. Kornet, Causing an Effect Greyson, Making the Futures Present Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown
  • 54. Discuss (⅓) This (as with other forms of Design praxis) is a methodology that can be applied to an identified problem utilizing a set nuanced of tools and techniques. Share what you created. Let’s relate this to Design and Design Research.
  • 55. Discuss (⅔) May seem fantastical; but is based in logic and people and their mental models This fringe area is based in logic and everyday life/reality
  • 56. Discuss (3/3) Would you disseminate these artifacts into the world? If so - How? If you put it out - you’d observe people’s reactions - what kind of reactions would you want to get?
  • 58. Avenues to get involved www.meetup.com/ATX-Speculative-Futures Speculative Futures Meetup - Austin www.futures.design Design Futures Initiative www.primerconference.com PRIMER Speculative Design & Foresight Conference
  • 59. possibly of interest http://superflux.in/index.php/cartographies-of-imagination/# Superflux - MAPLAB: Cartographies of Imagination https://www.media.mit.edu/projects/mod/overview/ MIT Media Lab - City Science: Mobility On-Demand https://civicsmart.city/ Emerson College - Engagement Lab: Making a Civic Smart City https://engineering.nyu.edu/research-innovation/centers-and-institutes/connected-cities-smart- mobility-towards-accessible-and NYU - C2SMART: Connected Cities for Smart Mobility http://www.slate.com/articles/podcasts/secret_history_of_the_future/2018/09/from_horseless_carria ges_to_autonomous_cars.html Secret History of the Future: The Fault in Our Cars https://www.wired.com/story/scooters-cities-fees-mobility/?mc_cid=3be8a5cb46&mc_eid=58be77e1c7 MILKING SCOOTERS FOR CASH HELPS CITIES BUILD FOR THE FUTURE

Notas do Editor

  1. Bake the Learning Objectives into the Agenda
  2. Bake the Learning Objectives into the Agenda
  3. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714001980
  4. We will provide the existing frame of reference and the general scenario description
  5. This is meant to focus on an individual, group, community, or culture whose images of the future you’re interested in understanding, surfacing, or deepening.
  6. http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/1441/, http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/1441/7/Greyson_Amy_2016_MDes_SFI_MRP.pdf
  7. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222843387_The_ethnographic_futures_research_method_An_application_to_Thailand, https://books.google.com/books/about/A_Handbook_on_Ethnographic_Futures_Resea.html?id=eehtAAAAMAAJ, https://oac.cdlib.org/findaid/ark:/13030/kt3b69r9d5/entire_text/, https://anthrosource.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/an.1989.30.8.1.1
  8. https://issuu.com/kellykornet7/docs/kelly_kornet_causinganeffect_mrp_ap, http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/257/, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305816905_Causing_an_Effect_Activists_Uncertainty_and_Images_of_the_Future
  9. https://issuu.com/kellykornet7/docs/kelly_kornet_causinganeffect_mrp_ap, http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/257/
  10. http://1888futures.com/
  11. http://1888futures.com/