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Trading-Area Analysis
Location, Location, Location
 Criteria to consider include
population size and traits
competition
transportation access
parking availability
nature of nearby stores
property costs
length of agreement
legal restrictions
2
Choosing a Store Location
Step 1: Evaluate alternate geographic (trading)
areas in terms of residents and existing retailers
Step 3: Select the location type
Step 2: Determine whether to locate as an
isolated store or in a planned shopping center
Step 4: Analyze alternate sites contained in the
specific retail location type
3
Trading-Area Analysis
A trading-area is a
geographic area
containing the
customers of a
particular firm or group
of firms for specific
goods or services.
4
Benefits of Trading-Area Analysis
 Discovery of
consumer
demographics and
socioeconomic
characteristics
 Opportunity to
determine focus of
promotional activities
 Opportunity to view
media coverage
patterns
 Assessment of effects
of trading area overlap
 Ascertain whether
chain’s competitors will
open nearby
 Discovery of ideal
number of outlets,
geographic
weaknesses
 Review of other issues
(e.g. transportation)
5
The Trading-Areas of Current and Proposed
Outlets
6
GIS Software
 Geographic Information Systems
 Digitized mapping with key location-
specific data used to graphically depict
trading-area characteristics such as
 population demographics
 data on customer purchases
 listings of current, proposed, and competitor
locations
7
GIS Software in Action
8
GIS Software in Action
9
GIS Software in Action
10
GIS Software in Action
11
The Segments of a Trading-Area
12
Delineating Trading-Area Segments
13
The Size and Shape of Trading-Areas
 Primary trading-area
 50-80% of a store’s customers
 Secondary trading-area
 15-25% of a store’s customers
 Fringe trading-area
 all remaining customers
14
Destination Versus Parasite Stores
 Destination
stores have a better
assortment,
promotion, and
image.
 They generate
trading-areas much
larger than
competitors.
 Dunkin’ Donuts: “It’s
worth the trip!”
 Parasite stores do
not create their own
traffic and have no real
trading-area of their
own.
 These stores depend
on people who are
drawn to area for other
reasons.
15
Trading Areas and Store Types
Largest
TRADING
AREAS
Smallest
Department stores
Supermarkets
Apparel stores
Gift stores
Convenience stores
16
The Trading-Area of a New Store
Different tools must be used when an area
is evaluated in terms of opportunities
rather than current patronage and traffic
patterns:
 Trend analysis
 Consumer surveys
 Computerized trading-area analysis models
17
Computerized Trading-Area Analysis Models
Analog Model
Regression Model
Gravity Model
18
Reilly’s Law
Reilly’s law of retail gravitation—a
traditional means of trading-area
delineation—establishes a point of
indifference between two cities or
communities so that the trading-area of
each can be determined.
19
Limitations of Reilly’s Law
 Distance is only measured by major
thoroughfares; some people will travel
shorter distances along cross streets.
 Travel time does not reflect distance
traveled. Many people are more
concerned with time traveled than with
distance.
 Actual distance may not correspond with
perceptions of distance.
20
Huff’s Law
Huff’s law of shopper attraction delineates
trading-areas on the basis of product
assortment at various shopping locations,
travel times from the shopper’s home to
alternative locations, and the sensitivity of
the kind of shopping to travel time.
21
Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail
Trading-Areas
 Total size and
density
 Age distribution
 Average
educational level
 Percentage of
residents owning
homes
 Total disposable
income
 Per-capita
disposable income
 Occupation
distribution
 Trends
Population Size and Characteristics
22
Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail
Trading-Areas
 Management
 Management trainees
 Clerical
Availability of Labor
23
Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail
Trading-Areas
 Delivery costs
 Timeliness
 Number of
manufacturers
 Number of
wholesalers
 Availability of
product lines
 Reliability of
product lines
Closeness to Sources of Supply
24
Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail
Trading-Areas
 Dominant
industry
 Extent of
diversification
 Growth
projections
 Freedom from
economic and
seasonal
fluctuations
 Availability of
credit and
financial facilities
Economic Base
25
Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail
Trading-Areas
 Number and size
of existing
competition
 Evaluation of
competitor
strengths and
weaknesses
 Short- and long-
run outlook
 Level of saturation
Competitive Situation
26
Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail
Trading-Areas
 Number and type
of store locations
 Access to
transportation
 Owning versus
leasing
opportunities
 Zoning
restrictions
 Costs
Availability of Store Locations
27
Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail
Trading-Areas
 Taxes
 Licensing
 Operations
 Minimum wages
 Zoning
Regulations
28
Elements in Trading-Area Selection
Population
Characteristics
Economic Base
Characteristics
Nature and Saturation
of Competition
29

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Trading area analysis

  • 2. Location, Location, Location  Criteria to consider include population size and traits competition transportation access parking availability nature of nearby stores property costs length of agreement legal restrictions 2
  • 3. Choosing a Store Location Step 1: Evaluate alternate geographic (trading) areas in terms of residents and existing retailers Step 3: Select the location type Step 2: Determine whether to locate as an isolated store or in a planned shopping center Step 4: Analyze alternate sites contained in the specific retail location type 3
  • 4. Trading-Area Analysis A trading-area is a geographic area containing the customers of a particular firm or group of firms for specific goods or services. 4
  • 5. Benefits of Trading-Area Analysis  Discovery of consumer demographics and socioeconomic characteristics  Opportunity to determine focus of promotional activities  Opportunity to view media coverage patterns  Assessment of effects of trading area overlap  Ascertain whether chain’s competitors will open nearby  Discovery of ideal number of outlets, geographic weaknesses  Review of other issues (e.g. transportation) 5
  • 6. The Trading-Areas of Current and Proposed Outlets 6
  • 7. GIS Software  Geographic Information Systems  Digitized mapping with key location- specific data used to graphically depict trading-area characteristics such as  population demographics  data on customer purchases  listings of current, proposed, and competitor locations 7
  • 8. GIS Software in Action 8
  • 9. GIS Software in Action 9
  • 10. GIS Software in Action 10
  • 11. GIS Software in Action 11
  • 12. The Segments of a Trading-Area 12
  • 14. The Size and Shape of Trading-Areas  Primary trading-area  50-80% of a store’s customers  Secondary trading-area  15-25% of a store’s customers  Fringe trading-area  all remaining customers 14
  • 15. Destination Versus Parasite Stores  Destination stores have a better assortment, promotion, and image.  They generate trading-areas much larger than competitors.  Dunkin’ Donuts: “It’s worth the trip!”  Parasite stores do not create their own traffic and have no real trading-area of their own.  These stores depend on people who are drawn to area for other reasons. 15
  • 16. Trading Areas and Store Types Largest TRADING AREAS Smallest Department stores Supermarkets Apparel stores Gift stores Convenience stores 16
  • 17. The Trading-Area of a New Store Different tools must be used when an area is evaluated in terms of opportunities rather than current patronage and traffic patterns:  Trend analysis  Consumer surveys  Computerized trading-area analysis models 17
  • 18. Computerized Trading-Area Analysis Models Analog Model Regression Model Gravity Model 18
  • 19. Reilly’s Law Reilly’s law of retail gravitation—a traditional means of trading-area delineation—establishes a point of indifference between two cities or communities so that the trading-area of each can be determined. 19
  • 20. Limitations of Reilly’s Law  Distance is only measured by major thoroughfares; some people will travel shorter distances along cross streets.  Travel time does not reflect distance traveled. Many people are more concerned with time traveled than with distance.  Actual distance may not correspond with perceptions of distance. 20
  • 21. Huff’s Law Huff’s law of shopper attraction delineates trading-areas on the basis of product assortment at various shopping locations, travel times from the shopper’s home to alternative locations, and the sensitivity of the kind of shopping to travel time. 21
  • 22. Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail Trading-Areas  Total size and density  Age distribution  Average educational level  Percentage of residents owning homes  Total disposable income  Per-capita disposable income  Occupation distribution  Trends Population Size and Characteristics 22
  • 23. Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail Trading-Areas  Management  Management trainees  Clerical Availability of Labor 23
  • 24. Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail Trading-Areas  Delivery costs  Timeliness  Number of manufacturers  Number of wholesalers  Availability of product lines  Reliability of product lines Closeness to Sources of Supply 24
  • 25. Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail Trading-Areas  Dominant industry  Extent of diversification  Growth projections  Freedom from economic and seasonal fluctuations  Availability of credit and financial facilities Economic Base 25
  • 26. Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail Trading-Areas  Number and size of existing competition  Evaluation of competitor strengths and weaknesses  Short- and long- run outlook  Level of saturation Competitive Situation 26
  • 27. Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail Trading-Areas  Number and type of store locations  Access to transportation  Owning versus leasing opportunities  Zoning restrictions  Costs Availability of Store Locations 27
  • 28. Chief Factors to Consider in Evaluating Retail Trading-Areas  Taxes  Licensing  Operations  Minimum wages  Zoning Regulations 28
  • 29. Elements in Trading-Area Selection Population Characteristics Economic Base Characteristics Nature and Saturation of Competition 29