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WAVE 5 INNOVATION:
Looking “Inside Out” & “Outside In”
to Change the Game

October 14, 2013
Ralph Blessing, Executive VP, GfK Innovation
What Are Category Disruptions You Admire??
(No Apple or Facebook Mentions)
What were they thinking?

© GfK 2013

3
What were they thinking?

© GfK 2013

4
What were they thinking?

© GfK 2013

5
What were they thinking?

© GfK 2013

6
…..

Some Disruptions

© GfK 2013

7
“The

things we fear most in organizations –
fluctuations, disturbances, imbalances –
are the primary sources of creativity.”
~ Margaret J. Wheatley

"The achievement of excellence can only occur
if the organization promotes a culture of
creative dis-satisfaction.”
~ Lawrence Miller
SERTA	
  versus	
  TEMPUR-­‐PEDIC	
  	
  
A	
  Case	
  Study	
  

CONFIDENTIAL
Key Serta iComfort Strategies

•  Key Point of Difference is cooling gel – some consumers complain that memory
foam gets too hot
•  Positioned as ‘next generation’ memory foam
•  Focus on in-store materials (very beautiful displays)
and co-op advertising with retailers
•  Priced a few hundred dollars less than
Tempur-Pedic
•  Branding emphasized iComfort vs. Serta

© GfK 2013

10
Some iComfort Materials

© GfK 2013

11
Tempur-Pedic Slow to Initially React

Tempur-Pedic Stock

iComfort
Launch

© GfK 2013

12
Agenda

© GfK 2013

13
Can’t Rely On Risk Adverse, Short Term Thinking

“If you're not failing every now and again, it's a sign
you're not doing anything very innovative.”
~Woody Allen

Don't worry about people stealing your ideas. If your ideas
are any good, you'll have to ram them down people's throats.
~ Howard Aiken

© GfK 2013

14
Wave 5 Innovation
A Definition

Innovation that

BREAKS OUT
of existing category definitions or paradigms:

[
[

Often borrowing news from other categories/services

]

Creating solutions for specific user groups and/or occasions

© GfK 2013

]
15
5 Waves of Innovation – All Are Important!

Wave 5

Wave 4

Fusion of core with secondary needs

Wave 3

Fusion of core needs (ex. Taste + Health)

Wave 2

More advanced expressions of core needs

Wave 1

© GfK 2013

Creating new category definitions

Meeting basic core needs
16
Customer / Consumer Buy Benefits

Customers are Driven by Four Overarching Motivators (Core Drivers)
Safety

Wellbeing

Gratification

Freedom

Peace of mind that I,
my loved ones and
the planet will be safe
from harm.

Feeling good emotionally, physically,
socially and
financially.

Enjoyment of a
product or service;
pride of ownership.
“I’m worth it.”

Saving time, energy,
or money frees us up
for other things.

Each core driver can be dimensionalized
The importance of each dimension/sub-dimension varies by category
© GfK 2013

17
Key Principle – Evolving Needs
Looking at today's needs isn't good enough – you need a future projection
of what is going to emerge as a longer term need/ benefit space

Future needs
evolving here

Current needs &
messaging here

Safety
© GfK 2013

Wellbeing

Gratification

Freedom
18
A Model of Need State Evolution
Categories evolve in waves based on customer needs, with core needs
being addressed before secondary needs

Wave 5
Wave 4

Advancing
Dimensions
of Security

Wave 3

Disruptive!

Wave 2

Wave 1
© GfK 2013

Fusion	
  
Opportunity	
  
Tomorrow	
  

Advancing
Dimensions of
Convenience

Category	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
Today	
  

Basic Security

Basic
Wellbeing

Basic
Gratification

Basic Freedom

19
Fusion of Needs – Oral Care
Whitening (Gratification) + Health (Well Being)

Wave 4

Fusion

Wave 5
Advancing
Dimensions
of Security

Wave 3

Advancing
Dimensions of
Convenience

Well	
  Being	
  +	
  GraEficaEon
	
  
(enamel	
  health	
  +	
  whitening)
	
  

Wave 2

Wave 1
© GfK 2013

Basic Security

Basic
Wellbeing

Basic
Gratification

Basic Freedom

20
Moving to Wave 5
New Category Definition

Wave 4

Fusion

Wave 5
Advancing
Dimensions
of Security

Wave 3

Advancing
Dimensions of
Convenience

Well	
  Being	
  +	
  GraEficaEon
	
  
(enamel	
  health	
  +	
  whitening)
	
  

Wave 2

Wave 1
© GfK 2013

Basic Security

Basic
Wellbeing

Basic
Gratification

Basic Freedom

21
Outside-In Perspective
From Around the Globe

Patches, adhesives, kits, strips, professional care…
Tracking news across categories, countries and time identifies
innovation that is being seeded with customers
© GfK 2013

22
The Approach in Action

How did Coppertone find a

disruptive innovation
that significantly altered sun
care?
© GfK 2013

23
The Approach in Action
Sunscreen evolution driven by Well Being – higher and better SPF

100	
  

???	
  

90	
  

30	
  

45	
  

50	
  

15	
  
4	
  

What comes next?
24

© GfK 2013

24
The Approach in Action
Secondary need states were overlooked; sunscreen was underdeveloped in
the other drivers, particularly Convenience...

Hard	
  to	
  Apply	
  

© GfK 2013

Hard	
  to	
  Reach	
  

Messy	
  

“Future
Opportunity”

25
The Approach in Action
Looking “outside-in” for inspiration:

Sun
Protection

© GfK 2013

26
The work enabled Coppertone to start a
Continuous Spray category revolution

Easy application – spray at any angle, no-rub
Convenient twist to close – no cap to lose
On-going protection – waterproof & sweat proof
Don’t Forget Timing
Wishbone bought Salad Spritzers in 2006; Newman's Own and others
soon followed with their own “spritzer” versions

Before its Time:

1988
© GfK 2013

At the Right Time:

2006
28
Don’t Forget Timing

Before its Time:
Avert Virucidal Tissues
by Kleenex

Kleenex Anti-Viral
Tissues

1984	
  

© GfK 2013

At the Right Time:

2004	
  

29
Don’t Forget Timing
The Electric Car
Re-launch at the Right Time?

1913	
  	
  
1961	
  	
  
Thomas	
  Edison	
  with	
  the	
   Henney	
  Kilowa4	
  	
  
Detroit	
  Electric	
  Car	
  
(Failed;	
  no	
  interest)	
  
	
  
© GfK 2013

2012	
  	
  
Tesla	
  

30
Testing of Ideas “That Don’t Exist”
1.  Standard approaches and modeling just don’t work very well
2.  We find you have to:
-  Look at “Leading Edge Consumers” for the ‘category
-  Place more weight on uniqueness and less on believability or top box
purchase interest
-  Often we test unpriced early in the development
-  Do NOT include super ‘finished’ visuals. May test via an animatic or
video vs. 2-D board
-  Map through diagnostics where the idea is delivering on benefit
framework – how strong is the communication of new/fused benefits

© GfK 2013

31
Lessons from GfK’s Leading Edge Consumers
The future is here, if you know where to look

“Leading

edge consumers are
most likely to shape the future
— those that are early buyers,
who are passionate about the
category, and/or influence
others in the category”
We have found that this group
of pioneers helps us predict the
later direction of the majority.

© GfK 2013

32
Connecting ALL the dots to provide FORESIGHT

OBSERVING CHANGING
PATTERNS

White
Spaces
IDENTIFYING
PRIORITY CONSUMERS
and Benefits

TAPPING
OUTSIDE INFLUENCES
© GfK 2013

LINKING

“My
Spaces”

KNOWING
WHEN TO LAUNCH
33
And, don’t forget our greatest tool of all…

© GfK 2013

34
Closing Thoughts and Q & A

1.  Identify how evolved your category is today (through a customer/
consumer lens)
2.  Look for categories / geographies / services that are more ‘evolved’
§  Go ‘outside in’
§  Identify what news is being seeded with customers

3.  Link potential emerging desired benefits with emerging technologies /
news – this can require a very extensive search outside familiar areas
4.  Develop specific innovation strategic platforms that can guide
innovation short and longer term
—  Use as a springboard for ideation

5.  Ironically – seeking Wave 5 identifies better Wave 2-4 ideas!
© GfK 2013

35
Wave	
  5	
  InnovaEon…	
  
SomeEmes,	
  You	
  	
  Have	
  to	
  
Swing	
  For	
  The	
  Fences!	
  
"Security	
  is	
  mostly	
  a	
  supersEEon.	
  
Life	
  is	
  either	
  a	
  daring	
  adventure	
  or	
  
nothing."	
  	
  
~	
  Helen	
  Keller	
  
Thank You.

Ralph Blessing, Executive VP, GfK
ralph.blessing@gfk.com

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Market Research SIG: Research for Products that Don't Yet Exist

  • 1. WAVE 5 INNOVATION: Looking “Inside Out” & “Outside In” to Change the Game October 14, 2013 Ralph Blessing, Executive VP, GfK Innovation
  • 2. What Are Category Disruptions You Admire?? (No Apple or Facebook Mentions)
  • 3. What were they thinking? © GfK 2013 3
  • 4. What were they thinking? © GfK 2013 4
  • 5. What were they thinking? © GfK 2013 5
  • 6. What were they thinking? © GfK 2013 6
  • 8. “The things we fear most in organizations – fluctuations, disturbances, imbalances – are the primary sources of creativity.” ~ Margaret J. Wheatley "The achievement of excellence can only occur if the organization promotes a culture of creative dis-satisfaction.” ~ Lawrence Miller
  • 9. SERTA  versus  TEMPUR-­‐PEDIC     A  Case  Study   CONFIDENTIAL
  • 10. Key Serta iComfort Strategies •  Key Point of Difference is cooling gel – some consumers complain that memory foam gets too hot •  Positioned as ‘next generation’ memory foam •  Focus on in-store materials (very beautiful displays) and co-op advertising with retailers •  Priced a few hundred dollars less than Tempur-Pedic •  Branding emphasized iComfort vs. Serta © GfK 2013 10
  • 12. Tempur-Pedic Slow to Initially React Tempur-Pedic Stock iComfort Launch © GfK 2013 12
  • 14. Can’t Rely On Risk Adverse, Short Term Thinking “If you're not failing every now and again, it's a sign you're not doing anything very innovative.” ~Woody Allen Don't worry about people stealing your ideas. If your ideas are any good, you'll have to ram them down people's throats. ~ Howard Aiken © GfK 2013 14
  • 15. Wave 5 Innovation A Definition Innovation that BREAKS OUT of existing category definitions or paradigms: [ [ Often borrowing news from other categories/services ] Creating solutions for specific user groups and/or occasions © GfK 2013 ] 15
  • 16. 5 Waves of Innovation – All Are Important! Wave 5 Wave 4 Fusion of core with secondary needs Wave 3 Fusion of core needs (ex. Taste + Health) Wave 2 More advanced expressions of core needs Wave 1 © GfK 2013 Creating new category definitions Meeting basic core needs 16
  • 17. Customer / Consumer Buy Benefits Customers are Driven by Four Overarching Motivators (Core Drivers) Safety Wellbeing Gratification Freedom Peace of mind that I, my loved ones and the planet will be safe from harm. Feeling good emotionally, physically, socially and financially. Enjoyment of a product or service; pride of ownership. “I’m worth it.” Saving time, energy, or money frees us up for other things. Each core driver can be dimensionalized The importance of each dimension/sub-dimension varies by category © GfK 2013 17
  • 18. Key Principle – Evolving Needs Looking at today's needs isn't good enough – you need a future projection of what is going to emerge as a longer term need/ benefit space Future needs evolving here Current needs & messaging here Safety © GfK 2013 Wellbeing Gratification Freedom 18
  • 19. A Model of Need State Evolution Categories evolve in waves based on customer needs, with core needs being addressed before secondary needs Wave 5 Wave 4 Advancing Dimensions of Security Wave 3 Disruptive! Wave 2 Wave 1 © GfK 2013 Fusion   Opportunity   Tomorrow   Advancing Dimensions of Convenience Category           Today   Basic Security Basic Wellbeing Basic Gratification Basic Freedom 19
  • 20. Fusion of Needs – Oral Care Whitening (Gratification) + Health (Well Being) Wave 4 Fusion Wave 5 Advancing Dimensions of Security Wave 3 Advancing Dimensions of Convenience Well  Being  +  GraEficaEon   (enamel  health  +  whitening)   Wave 2 Wave 1 © GfK 2013 Basic Security Basic Wellbeing Basic Gratification Basic Freedom 20
  • 21. Moving to Wave 5 New Category Definition Wave 4 Fusion Wave 5 Advancing Dimensions of Security Wave 3 Advancing Dimensions of Convenience Well  Being  +  GraEficaEon   (enamel  health  +  whitening)   Wave 2 Wave 1 © GfK 2013 Basic Security Basic Wellbeing Basic Gratification Basic Freedom 21
  • 22. Outside-In Perspective From Around the Globe Patches, adhesives, kits, strips, professional care… Tracking news across categories, countries and time identifies innovation that is being seeded with customers © GfK 2013 22
  • 23. The Approach in Action How did Coppertone find a disruptive innovation that significantly altered sun care? © GfK 2013 23
  • 24. The Approach in Action Sunscreen evolution driven by Well Being – higher and better SPF 100   ???   90   30   45   50   15   4   What comes next? 24 © GfK 2013 24
  • 25. The Approach in Action Secondary need states were overlooked; sunscreen was underdeveloped in the other drivers, particularly Convenience... Hard  to  Apply   © GfK 2013 Hard  to  Reach   Messy   “Future Opportunity” 25
  • 26. The Approach in Action Looking “outside-in” for inspiration: Sun Protection © GfK 2013 26
  • 27. The work enabled Coppertone to start a Continuous Spray category revolution Easy application – spray at any angle, no-rub Convenient twist to close – no cap to lose On-going protection – waterproof & sweat proof
  • 28. Don’t Forget Timing Wishbone bought Salad Spritzers in 2006; Newman's Own and others soon followed with their own “spritzer” versions Before its Time: 1988 © GfK 2013 At the Right Time: 2006 28
  • 29. Don’t Forget Timing Before its Time: Avert Virucidal Tissues by Kleenex Kleenex Anti-Viral Tissues 1984   © GfK 2013 At the Right Time: 2004   29
  • 30. Don’t Forget Timing The Electric Car Re-launch at the Right Time? 1913     1961     Thomas  Edison  with  the   Henney  Kilowa4     Detroit  Electric  Car   (Failed;  no  interest)     © GfK 2013 2012     Tesla   30
  • 31. Testing of Ideas “That Don’t Exist” 1.  Standard approaches and modeling just don’t work very well 2.  We find you have to: -  Look at “Leading Edge Consumers” for the ‘category -  Place more weight on uniqueness and less on believability or top box purchase interest -  Often we test unpriced early in the development -  Do NOT include super ‘finished’ visuals. May test via an animatic or video vs. 2-D board -  Map through diagnostics where the idea is delivering on benefit framework – how strong is the communication of new/fused benefits © GfK 2013 31
  • 32. Lessons from GfK’s Leading Edge Consumers The future is here, if you know where to look “Leading edge consumers are most likely to shape the future — those that are early buyers, who are passionate about the category, and/or influence others in the category” We have found that this group of pioneers helps us predict the later direction of the majority. © GfK 2013 32
  • 33. Connecting ALL the dots to provide FORESIGHT OBSERVING CHANGING PATTERNS White Spaces IDENTIFYING PRIORITY CONSUMERS and Benefits TAPPING OUTSIDE INFLUENCES © GfK 2013 LINKING “My Spaces” KNOWING WHEN TO LAUNCH 33
  • 34. And, don’t forget our greatest tool of all… © GfK 2013 34
  • 35. Closing Thoughts and Q & A 1.  Identify how evolved your category is today (through a customer/ consumer lens) 2.  Look for categories / geographies / services that are more ‘evolved’ §  Go ‘outside in’ §  Identify what news is being seeded with customers 3.  Link potential emerging desired benefits with emerging technologies / news – this can require a very extensive search outside familiar areas 4.  Develop specific innovation strategic platforms that can guide innovation short and longer term —  Use as a springboard for ideation 5.  Ironically – seeking Wave 5 identifies better Wave 2-4 ideas! © GfK 2013 35
  • 36. Wave  5  InnovaEon…   SomeEmes,  You    Have  to   Swing  For  The  Fences!   "Security  is  mostly  a  supersEEon.   Life  is  either  a  daring  adventure  or   nothing."     ~  Helen  Keller  
  • 37. Thank You. Ralph Blessing, Executive VP, GfK ralph.blessing@gfk.com