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11 th  General Conference of AARINENA 12-14 October 2008, Damascus- Syria  Revisiting CWANA Research Priorities and Needs Assessment  K. Shideed, M. Solh, and I. Hamdan
The Context of Agriculture in NENA and Developing Countries in Dry Areas   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Dry Areas
Natural Scarcity of Water in Dry Areas Actual Renewable Water Resources (ARWR) per capita Total renewable water resources withdrawn (%) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Implications of Water Scarcity on Human Poverty and Access to Food ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Water Poverty Index (WPI) and HDI for non-tropical  dry-area countries Access to water and food in developing countries and countries in transition
Intensity of public agricultural R&D  ( Total public agricultural R&D spending as a percentage of agricultural GDP)   Source: Pardey, P.G., N. Beintema, S. Dehmer, and S. Wood.  2006.  Agricultural Research: A Growing Global Divide? IFPRI, Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators Initiative, Washington D.C. August 2006
Research Intensity in Public Agricultural R&D in Selected CWANA Countries  (Agricultural R&D spending for $100 of Ag GDP)   0.80 2000 Global 2.36 2000 Developed world 0.53 2000 Developing world 0.66 2000 CWANA Region 0.92 2001 Mauritania 0.95 2002 Morocco 1.04 2002 Tunisia 0.17 2000 Sudan 1.70 2000 Eritrea 0.43 2000 Ethiopia 0.53 2003 Syria 2.83 2003 Jordan Research Intensity ($) Year of Data Country
Educational Attainment of Researchers for Selected CWANA Countries 1 3 3 17 47 36 2000 Mauritania 14 18 28 34 55 11 2002 Morocco 20 6 3 70 21 9 2002 Tunisia 17 26 6 33 46 21 2000 Sudan 0.2 1 2 5 36 59 2000 Eritrea 1 5 14 9 32 49 2000 Ethiopia 5 36 26 20 5 75 2003 Syria 5 17 19 33 28 39 2003 Jordan PhD MSc BSc PhD MSc BSc Year of data Country Share of Female (%) Education Attainment (%)
Composition of Ag Research Expenditures, in selected CWANA countries, 2002 (%) 00 (00) 100 (100) 8.1  (8.1) 91.9 (91.9) Mauritania  a   00 (00) 100 (100) 36.4 (36.4) 63.6 (63.6) Morocco  a  00 (00) 100 (100) 26.4 (26.9) 73.6 (73.1) Tunisia  a  8.1 (1.4) 91.7 (98.6) 26.4 (28.4) 65.3 (70.2) Sudan 00 (00) 100 (100)  7.3 (28.9) 92.7 (71.1) Eritrea  a 0.2 (0.3) 99.8 (99.7) 10.8 (10.8) 88.9 (89.0) Ethiopia 0.7 (0.4) 99.3 (99.6) 15.8 (15.9) 83.4 (83.6) Syria 6.4 (3.4) 93.6 (96.6) 47.7 (38.1) 45.8 (58.5) Jordan Total Higher Education Research Institutions Country Private Enterprises Public Agencies
Cereal growth rates in CWANA Countries, 1961 – 2002 ,[object Object],[object Object],Production Growth Rates (%) - 0.9 0.5 3 1.6 3.5 0.4 - 2.3 - 4.7 3.1 0.7 1.4 2.4 1 1.4 3.5 7.6 1 2.6 3. 7 7.7 1.2 2.1 9 7.7 - 1.1 2.9 - 9 - 4 1 6 Afghanistan Algeria Egypt Ethiopia Iran Iraq Jordan Kazakhstan* Kyrgyzistan* Lebanon Libya Mauritania Morocco Oman Pakistan Saudi Arabia Somalia Sudan Syria Tajikistan* Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan* Uzbekistan* Yemen CWANA Region
Grain gap in 30 CWANA countries (excluding Turkey and Kazakhstan) Source: World Bank 1993 Major Challenges of Dry Areas
Methodology of Priority Setting (CWANA): 2002 Exercise- 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methodology of Priority Setting (CWANA): 2002 Exercise- 2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2002 Research Priority: Criteria and Weights (%) Attached in Identifying Priorities 13 21 16 15 35 Total (CWANA) 12 17 19 15 39 Egypt 10 20 20 50 Libya 10 20 30 20 20 Morocco 16 20 14 19 31 Sudan Contribution to Develop. Food Security Resource Conserv. Poverty Alleviation Productivity Country
2002 Research Priority Setting: Importance of Agro-ecologies 49 19 32 Forest 7 29 64 Rangelands 39 10 51 Irrigated 8 7 85 Drylands Low Moderate High Importance (%) Agro-ecologies
Setting Ag. Res Priorities: 2002 Exercise ,[object Object],[object Object],NRM ,[object Object],[object Object],Socioeconomic & Policy  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Animals ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Crops ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Germplasm Management Regional Priorities (in Ranking)  Item
Context of Research Priority Setting   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
High Increases in Food prices Source: Data from FAO 2008 and IMF 2008 . Commodity prices (US$/ton) New trend?
Increased Food Prices: World Bank Weighted Index of Commodity Prices 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (March) FERTILIZER FOOD GRAINS  ENERGY
World Grain Balance: Consumption Exceeds Production Source: USDA
Productivity Growth is Declining: Potential for Increased Food Prices   Source: World Development Report 2008.
ICARDA Vision Improved livelihoods of the resource-poor in the dry areas
ICARDA’s Major Research Programs Biodiversity and Integrated Gene Management Integrated Water and Land Management Diversification and Sustainable Intensification of Production Systems Social, Economic and Policy Research
ICARDA’s Research Programs, the Millennium Development Goals and CGIAR Priorities
The Need for Revisiting Research Priorities for NENA Region- 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Need for Revisiting Research Priorities for NENA Region- 2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Advantages  of A Regional Approach to Research Priority Setting   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Process for Revisiting the Research Priority Setting- 1 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Process of Revisiting the Research Priority Setting- 2
Main Messages and Issues: Resource use efficiency and enabling policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Main Messages and Issues: Sources of Growth and Research Funding ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Main Messages and Issues: Recommendations for Promoting R&D ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Thank You for Your Attention

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Revisiting CWANA Research Priorities & Needs Assessment,Dr. K. Shideed

  • 1. 11 th General Conference of AARINENA 12-14 October 2008, Damascus- Syria Revisiting CWANA Research Priorities and Needs Assessment K. Shideed, M. Solh, and I. Hamdan
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  • 6. Intensity of public agricultural R&D ( Total public agricultural R&D spending as a percentage of agricultural GDP) Source: Pardey, P.G., N. Beintema, S. Dehmer, and S. Wood. 2006. Agricultural Research: A Growing Global Divide? IFPRI, Agricultural Science and Technology Indicators Initiative, Washington D.C. August 2006
  • 7. Research Intensity in Public Agricultural R&D in Selected CWANA Countries (Agricultural R&D spending for $100 of Ag GDP) 0.80 2000 Global 2.36 2000 Developed world 0.53 2000 Developing world 0.66 2000 CWANA Region 0.92 2001 Mauritania 0.95 2002 Morocco 1.04 2002 Tunisia 0.17 2000 Sudan 1.70 2000 Eritrea 0.43 2000 Ethiopia 0.53 2003 Syria 2.83 2003 Jordan Research Intensity ($) Year of Data Country
  • 8. Educational Attainment of Researchers for Selected CWANA Countries 1 3 3 17 47 36 2000 Mauritania 14 18 28 34 55 11 2002 Morocco 20 6 3 70 21 9 2002 Tunisia 17 26 6 33 46 21 2000 Sudan 0.2 1 2 5 36 59 2000 Eritrea 1 5 14 9 32 49 2000 Ethiopia 5 36 26 20 5 75 2003 Syria 5 17 19 33 28 39 2003 Jordan PhD MSc BSc PhD MSc BSc Year of data Country Share of Female (%) Education Attainment (%)
  • 9. Composition of Ag Research Expenditures, in selected CWANA countries, 2002 (%) 00 (00) 100 (100) 8.1 (8.1) 91.9 (91.9) Mauritania a  00 (00) 100 (100) 36.4 (36.4) 63.6 (63.6) Morocco a 00 (00) 100 (100) 26.4 (26.9) 73.6 (73.1) Tunisia a 8.1 (1.4) 91.7 (98.6) 26.4 (28.4) 65.3 (70.2) Sudan 00 (00) 100 (100) 7.3 (28.9) 92.7 (71.1) Eritrea a 0.2 (0.3) 99.8 (99.7) 10.8 (10.8) 88.9 (89.0) Ethiopia 0.7 (0.4) 99.3 (99.6) 15.8 (15.9) 83.4 (83.6) Syria 6.4 (3.4) 93.6 (96.6) 47.7 (38.1) 45.8 (58.5) Jordan Total Higher Education Research Institutions Country Private Enterprises Public Agencies
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  • 11. Grain gap in 30 CWANA countries (excluding Turkey and Kazakhstan) Source: World Bank 1993 Major Challenges of Dry Areas
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  • 14. 2002 Research Priority: Criteria and Weights (%) Attached in Identifying Priorities 13 21 16 15 35 Total (CWANA) 12 17 19 15 39 Egypt 10 20 20 50 Libya 10 20 30 20 20 Morocco 16 20 14 19 31 Sudan Contribution to Develop. Food Security Resource Conserv. Poverty Alleviation Productivity Country
  • 15. 2002 Research Priority Setting: Importance of Agro-ecologies 49 19 32 Forest 7 29 64 Rangelands 39 10 51 Irrigated 8 7 85 Drylands Low Moderate High Importance (%) Agro-ecologies
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  • 18. High Increases in Food prices Source: Data from FAO 2008 and IMF 2008 . Commodity prices (US$/ton) New trend?
  • 19. Increased Food Prices: World Bank Weighted Index of Commodity Prices 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (March) FERTILIZER FOOD GRAINS ENERGY
  • 20. World Grain Balance: Consumption Exceeds Production Source: USDA
  • 21. Productivity Growth is Declining: Potential for Increased Food Prices Source: World Development Report 2008.
  • 22. ICARDA Vision Improved livelihoods of the resource-poor in the dry areas
  • 23. ICARDA’s Major Research Programs Biodiversity and Integrated Gene Management Integrated Water and Land Management Diversification and Sustainable Intensification of Production Systems Social, Economic and Policy Research
  • 24. ICARDA’s Research Programs, the Millennium Development Goals and CGIAR Priorities
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  • 33. Thank You for Your Attention