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Combining Agile &
Lean Startup Practices
Zach Nies
@zachnies
Why am I here today?
Success, but they
weren’t living any
     dream
Discover & promote
the tools that enable
 success while living
     the dream
How I got here
Font Sampler




http://media.kelbymediagroup.com/layersmagazine/images/columns/artoftype/may06/glyph-set.jpg   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Caslon-schriftmusterblatt.jpeg
2,500,000
customers
Vision: Reinvent
 collaboration
Amazing team,
exactly the culture I
dreamed of creating
Great product
One problem:
Bad business
Wasted effort
Why am I doing this?
Live inside the Internet
Building the
wrong things
For the
wrong people
Biggest waste
in our industry
Features Used in a Typical System


Often or always                        Sometimes
used: 20%                                                          Rarely
                                          16%
                                                                    19%



                                                                                       Never
Often
                                                                                        45%
 13%


         Always
           7%
                                                                            Rarely or never
Standish Group Study Reported at XP2002 by Jim Johnson, Chairman             used: 64%
 © 2004 Poppendieck.LLC
!"#$%%&&&'()*+,-**(.//*'012%34--*&+,5'!326
Proven science and
   Lean Startup
     practices
Build the correct
things for the right
      people
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%14-51,913%:;<=;<>;>?6
We have recipies
!"#$%%-,'&+8+#-9+.'145%&+8+%@#+4./A219-/6
!"#$%%&&&'+(2'012%9-B-/1#-4&148*%&-(*-4B+0-*%/+(4.4C%&*D*1.D3-42=%6
EF!.36+*6@04)2G6@04)26H//+.,0-I6J,0'6=KK<D=KKL'66
!"#$%%&&&'01,341/0!.1*'012%.(1)3%6
M-08I6N-,36.,96OC,3!+.6H,94-*'6PQ34-2-6R4154.22+,56PQ#/.+,-9$6P2(4.0-6O!.,5-'6
S##-46@.99/-6T+B-4$6R-.4*1,6P9)0.U1,I6=KK>'6
!"#$%%019-(-"-4'012%(/15*%9.B+9A/.4+(--%.40!+B-%=KKL%KL%=:%+,3419)0+,5D8.,(.,D.3DQ0/.+2'.*#Q6
Which recipe?
Becoming a chef
Gaussian
        distributions




!"#$%%.4Q+B'145%.(*%01,9D2.3%K:;=KK:6
Gaussian
        distributions




!"#$%%.4Q+B'145%.(*%01,9D2.3%K:;=KK:6   !"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%9.,+-/2144+*1,%:=L;<KKV>6
Probabilities
80 / 20
Power laws and Pareto distributions




!"#$%%.4Q+B'145%.(*%01,9D2.3%K:;=KK:6
Other Pareto distributions




!"#$%%.4Q+B'145%.(*%01,9D2.3%K:;=KK:6
Low probability
events have higher
     impact
Possibilities
An example
8’1’’
                                                                                       2’5’’

                                                                                     3.3 x

!"#$%%&&&'3-/-54.#!'01')8%,-&*%#+03)4-5.//-4+-*%!1&.(1)"!.3%?VLL<VL%W!-D&14/9*D3.//-*3D2.,D@)/3.,DN1*-,D.,9D3!-D*!143-*3D2.,D+,D3!-D&14/9DX-DR+,5#+,5D2--3'!32/6
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%Y)4B-3*1,%:<?L:V:<KL6
Bill Gates




 The
Entire
         610 x
Room
99.8 / 1
Business involves
  many Pareto
  distributions
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%B+43)./-C-*--%?;KZK?=?>>6
How do we make
 sense of this?
Plausible   Probable




Unordered   Ordered
Plausible   Probable




Unordered   Ordered
Plausible   Probable




Unordered   Ordered
Plausible           Probable

            S   E
            e   x
            a   e
            r   c
            c   u
            h   t
                e
Unordered           Ordered
Plausible           Probable



              Established
    Startup
               Company


Unordered           Ordered
A little more to
 this at scale
Plausible   Probable




Unordered   Ordered
Plausible                           Probable




Chaotic     Complex   Complicated     Simple



Unordered                           Ordered
Plausible                           Probable




            Complex   Complicated

Chaotic                               Simple




Unordered                           Ordered
Plausible                           Probable



            Complex   Complicated




            Chaotic     Simple




Unordered                           Ordered
The Cynefin Framework
 Complex                                 Complicated
  Cause & Effect is only        Cause & Effect is not
  apparent in                    obvious, understood
  retrospect, and not           through analysis and
  repeatable                            is repeatable

                           Disorder

                                   Cause & Effect is
  Cause & Effect is not          obvious to all and is
  perceivable                             repeatable
 Chaotic                                        Simple
Unordered                                    Ordered
How about an
 example?
Music Industry in 2000 - Napster
 Complex                            Complicated
  Independent              Managing a large tour
  musicians self
  publishing online

                       Disorder
                 Managing a NIN tour


  Major label online
  distribution                   CD distribution
 Chaotic                                  Simple
Unordered                               Ordered
Taking action
Taking Action


      S                     E
      e                     x
      a                     e
      r                     c
      c                     u
      h                     t
                            e
Unordered                       Ordered
Existing Product & Users
Complex                        Complicated




                    Disorder

                                     6




Chaotic                                  Simple
New Product or Users
Complex                      Complicated




                  Disorder
                                 6




Chaotic                              Simple
Search or
Execute?
Where are you?




     M41&,I6W+26[=KKVDKVD;?'6O!.,5-6(C6]-*+5,6[N+,9/-6^10.U1,6;VL:'6X.4#-46O1//+,*I6J,0''6N+,9/-6P9+U1,'66
What to do




Execute




   M41&,I6W+26[=KKVDKVD;?'6O!.,5-6(C6]-*+5,6[N+,9/-6^10.U1,6;VL:'6X.4#-46O1//+,*I6J,0''6N+,9/-6P9+U1,'66
What to do




Execute




   M41&,I6W+26[=KKVDKVD;?'6O!.,5-6(C6]-*+5,6[N+,9/-6^10.U1,6;VL:'6X.4#-46O1//+,*I6J,0''6N+,9/-6P9+U1,'66
Execute
Flow of Value




                                                                                                    Feature to Release
           @3.8-!1/9-46




                                                   R419)036_&,-46




                                                                                      ]-B6W-.26




                                                                                                                         ]-B6W-.26




                                                                                                                                                       6]-BD_#*6




                                                                                                                                                                                       75+%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2)1"(8'%9$):#;.-%
                                           !"#$%                    &#$'()#%                      &#$'()#%%                          &#$'()#%!.%                     &#$'()#%/#$"0%                        &#$'()#%                            &#$'()#%
                                                                     *#+,-.%                      /#$"0%'1%2(336                     *#4#3156#.'6                        '1%/#3#$+#%                       /#3#$+#%                       <166(.,8$'#"%

Product




                                                                                                                                     Features

                                                                                                          Story to Code




                                                                                                                                                                                        *#3,4#)0%=#$6%
                                                       =#$6%                         ?'1)0%/#$"0%                                     ?'1)0%!.%                         ?'1)0%                              ?'1)0%
                                                                       ]-B6`6W-*36




                                                                                                                   *#4%@%=#+'%
                          *#3,4#)0%=#$6%




                                                                                                                                                    2)1"(8'%7A.#)%
                                                     >$8:31-%                              '1%2(33%                                  2)1-)#++%                       B88#5'#"%                           /#3#$+#"%
Delivery
 Team
Idea to Customer


            9$.$-#6#.'%=#$6%




                                                                                                                                 *#3,4#)0%=#$6+%




                                                                                                                                                                                     2)1"(8'%9$):#;.-%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             ?$3#+%@%?(551)'%
                                    ?')$'#-,8%                                                       21)C13,1%                                     *#4#3156#.'%                                           F.$G3#6#.'%                                                 <(+'16#)%




                                                                         2)1"(8'%=#$6%
                                    23$..,.-%                                                        ?'##),.-%                                            @%EB%                                                 a <(+'16#)%                                             ?(88#++%
                                          a >(+,.#++%                                             a B3318$;1.+%                                                         a &#$'()#%                                   a ?$3#+%                                   a H+#)%?$;+I$8;1.%
Portfolio                                  2),1),;#+%                                                                                                                   /#3#$+#+%                               a =#8D.,8$3%
                                                                                                      a =D#6#+%                                                                                                                                                         a /#4#.(#+%
                                            a >("-#'%                                                 a &#$'()#%
                                                                                                    /1$"6$5+%%




                                                                                                                                                   Allocations
                                                                                                                                                    Themes

                                                                                                                         Feature to Release
              @3.8-!1/9-46




                                                        R419)036_&,-46




                                                                                                           ]-B6W-.26




                                                                                                                                                         ]-B6W-.26




                                                                                                                                                                                         6]-BD_#*6




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           75+%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           2)1"(8'%9$):#;.-%
                                                !"#$%                                    &#$'()#%                      &#$'()#%%                                     &#$'()#%!.%                         &#$'()#%/#$"0%                                         &#$'()#%                            &#$'()#%
                                                                                          *#+,-.%                      /#$"0%'1%2(336                                *#4#3156#.'6                            '1%/#3#$+#%                                        /#3#$+#%                       <166(.,8$'#"%

Product




                                                                                                                                                                     Features

                                                                                                                               Story to Code




                                                                                                                                                                                                                            *#3,4#)0%=#$6%
                                                            =#$6%                                         ?'1)0%/#$"0%                                                ?'1)0%!.%                             ?'1)0%                                      ?'1)0%
                                                                                            ]-B6`6W-*36




                                                                                                                                                   *#4%@%=#+'%
                               *#3,4#)0%=#$6%




                                                                                                                                                                                     2)1"(8'%7A.#)%
                                                          >$8:31-%                                              '1%2(33%                                             2)1-)#++%                           B88#5'#"%                                   /#3#$+#"%
Delivery
 Team
Phases hide uncertainty
;6       =6   <6                               :6    >6     ?6    Z6


O!.43-4 6]-*+5,   6@#-06   6   6O19-   6   6H00-#3DW 6
                                                          Big 6bH
                                                         6@C*3-2DW6
    6   66
                                                         Bang!
    ;6                                                          ?6


                                                         >6
             =6

                  <6                               :6
;6       =6   <6                               :6    >6     ?6    Z6


O!.43-4 6]-*+5,   6@#-06   6   6O19-   6   6H00-#3DW 6   6@C*3-2DW6   6bH

  Design
    6   66

  ;6
  Chosen!                                                       ?6


                                                         >6
             =6

                  <6                               :6
Existing Product & Users
Complex                        Complicated




                    Disorder

                                     6




Chaotic                                  Simple
Mitigate uncertainty
  ;%=6                                                                  >6   ?6

O!.43-4 6R41313C#-   6     6H5+/-6T-/-.*-*6   66     6   6      6@C*3-2DW6bH 6
    66

  ;%=6                                                                  >6


                                                             <',%:',6
         <';%:%;6        <'=%:'=6         <'<%:'<6
Mitigate uncertainty
  ;%=6                                                           >6    ?6

O!.43-4 6R41313C#-   6     6H5+/-6T-/-.*-*6   66   6   6   6@C*3-2DW6bH 6
    66

  ;%=6                                                           >6
                                                  Design
         <';%:%;6        <'=%:'=6                Chosen!
                                          <'<%:'<6
                                                    <',%:',6
2-4x ?
Slack


        !"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%>&.%?:KKVVZ=<;6
Search
“Not all those who
 wander are lost



                     J.R.R. Tolkien
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%8/-.40!1*%:>:;KZ=ZKZ6
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%?L;;:ZL;cdK:%?=L?:LLZLZ6
Anthropologist
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%0!)08*+22+,*%=L;VKL?<K<6
“Get out of
the building!”
Steve Blank
“The only valid model of a
  complex system is the
  system itself.


                 Murray Gell-Mann
4 Dots
6 Connections
64 Patterns
10 Dots
45 Connections
? Patterns
Patterns




35,184,372,088,832
In business a few
patterns are more
 valuable than all
     the rest
Searching
   is finding
those patterns
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%49-012%:<:<V=<:<L6
Track

                     Experiment   Run and   Validated
Hunch   Hypothesis
                       Design     Measure   Learning




  The flow of knowledge
Experiment
  Design
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%B+43)./-C-*--%?;KZK?=?>>6
Lean Startup
        and
Customer Development
!"#$%%&&&'*/+9-*!.4-',-3%*(/.,8%3!-D*3.43)#D1&,-4*D2.,)./D*Q*&D;;V>:Z=:6
!"#$%%&&&'*/+9-*!.4-',-3%*(/.,8%3!-D*3.43)#D1&,-4*D2.,)./D*Q*&D;;V>:Z=:6
!"#$%%&&&'*/+9-*!.4-',-3%*(/.,8%3!-D*3.43)#D1&,-4*D2.,)./D*Q*&D;;V>:Z=:6
!"#$%%&&&'*/+9-*!.4-',-3%*(/.,8%3!-D*3.43)#D1&,-4*D2.,)./D*Q*&D;;V>:Z=:6
Development

 Marketing

   Sales
Problem Team

Solution Team
Problem Team

Solution Team
For whom, what
problem are you
    solving?
Find prospects
      and
Earlyvangelists
“Customers don’t care
 about your solution.
 They care about their
 problems.
                  Dave McClure
Problem Interview
Who is
feeling the pain?
What pain
are they feeling?
How do they make
the pain go away
     today?
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%49-012%:<:<V=<:<L6
Testable
hypothesis
Problem Interview Overview




Running Lean by Ash Maurya, page 118.
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%.9.0U1%=><>>K=:;?6
Typical
market research:
   Customer
   attributes
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%*-4#+01/)5,)3%;Z=?;?V=V6
Innovation
market research:
Problem discovery
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%*-4#+01/)5,)3%;Z=?;?V=V6
What is your
competition?
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%,8.4+2%?Z?;LVKV=V6   !"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%;?<<V?L:cdKK%=:VL=ZK;?K6
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%/+8-A3!-A54.,9A0.,C1,%>??;L?<:K;6   !"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%Y145-(4.e+/%=:=;?V?;=;6
Milkshake Test



 What job is your
  solution being
hired to perform?
Where are you?




     M41&,I6W+26[=KKVDKVD;?'6O!.,5-6(C6]-*+5,6[N+,9/-6^10.U1,6;VL:'6X.4#-46O1//+,*I6J,0''6N+,9/-6P9+U1,'66
Types of Innovation



 Sustaining


                          Sustaining




        M41&,I6W+26[=KKVDKVD;?'6O!.,5-6(C6]-*+5,6[N+,9/-6^10.U1,6;VL:'6X.4#-46O1//+,*I6J,0''6N+,9/-6P9+U1,'66
Types of Innovation



                           Disruptive




        M41&,I6W+26[=KKVDKVD;?'6O!.,5-6(C6]-*+5,6[N+,9/-6^10.U1,6;VL:'6X.4#-46O1//+,*I6J,0''6N+,9/-6P9+U1,'66
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%B+43)./-C-*--%?;KZK?=?>>6
Solution Interview
Problem Team

Solution Team
Who:
Early adopters
How:
Make money
What:
Primary problem
The
 [feature name]
  will solve the
[problem name]
Testing your low
  fidelity MVP
Solution Interview Overview




Running Lean by Ash Maurya, page 142.
Build the MVP
Find
Earlyvangelists
O)*312-46T-/.U1,*!+#*66
                             F-(%f1(+/-6R419)03*6J#'KL##5KJ)1A%




!"#$%%&&&'*/+9-*!.4-',-3%*(/.,8%3!-D*3.43)#D1&,-4*D2.,)./D*Q*&D;;V>:Z=:6   g6=K;=6@3-B-6M/.,86
Test Positioning
Product Positioning

For (target customers)
Who (have the following problem)
The (product name) is a (describe the
product or solution)
That provides (key benefit)
Unlike (reference competition),
The product/solution (describe the key
point of competitive differentiation)
Sales Roadmap

       L%<;%;K6                ;K%<K%;K6                   ;%h%;;6                   <%h%;;6


       Release 1                Release 2                 Release 3                 Release 4


Theme: UI                Theme: Reporting          Theme: Dashboards         Theme: Admin

For X, this UI release   For <who>, this release   For <who>, this release   For <who>, this release
provides <what value>    provides <what value>     provides <what value>     provides <what value>




Key Features:            Key Features:             Key Features:             Key Features:
    1. Feature A             4. Feature B’             7. Feature B’’            10. Feature F
    2. Feature B             5. Feature C’             8. Feature D’             11. Feature G
    3. Feature C             6. Feature D              9. Feature E
Get out and sell
Pivot
    or
Persevere?
Integrate into
  execution
Transition
  team


             !"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%208.C*.B.5-%:VZ>V<Z>L6
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%B+43)./-C-*--%?;KZK?=?>>6
Primary books that informed this talk
People who informed this talk




 David      Max      Ash       Clayton
Snowden    Boisot   Maurya   Christensen




            Mark     Eric
           Newman    Ries
Geoffrey                        Steve
 Moore                          Blank
!"#$%%&&&'7+084'012%#!131*%7."1#<:;%==:>VZL<L6
@zachnies

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