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Population Growth & Economics
Development in Pakistan
Submitted by:
AQIB AHMAD TAHIR
ZOHAIB SALEEM
What is Population & main Determines
of Population

Outline

Major Issue of Population Growth in
Pakistan

Facts & Figures about Population
Growth in Pakistan

Demographic Transition
The Hidden Momentum model of
Population growth in Pakistan
How can we reduce the Population
Growth
Conclusion
Population in Pakistan
• A population is a summation of all the organisms
of the same group or species , who live in the same
area, and have the capability of interbreeding.
• The consequence of population growth on
economics development attracted the attention of
world.
• Adam Smith wrote in wealth of nation “ The
annual Labor of every nation is the fund which
originally supply it with all the necessaries & convenience of life”
Some Issue of Population Growth in
Pakistan
• Are Pakistan is improving the living standard of people with the
population growth?
• How Pakistan would deal with the rapid increase of the labor force?
• How Population Growth will effect the poverty rate of Pakistan?
• How Pakistan would provide the job facilities of young generation?
• How Pakistan would deal the health & education facilities of a large
population.
Main Determine of Population
Growth in Pakistan

Health
Education
Marriage Age

Status of Women
Cost of Children
Urbanization
Labor force status
Facts & Figures about
Pakistan

Total Population

187 million

Urban Population

69.87 Million

Rural Population

114.48 Million

Population Rate

2.00 Percent

TFR

3.3

Crude Birth Rate

26.80 Per
Thousand

Crude Death Rate

7.00 Per
Thousand
Population Data in Pakistan
2011

2012

2013

Total Population (Million)

177.1

180.71

184.35

Urban Population (Million)

65.3

67.55

69.87

Rural Population (Million)

111.8

113.16

114.48

TFR

3.5

3.4

3.3

Crude Birth Rate (per thousand)

27.50

27.20

26.80

Crude Death Rate (per thousand)

7.30

7.20

7.00

Population Growth Rate

2.05

2.03

2.00

Male

65.8

66.1

66.50

Female

63.9

64.3

64.6

Life Expectancy Year
Urban Population (Million)

Ttotal Population (Million)

2013

2013

Ttotal Population
(Million)

2012

Urban Population
(Million)

2012

2011

2011

170

175

180

62

185

64

66

Urban Population (Million)

68

70

(TFR)

2013

2013

Urban Population
(Million)

2012

TFR
2012

2011

2011

62

64

66

68

70

3.2

3.3

3.4

3.5
(CBR)

(CDR)

2013

2013

2012

Crude Birth Rate (Per
Thousand)

2012

Crude Death Rate (Per
Thousand)

2011

2011

26

26.5

27

6.8

27.5

7

(Population Rate)

7.2

7.4

(Life Expectancy Rate)

2013

2013

Population Rate

2012

Female

2012

Male
2011

2011

1.96

1.98

2

2.02

2.04

2.06

62

63

64

65

66

67

Life Expectancy Rate
Population by age group in million
Age Group

1998

2011

2012

2013

2015

2020

2025

2030

00-04

19.59

22.02

22.22

22.4

22.76

23.28

22.44

20.35

05-009

20.72

20.04

20.63

20.87

21.33

22.35

22.95

22.18

10-014

17.14

19.94

19.73

19.56

20.07

21.24

22.28

22.88

15-19

13.73

20.27

20.57

20.78

20.12

20.01

21.19

22.24

20-24

18.88

17.72

18.22

18.72

19.8

20.05

19.95

21.14

25-29

9.76

15.25

15.7

16.16

17.13

19.71

19.98

19.89

30-34

8.24

12.95

13.4

13.85

14.72

17.04

19.62

19.91

35-39

6.32

10.83

11.19

11.77

12.4

14.61

16.94

19.53

40-44

5.89

8.9

9.34

9.69

10.36

12.27

14.49

16.81

45-49

4.68

7.32

7.58

7.85

8.49

10.2

12.01

14.31

50-54

4.26

6.01

6.22

6.64

6.88

8.26

9.95

11.84

55-59

2.86

4.83

4.99

5.16

5.53

6.57

7.93

9.6

60-64

2.72

3.78

3.9

4.03

4.31

5.13

6.14

7.45

65+

4.64

6.81

7.4

7.24

7.82

9.39

11.39

13.93

132.43

177.03

180.71

184.35

191.72

210.12

227.26

242.06

Total
Population comparison between 1998 & 2030
Population in 1998

Population in 2030

00-04

05-009

10-014

15-19

20-24

00-04

05-009

10-014

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65+

50-54

55-59

60-64

65+

2%

2%

3%
6%

14%

3%

8%

3%

3%

4%

9%
4%

5%

5%

15%

6%
10%

6%
7%
9%

7%
12%

8%
9%

8%

14%
10%

8%
Causes of Population Growth in Pakistan
They are some causes of population growth in Pakistan
 Fertility and Mortality Trends
 Rate of population increase
 Birth rates, death rates , Total fertility rates
 Age Structure and dependency burdens
Demographic Transition
• One of the most important social changes in the history of humankind
is the so called “Demographic Transition”
• The demographic transition is a process of change from a situation
with high mortality and fertility (and constant population), to a
situation with low mortality and fertility
Demographic Transition
Stages & Pakistan Position

High Birth Rate
Stage 1

High Death Rate
High Birth Rate
Stage 2
Low Death Rate
Low Birth Rate
Stage 3
Low Death Rate
Stages Of Demographic Transition
Stage 1

Stage 2

Stage 3

Birth rate
Natural
increase

Death rate

Time

Stage 4
The Hidden Momentum of Population
Growth
• High Birth rate can not be altered overnight
• Age structure of Pakistan
How Pakistan can reduce the
Population Growth

Increase the
education system

Reduce the FTR
Family planning
program
Raised the social
economics status
of women

Increase the job
opportunity

Raising Women
education
More female non
agriculture wages
employment
Reduction in infant
mortality

Expanded school
opportunity
Conclusion
Conclusion

Population of Pakistan is
increasing with the
passage of time
Population Growth is
increasing different
problem in Pakistan
Population is also causing
a slow economics
development

Population can not be
control in Pakistan without

1-Unemployment
2-Low living standard
3-Low education standard
4-Increasing the labor
force
1-Education
2-Living standard
3-Job opportunity
4-FTR
5-Women status

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Population growth & economics development in pakistan

  • 1. Population Growth & Economics Development in Pakistan Submitted by: AQIB AHMAD TAHIR ZOHAIB SALEEM
  • 2. What is Population & main Determines of Population Outline Major Issue of Population Growth in Pakistan Facts & Figures about Population Growth in Pakistan Demographic Transition The Hidden Momentum model of Population growth in Pakistan How can we reduce the Population Growth Conclusion
  • 3. Population in Pakistan • A population is a summation of all the organisms of the same group or species , who live in the same area, and have the capability of interbreeding. • The consequence of population growth on economics development attracted the attention of world. • Adam Smith wrote in wealth of nation “ The annual Labor of every nation is the fund which originally supply it with all the necessaries & convenience of life”
  • 4. Some Issue of Population Growth in Pakistan • Are Pakistan is improving the living standard of people with the population growth? • How Pakistan would deal with the rapid increase of the labor force? • How Population Growth will effect the poverty rate of Pakistan? • How Pakistan would provide the job facilities of young generation? • How Pakistan would deal the health & education facilities of a large population.
  • 5. Main Determine of Population Growth in Pakistan Health Education Marriage Age Status of Women Cost of Children Urbanization Labor force status
  • 6. Facts & Figures about Pakistan Total Population 187 million Urban Population 69.87 Million Rural Population 114.48 Million Population Rate 2.00 Percent TFR 3.3 Crude Birth Rate 26.80 Per Thousand Crude Death Rate 7.00 Per Thousand
  • 7. Population Data in Pakistan 2011 2012 2013 Total Population (Million) 177.1 180.71 184.35 Urban Population (Million) 65.3 67.55 69.87 Rural Population (Million) 111.8 113.16 114.48 TFR 3.5 3.4 3.3 Crude Birth Rate (per thousand) 27.50 27.20 26.80 Crude Death Rate (per thousand) 7.30 7.20 7.00 Population Growth Rate 2.05 2.03 2.00 Male 65.8 66.1 66.50 Female 63.9 64.3 64.6 Life Expectancy Year
  • 8. Urban Population (Million) Ttotal Population (Million) 2013 2013 Ttotal Population (Million) 2012 Urban Population (Million) 2012 2011 2011 170 175 180 62 185 64 66 Urban Population (Million) 68 70 (TFR) 2013 2013 Urban Population (Million) 2012 TFR 2012 2011 2011 62 64 66 68 70 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5
  • 9. (CBR) (CDR) 2013 2013 2012 Crude Birth Rate (Per Thousand) 2012 Crude Death Rate (Per Thousand) 2011 2011 26 26.5 27 6.8 27.5 7 (Population Rate) 7.2 7.4 (Life Expectancy Rate) 2013 2013 Population Rate 2012 Female 2012 Male 2011 2011 1.96 1.98 2 2.02 2.04 2.06 62 63 64 65 66 67 Life Expectancy Rate
  • 10.
  • 11. Population by age group in million Age Group 1998 2011 2012 2013 2015 2020 2025 2030 00-04 19.59 22.02 22.22 22.4 22.76 23.28 22.44 20.35 05-009 20.72 20.04 20.63 20.87 21.33 22.35 22.95 22.18 10-014 17.14 19.94 19.73 19.56 20.07 21.24 22.28 22.88 15-19 13.73 20.27 20.57 20.78 20.12 20.01 21.19 22.24 20-24 18.88 17.72 18.22 18.72 19.8 20.05 19.95 21.14 25-29 9.76 15.25 15.7 16.16 17.13 19.71 19.98 19.89 30-34 8.24 12.95 13.4 13.85 14.72 17.04 19.62 19.91 35-39 6.32 10.83 11.19 11.77 12.4 14.61 16.94 19.53 40-44 5.89 8.9 9.34 9.69 10.36 12.27 14.49 16.81 45-49 4.68 7.32 7.58 7.85 8.49 10.2 12.01 14.31 50-54 4.26 6.01 6.22 6.64 6.88 8.26 9.95 11.84 55-59 2.86 4.83 4.99 5.16 5.53 6.57 7.93 9.6 60-64 2.72 3.78 3.9 4.03 4.31 5.13 6.14 7.45 65+ 4.64 6.81 7.4 7.24 7.82 9.39 11.39 13.93 132.43 177.03 180.71 184.35 191.72 210.12 227.26 242.06 Total
  • 12. Population comparison between 1998 & 2030 Population in 1998 Population in 2030 00-04 05-009 10-014 15-19 20-24 00-04 05-009 10-014 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+ 50-54 55-59 60-64 65+ 2% 2% 3% 6% 14% 3% 8% 3% 3% 4% 9% 4% 5% 5% 15% 6% 10% 6% 7% 9% 7% 12% 8% 9% 8% 14% 10% 8%
  • 13. Causes of Population Growth in Pakistan They are some causes of population growth in Pakistan  Fertility and Mortality Trends  Rate of population increase  Birth rates, death rates , Total fertility rates  Age Structure and dependency burdens
  • 14. Demographic Transition • One of the most important social changes in the history of humankind is the so called “Demographic Transition” • The demographic transition is a process of change from a situation with high mortality and fertility (and constant population), to a situation with low mortality and fertility
  • 15. Demographic Transition Stages & Pakistan Position High Birth Rate Stage 1 High Death Rate High Birth Rate Stage 2 Low Death Rate Low Birth Rate Stage 3 Low Death Rate
  • 16. Stages Of Demographic Transition Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Birth rate Natural increase Death rate Time Stage 4
  • 17. The Hidden Momentum of Population Growth • High Birth rate can not be altered overnight • Age structure of Pakistan
  • 18. How Pakistan can reduce the Population Growth Increase the education system Reduce the FTR Family planning program Raised the social economics status of women Increase the job opportunity Raising Women education More female non agriculture wages employment Reduction in infant mortality Expanded school opportunity
  • 20. Conclusion Population of Pakistan is increasing with the passage of time Population Growth is increasing different problem in Pakistan Population is also causing a slow economics development Population can not be control in Pakistan without 1-Unemployment 2-Low living standard 3-Low education standard 4-Increasing the labor force 1-Education 2-Living standard 3-Job opportunity 4-FTR 5-Women status