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Taking the Politics out of
     Redistricting
      Presented to the
      Wisconsin Land Information Association
      October 21, 2010


      Peter Cannon, Secretary
      Wisconsin Democracy Campaign
Should we Take the Politics
      Out of Redistricting?

 We  know who is responsible and
  they are answerable to the voters
 Every reform proposal – to some
  extent – makes the process less
  democratic

                                      2
Should we Take the Politics
      Out of Redistricting?
                          Continued


 Most   states have chosen to have
  legislators do it
 Reform proposals won’t work any
  better
 Legislators know the districts


                                      3
What’s the Problem?

   If there is stalemate – split
    control between parties,
    legislators draw maps that
    favor incumbents
   If one party controls the
    process, political
    gerrymandering

                                    4
What’s the Problem?
    Electoral Competitiveness
    – Since 2000, only three U.S. House
       races have been competitive
       (margin of victory with 10 points)
    – Since 2000, state legislative
       incumbents have been reelected
       95% of the time.


                                            5
What’s the Problem?
                              Continued


Effects on civility & partisan
   cooperation
 Politically lopsided districts make
   elections less competitive and voters
   less powerful
 Harder to get new blood and fresh
   ideas into the legislature

                                           6
What’s the Problem?
                             Continued


Effects on civility & partisan
   cooperation
 They contribute to hyper-partisan,
   polarized politics that make
   compromise nearly impossible on
   controversial issues.
 One-sided districts tend to produce
   candidates who appeal to just one
   side.
                                         7
What’s the Problem?
                               Continued


Effects on civility & partisan
   cooperation
 Squeezed out are candidates who
   appeal to independents or voters of
   both parties.
 The result is a legislature of fierce
   partisans, with fewer members
   willing to reach across the political
   divide to get the public’s business
   done.                                   8
What’s the Problem?
                                      Continued


Cost
Depending on whose tally you believe, the total
   amount spent on redistricting a decade ago was
   somewhere between $2.6 million and $2.9
   million for sophisticated map-drawing
   technology, technical experts and political
   consultants to help them draw new district lines
   as well as attorneys to represent legislative
   leaders in court.
                                                      9
Can we Take the Politics
       out of Redistricting?

 How  do we get legislators to
  change a system that gives them
  control?
 Why would legislators want to give
  up that control?

                                   10
Can we Take the Politics
          out of Redistricting?
                                         Continued


   It’s hard to persuade people that reform is
    necessary
    – Most citizens don’t think about redistricting
      very often
    – It’s hard to explain why it’s important –
      particularly if you weren’t affected last time



                                                       11
How is it done?
• Legislatures (36 states)
• Nonpartisan legislative agency draws map
  for legislature to adopt (Iowa)
• Advisory commissions to help
• Backup commissions if legislature fails
• Political commissions – members
  appointed by politicians (7 states)
• Independent commissions (6 states)
                                             12
How should it be done
Principles for effective
     redistricting

   Meaningful independence
   Meaningful diversity
   Meaningful guidance
   Meaningful participation

                               13
Meaningful Independence
   Those who draw the lines should not be direct
    beneficiaries
   Those who draw the lines should not be
    controlled by direct beneficiaries
   One of the players shouldn’t also be the umpire




                                                      14
Meaningful Diversity

 Those who draw the lines should reflect
  the state, county or municipality
 Need redistricting body of sufficient size
 Need rules/incentives to choose diverse
  membership



                                               15
Meaningful Guidance
 Criteria that reflect basic goals
 Enough flexibility to accommodate local
  exceptions
 Communities of interest
 Voter majority is legislative majority



                                            16
Meaningful Participation
 Process that encourages community input
  before and after drafts
 Encouraging input from diverse voices in
  the community
 Testimony regarding who are
  communities of interest


                                         17
Arizona
   5 members
    – 2 R, 2D, 1 I
   Not more than 2 from a county
   Chosen by legislators from pool with
    committee choosing the 5th
   No candidates, party officials or lobbyists



                                                  18
Arizona Criteria
   Equal population
   to the extend practicable
    – Geographically compact and contiguous
    – Respect community interests
    – Visible geographic features, county and
      municipal boundaries and census
      boundaries
    – Competitive districts should be favored
      where to do so would create no significant
      detriment to the other goals.
                                                   19
Arizona Criteria
                                    Continued

   No initial use of party registration and
    voting data
   No use of information on incumbent
    residence
   Draft to be presented to the public and
    comments on the draft to be considered




                                                20
Arizona Criteria
                                  Continued

Arizona, which is the only state to require
 competitiveness as a redistricting
 criterion, was in litigation over its 2001
 maps for seven years. Opponents of the
 maps drawn by Arizona’s independent
 redistrict commission unsuccessfully
 challenged that the maps were not
 sufficiently competitive.


                                              21
California – Prop 11
   Step One: Any of California’s
    approximately 15 million registered voters
    may apply
   Step Two: The independent State Auditor
    selects a panel of three independent auditors
    to screen applicants.


                                                22
California – Prop 11
                                      Continued


   Step Three: The panel of auditors chooses
    three “sub-pools” of 20 persons each
    – from the 60 most qualified persons who have
      applied.
       • 20 Democrats,
       • 20 Republicans, and
       • 20 others.



                                                    23
California – Prop 11
                                  Continued


   Step Four: The four legislative leaders
    (Assembly Speaker and Minority Leader,
    and Senate President pro Tem and Minority
    Leader) may each strike two people from
    each 20 person “sub-pool.”




                                              24
California – Prop 11
                                   Continued


   Step Five: The three auditors randomly
    select eight commissioners:
       • 3 Democrats,
       • 3 Republicans, and
       • 2 others.




                                               25
California – Prop 11
                                      Continued


   Step Six: The eight commissioners select
    six more members from sub-pools
    – The final Citizens Redistricting Commission
      has 14 members:
       • 5 Democrats,
       • 5 Republicans, and
       • 4 others



                                                    26
California – Prop 11
                                 Continued


The independent commission must approve its
  redistricting maps by a supermajority vote
  of 9 out of 14 members. Moreover, the
  majority must consist of at least 3 of the 5
  Democrats, 3 of the 5 Republicans and 3 of
  the 4 “Decline to States” or representatives
  of other parties.

                                             27
California – Prop 11
           Redistricting Criteria
   Geographic contiguity – Respect for geographic integrity
    of neighborhoods, city and county boundaries, and
    communities of interest, without violating the requirements
    of the previous criteria.
   Geographic compactness to the extent practicable and
    where it does not conflict with the criteria above.
   No consideration of the place of residence of any
    incumbent or political candidate in the creation of a map.
   Don’t favor or discriminate against an incumbent, political
    candidate or political party.


                                                             28
California – Prop 11
                                                        Continued


   The following redistricting criteria (in order of
    priority) must be followed
   in drawing legislative district lines. Districts must:
    –   have reasonably equal population
    –   comply with the federal Voting Rights Act
    –   be geographically contiguous (connected)
    –   respect counties, cities, communities of interest and
        neighborhoods ·



                                                                    29
California – Prop 11
                                          Continued

– · to the extent there is no conflict with the criteria
  above, districts should be
   • geographically compact, and nested
   • not be drawn to favor or discriminate against
     incumbents, candidates or parties.
   • Incumbent addresses may not be considered.




                                                      30
Iowa
 A nonpartisan legislative staff agency draws
   a map
 The legislature accepts or rejects it
 After the legislature has rejected two sets of
   plans can it draw districts as it pleases.
 (this hasn’t happened yet)


                                               31
Why is Redistricting so Hard?
              Or,
Maybe the Legislators should be
happy to have someone else do it!

    Local and Regional Interests
     – Urban/suburban/rural splits
    Minority Interests
     – Can Latinos elect an alder?


                                     32
Why is it so Hard?
                                     Continued

   Party Interests
    – How will balance of power in the
      legislature change?
   Individual legislators
    – How will my district change?
   Citizen Interests
    – New legislator?
    – New polling place?
    – More or less competition?
                                                 33
What can you do?
   TEACH
   There’s no perfect map, rather an endless
    number each with its own imperfection
   One problem is the criteria aren’t fixed in a rank
    order. It would be a lot easier if you could apply
    a, then apply b, then apply c.
   But even then, the map is going to look different
    if you start at the northwest corner of the county
    rather than the southeast corner, because every
    decision drives the next one.

                                                         34
Important Lessons
The Mapping Project – George Mason
  University

http://elections.gmu.edu/Redistricting.ht
  ml




                                            35
Important Lessons
 Equal  population districts must be of
  unequal geographic size; urban districts
  must be smaller than rural districts
 Nicely-shaped districts are difficult to
  draw using census blocks; and may
  conflict with respecting existing political
  boundaries

                                                36
Important Lessons
 Redistricting criteria can have predictable
  partisan and racial effects
 If goals like partisan fairness or
  competition are desired, they should be
  codified into law, just as we do with
  minority representation goals described in
  the Voting Rights Act

                                           37
What can you do?

 Try to keep decision makers from
  making mistakes – if you can.
 Remind them of things they can’t
  do.
 Point out potential problems.




                                     38
Things that help

   Aim for the ideal
   Be flexible
   Have standards and apply them
    uniformly




                                    39
Things that help

   Know who has authority!
   Understand the timeline
   Say you can’t meet it immediately
    – What do you need to meet the timeline?
    – Staff? Equipment?




                                               40
Things that help

   Legislators get REALLY nervous at redistricting
    time. After all, it’s their districts on the line.
   Don’t take things personally.
   Most members assume the plan should originate
    from their own district.
   Expect some irrational choices.
   Don’t play on the freeway. Stay out of fights
    between members – unless it’s your job to resolve
    them.
From Thomas B. Hofeller, Redistricting Coordinator, Republican National
   Committee                                                              41
Things that help

   Remember that “bad news, unlike fine
    wine, does not age well.” Let people know
    about problems as they develop.
      If bad news has to be given to a member,
    let the attorneys or outside experts deliver
    it – if possible. That’s what they’re paid to
    do.
From Thomas B. Hofeller, Redistricting Coordinator, Republican
   National Committee
                                                                 42
Things that help

   Understand the local rules
     – Who can make suggestions.
     – Who shouldn’t see the plan.
   Find out what everybody knows, but didn’t tell
    you!
     – You never split the village of X
     – Y is an important boundary


                                                43
YOU CAN’T MAKE
  EVERYBODY
    HAPPY!

                 44
Things that help

   Exercise reduces stress




                              45
http://www.wisdc.org/
Peter Cannon
apcannon@gmail.com
(608) 251-1276
                        46

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Taking Politics Out Redistricting

  • 1. Taking the Politics out of Redistricting Presented to the Wisconsin Land Information Association October 21, 2010 Peter Cannon, Secretary Wisconsin Democracy Campaign
  • 2. Should we Take the Politics Out of Redistricting?  We know who is responsible and they are answerable to the voters  Every reform proposal – to some extent – makes the process less democratic 2
  • 3. Should we Take the Politics Out of Redistricting? Continued  Most states have chosen to have legislators do it  Reform proposals won’t work any better  Legislators know the districts 3
  • 4. What’s the Problem?  If there is stalemate – split control between parties, legislators draw maps that favor incumbents  If one party controls the process, political gerrymandering 4
  • 5. What’s the Problem?  Electoral Competitiveness – Since 2000, only three U.S. House races have been competitive (margin of victory with 10 points) – Since 2000, state legislative incumbents have been reelected 95% of the time. 5
  • 6. What’s the Problem? Continued Effects on civility & partisan cooperation  Politically lopsided districts make elections less competitive and voters less powerful  Harder to get new blood and fresh ideas into the legislature 6
  • 7. What’s the Problem? Continued Effects on civility & partisan cooperation  They contribute to hyper-partisan, polarized politics that make compromise nearly impossible on controversial issues.  One-sided districts tend to produce candidates who appeal to just one side. 7
  • 8. What’s the Problem? Continued Effects on civility & partisan cooperation  Squeezed out are candidates who appeal to independents or voters of both parties.  The result is a legislature of fierce partisans, with fewer members willing to reach across the political divide to get the public’s business done. 8
  • 9. What’s the Problem? Continued Cost Depending on whose tally you believe, the total amount spent on redistricting a decade ago was somewhere between $2.6 million and $2.9 million for sophisticated map-drawing technology, technical experts and political consultants to help them draw new district lines as well as attorneys to represent legislative leaders in court. 9
  • 10. Can we Take the Politics out of Redistricting?  How do we get legislators to change a system that gives them control?  Why would legislators want to give up that control? 10
  • 11. Can we Take the Politics out of Redistricting? Continued  It’s hard to persuade people that reform is necessary – Most citizens don’t think about redistricting very often – It’s hard to explain why it’s important – particularly if you weren’t affected last time 11
  • 12. How is it done? • Legislatures (36 states) • Nonpartisan legislative agency draws map for legislature to adopt (Iowa) • Advisory commissions to help • Backup commissions if legislature fails • Political commissions – members appointed by politicians (7 states) • Independent commissions (6 states) 12
  • 13. How should it be done Principles for effective redistricting  Meaningful independence  Meaningful diversity  Meaningful guidance  Meaningful participation 13
  • 14. Meaningful Independence  Those who draw the lines should not be direct beneficiaries  Those who draw the lines should not be controlled by direct beneficiaries  One of the players shouldn’t also be the umpire 14
  • 15. Meaningful Diversity  Those who draw the lines should reflect the state, county or municipality  Need redistricting body of sufficient size  Need rules/incentives to choose diverse membership 15
  • 16. Meaningful Guidance  Criteria that reflect basic goals  Enough flexibility to accommodate local exceptions  Communities of interest  Voter majority is legislative majority 16
  • 17. Meaningful Participation  Process that encourages community input before and after drafts  Encouraging input from diverse voices in the community  Testimony regarding who are communities of interest 17
  • 18. Arizona  5 members – 2 R, 2D, 1 I  Not more than 2 from a county  Chosen by legislators from pool with committee choosing the 5th  No candidates, party officials or lobbyists 18
  • 19. Arizona Criteria  Equal population  to the extend practicable – Geographically compact and contiguous – Respect community interests – Visible geographic features, county and municipal boundaries and census boundaries – Competitive districts should be favored where to do so would create no significant detriment to the other goals. 19
  • 20. Arizona Criteria Continued  No initial use of party registration and voting data  No use of information on incumbent residence  Draft to be presented to the public and comments on the draft to be considered 20
  • 21. Arizona Criteria Continued Arizona, which is the only state to require competitiveness as a redistricting criterion, was in litigation over its 2001 maps for seven years. Opponents of the maps drawn by Arizona’s independent redistrict commission unsuccessfully challenged that the maps were not sufficiently competitive. 21
  • 22. California – Prop 11  Step One: Any of California’s approximately 15 million registered voters may apply  Step Two: The independent State Auditor selects a panel of three independent auditors to screen applicants. 22
  • 23. California – Prop 11 Continued  Step Three: The panel of auditors chooses three “sub-pools” of 20 persons each – from the 60 most qualified persons who have applied. • 20 Democrats, • 20 Republicans, and • 20 others. 23
  • 24. California – Prop 11 Continued  Step Four: The four legislative leaders (Assembly Speaker and Minority Leader, and Senate President pro Tem and Minority Leader) may each strike two people from each 20 person “sub-pool.” 24
  • 25. California – Prop 11 Continued  Step Five: The three auditors randomly select eight commissioners: • 3 Democrats, • 3 Republicans, and • 2 others. 25
  • 26. California – Prop 11 Continued  Step Six: The eight commissioners select six more members from sub-pools – The final Citizens Redistricting Commission has 14 members: • 5 Democrats, • 5 Republicans, and • 4 others 26
  • 27. California – Prop 11 Continued The independent commission must approve its redistricting maps by a supermajority vote of 9 out of 14 members. Moreover, the majority must consist of at least 3 of the 5 Democrats, 3 of the 5 Republicans and 3 of the 4 “Decline to States” or representatives of other parties. 27
  • 28. California – Prop 11 Redistricting Criteria  Geographic contiguity – Respect for geographic integrity of neighborhoods, city and county boundaries, and communities of interest, without violating the requirements of the previous criteria.  Geographic compactness to the extent practicable and where it does not conflict with the criteria above.  No consideration of the place of residence of any incumbent or political candidate in the creation of a map.  Don’t favor or discriminate against an incumbent, political candidate or political party. 28
  • 29. California – Prop 11 Continued  The following redistricting criteria (in order of priority) must be followed  in drawing legislative district lines. Districts must: – have reasonably equal population – comply with the federal Voting Rights Act – be geographically contiguous (connected) – respect counties, cities, communities of interest and neighborhoods · 29
  • 30. California – Prop 11 Continued – · to the extent there is no conflict with the criteria above, districts should be • geographically compact, and nested • not be drawn to favor or discriminate against incumbents, candidates or parties. • Incumbent addresses may not be considered. 30
  • 31. Iowa  A nonpartisan legislative staff agency draws a map  The legislature accepts or rejects it  After the legislature has rejected two sets of plans can it draw districts as it pleases. (this hasn’t happened yet) 31
  • 32. Why is Redistricting so Hard? Or, Maybe the Legislators should be happy to have someone else do it!  Local and Regional Interests – Urban/suburban/rural splits  Minority Interests – Can Latinos elect an alder? 32
  • 33. Why is it so Hard? Continued  Party Interests – How will balance of power in the legislature change?  Individual legislators – How will my district change?  Citizen Interests – New legislator? – New polling place? – More or less competition? 33
  • 34. What can you do?  TEACH  There’s no perfect map, rather an endless number each with its own imperfection  One problem is the criteria aren’t fixed in a rank order. It would be a lot easier if you could apply a, then apply b, then apply c.  But even then, the map is going to look different if you start at the northwest corner of the county rather than the southeast corner, because every decision drives the next one. 34
  • 35. Important Lessons The Mapping Project – George Mason University http://elections.gmu.edu/Redistricting.ht ml 35
  • 36. Important Lessons  Equal population districts must be of unequal geographic size; urban districts must be smaller than rural districts  Nicely-shaped districts are difficult to draw using census blocks; and may conflict with respecting existing political boundaries 36
  • 37. Important Lessons  Redistricting criteria can have predictable partisan and racial effects  If goals like partisan fairness or competition are desired, they should be codified into law, just as we do with minority representation goals described in the Voting Rights Act 37
  • 38. What can you do?  Try to keep decision makers from making mistakes – if you can.  Remind them of things they can’t do.  Point out potential problems. 38
  • 39. Things that help  Aim for the ideal  Be flexible  Have standards and apply them uniformly 39
  • 40. Things that help  Know who has authority!  Understand the timeline  Say you can’t meet it immediately – What do you need to meet the timeline? – Staff? Equipment? 40
  • 41. Things that help  Legislators get REALLY nervous at redistricting time. After all, it’s their districts on the line.  Don’t take things personally.  Most members assume the plan should originate from their own district.  Expect some irrational choices.  Don’t play on the freeway. Stay out of fights between members – unless it’s your job to resolve them. From Thomas B. Hofeller, Redistricting Coordinator, Republican National Committee 41
  • 42. Things that help  Remember that “bad news, unlike fine wine, does not age well.” Let people know about problems as they develop.  If bad news has to be given to a member, let the attorneys or outside experts deliver it – if possible. That’s what they’re paid to do. From Thomas B. Hofeller, Redistricting Coordinator, Republican National Committee 42
  • 43. Things that help  Understand the local rules – Who can make suggestions. – Who shouldn’t see the plan.  Find out what everybody knows, but didn’t tell you! – You never split the village of X – Y is an important boundary 43
  • 44. YOU CAN’T MAKE EVERYBODY HAPPY! 44
  • 45. Things that help  Exercise reduces stress 45