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A New Scheme for Young Novice Drivers
                in Germany
                                      Dr. Walter Funk
             Institute for Empirical Sociology at the
Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremberg (Germany)

                                          Wednesday 30 November 2011,
                                          14 p.m., Salon Parisien,

  Institute for Empirical Sociology
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                           01/30
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Highest crash risk of novice drivers

Problem:
• Highest crash risk as a car




                                        Rate per million kilometres
  driver is initially after                                                     Accidents (offences) in Central
  licensing (in Germany up                                                      Register of Traffic Offenders

  till now right from age 18                                                                       males
  away as „full privileged“
  driver)                                                             females

• Substantial decrease of
                                                                                Years since licensure
  crash risk with increased
  driving experience (minus                                                             (cf. SCHADE 2001)
  50% during the first 9
  months, minus 90%
  during the first 2.6 years
  of driving)
  Institute for Empirical Sociology
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                                                                     02/30
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Tackling young novice driver risk: Extended learning
       period through „Accompanied Driving“
Solution:
Extending the                                  Extended learning period
relatively short                        through “Accompanied Driving from 17”
formal driver
                                         age 16                        age 17                       age 18
education in
                                            learning period up to 18 month
                                        Learning period: up to 18 months
professional
“driving schools”                           driver training/
                                            driving test       only accompanied driving
                                                                  Begleitetes Fahren
by a period in                                                                                solo driving allowed
                                                                            driver training
which the novice                       Process evaluation                   driving test


is only allowed to                         Learning period: 3 3 to 6months
                                               learning period to 6 month

drive while being
accompanied by
                                                                             (cf. WILLMES-LENZ 2008: 137)
an experienced
driver.
   Institute for Empirical Sociology
   at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                                                                       03/30
   University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Pre-conditions to participate in the model
• From the age of 16 ½: Start of the mandatory pre-licence
  training and education for licences Class B / BE with a
  professional driving instructor in a so-called “driving school”;
• Passing through the professional “driving school” curriculum;
• Successful passing of the theoretical and the practical
  licensing tests;
      i.e.: Participants in the model pass exactly the same
      formal training and tests as regular licence acquirers;
• From 17th birthday: Handing over of a certificate, allowing to
  drive a car in Germany (licences Class B / BE);
      Only one constraint: Driving is only allowed when
      accompanied by an experienced adult;
• Age of 18: Replacement of the certificate by regular drivers
  licence (full driving privileges);
   Institute for Empirical Sociology
   at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                       04/30
   University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Qualifications of the experienced attendants
                    (supervising drivers)


The attendant (supervising driver):
• must be at least 30 years old,
• must have held a valid driver’s licence Class B for at least
  five years,
• must not have more than three demerit points in
  Germany’s Central Register of Traffic Offenders (“traffic-
  sinner file”) and
• must – at the start of the accompanied trip – have a BAC
  lower than 0.05 gm/100 ml, and must not be affected by
  intoxicants (illegal drugs);

  Institute for Empirical Sociology
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                    05/30
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Chronology of surveys in the panel
Panel Wave 1                           Panel Wave 2          Panel Wave 3          Panel Wave 4
Feb. 30, 2007                         March 01, 2008          April 30, 2008       July 04, 2008

                                        Attendant’s
                                       (Supervising      (n = 1,735;
                                         driver’s)         45.9 %)
                                       questionnaire


Participant’s                           Participant’s         Participant’s            Participant’s
questionnaire                           questionnaire         questionnaire            questionnaire


  Closure                                 Closure               Closure                  Closure
questionnaire                           questionnaire         questionnaire            questionnaire

   (n = 3,780;                            (n = 3,088;             (n = 1,652;            (n = 1,118;
     60.9 %)                                81.7 %)                 85.1 %)                93.0 %)


  Institute for Empirical Sociology
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 2-2)                   6/30
Young novice drivers and most frequent attendants
              (supervising drivers)

Novice drivers in the sample of the process
evaluation (n = 3,780):
• sex:                                48.5 % male, 51.5 % female;
• education:                          66.8 % pupils, 31.6 % apprentices


Most frequent attendants (supervising drivers)
(according to the youth):
• female,
• 40-49 years old,
• living in the same household with the novice driver;
  = own mother

  Institute for Empirical Sociology
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-         Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, sections 3.3 and 4.4)   7/30
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Impulse for participating in the accompanied driving
      model (as stated by the novice driver)
                              90
                                           85.7

                              80
Percentage of respondents


                              70

                              60
                                                                                       Multiple responses possible
                                                                55.8                   (n = 3,047 respondents)
                              50

                              40
                                                                          35.1
                              30

                              20
                                                                                      8,4                               10.9
                              10                                                                  6.5
                                                                                                             1.4
                                0
                                         Myself          My parents       Peers      Other     Other non-     Col-      Other
                                                                                   relatives    relatives   leagues   motivation
                            Institute for Empirical Sociology
                            at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                            University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-7)                       8/30
Difficulties in finding an attendant (supervising driver)?
              (as stated by the novice driver)
                            90
                                          84,8
                            80
Percentage of respondents


                            70

                            60
                                                                                          Multiple responses possible
                            50                                                            (n = 3.680 respondents)
                            40

                            30

                            20
                                                                  10,7
                            10                                                 5,4
                                                                                              5,2         0,9           0,7
                             0
                                         None                Younger          Holding      Too many   Other reason No parental
                                                           than age 30        driver's      demerit                  assent
                                                                           licence less      points
                                                                             than three
                                                                               years
                            Institute for Empirical Sociology
                            at the Friedrich-Alexander-         Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-16);                   9/30
                            University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Youth: Reasons for delayed driving licence acquisition

• Time management problems
  (didn’t manage it earlier, started driver training later because
  of lack of time or training lasted longer than planned)
• Financial problems
  (started driver training later or training lasted longer because
  of lack of money)
• Change of mind concerning participation in the model
  (own change of mind or convinced by parents)
• Lack of support
  (Convincing parents or finding another attendant)
• „Rest category“
  (other reasons, ignorance about accompanied driving, still got
  enough time to drive until my 18th birthday)
  Institute for Empirical Sociology   Multiple responses: 5,892 answers from 2,938 respondents;
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-3)                10/30
Youth: Reasons for participating in the model

• Wish to drive a car (instrumental motive)
  [explaining 15.3 % of the variance]
  (probation time will end sooner; to sit behind the wheel as soon
  as possible; driving moped without accompaniment; licensure
  for certain at 18th birthday; more favourable car insurance tariff)
• Safety motive [explaining 13.9 % of the variance]
  (to drive more safely as solo driver later; to feel safer at the start
  as novice driver; to show parents that I will later drive safe as
  solo driver)
• Role model / Temporal equalisation of potential stressors
  [explaining 10.2 % of the variance]
  (older siblings / friends already participated; driving test
  otherwise parallel to much stress in school / vocational training)

   Institute for Empirical Sociology   Multiple responses: 14,329 answers from 3,206 respondents;
   at the Friedrich-Alexander-
   University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-8)                 11/30
Parents: Reasons for participating in the model

• Help and support for their children [explaining 14.6 % of
  the variance]
  (to help the youth; to let her/him participate in my experience as
  car driver)
• Practical reasons [explaining 14.6 % of the variance]
  (probation time will end sooner; more favourable car insurance
  tariff; equalisation of potential stressors in school / vocational
  training)
• Safety concerns [explaining 14.1 % of the variance]
  (less worries, when youth drives solo later on; to assure
  themselves, that youth will drive safe and cautious)
• Popularity motive and role model [ 11.6 % of the variance]
  (good experiences of relatives and friends; family member
  already participated in the model)
   Institute for Empirical Sociology   Multiple responses: 6,536 answers from 1,720 respondents;
   at the Friedrich-Alexander-
   University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-14)               12/30
Mean daily mileage of all model participants
                                 Significant difference
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Previous
                                                                                                                       School-
                                                                                      Educa-                                                          Region                   Regional            length of
                                                                                                                       leaving
                                  Total                         Sex                    tional                                                            of                      type                model
                                                                                                                     qualification
                                                                                      status                                                           origin                                     participation
                                                                                                                      of parents
Mean daily m ileage in km




                            20
                                                                                                                                                    Mean          Median
                                                                                                 15,6                                                                                    14,5
                            15
                                                          14,9                                                          13,5                                                                                13,4 13,8
                                    13,2                                                                                         13,3                13,2 12,8              12,4 13,1           13,0 12,2
                                                                     11,6             12,1
                            10
                                                          10,0                                   10,7                                                                                    10,5                     10,4
                                        9,3                                                                             9,6        9,3                9,3                          9,3                      9,7
                                                                     8,3               8,6                                                                        8,6        8,5                8,1   7,9
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                                                                     All model participants (including immobile ones);
                                                                     Questioned at all four panel waves;

                                    Institute for Empirical Sociology
                                    at the Friedrich-Alexander-                       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-25)                                                                                13/30
                                    University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Mean daily mileage of mobile model participants
                            Significant difference
                                                                                                                                            Previous
                                                                                      School-
                                                                      Educa-                          Region                                length of
                                                                                      leaving                         Regional
                                  Total                  Sex           tional                            of                                   model
                                                                                    qualification                       type
                                                                      status                           origin                              participation
                                                                                     of parents
Mean daily mileage in km




                                                      36,5                          Mean     Median          37,6
                            40
                                                                             35,0            34,1                          32,1 33,7     31,7          34,1 33,0
                                    32,4                              31,3            31,2            31,3          32,1                        30,1
                                                              28,5
                            30

                                                      26,3                   26,2                            27,3                                             26,1
                            20      24,0                                              24,3   24,6     23,3          23,3   24,3   25,1                 25,0
                                                              22,5    23,0                                                                      23,0
                                                                                                                                         21,0

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                                                             Only actual mobile model participants;
                                                             Questioned at all four panel waves;

                                 Institute for Empirical Sociology
                                 at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                                 University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-40)                                            14/30
Mean monthly mileage of all model participants
                                Significant difference


                                                                                          School-         Region                                     Previous
                                                                         Educa-                                                                      length of
                                     Total                Sex                             leaving            of            Regional
                                                                          tional                                                                       model
                                                                                        qualification      origin            type
                                                                         status                                                                     participation
                                                                                         of parents
Mean monthly mileage in km




                                                       335,0                    372,7   333,7                                           357,3                           333,7
                             375
                                     318,5                                                              324,0                   320,1           316,0           320,1
                                                               303,2    294,5                   311,0           293,8   293,7                           301,6
                             300

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                                                                                All model participants;
                                                                                Questioned at all four panel waves;

                                    Institute for Empirical Sociology
                                    at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                                    University Erlangen-Nuremberg
                                                                        Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-64)                                                    15/30
Extrapolation of the mean monthly mileage
                        to the mean total mileage in the model scheme
                     4.000
                                                                                                                                 3.766,7
                                      Mean duration of attendance: 8 months;
                     3.500
                                      Mean mileage during this time: 2,400 km;                                                 3.383,6

                     3.000                                                                                             3.057,8
Mean mileage in km




                                                                                                               2.723,4
                     2.500
                                                                                                       2.395,0

                     2.000                                                                     2.060,4
                                                                                       1.752,5
                     1.500                                                     1.479,6
                                                                       1.139,7
                     1.000
                                                               835,5
                      500                           514,6
                                        257,3
                          0
                                    1           2          3       4       5       6       7       8       9      10      11       12
                                                                 Duration of attendance in months
                     Institute for Empirical Sociology
                     at the Friedrich-Alexander-         Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-68)                                16/30
                     University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Categories of driving time of the mobile model
       participants – reference week of the 1st panel wave
                            100%      2,6            2,7                  2,0   2,9           3,4
                                             1,8                   2,6
                                                             2,1   2,3                 2,1    2,7           7,9     9,5        Exposure
                                             1,9     2,4                        2,4                   2,1                        time
                                      7,3                                                                   2,9
                                                     7,7           8,1          7,0           8,7           3,2     3,9
                                                                                                                    4,1        Longer than
                                                                                11,5                        10,3               1 hour 30
                                     15,3           12,7
Percentage of respondents


                                                                   14,4                      13,6                   9,9        minutes
                            75%
                                                                                                                               Up to 1 hour
                                                                                                            14,6               30 minutes
                                                                                                                    16,1

                                                                                32,4                                           Up to 1 hour
                                                    32,0                                                                       15 minutes
                                     33,0                          33,4                      33,8
                            50%
                                                                                                            29,2               Up to 1 hour
                                                                                                                    28,0

                                                                                                                               Up to 45
                                                                                                                               minutes

                            25%
                                                                                41,8                                           Up to 30
                                     38,1           40,3                                                                       minutes
                                                                   37,2
                                                                                                                    28,5
                                                                                             35,8           31,9               Up to 15
                                                                                                                               minutes

                             0%
                                   Monday          Tuesday Wednes-          Thursday         Friday     Saturday   Sunday
                                                               day
                                   (n = 1,267) (n = 1,264) (n = 1,274)      (n = 1,236) (n = 1,491) (n = 1,400) (n = 1,142)   Weekday
                     Institute for Empirical Sociology
                     at the Friedrich-Alexander-         Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-71)                                      17/30
                     University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Most frequent destinations of the model participants
 in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible)
                                                                             School, vocational training, work
                              70
                                                                             Household chores
                                                                             Private trips
                              60                                             Leisure trips
Percentage of respondents




                              50
                                                                             42,8
                                           40,9
                              40


                              30


                              20

                                                                                                          9,4
                              10


                                0
                                          Monday - Sunday                    Monday - Friday            Saturday - Sunday
                                             (n=2,833)                          (n=2,594)                    (n=1,911)
                            Institute for Empirical Sociology
                            at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                            University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16)               18/30
Most frequent destinations of the model participants
 in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible)
                                                                             School, vocational training, work
                              70
                                                                             Household chores
                                                                             Private trips
                                                   59,7
                              60                                             Leisure trips                              Shopping,
Percentage of respondents



                                                                                    52,6
                                                                                                                        bank,
                                                                                                                        public
                              50                                                                                        authorities,
                                                                             42,8                                       doctor
                                           40,9
                              40                                                                                        etc.
                                                                                                                 35,1

                              30


                              20

                                                                                                          9,4
                              10


                                0
                                          Monday - Sunday                    Monday - Friday            Saturday - Sunday
                                             (n=2,833)                          (n=2,594)                    (n=1,911)
                            Institute for Empirical Sociology
                            at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                            University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16)                     19/30
Most frequent destinations of the model participants
 in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible)
                                                                             School, vocational training, work
                              70
                                                           64,3              Household chores
                                                                             Private trips                              61,9
                                                   59,7
                              60                                             Leisure trips                                     Family,
Percentage of respondents



                                                                                    52,6
                                                                                                                               visiting
                                                                                                                               friends
                              50                                                           46,2                                etc.
                                                                             42,8
                                           40,9
                              40
                                                                                                                 35,1

                              30


                              20

                                                                                                          9,4
                              10


                                0
                                          Monday - Sunday                    Monday - Friday            Saturday - Sunday
                                             (n=2,833)                          (n=2,594)                    (n=1,911)
                            Institute for Empirical Sociology
                            at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                            University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16)                             20/30
Most frequent destinations of the model participants
 in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible)
                                                                             School, vocational training, work
                              70
                                                           64,3              Household chores
                                                                             Private trips                              61,9
                                                   59,7
                              60                                             Leisure trips                                            Sport,
Percentage of respondents



                                                                                    52,6                                              Hobby
                                                                                                                                      etc.
                              50                                                           46,2
                                                                  42,0       42,8
                                           40,9
                              40                                                                  36,6
                                                                                                                 35,1

                              30                                                                                               28,3



                              20

                                                                                                          9,4
                              10


                                0
                                          Monday - Sunday                    Monday - Friday             Saturday - Sunday
                                             (n=2,833)                          (n=2,594)                     (n=1,911)
                            Institute for Empirical Sociology
                            at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                            University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16)                                  21/30
Subjective indicators of building driving experience:
          During the last four weeks felt unsure …

                       40
                                   3 4 ,0                                                Wave 1
Percentage of unsafe
                                                                                         Wave 2

                       30                                                                Wave 3
   novice drivers

                                                         2 5, 7                          Wave 4

                                                                       19 , 0
                       20
                                                                                         12 , 2

                       10



                        0
                                  Wa v e 1             Wa v e 2       Wa v e 3          Wa v e 4
                                   (n = 2,254)          (n = 1,346)    (n = 913)         (n = 507)

                                                 …while ra pidly re s po nding
                                                 t o unf o re s e e n s it ua t io ns
   Institute for Empirical Sociology
   at the Friedrich-Alexander-
   University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 6-19a)              22/30
Subjective indicators of building driving experience:
     During the last four weeks felt unsure …

                         40
                                                                                  Wave 1
 unsafe novice drivers                                                            Wave 2
                                        2 7. 1                                    Wave 3
    Percentage of

                         30
                                                      2 3 .8                      Wave 4

                                                                    17.8
                         20

                                                                                  10 .3
                         10



                          0
                                       Wa v e 1      Wa v e 2      Wa v e 3      Wa v e 4
                                       (n = 3,037)   (n = 1,776)   (n = 1,140)    (n =611)

                              …while c o rre c t ly re c o gnis ing t he int e nt io ns
                                           o f o t he r ro a d us e rs
   Institute for Empirical Sociology
   at the Friedrich-Alexander-
   University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 6-19a)      23/30
Subjective indicators of building driving experience –
                                            as seen by the youth

                            100%                                                                                                4,2
                                     6,1       0,5                 0,7                 0,7                 0,7     11,8                  1,4                     Doesn't
Percentage of respondents




                                                        12,8                 8,6                 9,1                            6,3
                            90%                                                                                                                                  apply at all
                                            0,6                 1,6                1,6                 1,5
                            80%      30,6                                   27,7                                   25,7        30,8                              Rather
                            70%                                                                 33,0
                                                                                                                                                                 doesn't
                                                        41,6                                                                                      67,9           apply
                            60%
                                                                                                                                                                 Partly
                            50%                                                                                    29,8                                          applies
                            40%
                                                                                                                                                                 Rather
                            30%      62,1                                   61,3                                               57,3                              applies
                                                                                                55,7
                                                                                                                   16,9
                            20%                         43,3                                                                                      22,1
                                                                                                                                                                 Totally
                                                                                                                                           2,5                   applies
                            10%                                                                                    15,9                            6,2
                                                                                                                                          1,3
                             0%
                              I control the          I ever more          I become            I become       I sometimes      Another      I find it difficult
                                car better            often look          more and            more and         drive a bit   indicator    to make out any
                                                     ahead while           more re-          more confi-      faster than                     progress in
                                                        driving          laxed while         dent while         allowed                         driving
                                                                            driving             driving

                                   (n=2.984)          (n=2.978)           (n=2.982)          (n=2.980)           (n=2.973)   (n=365)            (n=2.650)



                                                               All model participants, 2nd panel wave

                               Institute for Empirical Sociology
                               at the Friedrich-Alexander-
                               University Erlangen-Nuremberg       Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 7-28)                                                          24/30
Summary (1 of 4)



• Impetus for participating in the accompanied driving
  model scheme:
  - largely from the youth themselves (85.7 %)
  - also by more than half of the parents (55.8 %)
• More than four out of five youth didn’t have difficulties in
  finding an attendant (supervising driver)
• Handing over of the driving test certificate:
  On average 5.1 months after the 17th birthday
     main reason for the delay: problems with time
     management


  Institute for Empirical Sociology
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                    25/30
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Summary (2 of 4)

• Reasons of the youth to participate in the model
  scheme:
  - request to drive a car (instrumental motive);
  - safety concerns; and
  - practical aspects
• Reasons of the parents (attendants) to participate in
  the model scheme as supervising drivers:
  - offering help and support to their children;
  - safety considerations;
  - making use of the practical aspects of the accompanied
    (supervised) driving model
    [reasons all equally prevalent]
  Institute for Empirical Sociology
  at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                26/30
  University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Summary (3 of 4)
• Mileage in the model:
 - Per day:    Ø 9.3 km (all), Ø 24.0 km (mobile youth)
 - Per week: Ø 65.0 km (all), Ø 71.7 km (mobile youth)
 - Per month: Ø 318.5 km
         Sample: approx. 2,400 km during 8 months;
         Extrapolation to 12 months duration of attendance
         (supervised driving): Potential of approx. 3,800 km
• Driving time (exposure duration):
 - Mostly rather short (up to approx. 30 minutes)
 - At weekend increase of longer trips
• Destinations:
 - Mon – Fri: School, vocational training / work,
              household chores
 - Sat – Sun: Private trips (Family, visiting friends)
Institute for Empirical Sociology
at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                    27/30
University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Summary (4 of 4)
• Subjective perception of the youth:
Strong indicators for building driving experience
Furthermore (as surveyed on the level of the Federal
States (the German „Länder“)):
• Crash data gathered by the police:
Prevalence of crashes while participating in the model
= very low
    extremely high safety during implementation of the
    model scheme
• Federal Motor Transport Authority:
Only few violations of the requirement to be accompanied
(supervised)
   no abuse of the accompanied driving model
Institute for Empirical Sociology
at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                28/30
University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Conclusion


The accompanied driving model can be characterized by:
• easy access
     Recommendation:
     To encourage youth – interested in obtaining a full
     privileged driver’s licence at age 18 – to start
     accompanied driving closer to their 17th birthday;
• good practicability
     Recommendation:
     To encourage the participants to drive more, together
     with an attendant (supervising driver);
• safe implementation

Institute for Empirical Sociology
at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                  29/30
University Erlangen-Nuremberg
Thank you very much for your attention!

                               For more information and
                        list of cited literature please contact:
                                  Tel.: ++49 – 911 – 23 565 32
                              walter.h.funk@ifes.uni-erlangen.de




Institute for Empirical Sociology
at the Friedrich-Alexander-                                        30/30
University Erlangen-Nuremberg

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Praesentation Walter Funk Icdbt 2011 Paris

  • 1. A New Scheme for Young Novice Drivers in Germany Dr. Walter Funk Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremberg (Germany) Wednesday 30 November 2011, 14 p.m., Salon Parisien, Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 01/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 2. Highest crash risk of novice drivers Problem: • Highest crash risk as a car Rate per million kilometres driver is initially after Accidents (offences) in Central licensing (in Germany up Register of Traffic Offenders till now right from age 18 males away as „full privileged“ driver) females • Substantial decrease of Years since licensure crash risk with increased driving experience (minus (cf. SCHADE 2001) 50% during the first 9 months, minus 90% during the first 2.6 years of driving) Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 02/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 3. Tackling young novice driver risk: Extended learning period through „Accompanied Driving“ Solution: Extending the Extended learning period relatively short through “Accompanied Driving from 17” formal driver age 16 age 17 age 18 education in learning period up to 18 month Learning period: up to 18 months professional “driving schools” driver training/ driving test only accompanied driving Begleitetes Fahren by a period in solo driving allowed driver training which the novice Process evaluation driving test is only allowed to Learning period: 3 3 to 6months learning period to 6 month drive while being accompanied by (cf. WILLMES-LENZ 2008: 137) an experienced driver. Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 03/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 4. Pre-conditions to participate in the model • From the age of 16 ½: Start of the mandatory pre-licence training and education for licences Class B / BE with a professional driving instructor in a so-called “driving school”; • Passing through the professional “driving school” curriculum; • Successful passing of the theoretical and the practical licensing tests; i.e.: Participants in the model pass exactly the same formal training and tests as regular licence acquirers; • From 17th birthday: Handing over of a certificate, allowing to drive a car in Germany (licences Class B / BE); Only one constraint: Driving is only allowed when accompanied by an experienced adult; • Age of 18: Replacement of the certificate by regular drivers licence (full driving privileges); Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 04/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 5. Qualifications of the experienced attendants (supervising drivers) The attendant (supervising driver): • must be at least 30 years old, • must have held a valid driver’s licence Class B for at least five years, • must not have more than three demerit points in Germany’s Central Register of Traffic Offenders (“traffic- sinner file”) and • must – at the start of the accompanied trip – have a BAC lower than 0.05 gm/100 ml, and must not be affected by intoxicants (illegal drugs); Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 05/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 6. Chronology of surveys in the panel Panel Wave 1 Panel Wave 2 Panel Wave 3 Panel Wave 4 Feb. 30, 2007 March 01, 2008 April 30, 2008 July 04, 2008 Attendant’s (Supervising (n = 1,735; driver’s) 45.9 %) questionnaire Participant’s Participant’s Participant’s Participant’s questionnaire questionnaire questionnaire questionnaire Closure Closure Closure Closure questionnaire questionnaire questionnaire questionnaire (n = 3,780; (n = 3,088; (n = 1,652; (n = 1,118; 60.9 %) 81.7 %) 85.1 %) 93.0 %) Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 2-2) 6/30
  • 7. Young novice drivers and most frequent attendants (supervising drivers) Novice drivers in the sample of the process evaluation (n = 3,780): • sex: 48.5 % male, 51.5 % female; • education: 66.8 % pupils, 31.6 % apprentices Most frequent attendants (supervising drivers) (according to the youth): • female, • 40-49 years old, • living in the same household with the novice driver; = own mother Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, sections 3.3 and 4.4) 7/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 8. Impulse for participating in the accompanied driving model (as stated by the novice driver) 90 85.7 80 Percentage of respondents 70 60 Multiple responses possible 55.8 (n = 3,047 respondents) 50 40 35.1 30 20 8,4 10.9 10 6.5 1.4 0 Myself My parents Peers Other Other non- Col- Other relatives relatives leagues motivation Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-7) 8/30
  • 9. Difficulties in finding an attendant (supervising driver)? (as stated by the novice driver) 90 84,8 80 Percentage of respondents 70 60 Multiple responses possible 50 (n = 3.680 respondents) 40 30 20 10,7 10 5,4 5,2 0,9 0,7 0 None Younger Holding Too many Other reason No parental than age 30 driver's demerit assent licence less points than three years Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-16); 9/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 10. Youth: Reasons for delayed driving licence acquisition • Time management problems (didn’t manage it earlier, started driver training later because of lack of time or training lasted longer than planned) • Financial problems (started driver training later or training lasted longer because of lack of money) • Change of mind concerning participation in the model (own change of mind or convinced by parents) • Lack of support (Convincing parents or finding another attendant) • „Rest category“ (other reasons, ignorance about accompanied driving, still got enough time to drive until my 18th birthday) Institute for Empirical Sociology Multiple responses: 5,892 answers from 2,938 respondents; at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-3) 10/30
  • 11. Youth: Reasons for participating in the model • Wish to drive a car (instrumental motive) [explaining 15.3 % of the variance] (probation time will end sooner; to sit behind the wheel as soon as possible; driving moped without accompaniment; licensure for certain at 18th birthday; more favourable car insurance tariff) • Safety motive [explaining 13.9 % of the variance] (to drive more safely as solo driver later; to feel safer at the start as novice driver; to show parents that I will later drive safe as solo driver) • Role model / Temporal equalisation of potential stressors [explaining 10.2 % of the variance] (older siblings / friends already participated; driving test otherwise parallel to much stress in school / vocational training) Institute for Empirical Sociology Multiple responses: 14,329 answers from 3,206 respondents; at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-8) 11/30
  • 12. Parents: Reasons for participating in the model • Help and support for their children [explaining 14.6 % of the variance] (to help the youth; to let her/him participate in my experience as car driver) • Practical reasons [explaining 14.6 % of the variance] (probation time will end sooner; more favourable car insurance tariff; equalisation of potential stressors in school / vocational training) • Safety concerns [explaining 14.1 % of the variance] (less worries, when youth drives solo later on; to assure themselves, that youth will drive safe and cautious) • Popularity motive and role model [ 11.6 % of the variance] (good experiences of relatives and friends; family member already participated in the model) Institute for Empirical Sociology Multiple responses: 6,536 answers from 1,720 respondents; at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 4-14) 12/30
  • 13. Mean daily mileage of all model participants Significant difference Previous School- Educa- Region Regional length of leaving Total Sex tional of type model qualification status origin participation of parents Mean daily m ileage in km 20 Mean Median 15,6 14,5 15 14,9 13,5 13,4 13,8 13,2 13,3 13,2 12,8 12,4 13,1 13,0 12,2 11,6 12,1 10 10,0 10,7 10,5 10,4 9,3 9,6 9,3 9,3 9,3 9,7 8,3 8,6 8,6 8,5 8,1 7,9 5 0 1) 7) 2) 8) 8) ) ) ) ) ) 3) ) ) ) ) ) 69 64 48 03 25 32 42 60 79 25 2 72 14 59 5 3 .2 .5 .2 .6 .3 =7 =7 .0 .0 .6 =5 =7 .2 2. n= 1. =3 =1 =1 =1 =1 =1 =1 =2 =1 (n (n n= (n n= (n l( (n (n (n (n (n (n (n (n (n s s l( ra l( s es th th th e e d l e s pi es ve Ru n ve at al al ne ze th on on tio on Pu at -le St M -le m on ni ai M M a M St Fe O ba Tr O er d. M 3 6 2 d. ll 1- 4- Fe om > Ur -1 9 Ti Fe 7- 10 w gl d Ne Ag Ol All model participants (including immobile ones); Questioned at all four panel waves; Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-25) 13/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 14. Mean daily mileage of mobile model participants Significant difference Previous School- Educa- Region length of leaving Regional Total Sex tional of model qualification type status origin participation of parents Mean daily mileage in km 36,5 Mean Median 37,6 40 35,0 34,1 32,1 33,7 31,7 34,1 33,0 32,4 31,3 31,2 31,3 32,1 30,1 28,5 30 26,3 26,2 27,3 26,1 20 24,0 24,3 24,6 23,3 23,3 24,3 25,1 25,0 22,5 23,0 23,0 21,0 10 0 ) 6) ) ) ) ) ) 6) ) 9) ) ) ) ) 4) 9) 41 65 38 07 07 03 40 85 51 83 75 53 04 28 0 7 .5 =5 .2 .0 .1 =6 =6 =7 .5 =7 =9 .5 .0 1. 2. 1. =2 =1 =1 =1 =1 =1 =3 (n (n (n (n (n (n n= n= n= (n (n (n (n (n (n (n s s es al s e l( l( l( th th th ne es ed s n ur e e ve at pi ve th io al al on on on ai at R St iz Pu -le -le m at M on Tr M M St an M Fe O er d. O M 3 6 2 rb d. m Fe ll 1- 4- > -1 9 Fe Ti U lo 7- 10 ew gg ld N A O Only actual mobile model participants; Questioned at all four panel waves; Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-40) 14/30
  • 15. Mean monthly mileage of all model participants Significant difference School- Region Previous Educa- length of Total Sex leaving of Regional tional model qualification origin type status participation of parents Mean monthly mileage in km 335,0 372,7 333,7 357,3 333,7 375 318,5 324,0 320,1 316,0 320,1 303,2 294,5 311,0 293,8 293,7 301,6 300 225 150 75 0 ) 6) ) ) 5) ) ) ) 8) ) ) ) ) ) ) 7) 42 79 64 25 03 07 59 80 84 59 96 11 54 08 29 0 .5 =5 .0 =6 =6 .1 .2 =7 .6 =7 =9 .4 .1 1. 2. 1. =2 =1 =1 =1 =1 =1 =3 (n (n (n (n (n (n n= n= n= (n (n (n (n (n (n (n s s es al e s l( l( l( ed th th th ne es s n ur e e ve at pi ve th io al al on on on iz ai at R St Pu -le -le m at M on an Tr M M St M Fe O er d. O M rb 3 6 2 d. m Fe ll 1- 4- > -1 9 U Fe Ti lo 7- 10 ew gg ld N A O All model participants; Questioned at all four panel waves; Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-64) 15/30
  • 16. Extrapolation of the mean monthly mileage to the mean total mileage in the model scheme 4.000 3.766,7 Mean duration of attendance: 8 months; 3.500 Mean mileage during this time: 2,400 km; 3.383,6 3.000 3.057,8 Mean mileage in km 2.723,4 2.500 2.395,0 2.000 2.060,4 1.752,5 1.500 1.479,6 1.139,7 1.000 835,5 500 514,6 257,3 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Duration of attendance in months Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-68) 16/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 17. Categories of driving time of the mobile model participants – reference week of the 1st panel wave 100% 2,6 2,7 2,0 2,9 3,4 1,8 2,6 2,1 2,3 2,1 2,7 7,9 9,5 Exposure 1,9 2,4 2,4 2,1 time 7,3 2,9 7,7 8,1 7,0 8,7 3,2 3,9 4,1 Longer than 11,5 10,3 1 hour 30 15,3 12,7 Percentage of respondents 14,4 13,6 9,9 minutes 75% Up to 1 hour 14,6 30 minutes 16,1 32,4 Up to 1 hour 32,0 15 minutes 33,0 33,4 33,8 50% 29,2 Up to 1 hour 28,0 Up to 45 minutes 25% 41,8 Up to 30 38,1 40,3 minutes 37,2 28,5 35,8 31,9 Up to 15 minutes 0% Monday Tuesday Wednes- Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday day (n = 1,267) (n = 1,264) (n = 1,274) (n = 1,236) (n = 1,491) (n = 1,400) (n = 1,142) Weekday Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 5-71) 17/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 18. Most frequent destinations of the model participants in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible) School, vocational training, work 70 Household chores Private trips 60 Leisure trips Percentage of respondents 50 42,8 40,9 40 30 20 9,4 10 0 Monday - Sunday Monday - Friday Saturday - Sunday (n=2,833) (n=2,594) (n=1,911) Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16) 18/30
  • 19. Most frequent destinations of the model participants in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible) School, vocational training, work 70 Household chores Private trips 59,7 60 Leisure trips Shopping, Percentage of respondents 52,6 bank, public 50 authorities, 42,8 doctor 40,9 40 etc. 35,1 30 20 9,4 10 0 Monday - Sunday Monday - Friday Saturday - Sunday (n=2,833) (n=2,594) (n=1,911) Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16) 19/30
  • 20. Most frequent destinations of the model participants in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible) School, vocational training, work 70 64,3 Household chores Private trips 61,9 59,7 60 Leisure trips Family, Percentage of respondents 52,6 visiting friends 50 46,2 etc. 42,8 40,9 40 35,1 30 20 9,4 10 0 Monday - Sunday Monday - Friday Saturday - Sunday (n=2,833) (n=2,594) (n=1,911) Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16) 20/30
  • 21. Most frequent destinations of the model participants in the 1st panel wave (multiple responses possible) School, vocational training, work 70 64,3 Household chores Private trips 61,9 59,7 60 Leisure trips Sport, Percentage of respondents 52,6 Hobby etc. 50 46,2 42,0 42,8 40,9 40 36,6 35,1 30 28,3 20 9,4 10 0 Monday - Sunday Monday - Friday Saturday - Sunday (n=2,833) (n=2,594) (n=1,911) Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, table 5-16) 21/30
  • 22. Subjective indicators of building driving experience: During the last four weeks felt unsure … 40 3 4 ,0 Wave 1 Percentage of unsafe Wave 2 30 Wave 3 novice drivers 2 5, 7 Wave 4 19 , 0 20 12 , 2 10 0 Wa v e 1 Wa v e 2 Wa v e 3 Wa v e 4 (n = 2,254) (n = 1,346) (n = 913) (n = 507) …while ra pidly re s po nding t o unf o re s e e n s it ua t io ns Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 6-19a) 22/30
  • 23. Subjective indicators of building driving experience: During the last four weeks felt unsure … 40 Wave 1 unsafe novice drivers Wave 2 2 7. 1 Wave 3 Percentage of 30 2 3 .8 Wave 4 17.8 20 10 .3 10 0 Wa v e 1 Wa v e 2 Wa v e 3 Wa v e 4 (n = 3,037) (n = 1,776) (n = 1,140) (n =611) …while c o rre c t ly re c o gnis ing t he int e nt io ns o f o t he r ro a d us e rs Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 6-19a) 23/30
  • 24. Subjective indicators of building driving experience – as seen by the youth 100% 4,2 6,1 0,5 0,7 0,7 0,7 11,8 1,4 Doesn't Percentage of respondents 12,8 8,6 9,1 6,3 90% apply at all 0,6 1,6 1,6 1,5 80% 30,6 27,7 25,7 30,8 Rather 70% 33,0 doesn't 41,6 67,9 apply 60% Partly 50% 29,8 applies 40% Rather 30% 62,1 61,3 57,3 applies 55,7 16,9 20% 43,3 22,1 Totally 2,5 applies 10% 15,9 6,2 1,3 0% I control the I ever more I become I become I sometimes Another I find it difficult car better often look more and more and drive a bit indicator to make out any ahead while more re- more confi- faster than progress in driving laxed while dent while allowed driving driving driving (n=2.984) (n=2.978) (n=2.982) (n=2.980) (n=2.973) (n=365) (n=2.650) All model participants, 2nd panel wave Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- University Erlangen-Nuremberg Reference: FUNK, GRÜNINGER (2010, picture 7-28) 24/30
  • 25. Summary (1 of 4) • Impetus for participating in the accompanied driving model scheme: - largely from the youth themselves (85.7 %) - also by more than half of the parents (55.8 %) • More than four out of five youth didn’t have difficulties in finding an attendant (supervising driver) • Handing over of the driving test certificate: On average 5.1 months after the 17th birthday main reason for the delay: problems with time management Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 25/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 26. Summary (2 of 4) • Reasons of the youth to participate in the model scheme: - request to drive a car (instrumental motive); - safety concerns; and - practical aspects • Reasons of the parents (attendants) to participate in the model scheme as supervising drivers: - offering help and support to their children; - safety considerations; - making use of the practical aspects of the accompanied (supervised) driving model [reasons all equally prevalent] Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 26/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 27. Summary (3 of 4) • Mileage in the model: - Per day: Ø 9.3 km (all), Ø 24.0 km (mobile youth) - Per week: Ø 65.0 km (all), Ø 71.7 km (mobile youth) - Per month: Ø 318.5 km Sample: approx. 2,400 km during 8 months; Extrapolation to 12 months duration of attendance (supervised driving): Potential of approx. 3,800 km • Driving time (exposure duration): - Mostly rather short (up to approx. 30 minutes) - At weekend increase of longer trips • Destinations: - Mon – Fri: School, vocational training / work, household chores - Sat – Sun: Private trips (Family, visiting friends) Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 27/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 28. Summary (4 of 4) • Subjective perception of the youth: Strong indicators for building driving experience Furthermore (as surveyed on the level of the Federal States (the German „Länder“)): • Crash data gathered by the police: Prevalence of crashes while participating in the model = very low extremely high safety during implementation of the model scheme • Federal Motor Transport Authority: Only few violations of the requirement to be accompanied (supervised) no abuse of the accompanied driving model Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 28/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 29. Conclusion The accompanied driving model can be characterized by: • easy access Recommendation: To encourage youth – interested in obtaining a full privileged driver’s licence at age 18 – to start accompanied driving closer to their 17th birthday; • good practicability Recommendation: To encourage the participants to drive more, together with an attendant (supervising driver); • safe implementation Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 29/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg
  • 30. Thank you very much for your attention! For more information and list of cited literature please contact: Tel.: ++49 – 911 – 23 565 32 walter.h.funk@ifes.uni-erlangen.de Institute for Empirical Sociology at the Friedrich-Alexander- 30/30 University Erlangen-Nuremberg