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MULTIPLE ‐STRATEGY 
                                                           TREND RATED 
                                              AUTOMATIC TRADING SYSTEM
     Portfolio Management Services (PMS)
               Performance Update
                 31 March 2011

Vivek Mavani – Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager
BRICS Growth Synopsis

  BRICS Growth is a Long only Diversified Equity Product aimed at generating Absolute Returns

  The Objective is :

        To generate Steady & Consistent returns over medium to long term

        Maintain Low Volatility

        Margin of Safety
           g           y

  The Focus is therefore on Stock Picking with a Buy and Hold philosophy

        Invest in high quality and high growth companies at reasonable valuations and hold them
        over a period of time. (Not trade in & out frequently)

  Our conservative approach to managing investments, (especially during periods of volatility) is
  reflected in our superior performance.
Market Update and Outlook
The
Th corrective phase of November 2010-February 2011, made a b tt
            ti   h       fN        b 2010 F b      2011      d    bottom i th l t week of F b
                                                                         in the last    k f February.
March 2011 witnessed a sharp rally in most indices on the back of short squeeze and significant FII flows.
Interest rate sensitive sectors (Banking, Auto & Real Estate) which had fallen the sharpest in the correction
were the first and fastest to rally from the lows

FII’s driven liquidity had dried up during the corrective phase. Surprisingly FII’s poured in over $ billion
                                                                                                   $2
during March 2011 (largely through ETF funds) driving up the index and large caps stocks sharply.
Participation from the broader markets came in only towards the end of the month

Going forward, the stocks from the broad markets offer the best opportunity as they catch up with the
larger cap peers on back of valuations having corrected significantly and some degree of clarity on
earnings growth closer to the earnings season

We did manage to limit the downside, which is always a huge challenge when markets correct sharply
across the board. Selectively, we did bottom fishing at lower levels to p
                            y                      g                    participate in the eventual upside
                                                                               p                     p
                Fall from   Fall YTD    Gains from                       Fall from   Fall YTD    Gains from
  Index                                               Index
                  Peak        2011       the Lows                          Peak        2011       the Lows
  Nifty          -7.58%      -4.90%       11.63%     Sensex                -7.43%     -5.19%       11.35%
  Bank Nifty    -11.78%
                -11 78%      -0.73%
                             -0 73%       16.19%
                                          16 19%     BSE Auto             -10.81%
                                                                          -10 81%     -9.23%
                                                                                      -9 23%       13.15%
                                                                                                   13 15%
  S&P 500       -11.00%      -6.37%       11.10%     BSE Capital Goods    -20.76%    -14.15%       6.90%
  CNX Mid Cap   -17.81%      -9.22%       10.36%     BSE FMCG              -5.20%     -2.39%       12.62%
  CNX IT         -5.27%      -4.58%       6.36%      BSE Metals           -10.02%     -8.15%       6.06%
  CNX Realty    -41.06%
                 41 06%     -17.54%
                             17 54%       14.34%
                                          14 34%     BSE Oil & Gas         -8.42%
                                                                            8 42%     -3.40%
                                                                                       3 40%       12.05%
                                                                                                   12 05%
Portfolio Update and Outlook (Cont’d)
Dilemma during the corrective phase in the markets:
Dil     d i    th        ti    h    i th      k t

      Sell the portfolio and stay liquid and attempt to re-enter at lower levels

      Stay put holding the portfolio and see a temporary erosion in value

We did both selectively

During the month:

      We started the month of March with ~20% cash levels. We added little to our existing positions and more or
      less stayed put. Thi was after having d l
      l     t   d t This           ft h i deployed significant cash b l
                                                 d i ifi     t    h balances i F b
                                                                              in February at lower levels. Th
                                                                                            tl      l   l The
      significant cash balances (30+% at the peak) helped us limit the large downsides as well as helped us
      in bottom fishing at lower levels

      Our conviction in the Technology sector (Infosys & TCS), and Capital Goods Sectors (BHEL), reiterated
      several times earlier helped us in the upside participation as they being index heavy weights were among
                    earlier,
      the fast gainers in the rally during March

Selectively Mid-Caps continue to be an attractive space as individual performances are likely to shine in the
medium-long term. We added marginally to our mid-cap holdings where risk return scenario is favourable. Mid-
caps have yet to participate in a meaningful manner but we hold a very high degree of conviction in them and will
stay put

Markets in 2011 are more likely to test Conviction & Patience. Stock picking is likely to be the key in
generating superior returns

However, Credo of Sticking to Quality will always remain and will never be compromised
Absolute Performance – 31 March 2011


                                                                                     Since
                          Weekly   Monthly    Quarterly   Half Yearly   Annual
                                                                                   Inception
                                                                                       p


BRICS Growth               4.23%   5.41%       -7.09%       -5.65%      23.07%      40.30%


NIFTY                      5.64%   9.38%       -4.90%       -3.25%      11.14%      14.76%


SENSEX                     5.96%   9.10%       -5.19%       -3.11%      10.94%      13.48%


S&P CNX 500                4.99%   8.93%       -6.37%       -6.06%      7.26%       12.32%


S&P CNX MIDCAP             3.78%
                           3 78%   9.09%
                                   9 09%       -9.22%
                                                9 22%      -12.27%
                                                            12 27%      4.35%
                                                                        4 35%       20.04%
                                                                                    20 04%


Inception Date: 1 October, 2009              Portfolio returns are audited and after deducting
                                             fees (including performance fees) & other expenses
                                                  (        gp                  )          p
Performance keeping pace, if not ahead of the Indices
 Month    BRICS Growth    Nifty    Sensex    S&P CNX 500   CNX Mid Cap
 Oct-09      -0.67%      -7.31%    -7.23%      -6.46%        -1.77%
 Nov-09      2.79%       6.81%     6.48%        7.59%         8.65%
 Dec-09      6.27%       3.35%     3.18%        4.43%         3.97%
 Jan-10      -1.84%      -6.13%    -6.34%      -4.00%        -3.11%
 Feb-10      0.75%       0.82%     0.44%       -0.69%        -0.48%
 Mar-10      6.24%       6.64%     6.68%        4.50%         7.50%
 Apr-10
 A 10        3.77%
             3 %         0.55%
                         0 %       0.18%
                                   0 18%        1.27%
                                                12 %          4.62%
                                                              4 62%
 May-10      1.86%       -3.63%    -3.50%      -3.24%        -3.79%
 Jun-10      5.81%       4.45%     3.83%        4.59%         4.83%
 Jul-10      3.84%       1.04%     1.56%        1.23%         3.50%
 Aug-10      7.25%       0.65%     0.58%        1.39%         3.14%
 Sep-10      4.13%       11.35%    11.30%       8.06%         4.88%
 Oct-10      4.03%       0.44%     0.38%        0.95%         1.68%
 Nov-10
 N   10      -4.26%
              4 26%      -2.58%
                          2 58%    -2.55%
                                    2 55%      -3.85%
                                                3 85%        -4.84%
                                                              4 84%
 Dec-10      2.02%       4.64%     5.06%        3.34%        -0.56%
 Jan-11      -9.47%      -10.25%   -10.64%     -10.45%       -10.55%
 Feb-11      -2.78%      -3.14%    -2.75%      -4.01%        -6.97%
 Mar-11      5.41%       9.38%     9.10%        8.93%         9.09%
Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds as of 31 March 2011
                                                                         Ranked on 1 year returns
                                                                                    Performance
 Rank                                 Scheme Name
                                                                                     1 Year %
  1     BRICS Growth                                                                   23.07
  2     ICICI Prudential Focused Blue chip Equity Fund - IP I - Growth
                                  Blue-chip                                            19.97
                                                                                       19 97
  3     HDFC Equity Fund - Growth                                                      19.89
  4     Reliance Quant Plus Fund - Ret - Growth                                        19.70
  5     Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth                                         19.03
  6     Escorts High Yield Equity Plan - Growth                                        19.03
  7     HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth                                            18.48
  8     HDFC Growth Fund - Growth                                                      18.04
  9     Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth                                                  18.02
  10    Fidelity India Growth Fund - Growth                                            17.88
  11    ING Dividend Yield Fund - Growth                                               17.46
  12    Canara Robeco FORCE Fund - Ret - Growth                                        17.36
  13    HDFC Top 200 - Growth                                                          17.15
  14    IDFC Strategic Sector (50-50) Equity Fund - Plan B - Growth                    16.70
  15    UTI Master Value Fund - Growth                                                 16.55
  16    Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Pl s - Gro th
              S n      Di idend       Plus Growth                                      16.33
                                                                                       16 33
  17    UTI Dividend Yield Fund - Growth                                               16.03
  18    Reliance NRI Equity Fund - Growth                                              15.91
  19    Kotak Lifestyle Fund - Growth                                                  15.72
  20    ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan - FII Growth                                     15.67

        The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
BRICS Growth NAV Trend

  Performance has been a result of our:                    BRICS Growth NAV v/s Indices (normalised)
        Stock Picking
                                               160
        Low churn in the portfolio, and
                                               155
        Conservative attitude (not taking
                                               150
        excessive risks)
                                               145
                                               140
  Our Strategy has been to :
                                               135
       Buy during panics/declines
                                               130
       Use sharp rallies to partially book
                                               125
       profits
       Opportunistically ride the momentum     120

       for a part of the portfolio (<15%)      115

       Remain adequately liquid at all times   110
                                               105

  Adequate liquidity helps :                   100

      Protect against volatility               95
      Provides enough courage and              90
      conviction to buy into p
                        y    panics            85

                                                     1‐Oct‐09




                                                                                                 1‐Feb‐10




                                                                                                                                                         1‐Aug‐10
                                                                                                                                                                    1‐Sep‐10
                                                                                                                                                                               1‐Oct‐10




                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1‐Feb‐11
                                                                1‐Nov‐09
                                                                           1‐Dec‐09
                                                                                      1‐Jan‐10

                                                                                                 1‐Mar‐10
                                                                                                            1‐Apr‐10
                                                                                                                       1‐May‐10
                                                                                                                                   1‐Jun‐10
                                                                                                                                              1‐Jul‐10




                                                                                                                                                                                          1‐Nov‐10
                                                                                                                                                                                                     1‐Dec‐10
                                                                                                                                                                                                                1‐Jan‐11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1‐Mar‐11
  Current cash/liquid balances at ~17% of
  the Portfolio                                                                 BRICS Growth                                      Nifty                                                   Sensex
                                                                                S&P 500                                           CNX Midcap
BRICS Growth Outperformance Trend
  BRICS Growth has delivered absolute & consistent returns across different market phases
         Significant out-performance in a range bound volatile market, (Stock Picking was the Key)
         Kept pace even during the sharp rally (Buy and Hold, Profit booking at higher levels)
         The fall in NAV during the corrective phase was in line with the Indices (in spite of having several
         high beta stocks in the portfolio, banking, mid-caps etc.). Large cash balances helped limit the
         downside)
         Rise in NAV lower than Large Cap Indices, (Stocks from broad markets, Mid-caps etc. lagged in
         upside participation. They are expected to catch up in the coming weeks)

                     1 Oct. 2009 ─     25 May 2010 ─     5 Nov. 2010 ─ 31   5 Nov. 2010 - 10   10 Feb 2011 –
Date
                     25 May 2010        5 Nov. 2010         March 2011         Feb.2011        31 March 2011
                     Range bound      Rally across the    Fall from the                        Rise from the
Market Scenario                                                             Peak to Trough
                       market              board              Peak                                Low s
                                                                                                  Low’s
BRICS Growth            15.70%            36.73%            -11.31%            -17.76%            7.84%
Nifty                   -5.44%            31.32%             -7.58%            -17.21%            11.63%
Sensex                  -6.50%            31.10%             -7.43%            -16.86%            11.35%
S&P 500                 -2.84%            29.86%            -10.98%            -19.87%            11.10%
CNX Mid-Cap             10.32%            31.54%            -17.29%            -24.66%           10.36%
Bank Nifty              -0.10%            49.90%            -11.78%            -24.08%           16.19%
How did we do during periods of Volatility

   How much a portfolio falls during a         12 Biggest Falls between Oct.-’09 – Mar.-’11
   correction / sharp downturn is as
   important as how much it gains in a                       Points               Points               % Fall -
                                                                       % Fall -             % Fall -
                                                  Date        Fall -               Fall -              BRICS
   bull market                                                          Nifty               Sensex
                                                              Nifty               Sensex               Growth
   Protecting capital is often more            24-Feb-2011   -174.65   -3.21%     -545.92   -3.00%     -2.01%
   important during periods of volatility
                                               27-Jan-2010   -159.65   -3.19%     -490.64   -2.92%     -2.29%
   Downside        protection     equally
   contributes to superior returns over a
                    p                          03-Nov-2009   -147.80   -3.14%     -491.34   -3.09%     -0.36%
   period of time
                                               19-May-2010   -146.55   -2.89%     -467.27   -2.77%     -0.84%
   We have managed to fall less than
   the indices during each of the sharp        25-May-2010   -137.20   -2.78%     -447.07   -2.71%     -1.62%
   falls / panics since our inception          05 Feb 2010
                                               05-Feb-2010   -126 70
                                                              126.70   -2 61%
                                                                        2.61%     -434 02
                                                                                   434.02   -2 68%
                                                                                             2.68%     -0 47%
                                                                                                        0.47%
   Large liquidity during periods of           27-Oct-2009   -124.20   -2.50%     -387.10   -2.31%     -0.65%
   volatility & a low beta portfolio helped.
                                               21-Jan-2010   -127.55   -2.44%     -423.35   -2.42%     -1.32%
                                    CNX        10-Jan-2011
                                               10 J 2011     -141.75
                                                              141 75   -2.40%
                                                                        2 40%     -467.69
                                                                                   467 69   -2.38%
                                                                                             2 38%     -1.92%
                                                                                                        1 92%
Against     Nifty      Sensex
                                   Midcap
                                               07-Jan-2011   -143.65   -2.38%     -492.93   -2.44%     -1.48%
 Beta *    0.5341      0.5341      0.5365
                                               04-Feb-2011   -131.00   -2.37%     -441.16   -2.39%     -1.18%
  *Beta measures the volatility of the
                                 y
     portfolio relative to the index           09-Dec-2010   -137.20   -2.32%     -454.12   -2.31%     -2.18%
Portfolio Breakup

            Market Cap Breakup                                            Sectoral Allocation
                                                                                 Oil & Gas
                                                                                  11.69%
                                                                                             Automobiles
        Cash                                                                                   6.62%
       17.15%                                            Infrastructure                              Banking &
                                                           & Capital                                   Finance
                                                             Goods                                      6.65%
                                                            18.79%

                                                                                                        Branded
                                     Large Cap
                                                                                                       Garments &
                                      49.65%
                                                                                                         Retail
Small Cap                                                                                               13.34%
 23.74%                                                 Information
                                                        Technology
                                                          12.57%

                                                                      Consumer                  Cash 17.15%
                Mid C
                    Cap                                                Goods
                                                                       G d
                 9.46%                                                 13.19%




                          Large Cap.        More than Rs 5,000 crores
                          Mid-Cap.          Rs 1,000 - 5,000 crores
                          Small Cap.        Less than Rs 1,000 crores
Low Portfolio Turnover (Buy & Hold at work)

                                                   Portfolio Turnover                             Re-deployed part of
1.00                                                                                               liquid balances by
                                                                                                  buying on declines
0.90
0 90


0.80                                                                   Turnover increased as
                                                                         we partly booked
                                                                       profits at higher levels
0.70


0.60


0.50


0.40


0.30


0.20


0.10


0.00
       Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11
Market Outlook
Global macro economic scenario and higher commodity prices likely to pose risks and have repercussions on
India. However, risks now seem to be receding. Commodities are nearing peak, if not peaked out already

Domestic concerns (macro economic issues, inflation on the back of rising commodity prices etc.) progressively
easing off. Focus back on corporate performances and earnings growth and outlook

Continued high inflation could result in further tightening of liquidity. Although there is still some way to go before
the interest rate cycle peaks out later this year, higher cost of capital (on back of higher interest rates)
already factored in

Global liquidity (driver for FII flows) have resumed in March 2011 after a brief withdrawal during December 2010
                                                                                                            2010-
February2011 when FII’s were net sellers

Valuations have corrected significantly in the last four-five months, they are now beginning to look reasonable and
cheap when seen in light of growth outlook. Earnings could surprise on the positive side especially for non-index
(mid cap)
(mid-cap) companies

As long as earnings don’t disappoint going forward, its going to be a market of buying opportunities on declines.
However, one would have to be careful about earnings slowing down due to:

      Increasing interest rates and tight liquidity, making capital raising both difficult and expensive

      Higher commodity prices across the board, pressure already beginning to be felt

      Little flexibility in revising the end product prices, thus putting pressure on margins

If any the above three factors play out, earnings estimates for FY12 could be revised down especially for
sectors/stocks that are sensitive to interest rates and commodities cycle
Market Outlook (cont’d)
The key Investment Theme in 2011

Focus on stocks/sectors where growth in sales and earnings is not sensitive to:

      Interest rates (both for themselves as well as their end customers)

      They have reasonable pricing power to pass on higher costs and, thus protect margins

Valuations v/s growth favour bottom up stock picking across the spectrum (large and mid-cap), rather
than top-down approach. Individual performances will have a wide variance compared to the peer
group as well I di
            ll Indices

Stocks/Sectors to avoid are those where growth is dependent on fresh issue of capital (both debt and
equity). Tight liquidity and inability to raise capital effectively could have serious implications on growth.
Focus on Free Cash-flows

Pockets of opportunities are where growth is steady and sustainable, are adequately funded and
valuations leave room for upside

It is quite possible, that in 2011 will see indices in a broad range but individual stocks could give excellent
returns. St k picking will be the key
   t      Stock i ki         ill b th k

It is a good time to build a high quality long term portfolio by Buying on Declines

However, Markets in 2011 are likely to Test Conviction & Patience as returns may not come fast and
easy
Our Strategy
“Time” in the markets is more important than “Timing” the markets


Superior long-term sustainable returns are not made by timing the markets in terms of selling at the
p
peaks. They are a result of purchase prices that are attractive in terms of valuations with adequate
           y                p         p                                                        q
Margin of Safety


Our strategy going ahead would continue to be, bottom up stock picking and be extremely selective:
     Buy
     B on declines
          d li
     Use sharp rallies to partially book profits
     Opportunistically ride the momentum for only a small part of the portfolio
     Remain adequately liquid at all times
               q     y q


The sectors that we are bullish and continue to be over weight are:
     Technology (Software Services),
     Capital Goods and Infrastructure Construction
     Oil and Gas including Gas Transportation & Distribution,
     Domestic Consumption themes like Consumer Goods, Paints, Branded Garments, etc.
Happy Investing

              Thank You
Vivek Mavani – Vice President & Senior Portfolio Manager
          vivek.mavani@bricssecurities.com

             BRICS SECURITIES LIMITED
             1st Floor, Sadhana House,
             570, P. B. Marg,
             Behind Mahindra Towers,
             Worli, Mumbai – 400 018.
             Tel: 91-22-6636 0000.
                  91 22 6636 0000

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BRICS Growth Synopsis and Performance Update

  • 1. MULTIPLE ‐STRATEGY  TREND RATED  AUTOMATIC TRADING SYSTEM Portfolio Management Services (PMS) Performance Update 31 March 2011 Vivek Mavani – Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager
  • 2. BRICS Growth Synopsis BRICS Growth is a Long only Diversified Equity Product aimed at generating Absolute Returns The Objective is : To generate Steady & Consistent returns over medium to long term Maintain Low Volatility Margin of Safety g y The Focus is therefore on Stock Picking with a Buy and Hold philosophy Invest in high quality and high growth companies at reasonable valuations and hold them over a period of time. (Not trade in & out frequently) Our conservative approach to managing investments, (especially during periods of volatility) is reflected in our superior performance.
  • 3. Market Update and Outlook The Th corrective phase of November 2010-February 2011, made a b tt ti h fN b 2010 F b 2011 d bottom i th l t week of F b in the last k f February. March 2011 witnessed a sharp rally in most indices on the back of short squeeze and significant FII flows. Interest rate sensitive sectors (Banking, Auto & Real Estate) which had fallen the sharpest in the correction were the first and fastest to rally from the lows FII’s driven liquidity had dried up during the corrective phase. Surprisingly FII’s poured in over $ billion $2 during March 2011 (largely through ETF funds) driving up the index and large caps stocks sharply. Participation from the broader markets came in only towards the end of the month Going forward, the stocks from the broad markets offer the best opportunity as they catch up with the larger cap peers on back of valuations having corrected significantly and some degree of clarity on earnings growth closer to the earnings season We did manage to limit the downside, which is always a huge challenge when markets correct sharply across the board. Selectively, we did bottom fishing at lower levels to p y g participate in the eventual upside p p Fall from Fall YTD Gains from Fall from Fall YTD Gains from Index Index Peak 2011 the Lows Peak 2011 the Lows Nifty -7.58% -4.90% 11.63% Sensex -7.43% -5.19% 11.35% Bank Nifty -11.78% -11 78% -0.73% -0 73% 16.19% 16 19% BSE Auto -10.81% -10 81% -9.23% -9 23% 13.15% 13 15% S&P 500 -11.00% -6.37% 11.10% BSE Capital Goods -20.76% -14.15% 6.90% CNX Mid Cap -17.81% -9.22% 10.36% BSE FMCG -5.20% -2.39% 12.62% CNX IT -5.27% -4.58% 6.36% BSE Metals -10.02% -8.15% 6.06% CNX Realty -41.06% 41 06% -17.54% 17 54% 14.34% 14 34% BSE Oil & Gas -8.42% 8 42% -3.40% 3 40% 12.05% 12 05%
  • 4. Portfolio Update and Outlook (Cont’d) Dilemma during the corrective phase in the markets: Dil d i th ti h i th k t Sell the portfolio and stay liquid and attempt to re-enter at lower levels Stay put holding the portfolio and see a temporary erosion in value We did both selectively During the month: We started the month of March with ~20% cash levels. We added little to our existing positions and more or less stayed put. Thi was after having d l l t d t This ft h i deployed significant cash b l d i ifi t h balances i F b in February at lower levels. Th tl l l The significant cash balances (30+% at the peak) helped us limit the large downsides as well as helped us in bottom fishing at lower levels Our conviction in the Technology sector (Infosys & TCS), and Capital Goods Sectors (BHEL), reiterated several times earlier helped us in the upside participation as they being index heavy weights were among earlier, the fast gainers in the rally during March Selectively Mid-Caps continue to be an attractive space as individual performances are likely to shine in the medium-long term. We added marginally to our mid-cap holdings where risk return scenario is favourable. Mid- caps have yet to participate in a meaningful manner but we hold a very high degree of conviction in them and will stay put Markets in 2011 are more likely to test Conviction & Patience. Stock picking is likely to be the key in generating superior returns However, Credo of Sticking to Quality will always remain and will never be compromised
  • 5. Absolute Performance – 31 March 2011 Since Weekly Monthly Quarterly Half Yearly Annual Inception p BRICS Growth 4.23% 5.41% -7.09% -5.65% 23.07% 40.30% NIFTY 5.64% 9.38% -4.90% -3.25% 11.14% 14.76% SENSEX 5.96% 9.10% -5.19% -3.11% 10.94% 13.48% S&P CNX 500 4.99% 8.93% -6.37% -6.06% 7.26% 12.32% S&P CNX MIDCAP 3.78% 3 78% 9.09% 9 09% -9.22% 9 22% -12.27% 12 27% 4.35% 4 35% 20.04% 20 04% Inception Date: 1 October, 2009 Portfolio returns are audited and after deducting fees (including performance fees) & other expenses ( gp ) p
  • 6. Performance keeping pace, if not ahead of the Indices Month BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex S&P CNX 500 CNX Mid Cap Oct-09 -0.67% -7.31% -7.23% -6.46% -1.77% Nov-09 2.79% 6.81% 6.48% 7.59% 8.65% Dec-09 6.27% 3.35% 3.18% 4.43% 3.97% Jan-10 -1.84% -6.13% -6.34% -4.00% -3.11% Feb-10 0.75% 0.82% 0.44% -0.69% -0.48% Mar-10 6.24% 6.64% 6.68% 4.50% 7.50% Apr-10 A 10 3.77% 3 % 0.55% 0 % 0.18% 0 18% 1.27% 12 % 4.62% 4 62% May-10 1.86% -3.63% -3.50% -3.24% -3.79% Jun-10 5.81% 4.45% 3.83% 4.59% 4.83% Jul-10 3.84% 1.04% 1.56% 1.23% 3.50% Aug-10 7.25% 0.65% 0.58% 1.39% 3.14% Sep-10 4.13% 11.35% 11.30% 8.06% 4.88% Oct-10 4.03% 0.44% 0.38% 0.95% 1.68% Nov-10 N 10 -4.26% 4 26% -2.58% 2 58% -2.55% 2 55% -3.85% 3 85% -4.84% 4 84% Dec-10 2.02% 4.64% 5.06% 3.34% -0.56% Jan-11 -9.47% -10.25% -10.64% -10.45% -10.55% Feb-11 -2.78% -3.14% -2.75% -4.01% -6.97% Mar-11 5.41% 9.38% 9.10% 8.93% 9.09%
  • 7. Compared to Top 20 Mutual Funds as of 31 March 2011 Ranked on 1 year returns Performance Rank Scheme Name 1 Year % 1 BRICS Growth 23.07 2 ICICI Prudential Focused Blue chip Equity Fund - IP I - Growth Blue-chip 19.97 19 97 3 HDFC Equity Fund - Growth 19.89 4 Reliance Quant Plus Fund - Ret - Growth 19.70 5 Quantum Long-Term Equity Fund - Growth 19.03 6 Escorts High Yield Equity Plan - Growth 19.03 7 HDFC Long Term Equity Fund - Growth 18.48 8 HDFC Growth Fund - Growth 18.04 9 Fidelity Equity Fund - Growth 18.02 10 Fidelity India Growth Fund - Growth 17.88 11 ING Dividend Yield Fund - Growth 17.46 12 Canara Robeco FORCE Fund - Ret - Growth 17.36 13 HDFC Top 200 - Growth 17.15 14 IDFC Strategic Sector (50-50) Equity Fund - Plan B - Growth 16.70 15 UTI Master Value Fund - Growth 16.55 16 Birla Sun Life Dividend Yield Pl s - Gro th S n Di idend Plus Growth 16.33 16 33 17 UTI Dividend Yield Fund - Growth 16.03 18 Reliance NRI Equity Fund - Growth 15.91 19 Kotak Lifestyle Fund - Growth 15.72 20 ICICI Prudential Dynamic Plan - FII Growth 15.67 The comparison includes 250 Diversified Equity Funds across all Fund Houses
  • 8. BRICS Growth NAV Trend Performance has been a result of our: BRICS Growth NAV v/s Indices (normalised) Stock Picking 160 Low churn in the portfolio, and 155 Conservative attitude (not taking 150 excessive risks) 145 140 Our Strategy has been to : 135 Buy during panics/declines 130 Use sharp rallies to partially book 125 profits Opportunistically ride the momentum 120 for a part of the portfolio (<15%) 115 Remain adequately liquid at all times 110 105 Adequate liquidity helps : 100 Protect against volatility 95 Provides enough courage and 90 conviction to buy into p y panics 85 1‐Oct‐09 1‐Feb‐10 1‐Aug‐10 1‐Sep‐10 1‐Oct‐10 1‐Feb‐11 1‐Nov‐09 1‐Dec‐09 1‐Jan‐10 1‐Mar‐10 1‐Apr‐10 1‐May‐10 1‐Jun‐10 1‐Jul‐10 1‐Nov‐10 1‐Dec‐10 1‐Jan‐11 1‐Mar‐11 Current cash/liquid balances at ~17% of the Portfolio BRICS Growth Nifty Sensex S&P 500 CNX Midcap
  • 9. BRICS Growth Outperformance Trend BRICS Growth has delivered absolute & consistent returns across different market phases Significant out-performance in a range bound volatile market, (Stock Picking was the Key) Kept pace even during the sharp rally (Buy and Hold, Profit booking at higher levels) The fall in NAV during the corrective phase was in line with the Indices (in spite of having several high beta stocks in the portfolio, banking, mid-caps etc.). Large cash balances helped limit the downside) Rise in NAV lower than Large Cap Indices, (Stocks from broad markets, Mid-caps etc. lagged in upside participation. They are expected to catch up in the coming weeks) 1 Oct. 2009 ─ 25 May 2010 ─ 5 Nov. 2010 ─ 31 5 Nov. 2010 - 10 10 Feb 2011 – Date 25 May 2010 5 Nov. 2010 March 2011 Feb.2011 31 March 2011 Range bound Rally across the Fall from the Rise from the Market Scenario Peak to Trough market board Peak Low s Low’s BRICS Growth 15.70% 36.73% -11.31% -17.76% 7.84% Nifty -5.44% 31.32% -7.58% -17.21% 11.63% Sensex -6.50% 31.10% -7.43% -16.86% 11.35% S&P 500 -2.84% 29.86% -10.98% -19.87% 11.10% CNX Mid-Cap 10.32% 31.54% -17.29% -24.66% 10.36% Bank Nifty -0.10% 49.90% -11.78% -24.08% 16.19%
  • 10. How did we do during periods of Volatility How much a portfolio falls during a 12 Biggest Falls between Oct.-’09 – Mar.-’11 correction / sharp downturn is as important as how much it gains in a Points Points % Fall - % Fall - % Fall - Date Fall - Fall - BRICS bull market Nifty Sensex Nifty Sensex Growth Protecting capital is often more 24-Feb-2011 -174.65 -3.21% -545.92 -3.00% -2.01% important during periods of volatility 27-Jan-2010 -159.65 -3.19% -490.64 -2.92% -2.29% Downside protection equally contributes to superior returns over a p 03-Nov-2009 -147.80 -3.14% -491.34 -3.09% -0.36% period of time 19-May-2010 -146.55 -2.89% -467.27 -2.77% -0.84% We have managed to fall less than the indices during each of the sharp 25-May-2010 -137.20 -2.78% -447.07 -2.71% -1.62% falls / panics since our inception 05 Feb 2010 05-Feb-2010 -126 70 126.70 -2 61% 2.61% -434 02 434.02 -2 68% 2.68% -0 47% 0.47% Large liquidity during periods of 27-Oct-2009 -124.20 -2.50% -387.10 -2.31% -0.65% volatility & a low beta portfolio helped. 21-Jan-2010 -127.55 -2.44% -423.35 -2.42% -1.32% CNX 10-Jan-2011 10 J 2011 -141.75 141 75 -2.40% 2 40% -467.69 467 69 -2.38% 2 38% -1.92% 1 92% Against Nifty Sensex Midcap 07-Jan-2011 -143.65 -2.38% -492.93 -2.44% -1.48% Beta * 0.5341 0.5341 0.5365 04-Feb-2011 -131.00 -2.37% -441.16 -2.39% -1.18% *Beta measures the volatility of the y portfolio relative to the index 09-Dec-2010 -137.20 -2.32% -454.12 -2.31% -2.18%
  • 11. Portfolio Breakup Market Cap Breakup Sectoral Allocation Oil & Gas 11.69% Automobiles Cash 6.62% 17.15% Infrastructure Banking & & Capital Finance Goods 6.65% 18.79% Branded Large Cap Garments & 49.65% Retail Small Cap 13.34% 23.74% Information Technology 12.57% Consumer Cash 17.15% Mid C Cap Goods G d 9.46% 13.19% Large Cap. More than Rs 5,000 crores Mid-Cap. Rs 1,000 - 5,000 crores Small Cap. Less than Rs 1,000 crores
  • 12. Low Portfolio Turnover (Buy & Hold at work) Portfolio Turnover Re-deployed part of 1.00 liquid balances by buying on declines 0.90 0 90 0.80 Turnover increased as we partly booked profits at higher levels 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11
  • 13. Market Outlook Global macro economic scenario and higher commodity prices likely to pose risks and have repercussions on India. However, risks now seem to be receding. Commodities are nearing peak, if not peaked out already Domestic concerns (macro economic issues, inflation on the back of rising commodity prices etc.) progressively easing off. Focus back on corporate performances and earnings growth and outlook Continued high inflation could result in further tightening of liquidity. Although there is still some way to go before the interest rate cycle peaks out later this year, higher cost of capital (on back of higher interest rates) already factored in Global liquidity (driver for FII flows) have resumed in March 2011 after a brief withdrawal during December 2010 2010- February2011 when FII’s were net sellers Valuations have corrected significantly in the last four-five months, they are now beginning to look reasonable and cheap when seen in light of growth outlook. Earnings could surprise on the positive side especially for non-index (mid cap) (mid-cap) companies As long as earnings don’t disappoint going forward, its going to be a market of buying opportunities on declines. However, one would have to be careful about earnings slowing down due to: Increasing interest rates and tight liquidity, making capital raising both difficult and expensive Higher commodity prices across the board, pressure already beginning to be felt Little flexibility in revising the end product prices, thus putting pressure on margins If any the above three factors play out, earnings estimates for FY12 could be revised down especially for sectors/stocks that are sensitive to interest rates and commodities cycle
  • 14. Market Outlook (cont’d) The key Investment Theme in 2011 Focus on stocks/sectors where growth in sales and earnings is not sensitive to: Interest rates (both for themselves as well as their end customers) They have reasonable pricing power to pass on higher costs and, thus protect margins Valuations v/s growth favour bottom up stock picking across the spectrum (large and mid-cap), rather than top-down approach. Individual performances will have a wide variance compared to the peer group as well I di ll Indices Stocks/Sectors to avoid are those where growth is dependent on fresh issue of capital (both debt and equity). Tight liquidity and inability to raise capital effectively could have serious implications on growth. Focus on Free Cash-flows Pockets of opportunities are where growth is steady and sustainable, are adequately funded and valuations leave room for upside It is quite possible, that in 2011 will see indices in a broad range but individual stocks could give excellent returns. St k picking will be the key t Stock i ki ill b th k It is a good time to build a high quality long term portfolio by Buying on Declines However, Markets in 2011 are likely to Test Conviction & Patience as returns may not come fast and easy
  • 15. Our Strategy “Time” in the markets is more important than “Timing” the markets Superior long-term sustainable returns are not made by timing the markets in terms of selling at the p peaks. They are a result of purchase prices that are attractive in terms of valuations with adequate y p p q Margin of Safety Our strategy going ahead would continue to be, bottom up stock picking and be extremely selective: Buy B on declines d li Use sharp rallies to partially book profits Opportunistically ride the momentum for only a small part of the portfolio Remain adequately liquid at all times q y q The sectors that we are bullish and continue to be over weight are: Technology (Software Services), Capital Goods and Infrastructure Construction Oil and Gas including Gas Transportation & Distribution, Domestic Consumption themes like Consumer Goods, Paints, Branded Garments, etc.
  • 16. Happy Investing Thank You Vivek Mavani – Vice President & Senior Portfolio Manager vivek.mavani@bricssecurities.com BRICS SECURITIES LIMITED 1st Floor, Sadhana House, 570, P. B. Marg, Behind Mahindra Towers, Worli, Mumbai – 400 018. Tel: 91-22-6636 0000. 91 22 6636 0000