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PREMIER SEMINARIO INTERNACIONAL COLCHAGUA
                     CARMENERE
        PMC Vitivinicola Valle de Colchagua, Chile
                   25 noviembre 2009

      Climate change: effects on
     viticulture and wine quality



    Luigi BAVARESCO, Mario FREGONI, Matteo GATTI
                 Istituto di Frutti-Viticoltura
            Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore
                        Piacenza, Italia




      Main fruit world production in 2006
                  ( www.FAO.org)
                   World               NORTH /    SOUTH    ASIA   EUROPA   OCEANIA
                 production   AFRICA    CENT     AMERICA    %       %         %
                 (x 1000 t)     %      AMERICA      %
                                         %
   BANANAS        70,756        11       12        23       52      0.6      1.5
   GRAPES         68,952        5        11         9       24      49        3
   ORANGES        64,795        8        27        32       23      9         1
    APPLES        63,805        3         9         6       52      29        1
  PLANTAINS       33,985        71        6        20       3        -        -
   MANGOES        26,574        10        9         5       76       -       0.1
TANG.MAND.CLE.    25,659        6         5        11       64      13       0.4
    PEARS         19,539        3        5.5        5      64.6     21        1
    OLIVES        16,962        10        1         1       9       78        -
PEACHES/NECTAR    17,188       4.5       12         6       44      33       0.7
  PINEAPPLES      18,260        18       16        17       48       -       0.4
 LEMONS/LIMES     12,989        6        24        20       34      16       0.3
    PLUMS          9,431        2         7         4       57      30       0.2




                                                                                     1
Raisins: 3%
                         raisins: 3%

 Table grapes:
      table grapes:
 27%       27%




                                              wine grapes:
                                              Wine grapes:
                                                  70%
                                              70%

UTILIZATION OF GRAPES IN THE WORLD




Grape surface and production in the main
 viticultural countries in 2005 (OIV, Paris)
                          Surface           Production


      Country           ha          %          t         %

      Spain           1,180,000     14,8     6,072,100  9.0
      France            894,000     11.2     6,790,200 10.0
      Italy             842,000     10.6     8,553,600 12.6
      Turkey            555,000      6.9     3,303,000  4.9
      China             485,000      6.1     6,520.900  9.6
      USA               399,000      5.0     7,088,500 10.5
      Iran              338,000      4.2     2,963,800  4.3
      Portugal          240,000      3.1     1,022,200  1.5
      Argentina         219,000      2.7     2,829,700  4.1
      Chile             193,000      2.4     2,319,200  3.4
      World           7,929,000        /   67,396,900     /




                                                              2
Cool climate
45°
                 Temperate climate
30°
               Sub tropical climate
10°
 0°
10°
                           Sub tropical climate
 30°
                           Temperate climate
 45°
                            Cool climate




       Distribution of world viticultural area
            according to climatic zones
                                        0,3%
                                            6,0%
                        23,2%


                                                     70,5%




          Tropical V.    Sub-Tropical V.          Temperate V.   Cool V.




                                                                           3
Viticultural Agri-system


          Variety/Rootstock




              Cultural
              practices




Climate      genius loci      Soil




                                     4
CLIMATE

• Definition: number of factors describing the average
  status of the athmosphere in a give area. It is defined
  by the meteorological conditions of many years (30-
  50)

• It is characterizad by: Light, Temperature, Rainfall

• It is affectd by: Latitude, Elevation, Exposure,
  Closeness to large water bodied and/or forests




     Climatic requirements for the vine

• Winter temperatures must not be so cold that plants
  are killed

• Winters must not be so warm that buds get
  inadequate chilling to break winter rest.

• The growing season (number of frost-free days)
  must be long enough to mature the fruit.

• Temperature and light during the growing season
  must be adequate for the species to develop good
  quality grapes




                                                            5
TEMPERATURES AND VARIETY CHOICE

Varieties are grown in different climatic areas,
  depending on their ripening time

High latitudes/elevations: early ripening varieties




                                        (Jones, Italus Hortus, 2008)




                                                                       6
CLIMATE CHANGE
• Increasing temperatures

• Declining precipitations (in some areas)

• Cause: increasing emission of geenhouse gases (ex.
  CO2, methane, halocarbons, tropospheric ozone) and
  black carbon

• Profound and direct impact, over the next few
  decades, on agricultural and food systems and on
  health

• In semiarid regions → yield reduction for corn,
  wheat, rice and other prymary crops




       (Kerner and Rochard, Rev. Oenologues, 2007)




                                                       7
(Kerner and Rochard, Rev. Oenologues, 2007)




(Liu and Diamond, Science, 2008)




                                                8
(Kerr, Science, 2006, data related to the Northern Hemisphere)




        (Kerr, Science, 2009)




                                                                 9
(Kerr, Science, 2007)




  (Jones, Italus Hortus, 2008)




                                 10
(Jones, Italus Hortus, 2008)




 Winkler Index (sDD, from April till October) at Piacenza (45 ° Lat N, 61 m a.s.l.) from 1950 till
2007 (Osservatorio Alberoni, Piacenza).
       sDD °C

           2400                                                             2003




           2200                                                                     2007




          2000




          1800




          1600




          1400

                      1950            1960   1970   1980      1990       2000
                                                                                      years




                                                                                                     11
Malvasia di
                                                                         Candia aromatica




 Colli Piacentini DOC
 Surface: 6,400 Ha
 Production: 263,425 HL                                          Malvasia rosa




                +
                                                Gutturnium       Tortelli

Barbera
                     Croatina
                                Gutturnio
                                >12°, deeply coloured, fruity,
                                soft tannins, easy drinking      Pisarei e fasö




    (Kerr, Science, 2007)




                                                                                            12
CO2 Emission in the atmosphere

                   Activity                   %
Agriculture/Forestry                         24 %
Road Trasportations                          21 %
Industry                                     21 %
Services/Residential                         18 %
Energy Processes                             12 %
Other (air, train transport, etc.)           4%

Source: CIVC Champagne




         Carbon balance in Champagne

                               t C/ha/year     %

Photosynthesis                     3.8         100

Respiration                        1.9         50

Grapes                             1.0         26

Pruning wood and storage
                                   0.8         21
in the perennial wood
Wood at vineyard
                                   0.1          3
explantation, end life cycle

Source: CIVC Champagne




                                                     13
Migliaia di tonnellate equivalenti di carbonio




                                                  0
                                                      10
                                                            20
                                                                  30
                                                                        40
                                                                              50
                                                                                    60
                                                                                          70
                                                                                                   80
                                     Energia
                                    viticoltura




                                      Energia
                                     enologia


                               Emissioni non




     Source: CIVC Champagne
                                 energetiche
                                (combustioni
                               diverse, fughe)



                                     Trasporti
                                                                                                   Valori residuali




                                  Spostamenti
                                    persone




                                     Materiali
                                     entranti
                                                                                                   Obiettivi di riduzione




                              Fabbricazione e
                                fine di vita
                                imballaggi




                              Residui/effluenti
                                                                                                                             reduction possibilities by 10 years




                               Ammortamenti
                                                                                                                            Carbon production of wine sector and




14
15
Effects of climatic factors on
          physiological processes


• Photosynthesis:    (stops at 35°C)

• Respiration:       (increases with T°)

• Transpiration:     1.500 m3/H2O/ha
                      to 5.000 m3/H2O/ha
                     (different factors)




                                           16
Effects of temperature on grape sugars
                and acids

•A1) Sugar synthesis                           •A2)   Acid degradation
                                                 Warm areas: more tartrate
    Winkler index (heath                         (oxidized 37°C) than malate
    summation)                                   (burnt 30 °C)

                                                  Cool areas: more malate
                                                  than tartrate




      (Perard et al., Rev. Oenologues, 2007)




                                                                               17
45



                                                            40
 Pinot noir
 Oltrepò pavese, Italy (45°Lat N)                           35



                                                            30




                                     °Brix - Acidità tit.
                                                            25
 Harvest dates
 1977-1978          7-12 Sept.                              20


 1989-1991          2-6 Sept.                               15

 1999-2000          25-28 Aug.
                                                            10
 2003                17 Aug.
                                                             5
 2007               15 Aug.
                                                             0
                                                              18/7   28/7    7/8   17/8   27/8    6/9   16/9   26/9
                                                                                                         1977-78
                                                                                          I            V
                                                                                                    1989-91
                                    (Vercesi, 2002)                                           1999-00




                                                                      Polyphenols in
                                                                        the berry

                                                                            Tannins
                                                                            Anthocyanins
                                                                            Cinnamic acids (est)
                                                                            Flavan–3-oli
                                                                            Flavonols
                                                                            Stilbenes


N.B. The arrow means a decreasing content




                                                                                                                      18
Effects of climatic factors on grape
             anthocyanins and tannins


  • Anthocyanin synthesis          • Tannin synthesis

     Temperature daily range         Synthesis also with T° >35°
                                     but herbaceous and
      PAL stops at 35 °C             aggressive tannins


      Sunlight is positive, but      The same with high sunlight
      > 100 μmol/m2/sec reduces
      the synthesis




                          Day Temperature (°C)
         25                25         25                25




          15                20         25                30
                         Night Temperature (°C)
from Kliewer and Torres, 1972




                                                                   19
Cabernet
                                                               Sauvignon

                                                                                                  25
                                                                                                  °C




                                                                                                        35
                                                                                                        °C

Night T (20:00 – 6:00) 20
°C in the two situations                                                                                                                       From Mori et al., 2007




                          1,2


                           1
cis -Resveratrol (mg/L)




                          0,8

                                                                                                                                Effect of some bioclimatic indices on
                          0,6                                                                           y = e(10.175-0.5187x)
                                                                                                           r = -0.49**          Gutturnio wines (Barbera+
                          0,4                                                                                                   Croatina) cis-resveratrol content
                                                                                                                                (Vintages 1998 – 2004)
                          0,2


                           0
                                19         21             23            25                                        27            29

                                                         Tav. August (°C)


                                                                                                  1,2


                                                                                                   1
                                                                        cis -Resveratrol (mg/L)




                                                                                                  0,8


                                                                                                  0,6
                                                                                                                                                         y = e(6.3522-0.005x)
                                                                                                                                                            r = -0.50**

                                                                                                  0,4


                                                                                                  0,2


                                                                                                   0
                                                                                                   1200                  1400        1600         1800               2000       2200
                            (Bavaresco et al. OIV World Congress, Verona, 2008)                                                             DD (°C)




                                                                                                                                                                                       20
Effect of climatic factors on grape
            aroma synthesis

                                • C13-nor-isoprenoids (from β-
 • Terpenes:                      carotene):
 • Lower T° than anthocyanins   • β-damascenone, α-ionone, β-
 • Sunlight necessary in the      ionone, TDN
   herbaceous phase of berry    • β-carotene synthesis takes
   growth (green berries)         place in green berries
 • Highest concentration in     • High temperature (35 °C) and
   shaded clusters                sunlight→ high C13-nor-
 • High Winkler Index → low       isoprenoid synthesis
   terpene synthesis            • Pyrazines (IBMP):
                                • High sunlight → low pyrazines
                                • High T° → low skin pyrazines,
                                  High T° (> 35°C) →high seed
                                  pyrazines




     Effects of climatic factors on grape
              enzymes synthesis

High T° →Enhancement of oxidizing enzymes (peroxidase,
   polyphenoloxidase)

White grape varieties more susceptible than red grape
   varieties
Under high T°, the mechanical harvest can increase the
   oxidizing enzymes




                                                                  21
Adaptation of viticulture to climate
                  change
• Vineyards shifting to higher latitudes and elevations
• Grape variety replacement: red instead of white
• Drought tolerant rootstocks
• Low expansion training systems
• Long cane – and two times- winter pruning
• Sprinkle irrigation
• Foliar sprays anti-stress (mineral elements, aminoacids,
  oligosaccharines, hormons, anti-oxidants)
• Canopy management
• Soil management




                                                             22
Greek gobelet “a settonce” (Az. Avignonesi, Toscana)




                                                       23
Anti-stress (thermic, water) products :
         stress produces protein dismantling, cell early
                     oxidation and death


Cell wall (pectate                                             Hormons (cell
Ca and Mg),                                                    replication)
oligosaccarids
                                                               Aminoacids

Cell membrane                                                  Proteins




     Involved factors
                                       •   Hormons (citochinine, auxine,etc.)
 •   Macro- and trace-elements (help   •   Vitamins (group B)
     protein stability)                •   Enzymes
 •   Aminoacids                        •   Anti-oxidants (resveratrol, etc .)
 •   Oligosaccarids




                                                                                24
Canopy structure




      From veraison on, the young leaves (including lateral shoots) have to be 20-30% of total
      plant leaf surface, while adult and old leaves 70-80%. Young leaves have to be more
      where sugar synthesis is important (cool climate), while adult and old leaves have to be
      more where polyphenols synthesis is important.




  Canopy structure and berry physiology
                  (Jackson and Lombard, 1993, modified)

           (
                                                    Enhancement                Decrease
               Compounds
                                                    (# leaf layers)          (# leaf layers)
Sugars                                                   1 – 1,5                      3

Titratable acidity                                           3                     1 – 1,5

pH                                                       1 – 1,5                     >3

Polyphenols (anthocyanins,tannins)                       1 – 1,5                      3

Aromas (C13 –nor-isoprenoids)                             1- 1.5                     >2

Herbaceous taste (pyrazines)                                >3                     1 – 1,5

Terpenes                                         <1.5 (pre-veraison)
                                                   >1.5 (ripening)




                                                                                                 25
26
• Thank you very much for your attention!




                                            27

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Bavaresco Seminario Colchagua 2009

  • 1. PREMIER SEMINARIO INTERNACIONAL COLCHAGUA CARMENERE PMC Vitivinicola Valle de Colchagua, Chile 25 noviembre 2009 Climate change: effects on viticulture and wine quality Luigi BAVARESCO, Mario FREGONI, Matteo GATTI Istituto di Frutti-Viticoltura Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Piacenza, Italia Main fruit world production in 2006 ( www.FAO.org) World NORTH / SOUTH ASIA EUROPA OCEANIA production AFRICA CENT AMERICA % % % (x 1000 t) % AMERICA % % BANANAS 70,756 11 12 23 52 0.6 1.5 GRAPES 68,952 5 11 9 24 49 3 ORANGES 64,795 8 27 32 23 9 1 APPLES 63,805 3 9 6 52 29 1 PLANTAINS 33,985 71 6 20 3 - - MANGOES 26,574 10 9 5 76 - 0.1 TANG.MAND.CLE. 25,659 6 5 11 64 13 0.4 PEARS 19,539 3 5.5 5 64.6 21 1 OLIVES 16,962 10 1 1 9 78 - PEACHES/NECTAR 17,188 4.5 12 6 44 33 0.7 PINEAPPLES 18,260 18 16 17 48 - 0.4 LEMONS/LIMES 12,989 6 24 20 34 16 0.3 PLUMS 9,431 2 7 4 57 30 0.2 1
  • 2. Raisins: 3% raisins: 3% Table grapes: table grapes: 27% 27% wine grapes: Wine grapes: 70% 70% UTILIZATION OF GRAPES IN THE WORLD Grape surface and production in the main viticultural countries in 2005 (OIV, Paris) Surface Production Country ha % t % Spain 1,180,000 14,8 6,072,100 9.0 France 894,000 11.2 6,790,200 10.0 Italy 842,000 10.6 8,553,600 12.6 Turkey 555,000 6.9 3,303,000 4.9 China 485,000 6.1 6,520.900 9.6 USA 399,000 5.0 7,088,500 10.5 Iran 338,000 4.2 2,963,800 4.3 Portugal 240,000 3.1 1,022,200 1.5 Argentina 219,000 2.7 2,829,700 4.1 Chile 193,000 2.4 2,319,200 3.4 World 7,929,000 / 67,396,900 / 2
  • 3. Cool climate 45° Temperate climate 30° Sub tropical climate 10° 0° 10° Sub tropical climate 30° Temperate climate 45° Cool climate Distribution of world viticultural area according to climatic zones 0,3% 6,0% 23,2% 70,5% Tropical V. Sub-Tropical V. Temperate V. Cool V. 3
  • 4. Viticultural Agri-system Variety/Rootstock Cultural practices Climate genius loci Soil 4
  • 5. CLIMATE • Definition: number of factors describing the average status of the athmosphere in a give area. It is defined by the meteorological conditions of many years (30- 50) • It is characterizad by: Light, Temperature, Rainfall • It is affectd by: Latitude, Elevation, Exposure, Closeness to large water bodied and/or forests Climatic requirements for the vine • Winter temperatures must not be so cold that plants are killed • Winters must not be so warm that buds get inadequate chilling to break winter rest. • The growing season (number of frost-free days) must be long enough to mature the fruit. • Temperature and light during the growing season must be adequate for the species to develop good quality grapes 5
  • 6. TEMPERATURES AND VARIETY CHOICE Varieties are grown in different climatic areas, depending on their ripening time High latitudes/elevations: early ripening varieties (Jones, Italus Hortus, 2008) 6
  • 7. CLIMATE CHANGE • Increasing temperatures • Declining precipitations (in some areas) • Cause: increasing emission of geenhouse gases (ex. CO2, methane, halocarbons, tropospheric ozone) and black carbon • Profound and direct impact, over the next few decades, on agricultural and food systems and on health • In semiarid regions → yield reduction for corn, wheat, rice and other prymary crops (Kerner and Rochard, Rev. Oenologues, 2007) 7
  • 8. (Kerner and Rochard, Rev. Oenologues, 2007) (Liu and Diamond, Science, 2008) 8
  • 9. (Kerr, Science, 2006, data related to the Northern Hemisphere) (Kerr, Science, 2009) 9
  • 10. (Kerr, Science, 2007) (Jones, Italus Hortus, 2008) 10
  • 11. (Jones, Italus Hortus, 2008) Winkler Index (sDD, from April till October) at Piacenza (45 ° Lat N, 61 m a.s.l.) from 1950 till 2007 (Osservatorio Alberoni, Piacenza). sDD °C 2400 2003 2200 2007 2000 1800 1600 1400 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 years 11
  • 12. Malvasia di Candia aromatica Colli Piacentini DOC Surface: 6,400 Ha Production: 263,425 HL Malvasia rosa + Gutturnium Tortelli Barbera Croatina Gutturnio >12°, deeply coloured, fruity, soft tannins, easy drinking Pisarei e fasö (Kerr, Science, 2007) 12
  • 13. CO2 Emission in the atmosphere Activity % Agriculture/Forestry 24 % Road Trasportations 21 % Industry 21 % Services/Residential 18 % Energy Processes 12 % Other (air, train transport, etc.) 4% Source: CIVC Champagne Carbon balance in Champagne t C/ha/year % Photosynthesis 3.8 100 Respiration 1.9 50 Grapes 1.0 26 Pruning wood and storage 0.8 21 in the perennial wood Wood at vineyard 0.1 3 explantation, end life cycle Source: CIVC Champagne 13
  • 14. Migliaia di tonnellate equivalenti di carbonio 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Energia viticoltura Energia enologia Emissioni non Source: CIVC Champagne energetiche (combustioni diverse, fughe) Trasporti Valori residuali Spostamenti persone Materiali entranti Obiettivi di riduzione Fabbricazione e fine di vita imballaggi Residui/effluenti reduction possibilities by 10 years Ammortamenti Carbon production of wine sector and 14
  • 15. 15
  • 16. Effects of climatic factors on physiological processes • Photosynthesis: (stops at 35°C) • Respiration: (increases with T°) • Transpiration: 1.500 m3/H2O/ha to 5.000 m3/H2O/ha (different factors) 16
  • 17. Effects of temperature on grape sugars and acids •A1) Sugar synthesis •A2) Acid degradation Warm areas: more tartrate Winkler index (heath (oxidized 37°C) than malate summation) (burnt 30 °C) Cool areas: more malate than tartrate (Perard et al., Rev. Oenologues, 2007) 17
  • 18. 45 40 Pinot noir Oltrepò pavese, Italy (45°Lat N) 35 30 °Brix - Acidità tit. 25 Harvest dates 1977-1978 7-12 Sept. 20 1989-1991 2-6 Sept. 15 1999-2000 25-28 Aug. 10 2003 17 Aug. 5 2007 15 Aug. 0 18/7 28/7 7/8 17/8 27/8 6/9 16/9 26/9 1977-78 I V 1989-91 (Vercesi, 2002) 1999-00 Polyphenols in the berry Tannins Anthocyanins Cinnamic acids (est) Flavan–3-oli Flavonols Stilbenes N.B. The arrow means a decreasing content 18
  • 19. Effects of climatic factors on grape anthocyanins and tannins • Anthocyanin synthesis • Tannin synthesis Temperature daily range Synthesis also with T° >35° but herbaceous and PAL stops at 35 °C aggressive tannins Sunlight is positive, but The same with high sunlight > 100 μmol/m2/sec reduces the synthesis Day Temperature (°C) 25 25 25 25 15 20 25 30 Night Temperature (°C) from Kliewer and Torres, 1972 19
  • 20. Cabernet Sauvignon 25 °C 35 °C Night T (20:00 – 6:00) 20 °C in the two situations From Mori et al., 2007 1,2 1 cis -Resveratrol (mg/L) 0,8 Effect of some bioclimatic indices on 0,6 y = e(10.175-0.5187x) r = -0.49** Gutturnio wines (Barbera+ 0,4 Croatina) cis-resveratrol content (Vintages 1998 – 2004) 0,2 0 19 21 23 25 27 29 Tav. August (°C) 1,2 1 cis -Resveratrol (mg/L) 0,8 0,6 y = e(6.3522-0.005x) r = -0.50** 0,4 0,2 0 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 2200 (Bavaresco et al. OIV World Congress, Verona, 2008) DD (°C) 20
  • 21. Effect of climatic factors on grape aroma synthesis • C13-nor-isoprenoids (from β- • Terpenes: carotene): • Lower T° than anthocyanins • β-damascenone, α-ionone, β- • Sunlight necessary in the ionone, TDN herbaceous phase of berry • β-carotene synthesis takes growth (green berries) place in green berries • Highest concentration in • High temperature (35 °C) and shaded clusters sunlight→ high C13-nor- • High Winkler Index → low isoprenoid synthesis terpene synthesis • Pyrazines (IBMP): • High sunlight → low pyrazines • High T° → low skin pyrazines, High T° (> 35°C) →high seed pyrazines Effects of climatic factors on grape enzymes synthesis High T° →Enhancement of oxidizing enzymes (peroxidase, polyphenoloxidase) White grape varieties more susceptible than red grape varieties Under high T°, the mechanical harvest can increase the oxidizing enzymes 21
  • 22. Adaptation of viticulture to climate change • Vineyards shifting to higher latitudes and elevations • Grape variety replacement: red instead of white • Drought tolerant rootstocks • Low expansion training systems • Long cane – and two times- winter pruning • Sprinkle irrigation • Foliar sprays anti-stress (mineral elements, aminoacids, oligosaccharines, hormons, anti-oxidants) • Canopy management • Soil management 22
  • 23. Greek gobelet “a settonce” (Az. Avignonesi, Toscana) 23
  • 24. Anti-stress (thermic, water) products : stress produces protein dismantling, cell early oxidation and death Cell wall (pectate Hormons (cell Ca and Mg), replication) oligosaccarids Aminoacids Cell membrane Proteins Involved factors • Hormons (citochinine, auxine,etc.) • Macro- and trace-elements (help • Vitamins (group B) protein stability) • Enzymes • Aminoacids • Anti-oxidants (resveratrol, etc .) • Oligosaccarids 24
  • 25. Canopy structure From veraison on, the young leaves (including lateral shoots) have to be 20-30% of total plant leaf surface, while adult and old leaves 70-80%. Young leaves have to be more where sugar synthesis is important (cool climate), while adult and old leaves have to be more where polyphenols synthesis is important. Canopy structure and berry physiology (Jackson and Lombard, 1993, modified) ( Enhancement Decrease Compounds (# leaf layers) (# leaf layers) Sugars 1 – 1,5 3 Titratable acidity 3 1 – 1,5 pH 1 – 1,5 >3 Polyphenols (anthocyanins,tannins) 1 – 1,5 3 Aromas (C13 –nor-isoprenoids) 1- 1.5 >2 Herbaceous taste (pyrazines) >3 1 – 1,5 Terpenes <1.5 (pre-veraison) >1.5 (ripening) 25
  • 26. 26
  • 27. • Thank you very much for your attention! 27